BTCUSD - Consolidation Likely to Resolve with Bullish BreakoutThe Bitcoin/USD 4-hour chart displays a consolidation pattern after recovering from the March lows near $77,000, with current price action hovering around $83,928. Following a recent test of resistance at $86,500, a minor pullback appears to be underway, but the higher probability move remains to the upside as indicated by the directional arrows on the chart. The price has been forming a series of higher lows since the March 11 bottom, suggesting accumulation and underlying bullish momentum. Key to this outlook is the strong support established by the blue reaction zone near $76,000-$78,000, which has successfully contained selling pressure. Traders should monitor for a potential shallow retracement before the anticipated push toward the orange resistance level at $87,650, which represents the next significant hurdle. A decisive break above this resistance would likely trigger an acceleration in buying momentum and confirm the bullish scenario, potentially opening the path toward retesting the $90,000-$92,000 region in the coming sessions.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
A Good Example of How Market Makers Manipulate BTC Price- As liquidation areas are visited, price drops back down, retraces back up just to fill the price imbalance before continuing to for a new low.
- The latest price action is similar to the previous, and there is a very good likelihood that the Bitcoin price will create another major new low
- Also take note of the fake out in the ascending channel to trap traders into placing long positions. The fake out was also able to trigger stop losses from short positions.
Let me know what you guys think and comment below.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #42👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's delve into the analysis of Bitcoin and other key crypto indices. As usual, I will review the futures triggers for the New York session for you.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, the price still maintains a range box between 83808 and 84734, and the market volume has decreased even more from yesterday.
📊 The less the volume, the closer we are to a price movement, so again, keep an eye on the market to ensure you don't miss any active triggers.
⚡️ For a short position, you can enter with a break of 83808, and for a long position, with a break of 84734.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let's move to the analysis of Bitcoin dominance. Yesterday, the support at 61.43 was broken, and it's moving towards 61.08.
✔️ Currently, I don’t have any specific triggers for confirmation in dominance, but as long as the dominance stays below 61.43, I see it continuing its downward trend.
📅 Total2 Analysis
On to the analysis of Total2, the trigger at 1.05 is about to be activated, and the price could move towards 1.07 with a break of this area.
🔽 The short trigger remains at 1.04 for now.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Finally, looking at the Tether dominance, this index is still ranging between 5.25 and 5.34.
💫 A break of either of these areas could determine the next leg of the price movement.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Eth to $2,500?Hello friends! Well, I'm sharing my opinion. Eth is feeling boring. There isn't much volatility, however, the rebound is clear. It's clear that it will be testing the $2,250 area. However, there are two scenarios:
A) A brief approach with a very sharp rejection.
B) A strong upward breakout to use the $2,250 area as support and reach the famed $2,500, which is a highly liquid area.
In conclusion, the price will seek the $2,250 area early in the week, and buying pressure will determine the final direction.
Disclaimer: This is only an opinion; it should not be used as investment advice or recommendation.
US30 - Catch The Next Wave!US30 is currently in an uptrend, with price action respecting a well-defined ascending channel. We anticipate another bounce from channel support.
In Wave 2, price was rejected at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, and we expect a similar reaction for Wave 4.
Our strategy is to wait for price to enter the buy zone, between the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci retracement levels, and look for bullish reversal signals before entering a position.
Potential Bullish Reversal Signals:
Trendline break
Break of structure (BOS)
Other confirmation patterns
Trade Plan:
- Monitor price movement into the buy zone, aligning with channel support.
- Enter long positions upon confirmation of bullish price action, placing stop-loss below the established low formed after bullish confirmation.
Target levels: 45,000 and 48,500, with the remainder held for a potential extended swing trade.
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
BTCUSD Bitcoin Rising Wedge Breakdown – Professional AnalysisBitcoin's price action is forming a Rising Wedge pattern on the 1-hour chart, a well-known bearish reversal formation. This pattern suggests that although the price has been making higher highs and higher lows, the upward momentum is weakening. Historically, when a rising wedge breaks to the downside, it often leads to strong downward movement, making it an ideal shorting opportunity.
This analysis will cover the pattern formation, key support and resistance levels, price action expectations, trading strategy, and risk management to ensure a well-informed trade setup.
1. Chart Pattern Breakdown: Understanding the Rising Wedge
Formation of the Rising Wedge
The price has been moving within two converging trendlines (black lines), forming a wedge shape.
The slope of both the upper and lower trendlines is positive, indicating an uptrend, but the lower trendline is steeper, suggesting weakening bullish pressure.
As Bitcoin moves higher, buying volume is declining, indicating that buyers are losing control.
The price has tested the upper resistance trendline multiple times, failing to break above it, further confirming bearish exhaustion.
The lower trendline has acted as strong support, but multiple touches suggest a possible breakdown soon.
Why This Pattern is Bearish
The rising wedge is inherently bearish because it signals that although the price is rising, the upward movement is slowing down. Eventually, the price is likely to break below the lower support trendline, triggering a sharp sell-off.
A breakdown from this wedge structure would confirm the start of a downtrend, making it an excellent opportunity for short traders.
2. Key Technical Levels to Watch
Resistance Level (~$86,000 - $86,500) - Strong Sell Zone
Bitcoin has repeatedly failed to break above this zone, indicating heavy selling pressure.
If the price unexpectedly moves above this level, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
Support Level (~$80,000 - $80,500) - Breakdown Zone
This support level has held strong multiple times.
If BTC loses this zone, it will likely trigger a massive drop due to stop-loss orders being hit and panic selling.
Stop Loss ($88,062) - Risk Management
A stop loss above $88,062 ensures protection against unexpected bullish breakouts.
This level is placed just above recent highs to minimize the risk of premature stop-outs.
Target Level ($75,718) - Profit Objective
The projected price target is based on measuring the height of the wedge and applying it to the breakout point.
This level also aligns with a major historical support zone, where buyers might step in.
3. Trading Setup & Strategy
Bearish Trading Plan - Short Setup
📌 Entry:
Enter short after Bitcoin breaks below the wedge’s lower support and confirms the breakdown by retesting support as new resistance.
Ideal entry price is around $81,500 - $82,000 after confirmation.
📌 Stop Loss:
Place above $88,062, which is beyond the wedge’s upper resistance.
This protects against unexpected bullish breakouts.
📌 Take Profit:
First target: $78,000 (psychological support).
Final target: $75,718 (technical breakdown target).
Confirmation Signals for a Strong Short Trade
✔ Candle Close Below Support – A 1-hour candle closing below the wedge confirms a breakdown.
✔ Increase in Selling Volume – Rising bearish volume supports downward momentum.
✔ Retest of Broken Support as Resistance – If the price retests the wedge’s lower trendline and fails to reclaim it, it confirms further downside.
4. Risk Management & Considerations
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The trade offers a 3:1 risk-reward ratio, making it highly favorable.
Market Conditions: External news events, institutional activity, or macroeconomic trends (like inflation reports) could impact price action.
Bear Trap Possibility: If Bitcoin breaks below but quickly reclaims support, it could be a fakeout, so wait for confirmation before entering.
5. Alternative Scenario – When to Invalidate the Bearish Outlook?
Although the primary expectation is a bearish breakdown, we must consider alternate scenarios:
🚨 Bullish Invalidation: What if Bitcoin Rallies?
If Bitcoin breaks above the resistance zone at $86,500 - $88,000, the rising wedge breakdown would be invalidated. In that case:
✅ A breakout above $88,062 could trigger a short squeeze, pushing BTC toward $90,000+.
✅ Bulls will regain control, shifting the trend to bullish continuation instead of reversal.
🔹 In such a case, traders should exit short positions and re-evaluate market conditions before re-entering trades.
6. Conclusion – Trading Plan Summary
📊 Current Bias: Bearish 📉
🔹 Pattern: Rising Wedge (Breakdown Expected)
🔹 Entry: Short after wedge breakdown & confirmation
🔹 Stop Loss: Above $88,062
🔹 Target: $75,718
Bitcoin is forming a classic Rising Wedge, which historically leads to strong downward movement once it breaks support. If BTC follows the expected scenario, a high-probability short trade is in play, targeting a decline toward $75,718. However, traders must wait for confirmation and manage risk effectively to avoid fakeouts.
📢 Stay updated, follow price action closely, and trade responsibly! 🚀
Bitcoin $200k in June 2025Despite the fact that US stocks look bleak, there is no better time for growth than the spring-summer of 2025. By the end of the year, the statistics will start to come out quite sad, and if you do All Time High, then only now. I am waiting for positive news
I estimate the probability of such a scenario at 65%
HelenP. I Bitcoin may break support level and fall to trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. A few days ago, the price made a small upward move before dropping to Support 2, which aligned with the support zone, breaking through Support 1 in the process. After that, BTC attempted to rise but failed and continued to decline, breaking Support 2 and reaching the trend line. Following this move, Bitcoin reversed direction and started to climb, soon reaching the 80100 level and breaking it again. It then pushed up nearly to Support 1 before correcting back to Support 2, after which it made a strong impulse move back to Support 1. The price consolidated around this level for some time before correcting back to the trend line, from where it resumed its upward movement. In a short time, BTC broke through Support 1, climbed to 87500, and then corrected back to the support zone. At this stage, I expect BTCUSDT to pull back to the support level, make a small upward move, and then continue declining, breaking the support level. If this scenario plays out, I anticipate the price falling to 83000, which aligns with the trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #41👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's delve into the analysis of Bitcoin and important crypto indices. Today, as usual, I aim to review the New York session futures triggers for you.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, Bitcoin is still in a range box between 83808 and 84734, and the market volume is continuously decreasing.
📊 The market volume has reached its lowest possible level, indicating that a move is imminent, so be alert today as the likelihood of our triggers activating is very high.
🔼 For a long position, entering at a break of 84734 could be beneficial, as breaking this area could start a bullish leg up to 86876.
📉 For short positions, a break of 83808 remains suitable. Yesterday, the price briefly breached this area but seemed to rebound, making it still appropriate for positioning.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Moving on to Bitcoin dominance analysis, as you can see, dominance was rejected from the high of 61.63 yesterday, then set a lower high compared to this area, and now the floor of 61.43 has been broken.
💫 Currently, with the break of 61.43, dominance could move down to 61.08. However, if the break of 61.43 proves to be a fake-out, the likelihood of breaking 61.63 increases.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Let’s talk about Total2; this index doesn't have a very reliable trigger right now, and you can still enter a position with a break of 1.07, but if the price reacts to 1.05, on a second contact, entering on a break of this area might be viable.
🔽 For short positions, a break of 1.04 is suitable, and you can enter a position with the break of this area.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Lastly, analyzing Tether dominance, it is still ranging and has formed a box between 5.25 and 5.34.
✔️ For a downward trend in dominance, you can confirm with a break of 5.25, and for an upward trend, a break of 5.34 will serve as your confirmation.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
What now BTC?I' ve described all in the #btc chart with call out balloons. Above 102K is the temporary invalidation. If CRYPTOCAP:BTC price movement in ascending channel declines, the target will likely be the retest zone of november rally and there also a CME #bitcoin futures gap waits to be filled by MM. Not financial advice.
BITCOIN Is Very Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 84,125.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 90,061 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BTC/USD – BIG ESPRESSO SHOT–is the breakout of the decade ahead?On the Bitcoin (BTC/USD) daily chart, we observe a potential bullish scenario based on the well-known Cup and Handle formation.
Between November 2021 and November 2024, Bitcoin formed a classic Cup and Handle pattern.
The "cup" part (marked as 1-2-3) is characterized by a rounded bottom, indicating a correction phase, accumulation, and gradual recovery of bullish momentum.
Then, in the second half of 2024, the "handle" (marked as 4-5) formed as a short-term consolidation in the shape of a triangle, which was followed by a breakout that led to a peak around $109k in January 2025. A correction followed, pushing the price down to approximately $76.5k in March 2025.
Currently, the price is making a pullback, testing the key zone around 87K–$93k from below.
To confirm the bullish scenario, we need a strong hold above the $75k–$76k support and a clear breakout above the local resistance zone at 87K–$93k.
As of now, this retest has not yet been confirmed and requires further observation, as there is still a risk of a fake breakout and potential drop to lower support zones — such as $66k or even $50k.
This formation suggests strong upside potential for Bitcoin in the medium to long term, and if confirmed, may signal a continuation of the uptrend with a target around $127k–$130k.
WATCH CLOSELY
BITCOIN vs GOLD History will be repeated.Bitcoin has often been described as the digital Gold. And with good reason as it posseses the scarcity attribute of Gold like no other asset.
More often than not, we've seen Bitcoin replicate Gold's trading pattern and why not, as market psychology under certain set of conditions tend to be similar.
What better patterns to repeat than the long term ones. And on these charts you seen those.
Bitcoin's current Cycle is a Cup and Handle pattern, similar to Gold's formation after its former September 2011 ATH following the amazing rally after the launch of its ETF in the early 2000s.
Once Gold crossed above its MA50, it never broke back below it, in fact is provided support for its Handle twice.
Bitcoin is on a similar situation right now having held its MA50 last week, the 2nd time it supports it since the Handle did in August 2024.
Based on this Gold fractal, this is the best time to buy BTC again for its final rally of the year.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
BTCUSD: The Cycle won't peak before September!Bitcoin remains neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 47.334, MACD = 3198.500, ADX = 54.017) which, having kept the 1W MA50 intact as Support, suggest that this is the ideal level to buy again upon the continuation of the Bull Cycle. Despite the recent 2 month correction, the Cycle hasn't peaked and according to the Pre-Halving/ Post-Halving theory, that suggests that the time from the Cycle's Bottom to the Halving is almost identical to the time form the Halving to the Cycle's Top, we have until the end of September before the bull run is over. And that's because the range from the Cycle's Bottom to the 4th Halving was 75 weeks (525 days), which indicates that it will take around the same amount of time from the Halving before the Bull Cycle tops. See how amazingly consistent that has been on all of prior 3 Cycles. Consequently, the best strategy here would be to hold and start selling in September.
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BTC-DOM- BTC dominance can't keep rising indefinitely.
-If we see a BTC dip, BTC dominance could climb to around 66% (71.8% Fibonacci), but in my opinion, that’s likely the maximum.
- If BTC surges too quickly and too high, altcoins will be suppressed, causing BTC dominance to potentially rise also to around 66%. However, once again, I believe that's would be the max.
- After any of both cases, altcoins will start to moon fly.
- 36-bar, 1096-day uptrend on the BTC dominance chart. That’s a significant duration from 2018 to 2021. The timespan from 2022 to 2025 could mirror the previous one.
- Take note also on the Bearish Divergence between the trend and the RSI. ( i will post weekly graphic also to show a more clear view ).
- An uptrend of this length indicates strong, sustained interest in BTC compared to altcoins. However, long-term trends like this are prone to exhaustion.
For now, just hold your alts and practice golden patience.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Could Pectra Upgrade leads Eth to 11K this cycle?
sentiment on ETH never has been that low while all the arguments against ETH will just be vanished with the upcoming Pectra upgrade
volume is as low as pre 2017 era so I think we can consider ourselves around June July 2017, when ETH made a ~70% retrace from 450 to 150 than peaked at 2K
Despite some delays I don't see why the upgrade will not happen...patience is key
_______
In a more technical view lets zoom to the daily timeframe
- its visible on the weekly chart: ETH bounced from weekly POC, saving it from collapse (?)
- around 0.5 fib now from low cycle to top cycle
- bounced back above that big blue trendline, its an important support that we dont want to loose
I would say the low has been done on the 11th of March, as for BTC
2 and a half possibilities here,
- bullish scenarios : I think there's too much stake on this asset, we bounce from here to see at least 2800 zone
either only up from now, either we go back to 1800 to make a double bottom, sort of H&S pattern kinda happening often at least this cycle
as long as we dont make a lower low this scenario is valid
in this scenario if the upgrade keep its promises and volume is back, I don't see why we wouldn retest new ATHs
- bearish scenario : we breakdown for a lower low aiming to 1600 area, the retest of the trendline above would fail and it would probably be the end of this bull market, that a lot of ppl have already called
______
fast check on whats happening if we zoom again:
Heres the 4H
4H closes in 1 hour but as you can see for now ETH pinged from that blue trendline i think we really dont want to loose
I bought a bit again today, lets see
cheeeers
Bitcoin Inverted Cup & handle Bitcoin is forming an inverted Cup & handle pattern with a target of 63k-66k. I was surprised to see this when I inverted the chart. Just sharing with you what I see, and I hope the pattern changes and we continue to go up. However the highest probability at the moment is further downside, but we may still have a bounce toward 89k-91K before seeing the blood.
Did you Know ?!!!Did you really think that profiting from the current bull run (a comprehensive upward market) would be easy? Don't be naive. Do you think they will let you buy, hold, and sell at low levels without any struggle? If it were that simple, everyone would be rich. But the truth is: 90% of you will lose. Why? Because the crypto market is not designed for everyone to win. They will shake you. They will make you doubt everything. They will panic you and sell at the worst possible moment. Do you know what happens next? The best players in this game buy when there is fear, not sell; because your panic gives them cheap assets. This is how the game goes: strong hands feed off weak hands. They exaggerate every dip, every correction, every sale. They make it look like the end of the world so that you abandon everything, and when the market starts up again, you'll sit there saying, "What the heck just happened?" This is not an accident. It's a system. The market rewards patience and punishes weak emotions. The big players already know your thoughts. They know exactly when and how to stir fear to make you give up. Because when you panic, they profit. They don't play the market. They play you. That's why most people never succeed. Because they fall into the same traps over and over again. People don't realize that dips, FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt), and panic are all part of the plan. But the winners? They digest the noise. They know that fear is temporary, but smart decisions last forever. We've seen this hundreds of times. They pump the market after you sell. They take your assets, hold them, and sell them to you at the top, leaving you with nothing, wondering how it happened. Don't play their game. Play your own.
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