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Bitcoin-btcusd-btc

BITCOIN making a huge break-out as we speak.A little more than a week ago (September 17, see chart below), we made clear that if Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke above July's Lower Highs trend-line (the Descending Triangle's Top), it would be a major bullish break-out for the long-term: And so it did and today we witness another strong daily rise as the price broke above the August 25 65000 High, cementing and confirming all bullish break-out bias. ** Similar break-out happened 1 year ago ** What's even more interesting is that we saw almost the exact same break-out a year ago on October 01 2023, when BTC again broke above its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) just after the Lower Highs break-out of an identical Descending Triangle. It is remarkable that the market was also on a 6-month consolidation phase at the time, with a clear Resistance and the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) supporting. The bottom was priced exactly when a 1D Death Cross was completed, just like the current phase did on August 05. ** 6-month Resistance break leading to +200% rise ** After a quick 10-day consolidation following the Lower Highs break-out, the 2023 fractal then 'attacked' the 6-month Resistance Zone and broke it aggressively, confirming the emergence of a violent Channel Up that, after almost a +200% rise, it would take Bitcoin to March's All Time High. ** Fed and U.S. elections immensely bullish ** With the Fed having started a new Rate Cut Cycle last week with an aggressive -0.50% cut and the U.S. Presidential Elections in November historically being a huge bullish event (as explained in one of our recent publications), there is no reason not to expect a similar rally. We are expecting to see $95000 towards the end of the year. So what do you think? Is this a huge bullish break-out for Bitcoin and if so, can we experience a an October 2023 - March 2024 rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
11
Trump or Harris?? For BITCOIN the elections only need to happen!Simplistic title over a matter as complicated and important as the upcoming U.S. Presidential Elections this November, but completely true in terms of pragmatism. As this straightforward 1W chart shows, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) isn't just bulletproof when it comes to the elections but in fact it gains extreme buying momentum irrespectively of the winner (Democrat or Republican). Obama in 2012, Trump in 2016, Biden in 2020 all those elections had in common the enormous Parabolic Rally that was initiated exactly after the result. That was on all Cycles the most aggressive phase, clearly showing that investors just need the elections to be over in order to buy risky assets confidently without this macro event in the way. Usually this comes with fresh presidential assurances that the 'market remains strong and we will do everything to keep it this way' etc, so it makes sense. What is equally interesting is that Bitcoin tends to top roughly a year after the elections: November 06 2021 = Bitcoin topped 385 days later November 08 2016 = Bitcoin topped 399 days later November 03 2020 = Bitcoin topped 371 days later This model indicates that even if we can't estimate accurately BTC's top in terms of price, we can time it. And based on the November 05 2024 elections, historically the minimum time it could time for BTC to reach a new Cycle top, would be 371 days, giving us a rough date around the week of November 10 2025! But what do you think? Is Bitcoin about to get the boost of its life after the U.S. elections? And if yes, is it realistic to expect a top around November 2025?? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
53
Bitcoin Pin Ball Back To 60K?Bitcoin rallied off the mid 50Ks as per my illustration in my previous article and has tested the 64K resistance area. Reacting to levels within a range is typical and in these cases it is important to pay close attention to the short term price structure and relative support/resistance levels. While NOTHING works 100% of the time, this technique is how I am able to ANTICIPATE price movements consistently. Until the short term structure changes, I am looking for a brief retrace back to 60K followed by a reversal to a higher high. This is this expectations UNTIL the market proves otherwise by changing its structure. For conservative swing traders this means WAITING for the retrace to place out and for an attractive support to be tested around 60K (see arrow). This level has been notable as a support and resistance for months and is likely to play a key role going forward. IF price can retest this level this week, I will be looking for CONFIRMATION in order to justify risk. This can come in the form of an inside bar or pin bar on this particular time frame. For smaller time frames, it is possible to find lower risk entries that still have similar profit potential. To attempt to synchronize with the larger time frame and effectively mange such signals is the whole purpose of my script (Trade Scanner Pro) but it does require some experience. Either way your goal as a trader should be to be able to make effective choices with the least amount of information (and confusion) as possible. If 60K is never tested (anything is possible), then the strength implied by such a scenario can carry price into the 66K area or higher and it can happen fast. The best way to capitalize on this is utilizing smaller time frames like 30 min or lower (day trades). Certainly not an area for beginners unless you trade on paper for learning purposes. It only looks EASY when it is a win AFTER THE FACT. IF 60K is compromised completely, that would cancel out the bullish scenario previously mentioned. You have to be prepared for both bullish and bearish outcome because getting married to a forecast is not optimal in an environment that is MOSTLY random. Focusing on RISK and adjusting to new information (changing levels/price action) is key. If you are having a hard time in this environment, stop and question the sources of information you are consuming. The error usually begins there. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
8
Bitcoin: Bullish Back To 64K?Bitcoin has rallied off the 53K support area as anticipated (read my previous article). I even explained my dollar cost averaging strategy particularly for this situation in my previous stream. If 60K is cleared, the next resistance is 64K. The current momentum is now bullish which can be confirmed by the higher low pin bar over the previous week (see arrow). Since higher lows often lead to higher highs, a break of 60K and test of 64K is within reason for the coming week. How you go about using this information all depends on what type of risk you are willing to take. As I demonstrate each week, the time frame you choose is a function of market risk. Smaller time frame strategies like day trades will be associated with much smaller risk (tighter stop) compared to larger time frames like swing and/or position trades. Since the scope of my analysis here is the swing trade time frame, I will explain how best to utilize this information respectively. With the bullish structure as a reference, and bearish inside bar present (previous candle) a minor retrace is likely to follow into a test of support (55 to 56K area) before the next leg higher commences (see illustration). The retrace is NOT guaranteed, but would present an ideal setup IF the scenario were to unfold over the next few days. Price can also just take out the inside bar high (continuation pattern) which can also justify a swing trade position (higher risk). Either way, probability favors a test of 64K UNLESS the low of the higher low structure is cleared. This means support levels are more likely to present reversal opportunities (especially on smaller time frames) while resistances are more likely to be broken. Keep in mind this is NOT about "knowing the future", it is about selecting a likely scenario from a range of scenarios and then adjusting to whichever path the MARKET chooses. If the inside bar high is broken instead, risk can be defined by the current candle low upon the close of the candle. Profit potential can be measure by the 64K area which means 4K points is within reason. Ideally risk should be less than half this amount, but no more than the amount of the profit objective (1:1 reward/risk). Can 64K be cleared as well? Anything is possible, but it is better to keep expectations within reason and ADJUST if price decides to go further. The mistake to avoid is the hype that comes along with a move. "Why" does not matter because by the time you learn "why" a move is occurring, the reason is no longer the catalyst behind the move. Focus on the price structure and the support/resistance levels and you will be ahead of most of the retail trader/investor population. If you are unable to judge the quality of information that you consume, then you will most likely become a profit opportunity for someone who can. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
17
BITCOIN Will the negative correlation with DXY make it rally?Exactly a year ago (September 25 2023, see chart below) we published a comparative analysis of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) against the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY): ** Negative correlation and the Fed next week ** We argued of the natural negative correlation the two have and BTC rose immediately to its impressive October 2023 - March 2024 rally, just when DXY got rejected at the top of its Megaphone pattern. We believe that, only a few days before the Fed cuts the Interest Rates next Wednesday for the first time in years, it is useful to update this chart. ** Not just about the DXY ** As mentioned, this correlation shows principally the negative nature between the two financial assets but there are other parameters involved also. You can see that from late January 2024 to mid-March 2024, DXY started rising but BTC didn't decline, instead it posted an insane rally, which was solely attributed to the launch of the Bitcoin ETFs. As this move cooled down, the market started correcting the rally's mania and even though the DXY started a strong decline in late June, BTC didn't raise but instead entered a 50k - 70k range because of the strong correction on the stock market. ** So what's next? ** So the obvious question that arises, is 'what's coming next for Bitcoin'? Well as you realized, that can be answered only in relation to the stock market and DXY moves. BTC is sitting currently on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), while the DXY on its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Technically, if the DXY rebounds on its 1W MA200, Bitcoin should decline and vice versa if DXY breaks its 1W MA200 (would be the first time since January 10 2022), Bitcoin should rally. However that also depends on what the stocks do. As a result, we believe that if the stock market rises, BTC will follow it upwards, regardless of what the DXY does (unless it accelerates so fast upwards that will break above the 107.370 Resistance). If the DXY rebounds while stocks rise, there should be a BTC rally but just a moderate one. If DXY breaks below its 1W MA200 while stocks recover, we expect the rally to be much higher than most anticipate. On the other hand, a further decline on stocks combined with a DXY rebound, would translate into an aggressive sell-off on Bitcoin. If however stocks keep falling while the DXY makes the historic break below its 1W MA200, we expect the July - September consolidation on Bitcoin to be extended, so the trend should be sideways until one of those parameters/ condition changes. Which scenario do you think is more likely to take place? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
8
BITCOIN It's all about the global liquidity every single time!As the Fed prepares for the first rate cut next week since it begun the cycle of hikes in February 2022, it would be very eye-opening to observe the global monetary supply and what more money in circulation could mean for Bitcoin (BTCUSD). The light green and red candles (top) illustrate the Global Liquidity Index (GLI) comprising of the FED, TGA, RRP, ECB, PBC, BOJ, BOE and other Central Banks. It tracks and measures exactly what it says, the liquidity/ monetary supply/ money in circulation around world economies. When central banks cut rates, they essentially print more money, flooding the system with cash that devalues the currency already in circulation. When that happens, it is easier for corporations and/or individuals to access more money through loans etc, thus increasing their spending/ buying/ investing capacity. Principally, this means that it is easier for investors to buy riskier assets, which lead to value increases. In that category fall stocks and cryptocurrency. As this chart shows, it is no surprise that every time the GLI starts rising, Bitcoin (candles at the bottom) rallies. More specifically, when Liquidity drops and flattens, it creates BTC's Bear Cycle and when it breaks above its Resistance, BTC starts the rally phase of its Bull Cycle. This time, having experienced the dramatic FED rate hikes that brought us back to pre 2008 Housing Crisis levels, the GLI experienced a stronger drop and instead of flattening, it created a Wedge with Lower Highs as its Resistance. GLI is now exactly on this Lower Highs trend-line and if broken, we might have a break-out similar to the Resistance break-outs of the previous Cycles, thus initiating the Parabolic Rally on Bitcoin. Do you think that will be the case? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
20
BITCOIN The Ultimate Cyclical Buy & Sell Blueprint! MUST SEE !!!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been basically trading sideways for the past 6 months following the massive surge at the start of the year due to the introduction of the BTC ETF. There might be no better way to illustrate this 6-month ranged trend than the current chart on the 1W time-frame. ** Buy-Hold-Sell Zone ** On this chart we depict BTC's Cycles in terms of Zones of BUY-HOLD-SELL. As you can see the first two Cycles placed their previous tops just above the 0.618 Fibonacci level, while the most recent one just below the 0.382 Fib. ** When to Buy ** We've found that the 1.0 - 0.786 (Green) Fib Zone is usually the best Zone to Buy, despite the FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt) investors may have at the time due to the concluding Bear Cycle. All these emotions are normal to have under those circumstances but it's those that traders need to filter out and make the cold decision to buy. ** When to do nothing ** The 0.618 - 0.382 (Blue) Fib Zone is where investors are encouraged to do nothing and just Hold BTC, despite the temptation to sell and take profits after the first strong rallies of the new Bull Cycle or at times when volatility hits the market and disbelief of Bull Cycle continuation makes its presence. ** When to Sell ** The 0.236 - 0.0 (Red) Fib Zone is the best Zone to Sell, even if successive rallies hit euphoria to very high levels making investors expect/ hope that the Bull Cycle will continue to higher and higher levels. ** So where are we now? ** So assuming that the current Cycle will have the previous top just below its 0.382 Fib (such as the previous Bull Cycle 2019 - 2021), we can clearly see the potential Zones of Action. The 1.0 - 0.786 Fib Zone (Buy) was from the moment of the 15.5k Bear Cycle bottom until Bitcoin roughly broke above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) again. Then it flashed its Buy Signal every time the March - October 2023 consolidation bottomed and pierced through the 0.786 Fib. It becomes also obvious that the recent 6-month consolidation (March 2024 - now) we talked at the start is nothing but the usual cyclical Hold Action (0.618 - 0.382 Fib) for Bitcoin. In fact, as you can see, this sideways trading has been taking place at the upper level of the Hold Zone within the 0.5 - 0.382 Fib. ** Start selling at 100k? ** With the 1W MA50 tested again last week (2nd time since the first week of August) and so far holding, the market is making a case that we are in cyclical terms on the 'No-Action' region of the Cycle, and most likely shouldn't sell despite the disbelief and fear that the recent 6-month ranged trend may have caused. The time to start selling, if the model is materialized, will be at exactly $100k (0.236 Fib) and potentially lasting up to just below the $200k mark (0.0 Fib). But what do you think? Do you like this Buy-Hold-Sell Zone classification? Are you expecting this model to repeat the cyclical activity of past Cycles and if so, will you start selling at $100k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
9
Bitcoin: 2 Lessons About 56K Break.Bitcoin clears 56K support even while attempting to confirm a reversal in the 60k area a week earlier. With price back in the 53K to 50K area support, this is a time to watch for short term reversals as well as an investment opportunity. At the same time, there are two very important lessons to be learned from this recent support break situation. The arrow on the chart points to the 60K area where a week earlier price attempted to show support. Notice the green candle followed by the break of the high of that candle. That is a form of confirmation SPECIFIC to this time frame. With this clear long setup in place, the outcome was a stop out (break below the low of the green candle). The lesson here is this: Just because the market aligns and confirms, it does not guarantee a positive outcome. All markets are highly random and anything can happen at any time. This is precisely why RISK is ALWAYS the priority, NOT setups, wins, oscillators, news, etc. The whole point of waiting for a confirmation and setup (aka signal) is to be able to clearly define risk and reward and then decide if the trade is worth taking based on your personal risk tolerance and situation. Taking trades on hunches, stepping in front of levels based on feelings and/or opinions will get you into trouble in times like this while other times these ineffective decisions seem to work. If you accept that fact that markets are random most of the time, you will be better prepared to avoid decisions like these. While it is within reason for supports the hold in this environment, it is better to be prepared for BOTH sides of the situation. In my previous week's article I illustrated a scenario that the market completely ignored. In other words my anticipated idea was wrong. The second lesson is this: this is a NOT a game of being RIGHT, it is about defining risk and measuring potential. This is why WAITING for confirmation can help dramatically improve performance because the purpose is to prove that the market is aligning or agreeing with your anticipated premise. When there is no confirmation you can easily minimize adverse trades because you can't justify an entry. In the case of Bitcoin, there was a confirmation that failed, (green candle) followed by the test of the 56K area which attempted to reverse but NEVER confirmed on this time frame. Being able to avoid taking the wrong side of these support/resistance breaks improves overall performance significantly over time. This type of mindset is key for day trade and swing strategies. Bitcoin is now nearing the 53K to 50K support zone. This will present potential reversal opportunities on multiple time frames (Trade Scanner Pro helps with this). At the same time, price is now within a broader support area which is ideal for investment opportunities. The 50K area is a MAJOR support in terms of the bigger picture. At the same time, there are some positive fundamental potential catalysts on the horizon: lower interest rates AND an election outcome that supports a Bitcoin friendly environment. Either way the idea here is to have an "inventory" acquisition plan and to cost average larger amounts that are weighted in terms of price location. Meaning the lower price goes, the larger the amount you can justify buying. I am not going into all the details here, but this assumes Bitcoin is NOT going to 0 in the long run. Also if accumulating in this way it is safer NOT to use leverage. IF Bitcoin breaks 50K, (it CAN happen) the mid to low 40's is the next support area (a place to buy more). For the following week I anticipate a bullish reversal back into the 60K area and will be looking for setups across multiple time frames (day trades/swing trades). How you use this information will depend on the type of trade you are interested in taking. Either way, you have to begin with a premise, formulate a scenario around that premise, define a signal, then MEASURE the RISK if the signal appears. If RISK is not your focus, you are no better than the drunken poker player who pros warmly welcome to the table. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
5
BITCOIN on the Sine Wave Buy Zone but won't last for long!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) may be under a quite strong short-term correction since the August 27 rejection on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) but based on this 2-year Cyclical Chart, it has high chances of finding Support again and start a rally similar to the two it had over this time span. Let's start with the long-term outlook which remained bullish after BTC hit and rebounded (August 06) on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), its long-term Support since March 13 2023. The formation of the 1D Death Cross may have offset some of this optimism but on this cyclical pattern it is not a bearish sign as last time it emerged (September 11 2023), Bitcoin formed its new bottom at the time. In fact it was inside a short-term (dotted) Channel Up, the vessel pattern which took the price from the bottom to a new +100% rally. The key parameter was the fact that the 1D MA200 broke and later was retested and held as Support. This is most likely why we are having the recent pull-back, because even though the price broke above the 1D MA200, it failed to hold. The 1D RSI also prints a similar pattern to the previous two bottom fractals on this chart and it appears that relative to those past sequences, we are currently after the first RSI peak and pull-back. On the price action, we illustrate the relative position of now and then with circles. The Sine Waves do perhaps the most efficient depiction of the price cyclicality, clearly displaying where Bitcoin should be bought and where sold. At the moment we are just past the most optimal Buy Entry so it the opportunity still exists but may not last for long! Another +100% rise from August's recent bottom, will see Bitcoin test the psychological benchmark of $100k. So what do you think? Is a new rally this close, potentially timed after the Fed cuts the rates in 2 weeks? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
2
Bitcoin: Watch Reversal Confirmation 56K.Bitcoin broke 60K but is showing signs of buying activity in the form of pin bars just above the 56K major support (see arrow). This retrace should come as no surprise if you read my previous article where I anticipated this scenario a week earlier. While current momentum is still bearish, this market is in a consolidation on this time frame which means the support/resistance levels are where the opportunities are more likely to develop. This means the 56K area is a key level where a high probability and high potential bullish reversal can appear over the coming week. Now just because a reversal can be anticipated does NOT mean to jump in early which is a very common mistake. Confirmation IS the key to mitigating risk and aligning with the probabilities. If price does NOT confirm a reversal, it will then be "saying" that IT wants to continue the bearish momentum which can lead to a test of the 53 to 50K support. Again this is NOT about what you or I "think", its all about what the MARKET demonstrates through price action. What does confirmation look like? On this time frame, a pin bar or inside bar followed by the break of the high of that bar. At this time, IF the current candle closes in the form of a pin bar and takes out the 59K high, we can argue a new buy signal is in effect. The thing is, a trade idea is NOT just a buy signal, it must also consider the accompanying RISK. Using this method, the candle low is one point of reference for risk which can be any where from 2 to 3K points (on this time frame). Once you figure out the risk, you can then calculate a profit objective or you can reference the next resistance level around 64 to 66K area. Not everyone has the same tolerance for risk. Only you can determine how much risk is appropriate. This is where smaller time frames offer more flexibility. For example, if 2 to 3K+ points of risk is too much, you can consider a smaller time frame such as a 4 hour or 1 hour. Your profit objectives will be proportionally lower but so will your risk. If price reaches 56K (blue box) and confirmations appear on a 4H or lower time frame, you can enter with more confidence because your risk will likely be in the 1K range while your probability of a positive outcome will be much greater (56K is a historical location). You can calculate all of these factors yourself or use a tool (like my Trade Scanner Pro). Before you even get to that point, you must first know what you are looking for (anticipate). As I tell my followers there are two types of trades: continuations and reversals. An example of a continuation is when a break out occurs, while a reversal is when a support/resistance level holds. Considering components like trend and support/resistance levels in relation to each other (context) is how you can formulate your anticipated idea BEFORE expecting a confirmation. Without this important step, you are essentially playing a RANDOM game. With this in mind, for the coming week I am anticipating a REVERSAL around the 56K area. IF price confirms sooner, that is okay too, but the question becomes how does this change the risk. Also it is important to remember that we are still in holiday mode which means movements can be muted and erratic. If you are going to play, be selective and specific while keeping risk tightly controlled. Careful attention to smaller time frames can help in this area. Listen to the market, it is ALWAYS right. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
7
BITCOIN The 'March-October' effect..Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is taking a hit on a weekly basis as, despite last week's green candle that extended the rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and hyped hopes for a new 70k test, the last two days are resetting the momentum. Still, there is no cause for alarm as BTC has been practically consolidating since the March All Time High (ATH). And in fact, the market is no stranger to such consolidations as just as recently as last year, it was also ranged from March until October 2023, before starting the massive rally that led to the ATH. Even in the previous Cycle, we can somewhat see a rough consolidation pattern, which if it weren't for the COVID crash 'anomaly' of February 2020, the market would again be ranged from March to October 2020. As a side-note, check also how similar the 1W RSI sequences of those fractals are, trading around the same price levels as well. For title catchers, we can call this 'The March - October effect' and if it plays out again the exact same way it has historically, then as soon as September ends, we can be expecting one of Bitcoin's brutal Bull Cycle rallies (green Channels). Practically we are only a month away and as you can see in the previous Bull Cycle, the main two rallies have been fairly symmetric. If the one that might start in October is proportionally as strong as the October 2023 - February 2024 one, we might be looking for at least a $150000 Target. But what do you think? Is a massive rally only a month away and if so, could it reach $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
9
BITCOIN Why holding this Support Zone for 6 months targets $100kBitcoin (BTCUSD) will close the month of August this week and the 1M candle not only rebounded aggressively on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) but also held the Symmetrical Pivot Zone for the 6th straight month. This Zone is critical because during the previous Cycle in late 2021 it served as Resistance and since the recent March 2024 break-out, it has been acting as Support. The Bullish Waves on the 2-year Channel Up indicate that after this month closes, $100000 is well within reach. Do you think this is the start of the 100k rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
1
Bitcoin: Resistance Now Back To Support?Bitcoin rejected the 56K support and is now testing 64K resistance. Read my previous article to learn how I described this scenario a week in advance. With price at a proven resistance, along with a couple of inside bars suggests momentum continuation higher BUT how much higher? With the coming week typically being the SLOWEST week of the year, expectations should be LOW as far as seeing a push back into the high 60KS. Based on the recent price history along with considering the broader context, I am anticipating the 64K resistance area sticks and price is more likely to see the 60K support over the coming week. Why this scenario over the countless possibilities? My reasoning is simple: the broader context has proven to be a range bound environment. In a range or consolidation, relevant support and resistance levels have a greater tendency to hold. That is the expectation, but whether the MARKET decides to agree with that is another story. This is precisely why having a routine way to CONFIRM the price action is key (this is what my Trade Scanner Pro is all about). The market is currently at a resistance, IF price action confirms a sell signal, the next support is around the 60K area (see arrow). I anticipate buying activity to confirm in such an area. To use this information effectively, you must have certain things figured out. For example, if you are a day trader, it is reasonable to look for sell signals across smaller time frames near the 64K area. Risk can range from 150 to 400 pts (1 min to 5 min time frame) while profit objectives can range from 200 to 500 points max. This is all determined by the parameters of the time frame you operate within. Getting short now and expecting a test of 60K because "its a big move" does NOT account for the associated risk and profit objectives of your relative time frame (Trade Scanner Pro calculates all of this). As I mentioned in my previous article, play the support/resistance levels or don't play at all. This is ESPECIALLY important this coming week which is typically the slowest of the year in terms of average volume. Slows grinds one way or the other, sharp movements one way or the other, lack of follow through, fake outs are all very common occurrences in such an environment. In my opinion, play small, recognize when you are WRONG fast and do NOT cling to hope. For beginners especially, if there is any time to take time off, this is the week. If you must trade, at least trade on paper and learn while protecting yourself from a very highly random market. For the majority of participants, this is a game of CHANCE not skill. The reason is they are misinformed into believing they are cultivating a skill which in reality has NOTHING to do with the outcome of their trade or action. For example, being able to read oscillators, interpreting news and recognizing patterns, etc. Like a slot machine, no matter how good you get at interpreting the animations, fancy images, sounds and buttons, you will have absolutely no effect over the outcomes of your bets. Does it have to be this way in the markets? No, but it is all a function of the quality of the information you choose to consume. Not all information carries the same value. Here's something to consider: IF most of the population has access to the same information as you, chances are it offers NO advantage which means your outcomes are likely random. The skill in this game is being able to recognize value that is overlooked by the broader population while being flexible enough to adjust to changes that only price itself can convey. If you are having a hard time, you are most likely believing the misinformation that you consume. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Editors' picks
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
19
BITCOIN The Volatility Index is showing the way to 100kBitcoin (BTCUSD) undoubtedly shares a relationship with the Volatility Index (VIX), even though not 100% tight, being a speculative financial asset. Naturally the two are on a negative correlation, meaning that when volatility hits the market and VIX rises, BTC rises and vice versa, similar to what happens against stocks. Following the massive volatility spike on the weeks of July 29 and August 05, VIX quickly corrected back to its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been its pivot line since the Channel Down started 2 years ago. Bitcoin on the other hand is already significantly above its 1W MA50, as on the week of VIX's aggressive volatility, it managed to test it and held. Opposite to VIX, Bitcoin has been trading on an upward trend, illustrated on today's analysis by a Fibonacci Channel. Initially the 1.0 Fib has been its top but then when broken, it topped on the 1.5 Fib extension. As a result, we expect that when VIX finally closes below its 1W MA50, it will seek its 1-year Support, the Diverging Lower Lows trend-line and that will propel Bitcoin to its 1.5 Fib extension again. If that takes place towards the end of the year, we expect $100k to have been reached. Do you think this correlation model will materialize 100k for Bitcoin? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
1
#BTCUSDT.P Daily trades//setup 1/5RR LONG X3 LEVERAGE# hello TRADERS , hope you’re doing well This our TRADE setup for today no further analyses of the entry since this position is lower-timeframe Based ######### POSITION SETUP ######## recommended leverage: X3 ENTRY POINT :58822 SL: 57730 TP:64500 ### Not financial advice disclaimer ### #You can use leverage at your own responsability and according to your risk management strategy ## remember to stay informed and make decisions based on your own research. always, trade with caution ## Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions Don’t forget to boost and support our Ideas to receive more Analysis #Make sure you follow and activate the notification to catch the move instantly If you have any questions, or any Coin to analyse you can write them in the comments section below. #####We are using LEET ALGORITHMIC CONCEPT (LAC) revolutionary new trading concept developed by LEET TRADERS COMMUNITY and based on the functioning of the most powerful HIGH frequency trading algorithms very high accuracy, No psychological factor or stress, the only rule is to follow the steps straight to the target Join US!! ********* WAKE-UP NEO =) follow the white rabbit********
Long
by LEETRADERS
Bitcoin: Play Support/Resistance Or Stay Away.Bitcoin has established a higher low off the 56K support area as anticipated in my previous article. From here a test of the 62 to 64K resistance area is within reason over the coming week. No matter what information you consume, the price action at this time is clear: Bitcoin is still INSIDE a broad consolidation. This means UNTIL it can demonstrate a breakout one way or the other with conviction, it is best to anticipate the consolidation to continue. This means paying attention to action around notable support/resistance levels that are relevant to your strategy time frame. In the markets, there is a tendency for "history to repeat itself". I understand this to mean the human behavioral element behind the price action. I mention this because if you notice, the low 64K area has numerous repetitive reactions over the previous few months (see arrow). The reason why does not matter, what matters is that there is a particular kind of price action around a level that can be anticipated in the near future. How you utilize this information will depend on your strategy specifically. For example, if you are looking for day trades you may not use it the same way as someone looking for swing trades, etc. Another aspect to keep in mind is the fact that we are now entering into the SLOWEST time of the year in terms of participation and volume. Weeks 3 and 4 of August are usually slow, erratic and very tough to navigate particularly on smaller time frames. Volume usually returns back to normal by the first week of October. This is NOT precise, but a tendency that I have observed over the years. This means it is usually better to be more selective about setups, take more time off and/or paper trade more. Low volume does not imply bearishness per se, but it can increase the chances of slow grinds either way, lack of follow through, price spikes that fake out, etc. Play the support/resistance or don't play at all. When operating on smaller time frames you can consider this situation from both sides. Look for confirmation of momentum continuation patterns on the long side until price reaches the 62 to 64K area. From there look for confirmations of bearish reversals. "Confirmations" is synonymous with "signals" generated by my Trade Scanner Pro. When markets consolidate like this, technical analysis can help immensely when it comes to evaluating potential, risk and probability. I repeat this often, this is NOT about forecasting the future, it is about using previous information to identify potential and measuring the associated risk. This is what CONTEXT is all about and where trade ideas begin. To have chance of winning you must be able to anticipate while at the same time account for the possibility of being wrong. This is NOT about hunches, feelings, opinions or logic. It is all about being a good "listener" of the market because it is ALWAYS right. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Editors' picks
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
15
Bitcoin | Descending Broadening Wedge Consolidation Continues!!Descending Broadening Wedge Consolidation Continues..!! Bitcoin has been consolidating in a Descending Broadening Wedge pattern since March 2024. Bitcoin is bouncing back nicely after the August 5th crash and is now heading towards the $69-70k resistance area. Bitcoin bulls need to clear the $69-70k crucial resistance area to confirm the wedge upside breakout. Once the breakout is confirmed, I'm expecting a 20-25% bullish rally in Q4. $100k is programmed for this year. Remember one thing: we are currently in the accumulation phase, just before the next massive bullish rally. Let me make one thing clear: the damage is done, and Bitcoin has already bottomed out (Bitcoin will never go below $50k). Markets will likely remain sideways for the next 2-3 weeks, and then we could see a massive bullish rally, possibly around mid-September. What should we do now? Back in August-September 2023, when Bitcoin was around $17-18k, I kept telling everyone to buy, and after that, it went up to $74k. Now, I'm telling you again to accumulate. Bitcoin will likely surpass $150k this time. Keep accumulating the dips and building your portfolio for the 2024-25 bull run. 🙌 Love This Idea? Show Your Support! 🙌 If you found this idea valuable, don't forget to hit that like button and subscribe for more insights just like this! Your engagement fuels the content I create, and it means the world to me. 💬 Join the Conversation: I’d love to hear your thoughts! Share your ideas and charts in the comments section below—let’s learn and grow together. Thank you for all your love and support! Together, we’re building something amazing. Stay tuned for more!
Long
by Faibik
30