Ten Trading Lessons by the Terminator - The Judgment Day is NearNow listen to me very carefully, folks! I’ve got some important intel on our new mission, and it’s in the financial markets. Yeah, you heard me right, we’re diving headfirst into the world of finance. Buckle up, buttercups, because this is gonna be a bumpy ride.
Now, there are ten crucial mission parameters to keep in mind when it comes to finance, and I need you all to pay attention. These aren’t your average market moves, so we need to be on high alert.
- First off, the markets are turbulent. That means it’s a wild ride, and those textbook curves and lines don’t mean squat here. We’re talking extreme price swings, so buckle up. Forget the boring fictional "ideas" of traders who never actually traded - this is a whole different ballgame.
- Secondly, these markets are way riskier than you could ever imagine. You'll be taking on more risk than a cat burglar with a death wish. And don't forget, trouble comes in streaks and turbulence tends to cluster, so be on high alrert and ready for anything.
- Timing is everything in these markets, folks. Big gains and losses happen in a flash, so you better be prepared for intense action.
- Prices in these markets often leap, not glide. You can forget about predictability, because time is as flexible as a T-1000. It’s impossible to know what you’re in for. I repeat, prices don't just slide around smoothly like a greased-up ice skater. Nope, they often leap around like a kangaroo on crack. That means they're unpredictable and risky as all get out.
- Don’t expect your past experience or information from other markets to be of any use here. These markets are like Skynet, they work in all places and ages alike.
- Uncertainty is the name of the game in these markets, and bubbles are inevitable. You’ll need to navigate through these bubbles and be ready for anything.
- Markets have a personality of their own, troops. They’re not driven solely by real-world events, news, or people. When investors, speculators, industrialists, and bankers come together, a whole new dynamic emerges, and it’s more powerful and different than the sum of its parts.
- Don’t be fooled by patterns, they’re like the fool’s gold of financial markets. The power of chance can create spurious patterns and pseudo-cycles that appear predictable and bankable. But don’t be fooled, bubbles and crashes are a part of these markets.
- Forecasting prices might be perilous, but you can estimate the odds of future volatility. These markets are turbulent, deceptive, and prone to bubbles and false trends, but evaluating risk or profiting from it is another matter entirely.
- And finally, the idea of “value” has limited value in these markets. Value is just a single number that’s a rational, solvable function of information. But given a certain set of information about an asset, it might not be as valuable as you think.
Remember, troops, we’re in for a wild ride here. These markets mislead, and there are no familiar sine or cosine waves to rely on. But there’s a system to this madness, so keep your heads up. If the price changes start to cluster or the prices themselves start to rise, they have a slight tendency to keep doing so for a while – and then, without warning, they stop.
The future's not set in stone, my friends. There's no fate but what we make for ourselves. So let's navigate through the chaos and come out on top.
Alright, that’s all for now. Later, dickwads. And remember, chill out. We’ve got this.
Bitcoin-gold
Keeping record of 18-04-2023Both time frames span approximately 7 months, with the first one covering from November 2018 to June 2019, and the second one from November 2022 to April 2023.
Bitcoin experienced a significant price drop in both time frames, although the magnitude and duration of the drop varied. In the first time frame, Bitcoin started at a price of around HKEX:6 ,300 in November 2018 and dropped to a low of around HKEX:3 ,200 in December 2018, a decline of about 50%. In the second time frame, Bitcoin started at a price of around BMV:60 ,000 in November 2022 and dropped to a low of around HKEX:42 ,000 in December 2022, a decline of about 30%. Both drops were followed by some recovery but did not reach their previous highs.
The overall sentiment towards Bitcoin was negative in both time frames, with many investors and analysts predicting further price drops and a potential bear market. However, some also remained optimistic about the long-term potential of Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market as a whole.
Both time frames saw some regulatory and legal challenges for Bitcoin, with some countries imposing restrictions or bans on cryptocurrency trading and mining, and some exchanges facing scrutiny and accusations of fraud or market manipulation.
Despite the challenges, Bitcoin continued to attract attention and interest from various sectors, including finance, technology, and retail. Some major companies announced plans to accept Bitcoin as payment, while others invested in Bitcoin-related startups or technologies.
Overall, while the two time frames differ in terms of the magnitude and specifics of the events that took place, they share some similarities in terms of the overall market sentiment, regulatory challenges, and interest from various stakeholders.
Dyor
Serious Concern for Global MarketsAll four of these charts represent not only their own value, relative to the dollar - but also the general health of their local economies. So what are we looking at? Upon closer examination, we can see identical bearish price action in all four charts. As such, we can assume that bearish price action (weak demand) among these asset classes, is implicit of some kind of adverse underlying economic "condition".
This new "financial crisis" is no coincidence.
Be careful out there. Stay low and move fast.
God Bless!
Precious Metals are going places! Hi Traders
As we have been seeing very volatile markets in the past week, trading any direction currently is not easy. It is now, more important than ever, to stick to your strategy and do not let yourself be distracted from potential gains you are missing out on. The worst thing you can do to your portfolio is FOMO. Stay cool-headed and trade the obvious.
Precious metals are of interest to investors and traders currently due to arising macroeconomic uncertainties that have been evolving over the course of the past 3 years. But also recent news have been filled with a lot of FUD regarding the banking sector in the US, bailouts in a high interest rate environment and many more things happening currently. Crypto but also precious metals have seen fantastic gains since the start of the week, thanks to investor running away from the legacy markets and trying to find more safety in the digital and physical safe havens.
As Gold looks quite strong, I will be discussing a potential long trade idea below, please understand that gold is sitting on a strong resistance at 1920 USD that has historically been though to smash through, therefore sticking to the plan will be crucial for execution.
Here is my Game Plan for XAUUSD:
- Reclaim of 1910 entering range of between 1910 and 1930
- Hold above range for a significant amount of time
- Price needs to be trending upwards
- Smooth price action is a prerequisite for this trade
- Consolidation right under upper half of the violet box
- Entry upon break of box
- T1 1947 USD
- T2 1966 USD
- Stop will be disclosed once trade has been entered
Trading needs a plan, only a plan can give you orientation. Sticking to the plan means that you will have a reproducible procedure which can be assessed for mistakes and learnings. It is comparable to the scientific approach, the only difference is, a trader is not interested in facts, he is interested in gains.
Please make sure to leave a like and a comment if you liked what you have been reading.
Also follow me if you like my approach combining macroeconomic news, fundamentals and technical analysis.
Have a good one legends
Best
CH
Quick Market Scan with some Trade ideasGood evening fellow ones
We have been having an interesting start to the week, with precious metals and crypto pumping to new higher highs. In this quick scan, I will be talking about the current market shape and what my thoughts are on market development in the coming days or weeks.
We will be covering the following assets:
- Gold with an analysis
- SP500 with an analysis
- Bitcoin input
Please make sure to leave a like or comment if you enjoyed this vid. Would be greatly appreciated!
All the best
CH
Rate hikes in jeopardy?Over the past few days, we have seen the second and third largest bank failures in US history. A question remains whether we have seen the last of these failures and what other ripple effects could occur.
In the currency markets, the dollar index dropped below 104, reaching a three-week low for the third consecutive session. Signature and Silicon Valley Bank's failure has sparked speculation that the US Federal Reserve might adopt a less aggressive policy tightening approach at its next meeting, with Goldman Sachs even suggesting a pause. Money markets now indicate a more than 70% probability of a 25-basis-points hike next week, a sharp reversal from the previous week. However, a better-than-anticipated US jobs report published on Friday supports the argument for further rate increases. Investors are anticipating important US inflation data on Tuesday, which will provide insight into the central bank's rate-hike trajectory.
Some of the best performers in the face of the US dollar decline has been risk-sensitive currencies such as the Australian (+1.40%) and New Zealand dollars (+1.45%). The British pound is also on the leader board, appreciating +1.3%. Perhaps suggesting a vote of no-confidence in traditional banking, Bitcoin has experienced an 18% surge over the last 24 hours, surpassing $24,200, its most significant daily gain in almost a month. Elsewhere, Gold is up +2.4% to $1,911, its highest level in over a month.
BITCOIN 6H update channelAs we said in the previous analysis, the price is still in the ascending channel and now we are in the middle of the channel. If the price is supported, we expect the maximum increase to the top of the channel, and otherwise, a drop to the bottom of the channel is far from expected.
Its not Buy or Sell SIGNAL
DYOR
BY : M.TeriZ - @AtonicShark
its ready for a massive short right here.This is the best option u get... unless it closes and stays above the line here...
we need to see the test of previous highs and I think it's ready with the next interest rate rise.his TA is purely of Trend and one of the best indicators of price going somewhere.
If we stay above 23k we might see 45k there but that is extremely unlikely. Usually, with every big trend, we get longer accumulation zones than this and I think we are not holding the price on any real support for now.
See you at 14k $btc
$DXY cupids arrow 👁🗨️*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
!! This chart analysis is for reference purposes only !!
Market conditions are supporting the continuation of strength in the dollar. Expect Bitcoin, Gold, and SPY to retrace during this period.
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
🎁Buy position with low risk of DXY and +350 pips💰🔰You can see the analysis of the dollar currency index in the one-hour time frame (DXY_ 1H) 🔍🧨
💥Considering that the price has been able to break its Down trend line🖤, if it can reach the DEMAND zone, it can rise up to the SUPPLY zone🚀🔺
Do you think this analysis can be profitable🧐❓
I hope the analysis was useful for you🤍🌹
_________📈TRADER STREET📉__________
USDJPY 4H Analysis: 01.17.2023It seems a retracement has been started and the price can be retrace up to 130.800$ where we would probably have good short position.
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If you liked this idea or having your own opinion about it, I would be glad if you write it down in the comment section.
👤 Yazdan Ganjabi: @YazdanGanjabiTrading
📅 17. Jan. 2023
⚠️(DYOR)
Could it be?I'm maybe not a pro like most people here, but I atleast can make some form of estimation based on history. If this correct and history repeat it selves, well I hope for some people they filled their bags with fucking BITCOIN!
Gold is running for quite a while, a dump is coming sooner or later no doubt. When everything crashed already, I always ask myself what didn't crashed so far? Well...
Weekly Momentum On Major Pairs (Week 03/2023)
First Thing First: This analysis is for “general overview only” as it is solely based on price action. That’s why it is called momentum analysis in the first place. Support/Resistant, Volume Macro view nor any other factors are not used during write up. Refer to the individual pair analysis for a more comprehensive write up.
XXX/USD: Bullish
Gold & Silver: Very Bullish
XXX/JPY: Very Bearish
Stock Indexes: Very Bullish
BitCoin: Very Bullish
XAUUSD (GOLD) Weekly: 13/01/2023: Still Bullish?!
In my perspective, the chart is totally bullish and from here it may have a correction, but in a long term I see gold can reach 1934.54 to 1940, and then in this zone, we should study price again.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️13/01/2023
🔎 DYOR
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
DXY (Dollar index) 4H: 03/01/2023: Will liquidity pool be taken?
As you can see, price ranges for a while, and now finally took the liquidity above the previous high.
Now we expect the price moves downward for collecting liquidity below an equal low which is a good liquidity pool.
You can see the possible scenarios on the chart.
If you have questions, feel free to ask.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️03/01/2023
🔎 DYOR
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
Weekly Momentum On Major Pairs (Week 01/2023)First Thing First: This analysis is for “general overview only” as it is solely based on price action. That’s why it is called momentum analysis in the first place. Support/Resistant, Volume Macro view nor any other factors are not used during write up. Refer to the individual pair analysis for a more comprehensive write up.
XXX/USD: Slightly Bearish
Gold & Silver: Mixed
XXX/JPY: Slightly Bullish
Stock Indexes: Very Bullish
BitCoin: Neutral
Weekly Momentum On Major Pairs (Week 52/2022)
First Thing First: This analysis is for “general overview only” as it is solely based on price action. That’s why it is called momentum analysis in the first place. Support/Resistant, Volume Macro view nor any other factors are not used during write up. Refer to the individual pair analysis for a more comprehensive write up.
XXX/USD: Slighty Bullish
Gold & Silver: Bullish
XXX/JPY: Bearish
Stock Indexes: Slighty Bullish
BitCoin: Neutral
Bitcoin vs GoldPlease 1st of all click the boost🚀 button if you want me to post more ideas and follow me to support my work! It's absolutely for free.
This is comparison of Bitcoin (BTC) versus Gold (XAU) , so if the:
*price is going up, it means BTC is stronger than XAU
*price is going down, it means BTC is weaker than XAU
After strong initial impulse down the pair has been consolidating for almost 5 months and formed this triangle📐. Now the price is breaking down out of this triangle and if it really breaks, I think there is chance for drop to 7.5. TARGET being height of the triangle projected from midpoint of the local range (pink). So this call is predicting that Bitcoin will lose -30% against the Gold .
As you know recently it was a total carnage for crypto market because of the FTX fail. Actually I predicted this FTT extreme drop 2 months ago in the idea down below:
The current situation between Binance and FTX being also a reason why I think the investors will move the funds from crypto to precious metals - safe haven. Let me know your thoughts!
Check my other stuff in related ideas.
Please boost🚀, comment🗣️, follow me✒️, enjoy📺!
⚠️Disclaimer: I'm not financial advisor. This is not a financial advice. Do your own due dilingence.
EURUSD, Will it fall? See the factsDaily Time: As you can see in the chart, it has reacted negatively to the long-term downtrend line and sellers have become active. A strong negative divergence has also formed.
It seems that in the short term, it will have a good correction and will touch the specified targets.
Important : The market needs a short-term correction (at least 50%) to attract big buyers again. At the same time as the DXY gains strength, an attractive short-term correction will occur in other assets, especially gold and bitcoin , and the opportunity to buy will be activated again.