BITCOIN Don't look beyong this indicator. Huge Buy!!Bitcoin's monthly CCI indicator has bottomed and is already trending upwards. The previous three times this happened, it marked the bottom on BTC and it started rising as well right after.
BTC has been in this range since June and it is not all that different from Nov 2018 - March 2019, March 2015 - Sep 2015 and December 2011 - June 2012. Technically this should be all you need to know in order to buy these extremely oversold levels. Buy and hold for the next 2 years. It is a cycle that keeps repeating itself and greatly rewards those with patience.
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Bitcoin-btcusd-btc
BITCOIN Historically best buy NOW. $150k next peak.Let's keep things simple. The 1W RSI rebounded on the Channel's bottom in June, a Channel that has flawlessly caught all cycle bottoms since 2011 and as a matter of fact the Highs as well.
The first two cycles peaked a little below the 1.5 Fibonacci extension from the previous High (bottom to top of Bull Cycle). The last one peaked on the 1.236 Fibonacci. If the narrative changes in order to fit the Parabolic Channel that Bitcoin has been trading in and which is getting narrower offering lower returns in each Cycle (diminishing returns paradigm), then a 1.236 Fib on the new cycle would be almost exactly at $150000.
It will be a rough ride and things surely look far from ideal now but pessimism and (extreme) fear were always (much) more stronger at bottoms. Buy don't look back and get ready for $150k in 2025.
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itcoin Buy🟢and Sell🔴signals by the Stochastic Momentum IndexUpdate:
Great Bitcoin Buy🟢and Sell🔴signals by the Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) with modified settings
Despite one false signal🟠quite great swing Trade gains dear BTC and Crypto Nation😎
Follow for the next cross❌update👀
January 2023 realistic❓
Let me know your thoughts in the comments🤗
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Bitcoin Potentials MovementStill strong downtrend below 21,50 and 200 moving average
Weekly Candle 🔺🔻
Volume: Still In Progress
Volume: 18.326K (previous week)
O: $17113.00
H: Still In Progress
L: Still In Progress
C: Still In Progress
O: $16420.00 (previous week)
H: $17418.00 (previous week)
L: $16004.00 (previous week)
C: $17114.00 (previous week)
____________________________________
EMA 21
$20409
EMA 50
$26802
EMA 200
$25480
____________________________________
RSI 34.34
Base 34.68
Still In Progress
RSI Stochastic
26.70
15.60
Still In Progress
____________________________________
Potential Downtrend Current Target is $11.5k-$13.5k
BITCOIN The Golden 51%-49% Ratio is back! Is this the next top?After the interest that the revised version of my Logarithmic Channel model attracted, I thought I'd extend it by adding a few more elements, most notable of which Tradingshot's very own Golden 51%-49% Ratio!
Basically I've been asked continuously to make an update on that legendary chart, so here is an extension, though I promise I will also make an update with the original minimal pattern.
For those who don't know how this Ratio works, it basically suggests that on each Cycle, the phase from the Bottom to the Halving is 51% of the whole Bull Cycle while the rest (Halving to Top) consists the 49%. Practically it claims that the Halving is roughly at the middle of each Bull Cycle.
As the Logarithmic Growth Channel suggest that November 2022 was the absolute bottom of the 2022 Bear Cycle, we can now use the next Halving (number 4) and apply the 51%-49% Golden Ratio. Halving 4 is projected to be on May 26 2024 and based on the Ratio that puts the High of Cycle 5 near the end of November 2025. On every Cycle, once the Bear Cycle Lower Highs trend-line broke, BTC started officially the Rise, which after the Halving turns parabolic.
Do you think a $200k Bitcoin realistic during Cycle 5 based on the combination of this two patterns? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below!
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RLinda ! BTCUSD-> Bears in bull's clothing? What's going on? The current price of bitcoin is $16950. The 24-hour trading volume is $18 billion. CoinMarketCap is currently in first place with a live market capitalization of $356 billion, up from $358 billion yesterday. The flagship has a total stock of 21 million coins and a circulating stock of 19 million BTC coins
Bitcoin has struggled to break up through the 17,065 level, but after a false breakdown, the price goes into a correction phase, but at the same time forms a symmetrical triangle on the local rising trend.
-Bull divergence on weekly RSI continues to develop
-Bitcoin by Month. October stands out as the most positive month in terms of dynamics
-SMMA 250. Demonstration of the support line against the backdrop of key events of the times. 2015 - BitFinex crash. 2020 - pandemic coup. 2022 - FTX crash.
The collapse of FTX triggered one of the strongest capitulations in bitcoin history. Nevertheless, the characteristics of this maneuver have some similarities to the 2015, 2018, 2020 crashes.
Glassnode, likewise, claims that long-term holders, against will and determination, continue to hold the asset, while at the same time there is an unprecedented depletion of sellers in the market.
A strong trend line from April 2021. Bitcoin has been approaching the downside zone many times in the last 4 months, but only for a retest.
November put a lot of pressure on this resistance and once again the line has been broken.
The price reacts quite violently to the resistance line. The bulls manage to overcome it, but there is a 17592 liquidity zone ahead, which will be difficult to pass.
Bitcoin is in strong isolation. The price is sandwiched between the downward resistance line and the lower boundary of the previously broken range. The 17592 liquidity zone may not allow the price to pass it the first time, I think it is logical in this case to expect a pullback towards 16000.
Indicators so far without any clear setups. The RSI is below the neutral line, while the MACD chart indicates some bullish superiority, but the sliding lines are still in the red zone.
The MA-50 and MA-200 moving averages are as resistance.
Bitcoin is in a local ascending price channel. At the moment it is difficult to speak about change of trend, maybe it is just upward correction. Let's break down the two sets.
The price is in a triangle, the previous movement was bullish, which suggests the possibility of a breakdown of the triangle resistance and renewal of the tops.
If that is the case, we should expect the price to move beyond the upper boundary of the triangle, consolidation above the level of 17065
BUT, the global trend is bearish. Bitcoin in the global perspective is in the short zone, so it is a priority to consider selling.
The price has tested the resistance of the uptrend channel and so I believe the next target will be support - a standard trading system when working with ranges.
We expect a breakdown of the triangle support, price consolidation in the short zone, after which a drop to 16250 is possible.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin short-term view - symmetrical triangle (re-drawn) 🚨❓👀Bitcoin short-term update
BTC in a symmetrical triangle (re-drawn) - breakout today🚨❓👀
(a) bullish target above $17,500
(b) bearish target at $16,500 (FIB golden pocket)
(b) RSI fighting with resistance
Have a great day dear Crypto Nation😎
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BITCOIN Long and painful but necessary bottom process!We rarely post Bitcoin (BTCUSD) analyses on the 1M (monthly) time-frame, but this one does justice is showing the complete long-term picture.
On a monthly basis, Bitcoin has been forming a bottom since the June Low, within a zone formed by the Fibonacci MA and Multiple 1. At the same time the 1M RSI has been trading exactly at the bottom of the Channel Down pattern that goes back to April 2013.
This is the painful but necessary bottom process that BTC has to go through on all of its Cycles and it appears that it bears more resemblance with the early 2015 sequence. The cyclical pattern on every Cycle is the same. Lower Lows, a Resistance and a Cup like formation which after it breaks the Resistance starts the parabolic rally to the new Cycle High. Based on this model, the next Resistance break-out may not happen until early 2024.
What are your thoughts on this? Is Bitcoin about to complete a painful but necessary bottom process? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin - Elliott wave count to the bottomIn this 4-hour chart I consider the Elliott Wave count and what this might mean for the current posture and ultimate low. I also point out a prior line of resistance is as yet unconfirmed support and the break above the neckline hasn't manifested in bullish confidence or volumes.
In doing so I feel I might have answered the question I posed in the last post, identifying that the iH&S reversal pattern is more likely a fake-out than a break-out.
What do you think? Are we now entering a final wave 5 of the impulse lower, or is my count wrong, support lined don't need confirmation, volume on bullish indicators is insignificant, and BTC is now unstoppable?
Bitcoin short-term view - triangle breakout today🚨❓👀Bitcoin short-term update
(a) BTC in a symmetrical triangle - breakout today🚨❓👀
(b) bullish target above $17,500
(c) bearish target at $16,500 (FIB golden pocket)
Have a great day dear Crypto Nation😎
Let me know your thoughts in the comments🤗
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BTC - Crab Zone Crab zone between is between 16.2k - 16.7k.
If price closes above - target June lows at 17.5k, and if that offers no hard resistance, if it flips into support, then the August highs of 25k is on the table.
If price closes below - Target 15.8k, and if that offers no support, then new lows are likely (10-14k)
BITCOIN Log Growth Curve the only pattern that matters right nowOn this chart we seen Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on its historic Logarithmic Channel (LC), the channel that has been trading in since its inception and will put emphasis on its Growth Curve which is the pattern we popularized here since early 2019.
See how well the model has been containing the price action going more than 3 years back:
Back to today now. As you see on this chart, which as we mention is the only chart you should care about right now, Bitcoin following the FTX crash hit the bottom of its Logarithmic Channel (LG), displayed by the green line, which historically has proven to be the ultimate buy level, with strong rallies following shortly after.
Since then it has been trading on the green line, which we call the Growth Curve (GC), showing the first signs of a new, and most likely the final, accumulation phase. As long as it stays within the GC and the dotted line above, BTC will continue to accumulate.
Above that, the first historic Resistance in an upcoming Bull Cycle is the Blue line, which kept the price at bay for most of the 2012 and 2015/16 Cycles, before the parabolic rally that capped the Bull Cycle.
The yellow line is a typical pivot line during both Bull and Bear Cycles, as you see it held the first waves of the 2021/22 Bear Cycle before eventually failing.
The orange line, is the level where investors typically look to sell and exit the Bull Cycle, while the zone formed by the upper dotted line and the red one has historically been an absolute (extremely overbought) belt.
Right now the price is on the absolute bottom of this model that has never failed while having the Multiple 8 (grey trend-line) just below it, which also has never been broken and marked the bottoms of March 2020, August 2015 and November 2011.
Are you a buyer or a seller based on this? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below!
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$BTC : Going for 18K or 15K ? Let's CBy reviewing the November 27th analysis of BTC , we can see that we had 2 scenarios, and one of those scenarios was collecting BUY STOPS liquidities above $17,000, and this is exactly what happened, of course, the bearish scenario of the last analysis failed! Currently, we have two Institutional supports, one is $16,900 and one is $16,500! If the price consolidates above these levels, we can expect the price to grow to $18180 as the next target!
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⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Arman Shaban : @ArmanShabanTrading
📅 12. 01 .2022
⚠️(DYOR)
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Bitcoin - BTC Aroon Oscillator from Top to Bottom🔵🟢🟡🔴Comparing the number of downward extremes at the Aroon Oscillator from Top to Bottom 2013-15 & 2017-18 🔵🟢🟡🔴..
..we got a further leg down as supposed dear BTC and Crypto Nation‼️
Comparing the number of peaks⚪️more downside possible❓
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The Game: Manipulators Vs Retail TradersLet’s play the game. It’s very interesting and it can give us a better understanding how the crypto market will move in the future.
DESCRIPTION
So, first of all imagine, we are Manipulators. We work as a team. Against us there is a team of Retail Traders.
We all want to make tons of money! We all need to buy as many Bitcoins as possible at the bottom and BEFORE a bullish cycle.
We have the same goals but different power and opportunities. If retail traders can execute any trading ideas in any time. We, as manipulators, need good volume. In order to buy 1 Bitcoin, we need someone who will sell us 1 Bitcoin. It's not a problem. But what if we need to buy 10 000 Bitcoins? 100 000 Bitcoins?? If we can’t get enough volume, we will have a good chance stay outside the market = we won't be able to make profit during a new bullish cycle.
CONDITIONS
During the previous bearish cycle, we could build long positions between $7 000 and $3 000 levels. The bullish cycle allowed us to make tons of money. In order to fix our profit, we sold our Bitcoins in the range between $70 000 and $30 000.
Now, we stay outside the market but with tons of cash and stable coins!
OUR GOALS
1. We have to build long positions at the true bottom.
2. We have to buy as many Bitcoins at the best price as possible
3. We have to do it BEFORE fundamental reasons will become bullish.
During the previous bearish cycle, we used FUD. It allowed us to take Bitcoins from retail traders. We kicked them from the market using dumps and long-term consolidations.
This time, retail traders are smart. They are not ready to swap their Bitcoins into fiat. They are ready to add even more Bitcoins if the price moves to $14 000 - 10 000. Many of retail traders think it will be the true bottom. So, they are ready to hold Bitcoins! They are ready to buy more Bitcoins at lower prices.
We, as manipulators, may face with the situation where we won't be able to buy enough Bitcoins. There won't be enough retail traders selling their Bitcoins.
THE MAIN QUESTION
What should we do to motivate retail traders sell their Bitcoins to us? We need good volume to build our long positions BEFORE a new bullish cycle. And we need the best price for our long positions.
How to be smarter than retail traders in 2022-2023???
Please, share in comments you ideas, playing for the Manipulators’ team. How would you reach 3 goals?
Bitcoin and US10Y-US02Y connectionUpdate on US10Y-US02Y
Compare RVGI indicator❌cross and Bitcoin
Still not a cross yet in the extreme area of this indicator that would mark a quite good entry for BTC
But the next cross for a possible Entry point is ahead dear Crypto Nation💥🚀😎
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BITCOIN & the USDT Dominance point to a fast reversal!This is Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 1W time-frame drawn against the USDT dominance. For better comparison purposes both are displayed in candle bars, BTC being on top, USDT Dom at the bottom.
The essence of this comparison is to find a behavioral pattern that can help us estimate which phase of the Cycle BTC could be at. As you see, the USDT Dom is printing a pattern, technical top formation that has been previously associated with market bottoms on Bitcoin. In the past two weeks, the USDT Dom has started to pull-back and that very same sequence in July 2020 and February 2019 extended the drops, which was translated into an instant rally on Bitcoin. Even in the case of the August 31 2020 week and the injection that sent the USDT Dom (much) higher following the initial pull-back, the price quickly get back to its harmonized levels and fell back massively.
BTC has already started to react favorably to this 2-week USDT Dom pull-back. Do you think it can keep up this momentum and if this is indeed a USDT D. top are we ahead of a strong rally? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin - A Bear Market Bottom?In this chart I note the completion of an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern that and a bullish Inside Bar formation following the $15.5k low.
I consider the line of support offered within the Fibonacci Channel that has defined the entire Bitcoin bear market to date and wonder if this is not a natural bottom for Bitcoin.
What do you think? Is the bottom in? Or are we still yet to see the rug pulled again and new lows form?
Bitcoin short-term view - nice pump above $16,500Bitcoin short-term update
(a) BTC with nice breakout above $16,500 while volume increased
(b) bearish $15,460 from the table ATM
(c) consolidation to $16,500 likely IMO - RSI overbought
(d) bullish target $17,500-$18,000 to early yet
Have a great Day dear Crypto Nation
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