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Bitcoin-btcusd

BTCUSD: Staying bullish with this breakthrough analysis.Bitcoin remains marginally neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.889, MACD = -2304.900, ADX = 28.298) as it erased yesterday's Fed gains. Nevertheless, this doesn't make us lose sight of the bigger picture. On this 1M chart, we have selected all Decembers, as they hold critical importance for BTC Cycles. Both bottoms and tops tend to be priced around them and in between two consolidation phases take place. Don't let the short term volatility cloud your long term perspective. This Cycle hasn't topped yet. Stay bullish. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
$DOGE - Bear Trap BuyReposting my analysis from 3/8 as it was delisted b/c I referenced a non-TV external account. Also, a disclaimer since I've quickly discovered that people like to chirp and demean ideas on TV: This is an IDEA. I maintain bull and bear cases for every underlying I analyze. My opinion about an underlying can change exceedingly quickly based on price action and how price's evolution either confirms or violates TREND (I define trend scholastically, NOT inferentially). I also may have 1 directional opinion about a security's higher timeframe and an opposing directional stance about a lower TF. Markets are fractal. Any serious trader/analyst understands what I'm articulating. This business is NOT about predicting. It is about understanding participant psychology, order flow, statistical distribution, risk vs. reward, profit margin, and probabilities. With that said, here's my post from 3/8: This is a technical (supply/demand) setup and is not a fundamental endorsement for CRYPTOCAP:DOGE ownership. $DOGE/USD (and crypto more broadly) has declined markedly (~60%) from December '24 highs. Late last month, low-quality daily demand (0.2021-0.1853) produced a minor bounce. DOGE quickly found sellers in advance of the opposing 1D supply zone (0.2428-0.2615), though, and was rejected. DOGE/USD appears poised for further near-term downside, with the weekly RSI threatening the 40 level. If DOGE/USD presses lower and trades < 0.1813, the next pocket of daily demand = 0.1700-0.1419. More significantly, DOGE has a well-formed weekly buy zone @ 0.1513-0.1280. DOGE/USD's intermediate-term uptrend is controlled by 0.0805 (low of the corrective segment 3/25/24 - 8/5/24). Trend-continuation buying is valid within the bounds of the corrective segment, which DOGE traded into in early Feb. Buys are supported by 78.6% and 88.6% Fibonacci retracement levels and, to a lesser degree, Anchored VWAP + 1W Bollinger Band lower bound (not pictured). Given crypto's broader price action and bearish momentum, confirmation entries are recommended. Potential buyers, depending on risk tolerance, should reference intraday timeframes for trend reversal signals vs. "catching a falling knife". Should DOGE bottom, preliminary target (T1) would be in advance of weekly supply @ 0.2398-0.2874 (use LTFs to refine and ID smaller sell zones that could challenge a rally). Trading > 0.2874 sets the stage for higher prices, with T2 supply 0.3288-0.3648. If DOGE/crypto approach T2 prices with significant bullish momentum (reference RSI), we could see subsequent prints in excess of December's 0.4846 high. As always, feedback's welcome. Godspeed! JHart
BINANCE:DOGEUSDLong
by JHartCharts
BITCOIN The Ultimate Cycle Model calls for $160k!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is rebounding following yesterday's Fed Rate Decision. Technically the rebound has already started 10 days ago after the market nearly bottomed on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line). This is the strongest long-term Support level, as it is where BTC priced Lows and rebounded on August 05 2024 and September 11 2023, but it is not the only one. With the current 2023 - 2025 Bull Cycle pattern being a Channel Up, this is the absolute and ultimate model that has been guiding the price action and can help estimate any future moves. Given that, it's also the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level that supported both Lows (as well as the current one) on the 1W MA50 mentioned above. As a result, we are so far on a double Support cluster. The 1W RSI comes in as the 3rd Support, as it hit and is rebounding now on its 2-year Support level, where the bounces of September 07 2024 and September 11 2023 happened. It is also important to mention that the Channel Up can be divided into two phases, Phase 1 (green Channel Up), which traded within the 0.0 - 1.0 Fibonacci range and Phase 2 (blue Channel Up), which trades within the 0.5 - 1.5 Fibonacci range. The symmetry within those patterns are so high that the two Bullish Legs of Phase one have both rallied by +100.64%. If Phase 2 follows the same dynamic, and there is no reason to assume it won't as the Bearish Legs have been almost identical, we can assume that the Bullish Leg that has just started will rise by +121.48%, same as the previous one (Aug - Dec 2024). That gives us a Target estimate of $160000. So do you think that BTC has bottomed on this Triple Support Cluster and if so, can it reach $160k by the end of this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
2
BTCUSD | Rising Wedge Breakdown – Bearish SetupChart Overview: This chart represents Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe and showcases a Rising Wedge pattern. The price action has reached a key resistance level, and a potential breakdown scenario is unfolding. 1️⃣ Pattern Identification: Rising Wedge Formation A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price moves within two converging upward-sloping trendlines. The narrowing price range indicates a weakening trend, and a breakdown usually leads to a significant price drop. Upper Trendline (Resistance): Marked in blue, this trendline connects the higher highs. Lower Trendline (Support): Also in blue, connecting the higher lows. Breakdown Confirmation: The price has already moved below the wedge support, confirming the bearish bias. 2️⃣ Key Price Levels & Zones 🔹 Resistance Zone (Blue Box) This strong resistance level has repeatedly rejected the price. The final rejection led to a breakout failure and potential trend reversal. 🔹 Support Zone (Blue Box) A strong demand zone, but a breakdown below it triggers a bearish trend. This level is now acting as potential resistance after the breakdown. 🔹 ATH (All-Time High) – $87,566 This marks the highest price level reached in the given timeframe. 3️⃣ Market Structure Breakdown 🔻 Bearish Momentum & Breakdown After touching the resistance, BTC failed to sustain upward movement. A breakout of the wedge's lower trendline confirms a trend reversal. Price action suggests a lower-high, lower-low structure, indicating a bearish market shift. 📉 Expected Price Movement (Wave Structure) The breakout retest could result in a small pullback to previous support (now resistance). After confirmation, price is likely to continue downward in a wave-like structure. Fibonacci levels or key support zones will act as profit-taking targets. 4️⃣ Trade Setup & Targets 🔻 Short Setup (Bearish Trade Idea) Entry: On a successful retest of the broken support zone. Stop-Loss (SL): Above the previous resistance zone for risk management. Take Profit (TP) Targets: TP 1: $81,638 TP 2: $77,897 Final Target: $74,990 5️⃣ Summary & Conclusion 📌 BTC/USD has broken out of a Rising Wedge pattern, confirming a bearish trend. 📌 A pullback and retest may occur before further downside continuation. 📌 The chart suggests a short opportunity, targeting lower support zones for potential profit-taking. 📌 Traders should manage risk with a well-placed stop-loss above key resistance. This setup aligns with technical analysis principles, confirming a high-probability short trade for BTC. 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
1
BITCOIN - Long Trade Idea - Possible Move Higher Incoming...This video follows up on the chart I posted last night, where I suggested that Bitcoin could break past its all-time highs and potentially double in value from its current levels. This analysis is based on the AriasWave methodology, which offers a clearer perspective compared to the often-confusing Elliott Wave approach. Check out the related idea below for the original chart, and in this video, I update that analysis with key levels to watch and potential risks to consider.
Long
by AriasWave
BUBBLE RUN of global marketsTheory! I just like to visualize similar global market events. NASDAQ:NVDA now vs. Cisco from 1991-2002 — it looks almost identical. The years 2026-27 could mark the final stage of the current “bubble run”: > an enormous number of crypto ETFs (even for worthless shitcoins) > overleveraged funds, from small players to industry leaders > AI projects with minimal revenue but insanely high infrastructure costs > soaring Gold prices alongside a decade-long decline in the U.S. manufacturing index, all while the stock market remains expensive > OpenAI, crypto exchanges, and AI companies with no real revenue planning IPOs in 2026+ I believe we are currently in a Bubble Run! This could be great for Bitcoin, because historically, Gold (over the past 100 years) has reached all-time highs during the final phase of a stock market bubble and continued rising until the market’s final dip. Then, smart money starts a new bull cycle — selling gold to buy cheap stocks.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by sholi_software
5
BITCOIN The 2021 Pivot trend-line that is coming to its rescue.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has stayed stable after last week's rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been the level that offered support on the Bull Cycle Channel's previous Higher Low (August 05 2024). Technically however, that is not the only major Support level that may be coming to BTC's rescue as we've identified the Pivot trend-line that started on the April 12 2021 High as a Resistance and since then made another 2 contacts (as rejections). This is the first time now that is being tested as Support. During the previous Cycle (2018 - 2021) a similar Pivot trend-line was the level that supported Bitcoin during the last year of its parabolic rally on January and June 2021. The June 2021 contact in particular tested the 1W MA50 as well, which is the exact situation we're in right now. That double support hold initiated the final rebound towards the Cycle's new All Time High (ATH). Check also how similar the 1W CCI patterns between the two fractals are and based on that, a 1W CCI reading at 200.00 would be a solid level to sell and take profit. As a result, we expect this Cycle's Channel Up to accelerate the current rebound, technically its Bullish Leg and make a new ATH, which would be the Cycle's new Top, ideally with a CCI at 200.00. So do you think this cyclical Pivot trend-line is coming along with the 1W MA50 to BTC's rescue? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
1
BTCUSD: This isn't the Top by any meansBitcoin remains slightly bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.137, MACD = -3097.700, ADX = 33.471) as even though it appears its trading on a macro bottom, just over the 1W MA50 (1W RSI = 45.068), it hasn't broken out yet. The market undoubtedly took a psychological hit with February's drop but despite the voices calling for a new bear market, we are here to show you why this Cycle hasn't topped yet and is still far from doing so. This metric measures BTC's temporary stops/ tops during a Bull Cycle. It is a Halving-to-Halving method, starting on the most recent Halving and ending on the next one. Stop 1 is where the starting Halving takes place and the market pulls back. Stop 2 is the next pullback on the 0.236 Time Fibonacci level. The 0.382 Fib prices Stop 3 and basically the Cycle Top. This has been happening on both previous Cycles exactly as described and on the 2012-14 Cycle it just had to be adjusted a little before the 1st Halving due to the Cycle being much shorter since it was the earliest. Nevertheless, it fits the Stop points perfectly. Note also that distance from the Halving (Stop 1) to Stop 3 has always been 76/78 weeks. This suggests the we can have a new Cycle Top by October 20th 2025 the latest. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
1
BITCOIN HEADING TO 77600 LEVELIt seems that there's an atmosphere of panic. When traders see significant price drops, it can lead to a cascade of selling, with more people fearing losses. This fear can create a liquidity trap where those entering long positions are quickly taken out as prices continue to decline. In such scenarios, liquidations occur when leveraged positions are forcibly closed by exchanges to prevent further losses, which adds even more selling pressure. The cycle can become self-reinforcing; as prices dip, more traders panic and sell, leading to further declines. Based on this scenario, I am confident in entering a short position with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio toward the 77600 level. Follow me for more analysis
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by ShinForex1
BITCOIN The 0.5 Fib Golden Rule! This is not a Bear Market yet!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) shook the bullish market sentiment last month, as late February saw it drop aggressively not just from the 109k All Time High (ATH) but also below the key psychological Support of $90000. We have discussed already how the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) coming to its rescue, is the critical Support and rightfully so, but there is also another critical condition that is currently showing incredible strength, keeping BTC into Bull Cycle territory (for now). That is the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level Golden Rule. This suggests that BTC's corrections/ pull-backs up to the 0.5 Fib level are technical and perfectly systemic, especially with the 1W MA50 supporting. If anything, such pull-backs during a Bull Cycle are the most optimal buy opportunities. We are currently on an exact such opportunity as the price hit last week both the 1W MA50 and the 0.5 Fib. In the past 10 years since the August 2015 Bear Cycle bottom, every correction up to the 0.5 Fib was a buy. In the 4 cases it broke, 2 were the signals of the 2018 and 2022 Bear Cycles and the other 2 signals of the market correcting the bullish overreaction to the Libra (2019) and Musk (2021) rallies. The latter though was still contained above the 1W MA50 and so would the 2019 one if it wasn't for the March 2020 COVID crash. As a result, we still see no cause for concern (yet) and so far this is the best buy opportunity for Bitcoin since last year and the August 05 2024 Low. But what do you think? Is this 0.5 Fib Golden Rule coming to push Bitcoin higher to its next ATH? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
1
The current BTC chart, incorporating my 'flash-crash' thesisThis chart illustrates the current Bitcoin pattern, with my 'April flash crash thesis.' I believe we will see another thrust lower into the green box ranges before a spring into the fifth wave. However, the fifth wave will be a "false breakout," as a flash crash in mid to late April is likely to occur, intentionally designed to sweep liquidity by liquidating overleveraged positions and triggering stop losses—driving price past the previous low set in the green box, only for the market to recover shortly thereafter and continue its breakout to the upside. This breakout will likely push beyond the pattern, taking out the all-time high, and setting a new high somewhere in the 20K to 25K range. There could be some opportunities in the next 4 to 6 weeks, but with opportunity comes risk. Always use a proper risk management strategy suited to your skill level and wallet size. Good luck, and always use a stop loss!
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by MetaShackle
This is a 4-hour chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD)This is a 4-hour chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) showing a key resistance level around $86,527 and a potential bearish move towards lower support zones. Analysis: Price is currently trading near the resistance zone, struggling to break above it. A sell setup is suggested, expecting rejection from resistance. The first target is around $78,500, with an extended downside target at $75,869 and possibly $71,580 if momentum continues. A stop-loss level is placed above resistance at $86,527, indicating a risk management strategy. The overall structure suggests bearish sentiment unless price breaks above resistance. Potential Trading Plan: 📉 Bearish Scenario: Short below resistance confirmation. Targets at $78,500, $75,869, and $71,580. Stop-loss above $86,527. 📈 Bullish Scenario: A break and close above $86,527 could invalidate the bearish setup.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by ForexOptimizer
BTCUSDT Upside potentialThe BTC/USDT market is currently consolidating above the 80,000 level after breaking below February's low. Recently, a large weekly doji candle has emerged, signaling ongoing sideways movement. At present, the price remains within this week's trading range. From a broader perspective, price action appears to be narrowing, forming a falling wedge pattern. With the market consolidating just below the downward trendline, a potential breakout above this level could signal further upside momentum. If the price manages to close above last week's high, it could lead to the formation of a solid inverse head and shoulders pattern, reinforcing the possibility of an upward extension. The next key target lies at the resistance zone around 88,000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RTED_Investing
BITCOIN Is this the 'most normal' Cycle of them all ??This is not the first time we use a Convergence/ Divergence approach to Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Cycles and certainly not the last one. On the previous one, it helped us to succesffuly predict the end of 2022 bottom but what we couldn't anticipate is how smooth the new/ current Cycle 5 (orange trend-line) would be. As the title says, this is probably the 'most normal' Cycle of them all, as BTC has been trading within a Channel Up (orange) since the Bear Cycle's bottom more than 2 years ago. To get a better understanding of this claim, we compare Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) Cycles from their previous top to the next one (with the exception of the first), on this complete mapping analysis, having them all displayed on top of another: Cycle 1 (green trend-line), Cycle 2 (red), Cycle 3 (blue), Cycle 4 (black) and the current one Cycle 5 (orange). ** Diminishing Returns ** As you see, first of all, this showcases the Theory of Diminishing Returns, which suggests that as the market grows and higher adoption is achieved, BTC will show less and less returns in each Cycle. Every Cycle Top has been lower from the previous one. ** Cycle Convergence - Divergence ** Secondly, all Cycles particularly during their Bear Phase and for a short time after, tend to follow a common path. The illustration on this analysis is very clear as it starts with each Cycle's Bear Phase and you can see that when they diverge, they converge again quickly. The most recent Bear Phase was not surprisingly as long as Cycle 4 and almost Cycle 3, which was to be expected as the market has shown an amazing degree of symmetry in the past 10 years. Note that this is also the model that helped as determine very early in 2023 that Cycle 3 would be the best fit for the new Cycle in terms of price action and without a doubt, BTC has been mostly replicating that Cycle. ** What's next for the current Cycle? ** If we compare the current Cycle (5) with Cycle 3 we can see that the Convergence - Divergence Model is holding. So far when Cycle 5 converged, it immediately diverged. And this is exactly what it has been doing since the December High and the marginal January All Time High (ATH). It has started to diverge significantly from Cycle 3 so what the recent pull-back to the 1W MA50 achieved is to normalize it and is about to touch it. Now that the price hit the bottom of its +2 year Channel Up, we expect to rise, which will achieved convergence and contact with both Cycles 3 and 4, which is what they both did in their last 150 days of their respective Bull Cycles. Technically, this can take Cycle 5 to around $150k. As we've first mentioned in the crypto space, regarding the last Bear Market being the 'smoothest' in history, we can securely say now that the current Bull Cycle is also the 'most normal' ever. So what do you think? Does this Cycle regression model offer any useful conclusion as to where Bitcoin might top and if so, is this Cycle indeed the 'most normal' in the history? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
4
BTC Bitcoin Technical Rebound Despite Whale Short Position !If you haven`t sold this recent top on BTC: Now Bitcoin (BTC) has recently pulled back, but signs are emerging that a technical rebound could be imminent. A large crypto investor, or whale, has reportedly opened a 40x leveraged short position for over 4,442 BTC (valued at over $368 million), effectively betting on a near-term price drop. However, this appears to be more of a short-term, low-volume trade rather than a sustained bearish position. Given the high leverage involved, the whale will likely seek to close the position soon with a modest profit rather than holding it as a long-term directional bet. Weekend trading volumes tend to be lower, which could contribute to short-term price weakness — but once the position is closed, buying pressure could return, fueling a recovery. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is currently near key support levels, with momentum indicators like the RSI signaling oversold conditions. Historically, similar setups have led to sharp rebounds as short covering and renewed bullish sentiment drive prices higher. My price target for Bitcoin is $97,500 by the end of the year, which would represent a recovery of approximately 15-20% from current levels. If the whale closes the short position and broader market sentiment stabilizes, Bitcoin could quickly regain upward momentum toward this target.
Long
by TopgOptions
2
Solana ($SOLUSD) - Monthly Demand InboundQuick TA for Solana $SOL. Many cryptos are at inflection points and will likely break higher or roll over from current prices (I think a move down is more likely, per long-term charts, and am hoping this happens for the sake of buying opportunities). Solana, like many other cryptos, has failed to develop meaningful 1D bullish momentum (RSI holding below 50). Should COINBASE:SOLUSD get another leg down, I'll be watching its behavior as it enters lower demand zones. 101.75-78.87 = monthly demand; 74.85-51.37 = weekly demand, but there are also buy areas higher. If Solana trades lower and approaches the aforementioned levels, use LTFs for signs of exhaustion/downtrend reversal. Personally, I wouldn't use "set-and-forget" buy limit orders; higher-beta cryptos may keep selling off until majors bottom/reverse and/or prices might not trade low enough to hit your limit price. I prefer more of a "hands-on" approach to trading, but to each their own. On the road, so truncated analysis. Will update when I can. Thank you for your interest and let me know what you think! Jon @JHartCharts
BINANCE:SOLUSDLong
by JHartCharts
[Potential Bullish Alternative] Bitcoin Elliott Wave CountsLet's face it. None of us want BITSTAMP:BTCUSD to go down. Isn't it? So whenever I see a potential/local bottom, I start looking for a bullish possibility. Few days back, #BTC dipped below 77K so I started counting waves from that point to see if there could be anything good happening here. On the 4H chart here, I can see a 5 wave move up (wave (i)) which could be described as a leading diagonal followed by a a-b-c down in wave (ii). The next move up (supposedly wave (iii)) seem to be looking fine so far. I can easily count 5 wave impulse in it by drilling it down to 1H chart. Note that, this would be just i of (iii). SO far so good. Disclaimer : Note that this is something we all elliott wave chartists do when we see a bottom to assess if a new trend could be starting. This is just one (bullish) alternative that I am exploring. There are bearish alternatives as well.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by YetAnotherTA