USDCNH: Update - Time at mode uptrend signalIf this signal works, we'll have a great rally into resistance, which could lead to a top, and a sideways consolidation for some time in the 6.75-7 range. I think this would align with other markets showing similar mixed signals regarding equities and the dollar, or with bonds and gold chopping around but finding buyers in the daily oversold lows.
Bitcoin also paints a similar picture, potentially consolidating for a good 1-3 months in this zone where it is now.
Good luck,
Ivan Labrie.
Bitcoin-gold
Gold long4H MACD likely going to give full buy signal on open. RSI and stochastic RSI trending upward.
1D MACD has not given the sell signal (crossover), so bull trend is still active. Fibonacci defines targets of 1241, 1254, and 1272.
1D upper BBAND is somewhere near 1230.
Put a stop loss around 1200. Great risk reward to 1240.
SPY ELECTION 15 MIN **** SPY ELECTION 15 MIN CHART******
LOWER LIMIT SUB $208
Upper limit max $212
Solid Yellow line is the new resistance line.
Green solid line will act as new support.
Blue horizontal line is election day.
In election day or pre/post we are expecting swing both upside and down side. But heavy on short side 60% and 40% upside. Swings will take place on both side so a good option strategy will be a good one to capture both sides of the moves.
S&P BROKE SUPPORT******DAILY CHART ONLY******
============================
S&P BROKE SUPPORT. WE CAN GO SHORT NOW FULLY LOADED.
The RED RESISTANCE LINE WAS CREATED FROM 2 TOPS: ONE FROM 2015 MAY HIGH AROUND 2134 AND TOUCHING 2016 AUG HIGH AROUND 2190.
The green line STARTED FROM 2016 FEB LOW AORUND 1810 AND IT TOUCHED THE NEXT LOW OF 2016 JUNE AOURND 1990. BUT Todays OCTOBER 13 LOW AROUND 2114 ACTUALLY BROKE THAT RED/GRENE TRIANGLE.
SO S&P IS NOW IN BEAR MARKET!!!!
GLD & BTC Correlation?I struggle to fully understand the connection here, if anything I would have thought the direct correlation between these two assets would exist. Flight to safe haven be it a cryptocurrency or an asset like gold, I would have thought the same fear drives these actions.
This chart is contrary to that view / idea, here we have seen a pronounced tracking since early 2015, before this its very supurious, I can only link its rise to the complications arising with monetary policy experimentation in the US coming to and end and bitcoin settling down from its explosion in value.
If anyone has any ideas here of whats going on and how its likely to develop going forward I would be interested to hear!
Ca$h is king. This incredible run hurts any commodities (BTC?)With this very pronounced strengthening of the dollar, none of the commodities are immune to that, from wheat to palladium.
One of the main standard to look for is how gold is reacting, and it is going through some pretty tough times.
The question is, what about Bitcoin?
==> Does the money go back into the box and leave speculative investments like Bitcoin is?