BTC/USD : First SHORT, Then LONG! (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price continued its upward momentum as expected, achieving an impressive over 10% gain, reaching the $102,700 zone! However, due to hitting the supply zone of $101,300 to $102,800, Bitcoin experienced a correction and is currently trading around $100,600.
After a potential retracement to the $98,700 - $99,600 range, we can anticipate renewed demand, leading to another bullish move. The potential targets are $102,850, $104,400, and $106,800. Stay tuned for further updates!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
MicroStrategy FEAT BTC $500 by 2025 Bitcoin Investment Strategy: MicroStrategy has heavily invested in Bitcoin, making it the largest corporate holder of the cryptocurrency. If Bitcoin's value appreciates significantly, as it has in past cycles, this could directly boost MicroStrategy's stock price due to the large unrealized gains on its balance sheet. Posts on X mention the company's Bitcoin holdings as a major influence on its stock performance.
S&P 500 Inclusion: There's speculation that MicroStrategy could be included in the S&P 500, which would likely result in substantial capital inflows from index funds and ETFs. Analysts like Willy Woo have speculated that this could lead to $10-15 billion in inflows, potentially driving the stock price higher. This is discussed in web results where potential S&P 500 inclusion is seen as a catalyst for MSTR to reach $500.
Accounting Rule Changes: New accounting standards from the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) effective from 2025 will allow MicroStrategy to report unrealized gains on its Bitcoin holdings, potentially boosting reported earnings and making the stock more attractive to investors. This change could qualify MicroStrategy for the S&P 500 if it reports positive earnings, as noted in several web results.
Capital Raising and Shareholder Votes: MicroStrategy plans to raise significant capital for further Bitcoin purchases, with a shareholder vote to increase the number of authorized shares dramatically. This strategy, including the $42 billion capital plan, could fund more Bitcoin acquisition, potentially increasing the value of the company's assets. Discussions on X highlight this as a move that could lead to a significant run-up in stock price.
Market Sentiment and Bitcoin Cycles: The stock market's perception of MicroStrategy as a Bitcoin proxy means that bullish sentiment towards Bitcoin often translates into gains for MSTR. If Bitcoin experiences another bull run, as some analysts predict, MicroStrategy's stock could follow suit, especially given its aggressive Bitcoin acquisition strategy.
Leverage and Bitcoin Yield: MicroStrategy's use of leverage to increase its Bitcoin per share (BTC Yield) is another factor. By selling shares at a premium over net asset value (NAV) and using the proceeds to buy more Bitcoin, the company can reduce leverage while increasing its Bitcoin holdings per share, which could drive stock price appreciation. This strategy is highlighted in posts on X discussing MicroStrategy's unique approach to Bitcoin investment.
Institutional Adoption of Bitcoin: If larger institutions or even governments start adopting Bitcoin as part of their reserves or investment strategy, this could elevate Bitcoin's price, directly benefiting MicroStrategy. There's mention of possible U.S. government involvement with Bitcoin, which could further fuel this scenario.
How to Analyze a Stock ? Key Questions to Ask Before You InvestShould I invest in this stock ? This is a common question investors face many times
But where do you begin? What should you look for, and what pitfalls should you avoid?
This guide will walk you through the essential steps to analyze a stock, focusing on the business itself rather than the stock chart. Since earnings per share (EPS) growth drives returns, it’s crucial to understand how revenue growth and margin expansion contribute over time.
Before buying any stock, ask yourself these six critical questions:
1.Company: What does the business do?
2.Economics: How does it generate revenue?
3.Opportunities: What are the potential upsides?
4.Risks: What challenges could it face?
5.Financials: What do the numbers reveal?
6.Valuation: Is the price justified?
1.What’s the Business?
- Mission: A clear mission drives long-term success. For example, Google’s mission, “to organize the world’s information and make it universally accessible and useful,” is simple yet powerful. Does the company’s mission align with a growing trend or an unmet need?
- Leadership: Effective leadership, especially from founder-led teams or CEOs with a strong track record, often outperforms. Assess the team’s vision, execution skills, and employee approval ratings.
- Products: Are the company’s offerings essential, innovative, or part of a growing market? Consider their uniqueness, potential obsolescence, and innovation history.
2.How Do They Make Money?
- Revenue Mix: Is the company’s revenue diversified or reliant on a single product or customer? A diverse mix offers stability, while over-reliance can be risky.
- Unit Economics: Examine profitability metrics like gross margin and operating margin. Where does the bulk of profit come from?
- Key Metrics: Identify metrics like annual recurring revenue (ARR) for subscriptions or gross merchandise value (GMV) for e-commerce that best reflect the company’s performance trends.
3.What Could Go Right?
- Market Growth: Does the company operate in a growing industry, such as AI or renewable energy?
-Innovation: Look for ongoing R&D and a track record of successful product launches.
-Moat Expansion: Assess the company’s competitive advantage, whether it’s a strong brand, proprietary technology, or cost leadership.
4. What Could Go Wrong?
-Market Disruption: Is the company prepared for sudden changes, like new technologies or regulations?
-Competition: Strong rivals can erode market share. Analyze customer reviews and competitor benchmarks.
- Moat Erosion: A shrinking competitive edge—such as declining pricing power or poor retention—can signal trouble.
5.What Do the Numbers Say?
- Profitability: Check revenue growth, gross margins, and net income for consistent improvements.
- Solvency: Assess the balance sheet for debt-to-equity ratios, cash reserves, and financial stability.
- Liquidity: Positive and consistent cash flow indicates sustainability and growth potential.
6.Is the Price Right?
- Valuation Metrics: Use Price to Earnings (P/E), Price to Sales (P/S), or other relevant metrics depending on the company’s growth stage. Compare these to peers and market standards.
-Investment Horizon: Longer investment timelines can justify higher valuations if growth potential exists.
-Focus on Fundamentals: Valuation matters only if the business is strong. Avoid being tempted by low prices without underlying value.
By breaking a company into these six dimensions, you can turn complex decisions into actionable insights. Start with the business fundamentals, evaluate opportunities and risks, and finish by assessing valuation.
What stock will you analyze next? Let’s put this framework into action now
MICROSTRATEGY a pyramid ponzi.Understanding the situation with MSTR can be quite complex.
Many people recognize that MicroStrategy has been issuing convertible bonds at a 0% interest rate to purchase Bitcoin. This strategy tends to drive up both Bitcoin's price and the value of MSTR shares.
As a result, the scheme appears to inflate continuously, placing the risk on bondholders. The only way for MSTR's stock price to keep rising is through the issuance of increasingly larger amounts of convertible debt; otherwise, the entire pyramid would collapse.
It's understandable why Michael Saylor seems to be focusing more on shilling MSTR bonds instead of Bitcoin itself.
Why would institutions invest in MSTR's convertible bonds at 0%?
Many believe it's because they anticipate being able to convert these bonds into MSTR stock in five years at a predetermined price, potentially around $675, effectively giving them a premium-free call option. However, there is a hidden cost to this strategy: inflation. At first glance, this might seem like a poor investment choice—if one expects MSTR's value to rise, it would make more sense to buy the shares now rather than commit funds to a higher price in the future.
Why would anyone engage in such a massive financial manoeuvre involving BILLIONS?
The truth is, those purchasing the bonds are ACTUALLY indifferent to the rising stock value! Their primary interest lies in capitalizing on price fluctuations. Ultimately, a convertible bond functions as a CALL OPTION; thus, as the MSTR stock price experiences greater volatility, the premium on the call increases. Recently the value of these convertible bonds has surged by 170%. This is precisely why investors are unconcerned about interest rates or the actual conversion of the bonds—they have ZERO desire to convert! The reason? Issuing new shares would only dilute their holdings!
All the rewards with none of the risks!
But what happens if MSTR collapses? Bondholders will seize all the Bitcoin MSTR possesses, leaving shareholders with nothing but scraps!
Can you fathom how deep this MSTR Ponzi scheme really is?
The more you explore, the more mental acrobatics you need to perform to grasp the situation!
Many believe that bond buyers are naive, but in reality, they are the sharpest players in the game, reaping the benefits without facing the risks! In the current climate, that’s the nature of volatility! It doesn’t matter if MSTR’s stock price fluctuates; they’re insulated from the fallout. Who do you think is betting against MSTR? It’s the bondholders, and their positions are secure!
Ultimately, for someone to profit, someone else must incur a loss, and it won’t be the bondholders. This means that regular shareholders are poised for significant losses, as the primary force driving MSTR’s stock price is its own volatility. Once that volatility dissipates, we could see MSTR plummet below $100 a share! All those crypto enthusiasts will be left reeling, wondering how MSTR could possibly decline while Bitcoin’s value rises!!!
What’s the main effect of these convertible bonds?
They create volatility in the stock price, leading to wild swings up and down, just as we’re currently witnessing.
What occurs when the volatility subsides?
The stock price will plummet!
Many people are misdirecting their focus on metrics, technical analysis, and listening to Michael Saylor's commentary on CNBC. Instead, they should be paying attention to the volatility of MSTR's stock price, as its decline will directly impact the stock's value.
Don't be misled; even if MSTR falls below $300, it will still be overpriced and could potentially drop to under $100 per share due to the convertible bonds scheme. Claims from MSTR valuation sites that each share is backed by a certain amount of Bitcoin are misleading; the reality is that the shares are not backed by anything.
The BONDHOLDERS are the ones who possess all the Bitcoin.
There’s no such thing as a free lunch—someone has to bear the costs, and in MSTR's case, that burden will fall on the shareholders. You certainly don’t want to be left holding the bag when the music stops.
It is important to maintain a clear perspective regarding cryptocurrencies; they should not be viewed as traditional investments, but rather as something more comparable to gambling.
While you may have the advantage of being an expert poker player, the only way to truly win is to cash out your profits.
Otherwise, you risk losing on MSTR and in the crypto market.
Market Analysis: How to. Execute This Trade // MSTRNASDAQ:MSTR
Over the past 2-3 months, MicroStrategy Incorporated (MSTR) has shown significant growth, primarily driven by the rise in Bitcoin’s value. The company holds a substantial amount of Bitcoin on its balance sheet, which strongly influences its stock price performance.
Key Highlights:
1. Stock Performance:
• As of now, MSTR trades at $379.09, reflecting a notable increase over recent months.
• Its strong performance correlates with the upward trend in Bitcoin prices.
2. Technical Analysis:
• The stock recently broke out of a rectangle pattern, signaling a potential rise toward
the $525 level.
• However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates overbought conditions,
suggesting the possibility of a short-term pullback.
3. Analyst Opinions:
• Analysts remain optimistic, with a consensus of “Buy” or “Overweight.”
• The average price target is above the current trading level, pointing to further upside
potential.
Considerations:
While MSTR has been performing robustly, it’s important to note the volatility associated with its heavy exposure to Bitcoin. Investors should weigh the risks tied to both the stock and the broader cryptocurrency market.
How to execute this trade:
We notice how the upward trend seems to have temporarily stopped, giving way to a bearish phase. The stock remains highly overvalued and very volatile, so a drop of 40–50% does not necessarily indicate a long-term trend reversal but simply a pause in a bull run that has been ongoing since 2022!
On November 11, the stock experienced a rise of 23% in a single day, leaving a gap open.
Subsequently, the rise was accompanied by a 97% increase in just 13 days, followed by a bearish phase, a lateral phase, another bearish phase, and now a rebound. We could even consider the last two movements as a new lateral zone.
Now, let’s analyze the movements of the stock in the most recent highlighted period in greater detail.
We observe that, after breaking below the lateral range, the stock formed a well-defined downward channel. We obviously had two choices: to take advantage of the lateral zone by going both long and short:
Respectively: 430–450 Short & 360–350 Long. However, this was a rather complex trade because the lateral range was very wide and volatile (34%).
The second option was to wait for a long entry. The gap in this case is an excellent buying zone; in many cases, gaps need to be filled, and when this happens, they provide great opportunities. In this particular case, we are talking about a gap that triggered a 97% rise, so the chances of a rebound are very high.
Using the Bar Replay, we see that initially the stock approaches our entry zone but doesn’t enter, closing slightly above it.
This means we need to remain vigilant in the following days and monitor for a good entry opportunity.
The next day, the stock rises by 8%—our hopes for a trade begin to waver, and we risk succumbing to FOMO. However, the only way to be consistently profitable is to always follow the plan. Always!
Later, the stock drops, granting us an entry. In hindsight, it’s easy to say, “I would have entered here,” but this would have been a challenging trade because the gap was only partially filled and for a short time. A correct entry should have been between 286 and 276.
We notice that the entry was very difficult and quick—so let’s assume we didn’t manage to enter . The next day, the stock opens with a significant upward gap (3.4%).
At this point, we have two signals: the stock touched our zone and began to rise, and the buying zone was a previous gap. Now, the stock opens again with a gap, signaling that these opportunities are often leveraged to push the stock upward.
We adjust our entry a bit higher, giving the trade more room to breathe since the previous setup didn’t work out.
In this case, we carefully observe the downward trendline above us and use it as a signal to exit the trade or reduce the position size to limit losses. If it’s not broken, we know what to do.
We let the trade run and see how the trendline is broken, followed by a very strong upward move that brings us to profit in just two sessions.
This is “How to Execute This Trade.”
Would you sell against BTC?After BTCUSD reached its All Time High (ATH) of 108,451 on Dec 17th, it dropped strongly to the support area of 91,600.
In the first week of the year, BTCUSD has bounced off the support to trade up to the 101,900 area again. Which coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
At this point, the TSRI MACD is indicating the potential for a crossover to the downside.
However, if the price stays above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level AND the bullish trendline, further upside is likely!
Would be looking to buy at value rather than trying to short it down.
$BTC - Short Trade IdeaBitcoin has broken past the psychological barrier at $100k, absorbing the internal liquidity.
There's a chance it will shoot up to between $103.7k and $104k as the daily closes.
We've marked out our 4-hour range; the price is now trading above the midpoint. If we manage to hold this level, we could potentially retest the range high around $106k.
If we get a strong rejection at that point, we might consider scaling into short positions.
Short-term uptrend if maintained above 97461.86
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT chart)
There are three major rising channels.
Among them, two rising channels are expected to play an important role in determining the trend.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
BTC is currently moving sideways after the price increase.
However, as the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator rises above the level, the possibility of a short-term uptrend increases.
As a result, the support around 97461.86-98892.0 is the key.
-
The important support and resistance range is 93576.0-94742.35.
The high point boundary range is 101947.24-106.133.74.
Therefore, the 101947.24-106.133.74 range is likely to act as resistance.
If the high point boundary range is broken upward, a new wave is expected to be created.
Then, the current movement can be interpreted as creating a pull back pattern and rising.
Therefore, when creating a pull back pattern, it is likely to appear depending on whether there is support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Therefore, it is necessary to closely watch the movement near the M-Signal indicator.
-
The next volatility period is around January 10 (January 9-11).
Therefore, the point of interest is where it is located after January 10.
------------------
The BW indicator has touched the 0 point, and the DOM indicator has risen above 0.
Accordingly, it is important to see whether it can maintain the price by rising above 98892.0.
Since the StochRSI indicator shows a change in slope in the overbought zone, it shows that it is under pressure to decline, so it is important to see whether it can maintain the price by rising above 98892.0.
-
Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been in an upward trend since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
LOE Something's cooking here...Alright guys, after I gave you VEXT the last time and a 12x within a blink of an eye, this time here another gem which is worth to be observed more. But this one is kinda tricky...
We can find a hint where this coin could go in the future or probably very fast in this bullrun:
On March 29th-30th 2024 the currency of the Play-And-Earn fantasy game "Legends of Elysium" (LOE) made an All-time high of $9.15 after the first private sale round to VCs and early investors before the token launched on various central exchanges (CEX) and decentral exchange (DEX) swaps. The data before April just popped up recently on Coinmarketcap, although it could've been just a candle wick for a brief moment of time. It wasn't visible before November / December 2024 when I checked. In Coingecko and in charts here on TradingView like e.g. of Gate.io, MEXC or Bitget it's also not visible.
So it's probably nothing... Or is it? Well, the marketcap right now sits at around $220k and the FDV is $3.2M which is kinda promising. Reaching a $1 B marketcap could be in the cards (pun intended). The developer team is constantly updating the game and announces always news like the new Battlefield Mode which was implemented recently.
Chartwise the RSI is making constant higher lows since almost a year which could indicate a massive bullish divergence on the daily and weekly. Furthermore LOE is forming a double bottom since October which also could be an indicator for incoming of new buyers and the stability of the coin.
So who wants to bet this thing will pop off?
The Trump DumpCaution to the sensitive bulls, you're not going to like this one...
I know we all like hopium and up-only charts, but this isn't it. Those only exist in fairytales. This is trading and we have to stay grounded if you plan to actually profit outside of the HODL philosophy.
The truth is that elections don't matter, new events doesn't matter. At least not how the majority thinks they do. These events merely mark points in time, they can be catalysts or pivots. But those time points don't care about your philosophy on the actual event.
Let the emotion and philosophy in and you'll lose, guaranteed. Close those out and look only at the charts, using those events to understand important time points to pay attention to and you might see that this one is going to be critical.
On a macro picture, this market structure has been clear, simply a series of expansions and ranges (I know, obvious, this is how all price moves). But recently we had a strong expansion beyond the all-time high, which might seem bullish at first glance but is going to be a liquidity trap in hindsight.
On a more local view, we have our range forming after this larger expansion and that range has already generated a fakeout higher and come back into the range, with the next breakout of the range to be to the downside. I do not trade blind FVGs or other ICT stuff, but there will be a lot of hindsight analysis from people claiming that this daily FVG was obvious.
Combine this with the important time events that has everyone so bullish, like elections or whatever, and you have the perfect recipe to wreck almost everyone.
From here, I am looking for AT LEAST a 30% drop . Targets may get lower as data comes in, but keeping it conservative until more high timeframe candles come in.
You may disagree with the post, but at least it has a clear bias.
XRP/USD Long-TERM Bullish TA 2025-2035It is time to update our long-term technical analysis for XRP. The mathematical principles remain unchanged, but the time intervals have been adjusted. We present you with an updated chart for the next 10 years.
Regarding prices, we anticipate a price range of $28 to $60 during the current cycle, which is expected to conclude within the next 12 months.
Subsequently, we anticipate a correction between $3 and $5, followed by another substantial increase to $25.
After that, we enter a prolonged period of low prices for #Bitcoin, which we expect to bottom out in the range of $1 to $3 between 2027 and 2030.
These prices will serve as potential purchase opportunities prior to the commencement of the next altcoin cycle, which is projected to begin in 2032 and continue until 2035. During this cycle, Ripple is expected to attain the coveted price of $600.
Historically, XRP was launched in 2012 by Ripple Labs as part of a vision to revolutionize global payments. Its innovative consensus ledger and transaction protocol offered faster and more cost-effective cross-border transactions, setting it apart from its peers.
Over the years, XRP has forged strategic alliances with financial institutions worldwide, enhancing its credibility and adoption. Despite facing regulatory challenges, particularly with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission in 2020, XRP has demonstrated resilience, maintaining its relevance within the crypto ecosystem.
It is imperative to recognize that this journey will be protracted and challenging, but it is worthwhile to pursue it at a steady pace.
Best regards, Earliers!
Check my other Charts to be informed!
Bearish BTCOn the daily and weekly stochastic RSI is in the overbought zone.
Using fibonacci, on the daily, price has not finished out the fib sequence to the d extension and had less than a 38.2 pullback.
We hit a d extension on the monthly.
Still bearish on this pair at least to 77K = 38.2 up fib retracement zone with inclination toward further downside potential to 68K = 61.8 up fib retracement zone.
Is CTT dead?BYBIT:CTTUSDT
Im just curious on where CTT is at because i have seen a little speculation online about how 'CTT is dead' or 'The scam has played out..'
To me? If this bottoms here there is an exponential amount of gains to be made here.. to the point were if your putting 1k down at this bottom now and say it goes back up to a resistance of 0.0040.. thats a 6.5k profit of such little movements.
Trade safe, RPM
All things looking bullish for XRP Trump+Alt Season+Gary ResignsPattern Recognition:
The chart identifies a "Flag" pattern, which is a continuation pattern indicating a pause in the uptrend before resuming. The flagpole represents the initial strong upward move, followed by consolidation within the flag pattern, and then a breakout.
Ichimoku Cloud:
Kijun-sen (Blue Line): This line represents the baseline and is calculated as the average of the highest high and lowest low over the past 26 periods.
Tenkan-sen (Red Line) : This line is the conversion line, calculated as the average of the highest high and lowest low over the past 9 periods.
Senkou Span A (Green Line) : Part of the future cloud, calculated as the average of the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, plotted 26 periods ahead.
Senkou Span B (Orange Line) : The other part of the future cloud, calculated as the average of the highest high and lowest low over the past 52 periods, plotted 26 periods ahead.
Chikou Span (Purple Line) : The lagging line, which is the current closing price plotted 26 periods back.
Cloud Interpretation:
The price breaking above the cloud (Kumo) is generally a bullish signal. The cloud represents support and resistance levels.
If the price is above the cloud, it indicates a bullish trend. If it's within the cloud, it's a consolidation phase, and if below, it's bearish.
Breakout:
The price has broken out of the flag pattern upwards, which is confirmed by the breakout label. This breakout should be viewed in the context of the Ichimoku cloud.
Volume Analysis:
Volume spikes during the breakout phase can confirm the strength of the move. High volume on the breakout specifically on the Daily chart suggests strong buying interest.
Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen:
When Tenkan-sen crosses above Kijun-sen, it's a bullish signal (golden cross). Conversely, a cross below is bearish (death cross).
Technical Analysis Summary:
Trend: The overall trend appears bullish, with the price breaking out of a flag pattern and moving above the Ichimoku cloud. This suggests strong momentum.
Ichimoku Signals:
Bullish Signals: The price above the cloud, Tenkan-sen above Kijun-sen, and Chikou Span above past price action suggest bullish momentum.
Resistance and Support: The cloud now acts as a dynamic support level. If the price dips into the cloud, it might find support there.
Potential Targets:
Using the flag pattern's flagpole length for projection, the price could aim for higher levels. However, the Ichimoku system doesn't provide exact price targets but guides on trend direction and momentum.
Risks:
A failure to sustain above the cloud could lead to a pullback into the cloud or even below, indicating a potential trend reversal or correction.
Strategy:
Entry: For traders using Ichimoku, entering on a bullish breakout above the cloud with additional confirmation from other indicators (like volume) could be considered. Alternatively, waiting for a pullback to the cloud or Kijun-sen for a safer entry might be prudent.
Stop Loss: Placing a stop loss below the cloud or significant support levels within the flag pattern can manage risk.
Take Profit:
This could be based on the projected move from the flagpole or where the price encounters next resistance, possibly where the future cloud might be. More or less it depends very much on ones own strategy.
Conclusion:
The chart with the Ichimoku indicator suggests a strong bullish outlook for XRP/USD, with the price currently above the cloud and a breakout from a flag pattern. However, traders should watch for potential pullbacks to key Ichimoku levels for optimal entry points and risk management. Always consider broader market conditions and any news or events that might impact cryptocurrency prices.
My Current Market Sentiment Through March 2025 Hello Trader Fam,
In this video I am covering my current market sentiment through March or even April of this year. Along with this, we'll take a closer look at the dollar, the vix, the spy, NVIDIA, U.S. Oil, and Crypto - (Bitcoin, Dominance, Solana, Solana memecoins, AI genned memecoins, etc.). We'll talk a bit about my indicator and what it is showing us and why it has me leaning bullish but why I am cautious with Bitcoin in the lead.
✌️Stew
SUI TRADE IDEA SUI has performed remarkably this Bullrun and it doesn't look to be slowing down. This is just some thoughts on the low timeframe:
Bullish scenario -
A retest of the green zone which is a clear bullish orderblock and the last local high would be an ideal place to get into a Long to then fill the wick up to local high. The general rule of thumb is that wicks get filled and this move would be a near 20% with good R:R. A poor reaction/ no reaction in the green zone would void the trade idea and the Daily support is the next area of interest.
Bearish scenario -
A SFP once the wick gets filled would be a potential bearish trigger with the midpoint and green zone providing areas for the bulls to fight back. SUI is very overbought on the higher timeframes so a larger cool down could be triggered by this pattern playing out. I do also think BTC would have to pullback in order to drag SUI down with it as SUI is just so strong at the moment.
So far a strong start from the US market with the first meaningful day back since the holidays providing strong volume and a bullish bias.
BITCOIN UPDATE 2025 | ALTSEASON | BTC.DWe'll kick of the first analysis of the new year by taking a look at BTC, and whether or not the conditions are met to say the ATH is in.
Furthermore, let's loo at altseason by comparing the TOTAL3 chart and the Bitcoin Dominance chart. Many secrets lie in these charts if you overlap them, and look for patterns.
Soon, I will be making an update on the top Altcoins to watch in 2025 so be sure to follow so you don't miss it!
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BTC - SHORT - Tempting but dangerous tradeBTC is facing a major resistance at 100k. I expect a drop at least in 4 hours timeframe. This is a very risky trade because shorting BTC and in a bull market is not at all advisable. Personally I think it will most likely go close to the POC (97500~) and then go up. Likewise, if the 91k is broken strongly, we will go to very low areas and it is very tempting to let it go. The weekly is still a latent possibility to go to low levels. But nothing is certain and we can easily go in any direction. I would not short BTC for a long time or with a high margin. So this trade must be constantly protected. Be careful.
TP 1: 96500 ~ 97500 (protect trade - POC)
TP 2: 93100 (support)
TP 3: 91600 (daily support)
Bitcoin's Ultimate Pump: The Trap Before the CrashBitcoin continues its “hype” and is close to forming the next spurt. Globally, the picture looks like close to the distribution zone. We are approaching the biggest “cheat” in history. I expect a final spurt into the zone around 120k, from here a long trade will start where altcoins will shoot up and show incredible gains. The crowd will be experiencing FOMO, heads of state and big companies will start making noise that this is just a pro-trade level for Bitcoin before the next spurt. Only the majority will fall back into the trap and end up in a bear market with huge losses. The market is set up so that only 10% will make money and the other 90% will be cheated. After the distribution is completed, I expect the bitcoin price to fall below the 0.5 Fibonacci level. The RSI value will drop below 30 units on such a drop and we will enter a global fear phase. I would attribute the next bull market to the rise of the DeSci and AI sectors. My research on the cryptocurrency market sectors shows that large funds and corporations are starting to invest in projects in these areas.
Horban Brothers.
Bitcoin in lower timeframes (4H)Bitcoin appears to be within a "Trading Range" on lower timeframes.
Within this range, a bearish "QM" (Quasimodo) pattern seems to have formed. To complete the right shoulder of this QM, the price may need to rise to higher levels (red box).
It could move from the green box up to the red box.
Generally, during the year-end holiday period, many large and small traders need cash and sell part of their assets, causing a mid-level correction in the market. During these days, the market seeks liquidity hunts and fluctuations within a specific range. At this stage, it's advisable to reduce the number of your trades and avoid futures trading to some extent.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin's Bullish Breakout: Key Targets at $100,887 and $103khello guys!
Hunt Zones:
Two liquidity "hunt" zones are marked:
Hunt 1: A resistance level where sellers initially dominated.
Hunt 2: A support area where buyers stepped in to push the price higher.
Bullish Structure:
The price has created a higher low and is showing signs of bullish momentum.
The engulfing pattern indicates a strong buyer presence.
Key Levels:
$100,887: First significant resistance level, which could act as a decision point.
$103,010: Final target zone for the current bullish trend.
Expected Movement:
A breakout above the $100,887 resistance may lead to further upside toward $103,010.
Consolidation or pullback may occur at intermediate levels before continuing higher.
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Summary:
The outlook is bullish as long as the price remains above support levels near $97,000. Watch for price action around $100,887 for confirmation of further upward momentum.