BITCOIN forming 1st 1D Golden Cross in 7 months! New ATH ahead??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to form its first Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame in 7 months (since October 27 2024). This comes with the price very close to its $109k All Time High (ATH), following a relentless rebound and recovery from the Trade War correction.
Within the Bull Cycle's 2.5-year Channel Up, all 1D Golden Crosses have delivered higher prices instantly and the minimum % rise one has given before a new 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) pull-back, has been +33.11%.
This gives us an immediate Target of $135000 and is very much in line with a number of previous projections that the date show within this Target Region. Notice also how on all 3 last 1D Golden Crosses, a 1W MACD Bullish Cross precedes it. Basically that is the double confirmation of the medium-term bullish extension.
So do you think this 1D Golden Cross is such a strong buy signal and if yes, is $135k the bare minimum Target short-term? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin-btcusd
Bitcoin Not Looking Good At AllSome degree of 5 waves completed yesterday and reversal signs are there. Now, this 5 waves up could be just 1st leg of larger 5th or the 5th itself since this leg was 2.6 times of leg 1. Either way, we are heading towards 90K and if this was larger 5th that got complete then it's time for "serious worry", specially if you are a HODLer.
Bitcoin H4 | Pullback support at 23.6% Fibonacci retracementBitcoin (BTC/USD) could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 99,502.40 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 92,800.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 106,765.40 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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BITCOIN CORRECTION AHEAD|SHORT|
✅BITCOIN keeps growing in a
Strong uptrend in a narrowing
Bearish wedge pattern and the
Coin has reached a horizontal
Resistance level of 108000$
So IF we see a breakout from
The wedge a local bearish
Correction is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTC 4H Chart Analysis - Bitcoin is currently moving within a range, and two potential demand zones are highlighted on the chart with green boxes. There's a possibility that BTC may pull back into one of these zones to collect buy-side liquidity before continuing higher.
These areas can be considered for long setups on the 15-minute timeframe — but only with a valid entry trigger.
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📌 Key Levels
🟢 Supports:
- 100,000 – 100,500
- 97,400 – 98,700
- 95,900
🔴 Resistances:
- 104,800 – 105,200
- 105,900
BTCUSD - Support/Resistance LineAs seen on chart price has recovered this line previously seen as resistance and is now using it as support
This is extremely bullish for price as the resistance has essentially flipped to support
Great time to buy crypto as new ATHs for Bitcoin are about to come
Daily timeframe
After $105K Peak, Bitcoin May Revisit 0.382 FOB Level!CRYPTOCAP:BTC is pulling back after hitting a high of $105,800
If you look at the daily chart, we haven’t seen any healthy pullback, the price has gone straight up.
In my opinion, a retest of the 0.382 FOB level around $94K would be a healthy correction for Bitcoin. Based on the liquidation heatmap, we’re also seeing liquidity building up at lower levels.
This is one of the signs of a pullback, which is important for a sustainable and healthy market.
Stay tuned and follow for more updates!
BITCOIN 's 'Final 6 months rally' kickstarts the Altseason!This isn't the first time we show you this chart but it couldn't be more relevant than today. We have established on previous analyses how Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has most likely started the final rally of its Cycle, historically the parabolic rally of the last 6 months of the Bull Cycle that ends with its Top.
The addition of today's analysis is that with Bitcoin Dominance (orange trend-line) approaching its 8-year Lower Highs trend-line, this 'Final 6 months rally' of BTC is what technically also starts the Altseason. This is when lower cap coins see massive gains compared to the high cap ones.
At the same time, we get one more confirmation of why a $150k BTC Target is realistic, as by the end of 2025, this price would still be on the 0.618 Fibonacci level of the 8-year Fib Channel Up, a rather 'bad case' scenario based on this pattern.
So what do you think? Will BTC's Final 6 months rally spark a massive Altseason too? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Decision Point at Major Trendline 📊🚀 Bitcoin Today: Decision Point at Major Trendline ⚡📈
Hey Traders!
Bitcoin is once again at a critical decision point. The price is currently holding above the key ascending trendline around 101,970, and the market is giving us a clear message: Hold and Bounce... or Break and Drop.
If BTC can sustain above this trendline, we maintain a bullish bias with a 70% probability 📈 of reaching our first major target at 105,962. Break that, and the path to 113,000 opens up nicely!
However, stay vigilant! A confirmed break below 101,970 could invalidate the bullish setup and expose lower targets around 99,985 and 97,770.
📅 The next few candles will be decisive—perfect time to practice patience and disciplined entries.
Let’s see if BTC can hold the line and give us that bullish continuation we’re waiting for!
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Bitcoin - The Bottom Is In!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is reversing right now:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
It was really just a matter of time until Bitcoin actually manages to create a potential short term and longer term bottom. With this monthly candle, bulls are taking over again and starting to buy cryptos quite heavily. The chart just tells us that this is not the end, but rather the continuation.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Bitcoin Is Final Stages Of A Bullish CycleBitcoin is still bullish and the rise looks impulsive on the monthly chart, but cyclically, we are in the late stages of a 3-year bull run that can end this year, ideally around October 2025. There’s actually still about 5 months of a bullish trend to complete 35 monthly bars, like in previous bullish cycles, so we may easily see more gains this year from a technical perspective.
Next year we should be aware of a bear market that can last at least 12 monthly bars or one year.
BITCOIN making the FINAL PUSH! Only 6 months of BULL left!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has had n astonishing symmetry among its Cycles in the past 11 years, as all three of the Bear Cycles have had identical durations (13 and 12 months twice) as well as the two Bull Cycles (both 35 months).
As a result, there is no reason to assume otherwise for the current Bull Cycle as well, which if it also lasts for 35 months, it will peak in October 2025. This means that BTC might 'only' have another 6 months of Bull Cycle ahead of it but that's not bad news as historically this phase tends to be the most aggressive part.
Even if it's not, various studies we've done before point out that a price around $150k would be more than fair and practically a 'pessimistic' scenario for the Cycle High.
Do you think that will be the case? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN on similar spot as before the U.S. elections! 155k next?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke last week above the Lower Highs trend-line of its December 2024 High and so far on the current 1W candle, it's consolidating on it.
This is the exact same price action we saw on the October 21 2024 1W candle, which after breaking above that Lower Highs trend-line at the time, it spend 2 weeks consolidating on it before the November 05 U.S. election result started a relentless 7 week rally just below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
Note that on both fractals, the Lower Highs break-out and then re-test, took place on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. If BTC manages to close above it at all times, we will have a strong case to expect again a Bullish extension as last December. The symmetrical level just below the 2.0 Fib ext in today's terms is $155000.
Do you think that will be next after a short-term consolidation? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin H4 | Potential bullish bounce off a pullback supportBitcoin (BTC/USD) could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 99,502.40 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 92,800.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 106,765.40 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
$BTC probability still favors new lowBTC has had a strong rally back into the prior resistance and unless we can break above the prior highs, I still think probability still favors more downside (and I think we see a new low).
I've marked off support levels and resistance levels as I think this will largely be the range over the next year.
My base case as of now, is that we see one more low down in the $69k-$62k region before we start a new run to the highs above ($122k+). Another possibility is that we sweep the lows and bounce at $72k, then move up towards the highs.
That said, the reason I think lower is due to the massive imbalance on the chart that needs to get resolved.
Overall I still think we're in a bullish trend, but that we continue to pullback before the final move higher.
BITCOIN about to test its ATH following HUGE U.S. - China deal!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is marching towards the $109000 Resistance, which is its All Time High (ATH), following the U.S. - China trade agreement 3 hours ago. This can be a huge fundamental boost to the bullish trend as technically, every time the Resistance level broke during this Bull Cycle, the break-out that followed was extremely aggressive.
On October 2 2023, the Resistance test resulted into a strong break-out, which completed a +96.18% rise from the bottom before a 1D MA100 (green trend-line) pull-back. At the same time of the Resistance break-out, we had a 1D MA50/100 Bullish Cross and a 1W MACD Bullish Cross.
The October 29 2024 Resistance test on the other hand was initially unsuccessful and made a 5 day rejection back near the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) before the next successful test. Again the rise was more than +96.18%.
As a result, we are expecting to see at least $145k by July (+96.18%) once the Resistance breaks.
Do you think that is a realistic time-frame for $145000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Has Unfinished Business Below $74K! Will It Return?Key Disclaimer: Inefficiencies Don’t Need to Be Filled
Let’s set the stage clearly: inefficiencies like the one at $73,624.98–$74,420.69 for BTCUSD do not HAVE to be filled.
They’re a TENDENCY, not a rule, an intriguing opportunity to explore high-probability zones. If Bitcoin doesn’t return to this level, no harm is done; but this is a very good opportunity to analyze the term, as such... let’s break it down.
What Is an Inefficiency?
An inefficiency, or sometimes a fair value gap (FVG), is a price range with "minimal" trading activity, often caused by a rapid move—here, a rally—creating a liquidity imbalance. On the weekly BTCUSD chart, this area between wicks spans $73,624.98 to $74,420.69, likely formed during a sharp rally around April 2025.
This untested range makes it a potential target for future price action, as markets often seek to resolve such imbalances. Notably, the price has already approached this zone, and there’s a chance it may never return. However, around $74,400, there are still some “unfinished things to do”, untested liquidity, or orders, which could draw the price back if conditions align.
Why Do Inefficiencies Attract Price?
Inefficiencies often act as magnets for price due to:
Liquidity Seeking: Markets revisit areas with unfilled liquidity (stop-loss or pending orders) to balance supply and demand.
Market Memory: Traders and algorithms, target these levels, reinforcing their significance.
Mean Reversion: After rapid rallies, the price may retrace to test imbalances before continuing. (atm we are probably too far from it but still keep this area in your minds)
Institutional Activity: Large players might re-enter at these levels, making them key zones for reversals or consolidation.
Historically, assets tends to revisit such areas, as the chart notes.
BTCUSD Context: $103,000 with Bullish Momentum
As of May 10, 2025, BTCUSD is at ~$103,200 on the weekly chart, on the way to confirm a weekly breakout above $100,000, supported by higher highs, an ascending channel, and macro factors ( for example ETF inflows), signaling quite a strong momentum.
The inefficiency at $73,624.98–$74,420.69 is 28–29% below the current price, a deep pullback that might require a catalyst like a macro correction, negative crypto news, or profit-taking. Given the price has already approached this zone, it may not return, but the “unfinished business” around $74,400 keeps it on the radar. Still, strong trends can bypass inefficiencies, and factors like time decay or adoption may drive prices higher.
Trading Approach, Short-, Mid-Term Investors Take Your Profits!
This formation of inefficiency is not a prediction to short, it’s an opportunity to monitor.
Still, if you’re a short- to mid-term investor, it might be a smart move to take some profits here and observe what unfolds next.
Right now, we’re potentially seeing a double top forming around major psychological levels. And to be honest, the inefficiency below (shown on the chart) still lingers in the back of my mind.
People often ask me: “When is a good time to take profits?”
My answer? Now. It is a perfect example and it fits to all assets.
And here's why. There are clear scenarios that help remove the guesswork:
1. You sell now, and the price continues to rally higher.
That’s not a problem. By selling, you’ve reduced your risk, and securing your profits - always a smart move.
If the price breaks above $100K, you can always buy it back after a confirmed breakout and retest.
That’s a strong sign that investors are willing to pay higher prices for BTC, and historically, after such breakouts (like with the $50K level in August 2024), the market tends to come back to retest that breakout zone.
Of course, if you’re a long-term investor with a 3-5+ year horizon, you may choose to ride it out. In that case, trying to time this might just be over-managing your position. There’s always a chance BTC won’t retest $100K again.
2. The best-case scenario if you take profits now:
You get the chance to buy back lower.
If the market pulls back, keep that inefficiency level in mind—there’s also a mid-term trendline, previous yearly highs, and other technical elements that haven’t been tested yet.
Traders’ psychology hasn’t really been pushed to the limits at this stage, and in my view, the crypto market loves to test limits.
So if you’re a short- or mid-term investor who bought in at lower levels, this is a good time to seriously consider locking in some profits.
Step back, and let the price action guide the next move.
Listen—just listen.
Conclusion
Inefficiencies like the one between $73,624 and $74,420 don’t demand to be filled—but they’re worth understanding, tracking, and learning from. Whether price revisits that zone or not, the real value lies in recognizing where the market has moved too fast and what that might mean if momentum shifts.
Right now, BTCUSD is strong. But strength can fade, sentiment can shift, and “unfinished business” below still holds weight for traders who think in probabilities, not certainties.
If you’re in profit—especially from lower levels—this might be one of those moments to pause, and make sure greed isn’t driving your next decision.
Whether this zone becomes just a memory or a brilliant case study, it’s already a valuable example of how understanding market structure helps you stay a step ahead—not a step behind.
Stay alert. Stay humble. And as said… listen.
Cheers,
Vaido
“+$25K Profit & Still Long – Don’t Chase, Trade Smart”Since the drop to 74K, we've seen an incredibly fast and powerful rally over the past month—and I’m currently sitting on a realized profit of over $25,000 during this move.
One of the most bullish signals in this entire structure is that since the reversal in April, we’ve never seen a proper correction or trend-reversing retracement. As I mentioned in previous updates, this shows exceptional strength and suggests the uptrend remains firmly intact.
In fact, we’re climbing without breaking any key lows—what I like to call a “step-by-step” grind upward. On higher time frames, these look like strong bullish candles, meaning more buyers than sellers, and aggressive market orders pushing price higher. That’s a characteristic of strong trends—remember that.
Now, with the historical ATH at $109,000 getting closer, I do not expect an immediate breakout to new highs. Instead, we might see a healthy consolidation—either price-wise or time-wise—around this major supply zone. This is not the time to FOMO in.
The recent surge was fueled by comments from President Trump, and that breakout candle was significant. But sharp moves often bring sharp corrections. If price pulls back to the 96–95K zone and finds support, that could be the base for a new push toward all-time highs.
If you’re not in a position right now:
🚫 Do NOT rush into the market.
We are at a spot where both a breakout and a reversal are possible. Whether you’re using the lower or higher time frame, wait for clear confirmation—a pullback, a base, a proper setup.
Look to long only after strong support is confirmed, or short if price keeps failing to break highs. Either way, keep a tight stop and let your winners run—there’s still opportunity here, but only with proper risk-reward.
I’ll say it again because it’s important:
If you missed this long, it’s okay.
The market will correct—whether sharply or slowly—and your edge is not in chasing, but in being ready. Don’t let impulsive trades erase your capital or your confidence.
Oh, and by the way—I’m still holding my long position.
BTCUSD: Reclaimed 100k after 3 months! Next wave to $190k.Bitcoin has turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 73.178, MACD = 2904.000, ADX = 30.769) as it reclaimed the $100,000 marke after exactly 3 months. This is a very structured bullish pattern that consists of a Bullish Wave that peaks and leads to a Megaphone consolidation, which in turn starts the next Bullish Wave. Both waves so far have been around +16.30%. As the 8H MA50 perfectly held Tuesday's low, the pattern has already started the new Bullish Wave, which technically aims for yet another +16.30% rally (TP = 109,000).
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