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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)

06/01/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $98,987.05 Last weeks low: $91,544.67 Midpoint: $95,265.86 2024 is over, 2025 has begun... Bitcoin ending the year at its highest point since its creation after an impressive rally mainly at both ends of the year with a cool off in the middle. Now that 2025 has started Bitcoin is looking to break $100,000 once more and begin what many believe to be the final year of the bullmarket. With the holidays now over and year open window dressing now done I would expect volume to return to the markets. Last week we saw a steady climb from the $92,000, whipsaw PA at year end and then a move up to just under $100,000. All that on very low volume which does make me a little worried, similar to weekend moves it's hard to know if they are true moves or just the result of a thin orderblock, this week will answer that question. Some important data releases for this week include: Tuesday - Euro CPI Wednesday - US ADP Nonfarm employment, FOMC minutes Thursday - CNY CPI & PPI, US Jobless claims Friday - US Unemployment rate As we get closer to president Trumps inauguration and the shift in the US from an anti crypto approach to a pro crypto approach, this week should be in preparation for that and could be reactive to news of Trumps administration choices and updates on the "Strategic bitcoin reserve" etc. These reactions could be positive or negative so getting a read on the market in the opening few days maybe wise. The chart shows and early break above weekly high, this opens up the opportunity for a SFP if the weekly high is lost, if that is the case a drawdown towards Midpoint is on the cads, however if the weekly high is held as support a move towards $100,000 once again is the bullish target. Increased volume would cement either move as the weekly bias. Good luck to all this year!
by ProR35
MARA’s BTC Strategy and Bitcoin’s Path ForwardBitcoin miner MARA Holdings has made headlines with its innovative approach to leveraging its BTC reserves and exceeding its hash rate target. The company's December 2024 production update highlights strategic moves and technical achievements, providing a strong foundation for bullish sentiment on Bitcoin. MARA’s BTC Lending Program: Fundamentals at Play MARA revealed that 16.4% of its Bitcoin reserves, equivalent to 7,377 BTC worth approximately $730 million, has been deployed in short-term third-party loans to generate modest single-digit yields. This strategy underscores MARA’s dual approach of mining and buying Bitcoin to optimize its holdings. The company’s total reserves now stand at an impressive 44,893 BTC, valued at over $4.4 billion at current prices. According to Robert Samuels, MARA’s vice president of investor relations, the lending program focuses on secure, short-term arrangements with well-established third parties. This initiative reflects a prudent approach to maximizing shareholder value while maintaining liquidity. MARA’s production update also highlighted a milestone achievement: surpassing its energized hash rate target of 50 EH/s, reaching a peak of 53.2 EH/s. Despite a 2% decrease in BTC production due to a slight dip in mining “luck,” MARA’s overall strategy remains robust. CEO Fred Thiel emphasized the benefits of the company’s hybrid model, which combines mining and purchasing Bitcoin to enhance flexibility and long-term value. Technical Analysis As of writing, Bitcoin’s price has shown remarkable resilience, briefly reclaiming the $99,000 level before a slight retracement to $98,745. The technical indicators suggest a strong bullish trend: 1. RSI Strength: With the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 62, Bitcoin exhibits momentum that could propel it to break key resistance levels. 2. Fibonacci Retracement: In the event of selling pressure or a correction, the $94,000 level—the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement—is poised to serve as a critical support zone. 3. Open Interest Surge: Open interest in Bitcoin futures has surged, driven by renewed institutional interest, particularly after Donald Trump’s presidential election victory. Firms like MicroStrategy (MSTR) are increasingly viewing Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation. A Bullish Case Bitcoin’s fundamentals are bolstered by several macroeconomic and geopolitical factors: 1. Institutional Adoption: Companies like MARA and MicroStrategy are doubling down on Bitcoin, reflecting growing confidence in its role as “digital gold.” 2. Hash Rate Milestones: Bitcoin’s monthly hash rate reached an all-time high in December, showcasing the network’s increasing security and resilience. 3. Political Developments: The anticipation of Donald Trump’s inauguration in January 2025 has spurred optimism in financial markets, with Bitcoin positioned as a safe haven against inflationary pressures. Conclusion With institutional adoption accelerating and macroeconomic conditions favoring digital assets, Bitcoin appears poised for a breakout. As MARA and other players continue to innovate, the cryptocurrency’s role as a cornerstone of the global financial system becomes increasingly evident. Investors and analysts should keep a close eye on the inauguration of Donald Trump and its potential market implications, as Bitcoin stands ready to capitalize on the evolving landscape.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
1
BITCOIN New year, same thing..Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has just reclaimed the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) over the weekend and is so far successfully holding it below the price action, making it a Support. The exact same price action took place in January last year (2024). In fact, as these 1D charts very vividly illustrate, the whole sequence from the September 06 2024 Low to today, is very similar to the sequence from the September 11 2023 Low to (so far) January 2024. This incredible degree of symmetry is also extending to their 1D RSI and MACD fractals. The first formed Bearish Divergences under Lower Highs trend-lines, which when broken confirm the new rally, while the latter (MACD) was the early buy signal when it formed a Bullish Cross below the 0.00 mark. If BTC continues to copy the January 2024 fractal, then we should be expecting a few more days of sideways price action, that will pave the way for the new (2nd) Rally Phase of the whole pattern. The 2nd rally peaked on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the September 11 2023 Low, so if the pattern replication continues, we may see a peak above $150k. So do you think the early 2024 bullish break-out will be repeated? And if yes, are you expecting a peak as high as $150000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
11
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin return to above $100,000?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 in the four-hour time frame and is trading in its ascending channel. Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk off sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. One can look for Bitcoin sell positions in the supply zone. Bitcoin's downward correction and its placement in the demand zone will allow us to buy it. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. In 2025, key narratives in the cryptocurrency market are expected to include asset tokenization, artificial intelligence, and Bitcoin as a reserve asset. Experts also predict that meme coins might become a major trend, while maintaining caution regarding Solana and Ripple ETFs. In 2024, the crypto market experienced increased adoption and institutional investment. Experts anticipate significant trends in 2025 as the market matures and Bitcoin’s upward trajectory continues. ETF providers are exploring more innovative and potentially riskier ways to attract investors to cryptocurrencies. New applications submitted to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) include ETFs converting S&P500 returns into Bitcoin and funds investing in convertible bonds to purchase Bitcoin. Additionally, Volatility Shares aims to launch inverse and leveraged Solana funds.If approved, more than ten new cryptocurrency-related funds could become available to investors in 2025. Reports indicate that the Bitcoin network settled over $19 trillion in transactions in 2024, more than double the $8.7 trillion settled in 2023. At the height of the 2021 bull market, Bitcoin’s transaction volume reached approximately $47 trillion. However, this volume significantly declined in 2022 and 2023. Nevertheless, in 2024, Bitcoin’s network reestablished itself as a store of value and medium of exchange with over $19 trillion settled. Robert Kiyosaki, author of the best-selling book Rich Dad, Poor Dad, has predicted Bitcoin’s price to range between $175,000 and $350,000 in 2025. A strong advocate of Bitcoin, Kiyosaki believes the cryptocurrency can serve as a hedge against global economic volatility. According to data from SaylorTracker, MicroStrategy currently holds 446,400 Bitcoin worth approximately $43.7 billion. Michael Saylor, co-founder of MicroStrategy, shared a Bitcoin chart from SaylorTracker on January 5, hinting at potential Monday purchases. He tweeted, “Something on SaylorTracker.com doesn’t seem right.” The previous week, on December 29, Saylor shared a similar chart, and on December 30, MicroStrategy purchased 2,138 Bitcoin at an average price of $97,837 per unit. These purchases are part of the company’s 21/21 program, which aims to acquire $42 billion worth of Bitcoin through $21 billion in stock issuance and $21 billion in fixed-income securities. MicroStrategy’s inclusion in the Nasdaq Index on December 23, 2024, provided traditional stock investors indirect exposure to Bitcoin through ETFs. Following its inclusion, the company held a special shareholder meeting to secure approval for increasing funds to buy more Bitcoin. According to a December 23 filing with the SEC, MicroStrategy has requested shareholder approval to increase its Class A common stock from 330 million to 10.3 billion shares.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
1
Big test for BTCMorning folks, So, we're almost there - 100.5K area that we've discussed last time. BTC is almost completed the predefined XOP extension. Why this level is so important. Because it determines the results of H&S daily pattern - whether it will work or fail: Correspondingly, it tells where BTC will go - either back to the 108K top (or even higher) or starts deeper retracement to ~82-87K area. Besides, it is important to us because we have to make a decision on short position taking. Here we also could use 1H potential H&S pattern, with 99K area of the right arm and potential level for decision making. This is just to not risk too much. So, watching for completion of XOP, then 1H H&S - if everything goes as it should, thinking about short entry. If not - then start watching North.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sive-Morten
1
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Technical Analysis UpdateCurrent Technical Setup: Rectangle Formation: BTC’s price is consolidating in a continuation pattern, signaling that the prevailing uptrend remains intact. The longer this consolidation lasts, the more powerful the potential breakout due to the buildup of momentum. Upside Targets: A breakout from the rectangle could propel BTC towards $125,000–$130,000, aligned with Fibonacci extensions and prior bullish projections. This would mark a continuation of Bitcoin's impressive rally while remaining technically structured and sustainable. Support Levels: $78,000–$80,000: Critical support zone to maintain the bullish structure. Higher Low Formation: Reinforces buyers’ confidence and indicates the rally is built on a solid foundation. Market Implications: The current consolidation serves to stabilize the market, reducing the likelihood of a sharp correction. Sustained buying interest at current levels suggests healthy accumulation, further strengthening the bullish narrative. Outlook: As long as BTC holds above $78,000–$80,000, the technical picture remains firmly bullish. A breakout above the rectangle’s resistance could trigger a swift move toward six-figure levels, marking the next phase of the uptrend. Patience is key, as extended consolidations often lead to explosive upward moves.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Richtv_official
Professional Technical Analysis for Bitcoin + trade planTechnical Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Resistance Level: The red trendline indicates a strong resistance around $100,000 to $100,500. Bitcoin has tested this resistance and is showing signs of a possible reversal. Support Levels: Immediate support is around $98,000 (green horizontal line). Stronger support is in the orange zone between $96,000 and $97,000. Volume Analysis: Volume spikes are visible during resistance testing, suggesting selling pressure near $100,000. Indicators: VMC Cipher B Divergences: Showing bearish momentum divergence at the peak, indicating potential downward pressure. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Around 67, nearing overbought territory but not yet overextended. Money Flow Index (MFI): Indicates mild outflows, confirming weakening buying pressure. Stochastic RSI: Overbought levels, crossing downwards, further supporting a short-term pullback. Price Action: The price has been forming higher highs and higher lows, but the rejection from resistance hints at a temporary retracement. The projection shows a potential dip into the support zone ($96,000–$97,000) before resuming an uptrend. Trading Plan Short-Term Trading Plan: Entry Point: Wait for Bitcoin to retrace into the orange support zone ($96,000–$97,000). Place a buy limit order within this zone to capitalize on the anticipated bounce. Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss slightly below $95,500 to mitigate risk in case the price breaks key support. Take-Profit Targets: First Target: $100,000 (resistance retest). Second Target: $103,000 (continuation breakout above resistance). Risk-Reward Ratio: Maintain a minimum risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3 for this trade. Medium-Term Trading Plan: Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout If Bitcoin breaks above $100,500 with high volume, enter a momentum trade targeting $103,000–$105,000. Use trailing stop-loss to secure profits in case of reversal. Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown If Bitcoin closes below $96,000 with increasing volume, consider a short position targeting $93,000 as the next major support. Key Trading Notes: Monitor market sentiment and news, as fundamental factors can influence Bitcoin’s direction. Watch for divergences in the indicators (e.g., RSI, VMC Cipher) for early signs of trend reversals. Adjust position sizing based on risk tolerance and volatility in the crypto market.
Long
by elfabiiani
BITCOIN (BTC/USD) BASED ON 1H-TIME FRAME ANALYSIS, Based on the chart you provided, here's the current analysis: 1. **Current Price Action**: - BTC is trading near 97,800, within a rising channel. - There are visible higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), confirming the bullish momentum in the short term. 2. **Resistance Zone**: - The key resistance is marked at 99,000 (blue zone), where BTC previously reversed. This is a strong area to watch for potential selling pressure. 3. **Support Levels**: - Immediate support lies near 97,000 (orange zone). - A deeper support zone is visible around 95,500 to 96,000, which aligns with previous demand and bullish order blocks. 4. **Potential Scenarios**: - If the price continues its upward trend, a test of the 99,000 resistance zone seems likely. - Rejection from 99,000 could signal a retracement back to the 97,000 or even the 96,000 level for support retests. - Breaking and closing above 99,000 might open the door for BTC to target higher levels, possibly 100,000 or beyond. 5. **Market Structure**: - The chart shows a recent break of structure (BoS) to the upside, indicating bullish strength. - However, keep an eye on any potential change of character (ChoCh) near the resistance zones, which might suggest a reversal or slowdown. My Suggestion: - **For Bulls**: Look for buying opportunities on pullbacks near the 97,000 or 96,000 support zones with a target near 99,000. - **For Bears**: Wait for confirmation of rejection near the 99,000 resistance zone before considering a sell, targeting the lower support zones (97,000 or 96,000).
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Bitcoin on critical level Bitcoin is currently testing a critical resistance level, which is a price point where it often encounters significant selling pressure. This level acts as a barrier, and if the price successfully breaks above it, it could signal strong bullish momentum in the market. Such a breakout would likely attract more buyers, leading to notable upward price movements. On the other hand, if the resistance holds, Bitcoin might face a pullback or consolidation. Therefore, it’s essential to monitor the price action closely at this level, as it could indicate the next significant move in Bitcoin's trend.
by TheCryptoCity
Bitcoin is on critical level be careful Bitcoin is currently testing a critical resistance level, which is a price point where it often encounters significant selling pressure. This level acts as a barrier, and if the price successfully breaks above it, it could signal strong bullish momentum in the market. Such a breakout would likely attract more buyers, leading to notable upward price movements. On the other hand, if the resistance holds, Bitcoin might face a pullback or consolidation. Therefore, it’s essential to monitor the price action closely at this level, as it could indicate the next significant move in Bitcoin's trend.
by TheCryptoCity
ALTSEASON within Q1 of 2025?Many of us have been anticipating an altseason, especially considering it's been about 3 years since the bull run began, yet we still haven't experienced a significant one. Several factors seem to be holding it back, including high Bitcoin dominance, delayed institutional interest in altcoins, weak altcoin fundamentals, and challenging economic and macro conditions, such as elevated interest rates and recession fears, which limit speculative investments in riskier assets. However, my analysis suggests that an altseason may emerge within the 𝐖 wave and this phase could provide a glimpse of an altseason, potentially lasting around 90 days, or within 𝐐𝟏. Following this, we may enter a larger corrective phase during the 𝐗 wave, presenting a generational buying opportunity. This setup could pave the way for another altseason during the next leg down in the 𝐘 wave. 𝐃𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐥𝐚𝐢𝐦𝐞𝐫 : The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DEducation
by chase_ID
3
ETH Zigzag Short Setup (Elliott Wave)ETH has created a perfect zigzag pattern, with a triangle for wave-B. Since wave-B is a limiting contracting triangle, wave-C should relate to wave-a of B by 100% in price, and end around the apex of the triangle timewise. Both of these requirements have been perfectly fulfilled, and the standard time target of (a+b)/2=c is also satisfied. On top of this wave pattern, we also have the first wiseman forming on the 4hr, as well as momentum divergences on multiple shorter-term charts. At the higher timeframes, ETH and BTC have both hit long-term fibonacci targets, time targets, monthly/weekly/daily wisemen, and momentum divergences. All of these long-term and short-term signals and wave patterns are indicating a potential long-term top, and at the least a significant pull back to new lows. The 4hr wisemen on ETH gives us a good way to minimize our risk on this trade by putting our stops at today's highs. From here, we should quickly retrace all of wave-C faster than it was formed to get confirmation that the zigzag is over. After we have confirmation, we can be very confident that we are heading to new lows and will probably end this wave somewhere around $3,090 to $2,770
Short
by Intuit
1
Bitcoin Breaking the Horn or Sounding the Trumpet?In my last post on November 28, 2024, I discussed Bitcoin’s rising wedge and wondered if the “horn of doom” would break bearish or bullish. Since then, Bitcoin has surged, flowing its trumpet all the way to $108,388.88. Fast forward to today, and Bitcoin is once again at a critical juncture. For the past few days, it’s been trying to break through resistance at $99,264.37 the Fibonacci 0.786 level but has failed repeatedly. The big question is: 👉 Will Bitcoin blast through this key level and flip the trend around? 👉 Or are we looking at a possible retest of the Fibonacci 0.5 level? This could be the moment where Bitcoin either reignites its bullish momentum or takes a breather before the next big move. What do you think? 📉 Bearish retest or 📈 bullish breakout? Drop your comments below and share your thoughts!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
Bullish Cases for ENA/USDT#Bull_Insights #014 Coin Ticker : #ENA Market : Binance Time Frame : 1 Week. This report analyzes the bullish indicators for ENA/USDT as depicted in the provided chart, highlighting potential upward trends and investment opportunities based on technical analysis. Key Observations: Volume Surge : There's a noticeable increase in trading volume at the end of 2024, which often precedes significant price movements. High volume can indicate strong buying interest, suggesting a potential bullish trend. Price Consolidation : The price has been consolidating within a tight range, marked by the red dashed lines (approximately $1.2 - $1.4 USDT). Consolidation after a downtrend and rebound can lead to a breakout, often upwards if accompanied by increasing volume. Support and Resistance: The consolidation area acts as a strong support level. If ENA breaks above the resistance with significant volume, it could signal the start of a new uptrend. Moving Average Cross: Although not explicitly shown, the price action near what appears to be a moving average specifically on the daily time frame confirms a golden cross (short-term MA crossing above long-term MA), a bullish signal. Relative Strength Index (RSI) : The RSI, if considered, rebound from the oversold area and currently showing bullish sentiment with a divergence in the formation (not visible in the chart). An RSI moving upwards from an oversold condition or showing bullish divergence could confirm buying momentum. Pattern Formation : The price action seems to be forming a potential double bottom or and in some particular cases inverse head and shoulders pattern, both of which are bullish reversal patterns. Confirmation of these patterns with a breakout above the neckline or the red rectangle resistance area would be a strong bullish signal. Fibonacci Retracement: The price is currently near the 1.68 Fibonacci extension level. A bounce from these levels could indicate the resumption of the forming uptrend. 🔼Bullish Cases: Breakout Scenario: A breakout above the current resistance with high volume could lead to a target price calculated by the height of the consolidation range, potentially pushing ENA towards $1.6 - $1.8 USDT in the short term and will pave a way for the long term ATH move for the coin. Pattern Confirmation : If the patterns mentioned (double bottom or inverse head and shoulders) are confirmed, this could lead to significant price appreciation, targeting levels beyond the previous highs. Volume Confirmation: Continued increase in volume alongside price movement will validate the bullish case, suggesting strong market interest and potential for sustained growth. Fundamental View on the future of MIL:ENA : ▶️ Sector: DeFi ▶️ MC: $3.73B ▶️ FDV: $18.58B ▶️ Unlocked supply: 20.22% - Ethena is a synthetic dollar protocol built on Ethereum. - It offers a crypto-native solution for money that doesn't rely on traditional banking infrastructure. - Additionally, it provides a globally accessible, dollar-denominated savings instrument — the "Internet Bond." Conclusion: The current technical setup for ENA/USDT shows several bullish indicators. However, investors should watch for confirmation through volume and price action before making investment decisions. Always consider broader market conditions and news related to ENA that could affect its price independently of technical indicators. Recommendation: Monitor ENA/USDT closely for breakout signals above the current resistance. If confirmed with volume, consider entering long positions with stops below the consolidation area for risk management.
Long
by cryptotalk_et
Bitcoin: Bullish Until 90K Is Broken.Bitcoin has found support in the low 90K area (read my previous week's analysis). As long as 90K stays intact it is within reason to continue to have bullish expectations. Also wrote in the previous article that overly optimistic expectations are not in line with the developing price structure. Based on the inside bar formation that is developing now (see arrow), price is likely to test the 102,500 area minor resistance. IF it gets there, and what happens after is anyone's GUESS. The idea here is to be prepared for the coming week by coming to the market with a sense of context while at the same time being open to ANYTHING. The market decides what actually happens, the only thing we can do is adjust and follow. I like to think of everything within a limited range of scenarios. "If this scenario, then that" or "if this other scenario, then that other outcome". For example, IF the current candle closes as a doji and the high is cleared over the next day, price is likely to squeeze into the next resistance area which happens to be in the 102Ks (see thin rectangle). This information can help you to prepare for bullish setups and confirmations on smaller time frames to capture a portion of the 4K point potential. This is where a confirmation tool like my Trade Scanner Po comes into play. You come to the market with an idea and the tool provides an objective confirmation with defined risk and profit objective. IF the current candle develops into a bearish engulfing instead, that would cancel out the bullish idea and increase the likelihood of price retesting the 90K AREA support zone. A location where long setups should be anticipated UNTIL the level is compromised. Again the market moves first, and then from there we can better anticipate the following movement. At this point there is not much to do but wait for a confirmation one way or the other. The 100K area may also act as a psychological resistance so taking swing trades or positions with longer time horizons carries a lot more risk compared to signals around the low 90ks. How you navigate the market depends heavily on the time horizon you choose. Smaller time horizons have smaller associated risk, but a larger amount of noise and false signals. Larger time frames are less noisy and offer larger movements, but the risk is much greater. It is possible to operate on multiple time frames but requires a decent amount of experience. And while Bitcoin is still generally bullish, that does not mean it will stay that way. It is better to keep an open mind than to get married to an opinion ESPECIALLY if the source of that opinion came from some "expert". For better perspective, keep an eye on the weekly or monthly time frame. If the low of the current monthly candle is compromised, some kind of corrective move is likely to follow, NOT BTC 1.2 million. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
29
TOTAL2 Index Set to Surge Towards $2.5 Trillion!CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 📈Which side you pick? Bulls or Bears This chart shows the gravity points for the TOTAL2 index. It also describes the potential targets and their different probabilities of realization. The nearest zones within this structure are highlighted in green. After TOTAL2 broke above 1.29 trillion dollars, and with Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) decreasing, a very likely scenario for TOTAL2 is reaching the 2.5 trillion-dollar level. ⚡️Target: 2.5T
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2Long
by CrazyS
#202501 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr bitcoin: Neutral. 91000 - 100000 is the range and market is going back and forth in it. No deeper meaning to this since we have been in it for 3 weeks now, which means the market is in balance. We will likely see a breakout next week and both sides have equal chances as of now. comment: 2024 closed at 93401, so my guess for the close was decent. Now bears need to start picking it up again and get a daily close below 90k. Since we are in a tight trading range, the market is in balance and we could also retest 108k before more downside. Nothing I am currently very interested in trading. current market cycle: Bull trend with a blow-off top. We are at the very end of it. It will turn soon. Daily close below 90k is confirmation for the bears. key levels: 90k - 110k bull case: Bulls have going for them that we are in a trading range close to 100k. The problem for them is, the longer they can’t find acceptance above 100k, the more likely it becomes that we test down again. A daily close above 100k is what they need for probably a retest of the ath at 108k. Invalidation is below 90k. bear case: Bears still not doing enough. I start writing more for them once we have a daily close below 90k. I still expect the selling to accelerate below it but for now we are stuck at the highs. First target below 90k is the 50% retracement for the Trump rally at 88k. Below that the breakout retest 74k. Invalidation is above 101k. short term: Neutral again between 90k and 100k. Clear invalidation levels given, now it’s about patience. I highly doubt bulls can get another leg up. Same outlook was last weeks. medium-long term: 75000 is my biggest target for now and until bears get there, any lower target is just unreasonable. My bias is bearish going into 2025 and I think the odds of a bigger leg down are good. current swing trade: None chart update: Nothing
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by priceactiontds
BTC Neural AI Strategy tuned for ETH crypto showing buy signalHey everyone. Here's a new trade idea potentially for ETH. I created a a new trading strategy script for Bitcoin, and I tuned the parameters for ETH. The original script is called the "BITCOIN BTC Neural AI Strategy." It creates a neural network using RSI, MACD, and EMA which are weighted and undergo a mathematical transformation to result in a single value. Plotting the single value, and adding thresholds gives you the ability to trade. This is the strategy script, but I also have the indicator script which can be used to automate buy and sell signals directly to your phone, email, or your bot. After adapting the parameters for ETH, I get a winning backtested strategy (see attached image): Based on the backtest, and the average winning trade, I feel like this could be an area where ETH continues to increase. Since the Buy signal was triggered, ETH already went up but I believe there is more growth especially since the sell signal has not yet been triggered yet, and the Neural Proxy line is showing it is closer to ANOTHER buy signal instead of a sell signal. I don't want to explain the script and how it works since this is a 'publish idea' and not a 'publish script' post, but I'll link the original script publication, or you can just find it on my profile :) How to Use The Indicator/strategy Look at the Neural Proxy line—it’s color-coded and easy to spot. For traders who only trade long: When the Neural Proxy line is above 0.5 = buy When the Neural Proxy line is below -0.5 = sell For traders who only trade short: When the Neural Proxy line is above 0.5 = exit the short When the Neural Proxy line is below -0.5 = enter the short This strategy (and the pairing indicator script) is able to be used to trade long only, short only, or both long & short to maximize trade opportunities.
Long
by nhbprod