Bitcoin-short
Can BTC repeat June 26th high? MACD & RSI may prove it.If we take a look at the last two bull runs of June 26th and July 9th , the MACD and RSI have similarities to todays bull run. Sure, RSI is over bought but this was the same case as the June 26th bullrun. As you can see the MACD resembles the MACD as of now on the 4HR chart, which means it could push further upward. The RSI peaked at 92 on June 22nd, came down to 67 on June 23rd than resumed upward to a peak of 93 when Bitcoin hit a high of $13,800.
The Differences and Concerns
Todays bullrun has a steeper MACD cross, as well as the sell off is steeper than the July 9th sell before peaking. The same can be said about the June 22nd selling. It was minimal but continued upward shortly after. When comparing the last two peaks, it seems that it reached the peak shortly after a sell off. This case, the sell off is deeper and peak curve downward is steepening.
Next, if we look at the Histogram, it may point that the sell off has just begun. There are almost no points that show the histogram turning bullish again after a peak. After every peak, the histogram went down. Both of these point towards a deeper sell off, but anything can happen.
Back Above Daily KamaThe market is still flat although the bitcoin has managed to return above the Kama average in a position of strength after several weeks below it.
A break above the resistance zone (above 12200$) would confirm the recovery of the trend.
From tomorrow i'm on holiday, see you in September, there will be updates only in case of emergencies:)
Bitcoin will fall.We have failed multiple time to break free from this zone(resistance) and because of the lack of volume, i refuse to believe that we will continue to see an increase in the short term.
If we take a look at the Daily time frame we can clearly see the 20 ema shutting it down.
Take a look back, look at the big picture. Remember think about smart money.
Breaking out upwards would target 10000+Lots of people seem to wait for a deeper correction before a "clean start" up. I think BTCUSD will go against the masses and surprise us with a sudden spike up to above $10k in the coming days or less. After that it's still possible to get a deeper correction, but we'll see.