Bitcoin's Last Stand: Can It Break Above $68.3k?MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN has finally reached the weekly block—the last level before ATHs.
Is this the moment we’ve been waiting for? I believe it is. For the first time, it’s printing a bullish weekly signal at this critical level. The last attempts, in June and July, were merely bounces without the momentum or reversal signals needed to push higher.
This time feels different. We have an expansion candle on the weekly, and hopefully, it will close above the $68.3k level. If we compare the timeline to the previous breakout before the $30k surge, this consolidation phase seems to be coming to an end.
I think the odds are now better for an upward move.
I’ll revisit this chart at the end of the week—we still need a solid close.
If everything aligns, November could be a strong month, potentially pushing toward $81k!
Bitcoin-btcusd
BITCOIN 'Angle Theory' unlocking this Cycle. Is $140k the top?Exactly 1 year ago (October 02 2023, see chart below), we published a renewed approach on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) historic Cycles, using the 'Angles Theory' on the logarithmic curve to make a more accurate roadmap of the current Cycle:
Back then, the price was 'just' $28000 and a few months later it catapulted to almost $74000. Below we present again the basics of that analysis, in order to refresh your memory.
** Cycle Peaks and angles **
BTC's Cycle peaks in historical order have been $32, $1250, $19800, $69800. They all made contact with the Logarithmic top Growth Curve, a historic pattern that is holding since BTC's inception.
Every peak-to-peak measurement appears to be roughly half of the previous peak. The automatic angle measurements on the (red) dotted lines may differ based on the screen's display and how the horizontal/ vertical axis move but on ours (and the screenshot of the idea) goes like this: 42°, 22°, 11°. We estimate a 7° angle for the new Cycle peak on the log Growth Curve.
** Next Cycle peak? **
If we take all previous Cycles and apply them to fit the new price action towards the top of the Log Growth Curve, that 7° line gives a projected Cycle peak within $140000 - 160000 (slightly updated from our study a year ago). It is also interesting to apply the same angle principle to the Cycle bottoms. We can see that those (green dotted lines) can also roughly be half of what the previous bottom was (though the variations are higher). The new bottom is estimated to be on a 8° angle.
Remarkably the angles of the tops and bottoms of each Cycle have approximately the same measurements, indicating that despite being logarithmic within a curve, they can be viewed separately in Channels.
** Last year compared to now **
So how has this Theory worked out compared to last year? Well beyond doubt, the Cycle was much more aggressive that the previous two (blue and orange) due to mainly the Bitcoin ETF launch, and is certainly more similar to the first Cycle (black). That suggests that it will top by January 2025 but the Sine Waves Tops, which have caught Bitcoin's cyclical peaks with incredible accuracy, indicate it will be around November 2025. As you can see, this is exactly where the projection of the blue and orange fractals show.
But what do you think? Will the current Cycle peak at the end of 2025 and if show will it be at a minimum of $140000 and a maximum of $1600000, as the 7° angle on the Log Curve suggests? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC in Greed Zone, Overbought RSI: Correction or Instant Pump?GM crypto bro's, this morning the fear and greed index remains in the greed zone at 73, while the Stoch RSI is in the overbought area.
BTC has made a slight correction this morning, and with the weekend approaching, which usually sees low volume and normal corrections, BTC may revisit the 64K - 63K range, or perhaps dip further into the 62K - 61K range.
However, an instant pump back to 69K is still a possibility. Keep in mind, the market is dynamic. Don’t FOMO, always manage your risk, and as always, this is Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.
BITCOIN in Greed Zone , Will BTC Peak at 69K Before Correction?GM crypto bro's, we are still in the greed zone at 71 this morning, and Stoch RSI is at the peak of overbought. BTC reached a top around 68K.
Looking at the price action, there's a strong possibility BTC will visit 69K first before a correction towards 64K. But keep in mind, with the market in this greedy state, don't get FOMO. Always maintain your risk, and as always, this is Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.
Is Bitcoin's Golden Cross Signaling Parabolic Moves Ahead?Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Investing in cryptocurrencies is highly volatile and speculative, and it is essential to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.
Bitcoin (BTC), the pioneering cryptocurrency, has exhibited a remarkable surge in recent days, forming a bullish technical pattern known as a golden cross. This development has fueled optimism among analysts, who are predicting parabolic price movements shortly.
Bitcoin's price has consistently climbed over the past three days, reaching its highest point since July 29th. This robust uptrend has propelled the cryptocurrency to retest the psychologically significant level of $68,000, marking a substantial increase of nearly 40% from its August low.
The Golden Cross: A Bullish Signal
The formation of a golden cross occurs when a short-term moving average (SMA) crosses above a long-term SMA. This technical pattern is widely regarded as a bullish signal, suggesting that the underlying asset is experiencing a reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend.
In Bitcoin's case, the golden cross was formed when the 50-day SMA crossed above the 200-day SMA. This indicates that the cryptocurrency's short-term momentum has turned positive, potentially signaling a sustained uptrend.
Analysts Forecast Parabolic Moves
Encouraged by the golden cross and Bitcoin's recent price performance, analysts are expressing bullish sentiment and predicting parabolic price movements. Parabolic moves refer to rapid and exponential price increases, often characterized by a steep upward curve.
Several factors are contributing to this optimistic outlook:
• Institutional Adoption: The growing interest and adoption of Bitcoin by institutional investors, such as corporations and hedge funds, are seen as a significant catalyst for price appreciation.
• Macroeconomic Factors: The ongoing uncertainty surrounding global economic conditions and inflationary pressures is driving investors towards safe-haven assets like Bitcoin.
• Technical Indicators: In addition to the golden cross, other technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), are also signaling bullish momentum.
Breaking Above the Falling Wedge
Bitcoin's price action has also been supported by a breakout above a descending falling wedge pattern on the daily chart. This technical formation suggests that a bullish reversal is underway, further bolstering the case for higher prices.
However, it's important to note that while Bitcoin has reached a new high, it has yet to close a daily candle above the resistance level of the falling wedge. A successful close above this level would confirm the breakout and increase the likelihood of further upward movement.
Conclusion
The formation of a golden cross and the breakout above a falling wedge pattern have ignited bullish sentiment surrounding Bitcoin. Analysts are predicting parabolic price movements as institutional adoption, macroeconomic factors, and technical indicators all point towards a sustained uptrend.
While the cryptocurrency's future remains uncertain, the current technical landscape suggests that Bitcoin is well-positioned for a significant price increase. However, it's crucial to approach investing in cryptocurrencies with caution and be aware of the inherent risks involved.
BTCUSDT Potential Up trend continuationLast week, BTCUSDT bounced off resistance and dipped to retest the psychological support level at 60,000. After the retest, the price rebounded and broke above the 62,500 level, which had been tested and respected five times in the past. The recent bullish candle further underscores the strength of this level, breaking through it with momentum. On the daily timeframe, the formation of higher lows and higher closes indicates a bullish sentiment. If the support holds, there is a strong chance the price may retest the recent resistance zone. The target is the resistance zone around 65,500
BITCOIN One year later, the pattern is repeated and leads to 88kThis is not the first time we make a case for October being the start of an aggressive rally for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and lately we have presented you the evidence on the long-term 1W time-frame.
This time we want to focus on the 1D chart, where a more detailed analysis can be made on the fractals that lead to this rally. It was the very same pattern that helped us catch last year the amazing October 2023 - March 2024 rally, as you can see on our September 28 2023 post (see chart below):
As you can see both fractals (2023 and 2024) traded initially within a Triangle pattern that bottomed on an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S). The bottom took place at the same time of the 1D Death Cross formation. Throughout the whole process, they were supported by the 1W MA50 (red trend-line).
Right now on the October 2024 fractal we are at the point where BTC just broke above the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Triangle. On the 2023 fractal that led to a brutal rise that only took a 'break' after reaching the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, right after forming a 1D Golden Cross.
As a result, it is possible to see $88000 (Fib 2.0 ext) in December, before the market 'cools' again. Much of course will depend upon how the markets will digest the November U.S. elections but as we've shown you in analytical charts here, the result of event tends to make little difference.
So what do you think? Can this break-out lead to 88k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD—Greed Zone 73, Will BTC Hit 69K or Retrace First?GM crypto bro's, this morning the fear and greed index is still in the greed zone at 73, and the Stoch RSI is already in the overbought area. Last night, BTC pumped significantly to around 67,800.
Will the correction to the 64K - 63K range not happen? The market is dynamic, so it’s hard to predict with certainty whether a correction will occur. However, personally, I see a big probability for a correction before BTC hits 69K.
But keep in mind, with the market in this greedy state, don't get FOMO. Always maintain your risk, and as always, this is Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.
BTC USD UpdateSo, we're pushing through bearish highs strongly. The dollar is free-falling, and BTC is raising heavily. We have our other 2 targets done. Now, we have a big 70K. There are massive sell levels in the order flow software to see around it, so be careful to buy into it. But if we get through again, we're going to new ATH, I believe, and happily keeping positions open with a trailing stop on the last 4h lows
Waiting for a Buy Opportunity at SOL Support ZoneSOL/USDT is currently trading around 156.19 USD, and I’m keeping a close eye on its price action. After a solid bounce from the key support level at 151.46 USD, I expect it might consolidate for a while between the resistance at 159.52 USD and the support around 153.12 USD.
If the price pulls back to the 151.46-153.12 USD zone, I see that as a strong buying opportunity, especially since it lines up with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. This level often acts as a significant support in uptrends.
In the short term, I’m anticipating some sideways movement before we get a potential breakout above 159.52 USD. If that happens, my target would be the next key level at 167.13 USD, which aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
While there’s always the possibility of a pullback, the way the price has been moving lately makes me believe that the buyers are still in control. I’ll be watching the support zone closely for any signs of further bullish action.
BTCUSD—After Pump to 66K, What’s Next? incomming dump?GM crypto bro's, this morning fear and greed index entered the greed zone at 65, while Stoch RSI is nearing the overbought area. BTC has finally hit 65K, even reaching 66,480, and this pump pushed the index into greed.
What’s next for BTC? Normally, after a pump and hitting greed status, a correction is likely. Looking at this morning's price action, the areas that could be retested are the 64K - 63K yellow zone and the 62K - 61K red zone.
However, there's also a chance BTC could do an instant pump to 69K again. Keep in mind the market is dynamic—don’t get FOMO. Always manage your risk, and as always, this is Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.
Bitcoin reached the resistance of 65800, what is the next step?Here , about 1 week ago, I announced that Bitcoin will meet the resistance of 65800 and after that we have to wait for the price reaction.
Now that we have reached here, it can be predicted that if 66,500 is broken, the upward trend will continue and we will see the short-term goals of 77,000 and 95,000.
In case of correction, the support of 59,000 is very important for the continuation of the process.
If you want to know about the future of Bitcoin, don't forget to follow and boost.
BTC/USDT - Rejection from Key Level with Bearish Continuationhello guys.
actually, btc surprised me!
Hunting Level Rejection:
Bitcoin has reached the hunting level (around $65,100), showing signs of resistance and potential reversal. The price briefly spiked into this level but faced rejection, signaling exhaustion in buying pressure.
Bearish Engulfing Potential:
If the price fails to hold the current level and shows a bearish engulfing pattern, it will likely initiate a downward move. This move would invalidate further bullish attempts in the short term.
First Target:
The first significant support zone lies around $63,100, which could act as the initial target for any downward momentum.
Final Target:
A stronger bearish continuation could drive the price toward $59,300 (the lower hunting level), aligning with prior accumulation zones and a solid demand area.
Bitcoin Quest- History tends to repeat itself.
- The maximum could reach around 250k.
- The minimum could drop to about 40k.
- Remember, the longer it takes, the higher we could go.
- The graphic is straightforward as usual; just track "colors", "bubbles" and "trends."
- Keep in mind, while the future is uncertain, we can still speculate.
Happy Tr4Ding
BTCUSD—Small Retrace Before 65K? or incoming pump ?GM crypto bro's, back to working day! This morning, fear and greed index is at 48, neutral zone, while the Stoch RSI is still heading towards the overbought area.
Price action suggests a small retrace to around 61K might happen today, but the bigger picture still leans towards 65K. Keep in mind the market is dynamic—don’t get FOMO. Always manage your risk, and as always, this is Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.
Bitcoin: Sell Signal Watch For 58K.Bitcoin continues to respect the support/resistance levels within the broader consolidation. These price areas have been relevant for months and will continue to be relevant UNTIL the market proves otherwise. To navigate this environment effectively requires the ability to anticipate price behavior at these key levels, confirm a reversal AND quantify the risk associated with the time frame you intend to operate within.
With this in mind, 64K is a CLEAR resistance and it is within reason to anticipate bearish activity across higher and lower time frames. As of now the low of an inside bar has been broken (see arrow). This CONFIRMS a sell signal off the 64K key resistance which means this is NOT the time to be long (swing trades) and aggressive shorts are reasonable for smaller time frame (day trade) strategies.
The illustration on the chart refers to the scenario that I believe has a greater probability to unfold compared to a narrow range of scenarios over the coming week (see previous articles for outcomes of previous illustrations). While this can change at any time, the point here is to recognize the next probability location (58K AREA) for a swing trade long. IF Bitcoin presents such a test, the pattern to watch for is a bullish pin bar or inside bar between 56 and 58K. Such an outcome can be characterized as a failed low formation which is very typical within price consolidations.
If you are interested in the short side potential, following the illustration is most effective on smaller time frames and using a tool like my Trade Scanner Pro in trend mode. This setting is specifically for momentum continuation patterns which are likely to unfold in price regions that are not in close proximity to key levels (like 62L to 60K for example.) The idea is to follow the momentum on the smaller time frame while also accounting for the smaller magnitude profit objective and risk.
Playing the price action game totally relies on a strong grasp of HOW price moves, NOT WHY. One of the biggest obstacles for retail traders is the relentless amount of misinformation that is then mixed with personal emotional baggage. Yet, even though I repeat this often, it is no match for the power the drives human nature. People would rather react to and put their trust into an exciting story rather than a bunch of seemingly abstract lines on a chart.
What the typical trader fails to realize is that a chart is a historical record of human behavior expressed in the form of buy/sell orders. The problem we are trying to solve (where is price going next?) is a BEHAVIORAL one, and nothing more (even in the age of algos). One of the universal truths that make technical analysis worthwhile is that "history repeats itself". Why else do you think support/resistance levels have any future opportunity value?
Thanks you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTCUSD—Road to 65K Continues !, Caution for another drop?GM crypto bro's, happy weekend! Fear and greed index remains neutral at 50, and the Stoch RSI is signaling it’s heading towards the overbought area.
Today’s market update is pretty similar to yesterday—Bitcoin is still on its way to 65K. Keep in mind the market is dynamic—don’t get FOMO. Always manage your risk, and as always, this is Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.
Save Bitcoin profits in the price range of $64,800 to $66,500In the price range of $64,800 to $66,500, close part of the long position of Bitcoin. This price zone can lead to a price reduction or correction.
If you get a sales confirmation in the 1-hour timeframe, you can enter a sell position with a reasonable risk and reward
BTCUSD—65K Target Hit? What's Next for Weekend Trading?GM crypto bro's, happy weekend! Fear and greed index is back to neutral at 49, and the Stoch RSI is rising out of the oversold area. Today, BTC has pumped as I mentioned in yesterday's market update, with a high probability reaching the 65K target range.
However, this doesn’t mean the risk of a dump is over. Keep in mind the market is dynamic—don’t get FOMO. Always manage your risk, and as always, this is Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.