BITCOIN - LONG TRADE IDEA - Wave (C) In Progress...If the price surpasses $52,036, it signals the commencement of Wave (C) within Wave D, setting a fresh target at $56,357.
Should this level be breached, expect support to form at $51,588.
It's prudent to await confirmation of this high being breached, unless you're willing to take a risk akin to my own daring nature.
Bitcoin-btcusd
BITCOIN - Follow Up Video Because We Broke A Mini High...This video is a necessary follow-up because we've unexpectedly breached the high that, in the last video, I indicated wouldn't occur just yet, while demonstrating my wave analysis with AriasWave.
Now that it has happened, I delve into what actions to take and what outcomes to anticipate. However, if this trend holds true, the timeframe may be too short for me to generate a long-term trade idea.
Witness the developments for yourself and form your own conclusions. The previous video, where I outlined this analysis, will be linked below for reference.
BITCOIN - I Show You How I Analyze Waves Using AriasWave...In this video, I demonstrate how I analyze a wave using AriaWave, guiding you through the process while also unveiling the complete AriaWave pattern.
This method, rooted in human psychology, offers a logical approach to understanding market patterns—a technique I've honed over nearly a decade.
Despite its complexity, I'm willing to share it because I understand the challenges of mastering such concepts. Providing insight into its workings is my way of giving back to those who support my work.
By hitting the boost or like button, you not only show your appreciation but also encourage others to delve into learning.
Just a little side note: For the wave I skipped, it is easier to rationalize a wave that doesn't make sense on a bigger timeframe because you can see more detail in its sub-components.
BITCOIN - Hold Fire For Now, Take Profits and Wait For...In this video, I delve into the distinction between trading and analysis, highlighting why it's crucial to occasionally step back and regain composure when things start to veer off course.
I recount a recent experience where I found myself in such a situation, and how I managed to exit with a profit, opting to wait until clarity returned to the market.
Within us lies both a rational mind and an instinctual one, and at times, they vie for dominance. By attuning ourselves to these fluctuations, we cultivate the ability to pause and detach until our logical faculties guide us back into a trade.
Beware of succumbing to impulsive trades driven by the instinctual mind.
BITCOIN - My View On The Recent Price Action...Here's an update on my earlier long trade proposal, slightly altered by a recent low break, though not breaching the previous low.
This development is intriguing and might establish new support.
I'm still aiming for $55,404, but the formation of support has been unexpectedly unique. If it holds, fresh support emerges at $50,627.
Confirmation of an upward move will occur upon breaking $52,521.
BITCOIN - Long Trade Idea - Wave D Nearing A Top...Fascinating developments unfold on the Bitcoin chart. If we approach a peak, we could be navigating Wave (C) of Wave D within wave iv.
Should we breach $53,013, support at $50,775 may prove beneficial, yet trading before this entails risk. Our target stands at $55,404.
BTC - 1H bullish signsFollowing a period of compression, Bitcoin showed resilience after a downward breakout, indicating a potential accumulation phase. The price managed to hold its ground, setting the stage for a bullish scenario. From a technical perspective, if BTC overcomes the resistance trendline, we could see an ascent towards the $53,000 mark, which is quite possible from my point of view
Bitcoin Future LevelsI was having a conversation with a trader on my social media and he was sharing future projections of Bitcoin INDEX:BTCUSD with a parabolic curve. This is easy to draw using past major lows going higher and also with the fundamental force of the Halvening presumed to begin in earnest now or soon.
My feedback to him is that perhaps the obvious thing to do now is draw a parabolic price trajectory... but the market rarely does the obvious. My trading thesis, though wrong at present, has been that the Halvening is so expected and planned upon to the utmost... it will defy consensus like market events tend to do.
As a technical trader... I see price move from level to level respecting them partially or fully. Having stopped at one level for the ETF launch, then then conquering it, it is now at the 52.1 level. The next being 55.4 (weak but notable), after that 64.9, and conquering that level price will be very much guarantee price will be pulled up to the ATH.
Seen is the prior ATH break, one week after, before the last parabolic rise. When there is a big, fully closed bullish bar, from the prior ATH, parabolic projections may commence. Doing so before that is premature and can lead traders to overleverage the "sure thing".
Sure, waiting for something like this runs the risk of FOMO, but it is far more probable thing to bet on.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD): Waiting For the News
Bitcoin is currently stuck on a key horizontal resistance.
After a strong bullish movement, the market became overbought
and is currently consolidating.
The next bullish wave will be confirmed after a breakout of
54000 horizontal resistance. Daily candle close above that structure
will confirm a violation.
A bullish continuation will be expected at least to 58500 then.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
BITCOIN - I Realise Now That This Is A BULL TRAP!!!I've concluded that the current Bitcoin trend resembles a bull trap preceding an impending recession.
Regrettably, I too was ensnared, initially believing it signaled the beginning of another bullish market.
However, I now realize my error. In my forthcoming video, I'll delve into the rationale behind this assessment and share strategies for capitalizing on the long trade during Wave 5 of Wave (C) when it appears imminent.
Bitcoin H1 | Potential bullish bounceBitcoin (BTC/USD) could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 51,540.34
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 50,637.73
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 52,861.36
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level
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Bitcoin: Resistance Test and Key Support InsightBitcoin's recent market activity has painted an optimistic picture as it ascends towards the 4-Day chart's 0 Fibonacci retracement level. However, it's currently facing resistance at this pivotal mark, with the price hovering around $50,879. This level is critical; a convincing break above could pave the way for a push towards the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level, indicating a robust continuation of the upward trend.
The daily chart reveals the price nestled at the upper Bollinger Band, typically a sign that the market could perceive Bitcoin as overbought, which often precedes a retracement or sideways movement. Such a pullback would not be out of character for Bitcoin's volatile nature, especially after a strong upward move. The Bollinger Bands also provide a visual representation of the volatility and potential support levels, with the lower band suggesting a significant support zone around $39,152.80, which aligns with historical resistance now turned support.
Fundamental indicators add depth to this view, with the MACD histogram at 670.46, showing strong bullish momentum, but also warranting caution for any signs of reversal which could be preempted by a shrinking histogram. The substantial volume of 17.83K BTC indicates a serious commitment behind the recent price movements, lending credibility to the current levels.
In sum, while the bullish momentum for Bitcoin is clear, traders should watch for consolidation or a slight pullback due to the overbought conditions suggested by the proximity to the upper Bollinger Band. The lower band and the SMA at 49,937.20 offer support zones that could be of interest for those looking to enter on dips. A vigilant eye should be kept on volume fluctuations and the MACD for early signs of trend changes as Bitcoin tests these crucial levels.
BITCOIN just made the most important 1W closing of this Cycle!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) made last week a closing that is going under the radar by the market. The closing of the last 1W candle was made above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level from the November 2021 All Time High (ATH). But why is that of such a significant value? Because every time in BTC's history it closed a 1W candle above the 0.786 Fib of the ATH, the price never closed below it again.
In fact we can claim that for every past Cycle, such a 1W closing is the final confirmation for the start of the Parabolic Rally. It has to be noted that after such closing, Bitcoin made new ATH in maximum 2 months! That suggests we could see a new Historic High at the time of the Halving! Are just starting the new rally?
Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin: 52K High New Wave Count.Bitcoin has pushed the 50K resistance area and peaked in the 52Ks. The recent bearish pin bar has signaled a swing trade short which is not following through (no surprise there). Over the coming week it is within reason to see a retest of the 48K area support. This is the price location where a high probability swing trade long setup can appear and where I am preparing for a signal.
In my previous articles, you will notice that I had a "B?" in the 46 to 48K resistance area. That was what I was waiting for the market to confirm, but the market never confirmed. We got a resistance break and run to 52K instead. A move like this calls for a new wave count which you can see on my chart now.
This illustrates an important point: you cannot get married to wave counts because the market does whatever IT wants to do. One drawback to wave counts is you have to relabel after the fact. They only serve as a basic guide that the market will either confirm or NOT.
The new wave count presents an impulse wave with 3 legs complete, with a potential 4th wave developing. This implies there is one more wave higher which can lead price into the 55K or 60K areas over the next few weeks (IF it follows through). This impulse would actually be the 5th wave (which I thought was completed at the previous test of 50K). This also means once 5 waves are complete, the probability of a broader corrective wave to follow becomes greater.
At this point, the plan is simple: WAIT for retrace to 48K area support and look for buy signal on larger time frames. IF this opportunity unfolds I will point it out to my members along with the other parameters such as stop and take profit prices.
The broader Wave C (monthly) that I have been pointing out in recent articles is also a LOW probability scenario unless or until the 40K support is broken. Again the key to this game is knowing how to adjust to new information, NOT getting stuck on opinions. The market changes and we must change our expectations with it if you want to be aligned with the probabilities.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BITCOIN - Are You Bullish Or Bearish? Bitcoin is at a very interesting level at the moment. We are months away from the next Bitcoin halving.
The general consensus is that Bitcoin halving events are positive for the price of Bitcoin, and historically they have been. The event often generates optimism among crypto investors, leading to positive price action afterward.
We are anticipating price to come down to atleast our review area. Once there, we will look at our price action is developing and if it appears we are correcting for a move higher, we will be looking for a buy setup.
If price breaks below the 32k, we will be looking at sub 20k for our load up zone for the next bullish move.
Either way, we will be able to catch the next bullish move for Bitcoin!
What do you guys think? Do comment below and let us know.
Good luck and as always, trade safe!
BITCOIN - Wave Count Rethink - My Wave D Breakout Theory...In this video, I delve into my Wave D Breakout theory.
Upon recognizing the potential for this phenomenon in XLM, it became evident to me that both assets need to breach a specific level.
However, upon achieving this, they are likely to encounter rejection.
So, what does this scenario imply in terms of wave dynamics? My analysis suggests that we'll witness an expansion of the corrective phase within Wave D for both cases.
BITCOIN - LONG TRADE UPDATE - About To Move Higher...It seems that a minor Wave D has been accomplished, triggering a downward continuation with Wave E.
Validation awaits a breach of 52,246; surpassing this mark without establishing a new low would indicate support around $50,631.
Anticipating Wave 3, characterized by strong and swift upward movement.
BITCOIN TO $289,000 - Wave 3 Of Wave (C) In Progress...Here's my latest analysis on Bitcoin, with a target around $289,000.
While I use this number for perspective, it's worth noting that the price could potentially surpass it.
However, it's crucial to recognize that the upward momentum is finite, and as the mania intensifies, many will be drawn into the market before a significant downturn occurs.
Across all cryptocurrencies, we're still witnessing a bubble phase, a phenomenon present in various markets.
Embracing these bubble phases offers us a chance to capitalize before the true bull market emerges.
I'll share another long trade idea as I observe the waves unfold further at higher levels, as I anticipate we're on the verge of entering an extremely bullish phase.
Things Are About To Get Spicy For Bitcoin and Crypto! In comparison to previous bull cycles this rally from the depths of 15k on bitcoin sure has taken its sweet time.
It's quite often the opposite when crypto is in a bull market.
The last rally from 25k to 48k was a bit more of the personality we are use to.
So is bitcoin geared to moon to new All time highs?
It certainly continues to increase its probability to do so and it's about to come up on its next inflection point where it can shift its probability even further, or decrease it.
In the short term I'm projecting a pullback to 48k to 47.5k. It's at this area depending on how we react that I'll look to project whether price moves down to 40k or a new ATH!
That's a pretty pivotal inflection point we're coming up on... one that can give near certainty to a new ATH being created.
If you want to stay tuned for when that confirmation comes then make sure to follow this channel and boost this trade idea.
To your success,
Schyler