BTC 4H VS 1D 200 EMAIt's quite a rare occurrence when the 200 EMA finds itself in a very similar position but right now BTC has that exact setup.
On the 4H BTC is fighting the moving average for the 12th time since losing the support level at the beginning in February. At this time the bearish trend channel upper limit also coincides with this level now, IMO a big move is being setup, but the direction is unsure.
On the daily we're seeing the moving average also in line with the trend resistance however the curve itself differs to the 4H in the way that it's levelling out from an uptrend, not levelling out from downtrend.
Bullish scenario - Breaking out above the moving average and trend channel with strength I believe would start to bring buyers back. Now I would not expect buyers to come flooding in at once as many have been burned too many times trying to long a breakout only for it to be a fakeout. I could see many looking for a form of confirmation, be that a retest as new support or a new HH & HL structure.
Bearish scenario - Yet another rejection off this level would be continuation of the downtrend with many adding to their shorts. This to me would be tied to the SPX/ Tradfi movements although those markets are much stronger than this time last week.
In conclusion there is no clear sense of direction just yet but I think it's coming very soon. The chop we are seeing at the moment is a symptom of a lack of confidence and uncertainty in market conditions. Naturally this lends itself to a continuation of the downtrend but all it takes is a catalyst and some big believers to push BTC out above the downtrend to continue the bullrun. I think we get our answer soon.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTC in 17 April 2025Potential Major Move on Thursday, April 17, 2025 📍
📊 Based on an analysis of historical Bitcoin chart averages and similar patterns, there is a likelihood of a significant price movement on this date.
This analysis is conducted using technical analysis and a detailed examination of Bitcoin’s movement averages. It suggests that approximately every 150 days after the start of a neutral trend, we can expect a sharp upward or downward move that sets the stage for the main trend in the future.
📅 As of the current date, March 29, 2025, there are about 18 days left until this significant event.
You can follow the results of this analysis and the conducted review on TradingView on the specified date.
Orangeman vs The Federal Reverse: Season 1 (2018–2020)It all started in 2018... 🎬
🧱📈💼 March 21, 2018: Jerome Powell steps in as the new Fed Chair. Almost immediately, the Fed hikes rates from 1.50% to 1.75%, citing a strong U.S. economy.
💬📊🇺🇸 June 13, 2018: Another hike to 2.00%. Powell says the U.S. economy is “in great shape.” But markets? Not so thrilled.
🗣️📉🇺🇸 July 19, 2018: Enter The Orangeman—President Trump publicly attacks the Fed's policy, breaking tradition. He’s “not thrilled” with the hikes.
📉🏦 September 26, 2018: Yet another hike to 2.25%. The Fed stays firm. Trump? Getting louder.
❗😠💬 "I'm not happy with the Fed." – Trump
⚠️📉📉 December 19, 2018: Fourth hike of the year to 2.50%. Markets tank. Rumors swirl: Trump wants Powell gone.
🔥💣👔 Behind the scenes: Trump reportedly explores ways to dismiss Powell. The pressure is on.
📛🇺🇸📉 June 10, 2019: The battle heats up. Trump calls the hikes a “big mistake” and demands rate cuts.
✂️📉📉 July 31, 2019: Powell blinks. The Fed cuts rates by 0.25%—first cut since 2008. Trump tweets:
👎🐦💸 “Powell let us down.”
⬇️📉🔁 September 18, 2019: Second cut.
⚖️🔁🧩 October 30, 2019: Third consecutive cut. The Fed pivots completely. The Orangeman’s influence is undeniable.
🦠🧪📉 March 2020: COVID strikes. The Fed responds with emergency rate cuts.
🌀🧻💸 March 15 & 23, 2020: Rates slashed to near zero. QE infinity unleashed. Powell goes full printer mode. Bitcoin begins to stir...
Season 1 closes with markets melting down, a pandemic, and the Fed surrendering to zero rates.
But The Orangeman isn’t done...
And The Federal Reverse still lurks in the shadows.
Next up: tariffs, China, currency wars, and another campaign trail. 🐉💵⚔️
Season 2 is coming.
Stay tuned...
One tweets.
The other tightens.
Who controls our future?
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
BITCOIN - Time to buy again!If the price can break this downward channel, it could reach $100k again. In my opinion, the bearish cycle of the crypto market has ended, and from now on, prices will be bullish.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
XRPUSDT – Liquidity Hunt Incoming? Watch the Equal Highs!Description:
Price is moving within a rising channel, heading toward a key liquidity zone sitting right at the golden pocket and just below equal highs . This confluence makes it a prime area for a potential fakeout and reversal. I'm watching for a liquidity grab above , followed by a sharp rejection .
🟦 Rising channel structure
🟨 Golden Pocket + Liquidity Zone
📏 Equal highs = potential trap
🔻 Bearish reversal setup forming
Keeping a close eye for signs of rejection at the top. Could be a nice short opportunity.
What’s your take? Bull trap or breakout?
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #64👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I want to review the futures session triggers for New York.
⏳ 1-Hour Time Frame
Yesterday, the market continued to range within the same box and didn’t make any significant moves, but today we still have triggers and can open positions.
🔄 Yesterday I told you that after the fake breakout of the box top, strong bearish momentum could enter, increasing the likelihood of the box bottom breaking, and that we could enter a short position upon its break.
✔️ That’s exactly how it seemed—there was strong bearish momentum and the price tested the 83233 zone once. But it couldn’t break that area, and after a strong bearish candle, market volume dropped significantly, and the market became range-bound again, which still continues.
📈 Our key resistance remains the 85482 zone, and breaking this level could initiate the next bullish wave. So, we can enter a long position if this level breaks.
🔽 For a short position, the 83233 zone is still valid. As I mentioned, the price tested this level again yesterday, reinforcing its importance—so make sure to have a short position ready if this zone breaks.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s check Bitcoin Dominance. Today, dominance is in a corrective phase and has returned to the 63.87 zone and is retesting it.
💫 If this zone breaks and dominance continues its correction, we can consider dominance as bearish for now. But if dominance finds support here, it can continue its upward move and form a higher high.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Yesterday, the Total2 index had a fake breakout at the 932 zone, re-entered its box, and with the momentum that entered the market, moved upward. It has now broken the 947 zone and is retesting it.
🔍 If the price pulls back to this zone and is supported, it could start an uptrend and move toward 980.
💥 But if the price fails to stabilize above 947 and drops below it, we can confirm a bearish trend in Total2 with a break of 932 and open short positions on altcoins.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now for Tether Dominance: a small box has formed above the 5.39 zone, with the box bottom at 5.49 and the top at 5.59.
🎲 If the 5.49 zone breaks, we can confirm a bearish move in dominance down to 5.39. The main trigger for a bearish shift in dominance is the break of the 5.39 zone.
✨ For a bullish move in dominance, the 5.59 level is very important, and breaking it could begin a new upward trend for dominance.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
US 100 - At a Critical Crossroads The US 100 index shows intriguing price action as it navigates key technical levels. Currently trading at 18,967.2 , the market has formed a clear double top pattern at the resistance zone, suggesting potential exhaustion in the uptrend.
Key Technical Observations:
The chart reveals strong resistance near recent highs around 19,024.3 , with price struggling to break through this ceiling. Below current levels, we spot a double bottom formation that previously provided support, creating an interesting tension between these patterns.
Notable price levels include:
- Resistance: 19,024.3 (double top confirmation)
- Support: 18,961.7 (recent swing low)
- Critical zone: The weakened gap that remains to be filled below current prices
Market Dynamics:
The minimal +0.02% change indicates indecision at these levels. The presence of liquidity pools both above and below suggests potential for volatility when either side gives way.
Trading Considerations:
A break above the double top resistance could signal continuation of the uptrend, while failure to hold current levels may see price test lower supports to fill the gap. The tight range between 18,961.7 and 19,024.3 suggests an impending volatility expansion.
The market appears to be at an inflection point where the next directional move could be significant. Traders should watch for either a confirmed breakout above resistance or breakdown below support before committing to positions.
Final Note: This technical setup presents clear risk/reward opportunities, but requires confirmation before acting. The double top pattern would only be validated by a break below the interim support levels.
Disclaimer: Market conditions can change rapidly. This analysis represents one interpretation of current price action and should be verified with additional indicators. Always use proper risk management.
BTC Potential Breakout, Daily DivergenceBTC on the daily has the opportunity to expand way upwards over the next month - a divergence on the daily evidently takes longer to play out but RSI could easily reach 80 off the back of the structure.
I have been shorting, confidently, for a good few weeks now, with longs in between, but I'm starting to feel like I should flip long.
Solana is also trying to reclaim the daily/weekly range - things to think about for sure.
Good luck out there!
BITCOIN just triggered the ultimate post-Halving BUY SIGNAL!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hit last week the top of the green Gaussian Channel (GC), a key indicator as last time it did (September 02 2024), kickstarted the massive 2024 rally towards the end of the year.
In fact, it can be argued that when BTC makes contact with the GC during a Bull Cycle, it is the ultimate pull-back Buy Signal after Halving events. More specifically, during the previous Cycle and after the May 2020 Halving, the price touched the GC three times (August 31 2020, July 19 2021 and September 20 2021), all of which were the most optimal pull-back Buy Entries as Bitcoin rebounded instantly.
So far during this Cycle and after the April 2024 Halving, this is the 2nd time the GC is tested. As mentioned the first also initiated an instant rebound. As a result, the current GC test is technically considered a very strong buy opportunity for the remainder of the Cycle, which based on the Time Cycles of the last 2 Cycle Tops, it should peak around October 06 2025.
So what do you think? If buying now towards a potential October 2025 Top, the perfect opportunity? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BTC has upside chances until it holds above 81K areaMorning folks,
So, picture barely has changes since our last discussion. Right now we do not see any ready-to-trade setups. But suggest some bullish support to the market. After major XOP target has been reached - BTC has not dropped but remains in tight consolidation. This is more a bullish sign.
In general, we could suggest here a kind of reverse H&S shape. It makes us think that until BTC price is above ~ 81K area, it keeps chances on upside breakout. Drop below 81K will lead BTC back to the previous lows.
So, if you would like to buy - try to do this as closer to the lows of consolidation as possible. We consider no shorts by far.
BTCUSD - Wave B Needs One More Low - Lets Talk About It...So far, there's been no actual gain or loss from my current idea that we could reach 90K. However, I’d like to propose a new perspective — that we may have been navigating a complex, expanded Wave B Zig-Zag this entire time.
With a deeper understanding of AriasWave, I can now make certain assumptions more confidently. I had considered this scenario before but dismissed it due to how far-fetched it seemed. Now, I’m revisiting that idea with a fresh outlook.
The key point is: nothing has been gained or lost yet — which means this is your opportunity to reassess and position your trade in the right direction using this analysis.
Let’s make it count. Let’s do this!
Check out the chart version linked below.
Short Entry: 83,000
Target: 74,517
1 Billion People Trading Crypto —Bitcoin's Continues Above $80KWith every single second that passes with Bitcoin trading above 80K the market becomes stronger. We now have the proof of the start of the bull market coming from the Altcoins. Some pairs are growing more than 100% within just 48 hours and they continue to advance. This is only the beginning.
The pattern starts with the low in February followed by March and then finally April. 7-April marks the true bearish phase bottom after the late 2024 bullish wave peak.
Would you like to know what will happen with Bitcoin?
Look at this chart for STRAXUSDT, it will be the exact same:
1) A low 7-April.
2) A quick recovery.
3) Sideways/consolidation.
4) A strong bullish jump.
See the full analysis below:
This is the same pattern that is repeating across so many Altcoins. Most of these are at #3 and set to enter #4. Bullish momentum will build up slowly and will be present through many pairs in early May, but it will take until late May before it becomes 100% obvious for all participants, at this time, we will have a full blown bullish wave and there will be excitement and lots of people rushing to buy Cryptocurrencies trading pairs that are no longer available at bottom prices, but people will buy anyway and that's ok because we are set to experience long-term growth.
There is more. Some indications and signals are pointing to this bull market going beyond 2025. Just as the 2023 recovery year extended and went through March 2024, in the same way, the 2025 bull market can be extended and go sometime until March 2026. It can be anything, but it will be green.
There are also supporting signals for this hypothesis but we will have to wait and see.
One thing is known for sure and 6,575% certain, Bitcoin is going up. Cryptocurrency will grow and it will be amazing. We are ready for 1 Billion people to buy, hold and exchange Crypto.
Bring it on!
Namaste.
BTCUSD - Another Dip Is Possible With This Count...Recent rejections at the highs have prompted a deeper analysis, and the findings are quite intriguing.
Based on a detailed wave review, there's a possibility we're currently trading within an expanded Wave B zig-zag pattern that has yet to find a bottom.
If this scenario holds and we see a break below the 83,000 support level, price could potentially decline toward the 74,517 area.
On the upside, resistance is observed at 86,506 and 85,493.
$ETH = Silver and $BTC = Gold Means WHAT!?They say Ethereum is the Silver to ₿itcoin being Gold.
If that's the case, does that mean that the ceiling for CRYPTOCAP:ETH will forever be stuck at $4,800
just like TVC:SILVER being capped at $48 for the past 45 years?
Does anyone really think ETH will be higher than $4,800 in 45 years???😆
A true store of value 💯
The Road to $100k BitcoinBitcoin is most likely forming a left-translated 60-day cycle .
Expect Bitcoin to trend downward for the next month, making a lower low in this 60-day cycle and fully scaring the market.
People will start screaming “bear market” and panic-sell their coins to market makers, institutions, and patient investors.
Once that’s done, Bitcoin will resume its bull market, heading toward a market top in Q2/Q3 2025.
This would mirror 2021’s bull market behavior, align with the 4-year Bitcoin cycle, and leave enough time for the market to fully reset by late 2026.
Bitcoin - Trading below 50 and 200 EMACurrently bitcoin is trading below 50 and 200 EMA after multiple failed attempt to breach the these EMA levels. 1D candle closed above 200 EMA however, failed to close above 50 EMA
Additionally price is around the trendline which is acting as resistance, a strong breakout from this resistance is needed for bullish momentum to continue.
In the next couple of days we will get to know if price will break the resistance or gets rejected.
Stay tuned for more updates
Cheers
GreenCrypto
Bitcoin dominance is aiming to hit FIb 1.141 - Alt Season when ?Currently bitcoin dominance is around 64% and about to hit Fib 1 which is the previous high 64.34%.
We can expect bitcoin to breach this previous high easily and head towards the next resistance around the fib value 1.414. This is a strong resistance and if dominance breaks this value then next target is 70% is which around the high value achieve during the 2020 bear run.
I'm expecting dominance to reverse around 1.414 and altseason will start once dominance starts dropping.
Cheers!
GreenCrypto
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #63👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I want to review the futures session triggers for New York.
⏳ 1-Hour Time Frame
Yesterday, a short position could have been opened that might have already brought you good profit.
🔄 In yesterday’s analysis, I told you that if the price pulls back to the 85482 zone, gives a confirmation candle, and buying volume increases, you could open a long position. That didn’t happen—there was no confirmation candle, and the zone turned out to be a fake breakout.
👀 For a short position, I also mentioned that if the price fakes the breakout of this zone, you could enter a short position on lower time frames after the break of a short-term trigger, targeting 83233. This scenario played out exactly, and the price gave a trigger on lower time frames and dropped to 83233.
📉 But today we also have a trigger for opening a position, so don’t worry too much—you haven’t missed a lot. Yesterday’s position was opened in a risky context, and if you followed proper risk management, you shouldn’t have taken much risk on that position, and naturally, wouldn’t have made a large profit either.
🔑 A fake breakout of a box top indicates strong seller momentum, so currently, bearish momentum is stronger than bullish, and the price leans more toward decline. On the other hand, the 83233 zone is very significant, and the price has reacted to it several times, making it an important support zone.
📚 So, with that in mind, if the 83233 zone breaks, you can enter a short position. If, before breaking this zone, the price creates a lower high compared to 85482, we’ll have even more confirmation—because based on Dow Theory, when price fails to reach its previous high, it shows that buyers are weakening. So breaking the low, which overlaps with the 83233 support, gives us a very solid position.
💫 But an important point to consider is that the price formed several bullish legs before creating this box, so overall, the current market momentum is still more bullish, and all short positions carry more risk than long positions.
📈 For a long position, the 85482 zone remains a valid trigger, and if the price stabilizes above it, we might see the next bullish leg. Personally, I prefer that the price tests the 85482 zone once more so we can get a more accurate level, and then break it on a subsequent attempt, which would make opening a position easier.
✔️ Of course, even if the zone is broken on the first try, I’ll open a long position, but if it's broken on the second or third attempt, we can enter with more confidence and take more risk.
📊 After the range box was broken, market volume has been declining, and only a few candles have significant volume—these are considered outliers and can be ignored. So the most important thing is that if a trigger is activated, the volume should align with that direction and support the price move, showing convergence.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s take a look at Bitcoin dominance. It’s still bullish and, after breaking above 63.87, has continued its new bullish leg.
🧩 As a reminder, as long as BTC Dominance hasn’t changed trend or turned bearish on higher time frames like the daily or weekly chart, buying any altcoin isn’t logical. We need to wait for a trend change. For now, we see dominance as bullish, so long positions on Bitcoin and short positions on altcoins are suitable choices.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Now for Total2 analysis: yesterday, both short triggers I gave were activated, and the price moved downward.
🧲 Currently, a low has formed around the 932 zone, and if this zone breaks, the price could continue its downtrend. On the other hand, if the 947 zone breaks and the price moves back above it, we can consider opening a short-term long position in lower time frames.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Let’s look at Tether dominance. Yesterday, I mentioned that dominance was interacting with the 5.39 zone and that if it breaks, the market could move upward.
🚀 But that didn’t happen—instead, the price moved upward and even broke above the 5.53 ceiling. Currently, it’s returning to its range box again and may head back toward the 5.39 level. If that zone breaks, we can still take it as a confirmation of a bearish shift in dominance.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Potential Scenarios Ahead of Powell Speech
Bitcoin is consolidating for 5 days within a narrow range on a daily.
Today's Powell speech can be a trigger for a strong bullish/bearish movement.
Depending on the today's rhetorics, here are potential scenarios.
Bullish
If the price breaks and closes above the resistance of the range (86500),
we can expect upward movement to 87500 resistance.
Bearish
If the price breaks and closes below the support of the range (82500),
Bitcoin may drop way lower and reach 79600 level.
Wait for a breakout and then follow the market.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️