BTCUSDT - CRYPTO | 4H | DOWNHey guys,
Yesterday, there was a lot of manipulation in BINANCE:BTCUSDT , causing many people to take losses due to the actions of market movers. However, I’m hopeful about the day Trump takes the presidential seat. Please, don’t panic right now—those who act out of panic tend to experience consistent losses.
I’ve marked the key points on the chart. If you’d like to see more of these analyses, don’t forget to hit the like button. Much love and respect to all of you, my dear followers! 🙌📊✨
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Be Careful Now!Crypto Trading Fam,
It's time for me to put out a note of caution. I have been bullish but a few days ago while doing my video, I spotted this pattern mid-session, hoping I would be wrong. Looks like I was not. The H&S pattern has now formed. This means we have an 85% probability that we'll drop to our next support of 75k. Yikes!
Now, 15% of the time a H&S pattern can fail. We can only hope this will be the case. But while hoping, prepare your SLs. Could get ugly for those alts!
✌️ Stew
Bitcoin is Ready to Fall Below $90,000!!!Reasons!!!As I expected in the last few posts, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) seems to have started a major correction .
Please be with me.
First, let's take a look at the weekly chart analysis that I shared with you on November 12, 2024 , which almost gave you an All-Time High(ATH) in both time and price .
Let's examine the Bitcoin chart on the 4-hour time frame in terms of Classic Technical Analysis . Bitcoin seems to be forming the right shoulder of the Head and Shoulders Pattern . So that in terms of the validity of this pattern , the following two points can be pointed out:
1- During the time when the right shoulder reached $104,000, it was 8 days and 4 hours that the right shoulder was not able to reach $104,000 during this period, and this shows the weakness of buyers or the strength of sellers along the path of the right shoulder.
2- Regular Divergence(RD-) between the right and left shoulders between the price and the volume indicator.
In terms of Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin, over the past 18 days , seems to be forming an Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) corrective pattern, with the main wave C ending at $102,725 . ( I mentioned this in the update of yesterday's post ).
If we look at the chart of USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ), as I said in the update of yesterday's post , we should have waited for the increase of USDT.D% (due to the sensitive position it was in). I expect USDT.D% to attack the upper line of the descending channel soon .
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) and the neckline of the Head and Shoulders Pattern soon, and if it breaks, we should expect Bitcoin to drop to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Support line s and 100_SMA(Daily) and then Bitcoin can fill the CME Gap($80,670-$77,100) .
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Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰.
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Bitcoin monthly candles starting to look spookyBitcoin has given up its gains made in the initial days of the year following a very strong performance last year. But in December, BTC/USD formed an inverted hammer candle at technically overbought levels, potentially providing a bearish signal for the early parts of this year.
Each time the monthly RSI has risen above 70.00 it has invariably dropped back because of a sell-off in BTC/USD rather than a mere consolidation. We could see another drop to work off its overbought conditions before the next bull run potentially starts in the months ahead.
What makes Bitcoin more interesting this time is the fact the bearish monthly signal has been formed around a major milestones of $100K.
If the December low of $91,271 breaks, and BTC holds below that level, then we could see the onset of a correction. While the dip could ultimately prove to be shallow this time because of the impact of Trump and Musk, prices could still dip towards long-term support levels such as $74K or even $65K. Should we get to these levels, I would then expect to see a potential low and the onset of another rally. But we will cross that bridge if and when we get there.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Daily Analysis UpdatePrice Action Recap:
Yesterday, Bitcoin was rejected near $102,500, causing a retracement to the current level around $96,000.
The inability to clear the $100,000–$102,500 resistance zone has kept BTC under short-term bearish pressure.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Zones:
$100,000–$102,500: Critical level that needs to be breached to resume the uptrend.
A rejection here could attract more selling pressure and lead to additional downside testing.
Support Zones:
$91,000–$93,000: Immediate support area that bulls must defend to prevent further losses.
$85,000–$87,500: A significant horizontal support zone that coincides with prior consolidation areas and could attract strong buying interest if tested.
Market Implications:
A failure to reclaim $100,000–$102,500 would maintain downward momentum and weaken confidence in the short-term bullish case.
Altcoins are particularly vulnerable during BTC’s downward moves, as dominance often rises in such scenarios, draining liquidity from alternative assets.
Outlook:
Bullish Scenario: A decisive break and daily close above $102,500 would signal renewed strength, opening the path to retest $110,000–$112,000.
Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below $91,000–$93,000 could accelerate selling, targeting the $85,000–$87,500 zone as the next major support level.
Conclusion:
The $100,000–$102,500 resistance zone is pivotal for Bitcoin’s near-term direction. Bulls need to reclaim this range to reignite upward momentum. Failure to do so will likely result in a test of lower support zones, where a reaction will determine the broader trend.
BTC trading planBull Flag: On the daily timeframe, I’m observing a bull flag formation. Since late December, the price has been moving within a descending channel, acting as a corrective wave after a strong rally. If there is a confirmed breakout above the upper boundary of this channel with sufficient volume, it could signal a continuation of the long-term uptrend.
MACD (12,26,9): The MACD indicator suggests a potential bullish divergence. The histogram is slowly turning positive, and the signal line appears ready to cross above the zero level. This would confirm increasing momentum and support a possible price breakout.
Key S/R Level: The 77,000–80,000 USDT zone looks like a crucial support area, where the price has bounced several times in the past. If BTC does retrace, this zone could act as a strong support.
Final Target at 135,000 USDT: In the event of a successful breakout and continued rally, the price may reach the final target of 135,000 USDT. This target is derived from a combination of price action, trend channel analysis, and Fibonacci levels.
Risks: As always, remember to protect your capital with proper risk management. Technical analysis is never a guarantee of profit—markets can always move the opposite way.
If you like (or disagree with) this idea, please share your thoughts in the comments!
Will BTC Dive to $88K ? Bitcoin Breakdown Alert & Bearish SetupBitcoin has broken down from a well formed rising channel, signaling a potential bearish continuation. The heavy rejection near the $100,000 psychological level followed by a drop to $96,000 indicates strong selling pressure. The price is now trading below a key support-turned-resistance at $97,200.
Key Levels
Resistance Zone: $97,200
Current Price: $96,498
First Support Target: $90,000 - $91,000
Final Support Target: $88,400
Technical Insights
1. Rising Channel Breakdown
The price broke below the lower trendline, suggesting a bearish reversal. Rising channels often precede significant downside moves.
2. Failed Support Retest Possibility
There is a likelihood of a retest of the $97,200 resistance zone before continuing the downward movement. This can provide a new shorting opportunity.
3. Bearish Momentum Indicators
The recent high-volume sell-off reflects weakening market sentiment. Additional rejection near resistance would increase the probability of testing lower levels.
4. Market Instability
The current instability points to further downside risks, particularly if global macroeconomic factors or crypto market sentiment do not improve.
Potential Trade Idea
Entry (Short): Near $97,000 $97,200 on a retest
Stop Loss: Above $98,000 to minimize risk
Target 1: $91,000
Target 2: $88,400
This trade offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio if the retest scenario plays out. Traders should monitor volume and any bullish reversals cautiously.
Bitcoin appears poised for further downside movement, with key levels to watch closely. Market participants should remain vigilant as volatility may increase in the coming days.
HelenP. I Bitcoin will break trend line and rise to $102500Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some time ago price declined to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and then at once made impulse up to the resistance zone. After this movement, BTC turned around and dropped from the resistance zone to 90500 points, after which quickly backed up and then corrected to the support level. Later price started to grow and soon reached the resistance level again and then broke it, after which made a retest and rose to the trend line. After this movement, BTC turned around from the trend line and made an impulse down to the support zone, even a little below, breaking resistance with support levels. Soon, the price rose higher than the support level but later fell back and then finally rose. Next, BTC some time traded near the 94500 support level and later dropped below this level one more time, after which started to grow and rose to the rend line, where at the moment it continues to trades close. In my opinion, BTCUSDT will make the mall correction and then bounce up to the resistance level, breaking the trend line. That's why my goal is the 102500 resistance level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
All-In is for Poker: Why Reckless Risks Will Wreck You!Let me ask you something: when did “winging it” become a trading strategy? Because if you’re going all-in on trades like you’re sitting at a poker table, I’ve got news for you—you’re not trading. You’re gambling. And the market? It’s not your Vegas playground. It’s the ultimate battleground. 🛡️📉
The “all-in” mentality might feel bold, even exhilarating, but here’s the harsh reality: it’s a financial death wish. It’s a shortcut to blowing your account faster than you can say, “I should’ve stuck to my plan.” Trading is a game of strategy, discipline, and survival—not a coin flip for adrenaline junkies.
🚨 The Reality Check No One Wants to Hear
The market isn’t your buddy. It doesn’t cheer for you, it doesn’t care about your hunches, and it sure as hell doesn’t reward recklessness. Think of it like a silent predator, waiting for you to make a dumb move. And trust me, “all-in” is the dumbest move of all.
Why? Because trading isn’t about swinging for the fences. It’s about consistency. It’s about risk management. It’s about staying in the game long enough to win. You can’t do that when you’re betting the farm on every trade.
The pros understand this. They play the probabilities. They protect their capital like their life depends on it—because in this game, it does. Meanwhile, the all-in gamblers? They’re the ones crying on Reddit about how the market is rigged. Spoiler: it’s not. They just suck at trading.
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🎯 The Smart Trader’s Mindset
So, how do you avoid the gambler’s trap? Simple: treat trading like the skill game it is.
Here’s the cheat code:
1️⃣ Risk Like a Pro: Never risk more than 1-2% of your account on a single trade. If that sounds boring, good. Trading isn’t supposed to be exciting.
2️⃣ Plan It Out: Every trade needs a game plan. Where are you entering? Exiting? What’s your stop-loss? If you don’t know, don’t trade.
3️⃣ Detach Your Ego: You’re not a genius. You’re not a wizard. You’re a trader, and the market doesn’t care about your feelings. Stay humble, or the market will humble you.
4️⃣ Play the Long Game: This isn’t about hitting a home run. It’s about grinding out consistent wins. Small victories compound over time. Big risks blow up your account.
🧠 Master the Game or Get Played
Here’s the takeaway: the market rewards discipline, not drama. It’s a marathon, not a sprint. And if you’re out here treating it like a casino, don’t be surprised when you walk away broke.
Trading is a skill. It’s a craft. And like any craft, it requires patience, practice, and a willingness to learn. So, ditch the gambler’s mindset and start thinking like a strategist. Your future self—and your bank account—will thank you.
🔥 Over to You
What’s the riskiest trade you’ve ever made? Did it pay off, or did it blow up in your face? Drop your war stories in the comments below—I want to hear about your wins, your losses, and the lessons you’ve learned along the way. Let’s trade smarter, not harder. 💬
And hey, if this post slapped some sense into you (or someone you know), share it. Let’s save a few accounts before they go all-in on another “sure thing.” 🙄
Remember: the market doesn’t play games, so neither should you. Play smart. Stay sharp. 🦾
The last bullish chance of BITCOIN in Mid term!Unfortunately, my previous analysis was incorrect. I thought Bitcoin could reach $109,000 after breaking the 0.618 Fibonacci line, but that didn’t happen. Now, Bitcoin is approaching its last chance, which is the 0.382 Fibonacci line. If it fails to stabilize in this price range, it will lose its last chance to rise in the mid term. However, if it holds this line, the price can gradually reach new highs again.
previous analysis
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTC Expectations after the Dump -> Upside ahead!In this video, I’m analyzing Bitcoin’s recent price action and highlighting a key Fibonacci retracement level. Here’s the main idea:
Repeated 0.618 Fib Retracement: BTC has repeatedly pulled back into the 0.618 Fibonacci level, suggesting a strong support zone and healthy correction.
Anticipated Expansion Move:
Given these consistent bounces off the golden pocket, I’m expecting a bullish expansion move. This could take BTC to higher resistance levels in the short to mid term, if price action continues to hold above this critical zone.
Let’s see if the market follows through on this anticipated upward swing!
Bitcoin in coming days...As I mentioned in my previous analysis, Bitcoin can reach approximately $109k after breaking the 0.618 Fibonacci line, but not so soon. The current price may retrace to the 0.618 Fibonacci line and then rise to $109k to complete this crab pattern.
previous analysis
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
What's next Bitcoin?In my previous posts, i highlighted: CRYPTOCAP:BTC price is in distribution zone and #btcusd has been having bearish retests. The 3rd bearish retest succeeded with yesterday's dump and clear declination may bring #btc price to major support zones. In the chart, i showed the #btcusdt support zones. The ellipsis zone is the ichimoku span and dEMA100 support. A strong support but in case if maker breaks that support, the next one is red box where dEMA200 support and also CME #bitcoin futures GAP is waiting to be filled. If BTC price reclaims the parallel channel, this supports will wait longer and this will be the "temporary" invalidation. Not financial advice.
BTC/USDT: A Potential Bullish Reversal From Key Demand Zonehello guys!
let's analysis btc
Resistance:
$98,450 (immediate resistance, recent structure level).
$102,800 - $104,000 (strong supply zone and Fibonacci confluence).
Support:
$95,000 (demand zone).
$92,000 (last significant swing low).
Bullish Scenario:
If BTC can hold and reverse from the $94,000 - $95,000 demand zone, a bullish move could potentially retest the $98,450 resistance. A break above this level would pave the way for a rally towards the $102,800 supply zone, with an ultimate target near $104,000.
Bearish Scenario:
Failure to maintain support within the demand zone could lead to a deeper pullback towards $92,000, which is the next major area of interest for buyers. A break below this level might invalidate the bullish outlook and signal further downside.
____________________________________
Conclusion:
BTC is in a pivotal phase, and the $94,000 - $95,000 zone will be critical for the next move. Watch for bullish price action signals (such as engulfing candles or bullish divergences) in this area before considering any long positions. A bounce from this level could lead to a new attempt to break the $100,000 psychological barrier. Conversely, a failure to hold support might indicate further weakness.
BITCOIN Cycle Top can be as high as $200kBitcoin (BTCUSD) has started 2025 on high volatility amidst geopolitical and economic news input. 2025 is the last year of this Bull Cycle, according to the Cycles Theory which for more than a decade has been very accurate at predicting Cycle Tops and Bottoms.
** LGC, MMB and Pi Cycle *
On today's analysis we present to you this view in more detail by displaying Bitcoin's Logarithmic Growth Channel (LGC) with the addition of the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) and the Pi Cycle trend-lines. From the MMB we use its extremes, the 3SD above (red trend-line), which is the Mayer Top and the 3SD below (black trend-line), which is the Mayer Bottom. From the Pi Cycle we use a tighter range, its top trend-line (orange) and bottom trend-line (green), which form a zone that typically serves as more of a 'Fair Value' before the Bear Cycle's extreme selling and Bull Cycle's extreme buying (Parabolic Rally).
** Current Cycle in 2025 **
As mentioned, BTC has entered the last year of its current Bull Cycle. Based on this cyclical pattern, the 3 previous Tops have been either on a November or December. As a result, we expect the new Cycle Top to start forming by November 2025. The last one was formed above the Pi Cycle Top (never hit the Mayer Top) and on the 2nd LGC Zone from the top.
This suggests that even if the price barely tests the bottom for the LGC 2nd Zone from the Top, by November 2025 we should be close to $200000. Technically the projected Peak Zone should be within the 180k - 200k range. That may still be below the Pi Cycle Top, so technically we can argue that it is a fair scenario to expect and not an overly optimistic.
Unrealistic or not, this is what 3 separate traditional long-term models suggest.
But what do you think? Is a $180-200k Top a realistic expectation within 2025? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin: Head & Shoulders Reversal Pattern In The Making Tradingview offers simply the best instruments for charting.
We have special charting tools to highlight famous Head & Shoulders reversal pattern (in yellow).
I spotted this textbook pattern today and would like to share this educational post with you.
It was shaped by three peaks with the highest (Head) in the middle.
The Right Shoulder reached its climax right at the top of the Left Shoulder.
It makes the pattern more symmetric.
There is a Neckline that intersects both valleys of the Head.
Its a reversal pattern and the trigger is located at the Neckline under the Right Shoulder
around $91.7k.
The target is measured subtracting the height of the Head from the trigger point.
It was highlighted in the chart at $75k.
The collapse could be painful.
This might prove the old traders saying "buy rumors (Tramp promises), sell facts (reality)" for Bitcoin.
TOTAL3 ChartHey,
This is really a text book chart, together with many others in the crypto atm..
A lot of fear and greed is currently in the market, you see that in the PA.
But that is old news, cuz I shared that a long time ago already.
For me more upside from this zone is very likely, if it fails...
I have to go back to the drawing board and see what is the next area of weekly or monthly demand to time when and where price is likely to move towards.
Have a good one, more charts soon.
Make sure you follow us :)
Kind regards,
Max Nieveld
BTC NEW UPDATE (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
The price dropped from the red-marked area in the previous analysis, and this supply zone worked well.
The correction for BTC started from the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart.
We expect a downward move toward the green-marked area.
If the price reaches the supply zone, we can look for sell/short positions as scalp trades.
Closing a daily candle above the invalidation level will invalidate our bearish outlook.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You