Bitcoin-dominance
Bitcoin is King Bitcoin dominance is rising and just broke the 58 level which it hasn't been above since Oct of 2018. Watching for it to find support in this 57-58 area before making a run at the 62 and potentially even the 66-67 level. Do not fight the trend. Btc dominance bottomed in the beginning of April and has been on a tear. Alts are extremely risky, and I have been mentioning this for more than a month. Do not forget BTC is still the king.
Bitcoin Dominance going to 75% After Meteoric Rise to 2019 HiOn April 23, the crypto markets took a turn that have some questioning the outlook on altcoins. While the altcoin market has been holding its own against Bitcoin, with currencies like Binance Coin posting 300 percent gains since the start of the year, the market appears to be swaying in favor of Bitcoin.
Long time cryptocurrency investors will be familiar with the the tug-of-war price movement between Bitcoin and altcoins. At times, the entire cryptocurrency marketplace buoys on positive sentiment and increased investment. However, a shifting between the pool of capital in alts and Bitcoin is also a common occurrence. For one, investors avoid the headache generated by taxes and capital gains by trading between currencies.
But for the most part, investors have recognized that Bitcoin tends to be a more price stable currency relative to the rest of the market, while also offering the ability to appreciate during periods of positive price movement–a feature that stablecoins are unable to offer. In times of bullish market sentiment, such as what is brewing for the industry at present, investors grow fearful of missing out on massive BTC leaps, such as the epic run which took Bitcoin to $20,000 in December 2017.
Despite the development interest and growth into platform currencies such as Ethereum, EOS and TRON, the marketplace for cryptocurrency continues to flow through the original cryptocurrency. Bitcoin holds a wide margin in market capitalization over the second highest coin Ethereum, a gap that is greater than $80 billion. In addition, Bitcoin market dominance has continued to climb throughout 2019, up from 51 percent at the start of the year to over 53 percent. Today’s price action has taken BTC dominance to just under 54 percent, its highest point since September 2018.
In fact, Bitcoin dominance has largely been on the rise over the last 12 months, with the coin reaching a relative low of 35 percent dominance in May 2018. While BTC experienced a slight retraction during the market fall of last December, the coin is making a recovery that could be trending towards the >80 percent dominance the coin historically experienced prior to early-2017.
More than likely, Bitcoin will not be able to eclipse its 2017 dominance of 85 percent, given the changing landscape of cryptocurrency. While BTC is by far the most recognizable currency in the industry, with Bitcoin holding household-name status familiarity (the coin is largely synonymous with cryptocurrency in mainstream markets), altcoin projects like Ethereum and EOS have carved out a substantial amount of developer interest. With Bitcoin yet to overcome the hurdle of scalability, its price is likely to stall again at upper limits in the absence of a solution like Lightning Network.
Cryptocurrency, assuming it can gain price traction again as in 2017, is still in need of proven usability. Investors and speculators may continue to drive up the price of Bitcoin and contribute to its market share dominance, but the entire landscape of currencies have to generate scalability in order to become an accepted technology.
BTC.D - Did someone say Alt Season?!?Bitcoin's dominance rate reached 55.07% today - Its highest rate since Dec 16,2018. As of today it is currently 0.3% away from reaching its highest levels since September 2018.
But was does this mean exactly? Since Bitcoin started its rally many Alts have both been taking a hit in both Sats and Dollar value. However, i believe Alts will be in for a relief rally against Bitcoin in the near future as Bitcoins dominance is hitting some historical resistance on both the Weekly, and daily charts in relation to its dominance.
An Alt season is not guaranteed, but if i was hedging my bets i would look at taking up some small alt positions if Bitcoin can avoid a break-down. I would still avoid over-exposure to Alts because if BTC does break-down many alts will continue a downward trend.
As highlighted in one of my previous posts, i believe ETH is looking promising for some upside movement.
Bitcoin dominance going above 60% - BTC ETF coming in 2018!- Bitcoin dominance is currently at 47.8% (August 4, 2018).
- Dominance will go above 60% or even 65% by the time the Bitcoin ETF is launched.
- Bitcoin ETF will be announced in 2018 (maybe VanEck & SolidX ETF in August or September).
- Bitcoin ETF will be launched late 2018 or early 2019.
- Bitcoin ETF will come before Ethereum Futures.
- When SEC accepts ETF, the herd’s money will flow into BTC first (Altcoin season to start after).
- If SEC refuses VanEck, SolidX ETF, BTC will go down but Altcoins will suffer more.
- Bitcoin ETF will be more significant for price than the Bitcoin Futures.
- Before Altcoin season starts, expect rapid increase in BTC dominance similar to Dec 5 to 7, 2017 (55% to 66%).
- Altcoin season might start just before Bitcoin ETF is actually launched. (That’s what happened for Bitcoin Futures - Dec 7, 2017).
- Dec 7, 2017 to Jan 10, 2018 was the crazy Altcoin bull season. BTC dominance went from 66% to 33%.
- CBOE Bitcoin Futures were announced August 2, 2017.
- CME Bitcoin Futures were announced October 31, 2017.
- CBOE Futures launched Dec 10, 2017.
- CME Futures launched Dec 17, 2017.
- Bitcoin highest dominance in last year = 67% on Dec 7, 2017.
- Bitcoin highest value = 20,035 USD on Dec 17, 2017.
- Public learned about VanEck & SolidX ETF filing on June 6, 2018.
- See dates on BTC dominance chart = ibb.co
These are just my opinions and not financial advice! Duh!
What’s your opinion? How high will the Bitcoin dominance go?
Sources:
- coinmarketcap.com
- coinmarketcap.com
- www.reuters.com
- www.cmegroup.com
- www.cnbc.com
- www.bloomberg.com