BTC.D - Doomsday or Expected?Evening fellas,
Remember back then when we would say "only the top 1% will actually make it"
Yeah, what about that? People seem to forget this market is extremely fake, full of shitcoins that will not go anywhere.
Trust me, the bottom for alts is not in. Minimum we go here is 75%.
Once the bitcoin maximalists have acquired enough btc by trading alt/btc pair they will dump everything they got back into only BTC.
Gonna leave this here.
Trade thirsty, my friends.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Bitcoin’s Fake Breakouts—Bears Taking Control!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) failed to defeat Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200) , the 50_SMA(Daily) , and the Monthly Pivot Point for the umpteenth time and even created a Fake Break .
It also seems that Bitcoin has been unable to break the Resistance lines .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in completing the corrective wave so that the structure of the main wave C is the Expanding Ending Diagonal .
I expect Bitcoin to break the Support zone($96,520-$95,720) and touch $95,500 this time, I told you about the importance of this price in the previous post .
Note: If Bitcoin can break the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200) , the 50_SMA(Daily) , and the Monthly Pivot Point , we should expect an increase to Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($103,210-$102,454) .
It doesn't seem reasonable for Bitcoin these days to provide a long-term or even mid-term analysis, and we need to stick to a series of resistance and support levels in order to determine the next targets. Do you agree with me?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin: Watch Low 90K Test For Long Setup.Bitcoin is near the lower part of its broader bullish consolidation. This means swing trade shorts are higher risk, while longs lower risk. How you navigate this area depends on the time frame you use to evaluate your trade signal and risk. The key location to watch for the coming week is the 93,500 to 92,500 support AREA which is part of a larger support zone. A bullish retrace from this area offers potential of at least 2 to 3K points which is a conservative estimation. IF this support area gives way (decisive break of 90K), then all bets are off until new levels establish themselves.
Recent movements have been wild thanks to all of the drama in the news. People who consume and react to news events will often find themselves stuck in painful positions. Chasing news, reacting to dramatic price movements and/or random signals/patterns on charts in leads to random results. You want to capitalize on participants who make these mistakes by anticipating their behavior and this is best done by evaluating ONLY TWO market components: support/resistance and trend. As simplistic and obvious as this may sound, this is the information that helps you build a more accurate lens to judge a market.
Both of these components depend on the time fame you choose to operate. For this analysis, that is the swing trade time frame. Recent trend can be categorized as range bound. That has been clear for weeks now. In range bound environments, support and resistance levels have a greater tendency to HOLD until one side eventually breaks If we zoom out on Bitcoin (monthly) we can see this consolidation is likely a broader Wave 4, or a broader higher low. IF
I have to bet on a side, it would be bullish. For me this means expect more for longs, ESPECIALLY from major support areas and LESS from shorts, ESPECIALLY from resistance areas on this time frame.
For example: with this context in mind and planning to take a swing trade, having a price point in mind (93K AREA see arrow), you now WAIT for confirmation in the anticipated area. IF it appears, risk can be defined around 89,500. That's 3.5K points which may sound like a lot, but the profit potential if it bounces is AT LEAST 4 to 5K points based on the current levels. How you manage this all depends on your risk tolerance and account size but in my opinion it is a risk worth taking.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
XRP deserves sub $2Back in 2021, I used to love trading liquidation spikes. One thing I noticed was the wicks were always revisited, sometimes it took a while, but they'd be seen to.
XRP has a wick with a low sitting at $1.8 - I am going to build a short position and target it.
An entry above $3 was ideal, I had one, but my trading has been slightly erratic, so I closed it too soon.
Here we try again, good luck.
#202506 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Yeah I won’t make shit up now. 4 consecutive daily doji bars around the middle of this triangle. Either fade the extremes or wait for the next big impulse. I still think that with all the ridiculous bullish crypto news over the past weeks, this has not printed 110k, is a big sign of weakness and the next impulse will be to the downside to test 73k again. Until then, play the range.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 90k - 110k
bull case: Bulls printed another lower high and have nothing to show for after this week. They need daily closes above the 20ema and 100k to gain control again.
Invalidation is below 88k.
bear case: Bears closing every daily bar at the lows but fail to make lower lows below 95k, which is also weak. They are content with fading any bounce and until the broader market wants to reduce risk, this is probably staying between the given key levels.
Invalidation is above 110k.
short term: Neutral. Play the range until broken.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-01-19: 75000 is my biggest target for now and until bears get there, any lower target is just unreasonable. My bias is bearish going into 2025 and I think the odds of a bigger leg down are good.
We are in a big trading range until it’s clearly broken. Bearish targets will only happen once we get a strong move below 90k.
current swing trade: Nope
chart update: Nothing
Why Bull Market Is Not Over For Bitcoin BTC?Hello, Skyrexians!
Recently we have see the drop on BINANCE:BTCUSDT to $91k. We can't understand why it caused so much fear and negative in crypto communities. This is still next to ATH but fear and greed index dropped into the fear territory. This is great sign for bull run continuation and now we will explain you this statement with the technical analysis.
Let's take a look at the weekly time frame. Before December we had a great probability
that anticipated growth from $50k to $100k could be the final wave 5 of the bear market, but price action has broken the potential Awesome Oscillator's bearish divergence. It gives us the confidence that this move was just the wave 1 in wave 3. It means that the most impulsive growth ahead. The minimal target is 1.61 Fibonacci at $140k, maximal at $200k. We believe more in $200k, but watch out our updates because targets can be recalculated.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
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Alt season could already be here, only is winter seasonThe Crypto Market at a Crossroads: What’s Could Next for Bitcoin and Altcoins?
The cryptocurrency market is at a critical juncture, and the narratives being pushed by crypto influencers might not be telling the full story. Over the next weeks and months, the altcoin landscape could undergo significant changes, and there are signals emerging that few are discussing. In this post, I’ll analyze Bitcoin, altcoins, and Bitcoin dominance and what I expect in the coming months.
Bitcoin’s Current Position: Are We Near the Top?
When analyzing Bitcoin, it’s crucial to zoom out and assess the bigger picture. On a weekly chart, Bitcoin’s price action suggests that we might be nearing a top. While some argue that the peak has already occurred, the current structure indicates that Bitcoin could enter a sideways/ downward movement like we saw last year.
If Bitcoin continues to move sideways, altcoins are likely to follow suit. However, during these phases, some altcoins may experience brief runs, especially if Bitcoin dominance starts to decline.
But here’s the catch: Bitcoin dominance has been steadily rising since Bitcoin’s bottom, which is unusual. Typically, during the late stages of a cycle, Bitcoin dominance drops as altcoins surge. This time, however, the landscape seems different.
Altcoin Season: A Muted Rally?
The idea of a massive altcoin season, where all altcoins surge simultaneously, might be a thing of the past. While some coins like BINANCE:SOLUSDT have already seen significant runs (from nearly $80 to $300 top in one year), the broader altcoin market has not experienced the same explosive growth. Instead, only a select few altcoins made significant moves.
This doesn’t mean that altcoins are dead. There will still be opportunities, but they will likely be more selective. Coins that have already made substantial gains, like Solana, may have already topped out.
Going forward the key should be to focus on coins that show strong volume breakouts and price action, rather than holding onto underperforming assets.
Bitcoin Dominance and the Changing Landscape
Bitcoin dominance has been on an upward trajectory, which is unusual for this stage of the cycle. Historically, Bitcoin dominance falls as altcoins begin to rally.
However, this time, the dominance chart suggests that the market dynamics are shifting. While a drop in Bitcoin dominance is still possible, it may not be as pronounced as in previous cycles.
This changing landscape could be due to the sheer number of altcoins in the market. With thousands of coins vying for attention, there simply isn’t enough liquidity to pump all of them. This dilution effect means that only a handful of coins will likely see significant gains, while the majority will continue to underperform.
The Role of Meme Coins and Newer Projects
One of the standout trends in this cycle has been the rise of meme coins and newer projects. Coins like BINANCE:SUIUSDT , which launched during this cycle, have already broken their all-time highs. However, even these newer coins may be entering a bear market phase.
The market is saturated, and without a significant influx of liquidity, it’s unlikely that we’ll see another massive altcoin season.
Meme coins, in particular, have been a double-edged sword. While they’ve provided some of the most explosive gains, they’ve also drained liquidity from the broader market.
This extraction of value has made it harder for other altcoins to gain traction, further complicating the market dynamics.
The Bigger Picture: A Potential Bear Market
Looking at the broader market, there’s a growing possibility that we could be entering a bear market.
The sheer number of coins in the market, combined with the lack of liquidity, suggests that the crypto space is due for a significant shakeout.
Coins like BINANCE:DOTUSD , CAPITALCOM:FILUSD and even BINANCE:ADAUSDT , which have been in a bear market since 2021, are a prime example of this trend.
Many altcoins are already down 80-90% from their all-time highs, and the chances of them recovering are slim.
This is why it’s crucial to focus on coins that have already established a bull trend and are hovering around their support zones, as they have a higher probability of breaking out and continuing their upward trajectory.
Key Takeaways and What to Watch For
1. Bitcoin’s Sideways Movement: Bitcoin is likely to move sideways or slightly downward in the coming weeks, which could create opportunities for select altcoins.
2. Selective Altcoin Runs: Not all altcoins will rally. Focus on coins with strong volume breakouts and price action.
3. Bitcoin Dominance: Keep an eye on Bitcoin dominance. A drop could signal a brief altcoin rally, but it may not be as significant as in previous cycles.
4. Meme Coins and Newer Projects: While meme coins and newer projects have seen gains, they may be entering a bear market phase. Be cautious with these assets.
5. Long-Term Bear Market : The crypto market could be entering a bear market. Focus on preserving capital and avoid holding onto underperforming assets.
Final Thoughts:
The crypto market is at a crossroads, and the next few months could be pivotal. While there will still be opportunities, they will likely be more selective and harder to come by.
By focusing on strong projects with solid fundamentals and avoiding the hype, you can navigate this changing landscape more effectively.
Remember, the key to success in crypto is not just about making money—it’s also about avoiding losses.
Best of Luck!
Mihai Iacob
Shiro following in Shiba Inu's footstepsWhen you least expect it, Shiro will break its ATH at full speed! 🚀 Don’t underestimate a token that hit $1 billion on its very first day. Market corrections are normal, and $Shiro is just going through a healthy adjustment. This is the perfect chance to buy at the bottom because, in a few weeks, it will be hard to find Shiro below $1 billion market cap. Take advantage while you still can! 🔥 BINANCE:SHIBUSDT BINANCE:ETHUSD
BTC - Key Zones & Liquidity InsightsBINANCE:BTCUSDT is currently oscillating within a new trading range, establishing a trustable support zone while facing a weaker resistance trendline and resistance zone. Given this setup, a breakout isn’t the primary expectation just yet.
🔹 Key Observations:
Support Zone Strength: The support zone is stronger than the resistance, making it less likely for BTC to break downward easily.
Resistance Weakness: The resistance trendline and zone appear weaker, meaning any rejection could be temporary.
Liquidity Perspective: As seen on the liquidity chart, there’s favorable liquidity above the resistance zone, increasing the probability of a short-term push higher to hunt liquidity.
💡 Potential Scenarios:
1️⃣ BTC could move toward the resistance zone, tapping into liquidity before reacting.
2️⃣ If buyers step in aggressively, a short-term liquidity grab above resistance might trigger further upside.
3️⃣ Failure to reclaim key levels could lead to continued range-bound movement.
🚀 Stay ready for the next Bitcoin move! Follow for real-time updates and professional insights! 🔔
"NO ALT SEASON!!" - OTHERS.D vs BTC.D - Is this time different? "No Alt Season!!" – OTHERS.D vs BTC.D: Is This Time Different?
While no one can say for certain whether history will repeat itself, one thing remains clear: it often rhymes.
During the previous cycle, we witnessed an altcoin capitulation around the same time (cycle-wise), and the prevailing sentiment online was "No alt season" or "Alts are dead."
This period of pain in the altcoin market presents a significant opportunity for those with little to no altcoin exposure.
While I am cautious i do not think this time is different, there are notable changes in the current market dynamics tho.
Many altcoins will continue to underperform even as the eventual BTC.D breakdown (alt season) unfolds. However, it’s important to note that most altcoins will not reach new highs, with only a select few likely to lead the market. As such, it's crucial to revise your strategy, moving away from holding onto outdated or underperforming assets, even if it’s difficult given the emotional attachment many of us have to certain coins. Understand that, in this cycle, there are simply too many coins for all of them to reach their all-time highs. Act strategically, and if you find value in this post, please consider following and supporting my account and leaving a boost on this post. Thank you.
BTC ANALYSIS (update)🔮 #BTC Analysis 💰💰
As we saw that there was a very bullish move in #BTC. Now we expect a correction in #BTC. Also there is a bearish divergence in RSI. We will see a correction first after that we it will again continue to rise.
🔖 Current Price: $95950
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked some crucial levels in the chart. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits in #BTC. Keep your eyes on the chart, observe trading volume and stay accustom to market moves.🚀💸
#BTC #Cryptocurrency #Correction #DYOR
Market3I haven’t been posting much lately simply because there’s nothing particularly interesting to say, the market has been a bit dull.
2025 should be a strong year for altcoins, as they’ve been consistently suppressed. With BTC dominance reaching 64%, which is quite significant, all attention remains on Bitcoin.
On this chart, you can see that $1.17 trillion acted as a rejection level for the crypto market (excluding BTC and ETH). Time will tell, but I anticipate a $4 trillion altcoin bull market before the end of 2025.
Remember, Fibonacci plays a crucial role in long-term market predictions.
Invest wisely and at the right time.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Current bitcoin bullflag has a target of 144kBeen consolidating inside this one for some time now and its been creating a lot of uncertainty in the market lately as most people have been distracted by the bearish h&s pattern on the Daly chart and haven’t zoomed out to the higher time frames to realize this whole time we’ve ust been consolidating inside this bullflag. The stochrsi has already been reset for awhile on the Daly time frame and is about to be fully reset here on the weekly time frame too sugget we will resume the uptrend in the near future. *not financial advice*
Best bitcoin investor (among 100 million)We checked all bitcoin wallets (100MLN+) to find those who buy at the bottom and sell at the peak.
So who is the best bitcoin investor?
Almost everyone knows popular investors like Michael Saylor, except he doesn't sell bitcoins and ends up with an 80% drawdown. And he's not buying at the bottom, he's averaging.
And few people know about those who actually invest competently in cryptocurrencies.
Unfortunately, I can not publish in this post a link to the wallet (because I may be banned), but we do not hide its address.
Here are the details of the wallet
Invested - 11,3k
Profit - 346k
Profit - 3052%
Wallet age 87m
Average Sell Price 34 790$
Average Buy price 14 956$
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I also note that he is still holding his position.
Dogecoin (DOGE/USDT) Technical Analysis - February 2025Overview:
Dogecoin has shown a notable shift in its price dynamics, with significant retracements and key technical indicators suggesting potential upcoming moves. Analyzing the 4-hour chart on Binance, we observe critical support and resistance levels, along with key Fibonacci retracement zones.
Price Action & Key Levels:
Current Price: $0.24647
Key Support Levels: $0.24330 (1.618 Fib), $0.23188, $0.11269
Resistance Levels: $0.30 (psychological), $0.40, $0.48500 (recent high)
The price is hovering near the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $0.24330, acting as a critical support zone. A breakdown below this could push DOGE towards the next support at $0.23188 and potentially $0.14499 (2.618 Fib level).
Indicators Analysis:
MACD: The MACD line is slightly below the signal line with a histogram showing minimal bullish momentum. This indicates a potential for continued consolidation or bearish pressure unless a bullish crossover occurs.
RSI: Currently at 37.85, the RSI indicates that DOGE is approaching the oversold territory. The RSI-based moving average at 38.72 suggests bearish sentiment but not yet in extreme conditions.
Volume: A noticeable decrease in volume signals weakening buying interest, supporting the bearish outlook unless renewed demand emerges.
Fibonacci Retracement Insights:
The retracement from the recent high around $0.40236 shows DOGE struggling to maintain key Fibonacci levels. Failure to reclaim the 0.618 retracement zone could lead to deeper corrections towards the 2.618 and 3.618 extensions.
Outlook & Trading Strategy:
Bearish Scenario: A break below $0.24330 may trigger further declines towards $0.14499. Traders could consider short positions with tight stop losses above $0.25.
Bullish Scenario: A rebound above $0.30 could reignite bullish momentum, targeting $0.40 and beyond.
Conclusion:
DOGE is at a crucial juncture. While bearish indicators dominate, the proximity to key support levels and oversold RSI conditions hint at a potential short-term bounce. Traders should monitor volume spikes and MACD crossovers for confirmation of trend reversals.
Possible top for BTC for this cycle?Trying to see what the bullish outlook is for #BTC, however I am finding a lot more bearish arguments at this stage then bullish.
Looking at the Daily, Weekly and Monthly Chart:
- RSI printing Bearish Divergences
- Failing to break above the heavy pitch-fork channel formed since 2017 Highs through to the highs in 2021.
Daily:
- 50MA is approaching closer and looks to roll back around.
- Super Guppy band is starting to tighten and turn neutral.
- 5th Wave of Elliot has finished, with a truncated top.
- Double top pattern
- Wyckoff Distribution looks to be in play
Of course if we can break out of this massive channel, this bearishness is no longer valid.
What case for Bullishness can you give me for BTC?
Bitcoin 15 minute chart zoomed outWelcome. If you have come across this chart you have entered into a Bitcoin maxi's mind. For the past 5 years this has been my one and only 15 minute chart; lines that have been drawn have never been erased. This chart is used to determine when a good time to DCA may be. For this overview the chart has been zoomed out to give a daily perspective.
First, I want to be clear that this is not finical advice, but a glimpse into what my personal strategy is and how I personally gage when a good time to enter the market for a long term hold. I personally trust this chart due to many reasons, but the most important reason is because variables have not been changed in over 5 years.
To start, the most important lines drawn on this chart are major Fibonacci levels; for example, the high at approx. 69k to the low of approx. 16k. These Fib levels will be marked by the same same lines at all four levels. The second most important lines drawn and weekly closes on a 15 minute chat on the candle of 23:45. These candles are marked at the high and at the low of each of these candles with a purple line. These purple lines over time provide an import gage for me in determining major levels of resistance and support. This chart also includes MA Ribbons, MACD, and RSI.
I will post weekly closes and provide ideas of what I think the market is doing every week immediately after the weekly close.
Thank you for your time and I look forward to being a little more social in this space moving forward.