Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Analysis – Divergence and Bearish Setuphello guys!
Divergence Between Price and RSI:
The chart shows a clear bearish divergence between price action and the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
Price made higher highs, while the RSI formed lower highs, signaling weakening bullish momentum and the potential for a reversal.
Price Action Analysis:
The price reached the QML2 zone (~$103,000), and there is a clear rejection, suggesting selling pressure.
The price is now heading toward QML1, located at around $95,600.
If the price breaks QML1 and holds below, the next support target is around $93,455, where further downside could be expected.
Support and Target Zones:
Support Area 1: QML1 (~$95,600) – key level to monitor for possible breakdown.
Support Area 2: QML2 (~$93,455) – potential next stop if QML1 breaks.
Resistance Zone: Around $103,000 – the price has been rejected from here, acting as a strong resistance level.
RSI Analysis:
The RSI is showing signs of bearish divergence, which often precedes a price correction or reversal.
RSI Below 50: If the RSI drops below the 50 mark, it could indicate increasing bearish momentum.
Trade Setup:
Bearish Setup:
Entry: Short position below $95,600 (if price breaks QML1 and retests it as resistance).
Take Profit: First target at $93,455, then possibly lower towards $91,000.
Conclusion:
Bearish Bias: The combination of price rejection at the upper resistance level and RSI divergence points to a potential price decline.
Key Levels to Watch: The immediate breakdown below $95,600 and subsequent test of $93,455 will be critical for further downside.
Bitcoin Wyckoff Distribution 2025Some very concerning facts which I would like to share with you.
This looks like a perfect Wyckoff Distribution to me and I will also post another chart image below with other things to notice!
I can not post the wyckoff image here but go to this link and look for the SChematic #1 and compare for yourself! www.wyckoffanalytics.com
here the other chart:
BTC (Y25.P1.E1).A few setupsHi Traders,
Returned from a 6 week break and now my thoughts on BTC.
Some time back I stated I would not be surprised if BTC ranges for some time before making new highs.
I still feel that we are in this channel with a corrective pattern of some sort.
The vwap and some levels of significance with fibs tends to make me believe we will sill hit the lows with a potential rejection here (no trade entry). But the wedge structure could make it hit its target at teh 618 fib for a short entry (like a fake out) and then drop.
The blue and red a vwaps from different pivot points.
We look for the response with our 2 methods. SFP or FA.
We go into detail at the time, for a trade entry. At times we miss out because we are not online.
All the best,
S.SAri
.
BTC, time to prepare for the range breakout!Hello everyone,
I detected some interesting patterns in the current Bitcoin daily chart.
The first range boundary was set mid of November 24, the upper range boundary on Dezember 17. The retest of the lower boundary was at January 13. Maybe you realise the time between the price events is very similiar, so I would expect to see a breakout to happen around the 10th of February (+/- 5 days) . This aligns very well with the seasonal pattern (February is the strongest month for BTC in historical data).
Also we are printing higher lows and are back in the upper part of the range, which is a good position to get ready for the breakout. Targets in the region of 120k are very likely within the next weeks. This aligns very well with the wave count I follow for a while now. You can see the bigger picture in other ideas I published.
BTCUSD: Falling Wedge close to breaking to $105.5kBitcoin is marginally bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.917, MACD = -782.200, ADX = 41.331) but neutral on both 1H and 4H, as it is close to conclude a Falling Wedge. Today the price held the 1H MA50 for the first time after a test of the pattern's top, which increases the chances of a bullish break out. Buy only if the break out happens and target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 105,500), which happens to be just under the R1 level.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Bitcoin is mimicking gold: Fractals are bullish!Bitcoin is following gold in its pattern formation. Fractal analysis of gold and Bitcoin reveals similarities in both charts. While gold is slightly ahead of Bitcoin, the same pattern is emerging on Bitcoin’s chart. If Bitcoin follows gold’s performance, it is likely to break out of this widening wedge pattern and reach new all-time highs, aligning with my previous analysis.
Market Update: Tariffs, Trade Shifts & Bitcoin's Next MoveCME:BTC1!
News and Economic Calendar Update
President Trump announced 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminum imports, effective Monday, with reciprocal tariffs to follow on Tuesday or Wednesday. As Trump has shared, “if they tax us, we tax them the same amount.” This move is expected to reshape global trade relations, with China reportedly considering probes into U.S. tech firms such as Broadcom (AVGO) and Synopsys (SNPS), according to WSJ. Japan's PM Ishiba remains optimistic about avoiding higher U.S. tariffs, while Australia and India are negotiating exemptions and trade concessions. Meanwhile, the EU has hinted at retaliatory measures should new tariffs be imposed.
The U.S. dollar strengthened following Friday’s jobs report and fresh tariff announcements, while the Japanese yen under-performed. The EUR/USD briefly dipped below 1.03 before rebounding, and the British pound remained stable ahead of comments from BoE’s Mann. U.S. Treasury yields were unchanged, while European bunds edged higher amid rising trade concerns.
Gold surged to an all-time high above $2,900/oz, reflecting increased demand for safe-haven assets due to tariff uncertainty. Meanwhile, crude oil reached session highs, and European natural gas prices climbed to a two-year peak due to colder temperatures and tight storage.
Looking Ahead
Key upcoming data releases include Fed Chair Powell’s testimony, U.S. CPI data, Chinese M2 Money Supply, and U.S. retail sales. Additionally, multiple central bank officials are scheduled to speak throughout the week, providing further insights into monetary policy direction.
Macro Update: Trade War 2.0 and Tariff Shifts Impact Markets.
The latest reciprocal tariff announcements from Trump, in our view, presents a strategic opportunity for the U.S. This approach enables negotiations for lower tariffs on U.S. exports with individual trading partners, fostering a more flexible and targeted trade policy. This shift aligns more with global trade integration and could provide a more balanced framework for U.S. exporters.
Gold continues to exhibit renewed strength as a safe-haven asset, marking fresh all-time highs amid market uncertainty. Meanwhile, Bitcoin—often referred to as "digital gold"—has lagged behind, struggling in a climate of risk-off sentiment. However, it remains within its post-election trading range, signaling resilience despite broader market volatility.
At the fiscal level, U.S. House Republican leaders are proposing federal spending cuts ranging between $2 trillion to $2.5 trillion, according to Punchbowl sources. These cuts are expected to focus heavily on Medicaid spending. However, the effectiveness of government spending adjustments remains in question—whether such measures will enhance efficiency or simply reduce overall spending is yet to be seen. In addition, extending President Trump’s tax proposals could cut revenue by $5-11T over a decade, potentially pushing U.S. debt to 132-149% of GDP by 2035. Senate Republicans propose $342B in border and defense spending, with offsetting cuts. Meanwhile, Musk’s DOGE Service aims to automate government functions, reduce the federal workforce, and slash spending.
Bitcoin Big Picture:
Bitcoin has been consolidating after making new all time highs post US elections. Although price action and consolidation points towards further bullishness. We remain cautious and prepared for any of the scenarios that may happen as a result of many different factors influencing risk assets and market sentiment.
To better manage your exposure to Bitcoin, consider using CME’s Micro Bitcoin and Bitcoin Friday Futures . Additionally, you can take part in the CME and TradingView paper trading competition, allowing you to showcase your Micro Bitcoin trading skills in The Leap —risk-free.
Key Levels to Watch
Key levels represent areas of interest and zones of active market participation. The more significant a key level, the closer we monitor it for potential reactions and trade setups in alignment with our trading plan.
Yearly Hi: 110,920
mCVAH: 104,400
Dec 2024 mid range: 101,570
Jan 2025 mid range: 100,610
mCVPOC: 98,075
mCVAL: 93,730
Key Bull Support: 92,505 - 90,000
Scenario 1: Further chop and acceptance
In this scenario, we may see price action remain range bound. Traders look for clarity on how policy may affect market sentiment before further committing capital.
Scenario 2: New ATHs
Price attempts to create new ATHs which marks a significant move. Although bitcoin created new all time highs in January 2025, these were rejected and price action pointed towards market top.
Scenario 3: Souring market sentiment
Scenario 2 and 3 requires remaining alert to all developments as fundamental and macro news is turning ever so significant in driving short-term volatility and price action.
Any further hint towards tighter monetary policy and tighter fiscal policy may send BTC prices lower very quickly.
XNO/USDT Breaks Out from Falling Wedge Anticipating 100%+ GainsXNO/USDT has recently exhibited a significant technical development, breaking out from a falling wedge pattern—a formation often indicative of a potential bullish reversal. This breakout, accompanied by substantial trading volume, suggests a shift in market sentiment towards optimism. Investors are now eyeing potential gains in the range of 100% to 120% or more, reflecting heightened interest in this project.
As of February 10, 2025, Nano (XNO) is trading at approximately $1.34, with an intraday high of $1.58 and a low of $1.098. This price movement underscores the volatility and the emerging bullish momentum in the market. The recent surge in trading volume further reinforces the positive outlook, as increased activity often correlates with growing investor confidence.
The successful breakout from the falling wedge pattern is a pivotal moment for XNO/USDT. Historically, such breakouts are followed by substantial upward price movements, especially when supported by strong volume. The current technical indicators align with this narrative, suggesting that XNO may be poised for significant appreciation in value.
In conclusion, the combination of the falling wedge breakout, robust trading volume, and renewed investor interest positions XNO/USDT as a compelling opportunity in the cryptocurrency market. Traders and investors should monitor this pair closely, as it exhibits the potential for notable gains in the near future.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #1👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
This is the first analysis in the Bitcoin series on the channel, which will be uploaded daily. In this series, we will analyze futures triggers that can provide us with positions on the same day. Therefore, most of the analyses will be conducted in lower timeframes.
✨ However, in today’s analysis, I will also cover Bitcoin in higher timeframes since this is the first analysis and needs to be comprehensive.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly timeframe, we see a strong uptrend where the last leg started from the 54,900 bottom and moved up to the 104,700 resistance. The candle volume has been mostly bullish, aligning with the uptrend.
🔍 Currently, the price is resting below the 104,700 resistance, and the last weekly candle, which closed just yesterday, resembles a rolling pin, indicating indecision among buyers and sellers as the price moved both up and down but ultimately closed in a range.
💥 In RSI, there are two crucial support levels. The first is at 61.85, which RSI is currently near, and if it reacts positively to this level, a new bullish momentum could enter the market. The next support is at 43.90, a critical level for market momentum. As long as RSI stays above this level, bullish momentum remains in the market.
🔼 For the next bullish leg to start, RSI likely needs to enter the overbought zone, attracting more buyers and initiating the next wave. In terms of price action, breaking the 104,700 resistance would be the best trigger for the next move.
⚡️ On the other hand, the price has so far corrected to the 0.236 Fibonacci level near 90,000 and still has the potential for further corrections. If it continues, the next support levels are at the 0.382 and 0.618 Fibonacci zones, which overlap with 81,800 and 70,000, respectively.
📣 Since this series will have daily updates and we will analyze the weekly timeframe after each weekly candle closes, I won’t discuss lower supports or higher resistances until the time is right.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, the price is ranging between 91,925 and 106,612. As seen, the price has been rejected from the range high for the second time and has dropped to 96,312.
🧩 Bearish momentum has been decreasing since reaching the 96,312 support, and a rounding formation is gradually forming. A positive aspect is that if Bitcoin establishes a bottom in this zone and moves toward the range high again, it will create a higher low compared to the 91,925 support, increasing the chances of a breakout to the upside.
📊 The volume of the last red candles in the bearish leg has been quite low. In the two recent green candles from yesterday and today, the volume is also very low, meaning the price might soon start its movement. So, it’s best to move to lower timeframes to find a suitable futures trigger.
⌛️ 4-Hour Timeframe
In this timeframe, I won’t analyze much but will instead focus on identifying futures triggers.
🔽 For a short position, the setup is quite clear. There is a solid trigger at 95,798, which the price has tested multiple times, making it a reliable trigger. Since this short position is being opened within the range and near the range low, it should be taken quickly and secured at low risk-to-reward ratios like 2 or 3. It is not an ideal trigger for a long-term trade.
📈 For a long position, the first trigger was the breakout of 97,304, which has already happened, and the price has confirmed above this level. If you haven’t taken a position on this breakout, you can enter on a pullback if a suitable candle forms or if there’s a trigger in lower timeframes. Keep in mind that this trigger is the riskiest, so enter with minimal risk.
✔️ The next long trigger is at 98,937, which is more reliable. If the price stabilizes above this level, we can expect a bullish leg toward the range high.
⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe
In this timeframe, as seen, the price is pulling back to the 97,304 level while engulfing the previous red candles. RSI is also stabilizing above 64.12. If the candle closes as it is, a long position will be suitable. The key resistance level is at 99,730.
📉 For a short position, the trigger remains similar to the 4-hour timeframe. However, since the price has faked this level in this timeframe, we should wait for another reaction at this area to confirm the actual trigger point.
⭐️ Now, let's analyze the dominance charts. A full dominance analysis will be provided separately. The Total2 analysis will be posted tonight, and the USDT.D and BTC.D analyses will be done tomorrow, but for now, they will be reviewed in the 1-hour timeframe.
⌛️ BTC.D Analysis
In the 1-hour timeframe, we see Bitcoin dominance increasing after reaching the 61.34 bottom, which has contributed to Bitcoin’s recovery following the fake breakdown at 95,798.
👑 If dominance stabilizes above 62%, more money will flow into Bitcoin. In this scenario, if the market moves upward, Bitcoin will rise more than most altcoins, and if the market drops, Bitcoin will decline less than others. The main resistance is at 62.66.
💫 On the other hand, if dominance falls below 61.34, less money will enter Bitcoin. In a bullish market, Bitcoin will underperform altcoins, and in a bearish market, Bitcoin will drop more significantly.
⌛️ Total2 Analysis
In the 1-hour timeframe, the 1.22 level in Total2 overlaps with 97,304 in Bitcoin. However, as seen, Total2 is still below this support and hasn’t confirmed above it yet. The reason is the increasing Bitcoin dominance, causing altcoins to move less than Bitcoin.
☀️ The main resistance in Total2 at this timeframe is 1.28, which is also the key long trigger.
🔽 For a short position, Total2 offers a better trigger than Bitcoin. If Total2 breaks below 1.16 while Bitcoin dominance increases, shorting altcoins will be a better option than Bitcoin.
⌛️ USDT.D Analysis
As seen, the candle has closed below the 4.51 support in this index, and it has more overlap with Bitcoin than Total2.
✔️ The trigger for an increase in USDT dominance is 4.64, which would lead to a market decline. The alignment of this trigger with the short triggers in Total2 and Bitcoin could provide strong confirmation for those trades.
🔑 For a long position, breaking below the 4.40 support in this index would be a good signal. The main support is currently at 4.22, and if this level is broken, the market could begin its next bullish leg.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Bitcoin is hunting for liquidity, What's next?📊 After attempting to break $100K, Bitcoin faced another rejection.
What’s happening now?
The SMA shows that Bitcoin is still in a short-term downtrend, struggling to gain momentum.
Right now, it’s hovering around $96,400 – $96,500, trying to stabilize.
The key support to watch is $94,400 – $94,600—if it holds, we could see a bounce. If not, things might get shaky.
On the upside, Bitcoin needs to break $100K first before making a real move toward $103K and beyond.
For now, all eyes are on the $94K support.
Will BINANCE:BTCUSDT hold or dip lower? What do you think?
EUR/USD : First SELL, then BUY! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 3-day EUR/USD chart, we can see that, as expected, the price has resumed its correction and is currently trading around 1.03. I still anticipate further downside movement in this range.
The key demand zones are 1.02, 1.005, and 0.99. So, the strategy remains: first, look for SELL opportunities, and then wait for a solid BUY trigger at these levels! 🚀
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
10/02/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $102,496.97
Last weeks low: $91,204.00
Midpoint: $96,850.48
Another week of Bitcoin within the range and another one begins. With a very familiar low of ~$91K holding for the 10th week running (since the end of NOV '24), with a weekly high of $102,500 (last weekly outlooks midpoint) capping off the highs, will this weeks midpoint also act as the pivatol level? So far the midpoint has been reclaimed, a retest should add confluence to this.
We have a midweek CPI data release with a forecast 0.0% change remaining at 2.9%. These data events often cause LTF volatility and so that should be taken into account, the same is true for PPI on Friday.
Currently the market sentiment is pretty dire, the fear & greed index is at 43, the lowest since before the US Presidential Election.
Altcoins are struggling across the board, with the exception of some CEX coins all large-midcaps are below the 4H 200 EMA. I think that will change if BTC has a strong rally back above the weekly high and reclaims it, that will give the bulls the chance to finally break the $106K brick wall and flip from a rangebound environment into a trending environment again, altcoins would rally very well if this were to happen.
On the other hand is the midpoint is lost then the weekly low will need to hold for the 11th week running.
Good luck traders!
BITCOIN This is what happened on the last 1D MA100 double test.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hit yesterday its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the second time in 6 days and is reacting on a bullish note early today following basically 4 straight flat 1D candles.
We mentioned the importance of the 1D MA100 as a Bull Cycle demand level on previous analyses. What we didn't discuss though is how BTC behaved the last time we had a 1D MA100 double test on such short time-frame.
As you can see, the last time Bitcoin had a 1D MA100 Double Test within a 1-week time-frame was on October 10 2024 and the one before that on May 08 2024. The common characteristics of both those fractals was that the 1D RSI held the 43.00 level (just like it's doing today) and the price rebounded to hit the respective Resistance Zone from the previous High. Channel Up patterns emerged on both occasions, the difference is that in May 2024 BTC got rejected on the Resistance Zone, while on October 2024 it broke to the upside aggressively following the U.S. elections.
As a result, we can target at least $108k on the short-term. Since long-term Accumulation Phases like March - October 2024 only take place two times at most during each Cycle (and we've already had this twice already), we give more probabilities to an extended rally like November - December to a new All Time High. Long-term traders may seek to sell these positions when the 1D RSI approaches the 85.00 profit taking level (overbought).
But what do you think? Is BTC starting a rally to at least $108000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
300% gains Best Level to BUY/HOLD DOGE 5 waves correction🔸Hello guys, today let's review H4 price chart for DOGE. Currently pullback in progress, expecting more losses in this market before potential decent reversal/bounce off the lows.
🔸Previously we had a nice run from 8 cents to 40 cents, 500% gains. Currently expecting 5 waves correction to complete at/near 12 cents.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: BUY/HOLD low at/near 12 cents once
the 5 wave correction is complete. A/B/C bounce into 36 cents.
300% unleveraged gains possible, patience required. good luck!
🎁Please hit the like button and
🎁Leave a comment to support our team!
RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Tricks around 102.4K targetMorning folks,
So, our weekly bearish DRPO "Sell" pattern has been confirmed. It means that until market either complete its 81K target or remains under 102.5K its invalidation point - this pattern presents the risk for the bulls.
With all this stuff on the table we make two decisions. First is - we cut potential upside target down to 102.4K area by two reasons. First - this is 0.618 expansion and it agrees with major 5/8 resistance level. Second - this is invalidation point of weekly DRPO "Sell" pattern.
So, conclusion is follows. For long-term traders we suggest to not consider any new long positions until DRPO is valid. For short entry with DRPO - keep an eye on 102.5K area.
For intraday traders we suggest that long position is still acceptable but with the new 102.4K target and very tight stop - just under 94K lows. Market has to start upside action now. If it will not happen, then it will not happen at all and weekly DRPO will start working.
I mark this setup as "Bullish" because of 102.4 target. But, in general we have bearish view until DRPO stands in place.
MicroStrategy (MSTR) AnalysisCompany Overview:
MicroStrategy NASDAQ:MSTR combines business intelligence solutions with a Bitcoin-focused investment strategy, holding 471,107 BTC (~$18B) as of now. The company has made significant strides in Bitcoin accumulation, positioning itself as a leveraged play on Bitcoin’s price appreciation.
Key Catalysts:
Aggressive Bitcoin Accumulation 📈
MicroStrategy continues to expand its Bitcoin holdings, raising $563M through an 8% Series A Preferred Stock offering to buy more BTC.
The "21/21" Plan 💡
This plan aims to raise $42B over three years, positioning MSTR as a strategic Bitcoin growth bet.
Indirect Bitcoin Exposure for Institutions 💰
With regulatory uncertainty around Bitcoin ETFs, MSTR offers a secure method for institutional investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin through equity.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on MSTR above $295.00-$300.00, reflecting its Bitcoin-centric strategy and institutional adoption.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $600.00-$620.00, driven by continued Bitcoin accumulation and the growth of institutional interest in crypto exposure.
📢 MicroStrategy—The Bitcoin-Business Intelligence Hybrid. #Bitcoin #CryptoExposure #MSTR
Bitcoin (BTC) – Current Market OverviewConsolidation Range:
Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a well-defined range between $92,000 and $108,000, with significant support holding above the $90,000 mark. This range presents trading opportunities for both buyers and sellers depending on market conditions.
The $92,000 support level is particularly important, as it provides a base for the price to hold above and indicates strong demand. As long as BTC remains above this level, the bullish outlook stays intact.
Market Dynamics & Volatility:
Recent selling pressure has caused some downward movement, but the price staying above $90,000 suggests that buyers are still in control, which supports a bullish thesis.
The market’s decreasing volatility indicates that Bitcoin is likely building momentum for a major move, with the current phase acting as a consolidation or accumulation period. This narrowing range could lead to a significant breakout once the price shifts direction.
Key Levels:
Resistance: The $108,000 level is a crucial resistance point. A breakout above this level could send Bitcoin on a bullish rally toward $124,000, as the price would be clearing a key area of selling pressure.
Support: The $92,000 support remains vital. A sustained drop below this level would put significant pressure on the bullish case, and further downside could challenge the current market structure.
Outlook:
Bitcoin appears to be coiling for a major move, with the market likely preparing for a breakout in either direction. A break above $108,000 could lead to further upside toward $124,000, while a drop below $92,000 would raise concerns about potential bearish action.
Conclusion:
Consolidation around the $92,000 to $108,000 range is providing an opportunity for Bitcoin to build momentum, with buyers maintaining control for now. A breakout above $108,000 would potentially push Bitcoin towards $124,000, but careful monitoring of the $92,000 support is key for maintaining the bullish outlook.
Bitcoin Macro Update: Echoes of 2015-2017 | Gold, M2, and CPI
In this macro update, I dive into Bitcoin’s price action and how it mirrors the 2015-2017 cycle. We analyze key macroeconomic indicators, including Gold, Global M2 money supply, and FRED data, to understand Bitcoin’s positioning in the broader financial landscape. With inflationary pressures and CPI trends shaping liquidity flows, is Bitcoin primed for another parabolic run? lets let the market decide.