Bitcoin can exit from triangle and rise to resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. On the chart, we can see that the price entered a downward triangle, where it rebounded from the resistance line and dropped to the resistance level. After that, BTC bounced from the 86500 level, climbed back to the resistance line of the triangle, and then started to decline. Soon, it broke through 86,500 and reached the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. BTC then broke this support and dropped further to the support line of the triangle before reversing and beginning to rise. In a short time, the price reached 81100, broke through it, and made a retest before continuing its upward movement. However, it later corrected back to the buyer zone, then climbed to 85000, and started declining again. Shortly after, the price dropped to the support level and then rebounded to the resistance line of the triangle. Given this price action, I expect BTC to correct toward the support line of the triangle before bouncing back up and breaking out of the pattern. From there, I anticipate further growth toward the 86500 resistance level, which is why I have set my TP at this level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BITCOIN - Price can bounce up to $87K, breaking resistance levelHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Price entered to wedge and at once dropped to support line, breaking two levels, after which it bounced up.
Soon, it broke $80200 level and then tried to grow, but failed and made a correction to $80200 support level.
Later BTC rose to $85400 level and then some time traded near, after which it turned around and corrected to support line.
Then price in a short time rose to resistance line of wedge, breaking the resistance level, but a not long time ago fell back.
Bitcoin broke $85400 level and continued to decline, and in my mind, it can soon reach support line of wedge.
After this movement, I expect that BTC can bounce up to $87000, breaking resistance level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Theory.This is just a theory about CRYPTO:BTCUSD
I think we’re going to see a lot of global economic problems in the near future. THEY will try to preserve THEIR capital with gold and Bitcoin, as the stock market stagnates.
I believe we’re in the BUBBLE RUN, but the key question remains open: “At what stage of the BUBBLE RUN are we?”
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #40👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's delve into the analysis of Bitcoin and important crypto indices. Today, as usual, I aim to review the New York session futures triggers for you.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, the price has pulled back to below the 84734 area again today.
🔽 The short trigger we have for today is the break of 83808. With the break of this area, the price could move downwards.
✅ The important supports are at 82459 and 80105, which we can use as targets.
📈 For a long position, entering at a break of 84734 could be beneficial, with a target at 86876.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Moving on to the Bitcoin dominance analysis, a support was established yesterday at 61.43, creating a price box between 61.43 and 61.63.
💫 To confirm an upward trend in dominance, watch for a break of 61.63, and for a downward trend, a break of 61.43 will serve as a confirmation.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Let’s talk about Total2; this index has broken its support at 1.04, and if Bitcoin also loses its support, it could move down to 1.01 again.
🎲 If you don't have positions open, you might consider looking for altcoins that have not yet lost their support, or wait for Bitcoin.
🔼 For long positions, the trigger for Total2 remains at 1.07.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Lastly, analyzing Tether dominance, it has come back above 5.26, pulled back to this area, and is poised to potentially initiate an upward leg to 5.46.
✔️ The upward dominance trigger for Tether is a break of 5.31. With the break of this area, we can expect dominance to potentially rise again to 5.46.
📉 For downward dominance, a break of 5.26 is a suitable trigger.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin in coming days ...frankly, Bitcoin will reach $89000 in the coming days.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BITCOIN Will this historic level break too?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) remains supported on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which is its main Bull Cycle Support, despite the recent volatility. As mentioned numerous times, in periods of uncertainty it helps you maintain an objective long-term perspective if you zoom out and look on the wider time-frames.
On this 1W chart, we can see that so far all of BTC's Cycle's have followed the same pattern. The Bear Cycle bottoms and the first bounce of the Bull Cycle aims at breaking above the ATH Lower Highs trend-line (blue Arc). It is what we call the 'Growth Channel' that guides the market from its Cycle bottom to break above the ATH Lower Highs and when it does the Parabolic Rally Phase (green Rectangle) starts. The most aggressive part is when the price breaks also above its Growth Channel.
This is the only Resistance level that has yet to be broke on this Cycle. If it does, the market will explode to Targets above $200k that will start putting it to capitalization levels that would require earth shattering catalysts in terms of adoption. A continuation of expansion within the boarders of the Growth Channel however can easily target $150k. Notice that throughout the whole process of the Growth Channel expansion on all Cycles historically, the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) tends to hold and support.
So what do you think will happen this time? Will Bitcoin break above the Growth Channel and offer us another proper Parabolic Rally or will it be a more standard rise within it? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin at Key Resistance – Will Bears Take Control?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise as I expected in the previous posts .
Bitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800) , the upper line of the Ascending Channel , and the Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave C of the main wave Y .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Bitcoin to start declining from the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800) again, the first target could be $83,400 and the second target can be the CME Gap($80,760_$80,380) filling.
Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800) we can expect more pumps.
This analysis is in line with the following analysis that I shared with you on the weekly timeframe. 👇
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Wagyuswap has a big potential - sleeping giant X Velas🚀 WAGYUSWAP x VELAS – THE DEFI EXPLOSION IS HERE! 🔥
Big things are happening, and if you're not watching WagyuSwap, you're missing the next legendary crypto story in the making. Built on the lightning-fast Velas blockchain, Wagyuswap is about to ignite the biggest wave in DeFi history! ⚡
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This isn’t speculation. This is momentum.
This isn’t just hype. It’s a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity.
🌍 As Velas grows, Wagyuswap becomes the gateway.
💎 As announcements drop, holders win big.
🚀 As the world catches on, early believers will be crypto royalty.
Get ready. Stay sharp. WAGYUSWAP is about to melt faces.
BITCOIN - Depth of Correction Update...After identifying an error in the recognition of Wave D, Please be aware that price is likely to continue lower than expected and may find support at the 50% or .618 retracement areas. Trade accordingly and I will post an update later today.
Last pivot high is 84,857
BITCOIN - Wave Count Update For Long Trade Idea...A slight shift in the overall interpretation of this structure.
We're still watching for a break above 93K for confirmation, but for those who trade with leverage, this analysis could provide an edge.
If it plays out as expected, we may see a fairly tight stop.
A decisive move higher is needed soon to confidently validate this setup.
Sell in May, if you're g....ame to miss out.
Bitcoin needs to reach a 60 day cycle high above $90k AND close the next 60 day cycle above ~84k to stand a chance at keeping hopes for a right-translated cycle alive.
Failure to do this will make the previous top of $109k look much stronger as the left-translated cycle top and crush many dreams.
Even if momentum for a right-translated top stays alive through these targets in the 60 day cycle, most people are delusional calling for highs of $169k - $250k, these expectations are baked in and will likely not be reached--too much complacency on these price targets.
If we do see a right-translated cycle top towards November of this year, it's likely the top will be just barely higher than previous ATH and crush many expectations. Many will fail to take profits and will get stuck bag-holding for 4 years.
BTC Breaks Structure - Key Levels to Watch PLUS Trade Idea!Bitcoin has broken structure to the upside on the daily timeframe, confirming a bullish trend 📈. I’m considering a buy opportunity, but only if the key conditions discussed in the video align.
Right now, BTC is in a strong uptrend, with a well-defined higher highs and higher lows structure on the 4-hour timeframe 🔍. In this video, we break down the trend, price action, market structure, and other essential aspects of technical analysis to navigate this setup effectively.
⚠️ Not financial advice.
Secure profits of LONGBTCUSD Chart Analysis (Daily Timeframe)
1. Securing the Last LONG Position
The last LONG position should be secured in profit because:
Price failed to sustain higher levels and is now rejecting resistance.
If the price drops further, it could trigger a deeper correction.
The risk-to-reward ratio shifts once key support levels start failing, making holding a long position less favorable.
Locking in profits prevents giving back gains if price reverses.
2. Why This Is the MAX Risk Point for a New Short
🚨 A new SHORT signal has NOT yet been given, but if it prints, we must wait for the daily close to confirm it.
Key reasons why this is the max risk point:
✅ Price is still within a key decision zone (near support and trendline levels).
✅ If price bounces and holds above current levels, shorts would be trapped.
✅ Shorting prematurely without a confirmed close could result in a fakeout.
✅ Stochastic Indicator is still crossing up, meaning a bounce could occur before confirmation.
3. Short Confirmation & Timing Considerations
📌 If a SHORT signal appears, DO NOT enter immediately. Instead:
Wait for the daily close → Confirms that price sustains bearish momentum.
Watch for key breakdown levels → If price stays below support zones at ~80,000 - 86,000, bearish continuation is likely.
Check volume confirmation → A high-volume breakdown strengthens the short thesis.
Conclusion
⚠️ Right now, we are at a decision point:
If the price holds above current support, another move up is possible.
If a SHORT signal is printed, we still wait for the daily close to confirm.
Max risk for a new short is NOW, because shorting too early without confirmation could lead to a reversal.
💡 Patience is key—wait for the right signal before entering! 🚀
Current Price Context
BTCUSD is trading at ~$84,380, showing a -2.81% daily decline.
Price recently failed to break above key resistance (~86,000–88,000 zone).
Volume is slightly increasing on the downside, indicating some seller momentum.
The Stochastic RSI is still crossing up, meaning there is a chance for a bounce, but it is approaching a critical zone.
Most Probable Next Scenario (Scale of 1-10)
🔴 Bearish Breakdown: 7.5/10
🟢 Bullish Bounce: 2.5/10
**Bearish Breakdown (Most Likely) – 7.5/10
If price closes below ~$84,000, this will confirm a breakdown of key intraday support.
Next major support zones:
$80,000 (psychological and technical support)
$73,000 – $72,000 (strong demand & historical support)
$65,400 (worst-case bearish scenario in the near term)
Key Reasons for Bearish Bias:
✅ Failure to hold higher levels → Bears are in control.
✅ Trendline resistance rejection → Price rejected a major downtrend.
✅ Bearish order flow on volume → Sellers are stepping in.
✅ No new long confirmations → Momentum fading.
✅ Potential lower high structure forming → Could lead to further downside.
📌 If the daily closes red and under support (~84,000), a move towards 80,000 is highly probable.
**Bullish Bounce (Less Likely) – 2.5/10
If BTCUSD manages to reclaim ~$86,000 and sustain, bulls could attempt another push.
Resistance levels to watch:
$86,000 → Short-term reclaim level.
$88,000 - $92,000 → Key breakout zone.
$99,800 - $107,000 → Longer-term bullish targets.
What Would Change the Bias to Bullish?
❌ Price MUST reclaim $86,000+ with high volume.
❌ A strong daily close above $88,000 would confirm bullish continuation.
❌ Short squeeze event leading to a big move up.
📌 Until these conditions are met, the bullish scenario remains unlikely.
Final Thoughts
Bearish breakdown is more likely (7.5/10 probability).
If BTC closes today under $84,000, expect a move to $80,000-$73,000.
A bullish reversal is unlikely unless BTC reclaims $86,000+ convincingly.
No new SHORT signal has printed yet, but if it does, wait for the daily close to confirm.
📢 Trading Plan:
1️⃣ If price breaks down below $84,000 and closes red, SHORT confirmations are strong.
2️⃣ If BTCUSD holds $84,000 and reclaims $86,000, potential bounce.
3️⃣ Wait for daily close confirmation before making high-risk trades.
🚀 Most probable next move: More downside towards $80,000 unless bulls reclaim key resistance.
Key Factors That Could Trigger a Drop Below $70K
🔴 1. Major Support Breakdown ($80K → $72K → FWB:65K )
If $80,000 fails, BTC is likely to retest $72K– FWB:73K , a historically strong support level.
If $72K fails, the next major demand zone is $65,400.
Below $65,000, panic could set in, leading to a cascade of liquidations.
📉 Critical Breakdown Levels Below $70K:
$72,000–$73,000 (historical demand, strong support)
$65,400 (deep correction support)
$55,000–$58,000 (absolute worst-case scenario in a full-blown market panic)
🔴 2. Leverage Wipeout & Liquidation Cascade
BTC is heavily leveraged. A sharp drop below $80K–$72K could trigger mass liquidations, accelerating the decline.
Whales may intentionally push price below key liquidation levels to wipe out overleveraged longs before rebuying lower.
🔴 3. Macro & Sentiment Shifts
If stocks crash, inflation fears rise, or interest rates stay high, BTC could suffer from risk-off sentiment.
If major institutions or miners start selling, BTC could dip below $70K temporarily before stabilizing.
Probability of a Drop Below $70K?
Short-term (1-2 weeks): 3.5/10 (Unlikely but possible if BTC fails $72K).
Medium-term (1-2 months): 5.5/10 (More likely if macro conditions worsen).
Black Swan Event: 8/10 (If panic liquidations hit, BTC could momentarily dip to FWB:65K or even $58K).
Bottom Line:
⚠️ BTC remains at risk for deeper corrections.
✅ Below $80K, expect increased volatility & potential $72K retest.
✅ If BTC loses $72K, sub-$70K becomes a real possibility.
✅ Only a major liquidation cascade would push BTC towards FWB:65K –$58K.
🚨 If price action weakens, be prepared for rapid downside acceleration!
BITCOIN approaching the critical 1day MA50 test.Bitcoin / BTCUSD has found the support it desperately needed on the 1week MA50 and rebounded.
Now it faces the most important Resistance of its Cycle, the 1day MA50.
Every time this broke in the last 2 years, the market started a strong rally.
Buy and target 140000, which would be just under the Pi Cycle Top.
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BTCUSD: Staying bullish with this breakthrough analysis.Bitcoin remains marginally neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.889, MACD = -2304.900, ADX = 28.298) as it erased yesterday's Fed gains. Nevertheless, this doesn't make us lose sight of the bigger picture. On this 1M chart, we have selected all Decembers, as they hold critical importance for BTC Cycles. Both bottoms and tops tend to be priced around them and in between two consolidation phases take place. Don't let the short term volatility cloud your long term perspective. This Cycle hasn't topped yet. Stay bullish.
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BTC ~ MACRO Bounce ZoneBTC has been holding the 80K zone well, but from the macro perspective the bearish cycle should be starting soon.
This is due to simple logic (after such a dramatic ATH) as well as the Wyckoff Method.
Unless we can reclaim 90K, it's likely that this will be the third touch on the parabolic curve - which is usually when the bearish cycle starts.
Previously, BTC retraced and bounced one Fib higher than the price at the start of the bullish cycle. This puts us roughly at 28k, as well as at the neckline of the previous resistance zone before the new ATH:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
A Litecoin Swing TradeMarkets have been understandably battered over the last weeks. Current conditions are why I've generally been cautious about trading, and not getting married to long positions. As I explained in my last Litecoin analysis, things are precarious. The good thing is, I got out of my trades with a little bit of profit and no losses. The bad thing is, entering long right now is a bit scary. We cannot predict economic conditions. Instead, we can use sentiment. Sentiment for altcoins is totally in the gutter right now. Based on this alone, a bounce makes sense.
On the weekly chart, Litecoin is (so far) holding the 50 and 100 moving averages, while it broke below the 200. To look bullish on bigger timeframes, price needs to at least stabilize here and begin slowly moving up to allow the MA structure to bullishly support price (a weekly golden cross would be a start).
This play is simple - buying at support here between $86-94 and selling at resistance, near $106-107 (conservatively). If price makes it back up there, I will observe conditions to determine whether an additional leg up seems likely. If price is rejected heavily up there, it could point to another leg down. I'm also watching whether Bitcoin can break back above its 50 and 100 day moving averages. Litecoin is unlikely to have any explosive ATH moves if Bitcoin cannot at least get back above $90K and stay there for a while, I think.
On the downside, taking out the $80 level would set up price to fall back towards $50-66, and it may take a long while to recover. I may stop myself out if that happens and aim to rebuy near $66.
Litecoin has experienced steady (though not explosive) growth. This seems somewhat attractive to me when it comes to crypto. While I wouldn't be surprised to see this entire market fade in the future and be forgotten as an investment, this one at least sees some steady user growth.
This post is to show that even though I remain largely bearish on crypto, I am open to trading opportunities that present themselves, even if they are narrow in scope and focus on one cryptocurrency.
This is not meant as financial advice, but for speculation and entertainment only!
Thanks for reading :)
-Victor Cobra
$DOGE - Bear Trap BuyReposting my analysis from 3/8 as it was delisted b/c I referenced a non-TV external account. Also, a disclaimer since I've quickly discovered that people like to chirp and demean ideas on TV:
This is an IDEA. I maintain bull and bear cases for every underlying I analyze. My opinion about an underlying can change exceedingly quickly based on price action and how price's evolution either confirms or violates TREND (I define trend scholastically, NOT inferentially). I also may have 1 directional opinion about a security's higher timeframe and an opposing directional stance about a lower TF. Markets are fractal. Any serious trader/analyst understands what I'm articulating. This business is NOT about predicting. It is about understanding participant psychology, order flow, statistical distribution, risk vs. reward, profit margin, and probabilities.
With that said, here's my post from 3/8:
This is a technical (supply/demand) setup and is not a fundamental endorsement for CRYPTOCAP:DOGE ownership. $DOGE/USD (and crypto more broadly) has declined markedly (~60%) from December '24 highs. Late last month, low-quality daily demand (0.2021-0.1853) produced a minor bounce. DOGE quickly found sellers in advance of the opposing 1D supply zone (0.2428-0.2615), though, and was rejected. DOGE/USD appears poised for further near-term downside, with the weekly RSI threatening the 40 level.
If DOGE/USD presses lower and trades < 0.1813, the next pocket of daily demand = 0.1700-0.1419. More significantly, DOGE has a well-formed weekly buy zone @ 0.1513-0.1280. DOGE/USD's intermediate-term uptrend is controlled by 0.0805 (low of the corrective segment 3/25/24 - 8/5/24). Trend-continuation buying is valid within the bounds of the corrective segment, which DOGE traded into in early Feb. Buys are supported by 78.6% and 88.6% Fibonacci retracement levels and, to a lesser degree, Anchored VWAP + 1W Bollinger Band lower bound (not pictured).
Given crypto's broader price action and bearish momentum, confirmation entries are recommended. Potential buyers, depending on risk tolerance, should reference intraday timeframes for trend reversal signals vs. "catching a falling knife". Should DOGE bottom, preliminary target (T1) would be in advance of weekly supply @ 0.2398-0.2874 (use LTFs to refine and ID smaller sell zones that could challenge a rally). Trading > 0.2874 sets the stage for higher prices, with T2 supply 0.3288-0.3648. If DOGE/crypto approach T2 prices with significant bullish momentum (reference RSI), we could see subsequent prints in excess of December's 0.4846 high.
As always, feedback's welcome. Godspeed!
JHart
Bitcoin ($BTC) - Hoping for a Short-Term RolloverBitcoin bounced from the daily demand (76874.75-74306.67) that was highlighted in my "Bitcoin Uptrend Continuation" post from 5 days ago (see related post below). However, the rubber will now meet the road as BITSTAMP:BTCUSD could break higher or continue lower from current price. The in-play 1D sell zone, which is admittedly doesn't have great structure, is 86267.86-92920.42. Ideally, short-term CRYPTOCAP:BTC momentum, per the RSI, would be weaker than it is, but momentum is still soft per the daily oscillator. I'm not looking to short BTC blindly, but rather am stalking it via LTFs and will execute a confirmation short if evidence of the near-term uptrend (established 3/10) violation/termination materializes. If the intermediate-term downtrend continues, T2 = sub-$70K.
Anyway, just an idea. For those looking for longer-term buying opportunities, a near-term selloff should be viewed as a positive. Futures open in ~5 hours and can always be used to hedge longs if we get a breakdown.
Thanks for reading. Thoughts/feedback appreciated!
Jon
@JHartCharts