Is this $BTC bounce is a bull trap?Can't figure out this bounce as a start of megabull, rocket etc. #bitcoin #btc is now hanging in ascending channel and declination from this channel may trigger #btcusd price to take liquidations around 58 - 60K. It's a probability.
Invalidation: If BTC reclaims 71K.
Not financial advice.
Bitcoin-btcusd
When Will "Real" Bullish Run Is Starting?This parameters basically shows you the cash money investors holding in their pockets right now.
Currently, Total Blockchain market has 2.28 Trillions of dollars inside.
USDT and USDC are most commonly used stable coins if we don't include FUSD which is not going to be mentioned in this section.
Let's assume that all Bitcoin investors and traders holding their dollars and whatever currency they're using in stable coins.
According to this hypothesis, all USDT Dominance level (approximately) currently is; %4.81
Also approximately all USDC Dominance Level currently is; %1.45
When you check the major addresses on chain data that holding bitcoin right now, you'll notice that their breakeven levels is coming closer. So it's basically means that they are buying more and more whenever the price goes lower. Especially, Coinbase whales and major addresses helped us to recover on Bitcoin after the last crash. Historically, it's a good idea to follow this guys before invest. They are the ones who simply runs the market.
Let's go back to the chart and examine the Red Key Levels on the chart.
First Key Level that broke below through %8 gave us a minor bullish run. Not all coins that you trade all day maybe but Bitcoin consumed most of the money that comes with the benefits of ETF's. It will happen again, Bitcoin will dominate the entire market ones more. Bitcoin mostly will rise all alone and the other altcoins (especially top 100) will watch from behind. It's simply because of ETF's. EMA 100 is about the broke (Daily) while I'm writing this which is an important indicator that I'm using in parameters like this.
All short term price action basics and indicators simply telling me that Bitcoin may see another drop for a week or more but it won't matter if you can resist against it. Just hold on for a couple of more days and wait.
Hong Kong and London are about to start an ETF' run (London is a little bit different but doesn't matter).
Halving is about to come within a few hours which is the most bullish thing this market will ever see in its entire life.
When the Red Key Level is broken (Let's say closing a week below %3.74) you will see Bitcoin in a level which you probably never expected. I expect Bitcoin to reach at least 200.000 $ until this real bullish run ends. When the 3.74 broke, Bitcoin will rise but ALTs may not due to ETF's and Bitcoin Dominance. If you are a trader, just focus on the chart, if you are an investor read below carefully.
Basically, it doesn't matter if the price goes low or lower anymore. When you see the price is dropping, DO NOT be the ones who scare and run away. They are the ones we need to keep this market alive. Do not be market's liquidity, be the one who consumes it.
If you see the price low, you BUY.
If you see the price is going lower, you BUY AGAIN, and again, and again, and again.
This is where the real bullish run begins.
Good Luck to us all.
🟠 BITCOIN MULTI TIMEFRAME: ZERO MOMENTUM IN PLAY 🟣🟣 Hey there, @TradingView fam! Ready for some fresh Bitcoin analysis? We've got a juicy update for you, covering multiple timeframes and packed with insights from key indicators.
If you're diving into this post right now, show us some love with a thumbs up! And don't forget to jump into the comments section for some lively discussion. We'd love to hear your thoughts! Let's dive in! 💜
Let's kick things off with a look at the daily perspective. We've plotted the EMA 20, EMA 100, and a Triangle Pattern.
Triangles are interesting because they often signal a temporary pause in the prevailing trend. This happens as buyers and sellers push against each other, causing momentum to dissipate. While triangles are fairly easy to spot, trading them can be tricky. Prices can get stuck for a while without any significant breakouts, and when a breakout finally happens, it can sometimes be a false signal, leaving traders scratching their heads.
Now, let's talk about the exponential moving averages (EMAs). They're great for tracking trends because they give more weight to recent price action. Currently, the EMA 20 is above the EMA 100, indicating a clear uptrend. In this scenario, these EMAs act as dynamic support and resistance levels. The EMA 20 offers short-term support, while the EMA 100 serves as a long-term support line.
Check out our tutorial on trading triangles to learn more about how to navigate these patterns:
So now, let's talk about RSI - it's a pretty handy momentum indicator that's all about spotting when the market's either feeling overbought or oversold. When RSI drops below 30, we're talking oversold territory, and when it shoots past 70, we're looking at overbought conditions.
Funny thing is, lots of folks get it wrong, selling when RSI's high and buying when it's low. But you know what? Sometimes the market keeps on climbing even with RSI above 70, and it can still drop lower when RSI's below 30.
Now, here's a neat trick with RSI: instead of just using those standard 30 and 70 marks, we tweak it a bit. Push the upper band to 60 and lower it to 40. So, when RSI's cruising above 60, it's telling us the market's got some solid upward momentum, and when it's below 40, well, things are getting bearish momentum.
Taking a peek at Bitcoin's charts, both on the daily and 4-hour timeframes, RSI seems stuck in the middle, indicating there's not much momentum swinging either way. But hey, Bitcoin can flip on a dime, right? That's why it's crucial to keep an eye on RSI, especially with the halving on the horizon.
By the way, don't forget to check out our RSI tutorial! It's packed with valuable insights to help you master this powerful momentum indicator:
Now, onto the SuperTrend indicator - another nifty tool for tracking trends and spotting reversals. We've fine-tuned the settings for Bitcoin, setting ATR to 5 and the multiplier to 2, based on some solid backtesting data.
Looking at the daily timeframe, SuperTrend 's giving us sell signals, but hop over to the 4-hour chart, and suddenly it's flashing a buy opportunity.
Thing is, though, the EMA combo still looks bullish, and RSI's not showing much oomph. So, that early SuperTrend buy signal? Might be a bit premature, you know?
And here's something fascinating on the monthly timeframe: Bitcoin's showing seven straight green candles. That's unheard of! Last time we saw anything close was back in 2021, with six greens in a row during a post-halving bull market.
In conclusion, April 2024 poses challenges for both buyers and sellers of Bitcoin, potentially resulting in false entries. The market likely needs to recalibrate following 7 months of growth, presenting an opportunity for early investors to capitalize on this shift. Stay informed and explore our other educational resources and posts.
Strifor || GOLD-19/04/2024Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: The drop in tensions in the Middle East may have a negative impact on gold , but the technical part indicates the next surge upward. The US dollar is expected to continue to weaken, which could also strengthen gold's position. We are considering two long scenarios, where the most likely scenario №1 indicates a fall first before growth towards the level of 2450 . The unlikely scenario №2 assumes an increase from current prices.
In the future, we can consider a target near the 2500 level.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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Strifor || GBPUSD-19/04/2024Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: The British currency also remains on the long sheet. Here, too, at the beginning of the week, as with the euro, we gave priority to purchases. Unlike the euro , this currency pair updated its local minimum, which made it possible to collect additional liquidity and liquidate “extra” buyers before potential growth.
The growth target remains at 1.25346 , growth to 1.26000 can also be considered. Both scenarios are activated.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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My Formula for BTC price at halving calls for $58,990 on 4/20
My formula I works out for the previous three halvings accurately within 1% or 2% and I believe could and should continue to work for every event in the future. It called for a price of around $58,990 on day of 2024 halving. I wrote the formula in March 2022, If you want more details and proof then send me an email, my address is my profile name at G mail.
An update on the bitcoin dominance charts double bottom patternWe can see that Bitcoin dominance is still on its way to the full breakout target from the double bottom pattern it broke up from a couple months ago. After breaking up from the neckline of the double bottom pattern it formed a bullflag and seems to have just recently broken upward from that bull flag. The target of the bullflag breakout lines up nicely with the double bottom breakout target giving us some nice bullish confluence to increase the probability of hitting the full target of about 57.18%. Once bitcoin reaches this level, it would not surprise me if thats when alt really start to pump afterwards. We shall see soon enough if that will hold true. *not financial advice*
BITCOIN Halving chop is almost over. Do you really want to sell?Just a reminder. Bitcoin's Halving is only 3 days away.
Historically heavy chop trade took place before the Halving events. Only once (July 2016) did we see a new Low after the Halving.
Chances are the correction will be over before the Halving.
Do you really want to be holding shorts after that??
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
BITCOIN Is this simply a big Bull Flag?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) touched today the bottom of the Channel Down pattern that started a month ago on the March 14 High. Ever since is posted Lower Highs and Lower Lows, dropping under the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Since the long-term trend for months has been a parabolic rally, this pattern can be seen just as a big Bull Flag, a necessary short-term pull-back before new Highs.
As BTC is approaching the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), it is important to know that the last time it did was on January 23 and it held it as Support, closing the 1D candle above it. Technically that is the tolerance limit, in order to the uptrend to stay valid with low entry buyers.
The January 23 Low initiated a rebound that peaked marginally above the 2.618 Fibonacci extension, the March 14 High. If the same pattern is repeated, we can see $95000 by June.
How probable do you think that is? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin On The Way To 180K!!!Hi.
COINEX:BTCUSDT
😊Today, I want to analyze BTC for you in a WEEKLY time frame so that we can have a Mid-term view of BTC regarding the technical analysis. (Please ✌️respectfully✌️share if you have a different opinion from me or other analysts).
➡️As you can see, BTC is completed this pattern, and if it follows this pattern Price can grow a lot.
✅ Due to the Ascending structure of the chart...
- High potential areas are clear in the chart.
-BTC has been Bullish Recently!
-The odds of another Bullish Movement is High!
-Bullish Pattern is Visible on The chart!
-AB=CD
Stay awesome my friends.
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
ABCD Pattern - Long Opportunity Towards $71,000Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) presents an enticing opportunity as it nears completion of an ABCD pattern on the 1-hour chart. With an entry point set at $68,000, a stop-loss at $65,000, and a target price of $71,000, this setup offers a favorable risk-reward ratio for short to medium-term traders.
Technical Insight: The formation of the ABCD pattern on the 1-hour chart suggests a potential bullish continuation, bolstered by recent price movements. This pattern recognition, combined with supporting technical indicators, strengthens the bullish bias.
Trade Setup: Consider entering the trade at $68,000, aligning with the anticipated upward momentum. To manage risk effectively, set a stop-loss at $65,000, strategically placed below recent support levels. The target price of $71,000 reflects the anticipated extension of the bullish trend.
Timeframe Analysis: This analysis focuses on the 1-hour timeframe, offering insights suitable for short to medium-term trading strategies.
Supporting Evidence: Volume analysis confirms the completion of the pattern, indicating increased buying pressure. Additionally, the presence of a supportive trendline reinforces the bullish outlook.
Important Considerations: While the analysis suggests a promising long opportunity, traders should remain vigilant of market dynamics and adhere to robust risk management practices. Flexibility and discipline are crucial in navigating the ever-changing cryptocurrency market.
This analysis serves as a reference for traders exploring long positions in Bitcoin, targeting the $71,000 level. As always, conduct thorough due diligence and adjust your approach to align with your individual trading preferences and risk appetite.
BITCOIN Holding the ATH Zone! Is this like 2017?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) made a sharp decline on Saturday and is now in the process of recovering. The 1W candle wick dived as low as the low of almost 30 days back (March 20), extending the 1-month consolidation since March 13 High. This is of course directly related to the fundamental aspect of BTC's Halving, which is due at the end of the week and historically exerts high volatility onto the market.
Buy even from a technical point of view, those two sell-offs found Support and held the (red) All Time High (ATH) Zone, which is the range taken from the closings of the previous ATH candles. As we can see on the right chart, it was the exact case on the 2014/ 2017 Cycle, which is the Cycle that we first here most tightly correlated Bitcoin's current Cycle.
More specifically, the March 20 and April 10 2017 1W candles, were both contained at the bottom of the ATH Zone and sharply extended the rally right after. This means that the Halving event can be the ideal fundamental 'excuse' to kick-start the rest of the technical rally and fulfil the pattern.
But what do you think? Will history be repeated once more? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC's Situation: What Shall we ExpectHi.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Chart is Speaking It Self!!!
Simple analysis...
It appears to be moving within a Ascending triangle on the shorter time frame. Currently, it is attempting a breakout. A breakout retest of the triangle would indicate bullish momentum. However, if there is a rejection and a breakdown of the triangle, a bearish move is also expected.
Stay awesome my friends.
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcoin- Bulls held strong, so no need to worryThe recent geopolitical tensions have impacted BITSTAMP:BTCUSD , further highlighting that it is not merely a safe haven but rather a risky asset.
However, this drop appears to be primarily an emotional reaction. The technical level that I've been discussing for quite some time, originating from the 62k zone, has held strong. Following this dip, the price has reversed and is currently trading with almost a 10% rise from the recent bottom.
Medium to long-term bulls need not fret as long as the aforementioned level remains intact.
My strategy remains unchanged: buying dips in anticipation of a new all-time high in the 80k neighborhood.
Bitcoin: Range Low Buy Signal.Bitcoin has rejected the 70K area resistance as the pre halving consolidation unfolds. In hindsight, you were better off listening to things like support/resistance LEVELS and price structure rather than all of the social hyperbole going into the halving event. "Buy The Rumor, Sell the News" seems to be what is in play here and usually makes fools of people who are easily mislead by rocket ships on thumbnails. Now that Bitcoin is flirting with a relevant support level, a swing trade long setup with reasonable potential has a greater probability of appearing this week.
To succeed as a trader or investor, it is IMPORTANT to gauge the market in terms of probabilities. This means arguments on BOTH sides of the market must be considered at all times and based on something relevant to the market. When it comes to short term speculation, technical analysis often provides substantial arguments because it serves as a reflection of the underlying supply and demand of ORDER FLOW.
If you have been following the support/resistance levels that have been on my charts for WEEKS now, you can see how price has reacted. This is why when price pushes new highs but happens to be in the midst of a resistance zone, I become RISK ADVERSE, NOT MORE OPTIMISTIC. And while I receive criticism for being too conservative during very broad moves, I found it to be more effective is miss an outlier than to be stuck on the wrong side of the probability. Novices don't realize, it may work the first or second time, but over time, the probabilities will catch up and you will give back any profit made on the outlier.
As of now, price flirts with the 64K support and is presenting an inside bar which can turn into a buy signal IF 65K is taken out upon the close. What is compelling about this buy potential swing trade long signal? Price location. It is part of the range low consolidation within a broader bullish trend. Probability favors a test of high from these levels which can take price back to 68K or 69K areas. Risking 2K points in an attempt to capture 3K or 4K points is a worthwhile reward/risk.
IF the 61K area support breaks instead, a test of the 58K to 60K area becomes more probable. Keep in mind a bearish consolidation breakout increases the chance of a broader corrective move that is both unexpected and overdue. Have you seen the monthly chart? Vertical markets are typically unsustainable.
It will be interesting to see how price action plays out once the halving event is out of the way. Markets are HIGHLY random, and all it takes is unexpected news to change expectations. Prices don't cling to logic because they are driven by greed and fear. Two emotional forces that are shaped by PERCEPTIONS of the future. Trust PRICE not people.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTC - Daily more correction!Bitcoin's price movement appears to have completed its second leg up, and the current pattern suggests a high likelihood of a correction phase.
With this potential pullback, BTC prices could retrace to test the previous support zone.
Traders should monitor these levels closely, as they could offer critical insights into Bitcoin's near-term directional bias.