Bitcoin - It Will Reach $100.000!Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) will break out soon:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Everything, and I literally mean everything, is bullish on Bitcoin. The previous cycles, timeframes, market structure and price action are all pointing towards the continuation of the bull run which started in 2023. And a breakout above the all time high, is the next trigger.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $100.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Bitcoin-btcusd
BTCUSD: October is the countdown to the Cycle's Top.Bitcoin is having a strong pullback today, turning the 1D technical outlook bearish (RSI = 40.457, MACD = -31.100, ADX = 28.196). This is no cause for concern as long as the 1W MA50 holds. In addition, every October after a Halving event has been the start of the Cycle rally and interestingly enough the top has always been formed 13-14 months after! This indicates that we still have more than a year of bullish trend ahead of us with the top projected inside November - December 2025.
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Analyzing Bitcoin Monthly Candle ClosesA lot of notable traders are calling for Bitcoin to drop to 44k or even to around 20.5-21.5k towards an unfilled daily CME chart gap (see daily CME chart below).
Before getting into my thoughts about whether or not we move up or down here, let's remind ourselves of some things:
1.) Bitcoin made its first new ATH back in March 2024, after closing right around the previous Oct 21 ATH in February this year.
2.) Let's also take note of two significant previous monthly ATH candle closes from 2021:
March 21 Monthly Close - 58.8k
October 21 Monthly Close (Previous Monthly ATH - approx 61.3k
Recap of this year
Next, a recap of what has happened since March 24's ATH:
April's monthly candle closed just below that high, but above the March 21 high, losing the Oct 21 level that was broken in the previous month.
Then in May, it reclaimed that Oct 21 high, held it for 2 months, and then lost it again in August with a stronger re-test of the March 21 high, and the strongest wick below it yet... but still closing just above it.
Just after August, the September monthly candle yet again reclaims the Oct 21 high, but is now re-testing that area again this year, also in October again and with 21 days left to go until the monthly close.
So what happens next?
Scenario A - October monthly candle closes above 58.8k, we could still see wicks lower than the one in August, and we could see levels like 44k or even lower prior to close. Remaining above 58.8k still gives Bitcoin a chance to reclaim 61.3k and move up in the months that follow.
Scenario B - October monthly candle closes above 61.3k, with a 2nd reclaim of the Oct 21 ATH, we likely move on up to test or even break this year's ATH.
Scenario C - October monthly candle closes below 58.8k, if November doesn't quickly reclaim that level or 61.3k, we likely see 44k or lower, and may even revisit the unfilled CME gap on the daily chart.
Daily CME Gaps Chart:
BITCOIN Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN is trading in a
Local uptrend and the coin
Is now retesting a local
Horizontal support of 60k$
After a local correction move
So as we are bullish biased we
Will be expecting a further
Move up from support
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
BTCUSD—Price Action Targeting 58K–59K, Market Turning RedGM crypto bro's, Fear and Greed Index is in the fear zone this morning at 39, with Stoch RSI dropping back into the oversold area.
As I remind you every day, always be cautious of potential dumps. In yesterday’s market update, I expected BTC to visit 65K first, but the market had other plans, dropping to 60K. Now, where’s BTC heading next? Price action suggests a potential visit to the 59K–58K range, around the red zone, with a possible slight reclaim to 61K.
Keep in mind that the market is dynamic—don’t get FOMO. Always manage your risk, and as always, this is Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.
DOGEUSD Are you people ready??We have recently viewed Dogecoin's (DOGEUSD) Cycles and mentioned why we expect it to start rising parabolically soon. What we haven't done but it's what we bring you today is those Cycles compared to the Cycles of the flagship of the crypto world, Bitcoin (BTCUSD).
We will keep it simple, because that's what the chart is, no need to complicate what's obvious with added terms and info.
As you can see, every time Bitcoin broke above its All Time High (ATH), Dogecoin was on a medium-term correction (though well within its Bull Cycle) under Lower Highs and marginally above the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level. Once Bitcoin broke out, Doge did also only though much more aggressively and within a few weeks it reached its previous ATH.
Needless to say, it didn't stop there but went on to peak much higher. Once more, the market finds itself in the exact same position as before in history. Are you ready??
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BTCUSD—Sideways Action with 65K Target, keep Stay Alert GM crypto bro's, the market is moving sideways this morning with the Fear and Greed Index at a neutral 49, and Stoch RSI exiting the oversold zone.
Overall, the target remains the same at 65K, but the risk of a dump still exists. Keep in mind that the market is dynamic—don’t get FOMO. Always manage your risk, and as always, this is Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.
SHIBUSDT potential test of Down Trend Resistance lineSHIBUSDT is currently in an accumulation phase, with the price oscillating around the 0.000015 level. The market has bounced off this support level twice before initiating an upward impulse move. The most recent swing upward was stronger than the previous one, signaling a potential increase in bullish momentum. Growing expectations of a possible bull run could act as a trigger for further upward movement. The market continues to bounce off the upward trendline, forming higher lows, which indicates buying pressure. Based on this analysis, the price could retest the channel border, potentially leading to further bullish momentum. The target is the resistance zone at 0.00002.
BITCOIN fractal alert! Happening exactly like last October!We talked a while ago regarding the 'October effect' (August 28, see chart below) on Bitcoin (BTCUSD). But today we need to make an urgent analysis as it appears that the market is repeating almost the exact sequence of a year ago (October 2023).
The similarities are more obvious on the 1D time-frame where the price is currently ranged within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The most recent time it traded like this was exactly one year ago, back in the first two weeks of October 2023.
As you can see, during that time BTC also made a marginal break above the 1D MA200 before quickly pulling back below it. After it tested and held the 1D MA50 (as it did no on October 01 2024), is started the long-term aggressive rally of the Channel Up that peaked on March 14 2024.
As long as the 1W MA50 continues to hold as the long-term Support, there are high probabilities of seeing 100k, even before the end of 2024.
But what do you think? Do you see realistic the scenario of repeating the post October 2023 rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD Midweek Outlook—Pump to 65K Likely with Small Dump RiskGM crypto bro's, this morning, the Fear and Greed Index is neutral at 49, while the Stoch RSI has started to exit the oversold area.
Yesterday's candle (07/10) touched 64K but dropped back to 62K this morning. What’s next for BTC? Based on price action, there's a high probability for another pump up to 65K. Though a deeper dump is possible, I personally think the pump probability is higher.
The market is dynamic—don’t get FOMO. Always manage your risk, and as always, this is Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.
BTC USD UpdateWe've seen a retracement to the discount zone and a significant reaction. If Bitcoin continues to rise, we will see altcoins follow . We haven't entered any swing trades extra, but our runner from last month is performing well. We'll keep you updated if we see resistance or any other changes.
Bitcoin: Avoid Getting Caught In This.Bitcoin has retraced further than anticipated from my previous analysis (went to 60K instead of 64K support). There was never any price confirmation to go long on this time frame so you should have been able to avoid getting caught on the wrong side of such a move. While there appears to be a bullish correction of that move in progress now, it is important to prepare for the coming resistance where a lower high may unfold over the coming week (64K previous support/new resistance).
The arrow on my chart points to the 64K resistance area. This location is notable for two important reasons: price can present a bearish reversal there on this time frame, and retest the level again as a profit objective in the near future. The illustration on my chart shows how I am anticipating the price action will play out in this regard. Keep in mind, this is NOT any kind of guarantee, it is what I believe has a greater possibility compared to a narrow range of scenarios over a short time horizon (click on previous articles to see how my illustrations play out).
The whole point of sharing this analysis is to help you prepare for what the market can throw at you over the coming week. The key to using this information effectively is evaluating price action around these levels in search of CONFIRMATION (Trade Scanner Pro was made of this purpose). For example, over the previous week, Bitcoin broke the 64K anticipated support without ever confirming. There was never a reason to justify risk here, and every reason to step aside. Having a decision making model of this nature not only helps you to adjust to unexpected changes, but also avoid unnecessary losing positions.
In terms of current momentum, there was an inside bar breakout at 62,300 (previous high) and a long signal in play. This type of opportunity is best managed by smaller time frame strategies (day/swing trades). This is far from an attractive investment level, especially since there is only about 1K points before first resistance (64K). I consider this location as one of elevated risk, especially compared to the possibility of retesting 60K support again to be followed by a bullish signal. The second bullish signal (off 60K) would be the lower risk/higher probability play. This is just a possible scenario that I will be prepared for IF Bitcoin presents and confirms it, this is NOT a forecast.
Whether you are an investor or trader, you must have a way to objectively make decisions. A set of criteria to identify an opportunity, confirm entries, project exits and define risk. The time horizon that you choose will be an important factor that will shape how you process this information. As complex as all of this may sound, the goal is to accomplish this all while using as little information as possible. This is the LEAST you can do in a market environment where we as the retail trader/investor have NO advantage whatsoever. Otherwise you are simply stuffing your money into a glorified slot machine.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTCUSD Weekend Outlook—Targeting 64K with Potential Drop to 59KGM crypto bro's, happy weekend! This morning, the Fear and Greed Index remains neutral at 50, while the Stoch RSI is slowly exiting the oversold zone.
Today’s market outlook is similar to yesterday’s, with a target of 64K, though there is still potential for another drop, possibly back to the 59K area.
The market is dynamic—don’t get FOMO. Always manage your risk, and as always, this is Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.
My Current Bitcoin Trading Plan - Dips are For BuyingOverall, I remain bullish on Bitcoin. The Monthly & Weekly MAC strategy is still supportive of looking for buy triggers on pullbacks into the Monthly/Weekly MAC lows. I will be looking for entry triggers on entry timeframes if Bitcoin pulls back into the $56K to $57,500 price range, and would consider still hunting entries if it trades below these levels.
The Daily remains bullish, but there is a MAC selling setup (not confirmed until Williams AD closes below its 57 period MA).
Have a great weekend.
BTCUSD Reclaims 62K with Bullish Signs—Potential to Reach 64KGM crypto bro's, this morning the Fear and Greed Index has increased, moving out of the fear zone and into neutral at 49. Meanwhile, the Stoch RSI is signaling potential upward movement.
BTC has reclaimed the 62K area as I mentioned in yesterday's update, and the bullish price action seen this weekend may increase the probability of BTC reaching the 64K range.
The market is dynamic—don’t get FOMO. Always manage your risk, and as always, this is Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.
BTCUSD: An insane rally is starting courtesy of the USDT Dom.Bitcoin is rebounding today aggressively on the 1D MA50, being only neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.075, MACD = 23.455, ADX = 23.455), indicating that the upside potential is tremendous. One correlating asset in particular is showing that an insane rally is about to start, and that's the USDT Dominance. It is about to make a bearish reversal which on October 12th 2023, kickstarted the last strong rally of Bitcoin. We expect 100k to be met on this one.
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BITCOIN Cup and Handle on full motion looking for the break-out.Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) full Cycle since the November 2021 High can be illustrated as nothing more than a Cup and Handle (C&H) pattern with the Channel Down since March 2024 being the Handle of the formation.
Simple yet a technical reality, the Handle found support both in early August and September on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), keeping the bullish trend valid. In fact, the 1D MA200 (red trend-line) and the 1W MA50 have been the bottom formation zone during its previous 6-month consolidation in August - September 2023.
All Bullish Legs since the November 2022 bottom have been within +90% and +100%. Even if the minimum (+91.68%) of the last rally is followed, we can expect Bitcoin to reach at least $94000 during that run by the end of the year.
But what do you think? Will this Cycle-long Cup and Handle serve its purpose and break-out aggressively? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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