Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BITCOIN TRENDS with Heiken Ashi candles & Trend indicator ADX Why HEIKEN ASHI Candles ?
Heikin Ashi is a charting technique that can be used to predict future price movements. It is similar to traditional candlestick charts. However, unlike a regular candlestick chart, the Heikin Ashi chart tries to filter out some of the market noise by smoothing out strong price swings to better identify trend movements in the market. ( Source TradingView )
What is ADX ?
The ADX indicator measures trend strength without indicating direction. It is derived from the Positive Directional Movement (+DI) and Negative Directional Movement (-DI):
+DI (Positive Directional Index): Measures upward price movement.
-DI (Negative Directional Index): Measures downward price movement.
ADX Value: Higher values indicate stronger trends, regardless of direction.
( Source TradingView)
To summarise, Heiken Ashi candles filter out Noise and help identify Trend Direction
ADX shows you Trend Strength - NEVER the direction of Trend, using prince index.
OK, so now we ready. The main chart has 2 Vertical Bold lines that will be explained in a Bit but Note where they are on the Chart
The one on the left is near where the Rise in PA turns and becomes a Ranging PA- PA slowed right on that line.
The 2nd line is near the TOP and before the point where PA entered a descending channel that leads us to where we are currently
Note on the chart, the Orange dotted line. This is the BASIS line of the Bollinger bands. This is The Basis line and shows us the Average of PA and, as you can see, we are currently below Average. This shows a Negative Trend.
See how PA is above the basis line in a Positive Trend
Also note in the chart how the lines of candles are Smoother. Each New candle begins on the centre line of the previous and so it becomes a Lot easier to see if PA rises or drops from previous with out the Jagged Noise of traditional candles. - Taller candles show more Strength than previous;
So now to the ADX Chart
See those 2 Dashed Vertical lines and note how the ADX ( YELLOW ) changes direction at those points.
To remind you, the Left one was where BTC PA Slowed down from a Steep Rise, A BULLISH TREND, and turned to Ranging.
The Drop in the ADX at this point showed us that the previous trend was weakening. I remind you, it DOES NOT SHOW TREND DIRECTION even though, in this case, they follow each other.
PA Ranged horizontal on average till we met the Next line, where the previous Trend Strength had reached Neutral ( Note, this is around 20 on the ADX scale )
At the next dashed lime. ADX began rising. Trend strength was increasing.
Initially, we saw BTC PA rising to a New ATH and so, it was easy to assume that the Trend Was Bullish again. However, as we see now, it turns out it was a BEARISH trend.
So how do we know when this is going to end ?
The ORANGE line DI+ ( positive price action ) and the RED DI - ( Negative price action ) can help
These are Price Direction index. When DI + rises, this indicates a positive price action and Visa Versa for DI -
On its own, this is not easy But, for instance, notice how while we been in the descending channel, the DI+ dropped while the DI- has ranged along the 20 line on average.
This indicates a controlled Drop in PA and NOT a Full on Bearish capitulation. There is strength there in PA and this can be seen by the Slow rise of the ADX
On a shorter time scales, over the last 5 days we have seen PA rise in price.
this is reflected more in the DI- dropping ( Negative price action loosing strength ) more than in the DI + remainf horizontal.( NOT gaining Strength )
This could indicate that we are not finished Dropping yet - and yet, at the same time, we see the ADX weakening.
The Bears maybe getting Tired.
If we now return to the Chart
This fatigue we maybe seeing in the Bears could be reflected in the simple fact that we are now Near a long term Rising line of Support ( bold line) and that we are nearer the lower line of the descending channel ( also support) - We are also very near the 2.272 fib extension that has proved to be support previously.
The upper bollinger band is around 90K, which happens to be near Top of current range.
So, we may see a push higher soon but we need to understand that the Longer term still Looks like we will continue in the Range Bound for a Few more weeks.
I hope this helps but be prepared for anything
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #35👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
Today, we're diving into the analysis of Bitcoin and major crypto indices. As usual, I will review the New York session's future triggers for you.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, the trigger I set yesterday at 83979 was activated, and with the area's breach, it seems like the next bearish leg might commence.
💫 I've moved yesterday's trigger down to 83806, and we'll see if it reacts to this in the future.
💥 Currently, the RSI is entering the oversold territory, and with the entry of bearish momentum, the price could move down to 80105. The main price support remains at 77598.
📊 Today, I don't have any specific triggers yet and we need to wait for the price to establish a new structure. For short positions, you can utilize the triggers available in the lower timeframes.
📈 For long positions, like shorts, you must wait for the price to form a new structure. However, if the price sharply moves upwards, the long trigger will be at 84817.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Moving to the Bitcoin dominance analysis, BTC.D has formed a range between 61.53 and 62.03 and is currently moving towards the upper boundary of this box.
⭐ If this upward movement occurs, altcoins will likely fall more than Bitcoin, and if the altcoin short trigger activates, you can enter a position.
✔️ A major confirmation of upward movement will be with a break of 62.03, and a downward trend confirmation will be with a break below 61.53.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Moving on to Total2, yesterday's trigger at 1.04 was activated but it turned out to be a fake break, and the price has since returned below this area, now touching 1.01.
⚡️ For short positions, look for a break below 1.01, and for long positions, you can still take confirmation from 1.04.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Finally, looking at the Tether dominance, similar to Bitcoin, its trigger has been activated, breaking the area of 5.33, and the price is trending upwards.
🎲 A confirmation of an upward movement will be with a break above 5.56, and a confirmation of a downward trend will be with a break below 5.28.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC TRIANGLE CHART PATTERN IN 15-MHello Guys Here Is Chart Of BTCUSDT in 15-M AT
Entry Level: SELL Around 84500
Resistance: The upper trendline of the Triangle 84800
Support: Around below our Target 82000
Target Will Be : 82600
If BTC breaks below this level, the Triangle pattern and,And then it went to more further downside could.
Ethereum THE GREATEST SHORT SQUEEZE in CRYPTO!ETH paired with BTC x GME stock
What happened to GameStop stock? This is very interesting because it helps to understand the “mechanics” behind the formation of such a specific arc (logarithmic chart).
1. Professionals were actively taking short positions.
2. Uncovered shorts forced sellers to buy back shares (to close positions) as the price increased, which further accelerated buying.
3. Volatility and price growth fueled enthusiasm, increasing demand and triggering a pump.
The GameStop situation was long considered a “retail victory,” but as it turned out, it wasn’t entirely so—it was a coordinated move by some major players against others who were heavily shorting the stock, being absolutely convinced of the company’s failure.
How much hate is there around ETH? How many bloggers are writing, “ETH is useless now”? Exactly. Meanwhile, ETH has 6-8 times the TVL of SOL!
Bitcoin's 1065-Day Bull Run Nearing Its End – A Cycle ComparisonThis chart illustrates Bitcoin’s historical price action over three major market cycles, each lasting approximately 1065 days (35 months). The pattern suggests that Bitcoin follows a well-defined four-year cycle, influenced by its halving events. Each cycle begins with a bearish phase (marked in red), followed by a strong uptrend (green), leading to a peak before another correction phase starts.
A key observation is that the duration of each bull run remains consistent, lasting around 35 months (~1065 days) before reaching its peak. Historically, Bitcoin has followed a similar trajectory, with price action mirroring previous cycles. If this pattern holds, the current bull run may reach its peak within the next 6-8 months, placing the market top around late 2025.
Additionally, past cycles show that altcoins tend to experience their strongest moves after Bitcoin peaks, meaning an altseason could emerge by Q3–Q4 2025.
Bitcoin Reversal or Dead Cat Bounce? Here's My Trading Plan! Analyzing BTC on the higher timeframe, we observe a clear structural shift in the prevailing trend 📊. Dropping down to the 4-hour chart, there is a decisive bullish break 📈, leaving behind an imbalance following the initial move—an area that could serve as a retracement target 🎯. Notably, this imbalance aligns with a Fibonacci retracement into equilibrium 📐, adding confluence to the setup.
I am considering a long position 💰, but only if the key conditions outlined in the video materialize ✅. If those conditions fail to align, I will discard this trade idea ❌.
⚠️ Not financial advice.
Bitcoin reversal confirmed ?!Bitcoin reversal confirmed ?! 👀
I would like to present you some charts with important levels and relevant patterns.
🖥daily-chart (BITSTAMP) and 💡everything important in the chart 👀
💥Here in the daily chart (BITSTAMP)
- a Deep-Crab harmonic with
- a WolveWave
and the daily-chart of the
🔥Daily MA200 re-test 👀
- gap fill
- support-line 2022 and 2024 TOPs
👉 BITCOIN roadmap/outlook (from 27th february 2024) 💡
🎯 If you like this idea, please leave me a 🚀 and follow for updates 🔥⏰
Furthermore, any criticism is welcome as well as any suggestions etc. - You're also very welcome to share this idea.
Have a nice evening & successful trading decisions 💪
M_a_d_d_e_n ✌
NOTE: The above information represents my idea and is not an investment/trading recommendation! Without any guarantee & exclusion of liability!
Bitcoin 50 SMA time snaps and Low to ATH since 2014 - UPDATEIn a similar vein to the chart posted earlier today about the patterns between the 50 and 100 SMA, this post is using the 50 SMA ( RED) and the time spent above and below PA.
Alongside this, we have the day counts for PA LOW to PA ATH since 2014
After 2013 ATH and once the 50 SMA dropped below PA, it spent 399 days below PA
After 2017 ATH and once the 50 SMA dropped below PA, it spent 329 days below PA
After 2021 ATH and once the 50 SMA dropped below PA, it spent 420 days below PA - This is an impressive stat as it includes the Deep Bear that we experienced after the Luna, 3 Arrows & FTX crashes, includes the raising of interest rates and the utter presecution by Banks and SEX in the USa.
The fact that the drop below PA was only extended by 35 days ( average) Max shows a strength in Bitcoin sentiment. It could NOT be broken
In 2015, once the 50 SMA has risen above PA, it remained there for 938 days
In 2019, once the 50 SMA has risen above PA, it remained there for 1001 days
In 2023, once the 50 SMA has risen above PA, we have been above for 756 days of an expected average projection of 966 days
This projects that PA will Drop Below the 50 SMA in about October 2015, After the ATH as previously.
This points towards an ATH in Q4 - this has some confluence with the previous post though open to suggestion.
Next is the simple PA LOW to ATH and Back to LOW day counts
2013 ATH to Cycle Low was 665 days then 847 days to Cycle ATH
2017 ATH to Cycle Low was 350 days then 1064 days to Cycle ATH
2021 ATH to Cycle Low was 378 days then, using the average of the two previous day Count from Low to ATH, gives us 952 days to Cycle ATH
This puts an ATH in JUNE 2025 !
I do not think this is realistic in anyway however, Anything is possible currently.
I do however think that June is about when PA could seriously begin to make Moves higher, with intent to reach a Cycle ATH.
The reason being, the weekly MACD will have reached Neutral by then ( if not in mid May )
So while this chart offers some confluence to other ideas, it also offers another ATH date that is way earlier than any previous cycle ATH - While I feel this is unlikely to happen, we Must keep open minds.. the adoption of BTC by main stream now may well accelerate the PA cycle.
We shall wait and find out.
Be prepared for ALL occasions....including the arrival of an early Bear. - THAT will be in another post, at some point soon
Stay safe
BTC & GOLD (XAU) CorrelationWith this idea I am not trying to prove anything.
Recently I bumped into the idea about Bitcoin and Precious metals correlation and BTC/GOLD looks interesting.
Topic is open for discussions, what you think ? Do we still have a room for further price surge in terms of Bitcoin ?
Please share your ideas in comments.
Good Luck everyone on this choppy market.
BITCOIN SHORT (EXPERIMENTAL)In a bear market scenario, Bitcoin might see extended periods of stagnation or decline, which could challenge its perception as a store of value or its role in a diversified investment portfolio. However, bear markets can also present buying opportunities for long-term investors, as they may view the price declines as temporary setbacks in Bitcoin's overall growth trajectory.
Potential Path of the Altcoin Market?Trading Family,
To say that our altcoin market has been disappointing would be the understatement of the year. While there definitely have been some winners (I have held Solana through the $8 low), the majority have been a large disappointment. In fact, the last I read, only 42 altcoins have outperformed Bitcoin since the bear market bottom was put in. This is an incredible stat to think about and very telling. Altcoin traders have a difficult task in beating the BTC hodl'ers for sure.
However, recently there have been some hidden indications that our altcoin market will soon increase our odds of success.
First of all, Bitcoin's low fees. Low fees on the Bitcoin blockchain is often a hidden health indicator for the coin signaling weak demand. People often see low fees as a positive thing. But what's actually happening here is that there is low demand for transacting on the chain, therefore, in order to increase the demand, transaction fees are forced down.
Weaker demand does seem to correlate with what the BTC dominance chart is showing us.
You can see from the chart that we have a large sell side liquidity block that has formed, indicating large sell side volume in dominance. Additionally, my indicator has flashed a red dot, signaling that it is time for dominance to drop. We also have our RSI and Macd, crossing down. And if we break from that channel, dominance drop momentum should accelerate.
This brings me to our TOTAL3 chart which is all altcoins excluding Ethereum. The chart is showing us that we have reached an extremely critical support trendline. Price is currently bouncing from it. Additionally, there are large volumes of buyers at this point. You can observe this by the VRVP candles and the liquidity blocks indicator. But contrary to BTC.D in which the RSI and Macd were crossing down, TOTAL3 shows our RSI and Macd crossing up! This is bullish for alts.
Finally, it is a great sign to see that our "M" pattern has looked to have completed right at our point of support.
I have drawn a projected pathway from here. In the first part of our next week, we may see a bit more pump. News of the passing continuing resolution here in the U.S. is still trickling out. Monday, as stock traders jump back in, I would imagine we see more pump as traders feel good about the averted gov't shutdown. This may trickle into Tuesday. But then Wed. is the Fed's day. We are expecting further pause to interest rate. Everyone will be listening to the Fed speak and parsing every syllable that is uttered from J. Pow's tongue. What is says and the bias that is interpreted will be key. I am expecting mostly a non-event here. Which means that bullish bias may wane once again. Crypto, mostly altcoins, really only pump on good news. But negative and even neutral news is a sell to sideways event. Thus, I expect we may hit another local top around Wed. afternoon at which point the altcoin market starts to sell a bit again OR it simply continues sideways again for a few more weeks. Sooner or later though, I believe we are headed towards that 1.3 trillion resistance. It is worthwhile considering to stay in a holding pattern unless we drop below our all-important support. Watch this line closely and draw it on your charts. It will be key!
✌️Stew
Bitcoin Teeters on $80K Edge: Will It Hold or Fold?Bitcoin is currently priced at $81,145, reflecting a volatile recovery after dipping to $78,000 recently. This movement comes amid a broader cryptocurrency market downturn, with the total market cap dropping 4.4% in the last 24 hours, dragging down major altcoins and fueling a cautious mood among traders. The lack of strong bullish momentum suggests Bitcoin may struggle to push higher unless market sentiment shifts significantly.
Technical Indicators and Key Levels
Technically, Bitcoin is hovering near a pivotal support at $80,000, a level with both psychological and historical significance. The price is trading below the 20-period moving average of around $81,500, signaling a short-term bearish tilt. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 45 shows neutral momentum, with no immediate signs of exhaustion in either direction. Resistance looms at $82,000, a barrier that previously halted upward moves. A decisive move above this level could spark optimism, but failure to defend $80,000 risks further declines.
Potential Scenarios and Trading Considerations
Two scenarios dominate the 1-hour chart. A hold above $80,000, followed by a break past the 20-period moving average, could pave the way for a push to $82,000, especially if volume picks up to validate the move. On the flip side, a drop below $80,000 might accelerate selling, targeting $78,000 or even $75,000, particularly if volume surges on the downside. Given the current volatility, traders should prioritize tight stop-losses and avoid excessive leverage to manage risks effectively.
Broader Context and Final Tips
Despite short-term uncertainty, Bitcoin’s long-term uptrend remains intact, as historical patterns suggest resilience over time. However, external triggers, like regulatory updates or economic data such as upcoming US inflation figures, could sway the market in either direction. Traders should monitor volume closely for confirmation of any breakout or breakdown and focus on how Bitcoin reacts at $80,000 support and $82,000 resistance. Staying disciplined, keeping risk in check, and adapting to real-time developments will be critical in this setup.
Note: Volume spikes are your cue, watch them to confirm any significant price action.
ROAD TO 130K !!!Now that Bitcoin is returning to the cup-and-handle support, one can expect a strong pump up to 130k . it might happen.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin at a Crossroads
Bitcoin has reached a key support zone after its recent decline and is now in recovery mode. We expect this upward movement to continue until it reaches the identified resistance level, targeting the $95,000 range.
At this point, two potential scenarios are in play, as shown in the chart:
1–Bullish Scenario: If Bitcoin successfully breaks the $95,000 resistance, the path for further upside will be clear, and higher targets could be reached.
2–Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to break this key resistance, a correction and decline toward lower support levels may follow.
The next move for Bitcoin depends on how it reacts at the resistance level.
What are your thoughts on the upcoming price action?
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Litecoin LTCUSD Completing Final Leg Down Before LaunchAs you can see Litecoin is forming a very similar pattern. I think the rest of March will be corrective. Litecoin will likely come down and bounce off the trend line which coincidental also is a major support level. April will be slightly bullish, May and June will be majorly bullish which I believe Bitcoin will also fly up to 140k as well in this time. I believe Litecoin will outperform the majority of the market. Major hyperinflation will begin this summer which will be very positive for crypto. Many cryptos will die in this hyperinflation period. Only some will survive. Dollar is going to crash. Get ready for a wild ride into 2026. People calling for a bear market are ill informed and will kick themselves for selling. This is the beginning of the biggest run in some cryptos, we've ever seen. Buckle up. Good luck. Not financial advice.
BITCOIN - Price can reach resistance line of wedge and then dropHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price started to decline inside falling channel, where it aat once boucned from support line and rose to resistance line.
Then it continued to fall and reached $91300 level, broke it soon, and continued to decline next.
Price exited from channel and started to trades inside wedge, where it at once made upward impulse to $91300 level.
After this, price some time traded near $91300 level and then in a short time declined to support area.
But soon, BTC bounced from this area and recently it started to grow from $80000 support level.
In my mind, Bitcoin can rise to resistance line and then drop to $77850 support line of wedge pattern.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
BITCOIN Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 84,591.77.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 76,443.59.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #34👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
Let's dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and other important crypto indices. As usual, I want to review the New York session's futures triggers for you.
⚡️ Yesterday, one of our triggers was activated, which I will mention in this analysis.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see in the 1-hour timeframe, yesterday's trigger at 83979 was activated, and the candle closed above this level. However, it seems like the upward momentum ended there, and the price gradually started to move downward.
💫 The decline was due to the falling dominance of Bitcoin, which failed to continue its upward movement as dominance dropped.
✨ Currently, the price has returned below the 83979 level, which appears to be a fake-out. If the price stabilizes below this level, there is an increased likelihood that it will retest the 80105 support. The primary support is still at 77598.
🔽 For a short position, with the activation of the fake-out trigger of 83979 in lower timeframes, you can enter a position. Other triggers like breaking 80105 may not occur today since it's Saturday and the market doesn't have enough volume to make significant moves.
📈 For long positions, keep in mind that there is a resistance area from 83979 to 84817. The price must break out of this range, so until a new structure is formed to give a precise resistance figure, the long trigger will be 84817.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let's move on to the analysis of Bitcoin dominance. As observed, dominance corrected to the 62 area yesterday and is now moving downward again.
🎲 Currently, the 61.53 zone is critical, and breaking this could lead Bitcoin's price towards 61.08.
✔️ I currently see the momentum of dominance as bearish, so if the market is giving long positions, I prefer to open them on altcoins.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Moving on to the Total2 analysis, yesterday's trigger at 1.01 was activated simultaneously with the break of 83979 in Bitcoin. Given the drop in Bitcoin dominance, altcoins moved higher and offered better positions.
📊 For today, the long trigger for Total2 is at the 1.04 area. As for short positions, since I see the Bitcoin dominance as declining, I prefer to open shorts on Bitcoin. However, you can also open short positions on altcoins with the Bitcoin trigger.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Let's look at the USDT.D analysis. Yesterday's upward move in dominance was a fake-out, and it returned below 5.49 with a bearish momentum that broke the floor at 5.33 and stopped at 5.28.
⭐ Currently, a very small range box has formed from 5.28 to 5.33, and breaking any of these areas could define the next leg of dominance and its short-term trend.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
[Potential Bullish Alternative] Bitcoin Elliott Wave CountsLet's face it. None of us want BITSTAMP:BTCUSD to go down. Isn't it?
So whenever I see a potential/local bottom, I start looking for a bullish possibility. Few days back, #BTC dipped below 77K so I started counting waves from that point to see if there could be anything good happening here.
On the 4H chart here, I can see a 5 wave move up (wave (i)) which could be described as a leading diagonal followed by a a-b-c down in wave (ii). The next move up (supposedly wave (iii)) seem to be looking fine so far. I can easily count 5 wave impulse in it by drilling it down to 1H chart. Note that, this would be just i of (iii). SO far so good.
Disclaimer : Note that this is something we all elliott wave chartists do when we see a bottom to assess if a new trend could be starting. This is just one (bullish) alternative that I am exploring. There are bearish alternatives as well.