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Bitcoin-btcusd-btc

BITCOIN Failure to hold the 1D MA50 leads to $60k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) was rejected yesterday on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and that caused another pull-back that is about to test the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) once again. On Tuesday this level held and is critical to continue to do so as a breach might lead us to $60000. This is what took place on the April 08 - 19 Channel Down. It is important to note that after the bearish break-out, the price was rejected straight on the 1D MA50, which basically confirmed the continuation to 60k. We are currently on a similar Channel Down. Do you think the 1D MA50 will hold or break and push BTC to 60k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
7
Bitcoin's Impressive Trajectory and the Road to $100,000Over the past 15 years, Bitcoin has consistently exceeded projections and expectations. In just over a decade, its value has surged from mere pennies per coin to over $50,000 by 2021, capturing global attention. As of June 2024, Bitcoin's price hovers around $70,000, with the next major milestone being the highly anticipated six-figure mark. While reaching $100,000 may seem ambitious, historical trends suggest it's increasingly likely. The pressing question remains: When will Bitcoin surpass the $100,000 threshold? Could it happen in 2024? Any prediction regarding Bitcoin's future is inherently speculative, but such speculation encourages us to evaluate long-term developments in the investment landscape. To forecast Bitcoin's performance, it's crucial to consider trends related to its halving events. A halving is a pre-programmed occurrence approximately every four years that halves the reward for mining new blocks, forming the basis of Bitcoin's monetary policy. This mechanism decreases the rate at which new bitcoins are created over time, contributing to its scarcity and historically driving price appreciation. Bitcoin's most recent halving in April 2024 reduced its inflation rate to just 0.85%. Examining previous halvings reveals that Bitcoin's price typically increases by around 125% in the year of a halving. Starting from a price of $44,000 at the beginning of 2024, a 125% increase would place Bitcoin at $99,000. If this halving has a similar impact as previous ones, Bitcoin should be close to the $100,000 mark in 2024. However, there's another variable to consider that could boost Bitcoin beyond this threshold: the introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs. Historically, Bitcoin's rise was driven mainly by retail investors. With the advent of spot Bitcoin ETFs, institutional investors can now accumulate Bitcoin without regulatory or custodial concerns. This new vehicle for Bitcoin exposure is already making an impact. In February, ETFs were purchasing Bitcoin at a rate 10 times the daily production rate, pushing its price to a new all-time high. Although the buying rate has cooled, it’s likely just the beginning. If buying resumes at those levels post-halving, ETFs would outpace Bitcoin's daily supply by 20 times. 2024 is shaping up to be the year Bitcoin could reach $100,000. With its price around $70,500 today, this represents a potential 40% gain. However, it’s important to note that Bitcoin often sees its most significant gains in the year following a halving. Historically, Bitcoin has soared by more than 400% on average in the post-halving year. If Bitcoin doesn't reach $100,000 in 2024, 2025 remains a strong possibility. Whether it happens this year or next, ongoing halvings, increasing adoption, and institutional involvement make a compelling case for Bitcoin to continue surprising us for years to come.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by FOREXN1
1
Bitcoin: Back To 64K Again?Bitcoin has rejected the 70k to 72K resistance area AGAIN. This failed breakout may lead to a retest of the 64K to 66K support zone in the coming week. IF 64K is compromised, it will imply that the current minor impulse structure is not valid and reinforces the argument that price is likely to consolidate further. This scenario opens the possibilities of testing 60K and 56K in the coming weeks. The arrow on my chart points to the 64,500 area where waves (i) and (iv) can potentially overlap. This is key to maintaining the impulse structure and short term bullish expectations. IF this area continues to hold, it implies wave (iv) is still in play and a bullish leg higher is within reason. For this reason, the 64K to 66K area is an ideal location to anticipate bullish setups on smaller time frames. The confirmation is the key to capitalizing effectively and this is where my Trade Scanner Pro shines and what I demonstrate during my streams. IF wave (v) follows, the 73K resistance is likely to be tested and favored to break. This level still represents a place reduce risk (take profits) and look for low expectation short setups. A strong break should see price close in the 74K area at LEAST. Keep in mind "probability" means there is still a chance price can fail. A favorable pattern on a chart does NOT guarantee certainty. Knowing your levels in advance and evaluating them within the scope of a relevant trend is a key component to success in this game. Being able to adjust to new information will serve you better than clinging to an opinion, no matter how logical it may be. The collective perception of market participants is what determines the value of an asset or price. This "perceived value" is constantly changing as new information reaches the market. Having an opinion, especially a "logical" one offered by an expert is ineffective because it typically operates under the assumption that nothing material will change. This is why NO ONE was able to forecast the infamous pullback to 15K. Remember that? By utilizing a LESS IS MORE framework, I am able to anticipate short term movements but MORE importantly evaluate them in terms of RISK. If you see my articles written over previous weeks my anticipated scenarios (illustrated on the chart) have been inline with the actual outcome. These forecasts are a result of ONLY 2 components: Relevant TREND, SUPPORT/RESISTANCE level, NOTHING more. I don't aim to be right, I aim to contain RISK. Markets are MOSTLY RANDOM, which means to successfully navigate, the focus should be on what we can control. How you manage risk will shape your entire decision making process, techniques and strategies you choose to employ. By filtering out most information and purely focusing on the limited information that carries any relevance at all I am able to gain an actionable point of reference. From there it is totally up to the market to show its hand. Managing risk is about ADJUSTING to new information while following a set of rules to keep losses and expectations proportional to ones account. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
9
BITCOIN You might not be ready for such June!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is doing it and yet again it is going under the radar for some. The price broke out yesterday from its short-term Falling Wedge and as we showed you is extending the Bullish Leg of the Channel Up. Zooming out to the 1M time-frame, we can see that May closed in gains (green) and since August 2023, there has only been one month of losses (red 1M candle) and that was April. Even though that injected some uncertainty to market participants, we clearly see on this long-term chart that sporadic 1 month losses are very common in Bull Cycles, especially during parabolic rallies. In fact they are essential as they create the right shake-out conditions to keep fueling the rally. The symmetry among BTC's Cycles is remarkable and right now with the 1W MA50 (black trend-line) in deep support, it is attempting to get detached from the Mayer Multiple (MM) 1 SD above (grey trend-line), much like it did on October 2020 and April 2017. Based on that, we are looking for the rally to extend to at least the end of the year and reach a Target Zone within $150k - $200k within MM 2 and 3 SD above (orange the red trend-lines respectively). Last but not least, take a look at the 1M RSI, which is also on a symmetry with the previous Cycles and once it touches the Lower Highs trend-line, we should consider to start taking profits regardless of whether of the range the price might be at the time. But what do you think? Are you prepared for a 'hot' June and if yes, how high do you think BTC will go? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
5
Bitcoin on the Brink of a New Bull Run Post-HalvingBitcoin's price has begun to surge once again, indicating a potential new bull run following its recent halving. The price action is currently within a bullish channel, and technical indicators combined with Fibonacci ratios suggest the onset of a fresh bullish impulse. The Halving Effect: A Catalyst for Price Appreciation On April 19, Bitcoin underwent its fourth halving event. These halvings, which occur approximately every four years, are integral to Bitcoin's monetary policy. They aim to maintain scarcity by halving the inflation rate, which has now dropped to just 0.85%—a lower rate than that of gold, often deemed the ultimate store of value and inflation hedge. Over the long term, the reduction in Bitcoin's inflation rate is expected to drive price appreciation. As demand for Bitcoin increases, the limited supply of 21 million coins will face increasing pressure, creating significant potential for price rises. Even in the short term, the halving effect enhances Bitcoin's attractiveness as an investment. Historically, Bitcoin's price has risen by an average of 125% in years when a halving occurs. This suggests that, starting from the beginning of the year, Bitcoin's price could potentially exceed $100,000, offering substantial returns given the current price around $69,000. Furthermore, Bitcoin's best performance typically happens in the year following a halving, with historical gains exceeding 400%. Significant Institutional Interest and Bitcoin's Role in the Financial Landscape For much of its history, Bitcoin's rise has been driven by retail investors. However, this dynamic is set to change significantly. The approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs has made it easier for institutional investors with vast capital reserves to invest in the cryptocurrency. This influx of major Wall Street players is likely to exert unprecedented pressure on Bitcoin's finite supply, echoing its early days of high demand. The approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF also reflects the market's current perception of Bitcoin and its role in the financial ecosystem. In contrast, Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, faces ongoing debates over ETF approval as regulators determine whether it is a security or a commodity. This regulatory scrutiny extends to all cryptocurrencies, creating uncertainty about their classification. It's crucial to note that an SEC classification of a cryptocurrency as a security does not spell the end for that blockchain. Many of these assets are highly decentralized and would continue to operate even if faced with litigation from the SEC. Cryptocurrencies are traded globally and are not confined to the laws of any single country. However, regulatory risks are a significant concern for markets. Bitcoin stands out as a relatively safer investment in this regard. The SEC has already classified Bitcoin as a commodity, placing it outside the agency's regulatory control. This classification grants Bitcoin unique staying power and a degree of protection against regulatory scrutiny. Bitcoin's current bullish trend, supported by the recent halving and growing institutional interest, sets the stage for potential substantial price appreciation. The reduced inflation rate and increasing demand create a strong case for Bitcoin's long-term value. Meanwhile, its classification as a commodity provides a safeguard against regulatory risks, further solidifying its position as a leading asset in the cryptocurrency market.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by FOREXN1
1
Bitcoin: Push Back To 70Ks?Bitcoin support at the 66K area continues to hold and may be the higher low (wave (iv)) that may lead to a higher high over the coming weeks (see illustration). In order for a dramatic new high like 80K to be tested, price needs to prove itself by clearing 73K first. The key to navigating this is to WAIT for the market to provide evidence (confirmation), NOT get stuck on an opinion about the future. Even though the broader trend is bullish, UNTIL it breaks out, it is within reason to expect the consolidation to continue. Recognizing the support/resistance levels within broader consolidations can help to uncover numerous opportunities, especially on smaller time frames. For example, while I consider the 66K area a minor support on this time frame (see arrow), this location is a great spot to anticipate longs on day trade time frames like the 1 or 5 minute chart. When using such levels as a form of context to guide decisions, traders often do not understand how to shape expectations relative to the magnitude of the time frame. For instance, price movements on a 1 minute chart are typically smaller than a 5 minute or 1 hour chart. Knowing this should shape expectations in terms of reward/risk. This is one of the problems I aimed to solve when coming up with the idea for Trade Scanner Pro by automating the exit points using the average true range (ATR). The same can be said about the 70K whole number resistance area. This is an ideal location to WAIT for sell signals, whether to take profit or an aggressive counter trend trade short. Again the location provides a point of reference where we can anticipate a particular price behavior or opportunity. It is up to the MARKET to confirm and even then, there is a chance it can get stopped out (markets are mostly RANDOM). My analysis is meant to shed light on a select range of possibilities over the coming week for day and swing traders. I have to remind people of this because many come to these articles expecting to gain knowledge of the future. It will take some time to realize effective risk management has NOTHING to do with where price will be in the future. There is no way to forecast the future accurately, ESPECIALLY using the limited information that is available on charts. The idea is to help you prepare for potential opportunities that I believe have a greater probability of a positive outcome because of the price location relative to the trend. The MARKET decides what scenario will play out, not me or anyone else. To align with the market, we must have a passive mindset, good listening skills and the ability to admit being wrong QUICKLY, especially on smaller time frames. So here is how to prepare of the coming week: IF the low 66Ks are tested, look for longs, IF 66K breaks, avoid longs and reevaluate new levels. IF 70K is tested, look to take profits, or consider aggressive shorts (counter trend). IF 70K is cleared, watch for test of 73K. How you navigate your positions is a function of your risk tolerance and personal style. Most importantly, let the market do the THINKING, you simply adjust to the new information as it appears. Thank you for your considering my analysis and perspective.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
9
BITCOIN Inverse Head and Shoulders targeting $79500Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is technically about to complete the Right Shoulder of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern (IH&S) that followed the All Time High (ATH) of March 14. The driving vessel behind it is a (dotted) Channel Up whose Bullish Leg peaked at +19.50% and its two Bearish Legs so far have been around -8.00%. As you may realize, there is a high degree of structural symmetry on these patterns as even the IH&S has distinct Support and Resistance Zones, with Sour interest currently being on Support Zone 1, which has already held twice since May 23. As a result, as long as it holds along with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), the trend remains bullish and the IH&S technical dynamics target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at $89000. However we keep at the moment a shorter term perspective and before 89k, we will aim at $79500, which would be a +19.50% rise, similar to the Channel's previous Bullish Leg. Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
2
BTCUSD: Entering the parabolic phase.Bitcoin is on excellent bullish levels on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 66.472, MACD = 251.100, ADX = 42.204). Following the correction of the last two months, the market has entered the green zone of the Cycle, which is its parabolic phase. This historic chart on the 1W timeframe shows that this phase lasts around 560 days while the previous blue one, which extends from the bottom of the Cycle, lasts around 500 days. This is a clear indication that at least for a year, Bitcoin will most likely rise parabolically with a possible target zone of 200,000 - 300,000. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
BITCOIN There is no turning back from this.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has started the 5th Bullish Wave of the current Bull Cycle, following the consolidation of the past 2 months. Since the November 2022 bottom we have had 4 such waves with consolidations ranging from 1 month to 6 months (blue Channel of April 10 - October 10 2023). The current wave can technically take Bitcoin up to $100k alone. What is even more bullish than that though is the fact that the whole (ellipse) structure since the October 2023 Low, resembles the sequences of April 2020 - March 2021 and May - December 2017. As you can see, both were Bullish Legs of the 7-year Channel Up. Symmetrically, it appears that we are past its 2nd consolidation (blue circle) and starting the final rally to the Top of the Channel Up. That means that the Cycle Top can even be marginally higher than $200k until the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) is breached again (note that we are past a 1W Bullish Cross also) which can make us start considering a Bull Cycle again. But what do you think? Is this rise just the start of a wave that will take BTC to 100000 even 200000 if history repeats itself? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
2
Bitcoin: 64K To 66K Retrace.Bitcoin pushed into the 70K resistance area over the previous week and retraced. Those who read my articles and watch my streams should not be surprised. My Trade Scanner Pro take profit price is at 72,632 which was missed by a few hundred points (entry was 62,907 on 5/2). As I continue to remind my followers, CONTEXT is key to navigating this consolidation and it can be summarized by two components: Trend, Support/Resistance. To gauge risk, profit potential and probabilities on shorter time horizons, this is ALL you need to know. Before I get into more of an explanation, here is my scenario for the coming week. There was a new buy signal off 69K (inside bar see arrow). While a higher low typically should lead to a higher high, the 70K resistance area is still intact and appears to be in play. IF the current candle closes weak and the next candle takes out its low, a test of 66K to 64K becomes more likely (see illustration). This is just ONE scenario of countless that I anticipate based on the price structure and support/resistance on this time frame (CONTEXT). To be clear, this analysis is meant for those who day trade or swing trade Bitcoin. IF you are only interested in longer time horizons, there is no shortage of 'experts' who will be happy to keep you entertained. So you know, the broader the time horizon, the more RANDOM the outcome. More is NOT better in this game. I estimate that 99% of the information available to the retail trader/investor is nothing more than misinformation or entertainment. Consuming more of it only leads to confusion and random outcomes. This is why I aim to SIMPLIFY by focusing ONLY on information that provides some ACTIONABLE VALUE. This is where TREND and SUPPORT/RESISTANCE come into play. Markets TREND, that fact alone is why we can argue that markets are not 100% random. For the retail trader, this is one of the few areas of the market that can provide some kind of advantage even if temporary. Trend provides a basic gauge of probability. This piece of CONTEXT helps to support/resistance levels into perspective and gives a reference point to better shape expectations. For example, for Bitcoin on this time frame, the broader trend is CLEARLY bullish while the shorter time horizon (going back3 months) is range bound. Recognizing this helps me form reasonable expectations about particular price levels in the future (60K, 64K, 70K, 73K etc). Support/Resistance levels are inflection points where a particular behavior occurred and MAY occur again in the future. While the levels can be broken randomly, knowing trend helps me anticipate which is likely to hold, and which is likely to break. IF the market chooses to compromise a level unexpectedly (it happens) then I ADJUST to the market NOT get stuck on an opinion. For example, in the context of a broader bullish trend, the 70K resistance on Bitcoin should break, and continues to be vulnerable even though a significant break has yet to occur. Context helps to shape expectations in line with MARKET generated information. As NEW information reaches the market, price adjusts, and we must also adjust. This phenomenon is rooted in the Efficient Markets Hypothesis. This is why those who think they can forecast the future from looking at a bunch of lines on a chart are fooling themselves and you. As a retail trader/investor it serves us best to evaluate BOTH sides of the market and assign a probability to each side. From there at least we can gauge risk and profit potential as per a chosen time frame more effectively and not be misinformed by others (too much internet). Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
9
Bitcoin: 64K Test For New Longs.Bitcoin has followed my anticipated scenario nicely over the recent two weeks (it doesn't always agree). As I have written in my previous two articles, the 64K and 68K resistance areas are potential take profit zones, NOT locations to put on more risk. Price action appears to be confirming that and is attempting to retrace off the 66K area minor resistance (See upper arrow). While this price action appears to be bearish it must be considered in light of the broader structure. Since the March peak, Bitcoin has been in consolidation mode (upon completion of 5 waves). This structure represents a broader HIGHER LOW with 56K established as the bottom of the range. This implies that the broader trend continues to be BULLISH even though recent price action has yet to push major resistances. This is a key piece of context because it helps to shape risk and profit potential for the near future. How you navigate this will depend on your risk tolerance and trade style but no matter how you look at it, current prices are unattractive for longs on most time horizons in my opinion. The scenario I anticipate this week (see illustration) is a minor retrace to 64K (old resistance/new support) followed by a momentum continuation into the 70K resistance. If a long confirmation appears (Trade Scanner Pro), this can play out well for traders on shorter time horizons. While I am optimistic in this regard, I also consider that price CAN break 64K and test 60K again. There is NO way to forecast how the market will behave, ESPECIALLY the longer the time horizon. Managing risk and capitalizing on movements EFFECTIVELY requires knowing how to evaluate market structure in order to stack probabilities. Based on this context if I can determine the trend is bullish for example, I can estimate that supports have a greater than 50% chance of staying intact. I can also expect long signals to have greater than 50% chance of generating some amount of profit, but there is no way to anticipate how much exactly (markets are MOSTLY RANDOM). Adjusting to price action and looking for signal conflicts or using a trailing stop helps to improve decision making in such an environment. If you get stuck on ideas, cling to hope or consume too much internet, you will soon learn how ineffective this is. The market is a great teacher but the lessons are often VERY EXPENSIVE. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Editors' picks
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
32
#Bitcoin [ Inverted Head And Shoulders - Short Squeeze Combo ] BTCUSD has printed an allbeit slanted yet very nice inverted head and shoulders that has retested and played out perfectly so far. The measured move coincides with multiple high time frame short liquidation levels (Not marked on this chart) with the biggest level being a 6 MONTH high volume liquidation level at $74,045. This strong of a #shortsqueeze could easily amplify the measured move, which I have extended, using the 150%-161.8% fib levels. The extension also lines right up with where all short liquidation levels end on the Coinglass heat map.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DoozerInvest
BITCOIN starting a mega rally. See when alts will follow.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just completed the final consolidation phase (red Rectangle) that as per the price action of past Cycles, is the final stage before the 1-year rally to the new Top. As you can see alt coin market (black trend-line) tends to bottom after Bitcoin's rally has already started and when it turns sideways again for a few weeks. Technically alts make that 2nd major Higher Low on their Cycle and rebound when BTC investors take some profits and direct a certain portion of capital to the riskier but more generous in terms of returns, altcoin market. So if you're wondering what to do next, be bullish on BTC and as the new rally extends, start taking profits towards August and make sure you're invested in alts. The lower their dominance is by then, the better. Do you agree with this approach? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
2
Bitcoin: New Buy Signal Off 60K.Bitcoin has found overall support just off the 56K level (on my chart) and has rallied back to the 64K resistance only to retest the 60K level (see illustration on chart). This is the scenario I described in my previous article and price is now in an ideal location for a swing trade long on this time frame. Interestingly enough, my Trade Scanner Pro system generated a long signal upon the close in the 64K area which I warned people against taking. Now is the time to be using the system to look for longs on smaller time frames such as the 1 hour. When using this system (or ANY system) CONTEXT is key. Context comes in many forms, but when it comes to my trend following momentum reversal system, it is all about trend relative to support/resistance levels. These two components are ALL you need to identify higher probability signals vs. more random signals or noise. It is best to think of the signals as a form of confirmation. For example, the 60K area for Bitcoin is CLEARLY a major support level. While there is no guarantee long signals will produce an positive outcome from that level, there is a GREATER probability since price has reacted in this way MULTIPLE times over the previous few months. With or without a system, it is better to be looking for buying opportunities at such a level. The more important question is how much to risk? Typically on this time frame you are looking at about 1500 pts. based on the recent candle stick pattern. The Trade Scanner is showing even greater risk, but also a greater potential reward (TP is near 72K). Again,CONTEXT carries more weight in these situations. While 72K is a possibility since the broader trend is still bullish, it is better to expect less in a consolidating environment. Using the 64K, and 68 to 70K resistance areas would be better choices in my opinion which puts reward/risk between 2.5:1 to greater than 4:1. Expecting LESS means IF price reaches the first resistance, TAKE something off the table. It is very important to understand that markets are MOSTLY RANDOM (I repeat this A LOT). This means NO system or analyst can accurately forecast where price will be in the future consistently. Price is determined by the perception of the active market participants, which can be retail traders, institutions, algos, etc. And all of these participants buy and sell for numerous reasons. What drives prices one way or the other are when there are large imbalances in the order flow. This is why a piece of unexpected news can come out of nowhere and completely change the participants perception of the future. Just two months ago, Bitcoin was going to be at 100K by now based on what the internet gurus were forecasting. No one was calling for a test of 56K when price was pushing 73K. This game is about probability and risk, NOT about how "early investors will make billions". There is a misconception that investors outperform traders and if you comparing the average investor to the average trader this statement may hold true. The part they don't mention though is that investors ASSUME MORE RISK since they are always in the market. People who happen to buy at LOW prices will outperform, but what about the people who buy near the top? This is when the average investor typically buys because the market looks its greatest (and the internet hype is the loudest). To outperform the typical investor or trader, you still need to have a way to gauge context: how low is low? how high is too high? And these questions are ALL a function of how much RISK you are willing to take. Profitability comes from good RISK management which is rooted in gauging opportunities that carry a greater potential relative to the associated risk. And this can be accomplished by knowing how to evaluate CONTEXT. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
10
BITCOIN Another 1D MA50 rejection. More bleeding ahead?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke again below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) after the 3rd rejection on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) in almost 1 month (since the April 13 bearish break-out). If it stays unbroken, it is a far from ideal development as the 1-year price action has shown us that such a pattern risks making a Lower Low. The technical structure since April 08 is a Channel Down nonetheless, so such feat is certainly possible on the short-term. As you can see from past 1D MA50 bearish break-outs, BTC tends to get more than 2 rejections and excluding January 2024, it has stayed below the 1D MA100 for longer. What's interesting is that if that Lower Low is made, it wouldn't just make a 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) test, but would also almost complete a -30% decline from the recent All Time High. Something that during Bull Cycle rallies is perfectly natural for Bitcoin. SO do you think the market will go for it?? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
11
BITCOIN Nothing to stop this Channel reaching 100k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is trading within the Rally Channel (green) with the price having already reached its bottom, making the 2nd Higher Low of the pattern. This is the very same pattern that emerged in the previous Cycle after the Growth Channel Up and took BTC to its new All Time High (ATH) at the time. Both Growth Channels had a crash event below them, the previous Cycle even had a bubble event above it (Libra euphoria). But once the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) turned into a Support after the Halving, the Bitcoin rally never looked back. The 1W STOCH indicator, which is very similar to the past Cycle as well, shows that we might even be much earlier in the Cycle symmetrically than we think of. In any case the next two Higher Highs for the Rally Channel are $100k and $140k. But what do you think? Are those Targets even plausible, let alone achievable by the end of Summer? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
7