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Bitcoin-btcusd-btc

Bitcoin Begins to Capitulate Lower After 5 Months of IndecisionBitcoin has broken under the critical 17567 - 18892 support zone, a range that has held since the middle of June, opening the door to resuming the broader downtrend. BTC/USD is also testing a break under the November 26th, 2020 low at 16200. That has exposed the September 2020 low at 9813. A push back above lows from June may shift the focus back to a neutral setting as the 200-day Simple Moving Average nears. The latter may reinstate the dominant downside focus. COINBASE:BTCUSD
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by QM_Dubrovsky
BITCOIN Nightmare fractal if this level breaksBitcoin (BTCUSD) is following the overall panic sentiment of the market after the Binance news and tested the Support Zone of the June 18 Low. A break below can set in motion a sell-off similar to that of May 09, which first hit the 1.5 Fibonacci extension and after some consolidation, moved to make the June 18 Low on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. What stood out then as the trigger of the sell-off was a Lower Highs trend-line that started on March 02 and then turned into Lower Lows that held the price action until the Support Zone. When it broke, the aggressive sell-off took place. On today's sequence, we have that (former) Lower Highs trend-line starting on the August 15 High, getting hit today on the Binance exchange. A break below it can trigger that same massive sell-off with the 1.5 Fib extension being around 14000 and 2.0 around 10200. Another common characteristic of the two fractals is the fact that the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) was never broken and acted as a Resistance. That means that technically only a break above it can invalidate this bearish pattern. So what do you think? Can the former Lower Highs trend-line save the day? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
28
Bitcoin - Price action with the MAsIn this chart I look at some basic overlays to the BTC chart; a Fibonacci channel, the Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) and the untested support level at $12k. I note the 1W 300MA is now above the prior low, which means price will have to break this level to find a new bear market bottom. 1D 50MA is currently the only MA offering support (at $19.6k) and if price falls below that level, all the daily MAs will then be cast as offering resistance against price appreciation. Not really a strong position for Bulls. Notably, the Fibonacci levels within the parallel channel structure have been well respected throughout this bear market, including where price was rejected at $21.4k just three days ago. I observe that the earliest intersection of the $12k level with the channel levels is around November 25. What do you think? Will the 1W 300MA offer a floor to the BTC price, or will we make a lower low? If a lower low, then will $12k become confirmed support? Either way, it would seem that the 1D 50MA has to support the close today for Bulls to have confidence.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by Crypto-Swing
2
BITCOIN Can the Adam & Eve pattern push the price to 29-34k?Despite today's drop, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is still on its path of completing an Adam and Eve (A&E) pattern since the June crash, which is a formation consistent with market bottoms. In fact as we see on this analysis, which is made on the 1D time-frame, every market Bottom on BTC's previous Cycles was formed on a A&E pattern. Despite the different eras, even the RSI and MACD indicators seem quite consistent across those patterns. Technically, the short-term target is the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The next is the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, which was the previous Support Zone during this Bear Cycle and is around $29700. But based on the A&E characteristics, the price can skyrocket by Q1 2023 as high as Eve's 2.0 Fib, which is around $34400. Is this a realistic Target Zone for Bitcoin for the next 4 months? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
20
BITCOIN Supertrend about to turn green after a year! Bottoms in?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading on a red (bearish) Supertrend on the 3D time-frame since November 2021, i.e. a year. If the price breaks above 23k, this very reliable indicator will turn green (bullish) again. On this time-frame in particular, it has the highest historic accuracy. With inflation being the cause of this 2022 Bear Market so far (asset wide), a big part of it is Oil (black trend-line). In fact it is often the leading indicator of inflation. An extremely interesting correlation of Oil with BTC is that every time the Supertrend turned green after a Bear Cycle bottom, WTI Oil was already on a strong, counter trend (as the primary trend was bearish) rally after a Lower Lows bottom. In ten years, this combination of parameters has always been the start of Bitcoin's new Bull Cycle. Oil has been on a bearish trend since March 2022 but posting a counter trend rally since the September low. Can this be the build-up to a Supertrend green reversal and a new BTC Bull Cycle? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
12
BITCOIN Is LTC a leading indicator to BTC's Bull Cycle??This is a chart on the 1W time-frame of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and Litecoin (LTCUSD). This is not the first time we do this analysis, those who follow for long will know that during the previous BTC Cycle, right when it was consolidating after the December 2018 bottom, we used LTC's price action to identify similarities with historic price runs. And yes, in the past two Cycles, Litecoin has been an excellent leading indicator to Bitcoin, showing the way with a first rally into the market's new Bull Cycle. As you see on the chart, LTC right after the market bottom, tends to make an initial rally and diverge from BTC while it is still sideways (green zone). Shortly after, LTC explodes to the upside with a strong rally, while BTC only posts a small rise (blue zone). Right after this, the Bull Cycle begins officially. Litecoin has been rising since mid October, diverging significantly from Bitcoin. We can claim that we are already in a new Green Zone as at the same time Bitcoin is trading sideways. Do you think this correlation will play out once more? And if so, should we expect a small rise for Bitcoin in the final two months of 2022 and a new Bull Cycle starting as early as next year? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
13
BITCOIN Complete 1H analysis. Buy above this level only!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is falling back after the Fed's +0.75% Rate Hike and Powell's press conference. From a technical perspective on the 1H time-frame, the price remains within a Channel Down pattern (blue) since the October 29 High but on the longer term within a Channel Up (dashed lines) since the October 13 Low. We can see an interesting finding on this chart as this Channel Down is a recurring pattern since October 07. The price drops with the 1H MA50 (blue trend-line) as its Resistance and the catalyst that gives a confirmed signal to buy is a break above the 1H MA200 (orange trend-line). In remarkable fashion, both previous MA200 break-outs, gave an instant rise of +2.50%. Based on the 1H MA200's current level, a +2.50% rise would approach the $21000 mark. Until the 1H MA200 breaks, the Channel Down would aim lower. A break below the Channel Up bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) can target Support (A) and further break-out Support (B) at 19240 and 18650 respectively. On the bull side, if the Channel Up extends fully to its Top to form a new Higher High, it can hit $22000. Which break-out do you think will come first? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
5
BITCOIN Can it reach the 250-500k range based on the DXY Cycles?This is Bitcoin (BTCUSD) against the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the monthly chart. It is obvious how the two are (naturally) negatively correlated. When the DXY rises (green channel), BTC enters a Bear Cycle (red channel), when the DXY trades sideways (blue), BTC accumulates and starts the new Bull Cycle (blue), when DXY falls (red), BTC registers the 1 year parabolic rally of the Bull Cycle (green). Last month, the DXY closed its first red candle after 4 straight green months. If this is the top of DXY, based on this model we should see it turning sideways, prompting BTC into an Accumulation Phase (blue). What is really interesting is that since April 2015, we see a clear Pivot Zone for DXY, which the price always revisits. At the same time, BTC has its own Pivot Zone which also revolves around its previous two Accumulation Phases. If the same pattern is repeated and DXY's pull-back of roughly -14% hits its Pivot Zone, then Bitcoin may register the top of its next Bull Cycle within a (wide indeed) range of 250k - 500k USD by late 2024/ early 2025. How realistic can this scenario be? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
24
BITCOIN Fibonacci charts the new Bull Cycle! It's already began!This is Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 1W time-frame displaying all of its Cycles historically. I've used the Fibonacci Channel extensions to identify any possible correlations and how this can create a roadmap moving forward and project the next Cycle. To start putting the chart's indicators into perspective, the 1W MA50 is the blue trend-line, the 1W MA200 the orange, the 1W MA300 the red, while the yellow represents the Multiple 5 and the green the Multiple 6 of the Fib MA's. ** The next High ** For starters, I've made several publications on why the +.382 (horizontal) Fibonacci extension roughly calculates the Highs. I've plotted that on this chart again and as you see so far the 2.382 Fibonacci extension has roughly predicted the December 2013 High while the 3.382 extension, the December 2017 High. The previous Cycle though broke that progression and topped on the 3.786 Fib extension instead. This means that the top of the next Cycle doesn't have to be on the 4.382 Fib extension (roughly at $350k) but most likely will be in the lower 4.236 (230k) or even 4.0 (120k) tier. ** The Fibonacci Channel extensions ** But let's circle back to how the Fibonacci Channel extensions can relate to these patterns. As you see, the first two Cycle Highs have been (naturally for the first) on the 0.0 Fib with bottoms outside of the 0.5 Fib. The High of the next Cycle was on the 0.5 Fib with the Low outside of the 1.0 Fib. The Highs of April 2021 and November 2021 were outside of Fib 1.0 and the Low of June 2022, closer to the middle of the 1.5 Fibonacci extension of the Channel. This pattern, though not perfect, it shapes fairly well Bitcoin's parabolic path over the years. Based on that, the next High should be either on or on the left of Fibonacci Channel extension 1.5 but most likely after its middle and the Low either on or left of extension 2.0 (probably middle). ** The Triangles and the bottom based on LMACD ** Notice also that all Cycles have traded inside an Ascending Triangle pattern until they hit their prior (All Time) High, and after turned parabolic for some months to complete the Cycle's Top. As for those who are unsure if June was the bottom and if a new Bull Cycle now is not plausible amidst the current high interest and inflationary fundamentals, they can seek answers, only technically, on the 1W LMACD. As you see, we have completed the Ultimate Bottom Pattern: Formed a Bullish Cross and after a red rising histogram narrowed down, it has turned into green territory. MACD-wise, there isn't any other condition left to fill. So if the bottom is in, is a top by late 2024 a wild projection to make? Can those Fibonacci Channel extensions identify the logarithmic path of Bitcoin and if so is $120k, $230k or $350k the next top? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
17
BITCOIN: Can hit 24k next month. Major breakout on 1D RSI/ MA100Bitcoin hit the 1D MA100 (green) last week for the first time in 1.5 month with the 1D RSI crossing above the Lower Highs trendline that started on January 05 2021. We have seen similar RSI Lower Highs breakouts in all previous Bear Cycles, namely on February 16 2019 and June 13 2015. Common characteristic is that the RSI breakout happened at the same time with a breaking above the 1D MA50 (blue) and caused an instant test of the 1D MA100. It took 15 days in 2015 and 40 days approximately in 2019 to reach (and break with ease) the 1D MA200 (orange). Based on the above Bear Cycle bottom occurence, we should be expecting a test (and break) of the 1D MA200 next month, which is now at 24,665. Thumbs up if you agree! ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ## ## Also DONATIONS through TradingView coins help our cause of increasing the daily ideas put here for free and reach out more traders like you. ##
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
1
Bitcoin: New Sell Signal 20,250.Bitcoin played catch up over the previous week and went from what appeared to be relatively weak to a dramatic short squeeze that has tested the low 21K area (thanks to a strong S&P). Is the bottom in? Are you going to be lured into this "bull market" as a result of the emotional appeals made by all of your favorite fake gurus? Before you succumb to the fear of missing out, here are some points to think about. I keep repeating this regularly: NOTHING has changed on the economic front in terms of technical levels or structure. Interest rates appear to be poised to continue to rise and the Dollar appears to be at a range low support within a bullish trend on the larger time frames. As long as this trend stays intact, rallies (in Bitcoin or S&P) have VERY LIMITED potential. Markets are irrational, especially bear market rallies. Buying into a resistance level after a bear market rally is a low probability behavior. Resistance levels tend to stick in a bear market. Notice Bitcoin now: there is a sell signal that is active from 20,250, followed by another sell signal potentially developing (current candle), in a location (failed high resistance area) where selling activity is likely to appear. The 18,500 area (a support) was less than ideal to be looking for shorts, but 21K is the ideal location in terms of probability and reward/risk. If the lower high is established, then the lower low is more likely to follow (concept of price structure). Keep in mind, it is important to consider the argument from both sides. As the market provides new information, it is possible that the current bearish argument can lose merit. This is why it is important to maintain an open mind, but to evaluate information OBJECTIVELY, not emotionally. IF Bitcoin can clear 22K, and establish a clear higher low, then the 25K resistance becomes a reasonable expectation. IF NOTHING changes in terms of rates and the Dollar, it is important to note that even upon a more dramatic bullish move, its sustainability is low. At some point the economics will change and begin to favor bullish outcomes, but until the evidence is clear, it is better to be in line with the market intent. Bitcoin does not carry the same weight as the bond market, it is a follower. I recently shared a short signal from 18,850 that got stopped out. I have since shared a new short signal based on the break of 20,250. The first signal was aggressive because of the less than ideal location. The second signal is the higher probability or more ideal location for such a position. There is NO WAY to know if this trade idea will play out (I do not short Bitcoin, but I share the signals). It is based on the probability of the location which is more favorable compared to a support level. This is also affected by the S&P and Nasdaq. If those markets rally, Bitcoin tends to follow. Both of those markets are also at notable resistances. Do they pull back from here? Only the market can answer that question. The only question you can answer is: are you willing to take the risk? Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective. I hope you find it helpful.
EIGHTCAP:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
21
BITCOIN The winning signal for the new Bull Cycle!This is Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 1W time-frame, where we will be basically adding elements and making an extension of our June 17 idea that projected the bottom on the 1W MA300 (red trend-line): As you see, BTC hit the 1W MA300, the Ultimate Support Band as we called it and since then traded sideways in our designated Bottom Phase. On the current analysis, we are taking a slightly different approach, still focusing around the Halvings but also introducing new key Resistance trend-lines as well as the the element of the Vortex Indicator (VI). ** The ATH Lower Highs and 1D MA50 test ** The price is having a bullish week so far that took a stop yesterday. Still, we don't have a major break-out yet, as it is not only below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) but the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as well. The chart shows that the first major bullish break-out in Bitcoin's past Bear Cycles occurred when the price broke above the All Time High (ATH) Lower Highs trend-line, after which it immediately tested the 1D MA50. The 1D MA50 typically broke after some consolidation. ** The Vortex Indicator signal ** A critical indicator that basically confirmed the ATH Lower Highs break-out was when the 1W Vortex Indicator (VI) made a Bearish Cross (red line crossing below the blue). In past Cycles this Cross took place right on the LH break-out, practically calling for the 1D MA50 test next. We can see that the past two Cycles made the LH break-out 55 weeks on average before the next Halving. The next Halving (no 4) will be in early March 2024. That gives us a projected range for the LH break-out and 1D MA50 test within the Jan 30 2023 and Feb 27 2023 1W candles. With the VI diverging from a Cross, it confirms so far this scenario. Do you agree with the above model? Is a break above the ATH Lower Highs the roadmap to follow into the new Bull Cycle and if yes will it come when the model predicts or earlier if the VI makes a Bearish Cross? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
30