BTCUSD: Will it make new All Time High or get rejected?Bitcoin turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 71.973, MACD = 1675.300, ADX = 39.493) as it is on the 4th straight bullish day, approaching the 73,800 All Time High. The rise is being charged by the 1D Golden Cross formation two days ago and with the 1W time-frame still far from being overbought, we can see this bullish trend extending. If it breaks the ATH, we expect a slower ascend to 80,000 but if the price is rejected on the ATH level, we may see a new test of the 1D MA50 (TP = 67,500) so that the market tests the buying strength once more before breaking the ATH.
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Bitcoin-btcusd
BITCOIN RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT|
✅BITCOIN broke the falling
Resistance line just as I predicted
And we are bullish biased mid-term
However, the coin is locally overbought
So after it hits the horizontal resistance
Of 74k$ we will be expecting a local
Bearish correction
SHORT🔥
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Bitcoin Faces Bearish Pressure Amid Tether InvestigationIf you didn’t purchase BTC before the last rally:
Now Bitcoin's recent performance may be overshadowed by growing concerns surrounding the stability of the cryptocurrency market, particularly in light of the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) launching a criminal investigation into Tether, the issuer of the popular stablecoin USDT.
According to reports from the Wall Street Journal, this investigation, spearheaded by the U.S. attorney’s office in Manhattan, is examining potential violations of sanctions and anti-money laundering regulations.
Tether has been a crucial component of the cryptocurrency ecosystem, as its dollar-pegged stablecoin is widely used for trading and liquidity across numerous exchanges. Any negative developments in the investigation could undermine confidence in USDT, leading to broader implications for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies that rely on stablecoins for stability and transaction efficiency.
Investors may become increasingly wary, fearing that regulatory actions could restrict Tether's operations or even jeopardize its ability to maintain its peg to the U.S. dollar. A loss of faith in USDT could trigger panic selling, as traders might rush to liquidate their positions in Bitcoin and other assets, leading to increased volatility and downward pressure on prices.
The scrutiny surrounding Tether could prompt regulators to examine other stablecoins and cryptocurrency projects more closely, adding to the uncertainty and potential for further regulatory crackdowns. This environment of increased regulatory oversight could deter new investors from entering the market and may lead existing investors to reassess their positions.
BTCUSD—Achieves 70K; Short-Term Correction ProbableGM crypto bro’s, this morning’s fear and greed index holds steady at 72 in the greed zone, while Stoch RSI rebounds after touching oversold levels.
Last night, BTC hit our anticipated 70K target—a mark discussed in previous updates. While yesterday’s market update hinted at a correction, BTC surprised us with an impressive pump to reach 70K.
Next move for BTC? Given the elevated greed level and recent pump, we might expect a brief correction down to 68K in the near term. Remember, probability is just that—probability. Stay vigilant, avoid FOMO, and manage your risks. Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a great day and stay SAFU.
BITCOIN - The Next Target: Minimum $118K...After months away from analyzing the Bitcoin chart, I revisited it and identified a straightforward count, clearing away previous complexities to better estimate Bitcoin’s next target.
Based on this count, we’re now in Wave v of Wave 5, marking the final movement in this 5-Wave sequence that began in 2008.
In this video, I’ll also cover the key levels to watch if you’re looking to trade this move higher.
Stop Level: $58,971
Target 1: $118,000
Target 2: $174,000
This is just an idea and is not investment advice. Always trade with caution.
ATCryptoScan : BTCUSD at that time before launch againLooking back at the BTCUSD weekly charts, there appears to be similar, if not the same, technical conditions before the start of a massive BTCUSD rally. This comes with both MACD and VolDiv crossovers and a breakout of a trendline after a period of consolidation.
Marked out by time lines, the Green lines are the most similar to current (yellow), and the orange has only a differing VolDiv. All are breakout points and appears to be great accumulation start points for the next year or two.
Just weeks ago, a similar technical set up was made, and today is a couple of weeks after...
Clear correlation here, so we know what the most probable for the next year going forward...
Seriously Bullish BTC
PS. this is the repeat post... the amended version.
BTCUSD—Testing Probable Pump, Double Top Formation PossibleGM crypto bro’s, today fear and greed index remains in the greed zone at 72, with Stoch RSI touching oversold territory.
On the D1 timeframe, BTC is likely to correct toward our previous range of 65K-64K. However, on the H4 timeframe, there’s an alternate scenario: a potential pump test toward 68K. Should a rejection occur here, we may see a double-top formation on H4.
Probability is just that—probability. Stay sharp, avoid FOMO, and manage your risks. Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a great day and stay SAFU.
Why Smart Money is BEGGING for a Bitcoin Dip (Technical Analysis📈 Why Smart Money is BEGGING for a Bitcoin Dip (Technical Analysis)
MAC Strategy: Your Dip-Buying Blueprint
Monthly and weekly Moving Average Channel indicators are bullish. Here's your shopping list:
- Weekly MAC support: $59,234
- Monthly MAC support: $55,943
These aren't dips - they're gifts. When Bitcoin touches these levels, smart money moves fast.
Ducks in a Barrel Strategy Says "Load Up"
Weekly timeframe say we want to buy the dip. :
- 39 & 52 week MAs trending up and pulling away from each other (bullish momentum)
- Strong uptrend intact in spite of the several months of consolidation..
Perfect storm setup for Ducks in a Barrel:
1. Bitcoin undervalued vs gold/treasuries
2. Stochastic hits oversold at the same time
If you see a Bitcoin dip, REMEMBER: Dips are Gifts.
Stop Missing These Setups
I'll be honest - finding and catching these dips isn't rocket science, but timing is everything. Ready to level up?
- Learn how to implement rules based & non-discretionary trading to become profitable
- Learn to interpret the Commitment of Traders data to gain a major edge in the markets
- Join live market analysis sessions
- Learn my exact entry triggers
- Master risk management
DM me for more information. Serious traders only.
Trading Disclaimer
TRADING CRYPTOCURRENCIES INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The information provided in this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change without notice. I am not a licensed financial advisor. All trading decisions and consequences are your responsibility.
BTCUSD—Oversold Zone Approaching, Correction LikelyGM crypto bro's, happy weekend! Fear and greed index remains in the greed zone at 74, while Stoch RSI continues to approach oversold territory.
Today’s price action outlook is similar to yesterday’s update, with a likely target correction around the 64K range. Current potential for a pump is low. Remember, markets are dynamic—stay cautious, don’t FOMO, and always manage risk. Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a great day and stay SAFU.
Bitcoin: Hasn't Reached Optimal Price.Bitcoin showing a higher low consolidation just above the 64K area support. Relative to the previous bullish structure, this signifies a higher likelihood that a higher high will follow, it's just a matter of catalyst. In the mean time, price can fluctuate either way from the current point (random). While the trend may be obvious in this situation, timing it effectively has everything to do with recognizing high probability price locations, setups etc. Otherwise you can make the mistake of assuming greater risk than you realize. In this article, I will describe the high probability, lower risk scenario that the market MAY OR MAY NOT present in the coming week.
One thing I recognize is that price continues to flirt with a resistance zone which makes this a tricky play for swing trades (at the time of writing current candle is inside bar). The 67K to 70K area is still a resistance zone (blue rectangle) and a higher risk location for long swing trades. In such scenarios when location is high risk but buy signals appear (break of inside bar high for example), it is more effective to assume risk on smaller time frames like 4H or 1H, and attempting to participate for a smaller bite. The risk that you are minimizing in this situation is the possibility that the 65K minor support is tested again and/or broken (see arrow).
The higher probability and lower risk scenario would be IF price can test the 64K support, followed by a reversal confirmation. The location is much more attractive since the potential profit is greater (3K+ points) coupled with much lower RISK (1 to 1.5 max) compared to 3K+ points of risk at the moment relative to this time frame. The illustration on the chart summarizes the ideal scenario that IF the market shows, would be a high probability swing trade long opportunity (which requires entry confirmation).
These scenarios that I present are dependent on the price action confirmation otherwise risk cannot be justified. Even having a confirmation process (like the Trade Scanner Pro) does NOT guarantee the trade idea will produce a positive outcome. After all, markets are HIGHLY random and outcomes are often the result of unexpected information being priced in. This is why technical analysis cannot be relied upon over longer time horizons, but can be helpful for quantifying risk.
Managing a position effectively no matter the time frame has everything to do with having properly aligned market expectations. First you uncover an idea, LET the market confirm the idea, from there it goes the right way or the wrong way. Your expectations will then shape how you manage the position as it fluctuates. The key to effective management is having an open enough mind to let the market pay you more when IT wants to, while being decisive enough to get out the moment you recognize what "wrong" looks like (or using other risk control methods like a stop). All of this information can be acquired from price charts or tools developed to simplify this process. Without any "process" you are most susceptible to relying on intuition and "hope" which will result in the typical retail trader experience: win sometimes but the account never grows for some reason.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTCUSD—Oversold Stoch RSI Signals Possible CorrectionGM crypto bro's, happy weekend! The fear and greed index is currently inaccessible—likely under maintenance. However, Stoch RSI is heading towards oversold territory, and the BTC candle close on the 25th broke through the previous day’s bullish engulfing.
So, where to next? Based on today’s price action, there's a strong probability that BTC will correct to the 65K - 64K range, possibly even lower. Stay safe, don’t FOMO, and as always, manage your risk. Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a great day and stay SAFU.
Bitcoin: The Short and Long (Term) ViewI want to give a video breakdown of my last Tradingview post which did very well as an Editor's Pick. Commentors posed some very good questions that deserve detailed explanations.
First, I talk about the confluence of three major levels of Resistance that setup last week and remained the overhead Resistance of INDEX:BTCUSD Bitcoin this week (and possibly in the short term).
Finally, lest I be accused of being TOO BEARISH... my LONG TERM view (going out for the next decade and beyond) using logarithmic projections of Bitcoin price action to define the Risk and Reward of a long term (2030 and beyond) investment. When Bitcoin is a good and not-so-good value proposition.
Bitcoin - Now Is The Time For A Breakout!Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) will exit the consolidation now:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
The only factor which is really driving the price of Bitcoin is technical analysis. And everything is pointing towards a bullish breakout above the preivous all time high and significant follow through. Make sure you somehow participate in the bullrun, either with altcoins or Bitcoin.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $100.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
TONUSDT Potential breakout from a down trendTONUSDT is in a prolonged sideways movement above the psychological level at 5.00, creating a range between 5.00 and 5.40. This structure suggests potential liquidity beneath the 5.00 level, particularly as it aligns with the round number. It’s likely the market may continue moving sideways before eventually dipping to capture this liquidity. Additionally, the formation of an inverse head and shoulders pattern hints at a possible bullish reversal. If the pattern completes, it could signal a shift in momentum and a potential breakout above the range. The mid-term target is the resistance zone at 6.00
BTCUSD—Engulfing Candle Boosts 70K ProbabilityGM crypto bro's! The fear and greed index remains in the greed zone at 72, while the Stoch RSI is on its way towards oversold. The BTC candle on 24th October closed with a solid engulfing pattern, increasing the probability of further upward movement, possibly around 70K.
However, given the fear and greed index has stayed in the greed zone for several days, keep in mind that the market is dynamic—don’t FOMO, always manage your risk. Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.
BITCOIN This 1D Golden Cross can push it to the ATH ($73800).Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is ahead of a major bullish formation as most likely by next Monday, it will form a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame, the first such formation since October 29 2023. As we've analyzed before, it is no coincidence that exactly 1 year later a new 1D Golden Cross emerges as seasonality and long-term Cycles play a pivotal role for BTC.
On top of that, the price made a major re-test (and so far bounce) at the top of the former Channel Down that broke upwards last week. If this re-test holds, it is the best short-term signal for a new High. In fact the price has been making Higher Highs since the August 05 bottom, forming a double Channel Up pattern, and those Higher Highs are the reason why the market got behind this rally and supported it to break above the 7-month Channel Down.
So the Higher Highs along with the 1D Golden Cross are the bullish combination that the market needs to look (much) higher. The first technical target now is naturally the 73800 All Time High (ATH). It is very possible to see it get tested by the election day.
But what do you think? Do you expect the ATH to break aggressively after the elections, just like the October 2023 1D Golden Cross did? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC Greed at 69: Key Price Action on Bullish Engulfing WatchGM crypto bro's! This morning, the fear and greed index is at 69 in the greed zone. The Stoch RSI has exited overbought territory. Yesterday, on 23/10/2024, BTC dropped significantly to the 65K range, but our 64K zone hasn’t been touched yet.
Price action this morning shows that if today’s candle closes as a bullish engulfing, the chance of visiting 64K decreases, with a higher probability of BTC heading towards 70K. Keep in mind, the market is dynamic—don’t FOMO, always manage your risk. Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.