Bitcoin bottom in ?? - Nasdaq needs bottom as well !!!Bitcoin bottom in ?? - Nasdaq needs bottom as well !!!
I don't want to be unromantic - but if you are asking for a BTC bottom we need a bottom Nasdaq100 bottom as well IMO
Wish to have Crypto decoupled from traditional markets - but it is not... yet
So what do you think - is Nasdaq about to bottom at this golden trendline?
Let me know your thoughts
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing
Bitcoin-btcusd-btc
BITCOIN recorded the 3rd worst month ever! Bull or bear sign?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has just recorded its third worst monthly closing in history amid high uncertainty not in just the crypto market but in the global economy as well, as the negative macro-economic outlook doesn't show signs of reversal yet.
This chart is (naturally) on the 1M (monthly) time-frame and as you see, the June candle closed on a -37.32% loss, with only February 2014 (-38.87%) and August 2011 (-38.58%) having recorded worse monthly losses. That said, it tied September 2011 for the 3rd spot. With the exception of the first Cycle in 2011, which was the shortest one, such huge red monthly candles tend to form either at the very start of a Bear Cycle or exactly at the end of it where the bottom gets formed.
For the current Bear Cycle (having that peculiar top in April 2021, slightly lower than November 2021), this is the second -30% candle. The first was the May 2021 (-35.38%) slightly after the Cycle Top. With the current candle coming a full year after that, it appears that the chances of that being near the bottom of the Bear Cycle and not the start are far greater. Especially considering the fact that the 1M RSI is trading exactly on the Lower Lows trend-line that has made three contacts prior to that.
But what do you think? Do you feel this -37.32% monthly candle is starting a Cycle far worse than thought or it is close/ at the bottom of it? Feel free to share your work and let me know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Long Opportunity: Need a Valid BreakoutBuy if Break Through 19600
Two Setups with different Risk Reward Ratio, 2 and 4
BTC , BTCUSD , BTCUSDT , BTCUSDTP, BITCOIN , CRYPTO, CRYPTOCURRENCY
DISCLAIMER
This is only a personal opinion and does NOT serve as investing NOR trading advice.
Please make your own decisions and be responsible for your own investing and trading Activities.
Cup and Handle BTCLooking from the monthly timeframe since December of 2020 to today, I see a Cup and Handle formation. In April of 2021, Bitcoin made a new all-time high of $64,000, then a sell-off occurred going into the summer. At the start of Quarter 4 of 2021, Bitcoin had an uptrend again, this time testing the resistance level of the previous all time high from Spring of 2021. All time high was broken again in the first week of November of 2021, forming the handle. Then a sell-off occurred going into the new year. This leads us to today, which is March 24th, 2022. Bitcoin has broken above the descending channel.
I would like Bitcoin to test the key resistance levels of $47,000. If Bitcoin manages to do that and break above $47K, then the next target point would be $50K.
Could this begin the final march up to break a new all-time high?
We shall see!
(NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR. ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH).
BITCOIN An overlooked pattern and a Bearish CrossBitcoin (BTCUSD) is under heavy volatility as ever since the June 18 Low, the price attempted a short-term rebound only to be rejected on the 4H MA100. An overlooked parallel lines pattern as well as a Bearish Cross may give as a clue to where we are compared to the bottom of the previous Cycle.
** The peculiar pattern **
First of all, see the parallel trend-lines on this 1D chart. Those are of Higher Lows and Higher Highs. In 2018/19, Bitcoin had 4 perfect touches on the Higher Highs on its way to the final flush sequence of the Bear Cycle. Then had two contacts on the Higher Lows trend-line. The same pattern had the exact same amount of contacts made (4) on the Higher Highs and so far 1 on the Higher Lows.
** The CCI and RSI bottom sequences **
On top of that, the 1D CCI (black line) and RSI (light blue line) have formed sequences similar to the December 2018 bottom. This was the first contact on the Higher Lows trend-line of our pattern. Can a second and final contact be in hand here? Very possible especially if the price gets rejected on the 1D MA50 (one fake-out) as in 2018/ early 2019.
** The Bearish Cross **
Last but not least, the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) broke today below the 1W MA100 (red trend-line). Last time that happened was on December 30 2018, exactly after the first rebound on that Cycle's bottom.
With all those indicators aligned perfectly to show that in comparison to 2018, BTC is currently past the Bottom, could it be the case that one last Higher Lows contact confirms this overlooked pattern? Feel free to share your work and let me know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin short-term view - pump and dump - can $19.450 hold?Bitcoin short-term view - pump and dump - can $19.450 and RSI hold?
This is FIB golden pocket correction level - but the speed of dump is concerning IMO
Can imagine a slight recovery but rejection EMA50 (4h chart) and SMA200
What do you think dear Crypto Nation?
Give me your thoughts on that chart.
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing
Bitcoin short-term view - breakout of ATH necklineBitcoin short-term view - breakout of ATH neckline
BTC broke the $19.892 - the neckline of the possible double top pattern
Target would be around $18.000
Don't be scared so far dear Crypto Nation
Give me your thoughts on that chart
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing
Can #SPX500 hold RSI and EMA support? #BTC #ETH #GoldThe drawn RSI channel on the S&P500 chart was a quite good turning point area
We are also on a price action support that seems to get broken soon
What do you think dear Crypto Nation?
Give me your thoughts on that chart
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing
Bitcoin short-term view - next test of ATH December 2017 ?!Bitcoin short-term view - next test of ATH December 2017 ?!
BTC currently at price action support $20.137
Remember - December 2017 ATH at $19.892 is neckline of a possible double top with target $18.000
High resistance cluster at $21.000 combined by SMA200 and EMA50 (4h chart)
Drop me a nice comment if you'd like me to analyze any other cryptocurrency.
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing
BTC 2H TA : 06.29.22 (+6.5% ✅)As you can see, from $ 21,300, when I said that there is a possibility of price correction, the price fell more than 6.5% exactly from the range I announced, and now it is trading in the $ 20,000 zone , this Low Swing is confirmed when the price penetrates above 20420, otherwise we go for lower targets!!
Last Analysis :
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⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Arman Shaban : @ArmanShabanTrading
📅 06.29.2022
⚠️(DYOR)
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BITCOIN Scenarios for recovery based on previous Cycle bottomsFollowing the high interest that my most recent analysis on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and its Cycles comparison attracted, I decided to make one in the same tone on possible rebound scenarios based on the previous Cycle bottoms.
Before I begin, I want to make clear that this work is based on the assumption that the current bottom was priced two weeks ago or at least that it will be formed soon as long as the 1W MA300 (red trend-line) holds. This analysis is on the 1W (weekly) time-frame and I've divided it into four charts, each having a 'bars pattern' fractal of the first rally following a bottom, applied on the current price action.
Apart from the obvious Cycle bottom fractals of Nov 14 2011 - Jan 02 2012 (black bars), Jan 12 2015 - Nov 02 2015 (red bars) and Dec 10 2018 - June 24 2019 (green bars), I've also included the recovery from the COVID crash of March 16 2020 - August 17 2020 (grey bars). Obviously the aggressive and highly volatile nature of the first BTC Cycle (black) projects a sharp recovery of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) by August, which under the current macro conditions seems unrealistic. Same goes for the March-Aug 2020 fractal (grey), which also has it by the end of August. The 2015 fractal (red) has this target hit by early April 2023 and is the most pessimistic of all, while the remaining Dec-June 2019 (green) offers a more moderate projection by expecting a 1W MA50 contact by November 2022.
It is interesting to mention though that March-Aug 2020 is the only one that shows rejection and consolidation under the 1W MA50 for 2.5 months before a break higher a scenario that would be realistic too as the 1W MA50 is the initial Resistance of Cycles as they transition from Bear to Bull markets.
Below is an illustration of all fractals on top of each other:
As mentioned above, all these are mere projections based on past data. What matters most now is seeing the 1W MA300 hold and make all weekly candles that follow, close above it in order to maintain buying accumulation. Failure to do so, can make the price test the 13000 level as illustrated on a previous Fibonacci analysis.
So based on the original bottom assumption, which fractal do you feel offers the most realistic projection of a recovery? Or you think the bottom is way past the 1W MA300? Feel free to share your work and let me know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin short-term view - combination of divergencesBitcoin short-term view - combination of divergences
Next to yesterdays shown hidden bullish divergence (green dot line) we also have a regular bullish divergence that might occur (blue dot line)
That should give BTC a pulse to recover - but not necessarily
$21.000, SMA200 and 4 hourly EMA50 are near resistances - ATH 2017 (violet line) next support
Drop me a nice comment if you'd like to.
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing
BITCOIN Looks Bearish! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN was trading in a local
Rising wedge, but then retested
A horizontal resistance level
And broke out of the wedge to the downside
So I think that after the rebound and retest
We will see a further move down
And a retest of the support below
Buy!
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