Bitcoin Breaks Key Support: What’s Next?📉 BTC/USD plunges -5.48% to 86,539, breaking below 91,000 support
🔎 Key Technical Breakdown:
Massive rejection at 91,000, flipping it into resistance.
Price is now testing the 200-day EMA (85,641) → Crucial for short-term trend.
Fib retracement levels:
38.2% @ 86,672 (in play now)
50.0% @ 79,616 (next major support)
61.8% @ 72,559 (deeper pullback scenario)
📊 Momentum Shift Bearish:
RSI at 27.26 → Deeply oversold (potential short-term bounce?)
MACD accelerating downward → Bearish confirmation.
⚠️ What’s Next?
Bulls must hold the 200-day EMA or risk a drop toward 79,616 (50% Fib).
A recovery above 91,000 would be needed to shift sentiment bullish again.
Critical moment for BTC – will buyers step in here?
📌 Watching reaction at 86,500-85,600 zone closely.
- MW
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTCUSD: These are historically the best conditions to buy.Bitcoin has turned oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 27.940, MACD = -1745.600, ADX = 37.260) and neutral on its 1W (RSI = 50.407). These are historically the best conditions to buy. Neutral long term, oversold short term. Last time the 1D RSI was oversold was on the August 5th 2024 low, which was the bottom of Bitcoin's prior consolidation phase. At the time, the market was again inside a Channel Down, and the rebound after the August bottom, immediately targeted the 0.786 Fibonacci. Consequently, our first target is the 0.786 Fib at the top of the Channel Down (TP = 102,000) and after it breaks, we expect a rally similar to October-December 2024.
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Bitcoin is Bullish now & many Traders don't see it !!As you can see, in the previous Correction of Bitcoin, Bitcoin dropped by about $25,000 and then experienced a potential growth. Now, the price has fallen by about $25,000 from its all-time high (ATH) until now. If we consider the previous correction of Bitcoin, this could be a very strong signal for an increase in Bitcoin's price.
What do you think about it ?
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Give me some energy !!
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
❗Disclaimer
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
BTCUSD Buy Limit OrderHey guys...
I've expected bitcoin to fall, and now I think its the time and I think this area is the area that it would have a stop for a pull back and I'm gonna set an order.
I'll update the TPs later.
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
Bitcoin INTRADAY below psychologically important 91900 level The Bitcoin (BTC) price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since the spike to an all-time high of 109,000 on 20th January 2025, the BTC price action is starting to display some signs of bearish behaviour by potentially forming a double-top reversal pattern.
The key trading level is at the “Neckline” 91,900 level, which is the current swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 91900 level could target the upside resistance at 100,650 (20-day moving average) followed by the 105,590 and 109,460 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the “neckline” 91,900 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 85,275 support level followed by 79917 and 75060 (200-day moving average).
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Ichimoku: Bitcoin Bull Trend EndsFor years I have been publishing on Tradingview the Ichimoku Cloud trend analysis for Bitcoin. It is now time to update the analysis as a major event has occurred recently.
Most analysts and students of Bitcoin price cycles agree that the bull trend is likely to end in 2025. Well, it is that year now. Optimists seem to have thought that it would be later in the year and slightly higher. I don't think that is going to be. Despite rumors of government Bitcoin bailouts (aka Strategic Bitcoin Reserve) each proposal has been struck down in state Congresses. I do not think it was a serious plan to begin with; just election hype.
Back to what matters; the Technical Analysis. First, we will list the rules for Ichimoku Cloud Breakouts as I use them:
Bullish Trend Begins
Price is above the cloud
Lagging Span (or Chikou in Japanese) is above the cloud
Bearish Trend Begins
Price is below the cloud
Lagging Span is below the cloud
When price is inside the cloud it is considered neutral. Only when the reverse of these conditions happen can we say that the trend has reversed. That means if we do not have both conditions the prior trend remains active.
An example of when the original bullish trend of the current price cycle began was on January 12, 2023:
Bitcoin has had many bearish cycles ranging from losing -78% to -90%. The true strength of this strategy is keeping investors out during Bitcoin's bearish cycles. The last example began December 4, 2021.
With any trading strategy one should validate the results so I encourage everyone to do the work and test these signals. I have done this over the years to save readers' time. Here are the results if we began on the signal that occured April 13, 2011:
When compared to buying 1 Bitcoin and "HODL" or never selling an investor would have more than 5 times the value and Bitcoin at the end of 14 years.
Like any strategy this one has weaknesses. Because it is a trend following strategy it will have many incorrect signals during periods of time when price has very little movement. However, over the long run avoiding the long periods of large drawdowns will make the strategy outperform.
My long term plan will be based on the past Bitcoin bearish cycles which have been between -75% and -94%. Somewhere starting at 25,000 I will begin looking to get bullish again as the cycle will continue. I remain heavily short NASDAQ:MSTR via Puts for that scheme to collapse entirely over the next 2 years.
Thank you for reading and trade wisely!
LTC Litecoin Could Do One More Round Of Bouncing Within WedgeThis is a possible scenario here. This is in line format not candles so wicks could be lower than than this. Lines remove all the wicks and are just on an open and close basis, kind of cleaning up the noise. This is not guaranteed to happen but it is a possible scenario before we break out again around the end of March. I'll post below a candle chart as well so you can see those levels. As long as we stay within this wedge on a closing basis and within the channel on the candle format then we should be fine. If we break down below the wedge or channel and close below it then thats not going to be very good. I don't see this happening thats just worst case scenario.
Follow me for more updates. Not financial advice. Thank you
$BTC Current Decline Analysis - 2/25/2025Update... 2/25/2025
As projected, Wave (e) has technically been completed.
Does this mean the correction is over? The answer is no, for the following reasons:
If the rebound holds, we can say the current 5-wave decline structure is complete. However, there's a possibility that the structure could evolve into a 7-wave formation. In this case, we need to watch for Wave (f), which could conclude at the $93,200 level (f = 61.8% a) or the $96,67x level (f=a).
Let's see how it plays out!
Cheers!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTCUSD #Bitcoin #BTC
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #16👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. Yesterday, Bitcoin experienced a very sharp and intense bearish move. If you have been following the analysis, you probably already had a short position. I’d be happy if you share the positions you opened in the comments.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Well, in this one-hour timeframe, as you can see, the price finally broke the 95,108 level, and as I have mentioned in several past analyses, this level is much more important than 92,702 for us. The reason is that the reactions that the price has had to this level have been far more significant than 92,702, making it a very important support.
📉As you can see, with a candle closing below this level, this trigger was activated, and the price made a downward move. The next trigger at 93,899 was broken, and eventually, after breaking 92,702, the price started its next bearish leg. At present, the price has found support at 88,229, and we are witnessing a green 1-hour candle.
🔄 The positions that we could have opened earlier were with the break of 96,205, which we opened a position for, and the next key levels yesterday where we could have opened positions were 95,108 and 93,899. I hope you opened these positions and made a profit.
💥 At present, the RSI indicator, as you can see, is deep in oversold territory and has formed a double bottom in the oversold area. If it finally exits the oversold zone and moves above 30, this double bottom will be activated, and we can say that the market momentum is shifting out of its bearish phase and may enter a ranging phase.
⚡️ Today, I cannot provide any trade triggers. Yesterday was the key day to enter positions. However, the current support level is 88,229, and the recent high is at 92,444.
🧩 I have nothing more to say about Bitcoin. We have a bearish leg with good momentum, and we need to wait for the price to create a structure before we can analyze Bitcoin again.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s move on to Bitcoin dominance. As you can see, yesterday, BTC dominance closed above the 61.49 level, and after a pullback to this zone, it made a sharp move up to 62.19. It even surpassed our 62% target, forming a top during Bitcoin’s first bearish leg.
✅ However, during the second bearish leg that the market experienced, BTC dominance declined, which caused Bitcoin to drop more than altcoins in this move, whereas in the first leg, altcoins had dropped more than Bitcoin. So, in a way, we can say that both had almost the same proportion of decline.
💫 BTC dominance seems to have formed its top at 62.19 and could now range between 61.49 and 62.19.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Now, let’s move on to Total2. Yesterday, the 1.19 trigger was activated, and another key level that was broken was 1.16, and with the break of either of these levels, you could have opened a position. At present, the price has reached 1.07.
⭐️ There is not much else to say about Total2. We need to see at what level it will form its bottom and what kind of structure will be created for either a correction or the continuation of the bearish trend. Currently, the most important support level is 1.07, which the price has reacted to multiple times in the past.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
USDT dominance, after closing above 4.62, successfully held above 4.75, which was the main resistance for USDT.D, and then made a sharp upward move. Currently, it has reached 5.04, which is a very important historical level, and has shown a reaction to it.
🔫 There isn’t much to discuss about this index, and overall, there isn’t much to analyze in the market today. Most of today’s discussion is about the positions that could have been opened and the profits that could have been made, which I already covered in Bitcoin’s analysis.
🧲 For now, we need to wait until the market forms a new structure, and once that happens, we can look for the next trade setup for the next major leg.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin can continue to decline inside downward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. A short while ago, the price started to rise within a pennant and soon reached the resistance level, aligning with the seller's zone. After breaking this level, BTC continued upward, testing the resistance line of the pennant before reversing and beginning a decline. Not long after, Bitcoin dropped, breaking out of the pennant to the downside and even dipping below the 101900 level before quickly recovering. The price then climbed to 106500 points but soon pulled back to the buyer's zone and dropped even lower, breaking through the resistance level once again. Following this move, BTC reversed direction, made a strong impulse up to the resistance level, and then started declining within a downward channel. Inside this channel, the price fell to the buyer's zone and attempted to bounce but failed, rapidly returning to the buyer’s zone, which coincided with the support level. After that, it rebounded, reached the resistance line of the channel, and then corrected downward. At the moment, Bitcoin is still declining inside the channel. I expect a slight rebound before further downside movement toward the support line of the channel, breaking the support level. In this scenario, my target is set at 92200 points, which aligns with this line. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin's Unbalanced move with the US electionsThe overall trend is still bullish, but the market needs to rebalance at $86,686 before it can push to new highs. Right now, the price action is not respecting bullish structure and is moving sideways in a consolidation phase.
The market does not move in a straight line. Every strong move needs to be balanced before continuing. The price left behind inefficiencies during the last expansion, and the market seeks to correct these before the next leg up. Liquidity is key. Right now, there is an imbalance that needs to be filled, and resting liquidity below must be taken before the market can resume its upward trend.
Smart money is not buying at current levels. They need better pricing and the market naturally moves to levels where institutional interest is highest. That level is around eighty-six thousand six hundred eighty-six, where a large amount of liquidity is positioned. The market is likely to dip into this level, take out weak-handed buyers, and trap sellers before pushing higher.
A ten percent drop from here would bring the price into that area, where real accumulation can take place. Until then, any short-term rallies are likely to be liquidity grabs rather than true continuation.
Please do not forget that this is a daily chart and we can see more liquidity grabs before reaching the target. This is an idea and nothing in the future is certain. With unexpected news we can see unexpected moves.
COINBASE:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSD KRAKEN:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT28H2025
Bitcoin: Is the Bull Run Over or Just Taking a Breather?Bitcoin’s dream rally has hit a major roadblock. After falling below $89,000 for the first time since November 2024, fears of a deeper correction have gripped the market. The catalyst? U.S. President Donald Trump’s renewed "Tariff War," imposing 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico. This move rattled both traditional and crypto markets, dragging total crypto market capitalization below $3 trillion.
With market sentiment plunging to 25—the same levels seen during the FTX collapse—Bitcoin is now sitting at the neckline of a major bearish pattern, raising concerns about whether more downside is ahead.
Is Bitcoin’s Structure Still Bullish?
🔹 Descending Parallel Channel – BTC mirrors a pattern from early 2024, when prices dropped to $54,000 before soaring to $109K.
🔹 Key Support at $85,000 – A test of this level could trigger a rebound.
🔹 RSI Declining to 44.39 – Momentum is cooling, but a reversal could be near.
🔹 MACD Still Positive – Despite rising selling pressure, BTC’s weekly MACD suggests a potential bounce.
What’s Next for Bitcoin?
📌 Bullish Case – If Bitcoin bounces off support at $85K, a breakout from this descending channel could push it to a new ATH above $112K.
📌 Bearish Case – If BTC fails to hold, it could face extended downside pressure, breaking below key support zones.
The bull run isn’t necessarily over, but BTC is at a critical turning point. If history repeats itself, this correction could be the reset needed before a push to new highs.
HelenP. I Bitcoin may correct to support level and rebound upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Analyzing the chart, we can observe that the price initially climbed to the trend line before reversing and dropping to the resistance level, which aligned with the resistance zone. After spending some time trading near this level, the price made a corrective move downward, briefly breaking the level before bouncing back up. Following this, BTC once again tested the trend line before falling to the support level, breaking through the resistance level in the process. The price dipped slightly below this area but then made a sharp upward move toward the 101500 resistance level before starting to decline. Bitcoin then dropped to the support level, immediately rebounded, and attempted to rise, but eventually fell back to the 94200 level. After this, the price started to recover, rising close to the trend line before turning downward again. At this point, I anticipate that BTCUSDT will move down to the support level before beginning a new upward push toward the trend line. Therefore, I have set my goal at 98800, which aligns with this trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTC/USD: From $95K Surge to Critical $89K Support – What’s Next?Bitcoin's 6-hour chart shows that after our last analysis, the price successfully rallied from $95,000, reaching all three targets: $96,200, $97,600, and $101,700, yielding over 8% return.
Today, Bitcoin finally broke the $90,000 support after holding for several days, dropping to $86,000 before recovering to the $89,000 range. If the price stabilizes above $89,000 in the next two days, we could expect an upward move towards the next targets at $90,800, $93,800, and $98,000.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin is still ranging and has not managed to break out of its consolidation zone. As long as the price does not close above the resistance level, we cannot expect further upward movement.
Here are two possible scenarios:
1.Bullish Scenario: If the price successfully breaks the resistance level and closes above it, we can anticipate a continuation of the uptrend.
2.Corrective Scenario: This scenario seems more likely, where the price retraces back to the support zone before initiating another upward move.
A confirmed breakout above resistance would signal further growth, but until that happens, a return to support remains the more probable scenario.
What’s your view on Bitcoin’s trend? Do you find the second scenario more likely?
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
BTC/USD Trading Setup – Bear Trap & Reversal PlayBTC has followed a former volatility setting where an initial sharp dump was followed by a reversion to prior levels with shrinking volatility, only to see another leg down extending 7% beyond the first drop. This pattern indicates a liquidity sweep before a potential structural shift.
Adding to the pressure, political instability has fueled market uncertainty, leading to a broad risk-off sentiment. Notably, gold is also at risk of a correction, and BTC is likely to dump alongside it rather than act as a hedge . This suggests a macro-driven selloff across multiple asset classes before any meaningful recovery.
BTC has now tested the 90K region five times, making it a key inflection point. A final dive below this level for a liquidity grab is highly probable before any major reversal. The tightening volatility percentages provide insight into an impending expansion phase, signaling that a significant move is approaching.
This setup presents an ideal bear trap opportunity. A final shakeout below 90K could lead to liquidity absorption, setting up a strong long-term positioning for a recovery. Smart entries on the final flush could offer a highly favorable risk-reward play for bulls.
a/b/c/d/e/g BTC price fractal buy low tp 107 000 usd🔸Hello traders, today let's review 4hour price chart for BTCUSD . we are still
stuck in range since december, range highs at/near 108k, range lows at 90k.
🔸speculative a/b/c/d/e/g price fractal in progress. expecting breakdown of the
recent trading range with a subsequent throwback inside range and re-test of range highs.
🔸a/b/c/d/e/g fractal point a/c 92k, point b/d/g 107k, point e 83/84k.
similar fractal observed in march 2024 a/c 62k. b/d/g 72k, point e 57k.
🔸Recommended strategy: BUY LOW near liquidity OBs 83/84k usd, TP bulls is fresh overhead liquidity at/near 106/108K. expecting decent bounce in this market after pullback.
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BITCOIN Is this a healthy Bull Cycle pullback or new BEAR CYCLE?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has broken below the $90k barrier, reaching so far today 89000. The market is undeniably bleeding and this is roughly a -19% price decrease from January's All Time High (ATH). Talks about the end of this Bull Cycle have resurfaced again, but is this the start of a new Bear Cycle or simply a usual technical pull-back during a Bull Cycle?
Well we can find the answer by examining the 3 most recent Bull Cycles. As you can see, such declines are common during Bull Cycles, and they've been very well present on the current (2023 - 2025) Bull Cycle as well.
Going back to the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle, we can see four -40% corrections, with an average Cycle decline of -35.28%. The average in the following Bull Cycle (2019 - 2021) declined to -26.12% with many -30% corrections this time. On the current Cycle, the average is so far -23.60% with the vast majority of corrections being around -20%, which is exactly what we are up against at the moment.
As you realize, the corrections have been greater in the past, which is natural as so were the total Cycle gains, so the higher the rallies, the stronger the corrections have been. As Bitcoin started to normalize, become mainstream and adopted, the Cycles returns started to diminish, offering subsequently smaller/ more manageable pull-back phases.
As a result, it is very likely for BTC to be experiencing at the moment a typical Bull Cycle pull-back and equally probable not to diverge much from the -20% mark of the current Cycle standard.
But what do you think? Is this the start of a new Bear Cycle or just a Bull Cycle pull-back? And if it's the latter, will it stop around the current -20% levels? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin(BTC): Sellers Are Dominating / Final Drop Incoming!Finally, we got our breakdown where, after touching 200EMA on the 4-hour timeframe, we had a 10% drop ever since.
This breakdown is not just a liquidity grab, as we can see but a full-scale movement where now our next target is $85K (which is the 200EMA on the 1D timeframe).
Swallow Team
Bitcoin and altcoin overview (February 25-26)Yesterday, Bitcoin completely ignored the levels we had marked and broke the scenario of a quick recovery for longs.
At the moment, we have tested the lower level of the global sideways range, as well as the important zone of $89,000–$86,300 (accumulated volumes). So far, we do not see a strong reaction apart from a surge in volume.
In the near future, we primarily expect a sideways movement between the two volume zones of $91,300-$92,600 and ~$89,000.
Now, for a full recovery of buying activity, it will be necessary to overcome the newly formed sell zones, which have accumulated significantly during the decline.
In the case of a negative outcome and a breakdown of the current support zone, we will enter a bearish trend with an initial target of $77,000.
Sell Zones:
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies).
$97,500-$98,400 (aggressive selling volumes).
$95,000-$96,700 (accumulated volumes).
$91,300-$92,600 (accumulated volumes).
Buy Zones:
$89,000–$86,300 (accumulated volumes).
$77,000-$73,000 (volume anomalies, aggressive buying volumes).
Interesting Altcoins
For SUSDT , we tested an important volume zone and received a strong reaction from buyers. We are considering a long position upon testing the local zone of $0.72-$0.69 and its reaction, or in the case of a false breakout of the local low.