Bitcoin-btcusd-btc
Bitcoin short-term view - BTC got rejected at $18,355Bitcoin short-term update
(a) BTC got rejected at my mentioned $18,355 resistance
(b) we also lost important $18,000 mark
(c) but a further correction to $17,500 where we might find SMA & EMA support would not be concerning at all
Have a great Day dear Crypto Nation😎
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Do your own research before investing
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BITCOIN Long Trade 2022Nov29Signal: Blue * 3 -> Green
Risk Reward: 2
BTC , BTCUSD , BTCUSDT , BTCUSDTPERP , BTCBUSDPERP , BITCOIN , CRYPTO, CRYPTOCURRENCY
DISCLAIMER
This is only a personal opinion and does NOT serve as investing NOR trading advice.
Please make your own decisions and be responsible for your own investing and trading Activities.
Bitcoin short-term view - bearish divergence on RSI⚠️Bitcoin short-term update just before #FOMC meeting
(a) BTC with a nice pre-pump above $18,000😎👍
(b) bearish divergence on RSI⚠️
(c) $18,355 next bullish target🐂
(d) correction to $17,500 always possible🐻
Exciting before Jerome Powell speach dear Crypto Nation❓
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Total amount of stable coins transferred on-chain vs Bitcoin📝Overview
This indicator measures the total amount of coins transferred on-chain.
Only successful transfers are counted.
(Glassnode)
📈Analysis
In this chart I put the main stable coins.
Looking at the on-chain volume, the highest volume so far was reached on Nov 08, 2022, at the bottom marked in the red circle.
Looking at it, the break of this support would be accompanied with a new record in volume.
🔎Binance
Looking at Binance's stable coin in isolation, we have a temporary new all time high.
Bitcoin - BTC Renko-chart Support zones⬜️🟦🟥 Bitcoin Renko-chart Support zones⬜️🟦🟥
Get a clean view by filter out the noise dear Crypto Nation🔇😉
BTC zones to keep an eye on👀
⬜️$18k - $19k
temporary lost
🟦$16k - $17k
were we are now - green candle might come up🟩
🟥$11k - $13k
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Financial Wave. BTC m15BTCUSDT, 15min
Our preferred scenario in Bitcoin was confirmed by a rise towards $18,000. A continuation of the uptrend is the most likely scenario for BTC. A rise in wave 3 could lead the price of Bitcoin to the next target of $18,800. Our variant allows for a corrective fall to $17,500, a fall below $17,100 will change the wave structure and our priority scenario.
Bitcoin short-term view - BTC broke mentioned resistance channelBitcoin short-term view update
(a) BTC broke yesterdays mentioned resistance channel and might confirm it by a close above $17,244
(b) bullish target still $17,500
(c) bearish target still $16,500
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BITCOIN Historical Buy Signal is flashingBitcoin (BTCUSD) remains supported on the 1W MA350 (red trend-line) following the FTX crash. A rare indicator, the Gaussian Channel (GC), remains red but based on previous Cycles, by the time it turns green, Bitcoin already has the first mini rally of the new Bull Cycle.
The previous two GC Cycles from the end of the previous red period to the end of the next red period extended for 1260 and 1280 days respectively. If the 1280 day max is repeated during this Cycle also then the GC should flash green by January 30 2023. That means that historically there isn't much time left to start the 1st rally of the new Bull Cycle.
Also by using the Fibonacci extension and retracement levels we see that the first two Cycles topped a little over the 1.414 Fib extension, while the bottoms of the first three Cycles have been above the 0.618 Fib retracement level. As diminishing returns are in effect on each Cycle, which in theory should narrow Bitcoin's channel long-term, the last Cycle topped lower on the 1.236 Fib (which is where the last High before the Top was formed in the previous two Cycles). If the channel does narrow down, then we bottom should also be higher and the next candidate would be the 0.5 Fib, which is slightly below the recent November low.
With the Gaussian Channel pattern pointing to the 1st rally soon, the MA350 holding and the 0.5 Fib potentially the new Cyclical Support, we have perhaps the strongest buy signal of this Cycle flashing right now.
Do you think that's the best time to buy? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin short-term view - $16,500 not unlikely now🔴Bitcoin short-term view update
(a) BTC down below volume resistance $16,960
(b) we had a fakeout on RSI
(c) bearish target $16,500 not unlikely now🔴
(c) bullish again if we break the resistance channel🟢
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Bitcoin: WAIT For CPI, FOMC.All eyes on the CPI report coming out on Tuesday. This is a key report that the Federal Reserve considers when it comes to adjusting interest rates. And right after that, the FED meets on Wednesday to announce their next interest rate decision which is followed by the all important press conference. What does all this mean for Bitcoin? Price action is likely to go NO WHERE until the outcome of these events.
Do NOT make the mistake of thinking you know how the market will price in the outcomes. In this environment, these are BINARY events. Price can go one way or the other, or no where at all if there are no surprises or new pieces of information for the market to price in. This is where opinions can be VERY costly. If you are not in the market, it is best to WAIT until after the event is out of the way. The thing is, this week we have two major events back to back.
The problem with opinions is this: there is no way to know how exactly the market will react, and LOGIC (which is what everyone applies) is NOT effective in a market place that is primarily driven by emotions. For example, CPI may come out high but not as high as "expected" which can be a positive for the markets since it is in line with the Fed's raising rates at a slower pace. The point is, LET THE MARKET FIGURE IT OUT. The market knows all the information in the world, and is highly efficient.
Here is my swing trade plan for Bitcoin: AFTER both events are out of the way, I will be looking for short setups in the low 18Ks. If price happens to break through this area decisively, then I stand aside. While many may argue that Bitcoin is in a "bullish" trend, this only applies to very short time frames. Bigger picture continues to maintain a BEARISH structure. I have no intent to look for longs unless the 15K low is tested again, which is highly likely to break (especially in light of an unexpected catalyst).
Until these events unfold. Bitcoin (and the stock market) is NOT likely to go anywhere. Don't get caught into taking unnecessary action or trade just to trade in this highly uncertain situation. The 17K area is still near the mid point of the 15K to 18K broader lower high consolidation. Price action here is HIGHLY RANDOM.
While I still think it is too early to be taking any major positions for the longer time horizons, I do think it is a good time to build the investment plan. Bitcoin is going to be one of the instruments that I include in my forthcoming speculative growth portfolio which will be comprised of a variety of growth stocks and possibly select alt coins.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective. I hope you find it helpful.
BITCOIN and S&P500 Has a 10 year Bull phase just started?A 1 year correction which is nothing but common throughout Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) existence, has done its work well in spreading fear and doubt at the market during this inflationary stock crisis in 2022. In times like this what helps the most is to maintain a long-term perspective and look at how history reacted in similar situations.
We thought that nothing can help us get a better grasp at the situation than look into how Bitcoin compares to the major stock index the S&P500 (SPX). On this 1M time-frame, Bitcoin is displayed by the orange trend-line while the S&P500 by the blue. We are looking into the S&P500's price action since the Great Depression. As you see the index repeats through history four major phases:
* The Bear Phase (red), where the index gets into a Megaphone pattern and has two major correction sequences. It breaks initially below the 1M MA100 (green trend-line) and then below the 1M MA200 (black trend-line).
* The Accumulation Phase (blue), where the index starts recovering from the Bear Phase and breaks above both the 1M MA100 and MA200, turning sideways. This is technically the most efficient/ earliest available level to enter the market.
* The Expansion Phase (yellow), where the index established trading above the 1M MA100/200 (never breaks them until the next Bear Phase) and makes the first multi-year rise. This Phase is marked by three "smaller" correction periods (red ellipses).
* The Bull Phase (green), where the index recovers from the last small correction and rises aggressively to form the top before the new Bear Phase. It tends to last around 10 years.
This year's correction (2022) is the third one of the Expansion Phase and as the price remains above the 1M MA100, it is more likely that with the correction already completed, S&P500 has entered its new Bull Phase.
The chart clearly shows that Bitcoin's 12 year period of immense growth has only been during the S&P500's Accumulation and Expansion Phases. This suggests that we may haven't seen yet it's strongest growth to come during the stock market's new Bull Phase! The correlation of Bitcoin's tops and bottoms to those of the S&P500 is more than obvious.
Most market participants say that this time is different due to the soaring inflation and aggressive rate hikes. But hasn't this also been the narrative in the late 70s? Still the market found the mechanisms to grow in the Expansion Phase that followed and the new technologies (internet etc) to inflate it to immense highs in the 90s until the eventual crashes of the 00s. It may seem like a different reason each time but the behavior is always cyclical with repeating patterns and phases, the narrative in the past 100 years can be whatever the news decide it to be. But the market will continue printing and printing the same patterns as human behavior stays the same.
So what do you think, are we about to witness the growth of a lifetime on both Bitcoin and stocks in the next 10 years? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin short-term view - BTC at price action and RSI resistanceBitcoin short-term view update:
(a) BTC at price action and RSI resistances
(b) bullish breakout target $17,500🟩
(c) bearish rejection target $16,960🟥
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Bitcoin the next switch🔴🟢of DPPM Oscillator❓🚨❓🚨❓Bitcoin and the next switch🔴🟢of DPPM Oscillator ❓🚨❓🚨❓🚨❓
That would be a very interesting #bullish signal IMO - never seen such a quick double switch before😎
FTX won't heart BTC at all - that's clear‼️
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BITCOIN, Yuan and China bond yields point to rally ahead!You might be thinking what the Chinese Yuan (USDCNY displayed by the red trend-line) and China's bond yields (CN20Y displayed by the blue trend-line) have to do with BITCOIN (BTCUSD). This chart comes to show just how strong the correlation is.
As you see since 2012, every time the CN20Y broke above its Lower Highs trend-line, Bitcoin started its Bull Cycle rally. This makes the two assets strongly positively correlated. In addition, when that happened, it always coincided with the USDCNY starting a major fall (red circle on the chart, making the two assets mostly negatively correlated. In fact Bitcoin has had its Bull Cycles in major long-term USDCNY falls and its Bear Cycle in major USDCNY rises.
Right now the CN20Y is testing the 2021/2022 Lower Highs trend-line again. Do you think a break above it would start Bitcoin's new major Bull rally? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin short-term viewBitcoin short-term update🚨🚨
(a) BTC with nice pump at trendline resistance
(b) RSI overbought
(c) consolidation might find support at $16,960
(d) bullish target $17,500
Let me know your thoughts in the comments🤗
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BTCUSD breaking out RIGHT NOWBTCUSD seems to be continuing its short-term bullish momentum.
What we can see on 1h time-frame is a breakout of the bull flag formation with a target somewhere between $18000 -$18350 which would be a great area to flip short as well.
As the breakout is just happening now, you still have time to take a long position.
Stop loss: below or at 16850$
Target for longs: between $18000 -$18350
BITCOIN Going to 18500 for a 1D MA100 rejection.Standard Channel Down for Bitcoin on the 1D scale. Since August 15th all Lower Highs were rejection a little over the 1D MA100 (green line). Currently the RSI is rising like the previous time. The 1D MA100 is now at 18900. With this projection the price can break it around 18500.
Will it get rejected again or this time will be different?
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Criminal Activities in Crypto MarketThis year, crypto-related hacking has high activity. Since the beginning of October, approximately $718 million worth of cryptocurrency has been stolen, bringing the total for the year to over $3 billion. However, numbers are currently 65% lower than where they were at the end of July in 2021.
In addition, revenue from scams has roughly decreased in accordance with Bitcoin prices from January 2022. Not only is scam revenue declining, but the total number of individual transfers to schemes in 2022 is at its lowest point in the previous four years.
In addition, these figures imply that less individuals than ever are falling for Bitcoin frauds.
Crypto scams
● Investment scams: Pump-and-dump schemes are an example of investment fraud. A fraudster
will convince you to purchase an obscure cryptocurrency at a "cheap price" promising that the
asset´s value would soon soar. When you purchase, the price increases. However, later the con artist sells off their holdings at a higher valuation. That is causing the price to drop and leaving you and any other victims in the red.
● SIM- Swap scams: This is also one of the most recent types of crypto scams that exist today.
They take place when a con artist obtains a duplicate of your SIM card and has full access to
your phone´s data. As a result, the victim may not even be notified. The victim´s cryptocurrency
accounts may be already compromised and deleted.
● Fake Crypto Exchanges and Crypto Wallets:
Your social media accounts will show you websites that promote affordable Bitcoin with huge returns on the initial investment. When customers pay a hefty initial charge, they are routinely prompted to spend additional money. In addition, you´ll probably discover that your money is missing when you try to withdraw it.
● Upgrade scams: Scammers trying to persuade customers agreeing to fraudulent transactions or
giving over their private keys represent one of the most immediate concerns.
● Phishing scams: Although they have been around for a while, phishing schemes are still widely used. To get personal information such as the password to a cryptocurrency wallet, scammers send emails with nefarious links to a fraudulent site. It is troublesome to change the cryptocurrency key. Therefore, each key is exclusive to a wallet. As a result, a new wallet must be made in order to change this key.
Tips for avoiding scams
Investment scams are obvious once the provider claims there are huge returns on investment and there is no risk regarding your loss of money.
Never enter secure information from an email link to protect yourself against phishing schemes.
The individual has to go directly to the official website to verify it. Also, regarding the scams such as fake crypto exchanges and crypto wallets, stay with reliable exchanges and wallets with a substantial user history to avoid similar frauds.
In fact, you should assume a wallet´s website is a fraud and move on if it makes an attempt to look like a well-known company. Last, you can prevent SIM swap frauds by using strong passwords and security questions along with locking the phone with your service provider.
In a nutshell
Nobody enjoys a crypto bear market, but there is one positive aspect. Criminal cryptocurrency
activity has decreased slightly alongside that of respectable activity. However, it appears that
criminal activity is more robust to price declines. Compared to respectable quantities, which are
down 36% year over year, illicit volumes are only down 15%. The US dollar is the most often used currency for these kinds of fraudulent transactions.
Even though there are many scams existing in the crypto market, more users know how to spot possible scams right away because that is not something new and unseen. However, the numbers of illicit activity are still high. Yet with new security protocols, there is hope that fraud can be slowed down in overwhelming the cryptocurrency market. There is no denying that cryptocurrencies have been used in illegal behavior, but the same can happen with any type of money in existence.
The most important action users can take is to protect their private information as best as they can.
BITCOIN Bullish Cross aims at $21000 at least.The MACD on the 3D time-frame is about to complete a Bullish Cross today. If the session closes that way, it will only be the 5th time since July 2021 of this occurence.
The past four events made Bitcoin (BTCUSD) rally on a minimum of +26.50% and maximum of + 65.15%. From the current levels, that gives a min rise at $21000 and maximum at $27500.
Even the minimum would put BTC above the 1D MA200 (red trend-line), which has been the strongest Resistance of this Bear Cycle, rejecting the price since the start of the year.
What do you think? Will this Bullish Cross push Bitcoin to at least 21000 and if it does, will the 1D MA200 break-out be the start of the new Bull Cycle? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below!
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BTC Long Scalping SignalBTC is touching the trendline and hopefully will bounce back from here. As our prediction earlier this week, we will enter a Long postion here, but we will need a specific plan, which is:
Buy a really small portion now at ~16k8. Buy some more if the price reaches 16k5. Targeting 17k8 and worst case scenario, stop your loss at 16k2.
Watch the reaction closely and calculate your volume carefully on this trade.
Entry: 16k5 - 16k8
Sl: 16k2
Tp: 17k8
Bitcoin short-term view - BTC losing support🚨Bitcoin short-term view update
(a) BTC just losing SMA200 & EMA50 (4h chart) support🚨
(b) bearish target would still be $16,500 - RSI support to be expected
(c) bullish target above $17,500 more unlikely now
Let me know your thoughts in the comments🤗
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Disclaimer:
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Do your own research before investing
The content shared is for educational purposes only and is my personal opinion