Extreme Greed Stays High; Correction Potential at 70K - 69K ?GM crypto bro’s! Fear and greed index remains in Extreme Greed at 77, and Stoch RSI has now entered overbought territory.
Today’s outlook is similar to yesterday: BTC may first correct to the 70K - 69K range before possibly pumping to 82K. Many people are feeling greedy—don’t fall into FOMO. Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Stay vigilant, stay SAFU.
Bitcoin-btcusd
Bitcoin Resumes Its Bullish TrendBitcoin with ticker BTCUSD remains in a higher degree bullish trend as expected. After we recently spotted wave IV correction on a daily chart, we can now see it resuming higher for wave V with space up to 100k area that can be achieved by a new lower degree five-wave bullish cycle.
Basic Impulsive Bullish Pattern shows that Bitcoin can be trading in wave 3 of V, so more upside is expected. Later we will just have to be aware of subwave 4 pullback before a continuation higher for wave 5 of V.
BITCOIN Gaussian Channel telling you the rally has already begunBitcoin (BTCUSD) is illustrated here on the 1W time-frame from the 2011 Cycle until today. We've used the Gaussian Channel (GC) after a long time and the reason is simple. Since the August 05 2024 Low, it has been supporting the uptrend up to today's test of the All Time High (ATH).
** Gaussian October support every 4 years **
This continuous support is a critical feature moving forward as every time the GC held at this stage of the previous Cycles (October 2020, 2016 and 2012), BTC started its final (and most aggressive) Parabolic Rally of the Cycle.
** Resistance turned Support **
What's equally interesting is that during those stages, the price also re-tested and held the former Resistance (of the previous Higher High), turned it into a Support (while the GC held) and bounced to the Parabolic Rally. This is a remarkably consistent feature taking place every 4 years!
** The green GC length matters **
Now as to the GC in more detail. What we want you to keep from it, is that the green part of the GC has lasted in the previous Cycles 123, 144 and 148 weeks respectively, which translates to 861, 1008 and 1036 days, until it turned red. As a result, we can expect the current green phase to last until December 08 2025 (minimum) and June 01 2026 (maximum). It is more reasonable to expect the longer case as the recent Cycles tend to have stabilized most of their common time patterns.
The Bear Cycle tends to start when a 1W candle is closed below the GC. Until then, based on the parallel Channel Up patterns that encompass 3 Cycles each time, we can even expect a price as high as $200000 for this Cycle Top.
Do you think that's realistic? And if so, do you also expect the GC wave to support a parabolic rally all the way to the top? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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PEPEUSDT consolidation before potential JumpPEPEUSDT has recently established a fake breakout at the previous support level, forming a double bottom pattern. Since the beginning of the month, the pair has been consolidating following an impulse move, which suggests potential accumulation. On the daily timeframe, an inverse head and shoulders pattern is visible, signaling a possible reversal. If the price retests the support level and holds, it may gain the momentum needed to break through the downward channel. The target for this potential bullish move is the resistance zone around 0.0000108
BITCOIN Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN is retesting a
Horizontal resistance level
Around 74k USD which also
Happens to be an all-time-high
So despite our bullish bias
We will be expecting a
Local bearish correction
Sell!
Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Bitcoin 2024Before the ETF decision, İ told you not to get caught in FOMO.
Now i expect consolidation before halving.
Prices may fluctuate between around 38.000$ - 48.000$ for a certain period of time, but then may decrease to around 32.000$.
Fundamentally, with Fed monetary policy easing, money inflow to the market will increase in 2024 and 2025. My target for 2024 is around 85.000$.
I think crypto technology is not at the prices it deserves.
It will definitely come to the point it deserves in the future.
BTCUSD—Extreme Greed Hits; Potential Correction Before Next PumpGM crypto bro’s! This morning, the fear and greed index has surged to extreme greed at 77, while Stoch RSI edges back towards overbought levels.
BTC has seen a substantial pump over the past few days, reaching a peak of 73,613 yesterday. On the weekly timeframe, the next target may be around 82K. However, given the extreme greed conditions, a correction could likely come first, potentially down to the 69K area, before any further massive pump.
Don’t FOMO—keep risk management top of mind. Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a great day and stay SAFU.
BTCUSD: Will it make new All Time High or get rejected?Bitcoin turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 71.973, MACD = 1675.300, ADX = 39.493) as it is on the 4th straight bullish day, approaching the 73,800 All Time High. The rise is being charged by the 1D Golden Cross formation two days ago and with the 1W time-frame still far from being overbought, we can see this bullish trend extending. If it breaks the ATH, we expect a slower ascend to 80,000 but if the price is rejected on the ATH level, we may see a new test of the 1D MA50 (TP = 67,500) so that the market tests the buying strength once more before breaking the ATH.
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BITCOIN RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT|
✅BITCOIN broke the falling
Resistance line just as I predicted
And we are bullish biased mid-term
However, the coin is locally overbought
So after it hits the horizontal resistance
Of 74k$ we will be expecting a local
Bearish correction
SHORT🔥
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Bitcoin Faces Bearish Pressure Amid Tether InvestigationIf you didn’t purchase BTC before the last rally:
Now Bitcoin's recent performance may be overshadowed by growing concerns surrounding the stability of the cryptocurrency market, particularly in light of the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) launching a criminal investigation into Tether, the issuer of the popular stablecoin USDT.
According to reports from the Wall Street Journal, this investigation, spearheaded by the U.S. attorney’s office in Manhattan, is examining potential violations of sanctions and anti-money laundering regulations.
Tether has been a crucial component of the cryptocurrency ecosystem, as its dollar-pegged stablecoin is widely used for trading and liquidity across numerous exchanges. Any negative developments in the investigation could undermine confidence in USDT, leading to broader implications for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies that rely on stablecoins for stability and transaction efficiency.
Investors may become increasingly wary, fearing that regulatory actions could restrict Tether's operations or even jeopardize its ability to maintain its peg to the U.S. dollar. A loss of faith in USDT could trigger panic selling, as traders might rush to liquidate their positions in Bitcoin and other assets, leading to increased volatility and downward pressure on prices.
The scrutiny surrounding Tether could prompt regulators to examine other stablecoins and cryptocurrency projects more closely, adding to the uncertainty and potential for further regulatory crackdowns. This environment of increased regulatory oversight could deter new investors from entering the market and may lead existing investors to reassess their positions.
BTCUSD—Achieves 70K; Short-Term Correction ProbableGM crypto bro’s, this morning’s fear and greed index holds steady at 72 in the greed zone, while Stoch RSI rebounds after touching oversold levels.
Last night, BTC hit our anticipated 70K target—a mark discussed in previous updates. While yesterday’s market update hinted at a correction, BTC surprised us with an impressive pump to reach 70K.
Next move for BTC? Given the elevated greed level and recent pump, we might expect a brief correction down to 68K in the near term. Remember, probability is just that—probability. Stay vigilant, avoid FOMO, and manage your risks. Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a great day and stay SAFU.
BITCOIN - The Next Target: Minimum $118K...After months away from analyzing the Bitcoin chart, I revisited it and identified a straightforward count, clearing away previous complexities to better estimate Bitcoin’s next target.
Based on this count, we’re now in Wave v of Wave 5, marking the final movement in this 5-Wave sequence that began in 2008.
In this video, I’ll also cover the key levels to watch if you’re looking to trade this move higher.
Stop Level: $58,971
Target 1: $118,000
Target 2: $174,000
This is just an idea and is not investment advice. Always trade with caution.
ATCryptoScan : BTCUSD at that time before launch againLooking back at the BTCUSD weekly charts, there appears to be similar, if not the same, technical conditions before the start of a massive BTCUSD rally. This comes with both MACD and VolDiv crossovers and a breakout of a trendline after a period of consolidation.
Marked out by time lines, the Green lines are the most similar to current (yellow), and the orange has only a differing VolDiv. All are breakout points and appears to be great accumulation start points for the next year or two.
Just weeks ago, a similar technical set up was made, and today is a couple of weeks after...
Clear correlation here, so we know what the most probable for the next year going forward...
Seriously Bullish BTC
PS. this is the repeat post... the amended version.
BTCUSD—Testing Probable Pump, Double Top Formation PossibleGM crypto bro’s, today fear and greed index remains in the greed zone at 72, with Stoch RSI touching oversold territory.
On the D1 timeframe, BTC is likely to correct toward our previous range of 65K-64K. However, on the H4 timeframe, there’s an alternate scenario: a potential pump test toward 68K. Should a rejection occur here, we may see a double-top formation on H4.
Probability is just that—probability. Stay sharp, avoid FOMO, and manage your risks. Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a great day and stay SAFU.
Why Smart Money is BEGGING for a Bitcoin Dip (Technical Analysis📈 Why Smart Money is BEGGING for a Bitcoin Dip (Technical Analysis)
MAC Strategy: Your Dip-Buying Blueprint
Monthly and weekly Moving Average Channel indicators are bullish. Here's your shopping list:
- Weekly MAC support: $59,234
- Monthly MAC support: $55,943
These aren't dips - they're gifts. When Bitcoin touches these levels, smart money moves fast.
Ducks in a Barrel Strategy Says "Load Up"
Weekly timeframe say we want to buy the dip. :
- 39 & 52 week MAs trending up and pulling away from each other (bullish momentum)
- Strong uptrend intact in spite of the several months of consolidation..
Perfect storm setup for Ducks in a Barrel:
1. Bitcoin undervalued vs gold/treasuries
2. Stochastic hits oversold at the same time
If you see a Bitcoin dip, REMEMBER: Dips are Gifts.
Stop Missing These Setups
I'll be honest - finding and catching these dips isn't rocket science, but timing is everything. Ready to level up?
- Learn how to implement rules based & non-discretionary trading to become profitable
- Learn to interpret the Commitment of Traders data to gain a major edge in the markets
- Join live market analysis sessions
- Learn my exact entry triggers
- Master risk management
DM me for more information. Serious traders only.
Trading Disclaimer
TRADING CRYPTOCURRENCIES INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The information provided in this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change without notice. I am not a licensed financial advisor. All trading decisions and consequences are your responsibility.
BTCUSD—Oversold Zone Approaching, Correction LikelyGM crypto bro's, happy weekend! Fear and greed index remains in the greed zone at 74, while Stoch RSI continues to approach oversold territory.
Today’s price action outlook is similar to yesterday’s update, with a likely target correction around the 64K range. Current potential for a pump is low. Remember, markets are dynamic—stay cautious, don’t FOMO, and always manage risk. Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a great day and stay SAFU.
Bitcoin: Hasn't Reached Optimal Price.Bitcoin showing a higher low consolidation just above the 64K area support. Relative to the previous bullish structure, this signifies a higher likelihood that a higher high will follow, it's just a matter of catalyst. In the mean time, price can fluctuate either way from the current point (random). While the trend may be obvious in this situation, timing it effectively has everything to do with recognizing high probability price locations, setups etc. Otherwise you can make the mistake of assuming greater risk than you realize. In this article, I will describe the high probability, lower risk scenario that the market MAY OR MAY NOT present in the coming week.
One thing I recognize is that price continues to flirt with a resistance zone which makes this a tricky play for swing trades (at the time of writing current candle is inside bar). The 67K to 70K area is still a resistance zone (blue rectangle) and a higher risk location for long swing trades. In such scenarios when location is high risk but buy signals appear (break of inside bar high for example), it is more effective to assume risk on smaller time frames like 4H or 1H, and attempting to participate for a smaller bite. The risk that you are minimizing in this situation is the possibility that the 65K minor support is tested again and/or broken (see arrow).
The higher probability and lower risk scenario would be IF price can test the 64K support, followed by a reversal confirmation. The location is much more attractive since the potential profit is greater (3K+ points) coupled with much lower RISK (1 to 1.5 max) compared to 3K+ points of risk at the moment relative to this time frame. The illustration on the chart summarizes the ideal scenario that IF the market shows, would be a high probability swing trade long opportunity (which requires entry confirmation).
These scenarios that I present are dependent on the price action confirmation otherwise risk cannot be justified. Even having a confirmation process (like the Trade Scanner Pro) does NOT guarantee the trade idea will produce a positive outcome. After all, markets are HIGHLY random and outcomes are often the result of unexpected information being priced in. This is why technical analysis cannot be relied upon over longer time horizons, but can be helpful for quantifying risk.
Managing a position effectively no matter the time frame has everything to do with having properly aligned market expectations. First you uncover an idea, LET the market confirm the idea, from there it goes the right way or the wrong way. Your expectations will then shape how you manage the position as it fluctuates. The key to effective management is having an open enough mind to let the market pay you more when IT wants to, while being decisive enough to get out the moment you recognize what "wrong" looks like (or using other risk control methods like a stop). All of this information can be acquired from price charts or tools developed to simplify this process. Without any "process" you are most susceptible to relying on intuition and "hope" which will result in the typical retail trader experience: win sometimes but the account never grows for some reason.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTCUSD—Oversold Stoch RSI Signals Possible CorrectionGM crypto bro's, happy weekend! The fear and greed index is currently inaccessible—likely under maintenance. However, Stoch RSI is heading towards oversold territory, and the BTC candle close on the 25th broke through the previous day’s bullish engulfing.
So, where to next? Based on today’s price action, there's a strong probability that BTC will correct to the 65K - 64K range, possibly even lower. Stay safe, don’t FOMO, and as always, manage your risk. Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a great day and stay SAFU.
Bitcoin: The Short and Long (Term) ViewI want to give a video breakdown of my last Tradingview post which did very well as an Editor's Pick. Commentors posed some very good questions that deserve detailed explanations.
First, I talk about the confluence of three major levels of Resistance that setup last week and remained the overhead Resistance of INDEX:BTCUSD Bitcoin this week (and possibly in the short term).
Finally, lest I be accused of being TOO BEARISH... my LONG TERM view (going out for the next decade and beyond) using logarithmic projections of Bitcoin price action to define the Risk and Reward of a long term (2030 and beyond) investment. When Bitcoin is a good and not-so-good value proposition.
Bitcoin - Now Is The Time For A Breakout!Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) will exit the consolidation now:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
The only factor which is really driving the price of Bitcoin is technical analysis. And everything is pointing towards a bullish breakout above the preivous all time high and significant follow through. Make sure you somehow participate in the bullrun, either with altcoins or Bitcoin.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $100.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
TONUSDT Potential breakout from a down trendTONUSDT is in a prolonged sideways movement above the psychological level at 5.00, creating a range between 5.00 and 5.40. This structure suggests potential liquidity beneath the 5.00 level, particularly as it aligns with the round number. It’s likely the market may continue moving sideways before eventually dipping to capture this liquidity. Additionally, the formation of an inverse head and shoulders pattern hints at a possible bullish reversal. If the pattern completes, it could signal a shift in momentum and a potential breakout above the range. The mid-term target is the resistance zone at 6.00