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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)

Bitcoin: Break Out Or Fake Out Can Be Long.Bitcoin has adhered to my previous week's anticipated scenario almost exactly. While this may be a coincidence, I have called similar scenarios like this numerous times just see my previous articles, I left the illustration on the chart. From here, there are two scenarios to consider, one offering greater probability than the other. Let me explain. First consider that the Bitcoin trend has never changed. The broader tend is bullish and the previous weeks only saw a brief corrective structure which found support in the 102K AREA )see my previous article). A reversal developed and confirmed and now we are in the process of rallying back toward the highs. Scenario 1 The Breakout: IF the high 106's are cleared, it is possible price can break out to potentially test the next resistance around the 110K area. Since this environment is typically a lower volume time of year, I believe there is a greater chance of fake out. How you manage the risk all depends on the time frame you operate on. Smaller time frames can pin point more accurate signs of follow through while maintaining tighter risk while taking the breakout on this time frame exposes you to more risk. If taking the breakout on this time frame, consider mitigating risk with smaller size or being prepared to exit IF a conflicting signal appears like a bearish pin bar. Scenario 2 The Retrace: IF price rejects the 106K area (fake out possibility) then I will be watching for a retest of the 104K area minor support. This is the level where I would be looking for confirmation patterns like bullish pin bars etc. This would not only constitute a higher low but also establish a classic inverted head and shoulders pattern. I do not put a lot of emphasis on the broader pattern, but it can help foster a self fulfilling prophecy. This reversal offers a greater probability since it is coming from a pullback within a broader bullish trend. Also the profit objective is greater since the 110K resistance would still be the same. How you mange this again depends on the type of strategies you employ. My analysis is meant to provide an overall roadmap of the possibilities that I anticipate and nothing more. If you are a day trader this information will not be used the same way compared to if you are a swing trader. The key is how you define the risk and the confirmations. If the market rejects both scenarios, then we simply have to readjust to the new information that becomes available. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
7
BTC, where we can setup our sell positions.Hello, dear traders! It's Nika again. I want to share this beautiful pattern and tell you some about its meaning... --- So, as we see here, we have this "triangular-shaped uprising pattern". We got this pattern with its own few supporting and formatting levels. Almost all of them are marked on our chart! --- The "usage" of this may be something like this... First, we may see the price testing an important price level of pattern 96,000,00 very soon... --- After, if the price continues checking support levels below, we may also see the 91 & 89 K price levels. You will profit from this price movement only if the price goes this way. :) --- Wishing you a happy trading day and much more success in your trades! --- If you have any questions, please comment or send a message. Thank you!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Nika-Lekishvili
BTCUSD - Technical Setup Points to Renewed UpsideLooking at this Bitcoin/USD daily chart, the technical setup strongly favors upside continuation despite the recent pullback from the $113,000 highs. The cryptocurrency has demonstrated remarkable resilience by maintaining support above the $100,000 psychological level after its dramatic surge from the March lows around $60,000, representing an 80%+ rally that established a clear bullish trend structure. The current consolidation pattern around $104,000 appears to be a healthy correction within the broader uptrend, with the green arrow projection suggesting potential for further gains toward the $115,000+ region. Key supporting factors include the sustained break above multiple resistance levels, the formation of higher lows throughout the uptrend, and the relatively shallow nature of the current pullback compared to the magnitude of the preceding advance. While short-term volatility remains elevated, the overall momentum and trend structure indicate that buyers are likely to step in on any weakness, making a resumption of the uptrend the higher probability scenario. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:BTCUSDLong
by financialflagship
#202523 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Day and I hope you are well. comment: 3 legs down, bull flag trend line break but confirmation is only above 106840. It’s still much more bullish than bearish, since bears could not close the gap down to the April high 97915. Market expects a re-test of 110000 or higher and this breakout of the bull flag is as textbook perfect as it gets. Only a daily close below 100000 will change my bias and I will begin to look for lower targets again. current market cycle: Broad bull channel on the weekly tf. Market is about to re-test the ath and will likely transition into a trading range afterwards or we are already in one. key levels: 100k - 115k bull case: Confirmation for the bull flag breakout is 106840, stop has to be 100300. 110000 is expected and you never know in advance if you get a a higher or lower high from double tops/test of the extremes. Invalidation is a daily close below 100k bear case: Bears tried 3 times and are likely to give up until we have a credible double top and more signs that the bulls are exhausted and can not push much beyond 110k. Can you sell 106k now and hope for a failed breakout? I don’t think that is a good trade at all. As a bear I would wait. Invalidation is above 116k short term: Bullish for 110k, invalidation is below 100k. I don’t expect much above 110k, maybe 115k. medium-long term - Update from 2025-06-08: Need to see a clear sign that bulls can not push it beyond 112k and once we turn again from closer to the ath, I will comment on bear targets for the next months.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by priceactiontds
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #111👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s take a look at Bitcoin and key crypto indicators. As usual in this analysis, I’ll review the futures triggers for the New York session. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe As you can see in the 1-hour timeframe, none of our triggers were activated yesterday and Bitcoin has been ranging. ⭐ There was an important RSI level at 53.49, which was tested multiple times. I mentioned that breaking this level could trigger a slight correction — and that’s exactly what happened. The price pulled back slightly to 105087, retested this zone, and now RSI has returned above 53.49. Price is also moving with strong bullish momentum toward the 105851 resistance. 📊 The buying volume entering the market is quite strong, and if this increase continues, the price could begin an upward move. So in terms of both momentum and volume, we have bullish confirmation and can enter a position if the triggers activate. 📈 For a long position, the trigger we’re watching is 105851. While the main resistance is at 106586, I prefer to take the risk and open the position earlier, because I think the 106586 break won’t provide a clean entry and would be harder to act on. ✨ So my chosen trigger for a long position is 105851. Given the rising volume and high RSI momentum, we have the confirmations needed to open this trade. 🔽 For a short position, the first trigger is the break of 105087. This is a risky position since we haven’t yet confirmed a trend reversal — this would be the first signal if a downtrend begins. Personally, I’ll wait for confirmation of bearish momentum before opening a short. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Bitcoin Dominance is still below the 64.67 level and is ranging under this resistance. 🧩 A break above 64.67 would confirm a bullish move in dominance. A break below 64.49 would signal a bearish reversal. 📅 Total2 Analysis Total2 is ranging below the 1.15 level. A break above this zone could initiate a bullish move. 🔔 On the bearish side, the current trigger is the 1.13 level. We need to wait for this level to be broken for a trend reversal confirmation. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Tether Dominance stabilized below the 4.79 zone yesterday and has now pulled back to it, preparing for a possible second leg downward. 🔑 If that happens, the crypto market could move upward. However, if USDT.D rises back above 4.79, its uptrend could continue. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
7
Bitcoin’s Reversal from Supports — Is the Correction Over? Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved as I expected in the previous idea , and it also reversed the decline I intended and started to rise from the Support zone($102,000-$107,120) , Support lines , and 50_SMA(Daily) . Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($104,380-$103,670) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($105,500-$105,265) , and Resistance lines . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has managed to complete the main wave Y . The main corrective structure was the Double Three Correction(WXY) . If the Resistance lines are broken , we can confirm the end of the main wave Y . I expect Bitcoin to start rising after a re-correction from Cumulative Long Liquidations Leverage and reach the targets I have specified on the chart. Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $102,883-$102,181 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $101,318-$100,748 Note: If Bitcoin falls below $100,200(Worst Stop Loss(SL)), we should expect further declines. Note: $105,500 is an important price for Bitcoin, and if Bitcoin can close the 4-hour candle above it, we can expect a break of the Heavy Resistance zone($104,380-$103,670) Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
39
Bitcoin will continue to fall to support level in channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. This chart shows how the price rebounded from the support line and started to grow. In a short time, it rose to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, and it even soon broke this level. Next, the price rose a little and then continued to move up, but later corrected the support line. After this, BTC rebounded and rose to the seller zone, breaking the 108800 resistance level. Then it rose a little more and turned around, and started to decline inside the downward channel. In the channel, price soon broke the 108800 level and continued to fall next. Later, Bitcoin broke the support line and fell almost to the support line of the channel, after which it turned around and made an upward movement. After this movement, Bitcoin dropped to the 100300 support level, after which it turned around and, in a short time, rose to almost the resistance line of the channel. Price didn't reach this line, turned around, and continued to fall in the channel. In my mind, Bitcoin can continue to move down top support level inside the downward channel. That's why my TP is 100300 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
9
Volatility period has begun. Hello, traders. Please "Follow" to get the latest information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- We need to see if the price can hold above OBV Low. We need to see if the price can hold above OBV High or HA-High. It is showing a downward trend while failing to rise above OBV Low. If this continues to decline further, we should check if the HA-Low indicator is newly created. This volatility period is expected to start around June 6 (June 5-7) and continue until around June 13 (June 12-14). If the auxiliary indicator OBV falls below the Low Line, there is a possibility of another large decline. At this time, the key is whether it can receive support and rise near 99705.62. If not, it is expected to select the trend again when it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. The basic trading strategy is to buy at the HA-Low indicator and sell at the HA-High indicator. If you apply this basic principle, you buy when it rises above 102049.52 and shows support, and sell near 104938.72. For this basic principle to be applied normally, OBV is rising and the StochRSI indicator is rising. However, it is better if the StochRSI indicator has not entered the overbought zone if possible. However, if it is resisted and falls at the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise downtrend, and if it is supported and rises at the HA-High indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise uptrend. Therefore, when testing support near the HA-Low indicator, if the OBV shows a downward trend and the StochRSI indicator shows a downward trend (if possible, a downward trend in the overbought area), the possibility of a stepwise downtrend increases. The end of the stepwise uptrend that occurs after meeting the HA-Low or HA-High indicator is a downtrend, and the end of the stepwise downtrend is an uptrend. Therefore, the trading method should be a fractional trading method. I think the important thing in spot trading is how much you increase the number of coins (tokens). Of course, depending on the situation, it may be better to make cash profits. Since the coin market allows trading in decimal units, it is a useful investment market for increasing the number of coins (tokens). Therefore, we can increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to profits while conducting trading according to the basic trading strategy. That is, when the price rises by the purchase amount for each purchase price, sell it and leave the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit. At this time, you should be careful to include the transaction fee in the purchase amount and sell it. The coins that are good for increasing the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit rather than cash profit are BTC or ETH. Additionally, BNB is also possible. I think it is better to obtain cash profit if possible for the rest of the altcoins. However, if there is a coin (token) that you think you want to increase in the medium to long term, you can increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit by increasing the number of coins (tokens). - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​This is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
1
Bitcoin - Will the $100K Level Hold?Since reaching its all-time high (ATH) on May 22nd at an impressive $112,000, Bitcoin (BTC) has entered a corrective phase that has caught the attention of traders and analysts alike. After a strong and relentless move to the upside, such a phase is not uncommon in crypto markets, where rapid rallies are often followed by cooling-off periods. As of now, BTC is trading at around $101,000, marking a decline from its peak but still maintaining a significant portion of its recent gains. This retracement has not only been healthy in terms of price structure but also offers potential opportunities for those closely monitoring key technical levels. 4H FVG One important aspect of the move leading up to the ATH was the formation of a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG). These imbalances, left behind during aggressive moves in the market, are often revisited and filled as part of a broader effort by price to return to equilibrium. The current FVG spans from approximately $100,500 to $99,800. This range is especially noteworthy, as such gaps tend to act as magnets for price action, creating zones of potential support where buyers may step in to defend the structure. As BTC approaches this region, it's plausible to expect at least a temporary bounce, particularly if market sentiment remains constructive. Golden Pocket Fibonacci Adding further weight to this zone is the confluence of the Golden Pocket, the area between the 0.618 and 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels, derived from the latest upward leg. This specific Fibonacci region is widely regarded in technical analysis as a high-probability reversal zone, often attracting significant buying interest. Interestingly, the Golden Pocket aligns almost perfectly with the aforementioned FVG, both residing in the $100,500 to $99,800 range. The overlapping of these two technical indicators strengthens the case for this area to act as a firm support level, or at the very least, a point where the ongoing correction could take a breather. Conclusion Taken together, the alignment of the 4H FVG and the Golden Pocket around the $100,000 mark creates a technically compelling scenario. The psychological impact of a round number like $100,000 only adds to its potential as a battleground between buyers and sellers. If this zone holds, it could spark a notable bounce, either a temporary relief rally or potentially the beginning of a renewed leg to the upside, depending on broader market conditions. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Long
by Youriverse
27
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #110👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and major crypto indexes. In this review, as usual, I’ll cover the key futures triggers for the New York session. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe As you can see in the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin formed a higher low yesterday and has now reached the 105087 resistance. It seems likely that this level will be broken soon. ✨ Currently, a candle has closed above 105087, but price hasn’t yet confirmed a breakout, and the move hasn’t taken off. 📈 For a long position, we can enter once the price confirms a breakout above this level. If 105087 breaks, price could target 106586. The main long position will be opened upon breaking 106586. 🛒 Strong buying volume is a very good trigger for this setup. RSI entering the Overbought zone would also provide a powerful momentum confirmation, and price could rise accordingly. 💥 If the current upward move fails and price falls below the recent low, we can open a short position upon breaking 103899, targeting 101750. ⚡️ The 53.49 level on RSI is critical — its break would serve as a strong confirmation for the short position. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Looking at Bitcoin Dominance, yesterday it once again moved toward 64.67, but failed to break it and is now heading downward after being rejected from that resistance. 🔑 The trigger for bullish continuation remains 64.67, while 64.49 serves as the trigger for a bearish move. 📅 Total2 Analysis This index formed a higher low at 1.13 yesterday and is now testing the 1.15 resistance. If this level breaks, the price could head toward 1.17 and 1.18. 📊 A break above 1.15 would be a valid long trigger. However, if price is rejected and moves downward, breaking 1.13 could send it back toward 1.1. 📅 USDT.D Analysis USDT Dominance closed below the 4.79 level yesterday and is now moving toward 4.70. If this continues, the crypto market could see bullish momentum. 🧩 However, if dominance moves back above 4.9, the next bullish leg in USDT.D could begin. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
8
HelenP. I Bitcoin may grow to resistance zone from trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. This chart shows how the price declined to the trend line and then made an impulse up to the support level, which coincided with the support zone. Also, price started to trades inside a pennant, where it soon broke the support level and then traded some time near it. Later, it continued to grow and in a short time rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone and broke this level as well. Then BTC reached the resistance line of the pennant, turned around, and dropped below the 108000 level, after which a few moments traded between this level. After this, price continued to fall and after it broke 108000 leve one more time, it dropped to the trend line, which is a support line of the pennant too. Price has traded near this line and recently BTC rebounded up. So, I expect that BTCUSDT will correct to the trend line and then rise to the resistance level. After this, I think the price may break it and enter to resistance zone. That's why I set my goal at 108800 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
15
BTC re-accumulation and >140k$The year started from manipulation on CRYPTOCAP:BTC and the whole crypto market after Trump's tariff announcement. Since the start of the summer season, we've already seen another manipulation between Trump and Elon Musk. On BTC I see weekly FVG and good pinbar candle. I guess we have already entered to consolidaton and summer will also consolidation, but starting from august we will see the final uptrend with euphoria which can finish on October nearly 241.000$ on BTC, but let's see it later I think this period will be light with base summer and $MOCHI because it's a memecoin which holds the bottom well , when in that time another altcoins are making another bottom
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Pavkos3
BTC UPDATE - SIDEWAYS ACTION BTC had an impressive rally today that broke key resistance and changed the wave form to the short term trend back to up. From this elevated price level, the uptrend will not produce any significant gains from here tho. To capture this mini trend requires to be patient and buy on dips. Back to near $103,500 - $102,000 as seen in the chart could produce a few swings. However, when these swings are over, I currently still have the medium term trend as down. With $84k target. That could get update, but for now we do not have that data. I see all up movement capped at around $107,000. Prices above $107,000 have me moving back to the immediate $132,000 price target. But again, we are not there yet. Good luck.
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by Urbanmove
BTCUSD: Just hit the 1D MA50 and is rebounding.Bitcoin turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.000, MACD = 923.400, ADX = 25.014) as it hit its 1D MA50 for the first time since April 19th. That is a straight up buy signal, especially since the the current Channel Up with its 1D RSI HL structure, resembles September - December 2024. TP = 165,000. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
2
₿ BTC: Delay Tactics in Wave B Bitcoin dropped hard yesterday, throwing a wrench into the expected climb toward the top of green wave B. This bounce was supposed to stretch into the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891, which we flagged as a smart area to take partial profits or layer in short hedges. That zone still stands—BTC just isn’t ready to hit it yet. The current pullback suggests we’ll see more sideways-to-lower price action before green wave B wraps up. Once it does, green wave C should drag Bitcoin into the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. That’s where we’re looking for orange wave a to complete. After that, a countertrend rally in wave b could pop up—before wave c wraps the entire corrective cycle and finishes blue wave (ii). We’re also watching an alt.(i) breakout scenario (30% probability). In that case, BTC would blow through the $130,891 level early, bypassing the expected dip and reaching new highs faster than projected. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MarketIntel
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #109👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indicators. As usual, I’ll walk you through the futures triggers for the New York session. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe In the 1-hour chart, as you can see, yesterday Bitcoin activated the short trigger at 103899 and dropped below the 101750 level. This setup gave an opportunity to open a short position—hopefully you took advantage of it. ✨ After that bearish leg, the downtrend ended and the price began to rise again, now reaching back to the 103899 level. 🔍 If the price gets rejected once from 103899 and then forms a higher low compared to 101750, we can consider a long position on subsequent attempts—if 103899 breaks. If the price breaks this level sharply, the next long triggers will be 105087 and 106586. 📉 For today's short position, we can enter on a pullback to 103899. Personally, I’ll look for a bearish trigger in lower timeframes; if confirmed, I’ll open a short. The main bearish trigger remains the break of 101750. 📊 Currently, volume favors buyers, but we’ve seen divergence during this bullish leg, and volume increased on the last bearish move. So, I still see a higher probability of the market turning bearish rather than bullish. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Looking at Bitcoin dominance, yesterday it made an upward move to 64.67 after breaking through 64.23. This 64.67 level is a strong resistance, and as shown, the dominance got rejected there. 💫 If this rejection is confirmed, there's a high chance of a retracement back to 64.23. In that case, if the market continues to drop, Bitcoin will likely be a better short than altcoins. ☘️ However, if 64.67 breaks, dominance could initiate another bullish wave. 📅 Total2 Analysis As for Total2, after activating the 1.16 and 1.13 triggers, it dropped to the 1.1 zone and is now making a pullback to its previous support—similar to Bitcoin. 💥 For a long position, we’ll need a Dow Theory confirmation. For a short, we can wait for a pullback to 1.13 and look for a bearish confirmation to enter. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Now onto Tether dominance: yesterday, after breaking 4.79, it moved up to 4.98. Following that, it reversed and is now back down to 4.79. 🔑 If 4.79 breaks, Tether dominance could drop further to 4.70 and 4.64. But if it holds and finds support there, another bullish leg may begin. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
by tradecitypro
6
BITCOIN - Price can reach resistance area and then dropHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently, the price bounced from the $104500 level and rose to the $110400 level, breaking this level and rising a little more. But then price turned around and started to decline inside a falling channel, where it fell below $110400 level. Price tried to back up, but failed and when it touched $110400 level, it in a short time declined to support line of channel. Then price rose above $104500 level and some time traded near this level, but not long time ago it dropped. BTC broke $104500 level and even fell further and exited from falling channel, after which it started to grow. Now, I expect that Bitcoin can enter to resistance area and then drop to $100900 from this area. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
1
Bitcoin's Structure Breaks — PRZ May Trigger a BounceBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has finally continued its downward trend , as I expected in my previous idea . Do you think this downward trend will continue or not? Bitcoin has now managed to break the Support zone($104,180-$103,670) and the lower line of the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave C of the main wave Y of the Double Three Correction(WXY) . I expect Bitcoin to continue to decline to the Support zone($102,000-$107,120) and the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and then start to rise again. I choose to label this idea as ''Long''. Note: If Bitcoin falls below $100,200, we should expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
19
BITCOIN Log Channel and Waves show we're nowhere near the top.This is Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on its Logarithmic Growth Channel with the use of Rainbow Waves on it. This model accounts for the Halvings (light blue vertical lines) and with the use of Fibonacci Time extensions, it estimates the potential Cycle Bottoms (green vertical lines) and Tops (red vertical lines) within the Parabolic Growth Curve. A fair value is estimated around the purple trend-line (zone top and bottom) as well as a maximum (red trend-line) and minimum (light blue trend-line) wave. Interestingly enough, BTC hit that minimum wave trend-line on the April 07 2025 Low for the first time since June 17 2017, making it the strongest buy signal we could get at this stage of the Cycle. So based on all the above, Bitcoin is nowhere near the top of its Cycle and this isn't just because it hasn't yet touched the next red vertical line (Time Fib 4.382) which is on October 27 2025, but also because it is currently trading below the Fair Value Zone (even below its bottom half). Both previous Cycles topped considerably above that Fair Value Zone and almost hit the maximum wave. Even if by October 27 2025, Bitcoin 'only' hits the purple (Fair Value) trend-line, it would have reached $135000 and if earlier it can even hit $145000. That is the bare minimum based on that model. If it hits the top of the Fair Value Zone by October 27, then we can see prices as high as $180000 even. Which price do you think we are more likely to see? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
2
2️⃣ Who's Next? Or: Operation: "Saving Private Saylor2️⃣ Who's Next? Or: Operation: "Saving Private Saylor" ❗️ Disclaimer: This idea is only a part of an article with a forecast for Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market for 2025-2028. To fully and completely understand what is being discussed here, please refer to the root idea via the link: 1️⃣ Main Idea: Analysis of US Treasury Documents 📰 Forbes: Your Cover – Our Margin Call. Saylor, Get Ready! You've heard it, haven't you? Those stories about Forbes covers and the subsequent fall of crypto empires? It's no longer a superstition; it's, damn it, statistics: Changpeng Zhao (CZ), Forbes, February 2018: "Binance's Crypto King!" – the headlines screamed. And what then? He served four months in prison. Well, not immediately, of course, but the "seed" of the curse was sown. Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF), Forbes, October 2021: "The New Warren Buffett of Crypto!" – the fanfares shrieked. And what was the result? He's sitting pretty now, enjoying prison romance. And now, our incomparable Michael Saylor enters the stage! Forbes puts him on the cover in January 2025 "Michael Saylor: The Bitcoin Alchemist"! Why a Forbes cover is not glory but a warning for Michael Saylor (and a signal for the US government): This is not just a coincidence; it's a systemic pattern. Forbes, whether out of naivety or, conversely, subtle calculation, acts as an unwitting harbinger. They choose those who are at the peak of hype, those who have "believed in themselves" and are ready to tell the whole world about their "brilliant" strategy. And the peak of hype, as we know, is the beginning of a fall. And this is where it gets interesting. The US government, which carefully reads such magazines (after all, they write about "financial stability" and "national interests" there), sees Michael Saylor on the cover and thinks: 💭 "Well, well, this guy has accumulated half a million Bitcoins. And he's currently at the peak of self-admiration. Excellent! Get ready for 'Operation: Coercion to Stability'!" ❌ Why this cover for Saylor is not just a photoshoot, but a "liquidation marker" for the US government: "The Forbes Curse" as a "Market Overheat" Indicator: For our financial strategists from the Treasury and the Fed, Saylor's appearance on the cover is not just a signal of "overheating"; it's a green light for activating the "Crypto-Reserve" plan. They see: "Oh, this guy got too relaxed. He has too much 'digital gold' at an average price of $74,000. And we love to buy at a discount, especially if the discount can be 'arranged'!" Recession and Crash as "Natural Selection": Remember that TBAC in its documents constantly reminds us of Bitcoin's "volatility" and the "necessity of hedging." The perfect storm for Saylor is an "unexpected" recession in the US and a sharp stock market crash. At this moment, Bitcoin, which has always historically behaved as a "high-beta" asset (DA&TM, p. 5), will fall even faster. When BTC is in the range of $30,000 - $40,000, this will not just be a "loss" for Micro Strategy – it will be absolute financial hell for their leveraged positions, which they so "cleverly" accumulated. Margin Calls: Music to Regulators' Ears: Saylor's average purchase price of $74,000, and Bitcoin has fallen to $30-40k? This is not just "oh, we're in the red" . These are massive margin calls and the threat of liquidation of MarginCallStrategy MicroStrategy's positions, which mortgaged its shares and Bitcoin itself to buy even more Bitcoin. The banks holding them as collateral (and which are, of course, "friendly" with the Fed) will start to get nervous. And then, as if by magic, the "saving hand" of the government will appear. "Humanitarian Aid" (at a Bitcoin price of $30-40k.): They won't come waving checkbooks to buy Bitcoin for $100,000. They will come when Saylor is on the verge of collapse, and they will say: 💬 "Michael, we see your pain. To avoid 'systemic risk' and 'protect investors' (who are in your fund because you bought so much Bitcoin), we are ready to 'help'. We will 'acquire' your Bitcoin at a 'fair' price (which, of course, will be significantly lower than Saylor's purchase price) to 'stabilize' the situation. Naturally, this is not a purchase, but 'crisis prevention'." Bitcoin in the "Crypto-Reserve": Mission Accomplished! Thus, the government, without directly buying a "speculative asset," will receive half a million BTC at a "bargain" price, using market crashes and financial pressure. And then they will be able to proudly declare: "We have 'digital gold' that will protect our financial system from external shocks. And yes, it is now in our hands, not some 'Alchemist's'." ✖️ The Forbes Curse: When a Magazine Becomes a Catapult for Crypto-Kings The cover of Forbes magazine is not just paper and ink; it's the financial equivalent of an "X" on your back, appearing exactly when "Big Brother" decides you've gotten too big for your "digital gold" britches. Let's recall the chronicles of this "curse" to understand what awaits our Michael Saylor: 1. CZ (Changpeng Zhao), Binance: ▫️ Forbes Cover: Feb. 2018. Headlines trumpeted "crypto-king." ▫️ BTC Price: $11,500. The entire crypto-brotherhood rejoiced, thinking the moon-run was endless. ▫️ What happened next: By the end of 2018, Bitcoin plummeted to $3,000. A -73% drop. And Changpeng, after several years of legal battles, eventually ended up behind bars for 4 months. 2. SBF (Sam Bankman-Fried), FTX: ▫️ Forbes Cover: Oct. 2021. "The Billionaire Saving the Crypto World!" indeed. ▫️ BTC Price at the time: Around $60,000. The market was at its peak; everyone was talking about $100k, "diamond hands," and a "new financial era." ▫️ What happened next: A year later, by the end of 2022, Bitcoin was already around $16,000. A -75% drop. And Sam? Sam is enjoying government cuisine and the company of cellmates, sentenced to 25 years (but according to recent data, the term may be reduced by 4 years). 3. Michael Saylor, Micro Strategy: ▫️ Forbes Cover: Jan. 2025. Our "Alchemist" Michael, with brilliance and faith in his eyes, has concocted somewhere around half a million bitcoins and has finally received this "honor." ▫️ BTC Price: As of today, around $100k. Imagine the hype! Saylor tells everyone that "we've only just begun," that Bitcoin is "financial sovereignty" and "the future of humanity," whose price is about to fly to $500k without you! Buy now, don't miss out! ▫️ What will happen next (according to the "Big Brother" scenario): If history is not just a collection of boring dates, but a cyclical performance with notes of tragicomedy, then the following awaits us. A year after the Forbes cover, by early 2026, the price of Bitcoin in this scenario could plummet by -70% from its ATH. This means Bitcoin would be in the range of $30-40k. dollars. And what about Michael? I don't want to jinx it, but if CZ served four months, Sam will likely serve 4 years, then how long will our BTC-prophet and "crypto-Moses" get? Forty? In conclusion: The Forbes curse is not magic; it's a harbinger of a systemic blow. So, when you see another crypto-hero on the cover of Forbes, don't rush to rejoice for him. Most likely, it's the last call before the "system" begins its complex, multi-step plan for "coercion to cooperation." So, let's dream. No, not about flights to Mars, but about much more down-to-earth, but far more probable scenarios, where Washington finally gets its hands on "digital gold." After all, as stated in DA&TM, Bitcoin is "a store of value, aka 'digital gold' in the decentralized world of DeFi" . Well, since it's "gold," it should be in our "gold reserve," right? But to buy it directly? Oh no, that's a "speculative asset," it's "volatile" ! But "acquiring" it at a discount – that's a whole different song. 📝 The "Digital Couping" Scenario (or how to take Bitcoin without buying it on the open market): ◻️ Phase 1: Deflation of the US Stock Market Bubble ▫️ "Recession? Stock market crash? Perfect time for 'healing'!" The government and banksters will always find a way to "help" the market. If the American economy, as many are whispering now, faces a serious recession, and the stock market tumbles, then Bitcoin, as a "high-beta" asset, may well follow suit. Remember how Bitcoin reacted to "crashes" in 2017, 2021, 2022 (DA&TM, p. 5, chart). If Michael Saylor's average purchase price is $74,000 today, then a drop into the $30,000 - $50,000 range is not just a "correction"; it will be an absolute financial hell for his margin positions, which he so "cleverly" accumulated. ▫️ Margin-call for Micro Strategy. Michael Saylor didn't just buy Bitcoin; he bought it with borrowed funds, collateralizing his shares and even Bitcoin itself. In the event of a deep market downturn and, consequently, a fall in BTC's price, Micro Strategy will face serious problems servicing its debt and maintaining collateral. The banks that issued them loans (and these are, most likely, banks very "friendly" to the government) will start to get nervous. And then the most interesting part will begin. ◻️ Phase 2: "Operation: Buyout" ▫️ "An offer you can't refuse." When Micro Strategy is on the verge of default or bankruptcy due to its Bitcoin positions, "saviors" will appear on the scene – perhaps some specially created "Digital Asset Stability Fund" or even directly "government-friendly" large financial institutions that have received a "green light" and, possibly, even funding from the Fed (naturally "to ensure financial stability"). ▫️ "We are not buying; we are 'stabilizing'!" They won't say: "We are buying Bitcoin." They will say: 💬 "We are preventing systemic risk! We are providing liquidity to the market during a crisis, buying back their 'high-beta' asset at a 'fair' price (which, of course, will be significantly lower than Saylor's purchase price)." And this is where the "digital gold" narrative, which has already permeated even official documents (DA&TM, p. 2), will come into play. "It's gold, and gold should be in the state reserve, shouldn't it? " ◻️ Phase 3: Nationalization of 'Digital Gold' and control over the narrative ▫️ "Congratulations, Michael, you've become a 'pioneer'!" After most of Saylor's Bitcoins are "saved," they will end up in the hands of, say, a "special depository" or a "strategic digital asset reserve." At the same time, the government will not "own" them in the traditional sense, but will "manage" them for "national interests." ▫️ "Now we have 'digital gold,' and it will work for us!" With this significant reserve of Bitcoins (576k "taken" from Saylor + 200k "confiscated" Bitcoins earlier – that's no joke), the US government suddenly becomes the largest sovereign holder of an asset that they will now officially recognize as "digital gold." This will allow them to: ▫️ Influence the market: If necessary, they will be able to use this "crypto-reserve" to "stabilize" prices, intervening in the market (for example, by selling small portions to curb too much growth, or conversely, by buying if the market falls sharply, but through their affiliated structures). ▫️ Legitimize "digital gold": If the US government has a Bitcoin reserve, then it's no longer "speculative nonsense," but part of the official financial system. This will open doors for broader institutional adoption, but on their terms. ▫️ Pump capitalization through stablecoins for national debt: A crucial strategic step will be to use this new "digital gold standard" to address the growing national debt. By aggressively legitimizing Bitcoin as "digital gold" and creating controlled mechanisms for its storage and trading (e.g., through regulated ETFs and tokenized assets), the US government will create a powerful incentive for capital inflow. In parallel, by strengthening regulation and encouraging the growth of fiat-backed stablecoins, collateralized by short-term US Treasury bonds (T-Bills), a colossal "cushion" of demand for US national debt will be created. The larger the capitalization of stablecoins, the greater the need for T-Bills to back them. The goal is to first build up a large BTC reserve, then, by boosting stablecoin capitalization, inflate the overall crypto market capitalization and the price of Bitcoin itself, to ultimately create a new powerful tool for "monetizing" or, at least, facilitating the servicing of US national debt. This will look like a brilliant financial maneuver, turning "wild" cryptocurrency into a tool for strengthening US financial stability and national security. ◽️ A rescue that looks like a robbery. So the scenario is not that the US government will "pump" Bitcoin by buying it expensively; the scenario is that they will create conditions and wait for the market to "drown" the most ambitious hodlers, and then come to the rescue to "save" their assets. And this "help" will look like the acquisition of a strategic asset at a bargain price, using existing market pressure mechanisms and crisis phenomena. This is a classic "good cop, bad cop" game, where the "bad cop" is an "unexpected" market recession, and the "good cop" is the government that "saves" assets to then use them for its geopolitical and financial interests. And all this under the guise of "financial stability" and "national security," of course. After all, who better than the government can manage your "digital gold"? Of course, no one! ❗️ Disclaimer: This idea is only a part of an article with a forecast for Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market for 2025-2028. To learn more, refer to the root idea via the link: 1️⃣ Main Idea: Analysis of US Treasury Documents
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
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