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Bitcoin-btcusd-btc

BITCOIN The 3D cheat-sheet approaching a major Bull break-out!This is an analysis of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on the alternative but highly informative 3D time-frame where we can claim that its cyclical behavior is most accurately displayed. As always, the MA50 is shown with the blue trend-line, while the MA200 with the orange trend-line). ** Bear Cycles & the Death Cross ** First let's start with the Bear Cycles. As you see, when the 3D MA50 crosses below the 3D MA200 and forms the popular Death Cross pattern, the market tends to give the last warning of a huge sell-off. On all Cycles, that was the last drop before the Cycle forms its market bottom. ** Accumulation and MA50 break-out ** Then on a Higher Lows trend-line as Support and the MA50 as Resistance, the market enters its Accumulation Phase (blue Triangle pattern), until the MA50 breaks and it officially starts rising on the new Bull Cycle. At the moment, with the MA50 at 25500 and declining rapidly, BTC is at the closest it has been to it since May 04. On top of that, the 3D RSI just broke above its Bear Cycle Lower Highs trend-line, just like it did on January 04 2019. ** Parabolic Rally above the MA200 ** So what now? Well if the price breaks above the MA50, chances are that Bitcoin will start rising (not necessarily as aggressively as in April - June 2019, which was based on outside factors as well), assuming that the macro-economic conditions don't get worse. Then, a new break above the 3D MA200 will most likely place BTC on the infamous Parabolic Rally course of the Bull Cycle. Notice how in the previous two Cycles, when the price broke above the MA200 and the Golden Cross was formed (MA50 crossing over MA200), the price used the MA200 as the Support of the Parabolic Rally (excluding of course the COVID crash in March 2020, which is a once in a life-time event). So what do you think about those 3D patterns and conditions? Does it offer a comprehensive road-map of this new Cycle and if yes, are you expecting a strong rally when the MA50 breaks? Feel free to share your work and let me know in the comments section below! -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
55
BITCOIN Might Pump on Eased Inflation (CPI)CPI is out in a few hours and an eased inflation is expected. A good indication is this: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Center for Microeconomic Data : Inflation Expectations Continue Decline at the Short-, Medium-, and Long-Term Horizons Median one- and three-year-ahead inflation expectations both posted steep declines in August, from 6.2 percent and 3.2 percent in July to 5.7 percent and 2.8 percent, respectively. Median five-year-ahead inflation expectations, which have been elicited in the monthly SCE core survey on an ad-hoc basis since the beginning of this year and were first published in July, also declined to 2.0 percent from 2.3 percent. Expectations about year-ahead price increases for gas also continued to decline, with households now expecting gas prices to be roughly unchanged a year from now. Note: The newly released series for median five-year-ahead inflation expectations is now included as the last tab in the “Chart Data” Excel file provided under the downloads drop-down menu. For more details: Press Release: Inflation and Home Price Expectations Decline Further HOW ABOUT NEGATIVE INFLATION? Well there needs to be balance. A slightly eased inflation is good news, a more than anticipated eased inflation is a great news but a VERY decreased inflation is the worst kind of news as it could signify Recession. So, let's be careful as always , personally I am bullish to 23200 (resistance) and if price can break back into the channel then 25200. Check my chart for all key levels. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
5
Un-finished business to the upside. This price action to me says the market is pricing in lower value for bitcoin. Now that doesn't mean it should just fall to it inception price. I have 23200 for Bitcoin to make another leg lower. Essentially in my own terms balancing the market for the time being. Now ive had other speculations for upside potential for the coin one being 26k but it fell just short. This tells me whatever institutions or company's or what have you, that are engineering price to a premium, so they can liquidate their longs at a better "price", these individuals are settling for less then what they really want. In lamest terms the liquidation of #bitcoin is happening and its happening quicker than what they thought. If we are to make it to 23200 and we soar right through ill look to re calculate for further upside potential. For now I see it going there(23200) then to 14460. Cheers.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Alexander50plus
BITCOIN Testing the most important long-term Resistance levels!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently on a strong +17% four day rally, the strongest since July 29. By doing so, it is about to test the important short-term Resistance of 22000, formed off the August 24 High. There is however a trend-line and cluster of critical Resistance levels on the long-term as well that the price is about to hit, and outweigh by far the short-term technicals. ** The ATH trend-line and Bullish - Bearish extremes ** That is the Lower Highs trend-line that started on the November 10 2021 All Time High (ATH). Basically this is the Lower Highs trend-line of the Channel Down pattern (log scale) that has been dominating the price action for most of the past 10 months. As you see on this 1D chart, the price has broken outside of this Channel Down twice these past 10 months. Once on March 22 where it made a Bullish Extreme but still was contained below the 1.382 Fibonacci extension and once on June 18 where it made a Bearish extreme but still was contained above the -0.382 Fibonacci extension. ** The 1D MA100 ** The last time BTC attempted a break above the ATH trend-line was on the August 15 High where it wasn't just rejected on the top of the Channel Down but also on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). Excluding the Bullish Extreme, the price has been trading below the 1D MA100 since December 03 2021 with three clear rejections on it. At the moment, the 1D MA100 is trading exactly on the ATH trend-line and has been doing so since the August 15 rejection. It is obvious that at the moment, this is the most important Resistance Zone that BTC is facing. A break and close above it though doesn't 'guarantee' the end of the long-term Bearish Trend as that took place when it broke on March 22 but was still rejected on the 1.382 Fib ext. As you realize, only a break above the 1.382 Fib turns the odd in favor of a long-term Bullish reversal and can sustain a rally invalidating bearish bias of March 29 - April 05. On a different occasion, the 10 month Channel Down will continue to dictate the trend. But what do you think is going to happen? Will a close above the ATH line and the 1D MA100 accumulate enough buyers to finally push above the 1.382 tolerance level and into a new Bull rally or we will get again rejected and stay within the long-term Channel Down? Feel free to share your work and let me know in the comments section below! -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
4
Bitcoin: 17K To 25K Test?Short squeeze off the 18Ks back to 21K quickly. What does this mean in terms of the bigger picture trend and momentum? Before you listen to the novices calling for 50K, it is important to objectively consider this shift in terms of price structure within the context of the economic environment. First, before you ask: "Isn't there a way to foresee such moves?". Answer: No. Markets are highly random which means there is no way to forecast them with any degree of accuracy.. While I have been writing about bearish signals and anticipating a test of 17K in most of my recent articles, I have been warning followers of the RISK and what can go wrong when selling into potential support areas, even when the overall structure favored a support break. Accounting for RISK is what prepares you for the possibility of such a short squeeze, whether it unfolds or not. Instead of asking "why?" you should only be asking "where?" in these situations and adjusting your outlook to the new piece of information. Here is what I consider: The broader structure (lower highs and lower lows) is still generally bearish over the long term. No major resistance has been taken out yet (25K). If you consider the economic context: trends in bond yields and the Dollar are still poised to continue higher which mounts bearish pressure on everything. This means any rally attempts in the stock market or Bitcoin (there is a correlation) have LITTLE potential or sustainability. That's the broader view. The short term view (one month out): The large green candle off of the 18K area has taken out a minor resistance at 20,500. This means the recent bearish movement off of the 25K peak is no longer in play. Momentum (NOT to be confused with the broader trend) may be bullish. Such a shift can lead price REASONABLY back into the 23 to 25K AREA RESISTANCE. IF this resistance is cleared, then 28K becomes a possibility. This is the same story for the S&P (correlation). Bear market rallies can happen and it is very important to recognize their limited potential and risks and not get carried away with hype. IF Bitcoin produces a new sell signal somewhere between 23 and 25K, it would still offer a short swing trade opportunity with a more favorable probability. Again that is "IF". On the other side of that, IF a bullish momentum continuation pattern appears somewhere between 20 and 21K that can offer an aggressive counter trend swing trade to the long side. The short idea is on the side of the broader trend and is still more favorable, while the long idea can help to capitalize on a bear market rally of limited duration. Was I wrong about the 17K test? The market made an attempt and never got back to 17K. It was a potential scenario that was possible but the market does not agree with. I don't pretend to know more than the market like every one else. I respect it and adjust. Now I look for a test of the 23 to 25K resistance area and see how price behaves IF it gets there. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective. I hope you find it helpful.
EIGHTCAP:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
19
ETHEREUM - FOLLOW UP OR HUGE BULL TRAP ?We can see very nice move from oversold BTC. But. Seems to be huge short squeeze towards previous support (21 k) and trend line from April. So - we can see some move down and consolidation during which ETH and alts will follow up strongly. OR It's another move to mark tops and range bound for BTC during which (till the end of september or so imo) BTC will be forming bottom around 18.5 k while ETH will head towards range low (with keeping higher low imo) and alts will bleed much more heading towards their new lows. 1730 is crucial for ETH imo. If we can break it up then.. 1830 and even more should be next. But if we reject it here then correction will be continued imo. Last chance for bulls in bear/bull case will be correction towards 1570, keeping it and printing nice ascending triangle as accumulation pattern.
BITFINEX:ETHUSDShort
by mess_on_a_mission
3
BITCOIN The Double Bottom effect on Cycles. Huge rally starting?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) made a Low two days ago and today we are seeing a strong rebound on the biggest 1D candle (so far) since July 27. Based on the Cyclical Double-Bottom Effect, we can argue that this low is a hit on the Double Bottom zone of the June 18 market Bottom. What is that effect? Well it appears to be not just a Theory but a pragmatic phenomenon that has been seen on every Cycle bottom on Bitcoin's past three Cycles. On this 1D chart, you can see the current Cycle on top of the previous ones for a more effective illustration of the Double-Bottom effect. The range of the Double-Bottom is the green zone. Cycle 1 is displayed with the black trend-line making the 2011 Double Bottom, Cycle 2 with the blue trend-line making the 2015 Double Bottom and Cycle 3 in the orange trend-line making the 2019 Double Bottom. As it is shown, the Double Bottoms are fairly structured in the same way on each of the past Cycles and straight after each one was formed, a strong rally followed. The past cycles have been adapted in order to fit the Green Range, which is formulated by the current Cycle. Still, the bullish trend following each Double Bottom is obvious. This study isn't designed to show the time-length, but rather the bullish move that follows. You can view each Double Bottom plotted on top of each other, with the current Cycle being the green trend-line, in the chart below: So what do you think? Has the market double bottomed and if so, based on the above, are we about to witness a strong multi-month rally as the new Bull Cycle is starting? Feel free to share your work and let me know in the comments section below! -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
27
Seems like a big drop. And i'm okay with it.Its time. Let's get it over with. I've accepted it. Break a little more greed and lets move on. RSI looks like it has another good drop, volume is low. Dunno where to tho, I can't imagine breaking 10k. But who knows. Macro is kind of in control right now. At least in my opinion No confidence with $eth lookin like either a huge success or giant mess. Has a favorable chart. But still nothing to write home about. I'm in both, averaging in for awhile now...for transparency. Hope everyone is well, To you and your families!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Rigs