BTCUSD - Potential move down before going up?Bitcoin has shown significant weakness after failing to maintain prices above $100,000, with recent price action forming a series of lower highs and lower lows. The current structure suggests bears are in control of the market, with price potentially targeting the marked support zone around $84,000-86,000.
Technical indicators and market sentiment appear to be aligned with this downside scenario, as volume has been increasing on down moves while declining during relief rallies. Should this bearish momentum continue, the highlighted box region could act as a logical target for price discovery, representing a significant retracement from recent highs while still maintaining the overall bullish market structure.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BITCOIN - Price can correct again and then start grow to $101KHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago, prices bounced from $93600 level, rose to $102500, and then started to decline in a triangle.
In this pattern, price turned around and made an upward impulse from support line to $102500 level and broke it.
Next, BTC exited from triangle and started to decline inside pennant, where it soon broke $102500 level one more time.
After this, price dropped to support area and even a little below, reaching support line pennant and then bouncing up.
Bitcoin rose to $102500 level, after which in a short time, it declined to support line of pennant and now it rising.
In my mind, BTC can correct to support line again and then start to grow to $101K.
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TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #7👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
Today, we are going to review Bitcoin's futures triggers for the New York session. The market hasn't moved much since yesterday, but we have a risky trigger that might serve as a good opening for today's positions.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As mentioned, we're observing a long-term range box that started in early February, and currently, Bitcoin is oscillating within an expanding triangle. Yesterday, the price reacted strongly to this triangle, validating it as a critical zone for setting positions.
🔍 Because of this, I've added a risky long trigger at 97,816, which could precede the 98,482 trigger. This is risky because if the price is rejected at 98,482 after breaking 97,816, your stop-loss is likely to be hit. Enter this position with the understanding that you are anticipating the 98,482 break. If this resistance isn't broken, your position might not yield profits.
🔽 For shorts, the 97,110 trigger mentioned yesterday hasn't activated yet. This trigger is still valid for shorts but remember, like the long position at 97,816, it's risky and targets the range box bottom, so manage your risks carefully. The main triggers remain at 98,482 for longs and 95,108 for shorts.
📊 Market volume has decreased significantly, suggesting a sharp price movement is impending. Stay alert and ready to act on the triggers as the market will likely make a decisive move soon.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
As forecasted, if Bitcoin dominance managed to stabilize above 60.71, we expected a further upward correction and deeper pullback, which has occurred. The price broke through this area, pulling back up to 60.95 and forming a significant ceiling.
🧩 If this area is breached, we can take an early sign of a rising Bitcoin dominance, but the main trigger remains at 61.10. The best trigger for a continued downtrend is still 60.48; breaking this could herald the next bearish leg in Bitcoin dominance.
📅 Total2 Analysis
As stated yesterday, breaking 1.24 would have been a cue for a risky short position, but the price has not consolidated below this level and has twice rebounded off this support.
✨ Thus, this level has become a more critical threshold for shorts. Should this area break, it could be a good time to enter a short position, particularly if Bitcoin dominance is also rising, suggesting a potential downturn for altcoins as well.
📈 The main long position remains with the breakout at 1.28, and there are no other significant long triggers in the chart. For risky shorts, levels 1.2 and 1.19 are suitable, with the primary short trigger still at 1.16.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
As mentioned yesterday, a breakout at 4.47 could lead to increased Tether dominance, but I've adjusted this trigger to 4.48 today due to unclear price action around the former level.
🔑 This remains a high-risk trigger, and the potential for it being displaced again is considerable. Be ready to adjust this line yourself if the price near this area shows significant reaction.
⚡️ Still, a definitive bullish signal for Tether dominance will only be confirmed above 4.62, while a decisive bearish turn would be confirmed by breaking below 4.40, which has become a significant support following substantial price reactions. If this level is breached, the target will be 4.24.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bollinger Bands Analysis & BTC/USD Accumulation StrategyBased on the BTC/USD chart with the Bollinger Bands indicator on the 12-hour time frame, it is evident that the price has repeatedly touched or breached the lower band, indicating oversold conditions. Each time the price enters this oversold zone, BTC/USD experiences a rebound within a relatively short period, suggesting a strong accumulation pattern by market participants. This pattern is consistent, as the price has never remained in oversold conditions for more than three consecutive candles (36 hours) before rebounding. This indicates that selling pressure is only temporary before buyers step in and push the price back up.
Given this pattern, a suitable trading strategy is to buy when the price re-enters the accumulation zone around 95,400, which serves as a potential buy area. If the price drops further, the next strong support level is at 89,280, which could act as a crucial validation point before considering a trend reversal. An entry can be executed when the price touches the lower band and bullish price action confirmation appears, such as pin bar, doji, or bullish engulfing candlesticks, indicating that buyers are taking control of the market. The potential upside target is around 108,160, serving as the nearest resistance level that could be reached if the previous bullish pattern repeats.
From a risk management perspective, a stop loss should not be placed immediately upon the price touching the lower band, as past patterns show that BTC/USD has not remained in oversold conditions for more than three candles. However, if the oversold condition persists until the fourth candle (48 hours after the initial signal), this would indicate that selling pressure is stronger than before and that the short-term trend has likely shifted.
Based on historical patterns, the price is likely to rebound once it enters the oversold zone (highlighted in yellow on the chart) and forms bullish confirmation. Therefore, an accumulation approach at the key support level remains a strategy with high profit potential, provided that risk management is applied with discipline. If the price continues to decline and remains oversold for 48 hours, the bullish scenario may be invalidated, and a safer re-entry strategy should be considered. By understanding this pattern, traders can make more confident decisions without rushing while remaining alert to potential trend shifts in the market.
BTCUSDT Correction time?I can see in this weekly chart that if BTC didn't respects it's Support level 93k-91k, it might show 75k as a retest performing double Top pattern, then we can start going Bullish if it don't break 75k... After that market may show 120k to 125k. But if market don't respect 75k, it might go further down.
BTC correction time?I can see in this weekly chart that if BTC didn't respects it's Support level 93k-91k, it might show 75k as a retest performing double Top pattern, then we can start going Bullish if it don't break 75k... After that market may show 120k to 125k. But if market don't respect 75k, it might go further down.
Statistically Probable that Bitcoin Has NOT Topped YetBitcoin: No Statistical Evidence of a Top Yet 🚀
Based on the analysis using the indicator: Statistically Extreme Areas by Apex Algo Systems, there is no confirmation that Bitcoin has reached a market top at this time. This indicator is designed to identify historically extreme conditions, signaling when price action is statistically overextended.
🔍 Key Observation:
Unlike previous cycle tops, where extreme readings were clearly registered, the current market environment has not yet reached those levels. This suggests that Bitcoin may still have room to run before hitting an exhaustion point.
📊 What This Means for Traders & Investors:
✅ Momentum Still Intact – No statistical evidence of a peak.
✅ Potential for Further Upside – Historically, markets tend to top only after hitting extreme conditions.
✅ Caution & Confirmation Needed – While no extreme has been detected, market conditions can change, and risk management remains essential.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Historical probabilities do not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
What do you think? Could Bitcoin be headed higher? Let’s discuss! 👇 🚀
Statistically Probable that Bitcoin Has Not ToppedBitcoin: No Statistical Evidence of a Top Yet 🚀
Based on the analysis using statistical extremes, there is no confirmation that Bitcoin has reached a market top at this time. This indicator is designed to identify historically extreme conditions, signaling when price action is statistically overextended.
🔍 Key Observation:
Unlike previous cycle tops, where extreme readings were clearly registered, the current market environment has not yet reached those levels. This suggests that Bitcoin may still have room to run before hitting an exhaustion point.
📊 What This Means for Traders & Investors:
✅ Momentum Still Intact – No statistical evidence of a peak.
✅ Potential for Further Upside – Historically, markets tend to top only after hitting extreme conditions.
✅ Caution & Confirmation Needed – While no extreme has been detected, market conditions can change, and risk management remains essential.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Historical probabilities do not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
What do you think? Could Bitcoin be headed higher? Let’s discuss! 👇 🚀
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) – Ascending Triangle Breakout Incoming?Bitcoin is forming an ascending triangle on the 4-hour chart, signaling a potential breakout. The price is making higher lows, showing strong buying pressure, while resistance remains near $98,000.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
📈 Breakout Target : If BTC breaks above $98,000, we could see a move toward $100,763, with further upside potential toward $102,600.
📉 Support Levels : The lower trendline and $97,000 act as key supports. A breakdown could lead to a retest of $92,247.
A decisive move in either direction will set the tone for BTC’s next big move.
💬 What’s your take breakout or rejection? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
BTC/USD Futures: High-Probability Setup with 2.8R PotentialBitcoin is presenting a compelling trading opportunity with a clearly defined risk-reward setup. The current market structure, supported by volume profile analysis and EMA alignments, suggests a high-probability long entry.
Entry Strategy:
Entry Price: $97,727.6
Take Profit: $98,838.1
Stop Loss: $97,300.3
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.8 (favorable for position sizing)
Technical Confluence:
The entry point at $97,727.6 aligns with:
Rising EMA support cluster
Previous resistance turned support
Positive MACD momentum crossover
Strong volume node support zone
Target Analysis:
The $98,838.1 target is justified by:
Clear price inefficiency above $98,400 POC
Historical reaction zone
Minimal volume resistance until this level
1.13% potential upside from entry
Risk Management:
Stop placement at $97,300.3 provides protection while:
Sitting below key structural support
Allowing sufficient room for normal market volatility
Representing contained risk of 0.44%
Volume Profile Context:
Two major POC levels ($98,200 and $98,400) act as stepping stones toward our target, potentially providing intraday support during the move up.
#Bitcoin #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis
Trade Management:
Consider partial profit-taking at POC levels ($98,200 and $98,400) while moving stop to breakeven after first target is reached.
Note: This analysis represents a snapshot in time. Always conduct your own due diligence and adjust position sizing according to your risk management rules.
Bitcoin Brewing a Comeback: The Giant Coffee Cup Formation!hello guys!
Looks like Bitcoin is cooking up a massive cup-and-handle pattern, and we all know what that means—moon time! 🌕 After a long and bumpy accumulation phase (or as we like to call it, the "sip phase"), BTC is now gearing up for a breakout to $105,970!
The blueprint is clear:
✅ Sideways struggle? Check.
✅ Smooth bottom curve? Check.
✅ Bullish breakout vibes? Double check!
If this textbook formation plays out, Bitcoin could be headed straight for the target zone faster than a caffeine-fueled trader hitting the buy button! ☕📈 Buckle up, because the handle part might shake things up a little before the real liftoff. 🚀
Bitcoin will continue to grow and exit from triangle patternHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price entered a downward triangle, where it at once rebounded from the resistance line and started to decline. In a short time, the price fell to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, broke this level, and dropped until to support line of the triangle, breaking the support level too. Next, BTC turned around and made a strong impulse up, breaking 95000 and 100000 levels, after which it turned around and started to decline. Price later fell below the 100K level, breaking it, and continued to fall next. Later BTC rose to the 100K resistance level, but at once turned around and dropped to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. After this, the price rebounded from the buyer zone and reached the resistance line of the triangle, and then corrected back. Then Bitcoin started to grow, so, I think that the price can correct to the support line and then rise to the resistance line and break it, thereby exiting from the triangle pattern. Then BTC will continue to grow, therefore I set my TP at 99K points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #6👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
Today, we're diving into Bitcoin's analysis, focusing on appropriate futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ Hourly Time Frame
1-Hour Timeframe As mentioned in previous analyses, Bitcoin remains in a crucial range box. Yesterday, we saw a fake breakout of the expanding triangle's upper edge, but the trigger at 98,482 was not activated, and the price did not stabilize above this area but was rejected.
🔍 Currently, our long position triggers remain the same at 99,946 and 101,819. However, a new short trigger has been added. The first short trigger is at 97,110, which is considered very risky and should not hold high expectations.
🔽 If you initiate a short position upon breaking this area, your target could be 95,108. As previously discussed, the main short trigger remains at 95,108. If you open a position at this level, the target could be the bottom of the expanding triangle or the area around 92,702.
📊 The market volume continues to decrease, indicating that a sharper and more significant price movement is imminent.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
BTC.D Analysis Bitcoin dominance has broken the curve trendline, but currently, there is no significant upward momentum observed. If the price breaks and stabilizes above 60.71, we can take this as the first sign of a bullish trend. The main trigger remains at 61.10.
🧩 For a continued fall, an excellent trigger is at 60.48. If this trigger is broken, we can hope for dominance to reach 59.84.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Total2 Analysis As discussed yesterday, if the price pulls back to 1.24, we can open a long position. This scenario occurred, and many altcoins moved upward. However, as mentioned, the target for this position was relatively small because it was opened as a scalp position. The main long trigger remains at 1.28.
🔽 For those who are risk-takers, you can enter a short position if the price breaks 1.24. But be cautious, this trigger is very risky. Other risky triggers are at 1.2 and 1.19.
⚡️ The main short position remains at 1.16. Keep in mind, Bitcoin's dominance shows more signs of falling, so if you are considering opening a short position, Bitcoin might perform better than altcoins.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
USDT.D Analysis Let's look at the Tether dominance. We have an adjustment in the dominance support, which was previously at 4.44 but has been moved to 4.40 due to a strong price reaction yesterday. Currently, the main support for Tether dominance is at 4.40, and breaking this area could validate a long position.
💫 There is a very risky short trigger at 4.47, similar to the 1.24 trigger in Total2. If these two align, you might accept the risk and enter a short position with the minimum risk defined in your strategy. The target for this position is 4.62, while the target for a long position remains 4.24, which is also the main trigger for a trend change.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Eyeing a Bullish Reversal from Key Supporthello guys!
Trading Plan:
If Bitcoin finds support around $96,000 and shows bullish momentum, it could rally toward the $98,600 resistance.
A breakdown below $95,000 could invalidate this bullish setup, leading to further downside potential.
Be careful with bitcoin !!!Bitcoin is currently within a wedge, and after this pattern breaks,t can drive the price up to around $100k .
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
OGUSDT 45%-50% Gains – Bullish Momentum in PlayOGUSDT has recently broken out of a Falling Wedge Pattern, signaling the potential for significant upward movement. A Falling Wedge is a bullish continuation pattern that typically occurs during a downtrend and indicates a reversal once the price breaks through the upper boundary of the wedge. In the case of OGUSDT, the breakout has already occurred, and with good volume supporting the move, the price is poised for a potential rally. Traders are now eyeing a 45% to 50%+ gain as the breakout continues to unfold, with expectations of strong momentum pushing the price higher.
The Falling Wedge Pattern in OGUSDT has been accompanied by increasing volume, which adds validity to the breakout. Volume is a key factor in confirming the strength of the move, and with more investors entering the market, the upward momentum is likely to continue. As the price breaks above the resistance line of the wedge, it often leads to a sharp surge, providing a solid opportunity for traders to profit from the move. The price could continue to climb towards the next resistance levels, offering substantial returns for those positioned in the trade.
Investor interest in OGUSDT is on the rise, and the successful breakout from the Falling Wedge is one of the main reasons for the growing attention. This technical setup indicates that the market sentiment is shifting from bearish to bullish, with buyers now in control. As the price continues to build on the breakout, traders are anticipating further price action that could lead to a strong rally. The projected 45% to 50%+ gain is a realistic target if the breakout holds and the bullish trend continues to develop.
As always, it is important for traders to monitor key levels of support and resistance to gauge the strength of the trend. The next few days or weeks will be crucial in determining whether OGUSDT can maintain its upward trajectory and reach the expected gains. With good volume, solid investor interest, and a well-formed technical setup, OGUSDT is one of the more promising crypto pairs to watch for a potential breakout and substantial profits.
Is BTC ready to go higher? BTCUSD on the 4-hour timeframe is showing signs of contraction within a descending channel, indicating potential accumulation before a breakout. The price has been testing the descending trendline resistance, with multiple touches of the outer zone, suggesting buyers are stepping in and attempting to establish higher lows. Volume remains moderate, but a breakout above $98,304 could lead to a test of the next major resistance at $102,000, signaling a shift in momentum. The RSI is hovering near the midline, showing a balanced market without extreme overbought or oversold conditions, leaving room for a strong move in either direction. If BTC fails to break out, a retest of liquidity sweep at $90,000 could occur, but given the price compression and trendline pressure, a breakout appears increasingly likely.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading and investing involve risk, and independent research or consultation with a professional is recommended before making any financial decisions.
BTC attempting to break out, 108k is a possible target.We have a nice sideways channel as the main pattern and a downward channel that is now being broke out of. There is momentum moving to the upside in slightly over sold conditions. I am thinking over the following days to weeks, we could see 108k. NFA , DYOR.
$Meta and U.S equity Bull Run Almost Finished? Was just having a little fun before bed and brainstorming on the NASDAQ:META chart. Our darling as of late. I love trying to find similarities and patterns between macro swings and cycles. Human psychology and business cycles have a way of repeating themselves pretty often. As they say, history doesn't repeat, but it rhymes.
This recent melt up reminds a lot of the price action NASDAQ:META saw in 2021-2022. RSI overbought both times, currently approaching the 2.618 fib when connecting them to major high and low points. Decreasing volume on the moves up.
There's a lot of other data to support a bear market may be on the horizon:
Weak housing data/stocks (I do see some outlier stocks in the housing sector).
The yield curve un-inversion which typically precedes major bear markets 6-12 months after un-inversion.
The dollar seems to want to keep going higher. However it has shown a lot of weakness here lately which could help fuel the rest of the bull market.
The unwinding of the Japanese Yen carry trade has seemed to play a big factor in U.S equities as of late. Every time the BOJ hikes interest rates, a lot of U.S. equities see pretty sizable bearish volatility shortly after.
Being the darling that NASDAQ:META has become, once this trend line breaks it will be a signal that everyone should be taking note of in my opinion. I think the risk of a bear market increases dramatically. Maybe we get a shallow or 2022 style bear market next year and continue to make one last lag into new highs in 2027.
Here are some ideas that could support that theory:
China seems to be coming out of a depression-style bear market and is beginning to inject liquidity into their economy. This could help give U.S. equities a little more juice to run higher for longer
chips could make a major comeback and fuel SPY/QQQ higher for longer.
Names like Google, Tesla and Amazon can continue to show strength and we could see a rotation into them.
Maybe we get some more significant quantum breakthroughs with the help of AI.
These are things to keep in mind, but I think the probabilities of this this bull market we've enjoyed since 2008 is A LOT closer to the end than the beginning.
I base most of my sentiment off the 18.6 year real estate/land cycle theory that I have been following since 2022. I also give a lot of credibility to U.S. yield curve un-inversions sending shockwaves through the global economic system.
What do you guys and gals think?
Bitcoin’s Falling Wedge Pattern Breakout—Next Stop: $100K?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall after US indices(Core CPI m/m_CPI m/m_CPI y/y) were announced but rose again. One of the reasons for the rise of Bitcoin in the previous minutes was Trump's speech , which talked about negotiations with Russia ." Trump: Putin and I agreed to have respective teams start negotiations immediately ."= The possibility of the end of wars , in general, can increase investment security.
After several attempts to break the Support zone($96,520-$95,720) , Bitcoin failed to break this zone and created a Fake Break .
Bitcoin is above the Support zone($96,150-$94,760) and near the upper lines of the Falling Wedge Pattern .
Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing the Double Three Correction(WXY) as the main wave X was completed minutes ago .
I expect Bitcoin to break the upper lines of the Falling Wedge Pattern soon and rise to the Targets I specified on the chart.
Note: If Bitcoin goes below $93,800, we have to wait for an attack on the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500), and there is a possibility of a heavy fall in this situation.
Do you think the Falling Wedge Pattern will eventually increase Bitcoin?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
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BTCUSD: Crossing of 4H MA100 brings enormous rally.Bitcoin has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.096, MACD = -559.600, ADX = 41.025) as it is rising aggressively today and just hit the 1D MA50. This is its major Resistance level, which when crossed has caused the two main rallies of 2025 so far. The first (Dec 30th-Jan 7th) crossed the 0.618 Fibonacci before pulling back, while the second (Jan 9th-Jan 20th) made a full +20% rally. As you realize, if we do get a 1D candle close over the 1D MA50, the target for the modest scenario of Fib 0.618 is TP1 = 103,500 and if it continues (which as some point it will since the Bull Cycle has at least another 6-9 months more) for the good case scenario of +20%, the target will be TP2 = 113,000.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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