Bitcoin Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring BTCUSDT for a selling opportunity around 90000 zone, Bitcoin is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 89000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Bitcoin can rebound from triangle pattern to 90K pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Not long ago, the price was trading within a range, where it quickly entered the seller zone and remained near this area for quite some time. BTC attempted to rise but failed, and after nearly reaching the upper boundary of the range, it dropped sharply. The price broke through the 94000 level, exiting the range as well, and then fell to the support level, which aligned with the buyer zone. Shortly after, the price made a strong upward impulse toward the resistance level before starting a decline within a downward triangle. Inside this pattern, BTC initially made a correction, climbed back to the resistance line of the triangle, and then resumed its decline. Eventually, the price dropped to the 78900 support level, where it touched the triangle’s support line and then began to rise. At the moment, BTC continues to climb near this level, and I expect it to rebound from the support line of the triangle and break above the resistance, signaling an exit from the pattern. If this happens, I anticipate further growth, so my target is set at 90000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin Rebounds with Dovish FOMC, Preparing to Test TrendlineBitcoin has broken out of the ascending triangle and is starting to regain some lost ground. While the medium-term trend remains downward, if BTC holds above the upper boundary of the triangle (around 85K), another leg higher with a potential target between 90K and 91K becomes more likely, depending on the pace of the move.
Supporting the bullish case are factors such as the Ripple case drop, a slightly dovish FOMC, and rumors of new crypto-related actions from Trump.
However, if Bitcoin falls back below the 85K level today, the next key support to watch is around 82,500. A move down to this level alone wouldn't completely negate the bullish outlookfor short term. But if Bitcoin also breaks below the lower boundary of the former triangle too, it would significantly increase bearish pressure.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #39👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's delve into the Bitcoin and key crypto indexes analysis. As usual, I want to review the New York session futures triggers for you.
⏳ 1-hour timeframe
As you can see in the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin broke the 84734 resistance yesterday and the price moved upwards. We had some triggers before breaking this area, which I hope you opened positions with and made some profits.
✅ Currently, the price has reached the 86876 area, got rejected, and has returned to 84734. Given the low volume of the red candles, we can consider this movement a correction and a ranging box might form between 84734 and 86876.
⚡️ For today, the best long trigger is breaking 86876, which the price has already hit once. If it can break this area in subsequent contacts, we can enter a position.
🔽 For short positions, the first trigger is the break of 84734, but it’s a risky trigger and I prefer to wait until the price makes a significant trend change before entering a position.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Moving on to the Bitcoin dominance analysis, yesterday, as Bitcoin's price increased, dominance broke through 61.49 and moved downward, which helped altcoins move higher.
💫 However, as dominance reached 61.08, the market momentum completely changed, and dominance returned above 61.49. Now, after the trend line break, with the break of 61.63, we can confirm a fake breakout.
🧩 For dominance to move downward, the break of 61.49 is still appropriate, and a break of this area can still confirm a downward trend in dominance.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Moving on to the Total2 analysis, yesterday’s trigger at 1.04 was activated, and I moved this area to 1.05 today because the price reacted better to it.
⭐ If you had opened a position with the break of 1.04, you could have made a good profit as the price reached 1.07.
🔑 Currently, the price is ranging between 1.05 and 1.07, and you can open positions if any of these areas break.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Finally, looking at the Tether dominance, the chart is very similar to Total2 but in reverse.
✨ A break of 5.26 confirms an upward trend, and a break of 5.13 confirms a downward trend in dominance.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
90-91K seems interesting for short sellingMorning folks,
So, our worryings were not in vain - we've got action to 88-89K area. Now our 4H "222" Sell is completed.
At the same time, now we have the bigger one on a daily chart. Since 90-91K is a rather strong resistance area, we suggest that attempt to sell there should be relatively safe, once the upside AB=CD target around 90.5K will be completed.
So, I mark this idea as "bearish" although price could raise a bit more.
BITCOIN The Ultimate Cycle Model calls for $160k!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is rebounding following yesterday's Fed Rate Decision. Technically the rebound has already started 10 days ago after the market nearly bottomed on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line). This is the strongest long-term Support level, as it is where BTC priced Lows and rebounded on August 05 2024 and September 11 2023, but it is not the only one.
With the current 2023 - 2025 Bull Cycle pattern being a Channel Up, this is the absolute and ultimate model that has been guiding the price action and can help estimate any future moves. Given that, it's also the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level that supported both Lows (as well as the current one) on the 1W MA50 mentioned above. As a result, we are so far on a double Support cluster.
The 1W RSI comes in as the 3rd Support, as it hit and is rebounding now on its 2-year Support level, where the bounces of September 07 2024 and September 11 2023 happened. It is also important to mention that the Channel Up can be divided into two phases, Phase 1 (green Channel Up), which traded within the 0.0 - 1.0 Fibonacci range and Phase 2 (blue Channel Up), which trades within the 0.5 - 1.5 Fibonacci range.
The symmetry within those patterns are so high that the two Bullish Legs of Phase one have both rallied by +100.64%. If Phase 2 follows the same dynamic, and there is no reason to assume it won't as the Bearish Legs have been almost identical, we can assume that the Bullish Leg that has just started will rise by +121.48%, same as the previous one (Aug - Dec 2024). That gives us a Target estimate of $160000.
So do you think that BTC has bottomed on this Triple Support Cluster and if so, can it reach $160k by the end of this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Bullish Breakout in Progress📈 Chart Pattern:
Bitcoin has been trading inside a descending channel for several weeks. Recently, BTC has broken out of the channel’s upper boundary, indicating a potential shift in momentum.
🔹 Key Levels:
Support: $80,043.75 (Critical stop-loss level)
Resistance: $87,500 (Short-term)
Target: $92,944.17 (Upside projection)
📊 Trading Plan:
BTC might retest the breakout zone before continuing the upward move.
A confirmed higher low formation could signal strong bullish momentum.
If BTC remains above $85,500, further upside toward $92,944.17 is possible.
⚠️ Risk Management:
If BTC drops below $80,043.75, the bullish setup could become invalid.
Traders should wait for confirmation before entering long positions.
💡 Conclusion:
This breakout could lead to a strong uptrend, but traders should watch for a successful retest before making a move. 🚀🔍
BTCUSD | Rising Wedge Breakdown – Bearish SetupChart Overview:
This chart represents Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe and showcases a Rising Wedge pattern. The price action has reached a key resistance level, and a potential breakdown scenario is unfolding.
1️⃣ Pattern Identification: Rising Wedge Formation
A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price moves within two converging upward-sloping trendlines. The narrowing price range indicates a weakening trend, and a breakdown usually leads to a significant price drop.
Upper Trendline (Resistance): Marked in blue, this trendline connects the higher highs.
Lower Trendline (Support): Also in blue, connecting the higher lows.
Breakdown Confirmation: The price has already moved below the wedge support, confirming the bearish bias.
2️⃣ Key Price Levels & Zones
🔹 Resistance Zone (Blue Box)
This strong resistance level has repeatedly rejected the price.
The final rejection led to a breakout failure and potential trend reversal.
🔹 Support Zone (Blue Box)
A strong demand zone, but a breakdown below it triggers a bearish trend.
This level is now acting as potential resistance after the breakdown.
🔹 ATH (All-Time High) – $87,566
This marks the highest price level reached in the given timeframe.
3️⃣ Market Structure Breakdown
🔻 Bearish Momentum & Breakdown
After touching the resistance, BTC failed to sustain upward movement.
A breakout of the wedge's lower trendline confirms a trend reversal.
Price action suggests a lower-high, lower-low structure, indicating a bearish market shift.
📉 Expected Price Movement (Wave Structure)
The breakout retest could result in a small pullback to previous support (now resistance).
After confirmation, price is likely to continue downward in a wave-like structure.
Fibonacci levels or key support zones will act as profit-taking targets.
4️⃣ Trade Setup & Targets
🔻 Short Setup (Bearish Trade Idea)
Entry: On a successful retest of the broken support zone.
Stop-Loss (SL): Above the previous resistance zone for risk management.
Take Profit (TP) Targets:
TP 1: $81,638
TP 2: $77,897
Final Target: $74,990
5️⃣ Summary & Conclusion
📌 BTC/USD has broken out of a Rising Wedge pattern, confirming a bearish trend.
📌 A pullback and retest may occur before further downside continuation.
📌 The chart suggests a short opportunity, targeting lower support zones for potential profit-taking.
📌 Traders should manage risk with a well-placed stop-loss above key resistance.
This setup aligns with technical analysis principles, confirming a high-probability short trade for BTC. 🚀
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Bullish Reversal Confirmed?!
Bitcoin turned bullish after the yesterday's FOMC.
The price broke and closed above a significant daily resistance.
I see a confirmed bullish reversal pattern now:
a cup & handle with a broken horizontal neckline.
I think that the market will continue growing and reach at least 90500 level soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
BITCOIN - Long Trade Idea - Possible Move Higher Incoming...This video follows up on the chart I posted last night, where I suggested that Bitcoin could break past its all-time highs and potentially double in value from its current levels.
This analysis is based on the AriasWave methodology, which offers a clearer perspective compared to the often-confusing Elliott Wave approach.
Check out the related idea below for the original chart, and in this video, I update that analysis with key levels to watch and potential risks to consider.
Squawk! Bitcoin Longer, Larger, and Exponentially Growing Cycle!Squawk! Bitcoin Longer, Larger, and Exponentially Growing Cycle!
Bitcoins market cycle is expanding, lasting longer than most anticipate! As price channels widen over time, the scale of each move grows exponentially, extending both the peaks and the troughs! It’s Squawktasticly bigger!
BTC on it's way up to the ATH, in about 50 or so days.I'm publishing this idea mostly for feedback. I am fairly new to trading, TA & price action. I've just begun to study Smart Money Concepts and am looking to see if it applies to crypto pairs. All constructive criticism is more than welcomed. Thank you!
Volatility Period: Around March 22-25
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
I think it always falls less than expected and rises more than expected.
Therefore, trades should always be done in split trades.
This volatility period is expected to last from March 21st to 26th.
Therefore, the key is whether it can break out of the downtrend channel and maintain the price after this volatility period.
In order to do that, it is important to see if it can be supported near the Fibonacci ratio range of 2.618 (87814.27) ~ 1.618 (89050.0).
If it breaks out of the downtrend channel and falls, if it does not fall below the downtrend line, it is expected to rise.
In other words, we need to check if it is supported near the Fibonacci ratio point of 2.24 (83646.12).
If not, if it falls, it is expected to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
In other words, it is expected to touch near 73499.86.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
The Fed Cuts Balance Sheet Runoff by 80% - BULLISH!RISK-ON 🚨
I’m seeing so many people incorrectly analyzing the September 2019 emergency repo OMOs, which were short-term liquidity injections from the Fed, and then comparing it to the price of BTC going down, before QE officially started in March 2020 because of the pandemic.
Here’s what really happened.
September 15, 2019 was a tax deadline, pulling ~$100B out of markets as large corporations paid the IRS and funds flew into the TGA.
Meanwhile, the Treasury issued new T-Bills to rebuild cash reserves following the post-debt ceiling resolution in August, draining another $50-100B as big banks and institutions absorbed the securities.
During this time, the Fed continued reducing its balance sheet (QT) down to $3.76T, but the balance sheet did not leave enough slack for unexpected cash drains to the system, such as corporate taxes and Treasury issuance.
Unfortunately, the Fed was flying blind and did not have a hard number estimate for “ample reserves” in the banking system.
These reserves were largely hoarded by a few of the larger banking institutions due to Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) rules and a higher IOER at 2.1% vs the ON RRP rate of 1.7% - a 40 bp spread.
This caused a liquidity crisis in the US repo market because bank reserves held at the Fed ($1.36T) were too low and repo lending dried up. Banks weren’t able to access each other’s reserves to fund daily operations.
SOUND FAMILIAR !?
The US just resolved its CR to avoid a government shutdown, and they will be refilling the TGA by issuing new T-Bills. The reverse repo facility is also nearly drained.
Today, we heard the Fed will be reducing its securities runoff from $25B - SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B on April 1st, an 80% adjustment.
One of the main drivers is they wanted to get ahead of another 2019-style repo crisis (although they won’t say this), rather than being reactive and having to perform emergency OMOs once again.
Now to go back to my original point with people saying the Fed reducing its balance sheet runoff is a big nothingburger based on BTC price action in 2019.
BTC dumped because of the repo crisis, NOT because markets needed QE.
By early 2020, the liquidity crisis was resolved, and BTC pumped ~45% before the pandemic hit in March and nuked the chart.
Proof is in the pudding - just look at the 2017 bull market.
QT started in October 2017, and the market ripped until early 2018.
The Fed reducing its balance sheet runoff by 80% is definitely a signal of risk-on for educated market participants, as it leaves more reserves in the financial system, which gives banks more liquidity to loan the market.
i.e. M2 go up.
But keep listening to your favorite large accounts who are all of a sudden macro gurus, what do I know 🤓
#BTC #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #LONG #Scalp #Scalping #Eddy#BTC #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #LONG #Scalp #Scalping #Eddy
BTCUSDT.P Scalping Long Setup
Important areas of the upper time frame for scalping are identified and named.
This setup is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style.
Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this scalping setup to enter the trade.
Don't forget risk and capital management.
The entry point, take profit point, and stop loss point are indicated on the chart along with their amounts.
The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for not observing your risk and capital management.
Be successful and profitable.
Bitcoin still in downtrend.... When choch?CRYPTOCAP:BTC is still playing games. The price is still in a downtrend while currently running to resistance. The ultimate confirmation of reversal is a choch follow-through led by a bullish divergence. It may be in the works but I want more evidence.
Full TA: Link in the Bio
MSTR: Is 300 Enough?MicroStrategy is seeing tremendous strength off the lows along with the rest of the crypto space. We are eyeing this 300 level to see if it offers a proper buy zone to coincide with Bitcoin 85,000 which has also seen tremendous outperformance relative to equities. Watch the overhead trendline drawn here as well as Bitcoin 90,000 for profit takes or continuations. We will decide which if and when we get there.
BTC ANALYSIS🚀#BTC Analysis :
🔮As we can see in the chart of #BTC that there is a crucial support and resistance zone. Now trading at a crucial resistance zone. We could expect a bullish move from this level
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #BTC price action. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#BTC #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
BUBBLE RUN of global marketsTheory! I just like to visualize similar global market events.
NASDAQ:NVDA now vs. Cisco from 1991-2002 — it looks almost identical.
The years 2026-27 could mark the final stage of the current “bubble run”:
> an enormous number of crypto ETFs (even for worthless shitcoins)
> overleveraged funds, from small players to industry leaders
> AI projects with minimal revenue but insanely high infrastructure costs
> soaring Gold prices alongside a decade-long decline in the U.S. manufacturing index, all while the stock market remains expensive
> OpenAI, crypto exchanges, and AI companies with no real revenue planning IPOs in 2026+
I believe we are currently in a Bubble Run!
This could be great for Bitcoin, because historically, Gold (over the past 100 years) has reached all-time highs during the final phase of a stock market bubble and continued rising until the market’s final dip. Then, smart money starts a new bull cycle — selling gold to buy cheap stocks.