BTC.D - Did someone say Alt Season?!?Bitcoin's dominance rate reached 55.07% today - Its highest rate since Dec 16,2018. As of today it is currently 0.3% away from reaching its highest levels since September 2018.
But was does this mean exactly? Since Bitcoin started its rally many Alts have both been taking a hit in both Sats and Dollar value. However, i believe Alts will be in for a relief rally against Bitcoin in the near future as Bitcoins dominance is hitting some historical resistance on both the Weekly, and daily charts in relation to its dominance.
An Alt season is not guaranteed, but if i was hedging my bets i would look at taking up some small alt positions if Bitcoin can avoid a break-down. I would still avoid over-exposure to Alts because if BTC does break-down many alts will continue a downward trend.
As highlighted in one of my previous posts, i believe ETH is looking promising for some upside movement.
Bitcoin-dominance
Bitcoin dominance going above 60% - BTC ETF coming in 2018!- Bitcoin dominance is currently at 47.8% (August 4, 2018).
- Dominance will go above 60% or even 65% by the time the Bitcoin ETF is launched.
- Bitcoin ETF will be announced in 2018 (maybe VanEck & SolidX ETF in August or September).
- Bitcoin ETF will be launched late 2018 or early 2019.
- Bitcoin ETF will come before Ethereum Futures.
- When SEC accepts ETF, the herd’s money will flow into BTC first (Altcoin season to start after).
- If SEC refuses VanEck, SolidX ETF, BTC will go down but Altcoins will suffer more.
- Bitcoin ETF will be more significant for price than the Bitcoin Futures.
- Before Altcoin season starts, expect rapid increase in BTC dominance similar to Dec 5 to 7, 2017 (55% to 66%).
- Altcoin season might start just before Bitcoin ETF is actually launched. (That’s what happened for Bitcoin Futures - Dec 7, 2017).
- Dec 7, 2017 to Jan 10, 2018 was the crazy Altcoin bull season. BTC dominance went from 66% to 33%.
- CBOE Bitcoin Futures were announced August 2, 2017.
- CME Bitcoin Futures were announced October 31, 2017.
- CBOE Futures launched Dec 10, 2017.
- CME Futures launched Dec 17, 2017.
- Bitcoin highest dominance in last year = 67% on Dec 7, 2017.
- Bitcoin highest value = 20,035 USD on Dec 17, 2017.
- Public learned about VanEck & SolidX ETF filing on June 6, 2018.
- See dates on BTC dominance chart = ibb.co
These are just my opinions and not financial advice! Duh!
What’s your opinion? How high will the Bitcoin dominance go?
Sources:
- coinmarketcap.com
- coinmarketcap.com
- www.reuters.com
- www.cmegroup.com
- www.cnbc.com
- www.bloomberg.com