Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
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My Avax target level is 22.62 and my stop level is 17.37.
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Bitcoin Continues Moving Toward Key TrendlineBitcoin has started moving toward the trendline after a brief pullback, testing the key support zone and finding footing there. The move toward the yellow downtrend line will likely continue this week. After testing the trendline, the market’s real direction should become clearer.
86750 (horizontal support) and 85000 (uptrend support) are key levels to watch, while the ultimate target, the yellow trendline is currently around 89900.
24/03/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $87,453.65
Last weeks low: $81,140.91
Midpoint: $84,297.28
Great weekly close for the bulls! A reclaim of the weekly high in the dying hours of the week is a huge win and has spurred on an early run for the weekly high.
The overall goal for this move should be $91,000 in my opinion, and a must not lose area is $86,000 or 0.75 line/ last weeks weekly high.
What happens at $91,000 is yet to be determined and I have an idea many will be tentative around that area. On the high time frames a reclaim of this level unlocks the capability to retest the highs from a TA standpoint as price re-enters the range bound environment. A rejection of that level would make a $73,000 retest a very real possibility.
In terms of altcoins we're seeing some strength returning with some strong gains but relative to their sell-offs it is a a drop in the ocean so far. Currently the market conditions are a traders dream but a long term investor/holders nightmare. No major news is planned to come this week so unless something drastic happens TA should be the driving factor this week.
Bitcoin, Strategy, and Michael Saylor: A Crypto Comedy Special!Buckle up, folks, because we’re diving headfirst into the rollercoaster world of Bitcoin, corporate shenanigans, and one man’s unrelenting quest to convince everyone—Wall Street, the White House, even your grandma—that digital gold is the future. Yes, we’re talking about Michael Saylor, the captain of the good ship Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy, but we’ll get to that rebrand in a sec), and his high-stakes gamble that’s got everyone clutching their wallets and popcorn 🍿. Let’s go! 🚀
Act 1: Bitcoin Goes Brrr… Until It Doesn’t 📉
Picture this: Bitcoin’s price is tumbling faster than a Jenga tower at a frat party, and the stock market’s throwing a tantrum because someone whispered “recession” in the break room. Meanwhile, Strategy—the artist formerly known as MicroStrategy—is sitting on a mountain of Bitcoin like Smaug hoarding gold in The Hobbit. Except, unlike Smaug, they’ve got bills to pay, and those bills are starting to look a little… chunky.
See, Strategy is the biggest corporate holder of Bitcoin, and they’ve been leveraging themselves up to their eyeballs to snatch every BTC they can get their hands on. Convertible bonds, debt financing, equity offerings—they’ve been playing the Wall Street game like it’s Monopoly, except instead of hotels on Park Place, they’re stacking digital coins. It was all fun and games when Bitcoin was mooning 🌕, but now that it’s trading like a NASDAQ stock on a bad hair day, the cracks are showing. Cue the ominous music 🎶.
The latest plot twist? Strategy just dropped a batch of High Coupon Preferred Stock last Friday—think of it as a fancy IOU with a 10% coupon (yes, you read that right, ten percent). That’s two whole percentage points juicier than the 8% coupon they peddled a month and a half ago. Desperation much? 🤔 Wall Street’s raising an eyebrow, and the whispers are getting louder: “Liquidity crunch incoming!” If Bitcoin keeps tanking, Strategy might have to start selling off their precious stash to keep the lights on. Untimely selling? In this economy? Oh, honey, pass the tissues 😢.
Act 2: From Micro to Macro—Rebranding for the LOLs 😎
Let’s talk about that rebrand for a hot minute. MicroStrategy—a name that once screamed “we make boring software”—is now just Strategy. Bold move, Saylor. It’s like if McDonald’s renamed itself “Food” or if Netflix became “Watch.” Genius or midlife crisis? You decide. Either way, it’s giving off vibes of a company trying to flex its big Bitcoin energy while subtly screaming, “Please don’t look at our balance sheet too closely!” 🙈
And speaking of balance sheets, let’s break down this preferred stock drama. These shiny new shares come with a 10% coupon—already a red flag that says, “We’re paying through the nose to borrow money.” But wait, there’s more! If Strategy misses a dividend payment (which, let’s be real, could happen if Bitcoin keeps sliding), they’ll owe compounded dividends that climb by 2% every quarter until they hit a whopping 18%. Eighteen percent! That’s not a coupon; that’s a loan shark knocking on your door with a baseball bat 🏏.
Compare that to the convertible bonds they were slinging last year—interest rates between 0% and 2%. Their interest expense over the last 12 months was a measly $15 million, pocket change for a company with Bitcoin holdings worth north of $10 billion. Now? They’ve jacked up their quarterly nut with $40 million in dividends from the February 8% stock, plus another $60 million from this 10% offering, on top of that $15 million in interest. That’s $115 million they’ve got to cough up every year—or roughly 1% of their Bitcoin stash at current prices. No biggie, right? Unless, of course, Bitcoin drops another 20%, and suddenly they’re selling coins like a yard sale on steroids. Yikes 😬.
Act 3: Michael Saylor, Bitcoin’s Loudest Cheerleader 📣
Enter Michael Saylor, the man, the myth, the megaphone. If Bitcoin were a religion, Saylor would be its high priest, preaching the gospel of “digital capital” to anyone who’ll listen—and plenty who won’t. He’s been on a tear, leveraging Strategy to the hilt with the unshakable belief that Bitcoin’s price would keep soaring forever. Spoiler alert: the stock market’s growth scare and recession fears had other plans.
Saylor’s latest stunt? Marching to the White House on March 8th with a PowerPoint titled “A Digital Asset Strategy to Dominate the 21st Century Global Economy.” No, this isn’t a Simpsons episode—it’s real life. His pitch? The U.S. government should scoop up 10-20% of all Bitcoin by 2045 (when 99% of it will be mined) through “consistent programmatic daily purchases.” Translation: Uncle Sam should borrow real money—paying interest, mind you—to buy a digital asset nobody uses commercially, all to prop up its price. Brilliant! Why didn’t we think of that? Oh, right, because it’s bonkers 🤪.
Saylor’s been shopping this idea around like a door-to-door salesman. He even pitched Microsoft, promising $5 trillion in shareholder value if they’d just hop on the Bitcoin train. Microsoft’s response? “Thanks, but no thanks.” Oof. Shots fired 🔫. Turns out, not everyone’s buying what Saylor’s selling—literally or figuratively.
Here’s where it gets juicy. Bitcoin was supposed to be a “peer-to-peer payment system,” per Satoshi Nakamoto’s white paper. A rebel currency to stick it to the banks! But somewhere along the way, it morphed into a Wall Street darling—a speculative asset that trades like a tech stock and has Michael Saylor begging governments to hoard it. From libertarian dream to government-backed portfolio filler? The irony is thicker than a triple-decker burger 🍔.
Take El Salvador, Bitcoin’s poster child gone rogue. Four years ago, they made BTC legal tender, and the crypto bros cheered. Fast forward to January 2025, and El Salvador’s like, “Yeah, never mind.” New laws say Bitcoin’s no longer currency (though still legal tender—confusing much?), it’s voluntary to use, and you can’t pay taxes with it. Their state-backed Chivo wallet? A ghost town. A poll showed 88% of Salvadorans haven’t touched it in a year, and Moody’s says the whole experiment cost them $375 million—more than their Bitcoin profits. Whoopsie daisy 🌼.
The commercial world’s reaction? A collective shrug. Bitcoin’s “value” is all about price now, not utility. Saylor can pump it all he wants, but if nobody’s using it to buy coffee or pay rent, what’s the point? It’s a financial asset, not money. And that’s fine—stocks and gold don’t buy lattes either—but let’s stop pretending it’s the future of currency, okay? 🙅♂️
Act 5: The Leverage Trap—When the Music Stops 🎵
Back to Strategy. With $8 billion in debt due over the next seven years, plus these escalating dividend payments, they’re walking a tightrope with no net. If Bitcoin keeps tanking, they’ll have to sell more coins to cover the tab. And if the market sours on their debt (less appetite to roll it over), they’re in deep doo-doo 💩. The rebrand, the high-coupon stock, the “we’re buying more Bitcoin” flex—it all smells like a company projecting strength while sweating bullets behind the scenes.
Saylor’s out here playing 4D chess, but the board’s looking more like a game of Chutes and Ladders. Pump the price, convince the world Bitcoin’s a reserve asset, and pray the recession scare doesn’t tank everything. It’s a high-wire act worthy of a circus 🎪—and we’re all just watching to see if he sticks the landing or faceplants spectacularly.
Finale: Bitcoin’s Not Dead, Just… Different 🧟♂️
Don’t get me wrong—Bitcoin’s not going anywhere. It’s a solid store of value, a speculative toy for Wall Street, a shiny thing for hodlers to flex on X. But money? Nah. The free market’s been screaming for centuries that it wants flexible, dynamic mediums of exchange—think Eurodollars, not rigid digital gold. Bitcoin took a wrong turn chasing hyperinflation boogeymen instead of building a better payment system. Oops.
For Strategy, the stakes are sky-high. They’re all-in on a story that’s fraying at the edges, and if the price falters, the leverage bites back hard. Will Saylor pull it off? Will Bitcoin moon again? Or will this be another bubbly tale of “too much, too fast”? Grab your popcorn, folks—this comedy’s still got a few acts left 🍿🎬.
Until next time, keep your wallets close and your sarcasm closer. Peace out! ✌️
BTC/USDT: Bullish Momentum Targets Key Psychological LevelOn the 1-hour timeframe, the BTC/USDT market is exhibiting a clear uptrend, marked by higher highs and higher lows. The recent break above a downward trendline led to an extended move upward, bringing the price to a test of last week’s high, where a potential pullback could emerge.
Zooming out, the broader structure reveals the formation of an ABC pattern, with the move appearing to target the psychological level of 90,000. It is common for markets to consolidate around significant levels before breaking out, suggesting that price may hover near this area in the short term. Barring any unforeseen market disruptions, the current momentum supports a retest of the area above 90,000, with the next key target at the resistance zone around 89,000
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #43👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and other key crypto indices. As usual, I want to discuss the futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, Bitcoin finally moved, activating our trigger, and it reached its target. Now, let's analyze today's triggers.
🔄 Yesterday, the breakout of the 84734 range box was activated, and the price made an upward move.
✔️ Currently, the price has reached 86876 and has been rejected from this area but is still above it. If it can stabilize above this area, the next price leg could start.
💥 The RSI oscillator has significant resistance at 78.58, and breaking this area could introduce a lot of momentum into the market, potentially starting a robust upward leg.
⚡️ Additionally, this oscillator has important support at 70, and if it can maintain above this area, the likelihood of breaking 86876 increases.
🔽 For short positions, we need to wait for the price momentum to turn bearish before entering in line with the trend direction.
🧩 If the price does not stabilize above 86876 and moves downward, with confirmation from Dow Theory or the activation of a fake breakout trigger, you can enter a short position.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let's move on to the analysis of Bitcoin dominance. Yesterday, dominance was supported at 61.35 and moved up to 61.80, which helped Bitcoin rise more than altcoins.
🧲 Currently, dominance has been rejected from 61.80 and is moving downwards. I believe a range has formed between 61.35 and 61.80, and breaking this box in either direction could determine the next leg of dominance.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Moving on to Total2, yesterday the price broke the 1.05 area and moved upwards, even surpassing 1.07. Currently, I have moved the 1.05 area to 1.06 because it is more accurate, and the price has moved away from it.
⭐ The next resistance for the price is at 1.09, and it seems that Total2 could move up to this area.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Finally, let's look at the Tether dominance analysis. Yesterday, the 5.25 trigger in dominance was activated, and we observed a clean pullback in dominance that brought it down to 5.13.
✨ The next support for dominance is at 5.08, and we need to see if it can stabilize below this area or not.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BITCOIN just broke above 4H MA200 for the 1st time in 1.5 month!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke today above its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in more than 1.5 month (since February 04). This is on its own a major bullish signal but fortunately for buyers, it is not the only one.
Just yesterday, the price also broke above the February 21 Lower Highs trend-line, the first medium-term Resistance of the market that basically started the brutal sell-off of late February and breaking above it technically restores the bullish sentiment back to the market and at the same time formed a 4H MA50/100 Bullish Cross for the first time in more than 2 months (January 18).
Obviously the complete confirmation will come if BTC breaks above its Channel Down but given the fact that 2 Resistance levels already broke and that the bottom looks like a W-shaped recovery pattern, we can already set a Target on the 99500 Resistance, which just so happens to be marginally below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
But what do you think? Is this 4H MA200 break-out the bullish signal the market needed after such a long time? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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What BTC is showing?! Full Scenario As of now market is really slow... Why?
As the History of BTC shows that market never formed a new high with out retesting its Support or previous Resistance level, as in 2020 market break its Resistance level which was 19,000 and market formed a new high in 2021 which was 68,000 after that market didn't formed a new high until it retested its last support level 19,000. After retesting 19,000 market shows us a new high of 109,000 and since Market has formed a new high it didn't retested its Support level which is 68,000, so According to me history will be repeated here, till market don't retest its previous level which is 68,000 market will be slow and bearish. After that market will perform a new high.
According to RSI there is also a bearish divergences which support my vision.
Watching for the same 90K area Part IIMorning folks,
Here is just minor update to our last idea. BTC mostly was flat in recent two sessions, so action is started only today.
So, the plan that we've prepared remains valid. Since an area around 90K is a strong resistance, we think that short entry attempt there is relatively safe, and at least should give us the chance to turn it to breakeven trade.
Now, on 1H chart we have two patterns that point on the same area.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis – Daily Timeframe
Trend Overview
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) remains in an uptrend, with price holding above the ascending trendline support. The long-term bullish structure remains intact, characterized by a series of higher highs and higher lows since 2023.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Primary Support:
$80,000 - $85,000 (Trendline support zone)
$75,000 (Psychological and historical support)
Primary Resistance:
$90,000 - $95,000 (Recent local highs)
$100,000 (Major psychological level)
Technical Indicators
Stochastic RSI is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential short-term consolidation or a pullback before resuming the trend.
MACD shows a bullish crossover, indicating positive momentum remains strong.
Volume analysis suggests buying pressure is still present but needs to increase to sustain further upside.
Market Outlook
Bitcoin continues to respect its long-term uptrend. As long as price remains above the trendline, the bullish outlook remains valid. However, a confirmed break below $80,000 could signal a deeper correction. If Bitcoin breaks above $90,000, the next major resistance is around $100,000.
Bitcoin at a Critical Juncture – Breakout or Breakdown? 📉 BTC is at a key decision point! After pulling back from recent highs, it's now consolidating within a range, sitting right in the middle of the previous price swing. I'm keeping a close eye on this zone—if price breaks out, a high-probability trade opportunity could emerge.
🎯 In this video, we dive deep into price action and market structure, breaking down a potential trade setup—if the market aligns with our strategy.
🚨 Trade smart, manage risk—this isn’t financial advice! 🚀🔥
Bitcoin: Bear Flag Break Can Retest 78K.Bitcoin is in the process of developing a bear flag formation and may push higher on smaller time frames but the short term bearish structure is still intact. This means there is a higher probability that price retests the 78 to 80K once more. IF such a scenario presents itself, it may provide an opportunity for a new swing trade long (upon confirmation). IF the 87,500 area minor resistance breaks instead, this would increase the chance that price retests the 90K area resistance.
How you play this is going to depend on the time frames you typically operate within. If you day trade, even though a bear flag is in progress, the structure itself is made up of higher lows which means the momentum is bullish. Longs can be justified if you are working on time frames such as 5 min or 1 min because the proportional risk is small. If you are working on larger time frames like 30 min or above, the bear flag play makes more sense since price is near the previous swing high (87,500 area). At the moment there is no confirmation on the larger time frame for the swing trade short but a candle or a break of the lower trend line can occur this week.
The other play is simply waiting for the retest of the 80 to 78K area. This is not only a swing trade long location, but is a dollar cost average area for investing as well. If the 76K is cleared, price can revisit the 73K to 70K area (all time high before the election).
Whether any of these scenarios play out depends on what kind of catalysts we get in the coming weeks (surprises or scheduled economic events). The chart helps to identify price points of interest where we can measure potential and assess risk from, they do not offer any meaningful way to forecast the future.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Bitcoin at $85K: Breakout or Breakdown?Bitcoin is currently trading at $85,000, holding steady despite a 4.4% drop in the broader cryptocurrency market over the past 24 hours. This dip reflects a cautious mood across risk assets, driven by uncertainty over upcoming US inflation data and potential Federal Reserve interest rate decisions. While altcoins are taking a bigger hit, Bitcoin’s price action has been choppy but resilient. For now, it’s in a consolidation phase, with traders watching for the next big move.
Broader Market Context
The recent decline in the crypto market mirrors a broader “risk-off” sentiment among investors, who are bracing for economic shifts that could impact global markets. Factors like US inflation reports and Fed policy updates are creating short-term uncertainty. As the leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin often serves as a market indicator, its ability to hold key levels could signal stability, while a breakdown might deepen the downturn. Despite this, Bitcoin’s long-term outlook remains strong, supported by growing institutional adoption and a more favorable regulatory landscape.
Short-Term (1-Hour Chart):
Support: $84,000 (make-or-break), $82,000
Resistance: $86,500, $90,000
Indicators: RSI at 45 (neutral), MACD showing bearish momentum. A descending triangle is in play, breaking $86,500 with strong volume could push to $90,000, but a fall below $84,000 might test $82,000.
Long-Term (Weekly Chart):
Support: $80,000, $75,000
Resistance: $90,000, $100,000
The 200-day moving average is trending up, reinforcing a bullish long-term view, but $80,000 must hold for that to stay intact.
Potential Scenarios
Bullish Case: If Bitcoin holds $84,000 and breaks $86,500 with solid volume, expect a run to $90,000 short-term, with $100,000 in sight long-term.
Bearish Case: A break below $84,000 could see it slide to $82,000 or even $80,000.
Volume is the key, watch for a spike to confirm either direction.
Broader Context and Tips
Long-term, Bitcoin’s fundamentals look solid with growing institutional interest and a crypto-friendly climate. But short-term, watch out for volatility triggers like US inflation data or Fed moves. For traders, focus on $84,000 support and $86,500 resistance, these levels will dictate the next trend. Set tight stops (e.g., just below $84,000 for longs) and keep an eye on news. Long-term holders should view $80,000 as the critical floor for the bullish trend to continue.
Bitcoin’s Next Move – Another Attack on Resistance zone?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) fell to $83,400 as I expected in the previous analysis , the question is whether Bitcoin will continue to decline or not.
Please stay with me.
Bitcoin is moving in the Support zone($84,120_$81,500) and near the Support lines . The way Bitcoin has moved and decreased since yesterday until now has been such that it seems that Bitcoin can attack the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800) at least once more.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , given Bitcoin’s movements over the past few hours, it appears that Bitcoin is completing a microwave B of the main wave Y .
I expect Bitcoin to be able to attack the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800) once again and if it breaks, I have marked the next targets on the chart .
Do you think Bitcoin can touch $90,000 again?
Note: If Bitcoin goes below $81,800, we can expect more dumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame.
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BTC at a Critical Crossroad – Buckle U🤯 BTC at a Critical Crossroad – Buckle Up! 🚀
Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to "Bitcoin Wrestling Mania!" 🎤💥 BTC is currently stuck in a high-stakes battle with the legendary 200 EMA resistance 🥊🔥. We've conquered the 20 EMA, but let’s not pop the champagne just yet – the daily candle hasn’t closed! 🕰️ Expect surprises! 🎭
📊 Resistance Levels Ahead:
🔹 First Boss: 50 EMA Resistance 🏰
🔹 Final Boss: The 89,773.0 Fortress 🚧
Now, we're seeing some short-term bullish vibes 🟢, but wait – the market makers might have other plans 🕵️♂️💰. The smart money hasn't entered the ring yet, which means... well, expect plot twists! 😵
🔻 Possible Correction Zones:
💥 Support 1: 80,548.0
💥 Support 2: 76,123.0
So, will BTC power through the resistance like a champion 🏆, or are we about to witness a dramatic correction 🤕? Drop your thoughts below – let’s piece together the puzzle! 🧩👇
#BTC #Crypto #Trading #Bitcoin 🚀