BTC - Critical Juncture at channel and liquidity levelThe 1-hour chart reveals BTCUSDT navigating crucial price territory, with immediate focus on the 85,000.0 to 88,000.0 range. The market shows subtle but important movements, with current price action hovering near 84,260.1 after testing higher levels.
Key observations from the chart:
The volume profile indicates weakening momentum as price approaches the 88,000 resistance zone. Of particular note is the cluster of activity around 84,260.1 , which now serves as immediate support. The liquidity pockets at both 85,000 and 88,000 create clear reference points for potential breakouts or rejections.
Critical levels to monitor:
Upper resistance sits firmly at 88,000.0 , where previous reactions have occurred. Strong support emerges at 84,260.1 , with additional floors at 82,000.0 and the psychological 80,000.0 level. The 0.76% price change marker suggests some volatility brewing beneath the surface.
Trading considerations focus on two scenarios:
A hold above 84,260.1 could signal strength and potential retest of higher levels. However, failure to maintain this support may trigger moves toward 82,000.0 . The tight 0.04% to 0.02% bands indicate potential compression before the next directional move.
Market structure currently favors cautious optimism, but requires confirmation above 85,000.0 for stronger conviction. The diminishing volume at higher levels suggests some exhaustion, making proper position sizing essential.
Final Note: These price levels represent significant psychological barriers. Traders should watch for volume spikes and candle closes beyond these markers for confirmation. Always employ strict risk management in these potentially volatile conditions.
Disclaimer: Market conditions change rapidly. This analysis represents one interpretation of current price action and should not be considered financial advice.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
bitcoin dips below 60kbitcoin dips below 60k, but we're unfazed.
i see this playing out as we move into the depths of winter,,,
this crypto winter ❄️
why would this happen, you ask?
the answer is simple: a stop-loss raid.
a sharp wave 4 designed to shake out weak hands.
distribution may have already started, hypothetically speaking, but it'll take the rest of the year to unfold.
think of it like the jan 2021 -> april 2021 vibe, only on a slightly higher degree and timeframe.
---
take note of the highlighted wave 2's and wave 4's on my chart.
what i'm illustrating is "the law of alternation," which states:
if wave 2 is flat, wave 4 will be sharp, and vice versa.
all the wave 2's in this cycle have been flats,
so by design, all of our wave 4's are set to be sharps.
this fits neatly into the larger cycle:
sharp retracements triggered by over-leveraged positions,
yet consistently bought up thanks to strong demand.
with each sharp retracement, however, the upward moves become smaller,
as momentum gradually fades.
---
w4 target: below 60k
w5 target: between 150k-200k (conservatively).
---
ps. i have recently shared a much more bullish idea via:
BTC.D - Still in the ascending channelCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D remains firmly within its long-standing ascending channel. The recent “fake breakout” below the channel has been invalidated as dominance swiftly returned to the channel, showing a strong reaction and confirming the channel’s validity.
This suggests:
✅ Bullish Implication for BTC: Bitcoin is likely to continue gaining dominance in bullish moves, outpacing altcoins in performance.
✅ Bearish Impact on Altcoins: In downturns, altcoins are expected to experience sharper declines compared to Bitcoin.
Traders should monitor this channel as a key indicator for market behavior, especially for Bitcoin and altcoin strategies.
14/04/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $86,116.94
Last weeks low: $74,520.92
Midpoint: $80.318.93
Did we truly think it would be easy? As Trump targets China the markets panicked in a huge de-risking event that sent BTC down to $74,500, fully retracing the Us election pump 6 months ago. After a double bottom and a tariff pause for 90 days on those countries that played ball, BTC reclaimed the previous weeks bottom and steadily climbed back toward major resistance at $86,000.
Clearly the focus has primarily been on traditional markets like the SPX & DJI, on the SPX the 1D 200 EMA tagged and as usual gave huge support, this is very often a local bottom and so far that is the case. BTC has very quietly flipped the 4H 200 EMA after the 10th time of trying, staying above the $84,000 level would be a confirmed reclaim if the trend can follow and flip bullish. If that is the case then it would seem the flush we've all been dreading is over, however, if Trump escalates the trade war once again then TA takes a back seat to FA once again.
This week I would like to see strong support at 0.75 line, a wick down to that level and a reclaim of the 4H 200 EMA would give me confidence that BTC can target the $91K mini range top. A loss of the 0.75 line and acceptance below I would then target weekly lows once again for a triple bottom.
Bitcoin Reversal After Fake Bullish Divergencehello guys.
Fake Bullish Divergence:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at the bottom shows a bullish divergence, but the price action invalidated it — signaling a "fake divergence".
This could trap early long positions and fuel further downside.
Broken Trendline Support:
A significant ascending trendline support has been broken, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
The recent bounce back seems corrective rather than impulsive.
Price Projection:
An arrow points downward toward the horizontal support around $69,149, hinting at a possible drop in price.
This level coincides with the intersection of the mid-channel support line and horizontal price structure.
Channel Structure:
The overall chart operates within a large ascending channel.
A revisit of the lower bound of the channel aligns with the projected price target.
-------------------------------------
Conclusion:
Despite the recent rebound, Bitcoin is showing signs of weakness due to a fake bullish RSI divergence and a broken ascending trendline. The technical setup suggests a potential decline toward the $69,000–71,000 support zone before any meaningful recovery can occur. Caution is advised for bullish traders until the price confirms a stronger support or reversal signal.
87-88K seems natural targetMorning folks,
So, our 80-85K trade was nice. Now we think that it is not time for big trades, mostly because many markets, and especially US bonds and dollar are overextended. That's why for a few sessions we're focused on near standing targets.
BTC daily chart shows strong resistance around 87-89K area, which is also might be the neckline of potential reverse H&S. We already talked about this previously.
It is the 2nd reason why it would be better to focus on something close. Thus, on 1H chart setup might be looking like you see on the chart. We hope that 83K support will hold. Otherwise, this trade has no sense, because stop placement below 81K support makes risk/reward ratio unattractive.
Thus, supposedly 87-88K is an upside target. And we hope that BTC will stay above 83K.
BITCOIN's 1D MA50 Flip = GREEN LIGHT for the NEXT BIG PUMP!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) closed Saturday's 1D candle above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in more than 2 months (since February 03)! The 1D MA50 got tested and rejected the price 6 times since then. At the same time, the price marginally broke above the Lower Highs trend-line that started on the January 20 All Time High (ATH).
This is the most powerful short-term bullish combination as it was staged on a Bullish Divergence 1D RSI, which is on Higher Lows against the bearish trend's Lower Lows. Technically such break-outs immediate Target is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which now happens to be just below the $100k mark at $99500. In not such a coincidental fashion, that is he last Resistance level that run through February 05 - 21 before BTC's strong tariff sell-off.
So do you think the 1D MA50 break is the green light for a $99500 rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
GOLDMASTER1| BTCUSDT
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BTC/USDT Analysis Update — April 14th
Yesterday’s BTC analysis played out perfectly from the highlighted Bullish Order Block around $83,297. Price respected this demand zone and started its bullish reversal as anticipated.
Currently, BTC is trading near $84,600, steadily climbing toward the target resistance zone around $87,879. As long as the price holds above the $83,300–$83,000 support range, the bullish scenario remains valid.
The market is showing clear signs of strength on the lower timeframes (1H) with higher lows forming, suggesting continued momentum toward the $87,800–$88,000 resistance area.
Congratulations to those who followed this setup — price is moving smoothly as expected!
GOLDMASTER1---
BTC - Has the market stopped falling?Ive been looking for a bottom at FWB:73K -72k for some time. We saw $74,400 and I'm not sure that was THE low. And now we have begun what looks like a false break out. The price is good, but the wave structure is all wrong. In this would be strong counter wave rally we could see prices to around $98,400. Its time to close the shorts, and open the longs but stay very vigilant as this is not another bull leg that leads to a new high. ( In my opinion) It is a decent opportunity to make some money on the long side, but at the end of this rally, I would be opening shorts again. Ill keep posting as developments occur. Prices above $87,600 are very bullish.
Bullrun is Still Here, $120,000 - $130,000 Soon?The price drop over the last 2 months from $109,000 to $74,000 has made many people think the bull run is over or that the cycle has ended.
But if we look closer, this move appears to be just a correction. The price structure is still forming higher lows and higher highs — a clear sign of a bullish trend.
Will it form another higher low between $77,090 and $73,808?
This is the real question, because it will determine whether the bullish trend is still intact.
If you notice, during the drop from $109,000 to $74,000, the stochastic indicator didn't make a lower low. That suggests the decline wasn't supported by momentum — a positive sign, as it shows buyers still have strength to push the price higher.
From a price action perspective, $88,624 is a key confirmation level. If the price breaks above it, there's a high chance we’ll see a new higher high, surpassing $109,000 and targeting the $120,000–$130,000 range.
This volatility period is expected to last until April 18
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
I looked for cases where HA-Low > M-Signal on the 1W chart > M-Signal on the 1D chart in the entire range, but I could find similar movements, but I couldn't find anything like the current one.
I think it's difficult to understand the current movement.
-
HA-Low and HA-High indicators are paired indicators that show contraction and expansion like Bollinger Bands.
Currently, the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are in a contracted state.
Therefore, if it rises near the HA-Low indicator and maintains the price, it is likely to lead to an attempt to break through the HA-High indicator.
However, since the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are defined and used as indicators that serve as the basis for trading strategies, the most important thing is whether there is support near the HA-Low indicator.
When it rises near the HA-Low indicator and shows support, if the M-Signal of the 1D chart > M-Signal of the 1W chart, that is, if it maintains a proper arrangement, the possibility of an upward trend will increase.
Therefore, what we need to do is check whether there is support near the HA-Low indicator.
-
This volatility period is expected to last from April 13th to 18th.
At this time, the key is whether it can rise near 89294.25 and receive support.
If it touches the 89294.25 point and falls, we should see if the price can be maintained around the Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (83646.12) and rise along the rising trend line (2).
The maximum decline is expected to be around the left Fibonacci ratio 1.618 (76787.43) that the finger is pointing to.
If it fails to rise along the rising trend line (2), it is likely to fail to reverse the trend.
In any case, I think it is highly likely that the uptrend will be restricted because the StochRSI indicator is expected to enter the overbought zone.
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The Fill HA Close 1W-1M indicator is an indicator that displays the Close of the 1W and 1M charts of the Heikin Ashi chart.
This was created for the purpose of identifying the point where an uptrend or downtrend turns from a mid- to long-term perspective.
The HA Close on 1W 1M Mid indicator is an indicator that displays the middle value of the Close of the 1W and 1M charts of the Heikin Ashi chart.
I think you can tell why the HA Close on 1W 1M Mid indicator was added by looking at the price movement.
In other words, it was added because it can act as a support and resistance point.
However, it is recommended that these indicators be used for analyzing charts.
In my chart, the only indicators used to create trading strategies are the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
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(30m chart)
If you bought (LONG) when the HA-Low indicator was created and showed support near it, you would be currently making a profit.
If the HA-Low indicator shows support and the price rises above the Trend Cloud (or M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator and maintains, there is a high possibility that an uptrend will begin.
Then, if it shows resistance near the HA-High indicator and falls below the Trend Cloud (or M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator and maintains the price, there is a high possibility that a downtrend will begin.
Therefore, if you bought near the HA-Low indicator, the first sell period will occur when you meet the HA-High indicator.
This movement will be conducted within the HA-Low ~ HA-High range.
Most of the time, you will trade within the HA-Low ~ HA-High range.
Otherwise, there will be cases where the price falls below the HA-Low indicator or rises above the HA-High indicator and shows a trend.
At this time, you will either gain a bigger profit or incur a bigger loss.
Therefore, it is important to stabilize your psychological state by guarding the first split sell section.
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The body color of the candle indicates the status of the OBV indicator.
That is, dark green means that the OBV is located above the upper line.
Dark red means that the OBV is located below the lower line.
Therefore, when dark green or dark red appears, you can see that there is a high possibility that a change in trend will occur.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio section of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
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Bitcoin Dips, Then Rips – What’s Next? (12H)The Bitcoin correction started right from where we placed the red arrow on the chart, and it appears the pattern is either a diametric or a symmetrical formation.
From the red circle, we expect another correction and drop toward the green zone. Once the price reaches the green zone, we anticipate a bullish move. perhaps even stronger this time!
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this outlook.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin: Anything Goes Inside The Range.Bitcoin has rallied out of my anticipated 76K AREA reversal zone (see my previous week's analysis). I anticipated this move BEFORE all of the news and drama that transpired over the week because I focus on relevant information that came from this chart. As of now, price is fluctuating in the middle of a consolidation. While price is still attractive in terms of the bigger picture for investment, the fact that it is in the middle of a short term consolidation must be strongly considered for day and swing trade strategies. Here's my perspective.
A double bottom (failed low) has been established around the 74 to 76K area. It does NOT matter why, all that matters is the structure is now in place. This is very important for two specific reasons: 1) it is a broader higher low (Wave 4 bottom?) which implies a higher high or at least test of high is more likely to follow. This means test of 109K over the coming months is within reason. 2) Resistance levels have a greater chance of breaking while supports have a greater chance of being maintained. Current prices up into the 90K resistance are attractive for dollar cost averaging while broader risk can be measured by the 76K area low.
As for swing trades, price is fluctuating at a mid point of a consolidation. The range low is around 76K, the high around 88K (see arrow). When it comes to smaller time frame strategies, consolidation mid points are HIGHLY random areas. This is where you either WAIT it out for a support or resistance to be reached before taking a signal OR go with continuation patterns (Trade Scanner Pro great for this). The higher probability scenario would be a minor retrace into the high 70Ks or low 80Ks for a swing trade long. Otherwise WAIT for the 88K to 90K resistance area for short signals which would be EXTREMELY aggressive given the fact Bitcoin is generally bullish.
And day trades strategies have a similar outlook. Being in the middle of the range means smaller time frame supports and resistances within the area 83K to 88K are going to be less reliable or more random until price momentum asserts itself on the bigger picture. Beginners should simply avoid this environment, but if you must participate, the best way to adjust is work on smaller time frames like 5 minute or less and accept the whatever the R:R ratio is for that time frame. Either way do NOT expect BIG moves until price makes its way to one of the outer boundaries of the range. The Trade Scanner Pro quantifies the R:R for your chosen time frame and gives you a much better idea of what to expect.
The illustration on the chart points to a short term rejection of the 88K to 90K area resistance. This can be attractive for those who are willing to accept greater risk and operate on smaller time frames. IF Bitcoin breaks 90K, it can easily squeeze into the 95K area and all it takes is an unexpected news announcement which seems to happen regularly in this environment. NO ONE knows where the market is going, we can only assign probabilities which is why RISK must be assessed and RESPECTED before ANYTHING else.
This game is hard not because traders lack intelligence, it is because MOST participants believe they are consuming information that is relevant, especially if this behavior has been reinforced by random wins. As retail traders we have to operate with a blind fold while a small minority of participants operate with HIGH quality information. Here's a hint: you will not find truly relevant information on public platforms like Twitter, mainstream news, etc., yet people still turn to these sources when they feel the need to be "informed". Everything you NEED is on your chart.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #SHORT & #LONG #Setups #Eddy#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #SHORT & #LONG #Setups #Eddy
BTCUSDT.P Short & Long Setups with Entry Points.
This Setups is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume,ict & Price Action Classic.
Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this short & long setups to enter the trade.
Don't forget risk and capital management.
🔴 Short Entry : 86000 (( Already Activated ))
⚪️ SL : Available on chart
⚫️ TP1 : 75000
⚫️ TP2 : 70000
⚫️ TP3 : 62000
🟢 Long Entry : 61845.8
⚪️ SL : Available on chart
⚫️ TP1 : 250000
⚫️ TP2 : 500000
⚫️ TP3 : 999000
‼️ Futures Trading Suggested Leverages : 3-5-7
The World Let it be Remembered...
Dr. #Eddy Sunshine
4/13/2025
Be successful and profitable.
Please see my previous analysis on Bitcoin and proceed based on the second scenario.
My previous analysis on Bitcoin :
I also invite you to check my analysis on the Total 3 chart and proceed accordingly, and after it happens on the altcoins, enter swing long trades with the necessary confirmations.
My analysis of the Total 3 chart:
👆 Based on the analysis provided on the Total 3 chart, proceed and wait for another bearish lag for the Total 3 chart to reach the specified area. The divergence on the upper timeframe is most likely a market maker trap and the current bullish move is a fake. In my opinion, the main bullish move will begin after another 30-45% correction on altcoins and the Total 3 chart reaching the specified area and the orange POC line.
#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #LONG #SWING #Analysis #Eddy#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #LONG #SWING #Analysis #Eddy
BTCUSDT.P Swing Long Analysis With Entry Points.
This is my possible Scenarios 1&2 analysis of Bitcoin's future trend.
This Analysis is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume,ict & Price Action Classic.
Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this Swing long to enter the trade.
Don't forget risk and capital management.
First Entry point of Scenario 1 already touched.
The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for not observing your risk and capital management.
🗒 Note: The price can go much higher than the first target, and there is a possibility of a 500% pump on this currency. By observing risk and capital management, obtaining the necessary approvals, and saving profits in the targets, you can keep it for the pump.
Spot Investing : ((long 'buy' position)) :
🟢 Entry 1 : 79285.50 (( Scenario 1 Entry point ))
🟢 Entry 2 : 61845.77 (( Scenario 2 Entry point ))
⚪️ SL : Behind the last shadow created.
⚫️ TP1 : 250000
⚫️ TP2 : 500000
⚫️ TP3 : 999000
‼️ Futures Trading Suggested Leverages : 3-5-7
The World Let it be Remembered...
Dr. #Eddy Sunshine
4/4/2025
Be successful and profitable.
My previous analysis of Bitcoin (a view of one of the reasons for my first scenario):
Do you remember my first Bitcoin swing long signal entry & targets?
My first swing long signal was provided on BTC, which was spot pumped by more than 150% and was profitable :
Bitcoin Retests Trend After Bounce from Key SupportThe 72,000–74,000 support zone has managed to hold, preventing Bitcoin from dropping to the lower boundary of the trend channel. The current setup now resembles more of a wedge formation, which increases the probability of a bullish breakout.
That said, the broader trend remains intact, and until a confirmed breakout occurs, bears remain in control. Another test of the 72,000–74,000 support zone is likely. If it holds once more, bullish sentiment could receive a significant boost.
Alternatively, if the trend breaks beforehand, Bitcoin may undergo a correction that retests the trendline at some point, potentially offering a solid buying opportunity.
Over the medium term, I remain bullish on crypto.
Bitcoin Support Confirmed ($120,000 In April, $150,000 In May)Notice the action around the 0.5 Fib. support retracement level, it was pierced/challenged three times, each time with more force and it held on each signal instance. Support is confirmed.
(1) 28-Feb. this support level is challenged on a wick, it holds.
(2) 10 & 11 March, twice, this support level is challenged and again holds.
(3) 6, 7, 8, 9 and 10 April, five times, this supper level is challenged and Bitcoin is now trading higher, safely above.
This 1,2,3 test of support produces a curve and prices start to climb higher. Bitcoin is rising towards $85,000. The low was set at $74,500. Bitcoin is now trading $10,000 above this low. Support has been confirmed.
With support confirmed, we are set to grow long-term.
Keep in mind that this was a long and strong correction. For Bitcoin, the correction reached -32%. For Ethereum, #2, the correction reached +66%. This is huge and should be more than enough. This is good news, after the low is set, up we go.
The action is bullish once a pair trades above support.
» Do you think Bitcoin can hit $120,000 this month?
» What about $150,000 in May?
Leave a comment with your thoughts.
Namaste.
ETH ANALYSIS🔮 #ETH Analysis
🌟🚀 #ETH is trading in an Ascending Triangle Pattern in 1hr timefram and there is a breakdown of the pattern. Ascending trendline works as a resistance line and #ETH is moving towards the ascending trendline. There are 2 scenario in #ETH; either it will again come in the pattern and move upward and it will retest the major support zone first.
🔖 Current Price: $1589
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀
#ETH #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #DYOR
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #60👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I want to review the futures session triggers for New York.
🔍 Yesterday, both of the long triggers I gave were activated, and the price moved upward. Today is also an important day, and we can look for both long and short positions.
⏳ 1-Hour Time Frame
In the 1-hour time frame, as you can see, our long triggers from yesterday — the 83899 and 84572 levels — were activated, and the price moved up to the 85552 zone.
✔️ If the position you opened had a small stop-loss, it likely already hit your target. But if you entered with a wider stop-loss, it probably hasn't reached the target yet, which is reasonable, as your position is longer-term.
⚡️ Now for today, as you can see, the price has broken its ascending trendline and it seems the trendline trigger is getting activated. If a candle closes below the 84382 level, the price is likely to move downward.
📊 The next support the price has is at 82813, and if this level breaks, we can say that the trend has changed and the price might head toward lower lows.
💥 The 50 level on the RSI is also significant, and if the break of 84382 coincides with a break below 50 on the RSI, strong bearish momentum could enter the market.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s look at Bitcoin Dominance. This index is in a range box between 63.23 and 63.80. There’s also a mid-range level at 63.51 — breaking it would give us temporary confirmation of a bullish move in dominance.
🔽 For bearish confirmation, breaking 63.23 would be suitable.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Now onto Total2: this index hasn't fully stabilized below its trendline yet and still shows slightly more bullish momentum compared to Bitcoin.
📉 For a short position, we have a 966 trigger, but it’s quite risky. Personally, I wouldn’t open my main position with this trigger — I’d wait for confirmation using Dow Theory with a lower high and lower low.
🔼 For a long position, the trigger is clear: we can enter if the 980 level breaks.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Let’s check Tether Dominance. This index has made a bearish move and dropped to 5.39.
⭐ The next drop trigger is the same 5.39 level, which is a very good one. For a bullish scenario, we currently need to wait for a new structure to form.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Inversion Fair Value Gaps (IFVGs) - A Deep Dive Trading GuideIntroduction
Inversion Fair Value Gaps (IFVGs) are an advanced price action concept rooted in Smart Money theory. Unlike standard Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), IFVGs consider the idea of price revisiting inefficiencies from an inverse perspective. When price "respects" a previously violated gap from the opposite side, it creates a powerful confluence for entries or exits.
This guide will cover:
- What an IFVG is
- How it differs from traditional FVGs
- Market context for IFVG setups
- How to trade them effectively
- Real chart examples for clarity
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What is an IFVG?
An Inversion Fair Value Gap (IFVG) occurs when price trades through a traditional Fair Value Gap and later returns to that area, but instead of continuing in the original direction, it uses the gap as a support or resistance from the other side.
Standard FVG vs. IFVG:
- FVG: Price creates a gap (imbalance), and we expect a return to the gap for mitigation.
- IFVG: Price violates the FVG, but instead of invalidation, it respects it from the other side.
Example Logic: A bullish FVG is formed -> price trades through it -> later, price revisits the FVG from below and uses it as resistance.
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Structure and Market Context
Understanding structure is key when trading IFVGs. Price must break structure convincingly through a Fair Value Gap. The gap then acts as an inversion zone for future reactions.
Ideal Market Conditions for IFVGs:
1. Market is trending or has recently had a strong impulsive move.
2. A Fair Value Gap is created and violated with displacement .
3. Price retraces back to the FVG from the opposite side .
4. The gap holds as support/resistance, indicating smart money has respected the zone.
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Types of IFVGs
1. Bullish IFVG: Price trades up through a bearish FVG and later uses it as support.
2. Bearish IFVG: Price trades down through a bullish FVG and later uses it as resistance.
Note: The best IFVGs are often aligned with Order Blocks, liquidity levels, or SMT divergences.
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How to Trade IFVGs
1. Identify a clear Fair Value Gap in a trending market.
2. Wait for price to break through the FVG with momentum .
3. Mark the original FVG zone on your chart.
4. Monitor for price to revisit the zone from the other side.
5. Look for reaction + market structure shift on lower timeframes.
6. Enter trade with a clear stop loss just beyond the IFVG.
Entry Confluences:
- SMT divergence
- Order Block inside or near the IFVG
- Breaker Blocks
- Time of day (e.g., NY open)
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Refined Entries & Risk Management
Once the IFVG is identified and price begins to react, refine entries using:
- Lower timeframe market structure shift
- Liquidity sweeps just before tapping the zone
- Candle closures showing rejection
Risk Management Tips:
- Set stop loss just beyond the IFVG opposite wick
- Use partials at 1:2 RR and scale out based on structure
- Don’t chase missed entries—wait for clean setups
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Common Mistakes to Avoid
- Confusing IFVG with invalidated FVGs
- Trading them in low volume or choppy conditions
- Ignoring market context or structure shifts
- Blindly entering on first touch without confirmation
Tip: Let price prove the level—wait for reaction, not prediction.
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Final Thoughts
IFVGs are an advanced but powerful tool when used with precision. They highlight how Smart Money uses inefficiencies in both directions, and when combined with other concepts, they can form sniper-like entries.
Practice finding IFVGs on historical charts. Combine them with SMT divergences, OBs, and market structure, and soon you’ll start seeing the market through Smart Money eyes.
Happy Trading!
What now BTC?This fibonacchi spiral i drew on #bitcoin chart based on nikkei crash, says many things. Look, how this fib. spiral played out perfectly on #btcusd .Spiral revels the confirmation of grand correction of summer 2024, the top of the elections rally in Jan 2025 and price declinations to present. Now, #btc price is about to decide the the path. An incoming trend reversal or correction continuation to 66K?
Well.. There are some positive and negative facts on market. To think positive, 74K may be the tariff capitulation played in, markets eager to normalize, gold top may be in etc. A bullish divergence has formed in lower time frame CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart.
So, BTC must crush 91K with permanent daily and weekly closes. Losing 73K will deepen the correction.
Not financial advice.