Get ready for ALT-SEASON!We got confirmation on breaking uptrend channel downwards in last few weeks and we all know what that means. More CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D goes down better for alt-coins. 47-51% is the range I am looking for. There are few alt-coins haven't made major moves in last year, I will post about it soon. Keep posted!
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
ADA on high time frame
"Regarding ADA on the high timeframe, the chart indicates that recent candle formations and analysis suggest that the price has swept liquidity and is poised for an upward movement. Depending on your strategy as a holder or trader, consider buying in anticipation of higher prices."
ARWEAVE ($AR) Chart Analysis : A massive Weekly Bull FlagA massive Weekly Bull Flag, characterized by a strong initial rally followed by a consolidation phase within parallel downward-sloping trendlines.
Bull Flag Breakdown
1. Flagpole:
The sharp rally preceding the consolidation forms the "flagpole." This demonstrates strong bullish momentum.
2. Consolidation (Flag):
The price appears to be consolidating within the parallel downward-sloping channel. This often signals a pause in the market rather than a reversal.
Consolidation within a previous support zone (as highlighted in the green area) strengthens the bullish case.
3. Volume:
Ideally, in a bull flag, volume decreases during the consolidation and increases upon breakout. It’s worth monitoring this behavior.
4. Indicators:
The MACD looks to be flattening, suggesting that bearish momentum may be waning. A bullish crossover could confirm upward momentum.
The Stochastic RSI shows oversold conditions, which might indicate a potential reversal to the upside if confirmed by price action.
Targets Based on the Flag Structure
1. Breakout Target:
If this bull flag confirms with a breakout, the target is usually measured by adding the length of the flagpole to the breakout point.
The potential target could aim for the $40-$50 range, depending on where the breakout occurs.
2. Invalidation Level:
A breakdown below the support zone (~$13-$15) would invalidate the bull flag structure and could signal further downside.
Key Levels to Watch
1. Resistance:
The upper trendline of the channel is the key resistance. A breakout above it with strong volume would confirm the bull flag.
2. Support:
The lower trendline and the support zone (~$13-$15) need to hold for the bull flag structure to remain intact.
Potential Triggers
1. Macro Events:
Bull flags often play out during periods of improving market sentiment or bullish catalysts, watch for President Trumps inauguration on Jan 20, 2025.
2. Bitcoin’s Movement:
Arweave (AR) and altcoins tend to follow Bitcoin's price action. A Bitcoin rally could push AR out of consolidation.
Bitcoin Update: Head and Shoulders Pattern Points to $75kThe Head and Shoulders pattern has now formed on the one day chart, and Bitcoin is approaching the neckline. If we break below that neckline, we could see Bitcoin heading down to $75k.
At the same time, Bitcoin is also showing a bearish flag. If this flag breaks to the downside, we could see Bitcoin moving toward $81k as well.
My analysis over the past few weeks has pointed to a target range between $75k and $81k, so I’m keeping a close eye on these levels. Let’s see how things play out over the next few months.
I’ll keep you all updated with any changes. Stay tuned and watch the price action closely. 🚨📊
Like, share, and follow for more insights!
Bitcoin is gearing up to drop to $50-$55K.Bitcoin is gearing up to drop to $50-$55K:
Hey everyone!
As you’ve probably noticed, this week altcoins and meme markets have been falling aggressively, including names from Murad's list like $SPX.
➖ The broader market also shows signs of a downturn. If you check monthly charts for the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and other indices, they’re aligning for a drop.
➖ The catalyst could be anything—from the wildfires in California to a potential strike by Iran on Israel.
Take note of the prepared orders on Coinbase targeting $50-$55K.
➖ Binance’s BTC/USDT Liquidation Heatmap over the past 6 months (Model 3 from CoinGlass) also highlights liquidation interest in this area.
When you put all the pieces together, the odds favor a drop. Market makers would likely want to shake out recent buyers of altcoins, meme coins, etc., before any significant rally.
Avoid leverage or futures trading—it’s the easiest way to lose your deposit in this environment.
No Financial Advice, Do Your Own Research.
Did Bitcoin top? Greetings, traders! Welcome to this BINANCE:BTCUSD market analysis, where we focus on identifying higher-probability trading opportunities.
In this video, I analyze the current narrative, highlight key trading zones, and discuss the confirmations we look for to optimize our swing entries.
If you like the breakdown, boost the idea and follow to receive more ideas.
Trade safely
Trader Leo
HelenP. I Bitcoin can correct to trend line and then rebound upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. In this chart, we can see how the price rose to the trend line and then turned around and dropped to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. After this, the price tried to grow but failed and broke the 101000 level and continued to fall to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and when BTC reached this level, it at once rebounded up. Then price turned around and made a correction movement to the support level, after which repeated movement up to almost the resistance level. Next, Bitcoin made a correction to the 93200 support level again and even entered to support zone, but soon turned around and rebounded up to the trend line. When the price reached this line, it broke it and made a retest, after which continued to grow to a resistance zone. So, when BTC entered to resistance area, it turned around and at once dropped to the trend line, breaking the resistance level one more time. Just now, the price trades near the support level and I expect that BTCUSDT will correct to the trend line and then start to grow. For this case, I set my goal at 97000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTC | FRACTAL | Multi Month to Higher High?BTC has been full of surprises - but I'm not complaining.
Initially, I was following a strict Elliot Wave Theory pattern, which played out extremely well - until the price shot out above the target.
I then re-adjusted the target to just under or just over 100k, which hit shortly after. The most interesting part though, is actually Ethereum. The fact that ETH has not yet made a new ATH after the dramatic BTC high, likely tells us the bull cycle is far form over.
I've been making a few updates on ETH and Altseason, and how you use the BTC.D chart, the BTC chart and the TOTAL# together to get a clear indication of where we are at in the cycle.
I've done MANY updates using this chart, because it is such a powerful combo to use. The fact remains - we have not yet seen a new ETH ath. This raises flags (and in the best possible way) indicating that the bullish cycle is not yet over.
_____________________________________
BYBIT:BTCUSDT COINBASE:ETHUSD
CAUTION: BTC may drop and will have some news to facilitate thatWhat if I tell you Price may reach 75k range before continuing bull trend.
I have been posting ideas since mid Dec 24 cautioning everyone and wait for confirmation before Yoloing (Check my other ideas). Don't get caught in influencers game.
on Daily TF, I am seeing H&S pattern and weakness in market to break structure for a month.
We may see BTC price touching 200 daily MA. This will invalidate if daily close above 108.5k.
I am not bearish, its just temporary pullback.
Even if you miss small rally to wait for confirmation, that's fine. you are reducing your risk.
Next Volatility Period:Around January 23rd - Around January 30th
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
There are 3 major rising channels.
The key is whether there is support at the HA-High indicator point of 94742.35.
-
(1D chart)
Since a short-term downward channel has been formed, the point to watch is whether it breaks out of this short-term downward channel.
The key is whether it can rise with support at the important support and resistance zone (93576.0-94742.35).
If it falls below the BW(0) indicator, it is likely to fall to around 87.8K-89K.
In order to turn into a short-term uptrend, it must rise above 97461.86 and maintain the price.
Since the slope of the StochRSI indicator is changing, we can see that support is important around 93576.0-94742.35.
Since the BW and DOM indicators are below 0, we can see that the decline is strong.
This volatility period is until January 11.
Because all indicators are showing a decline, caution is required when trading.
It is recommended not to conduct new transactions during the volatility period if possible.
The reason is that there is a high possibility that the movement will be different from the direction you thought.
-
The next volatility period is around January 23-30.
Therefore, the point of observation is which direction the price can be maintained by moving away from the important support and resistance range (93576.0-94742.35) after this volatility period.
-
If the BW(100) indicator is created and falls and meets the BW(0) indicator, the wave can be considered closed.
Therefore, if it receives support from the BW(0) indicator and rises, it will meet the BW(100) indicator again and close the wave.
If the HA-High indicator is created and falls, it will meet the HA-Low indicator and close the wave.
Since it is currently experiencing resistance near the HA-High indicator and falling, if it fails to rise above the HA-High indicator, it will eventually meet the HA-Low indicator.
The four circle sections marked on the chart correspond to the support and resistance sections.
Therefore, it is expected that a trend will be formed when it breaks out of these four circle sections.
Therefore, it is expected that the future trend will be determined depending on which direction it breaks out of the 87.8K ~ 106133.74 section.
If the OBV indicator does not fall below the Lowest, BTC is likely to maintain its current upward trend or move sideways.
It is easier to interpret the trading volume with the OBV indicator than to interpret the distribution of trading volume.
It should be noted that the rise and fall of OBV does not necessarily lead to a rise and fall in price.
To overcome this, we made it easier to observe by displaying the Highest and Lowest to determine whether the latest high or low is broken.
It is difficult to interpret the indicator as a single indicator.
Therefore, we created the BW indicator or the DOM indicator to supplement this.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been in an upward trend since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support or resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to generate Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
$BTC - Every shallow bounce is purely manipulationAfter hours of aggressive selling, it seems like every shallow bounce is just manipulated (bounce then fade!), yet the price is still holding up 92k.
If we can manage to keep this level, there's a good chance we might retest the supply zone 97.3k-98.7k to form a lower high.
Any rejection at the supply zone, I think sweeping those local lows of 88k-86k is imminent. I wouldn't expect us to drop below 85k just yet (we'll save that for later), so let's see how 88k-86k reacts.
Sometimes the simplest trade is the best trade | BTC $97K NEXT
CRYPTOCAP:BTC has formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern on the hourly chart, indicating weakening selling momentum. We've also seen a local higher high, suggesting the dip may be over.
Despite bearish news such as unconfirmed rumors about government sales and concerns over jobs and interest rates, the price is still recovering. This suggests that higher highs are likely ahead.
However, be cautious of weekend trading with lower volume, though I don't believe it will significantly impact the overall trend.
I know what's NEXT for Bitcoin!I recently shared two thoughts on Bitcoin price action to come..
In one of them I call for a retrace to 85K or lower, in the other I call for a new ATH. I know this might be a bit confusing so let's shed some more light on it.
Here you see BTC on the 1W Timeframe. I am using the Dynamic Fib Retracement indicator to do some trend analysis based on Fibonacci.
The blue colored zone/band is the golden pocket as calculated by the indicator from pivot highs/lows within a certain lookback range. The lines are the 0.236 (Preliminary), 0.382 (Secondary) and 0.5 (Median) Fibonacci retracement lines calculated in the same way. The purple line is the 1.618 retracement line (aka the ''Target Line'').
Now you understand this I can explain my thought process:
Scenario A (Bullish)
If price can manage to get back above the blue preliminary fib line and hold that range (around $98,550), I am convinced we see a new ATH for Bitcoin. The purple target line suggests the target for that would be around $117,000+ USD per BTC.
Scenario B (Bearish)
If price cannot get back above the blue preliminary fib line and finds resistance in that range around $98,550, I am convinced we see a bigger retracement for Bitcoin. The blue zone/band suggests the target for that would be around 80-83K USD per BTC as of right now, but this golden pocket band will slightly adjust higher so lets say $85,000 per Bitcoin.
Do you agree or do you have other ideas? Let me know!
BTC.D - Still in the ascending channelCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D remains firmly within its long-standing ascending channel. The recent “fake breakout” below the channel has been invalidated as dominance swiftly returned to the channel, showing a strong reaction and confirming the channel’s validity.
This suggests:
✅ Bullish Implication for BTC: Bitcoin is likely to continue gaining dominance in bullish moves, outpacing altcoins in performance.
✅ Bearish Impact on Altcoins: In downturns, altcoins are expected to experience sharper declines compared to Bitcoin.
Traders should monitor this channel as a key indicator for market behavior, especially for Bitcoin and altcoin strategies.
Bitcoin -> CorrectionBitcoin hit my target 100-120k of last video.
right now I have the 108k it hit as the 5th wave of the move that developed off the $16k bottom and we are looking at a larger correction around the $70k for an A wave.
Looking at the bullish case which is still a decent possibility is that we have hit the C wave or will soon (above 87.5k) and should start moving up again shortly.
if we do get the bullish move, I'm unsure at this moment to say whether we started another big move or it will be moving to another 5th wave top with large correction to follow.
not financial advice
-cryptowaveman
BITCOIN - THE KING OF CRYPTO (TECHNICAL ANALYSIS + TRADE PLAN)Descending Trading Channel:
Bitcoin is currently in a descending trading channel, indicating short-term bearish pressure but within a larger bullish structure.
The breakout above the channel's resistance line signals a potential reversal to an uptrend.
Support Zone:
A strong support zone is marked around the $92,000–$94,000 range, where demand is evident, as indicated by price consolidation.
Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI near 47 suggests the asset is in neutral territory but trending upwards, moving away from oversold conditions.
Stochastic Oscillator:
Bullish crossover near 66 indicates increasing momentum toward an overbought state, confirming the breakout possibility.
Money Flow Index (MFI):
Rising MFI implies capital inflow, supporting the likelihood of upward price movement.
VMC Cipher B Indicator:
Bullish divergences are forming, suggesting a potential trend reversal.
Volume Profile:
While not explicitly shown, the lack of significant volume during the recent decline confirms a corrective phase rather than a bearish trend.
Target Zones:
Initial target post-breakout: $100,000 (psychological resistance).
Secondary target: $108,000–$112,000, where historical resistance might emerge.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy:
Enter once Bitcoin decisively breaks above the descending trading channel resistance with strong volume confirmation.
Support Buy:
Accumulate near $92,000–$94,000 if the price retests the support zone.
Stop-Loss Placement:
Place stop-loss below the $90,000 mark to minimize risk if the breakout fails or support zone does not hold.
Short-Term Target:
Set take-profit at $100,000, just below psychological resistance to ensure execution.
Medium-Term Target:
Partial profit at $108,000 and $112,000 for extended upside.
Risk Management:
Limit exposure to 1-2% of total capital per trade.
Maintain a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:3 to optimize profitability.
Watch for increased volume during breakout confirmation.
Monitor macroeconomic factors and news affecting Bitcoin, as sudden events may invalidate technical setups.
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Intraday Bullish Confirmation?!
Bitcoin looks bullish after a test of a key daily/intraday horizontal support.
The price violated a resistance line of a minor falling channel and formed a local
Change of Character CHoCH.
Chances are high that the price will continue growing.
Goals: 96900 / 100000
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Bitcoin Trajectory for Q1 and Q2 2025Hey everyone, it’s been a while! 👋
Let’s dive straight into the Bitcoin outlook and my vision for the months ahead. 🚀
Key Observations 📊
Patterns : Rounding Top & Bottom.
Rebound Levels:
Alt. 1: $101,000
Alt. 2: $82,000
Moving Averages : EMA50 & EMA188.
Target Area : $135,000+ 🔥
Pro Tip 💡
I'm setting an alert for the EMA188 cross on BTCUSDT to stay ahead of the game.
Stay tuned for more updates and insights! 💬