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ALTSEASON to $3 Trillion with BITCOIN at $200k??This is not the first time we make the comparison of the current Altcoin (Crypto Total Market Cap excluding top 10) Cycle with the 2014 - 2017 one. But it is the first time that we make this comparison, including Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) Cycles. As you can see, there are striking similarities between the Alt Cycles: a) Both bottom formations were in the form of a Cup pattern b) A Pivot trend-line that turned from Resistance to Support c) The MA50 (blue trend-line) was supporting once broken until the next Bear Cycle d) A Bull Flag after the MA50 break-out found support on the MA50 and 0.382 Fib and started the Altseason (green Channel Up) e) That Bull Flag started with a MACD Bearish Cross and ended on a Bullish Cross It appears that we are now on the stage where Alts have the 1st consolidation of the Parabolic Rally. What's remarkable and the key difference between the two Cycles, is that this time BTC has diverged massively and made a new All Time High (ATH), while alts haven't. Of course this is directly attributed to the Bitcoin ETF, which attracted enormous amounts of capital that pumped the asset beyond the technical restrictions of this model. This may be an indication however, that part of this capital may be diverted to Alts, once partial BTC profit taking takes place, as it has happened during every Altseason. In any event, if the Cycle continues to replicate the 2017 rally, it should reach the -1.5 Fibonacci extension, which would translate to at least a $3 Trillion Altcoin Market Cap, while Bitcoin would be close to the $200k level! That may seem unrealistic in terms of market cap, but so did the levels during the 2020/21 and 2017 rallies. It all depends on whether Bitcoin can continues to attract outside capital with this pace, which will in turn grow interest on the rest of the crypto market and also on the rate of adoption (companies, consumer use of crypto). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSLong
by TradingShot
2
BTC - 4H Consolidation LikelyThe current low market volume is typical during the Christmas and New Year holiday period, as institutional players and many retail traders reduce activity. This reduction in liquidity often leads to lower volatility and smaller price movements. In this scenario, BINANCE:BTCUSDT appears to be consolidating within a well-defined range, as highlighted by the resistance zone around $99,000 and the support zone near $92,000. With minimal external market drivers expected until trading activity picks up after the holidays, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is likely to remain range-bound. This sideways movement aligns with historical behavior during low-volume periods, where breakouts or significant trends are less frequent. Traders should consider this low-volatility environment when planning short-term strategies.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sober_Trading
6
Bitcoin Logarithmic Chart Since 2009Bitcoin is currently in a bull cycle similar to previous cycles. Bitcoin has a notorious 4 year cycle that almost everyone knows about due to it's halving. This means the current bull cycle should extend into late 2025. However, things may be a little different from what most people would expect this time. This is an all-time Bitcoin logarithmic chart going back to 2009 which is when Bitcoin was released. This is a monthly chart so all the information can fit onto a single screen. The red line shows a trajectory similar to an airborne projectile of some kind. As time goes on, the velocity is slowing. We all know what happens next when velocity slows down too much. Gravity takes over! The green lines were drawn from the lows to the highs. I realize they may be off by a candle or so depending on data source or where somebody want to put the start/end times, but this doesn't change the overall concept. Every bull cycle has lower growth in terms of %. This is just a fact. There are 3 important notes I want to make other than slowing velocity: 1) Bitcoin is already extended up to the red line this cycle. Which just so happens to coincide with the strong psychological $100000 level. 2) Notice how the growth percentages are drastically lower each cycle. Bitcoin is currently up more than 500% from it's low point this cycle. The previous cycle only made a 1829% move. So the high for this cycle may have already been made. 3) We are about 25 candle into the current cycle. Each cycle has different durations from low point to high point though. The shortest cycle was only 28 candles. Bitcoin may very well have made it's high point this cycle already. If not, there may be only a few months left of bullish movement. See my previous analysis using a regular linear chart which I made near the top. Both long-term charts are in agreement.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by EACoders
Bulls & Bears cycles of #Bitcoin.Good day, dear investors. We present to your attention the analysis of the last 2 #Bitcoin growth cycles and the forecast for the beginning of the bear cycle. The data demonstrated a surprising coincidence of numbers: - the bull cycle (the growth of the asset from the minimum quote, to which the asset has not returned) is 1050 days on average. - the bear cycle consists of 365 days on average. At the same time, with each cycle, the depth of the asset correction also decreases: - 2017/2018 loss of 85% of the value of Bitcoin and 95% of Ether. - 2021/2022 loss of 75% of the value of Bitcoin and 80% of Ether. Our conservative forecast for the value of Bitcoin is 150,000. A positive forecast, in the event of the adoption of the "Law on the Strategic Reserve" - ​​250,000. William Abagnale Cryptanalyst of Vokcapital.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by VOKCAPITAL
BITCOIN A long term investment target.Bitcoin is trading inside a Channel Up since the top of the 2017 Cycle. It was supported by the 1W MA50 in August and that kept alive this Bull Cycle's Channel Up. The last year of the previous Cycle was 2021 and throught its course, the 1W MA50 was in support. Even if the 2025 Phase fails to peak at the top of the 8 year Channel Up, it can still complete the phase on the Channel's 0.75 Fib and technically looks like a minimum. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price as a long term investment. Targets: 1. 250000 (0.75 Fib and smaller Channel Up top). Tips: 1. The RSI (1w) should be near 90.00 when the Cycle top is priced. Use it as a complementary indicator in order to close the position earlier if 90.00 is reached before the price hits 250000. Please like, follow and comment!!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingBrokersView
Bitcoin monthly candles starting to look spookyBitcoin has given up its gains made in the initial days of the year following a very strong performance last year. But in December, BTC/USD formed an inverted hammer candle at technically overbought levels, potentially providing a bearish signal for the early parts of this year. Each time the monthly RSI has risen above 70.00 it has invariably dropped back because of a sell-off in BTC/USD rather than a mere consolidation. We could see another drop to work off its overbought conditions before the next bull run potentially starts in the months ahead. What makes Bitcoin more interesting this time is the fact the bearish monthly signal has been formed around a major milestones of $100K. If the December low of $91,271 breaks, and BTC holds below that level, then we could see the onset of a correction. While the dip could ultimately prove to be shallow this time because of the impact of Trump and Musk, prices could still dip towards long-term support levels such as $74K or even $65K. Should we get to these levels, I would then expect to see a potential low and the onset of another rally. But we will cross that bridge if and when we get there. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by FOREXcom
BITCOIN Cycle Top can be as high as $200kBitcoin (BTCUSD) has started 2025 on high volatility amidst geopolitical and economic news input. 2025 is the last year of this Bull Cycle, according to the Cycles Theory which for more than a decade has been very accurate at predicting Cycle Tops and Bottoms. ** LGC, MMB and Pi Cycle * On today's analysis we present to you this view in more detail by displaying Bitcoin's Logarithmic Growth Channel (LGC) with the addition of the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) and the Pi Cycle trend-lines. From the MMB we use its extremes, the 3SD above (red trend-line), which is the Mayer Top and the 3SD below (black trend-line), which is the Mayer Bottom. From the Pi Cycle we use a tighter range, its top trend-line (orange) and bottom trend-line (green), which form a zone that typically serves as more of a 'Fair Value' before the Bear Cycle's extreme selling and Bull Cycle's extreme buying (Parabolic Rally). ** Current Cycle in 2025 ** As mentioned, BTC has entered the last year of its current Bull Cycle. Based on this cyclical pattern, the 3 previous Tops have been either on a November or December. As a result, we expect the new Cycle Top to start forming by November 2025. The last one was formed above the Pi Cycle Top (never hit the Mayer Top) and on the 2nd LGC Zone from the top. This suggests that even if the price barely tests the bottom for the LGC 2nd Zone from the Top, by November 2025 we should be close to $200000. Technically the projected Peak Zone should be within the 180k - 200k range. That may still be below the Pi Cycle Top, so technically we can argue that it is a fair scenario to expect and not an overly optimistic. Unrealistic or not, this is what 3 separate traditional long-term models suggest. But what do you think? Is a $180-200k Top a realistic expectation within 2025? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
46
BTC Range from a Premium & Discount PerspectiveBitcoin has been known to be in range, and we can use tools to analyze it's price action: 1. Trendline Tops & Bottoms as Support & Resistance 2. Trendline Channel 3. Premium & Discount Range For Premium & Discount Range, configure the Fib into 0.25, 0.5 and 0.75. These levels act as Intermediate Support & Resistances. Here, I do not use Fibonacci retracements, but could easily view my chart in a clear manner. We will have to see how price reacts around these channel and ranges to understand it's movements. Hope it helps, follow if you like more chart analysis. Thanks!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by solfury
Bitcoin Continues Consolidating Within Key RangeChart Analysis: Bitcoin remains in a long-term uptrend, supported by an ascending trendline (black line) and recently consolidating within a rectangular range near $96,000. 1️⃣ Ascending Trendline: The long-term trendline continues to act as dynamic support, underpinning Bitcoin's bullish structure. Traders may watch for price reactions near this trendline for potential bounce opportunities. 2️⃣ Key Range: Bitcoin is consolidating between $96,000 (support) and $110,000 (resistance). A breakout above $110,000 would confirm bullish momentum, while a break below $96,000 could signal downside risks. 3️⃣ Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (blue): Positioned near $91,000, providing short-term dynamic support. 200-day SMA (red): Rising around $70,000, confirming the long-term bullish trend. 4️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: Hovering near 51, indicating neutral momentum after cooling off from overbought conditions. MACD: Momentum remains positive, but recent consolidation has led to a flattening trend in the MACD. What to Watch: Monitor the $96,000-$110,000 range for potential breakout opportunities. A breakout above $110,000 could target new highs, while a drop below $96,000 may test the ascending trendline or lower supports. Look for RSI or MACD divergences to confirm breakout direction. Bitcoin remains within a bullish structure, with the ascending trendline and moving averages providing key levels to follow. The consolidation phase offers a clear technical setup for the next directional move. -MW
FOREXCOM:BTCUSD
by FOREXcom
Bitcoin's Ultimate Pump: The Trap Before the CrashBitcoin continues its “hype” and is close to forming the next spurt. Globally, the picture looks like close to the distribution zone. We are approaching the biggest “cheat” in history. I expect a final spurt into the zone around 120k, from here a long trade will start where altcoins will shoot up and show incredible gains. The crowd will be experiencing FOMO, heads of state and big companies will start making noise that this is just a pro-trade level for Bitcoin before the next spurt. Only the majority will fall back into the trap and end up in a bear market with huge losses. The market is set up so that only 10% will make money and the other 90% will be cheated. After the distribution is completed, I expect the bitcoin price to fall below the 0.5 Fibonacci level. The RSI value will drop below 30 units on such a drop and we will enter a global fear phase. I would attribute the next bull market to the rise of the DeSci and AI sectors. My research on the cryptocurrency market sectors shows that large funds and corporations are starting to invest in projects in these areas. Horban Brothers.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by horbanbrothers
Bitcoin in lower timeframes (4H)Bitcoin appears to be within a "Trading Range" on lower timeframes. Within this range, a bearish "QM" (Quasimodo) pattern seems to have formed. To complete the right shoulder of this QM, the price may need to rise to higher levels (red box). It could move from the green box up to the red box. Generally, during the year-end holiday period, many large and small traders need cash and sell part of their assets, causing a mid-level correction in the market. During these days, the market seeks liquidity hunts and fluctuations within a specific range. At this stage, it's advisable to reduce the number of your trades and avoid futures trading to some extent. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by behdark
BITCOIN New year, same thing..Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has just reclaimed the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) over the weekend and is so far successfully holding it below the price action, making it a Support. The exact same price action took place in January last year (2024). In fact, as these 1D charts very vividly illustrate, the whole sequence from the September 06 2024 Low to today, is very similar to the sequence from the September 11 2023 Low to (so far) January 2024. This incredible degree of symmetry is also extending to their 1D RSI and MACD fractals. The first formed Bearish Divergences under Lower Highs trend-lines, which when broken confirm the new rally, while the latter (MACD) was the early buy signal when it formed a Bullish Cross below the 0.00 mark. If BTC continues to copy the January 2024 fractal, then we should be expecting a few more days of sideways price action, that will pave the way for the new (2nd) Rally Phase of the whole pattern. The 2nd rally peaked on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the September 11 2023 Low, so if the pattern replication continues, we may see a peak above $150k. So do you think the early 2024 bullish break-out will be repeated? And if yes, are you expecting a peak as high as $150000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
11
Bitcoin: Bullish Until 90K Is Broken.Bitcoin has found support in the low 90K area (read my previous week's analysis). As long as 90K stays intact it is within reason to continue to have bullish expectations. Also wrote in the previous article that overly optimistic expectations are not in line with the developing price structure. Based on the inside bar formation that is developing now (see arrow), price is likely to test the 102,500 area minor resistance. IF it gets there, and what happens after is anyone's GUESS. The idea here is to be prepared for the coming week by coming to the market with a sense of context while at the same time being open to ANYTHING. The market decides what actually happens, the only thing we can do is adjust and follow. I like to think of everything within a limited range of scenarios. "If this scenario, then that" or "if this other scenario, then that other outcome". For example, IF the current candle closes as a doji and the high is cleared over the next day, price is likely to squeeze into the next resistance area which happens to be in the 102Ks (see thin rectangle). This information can help you to prepare for bullish setups and confirmations on smaller time frames to capture a portion of the 4K point potential. This is where a confirmation tool like my Trade Scanner Po comes into play. You come to the market with an idea and the tool provides an objective confirmation with defined risk and profit objective. IF the current candle develops into a bearish engulfing instead, that would cancel out the bullish idea and increase the likelihood of price retesting the 90K AREA support zone. A location where long setups should be anticipated UNTIL the level is compromised. Again the market moves first, and then from there we can better anticipate the following movement. At this point there is not much to do but wait for a confirmation one way or the other. The 100K area may also act as a psychological resistance so taking swing trades or positions with longer time horizons carries a lot more risk compared to signals around the low 90ks. How you navigate the market depends heavily on the time horizon you choose. Smaller time horizons have smaller associated risk, but a larger amount of noise and false signals. Larger time frames are less noisy and offer larger movements, but the risk is much greater. It is possible to operate on multiple time frames but requires a decent amount of experience. And while Bitcoin is still generally bullish, that does not mean it will stay that way. It is better to keep an open mind than to get married to an opinion ESPECIALLY if the source of that opinion came from some "expert". For better perspective, keep an eye on the weekly or monthly time frame. If the low of the current monthly candle is compromised, some kind of corrective move is likely to follow, NOT BTC 1.2 million. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
29