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Bitcoin: Daily Review and How to Trade around $20 000Market Conditions The market is in the bearish trend. We can see the consolidation around $20 000. Valuable Areas For bulls, it is 20MA and $21 888 resistance. For bears, it is $17 622 support. Trade Opportunities The price has been moving around $20 000 round number level. The prise action around it may give possible trade opportunities for day traders with close targets. For swing trading, I would wait for reversal and false breakout signals from the resistance and support levels in the hourly time frames. It is a workable option for trading in range. And it makes sense to join a momentum after a breakout from the consolidation. If so, profit targets for bulls will be 50MA and $28 000 resistance. Profit targets for bears will be $14 000 and $10 000. As for investing, it is possible to start building long positions using DCA approach and the proper money management. The true bottom may be between $14 000 and $10 000. The main profit target should be the ATH. P.S. for amateur traders, who search for exact directions and numbers, I recommend you to read this post "TOP SECRET Revealed" ! It will give you better understanding, what the true trading is about. And I advice you to start reading books about trading and watch videos about the same. Because without it, you will always dream about someone, who will make you rich by saying when to buy Bitcoin or any other asset. Also, I ask you to provide your feedback one more time. For me, the information I write in this post is more than enough for planning EXACT trades. For me, it is very valuable information. But for YOU, probably it is not so obvious. That's why I would like to see your feedback and ideas how to improve this format. So, please, share your thoughts in comments. And I will write a post why we need "Market Conditions", "Valuable Areas", "Trade Opportunities" and which role they play in planning any day, swing and position trades. But I want to do it AFTER getting your feedback. Thank you.
by DLavrov
17
BTCUSD weekly (06/07/2022)Today we are going to see the extended triangle model that is forming the price of the BTC /USD pair in weekly candlesticks, below of the pattern we have left the acclaimed 200-period moving average (200MA), one of the most important resistence on the bitcoin cycles, we are below that resistence but only temporary. RSI in addition touches on the relative outside lows (oversold). Last cycle ATH is making furthermore a Buying level. A possible trend change is coming around that leves in the next weeks/months. Remember that it's very important to have liquidity for these macro-scale price action zones. I hope that this analysis will be of great help to those who doubt about entries in these areas ;D
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by AVNGL01
What is the potential of the crypto market and Bitcoin?📈👀 As everyone gets used to crypto, big players and institutional investors are starting to adopt it. For example, just today the CAR launched its national cryptocurrency, and Timberlane launched an animated monkey music video called BAYC, following Snoop Dogg and Eminem. Let's examine the potential of BTC and crypto in general. In the main picture you can compare the capitalization of different parts of the financial market. The largest capitalizations are in forex, futures, and funds. Then, with a big gap, the other components of the market go, including crypto, with a current capitalization of only about $700 billion. That is, the crypto can still get scammed) Why isn't crypto being adopted faster? First of all, because there is no stability in it. No matter how much crypto-enthusiasts talk about Bitcoin as the new gold, in reality it is a very speculative asset and most bitcoins are in the hands of private investors. States are afraid of what they don't control, so they don't invest in crypto, but rush to issue their own digital stablecoins. - Except for El Salvador's, which everyone is laughing at (they've already bought BTC) How much can a BTC be worth? Bitcoin is the face of the entire crypto market, as it grows and updates historic highs, it attracts new investors and more people learn about it. At the time of the bull run in 2021, at $69,000, BTC had a capitalization of just $1100 billion. To reach the desired mark of $100,000, BTC needs a capitalization of about $2100 billion at the current turnover of 21 million coins. Even if that happens, the crypto market will still be incomparably small compared to other parts of the economy and the potential is truly great. We are the pioneers of this industry, and as we know, it is the first ones who make the most profit. Under what conditions will the BTC break through the $100,000 mark? 1. Adaptation Cryptocurrency adaptation is when every third person will have a cryptocurrency wallet installed on their phone and will be able to use it to buy clothes or pay for groceries in the supermarket. 2. State stablecoins The launch of digital national currencies will force people to adapt to the new reality and use blockchain in their daily lives. Many people will have to learn what crypto is and how to use it. At the same time, trust towards crypto will increase. 3. Education in schools Just like now parents and teachers explain to children that every country has its own currency and that you can buy a piece of a company if you have money, in the future they will also have to explain that every country has its own stablecoin and you can buy a piece of some cool project on the blockchain. Cryptocurrency - Blockchain - will absorb at least x10 liquidity from other markets, IT’S ONLY QUESTION OF TIME!
by Artem_Dishel
4
BITCOIN Hyper-Cycle model shows we're where every cycle bottomedBitcoin (BTCUSD) has started the 3rd straight week of consolidation above the 1W MA300 (red trend-line) after nearly hitting the level on the weekly candle of June 13. I've made extensive publications on the importance of this level as a Support and this time I want to elaborate on the Hyper-Cycle Theory (HCT) that reveals a progression on the extension of each Cycle and projects where we are now relative to each Cycle and how far we might go. As you see each Cycle (Cycle 1 with the red, Cycle 2 with the green, Cycle 3 with the blue and Cycle 4 with the black trend-line) up to the April 2021 top is approximately 0.819 of the previous one. Based on that, Cycle 4 should be roughly extend for 148 weeks (1086 days) from the April High (181 weeks Cycle 3 / 221 weeks Cycle 2). That however puts the next Cycle Top exactly on the next Halving which is on March 2024. This comes in contrast to all prior Cycles that had their most aggressive Bull runs (parabolic rallies) right after the supply shock of each Halving. Of course if this theory of lower volatility for Bitcoin as adoption becomes greater in time, should at some point create fewer and fewer market extremes with smaller Cycles of Highs and Lows and break this Halving model. For projection reasons, I've plotted each of the past three Cycles starting at the April 2021 High. Surprisingly, each candle projection roughly fills the remainder of their respective Cycle. This may indicate that in a symmetric way on this Cycle, we are at the point where all prior Cycles formed their bottoms proportionately. If that's the case, then BTC is still before the middle of the Cycle, even if the 0.819 progression model stands, giving plenty of time for the next Bull Run, even if it peaks before the Halving. Proportionately though, a repeat of Cycle 3 or better yet Cycle 2 would appear to be more fitting to the Halving model. But lets stick to the HCT model for now. Obviously a repeat of Cycle 1, that high that quickly especially, would be too unrealistic in market cap terms. So which projection is more fitting according to you? Do you agree with the model predicting a Cycle Top before the next Halving? Feel free to share your work and let me know in the comments section below! Important Note: Axis movements clearly distort the Cycles on the chart. If they get out of context on your monitor, try moving them to their original position based on the snapshot of the original snapshot of the chart: -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
44
BITCOIN recorded the 3rd worst month ever! Bull or bear sign?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has just recorded its third worst monthly closing in history amid high uncertainty not in just the crypto market but in the global economy as well, as the negative macro-economic outlook doesn't show signs of reversal yet. This chart is (naturally) on the 1M (monthly) time-frame and as you see, the June candle closed on a -37.32% loss, with only February 2014 (-38.87%) and August 2011 (-38.58%) having recorded worse monthly losses. That said, it tied September 2011 for the 3rd spot. With the exception of the first Cycle in 2011, which was the shortest one, such huge red monthly candles tend to form either at the very start of a Bear Cycle or exactly at the end of it where the bottom gets formed. For the current Bear Cycle (having that peculiar top in April 2021, slightly lower than November 2021), this is the second -30% candle. The first was the May 2021 (-35.38%) slightly after the Cycle Top. With the current candle coming a full year after that, it appears that the chances of that being near the bottom of the Bear Cycle and not the start are far greater. Especially considering the fact that the 1M RSI is trading exactly on the Lower Lows trend-line that has made three contacts prior to that. But what do you think? Do you feel this -37.32% monthly candle is starting a Cycle far worse than thought or it is close/ at the bottom of it? Feel free to share your work and let me know in the comments section below! -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
22
Cup and Handle BTCLooking from the monthly timeframe since December of 2020 to today, I see a Cup and Handle formation. In April of 2021, Bitcoin made a new all-time high of $64,000, then a sell-off occurred going into the summer. At the start of Quarter 4 of 2021, Bitcoin had an uptrend again, this time testing the resistance level of the previous all time high from Spring of 2021. All time high was broken again in the first week of November of 2021, forming the handle. Then a sell-off occurred going into the new year. This leads us to today, which is March 24th, 2022. Bitcoin has broken above the descending channel. I would like Bitcoin to test the key resistance levels of $47,000. If Bitcoin manages to do that and break above $47K, then the next target point would be $50K. Could this begin the final march up to break a new all-time high? We shall see! (NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR. ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH).
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by brandonreymejia
BITCOIN An overlooked pattern and a Bearish CrossBitcoin (BTCUSD) is under heavy volatility as ever since the June 18 Low, the price attempted a short-term rebound only to be rejected on the 4H MA100. An overlooked parallel lines pattern as well as a Bearish Cross may give as a clue to where we are compared to the bottom of the previous Cycle. ** The peculiar pattern ** First of all, see the parallel trend-lines on this 1D chart. Those are of Higher Lows and Higher Highs. In 2018/19, Bitcoin had 4 perfect touches on the Higher Highs on its way to the final flush sequence of the Bear Cycle. Then had two contacts on the Higher Lows trend-line. The same pattern had the exact same amount of contacts made (4) on the Higher Highs and so far 1 on the Higher Lows. ** The CCI and RSI bottom sequences ** On top of that, the 1D CCI (black line) and RSI (light blue line) have formed sequences similar to the December 2018 bottom. This was the first contact on the Higher Lows trend-line of our pattern. Can a second and final contact be in hand here? Very possible especially if the price gets rejected on the 1D MA50 (one fake-out) as in 2018/ early 2019. ** The Bearish Cross ** Last but not least, the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) broke today below the 1W MA100 (red trend-line). Last time that happened was on December 30 2018, exactly after the first rebound on that Cycle's bottom. With all those indicators aligned perfectly to show that in comparison to 2018, BTC is currently past the Bottom, could it be the case that one last Higher Lows contact confirms this overlooked pattern? Feel free to share your work and let me know in the comments section below! -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
13