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Bitcoin: 2 Lessons About 56K Break.Bitcoin clears 56K support even while attempting to confirm a reversal in the 60k area a week earlier. With price back in the 53K to 50K area support, this is a time to watch for short term reversals as well as an investment opportunity. At the same time, there are two very important lessons to be learned from this recent support break situation. The arrow on the chart points to the 60K area where a week earlier price attempted to show support. Notice the green candle followed by the break of the high of that candle. That is a form of confirmation SPECIFIC to this time frame. With this clear long setup in place, the outcome was a stop out (break below the low of the green candle). The lesson here is this: Just because the market aligns and confirms, it does not guarantee a positive outcome. All markets are highly random and anything can happen at any time. This is precisely why RISK is ALWAYS the priority, NOT setups, wins, oscillators, news, etc. The whole point of waiting for a confirmation and setup (aka signal) is to be able to clearly define risk and reward and then decide if the trade is worth taking based on your personal risk tolerance and situation. Taking trades on hunches, stepping in front of levels based on feelings and/or opinions will get you into trouble in times like this while other times these ineffective decisions seem to work. If you accept that fact that markets are random most of the time, you will be better prepared to avoid decisions like these. While it is within reason for supports the hold in this environment, it is better to be prepared for BOTH sides of the situation. In my previous week's article I illustrated a scenario that the market completely ignored. In other words my anticipated idea was wrong. The second lesson is this: this is a NOT a game of being RIGHT, it is about defining risk and measuring potential. This is why WAITING for confirmation can help dramatically improve performance because the purpose is to prove that the market is aligning or agreeing with your anticipated premise. When there is no confirmation you can easily minimize adverse trades because you can't justify an entry. In the case of Bitcoin, there was a confirmation that failed, (green candle) followed by the test of the 56K area which attempted to reverse but NEVER confirmed on this time frame. Being able to avoid taking the wrong side of these support/resistance breaks improves overall performance significantly over time. This type of mindset is key for day trade and swing strategies. Bitcoin is now nearing the 53K to 50K support zone. This will present potential reversal opportunities on multiple time frames (Trade Scanner Pro helps with this). At the same time, price is now within a broader support area which is ideal for investment opportunities. The 50K area is a MAJOR support in terms of the bigger picture. At the same time, there are some positive fundamental potential catalysts on the horizon: lower interest rates AND an election outcome that supports a Bitcoin friendly environment. Either way the idea here is to have an "inventory" acquisition plan and to cost average larger amounts that are weighted in terms of price location. Meaning the lower price goes, the larger the amount you can justify buying. I am not going into all the details here, but this assumes Bitcoin is NOT going to 0 in the long run. Also if accumulating in this way it is safer NOT to use leverage. IF Bitcoin breaks 50K, (it CAN happen) the mid to low 40's is the next support area (a place to buy more). For the following week I anticipate a bullish reversal back into the 60K area and will be looking for setups across multiple time frames (day trades/swing trades). How you use this information will depend on the type of trade you are interested in taking. Either way, you have to begin with a premise, formulate a scenario around that premise, define a signal, then MEASURE the RISK if the signal appears. If RISK is not your focus, you are no better than the drunken poker player who pros warmly welcome to the table. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
5
BITCOIN - BULL'S LAST CHANCE Bitcoin has been moving sideways for half a year creating a complex correction WXY( 3-3-3). Complex correction is made up of 3 waves were each wave is also made up of 3 waves ( in the form of ABC's ). Wave W = Wave X = Wave Y = 3 waves We are now in the last leg of wave Y. Expecting price to break the lows again and move upwards from our buy zone. Looking for a strong bullish pressure at our buy zone. Will update the idea once we are there. But for now you can focus on selling targeting 49k level. WXY Pattern Goodluck and trade safe!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Tradenessfx
1
BTC Drops to 52K - What's Next? GM crypto bro's, happy weekend? 🗿 This morning, BTC has dropped to the 52K area 💀 — a reminder to always stay safe in the crypto market. Here's the update: the Fear and Greed Index is at 23 (Extreme Fear), and the Stochastic RSI has dived back into the oversold zone 🗿. So, where is BTC headed? The potential pump still remains at the 60K - 61K range. However, given today's deep drop, there’s a probability BTC could break below 50K and, in the worst case, visit the 44K area. Always hope for the best and prepare for the worst — let's hope BTC doesn’t dump to 44K 🗿. As always, maintain your risk, and that’s it for today's crypto update. This is Akki, signing off with one chart. Have a nice day!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by x_Akki
BTC 1H BTC/USDT Analysis: Hourly Timeframe 📊 This chart highlights potential buying and selling opportunities based on forecasted movement of Bitcoin (BTC) on an hourly timeframe. Let’s analyze the key moments indicated by the green (Buy) and red (Sell) forecast lines. 🟢 September 5, 2024, 06:00 AM - Buy Date (Green Line): This is a potential local low, indicating that it may be a favorable time to start accumulating long positions in BTC as the price is expected to drop leading up to this point. 🟥 September 6, 2024, 07:00 PM - Sell Date (Red Line): This date represents a local peak, suggesting an optimal moment to take profits or tighten stop-losses, as a price correction is likely to follow. 🟢 September 7, 2024, 06:00 PM - Buy Date (Green Line): Another opportunity for long positions as a local bottom is anticipated around this time, potentially providing favorable entry conditions for buying Bitcoin. 🕒 Note: All times are based on Los Angeles time (UTC -7). A margin of error of 1-2 candles may exist depending on the timeframe. Always cross-check this analysis with higher timeframes for a more comprehensive view.
by trushkovskiy
BITCOIN on the Sine Wave Buy Zone but won't last for long!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) may be under a quite strong short-term correction since the August 27 rejection on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) but based on this 2-year Cyclical Chart, it has high chances of finding Support again and start a rally similar to the two it had over this time span. Let's start with the long-term outlook which remained bullish after BTC hit and rebounded (August 06) on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), its long-term Support since March 13 2023. The formation of the 1D Death Cross may have offset some of this optimism but on this cyclical pattern it is not a bearish sign as last time it emerged (September 11 2023), Bitcoin formed its new bottom at the time. In fact it was inside a short-term (dotted) Channel Up, the vessel pattern which took the price from the bottom to a new +100% rally. The key parameter was the fact that the 1D MA200 broke and later was retested and held as Support. This is most likely why we are having the recent pull-back, because even though the price broke above the 1D MA200, it failed to hold. The 1D RSI also prints a similar pattern to the previous two bottom fractals on this chart and it appears that relative to those past sequences, we are currently after the first RSI peak and pull-back. On the price action, we illustrate the relative position of now and then with circles. The Sine Waves do perhaps the most efficient depiction of the price cyclicality, clearly displaying where Bitcoin should be bought and where sold. At the moment we are just past the most optimal Buy Entry so it the opportunity still exists but may not last for long! Another +100% rise from August's recent bottom, will see Bitcoin test the psychological benchmark of $100k. So what do you think? Is a new rally this close, potentially timed after the Fed cuts the rates in 2 weeks? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
2
BTC Holding Steady in Fear ZoneGM crypto bro's! This morning, the Fear and Greed Index is at 29, still in the fear zone. The Stochastic RSI remains in the oversold area, same as yesterday. In terms of price action, BTC's outlook today is similar to yesterday's market update. The closest potential pump target is between 60K - 61K, but be cautious—this doesn’t mean the dump is over. So always keep in mind the market is dynamic—don’t get FOMO, stay safe, stay calm. Remember, anything can happen in the crypto market. Manage your risks, and that's all for today's crypto update. This is Akki, signing off with one chart. Have a nice day!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by x_Akki
BTC Hits 55K: What's Next?GM crypto bro's! This morning, the Fear and Greed Index remains in the fear zone at 27, while the Stochastic RSI is showing signs of exiting the oversold area. BTC has dropped to the 55K area, as I mentioned a few days ago. Where is it headed next? The current price action suggests a probability of reclaiming the 60K - 61K range as the nearest target. Like always, keep in mind that the market is dynamic—don’t get FOMO, stay safe, stay calm. Remember, anything can happen in the crypto market. Manage your risks, and that's all for today's crypto update. This is Akki, signing off with one chart. Have a nice day!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by x_Akki
2
BTC Shows Signs of Recovery!GM crypto bro's! This morning, BTC finally turned green and is back in the 59K area. Fear and Greed Index is at 26 (fear), and the Stochastic RSI is starting to show signs of a potential upward move. Does this mean the 55K drop is off the table? Unfortunately, no—just that the probability has decreased. For now, the closest potential area for BTC to visit is the 60K - 61K range. Remember, the market is dynamic; don't get FOMO, stay safe, stay calm—anything can happen in the crypto market. Manage your risks, and that's it for today's crypto update. This is Akki, signing off with one chart. Have a nice day!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by x_Akki
BTC USD IdeaI'm unsure which direction BTC/USD will trend, but I've been analyzing order flow software in the live auction. Since last week, the 4-hour candles have shown volume in the millions, and the trend is extremely bullish. However, the market maker has been giving 8-hour rallies and then taking out buyers' stops. This pattern has been consistent since Thursday. I haven’t opened any swing trades yet; instead, I've been scalping in and out. If the price remains bullish and I consider buying, I need to see a significant move down followed by a strong move up. This would indicate that traders have been trapped, and only then might I consider a swing trade. For now, there's no way I'm entering, as the price hasn't dropped to those discounted daily lows to offer a clean trade—this isn't a business where they just hand you easy trades like it's your birthday. They're in the brutal business of making serious money. So, I'm waiting to see big moves after the holiday, and then we can make a plan. Enjoy Labor Day, and let’s keep hunting!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by themarketknight
1
Bitcoin - Where It Should Be Is Correct. Bitcoin - Where It Should Be Is Correct Bitcoin hovering around this price range in a sideways channel for a long period of time is exactly where it should be in cycle where weak hands get bored and sell to strong hands. Z-Score showing no signs of anywhere near an overheated market, Spot ETF's are still very underallocated, the RSI Halving 100, Weekly repeating the same sideways "boring" market we have always seen. When this trend eventually ends the price flips to the upside in a very short period of time catching most of the market off guard. Until the flip happens which looks like it will happen before year end, any Bitcoin price under $100,000 is a gift. Eyes on Bitcoin. its looking more and more like 2017 as the weeks go on.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by SatoshiInsight
BTC Heading Towards 55K?GM crypto bro's! Back to the grind of corporate life, and BTC isn’t making it any easier this morning, dropping to the 57K range. Fear and Greed Index is at 26 (fear), while Stochastic RSI remains in the oversold area, but no signs of a bounce yet. Given this morning's drop to 57K, it's just a matter of time before BTC revisits the 55K area, as mentioned in my updates a few days ago. We might even see a wick down to 54K. Remember, the market is dynamic; don’t get FOMO, stay safe, stay calm. Anything can happen in the crypto market. Manage your risks, and that's it for today's crypto update. This is Akki, signing off with one chart. Have a nice day!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by x_Akki
Bitcoin: Watch Reversal Confirmation 56K.Bitcoin broke 60K but is showing signs of buying activity in the form of pin bars just above the 56K major support (see arrow). This retrace should come as no surprise if you read my previous article where I anticipated this scenario a week earlier. While current momentum is still bearish, this market is in a consolidation on this time frame which means the support/resistance levels are where the opportunities are more likely to develop. This means the 56K area is a key level where a high probability and high potential bullish reversal can appear over the coming week. Now just because a reversal can be anticipated does NOT mean to jump in early which is a very common mistake. Confirmation IS the key to mitigating risk and aligning with the probabilities. If price does NOT confirm a reversal, it will then be "saying" that IT wants to continue the bearish momentum which can lead to a test of the 53 to 50K support. Again this is NOT about what you or I "think", its all about what the MARKET demonstrates through price action. What does confirmation look like? On this time frame, a pin bar or inside bar followed by the break of the high of that bar. At this time, IF the current candle closes in the form of a pin bar and takes out the 59K high, we can argue a new buy signal is in effect. The thing is, a trade idea is NOT just a buy signal, it must also consider the accompanying RISK. Using this method, the candle low is one point of reference for risk which can be any where from 2 to 3K points (on this time frame). Once you figure out the risk, you can then calculate a profit objective or you can reference the next resistance level around 64 to 66K area. Not everyone has the same tolerance for risk. Only you can determine how much risk is appropriate. This is where smaller time frames offer more flexibility. For example, if 2 to 3K+ points of risk is too much, you can consider a smaller time frame such as a 4 hour or 1 hour. Your profit objectives will be proportionally lower but so will your risk. If price reaches 56K (blue box) and confirmations appear on a 4H or lower time frame, you can enter with more confidence because your risk will likely be in the 1K range while your probability of a positive outcome will be much greater (56K is a historical location). You can calculate all of these factors yourself or use a tool (like my Trade Scanner Pro). Before you even get to that point, you must first know what you are looking for (anticipate). As I tell my followers there are two types of trades: continuations and reversals. An example of a continuation is when a break out occurs, while a reversal is when a support/resistance level holds. Considering components like trend and support/resistance levels in relation to each other (context) is how you can formulate your anticipated idea BEFORE expecting a confirmation. Without this important step, you are essentially playing a RANDOM game. With this in mind, for the coming week I am anticipating a REVERSAL around the 56K area. IF price confirms sooner, that is okay too, but the question becomes how does this change the risk. Also it is important to remember that we are still in holiday mode which means movements can be muted and erratic. If you are going to play, be selective and specific while keeping risk tightly controlled. Careful attention to smaller time frames can help in this area. Listen to the market, it is ALWAYS right. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
7
BTCUSD Market Update: Possible Continuation to 55K?Good morning Crypto Bro's! Happy weekend and payday! 🌞 This morning, the fear and greed index is at 29 (fear), and the stochastic RSI is starting to enter the oversold area. Yesterday’s candle dropped as I mentioned, hitting the 58K level, but it even went further down to 57K. Today’s market outlook remains similar to yesterday’s update. There is still a possibility for another drop to 55K with a 60% probability, while there is a 40% chance for BTC to go sideways between the 57K - 61K range. Always keep in mind that the market is dynamic—don't FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and remember, in the crypto market, anything can happen. Always maintain your risk, and as always, that's all for today's crypto update. This is Akki, one chart, and have a nice day! 😊
INDEX:BTCUSD
by x_Akki
Even if This Isn't Distribution, Consolidation Could Take MonthsJust popping in for a quick Bitcoin update. Though cycle proponents will be quick to point out that Bitcoin is way ahead of where it "should" be, price wise compared with previous cycles, it's still struggling to maintain a new all-time high despite supposed institutional interest. People who have been in the market for years are starting to want out, expressing the sentiment that this is going to be their "last cycle." Meanwhile, stocks are significantly up since their last all-time high and some high-performers like Nvidia have well outperformed Bitcoin over the last few years. Bitcoin's price currently looks like consolidation after an explosive move up from the bear market lows near $15.5k. It's taking so long that price is beginning to drift below all the major daily moving averages. Ethereum is really looking quite weak, having retraced all of this year's gains and broken below a major long term trendline. On my Bitcoin chart, price is hanging out below the large broadening support, dating back to fall 2022, now almost two years ago. It's below all the major daily moving averages, representing current weakness. Seller volume remains generally high in this range. I drew a secondary trendline and another broadening pattern, this one pointing down. Historically, this can be a bullish pattern. Even if it is, there appears to be plenty of room structurally for more sideways movement into the fall. The pattern comes to completion by the end of the year. This is an example of what I'm thinking, for bullish and bearish options: Bulls hope that consolidation this long produces a major move up, perhaps all the way to $300K + and to the top of the broadening pattern. This sounds crazy, but it's roughly the same magnitude of price increase as the last bull marker. Though, due to diminishing returns, this does really seem unlikely. Of course, this is a lot of foo-foo guesswork, but understanding charts visually has always been how I like to roll. Fundamentals are then also important. On the bearish side, a breakdown from these patterns could easily send prices back below $40k. Let's see how things play out! I'm still betting on crypto largely becoming a forgotten "industry" due to lack of authentic utility and therefore little fundamental value. Even though ETFs exist, ETFs exist for many things. I don't think investors are necessarily prepared for the slow fade, where Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies remain niche and their value starts to decline over time. I'll easily be proven wrong if prices sustain new all-time highs. Thanks for reading! I'll provide updates when I can. This is clearly speculative and not meant as financial advice. -Victor Cobra
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by VictorCobra
BTC USD UpdateOn BTCUSD, I'm still looking at this channel, and we have 1-2-3 swing points. But we're also building liquidity under us, so it's a very tricky situation. I want to add more to bullish trades, but it's hovering and tricking in buyers, so I'm standing on the side at the moment. If I see a move, I go in on 15-minute scalps and get my stop break-even in the first logical moment. So, not much to share today. Stay safe, friends. There are millions of assets on the market. I always stick with one that's clear to trade. My style is so simple and clear. All I need is a safe place for my stop loss. Other than that, I don't care about pushing trades. I've learned my lesson the hard way in the past.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by themarketknight
BTC at Crossroads: Price Action Hints at Further Downside?Good morning Crypto Bro's! This morning, the fear and greed index is at 34 (fear), and the stochastic RSI is starting to enter the oversold area. Yesterday's candle briefly pumped to around 61K before dumping back down to the current range at 59K. In terms of price action, BTC has two possibilities for further dumping: first, to the 58K range, and second, to 55K. Hopefully, the second scenario won't happen, but if it does, make sure to secure your portfolio positions and have enough ammunition to accumulate more Bitcoin at better prices. Keep in mind, the market is dynamic—don't FOMO, stay calm, and always be prepared for uncertainty in the crypto market. Anything can happen. Always maintain your risk, and that's all for today's update. This is Akki, one chart, and have a nice day!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by x_Akki