BITCOIN rally cant get caught anymore and SPXRUT ratio shows whyIt's beyond doubt now that Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has started the new Parabolic Rally (PR), technically the most aggressive phase of the Bull Cycle. We've made numerous analyses in the past explaining on time why we expected this break-out to take place after 7 months of accumulation.
What we bring to you today is the SPX/RUT ratio, the correlation of the S&P500 (SPX) and Russell 2000 (RUT) indices against BTC and how it confirms that this rally will now accelerate to a pace that it won't be easy to get caught (i.e. bought).
The SPX/RUT ratio is displayed by the blue trend-line. The ratio is particularly helpful during Bitcoin's Parabolic Rally phase as their correlation is mostly a negative one, meaning when the ratio falls, Bitcoin rises. On this chart, this correlation is present on a cyclical basis. This means that during every Cycle, it displays a behavioral pattern that is common.
The key characteristic here is the Lower Highs pattern that the ratio forms every Cycle around the Halving time. As you can see, when SPX/RUT peaks (red circle) and starts forming Lower Highs, Bitcoin stars its Parabolic Rally (green arc). On the 1st Lower High, BTC's rally is already underway and has entered the stage where due to the sheer buying pressure and aggression, getting an entry is difficult. The Lower Highs on SPX/RUT also signify a shift from big capitalization stocks to low, i.e. an increasing appetite for riskier assets and that transcends to the Bitcoin market as well.
So what do you think? Does the SPX/RUT ratio indicate that we've started the part of BTC's rally that is hard to catch? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin-btcusd
BTC USD UpdateOvernight rally flipped the high of 93.495, massive volume behind us, cruising into Big TP 100K. I've decided to leave my stops into the previous day's low and let it do its magic. After the election, all TA and FA doesn't matter. The market maker has set the price to eat all sell orders and just let it go. We don't know if it's 100K or 150K. I'm sure I'll hold my trades until it starts to break lower on the weekly chart. Happy cruising!
BTC Faces Heavy Resistance in Blue Zone: Pump or Correction ?Good morning, crypto bro's! 🌅
📊 Fear & Greed Index: 82 (Extreme Greed).
📉 Stoch RSI: Heading toward the oversold zone.
💡 Analysis:
BTC's price action remains bullish, with the $95K target still on track. However, the current blue zone between $93K - $99K presents significant resistance and poses a high risk of correction.
🔑 Stay sharp, avoid FOMO, and prioritize risk management! 🛡️
I'm Akki, as always, one chart at a time. Have a fantastic day and stay SAFU!
92700 BTC SL !!!The price range of 95,000 to 96,000 is a very important resistance for Bitcoin.
If the loss limit of 92,700 and the trend curve is broken, we may have a price drop of up to 83,000 or 76,000.
An increase in the volume of transactions near the resistance can be an exit sign.
You can check the detailed analysis of Bitcoin in the past on my page.
Don't forget to boost and follow
BTC | SHORT TERM | ATH OutlookBitcoin is in the process of making new ATH's and this process is called "price discovery mode".
This basically means that we have no indication of possible resistance or support zones. However, there is one method I like to use for price discovery mode - Fibonacci.
This could hold some key information as to where the price of BTC may possible see some rejection, and where it could bounce from.
If you're keen to see the journey, I made an update on my ENTIRE BTC prediction-roadmap. Find it here:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTC Pumping to 95K? Or Correction to 90K?GM crypto bro's! 🌅 Fear & Greed Index stays in extreme greed at 83, while Stoch RSI trends down towards oversold territory. 🚦
📌 Current BTC top price: $93,965.
🔼 Potential pump: $95K range.
🔽 Possible correction: $90K-$89K.
Market remains greedy, so stay sharp, don’t FOMO, and always manage your risk! 🛡️
I'm Akki, closing with one chart at a time. Have a great day and stay SAFU!
BITCOIN Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair is
Now trying to make a
Breakout of the key
Horizontal level of 93k$
So IF the breakout is
Confirmed we will be
Expecting a further move up
Buy!
Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
BTCUSD - Bitcoin casually following path of next year ?Don't put to much credit on this one because even me I'm not believe my eyes
but this is the reason why I'm not taking profit yet
13 november 2024 is 25 October 2023
- Fibs extensions fit super well with this path,
- it's another confirmation for the green path I drew a month ago
- 97K for the next coming 10 days is very likely to me
- 120K for 25 december 2024 looks like a fairy tale and I want to believe
=> more than 10% drawdown for BTC is a partial take profit for me and a redistribution in more risky altcoins
I made a sort of indicator on my own that says if a certain coin will be worth it to buy for this bull run or no. Can already tell you that SOL , FET , STX and UNI are in it. Will show you my picks next month.
See you
not financial advice
BITCOIN Pi Cycle Theory aiming at $120k at least!Following Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) new All Time High in the aftermath of the U.S. elections, we've established on previous posts that we've entered the final year (12 months) of this Bull Cycle. This is clearly visible by the use of the Sine Waves as shown on this 1W chart.
** Pi Cycle **
The new aspect we're bringing to you today is the Pi Cycle indicator, which has proven to be as consistent as any other at projecting the long-term price action of Bitcoin. As you can see every Cycle Top has been considerably above the Top Pi Band (red trend-line) and we're currently trading $30k below where this level is now. This means that it is only a matter of time for BTC to 'attack' $120k and break it.
** 1W RSI kickstarting the aggression **
We are at a point where the new rally phase that started after the price tested, held and rebounded on the 1W MA50 back in early August, will start getting more and more aggressive. The final bullish signal was given last week after the 1W RSI closed above 70.00 (vertical orange dashed line). As you can see, during the previous two Cycles, every time Bitcoin closed the 1W RSI above 70.00, the Cycle peaked 54 weeks later (roughly 365 days). There is no reason to expect otherwise this time also, as this projected date (week of November 24 2025) falls exactly on the Sine Wave's Top.
Notice also that during the most aggressive part of the Parabolic Rally, the 1D MA100 (blue trend-line) tends to Support. And before that, when that crosses above the Bottom Pi band (green trend-line), the indicator gives a confirmed buy signal for the whole Cycle.
** Timing the market is everything **
The question now is how high can the price get? Well according to those estimates, a peak above the Top Pi Band can be anywhere within the $150k - $200k range, and that could be a conservative estimate. But lucky enough, with technical tools like the one we present to you today, we can time the market (thus our exits/ sells) almost perfectly and get out as high as possible, without having an absolute Target in mind.
But what do you think? Are you also expecting the rally to start getting even more aggressive and break above $120k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin - The Beginning Of The Next Phase!Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) is finally breaking all resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Patience once again paid off after Bitcoin has been retesting the previous all time high for about 250 days, not really being able to create a sustainable breakout. But now, after all this waiting, things are happening pretty quickly and Bitcoin is on its way to the magical $100.000 level.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $100.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BTCUSD: Timing the top is better than setting an actual target.Bitcoin is overbought on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 73.472, MACD = 6115.900, ADX = 33.802) as it made new All Time Highs last week on an amazing post election bullish breakout. The 1W MACD is on a Bullish Cross, the very same buy signal it flashed before every ATH breakout. During the previous Cycle, Bitcoin peaked 45 weeks after the breakout and the one before 35 weeks after. Since the Cycle is calculated to peak towards the end of 2025, it is only reasonable to assume that this is an arithmetic progression and we will see the top probably on 10 weeks more than the previous Cycle, i.e. in 55 weeks. That places it around November 2025. If you don't have a specific target in mind, it is much more reasonable to time your sells at whatever price BTC will be at from September 2025 onwards, so that you can exit as high as possible with the maximum profit.
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Bitcoin is on its way to update the highs again!The main liquidation level has risen, but it would be logical to assume a short-term spike near the $100k mark, without reaching it completely, and then a reversal downward. Why? Because a wave of newcomers will rush into the market, gripped by fear of missing out (FOMO), buying up assets on the spot and opening long positions. This will become an easy target. I prefer to trust fibonacci levels as they offer the optimal RR for most traders. The liquidation level at 66k converges with the 1,414 level! It's a magnet.
Horban Brothers.
Bitcoin Timeline- i always said that this bullrun looks much more as 2015 - 2018.
- 2019 - 2022 BearMarket was disrupted by Covid.
- Double top ATH (end 2021) was combined with a large divergence.
- Consider that the first 2021 ATH was the real one.
- this graphic is not a price prediction but you can consider it as almanac.
- if story repeats next ATH would be before end of 2025.
- 2026 BearMarket will back.
- Check Columns + dates.
- Compare.
- Deduct.
Happy Tr4Ding!
BITCOIN-->Implementation and distribution phase. Target 100,000BINANCE:BTCUSDT is consolidating after a strong rally. In the context of a more likely rally. The target around 95,000 - 100,000 is getting closer and more realistic. What is the reason?
The fundamental backdrop is strong because of the Trump presidential election, which is generally favorable for bitcoin and other crypto flows. Can this rally be even bigger? Yes! And there are bullish premises for it:
BTCUSDT has broken out of the accumulation (triangle) but faces a strong resistance zone. The coin continues to accumulate potential, but there are signs of a resistance breakout.
Technically, the picture on the chart is shaping up to be extremely bullish: no extension of the lows, strong consolidation and strong support levels.
I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of the support level and the formation of a false breakdown before further growth. But in any case, a break above the major resistance zone at 91,650 could trigger a bullish run.
BTC Pump to 95K? Fear & Greed Index Still High! GM crypto bro's! 🌄 Fear & Greed Index stays in extreme greed at 83, and Stoch RSI begins exiting the overbought zone. 📊 BTC still hasn’t hit our correction target at FWB:83K - GETTEX:82K , but there’s a small chance we see a pump up to the $95K range. 🚀
As always, stay vigilant, avoid FOMO, and manage your risk properly. 🛡️ I'm Akki, signing off with one chart at a time. Have a great day and stay SAFU!
Bitcoin: 100K? 85K More Probable.Bitcoin has gone nuts thanks to the historical election catalyst. Unusual situations such as these often provide lots of opportunity but that opportunity comes in forms that may not be so obvious to many. In situations where a market makes new all time highs, I do not get caught up with what the crowd is saying, and instead measure the affects of such a move in terms of RISK.
There are going to be LOTS of wild forecasts. The typical "expert" tends to overreact along with telling people what they want to hear in order to attract eye balls. The rational question is: what is the RISK for investors, swing traders, day traders, etc?
In terms of the broader perspective, Bitcoin has broken out of the consolidation that was in play since March. The move appears to be a broader Wave 5, which means a test of 100K or higher is within reason as a result of this breakout. People who called this move years ago look like geniuses only by coincidence (if the election went the other way, Bitcoin may have also). While there is NOTHING bearish to consider at the moment, this situation is best for those who bought much earlier. When markets look their best, that is usually the WORST time to buy not because of some bearish reason, but because of the inherent RISK.
Investors and swing traders are assuming the MOST risk at these levels. The nearest supportive area (by proportion) is somewhere between 83K and 78K (see rectangle, arrow). A 6K to 10K+ retrace is very possible and can come out of no where for any reason (have you seen the -500+ Nasdaq?). Fundamentals do not matter in these high momentum situations. If you are not willing to take that kind of risk, then taking on new positions at these levels with the intention of staying in for the 100K break out is NOT in your best interest. The probability of a retrace increases as the market pushes higher. The rational thing to do is be patient, WAIT for the retrace. Markets do NOT move in straight lines.
The better opportunity in my opinion is on the smaller time frames (day trade). 1000 points per hour in some cases, this is where you can take relatively smaller risk (if you know how to control it) while capturing some wild moves. There is a number of supports for this time frame but the more obvious one is around the 87K area. With this type of price action you can play both long and short and avoid the broader risk by not taking any overnights. A tool like my Trade Scanner Pro works well in a high momentum environment like this one, especially when it comes time to defining risk and profit objectives.
The illustration on the chart shows the scenario that I anticipate on the daily time frame for the coming week. It MAY or MAY NOT unfold this way. It may touch the 95K resistance first. There is no way to know in advance, the key is to have some idea of what scenario is within reason and then act when the market CONFIRMS.
While there is a clear bias in price structure, we must always respect that MARKETS are HIGHLY random and things can change fast. A strong market can easily retrace and yet it is still strong. Know your higher probability levels in advance and wait for the market to prove itself. Otherwise, if your the type who depends on hope in tough situations, your profits during this wild time will be brief.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTCUSD: When its Overbought, this is when you should buy more.Bitcoin has again turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 77.715, MACD = 6007.800, ADX = 49.688) as the price crossed over the top (LH) of the Triangle pattern that had us consolidating for the past 3 days. The 1D RSI is already over the R1 level and that should cause the bullish breakout of the price to accelerate. This breakout happened after the 1H MA100 was tested 3 times and held. As long as it keeps holding, we expect Bitcoin to target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 97,000) of the previous LH.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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