$BTC: Bitcoin – Digital Gold Rush or Crypto Rollercoaster?(1/9)
Good morning, folks! ☀️ CRYPTOCAP:BTC : Bitcoin – Digital Gold Rush or Crypto Rollercoaster?
With CRYPTOCAP:BTC at $82,352.34, is this the motherlode of digital wealth or a wild ride with no brakes? Let’s dig into the blockchain buzz! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Current Price: $ 82,352.34 as of Mar 10, 2025 💰
• Recent Moves: Up 30%+ YTD, per web trends 📏
• Sector Trend: Crypto volatility reigns, X posts show mixed vibes 🌟
It’s a high-stakes game with big swings! ⚡
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Cap: $1.63T (based on 19.83M circulating supply) 🏆
• Status: King of crypto, 50%+ market dominance ⏰
• Trend: Whales scooping coins, per X chatter 🎯
Reigning supreme in the digital realm! 🌍
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Sentiment: X posts cheer GETTEX:82K support, ETF flows mixed 🔄
• Adoption: El Salvador adds BTC, strategic reserve talk grows 🌐
• Market Reaction: Price steady despite tariff fears 📋
Riding waves of hype and hope! 💡
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚠️
• Volatility: 5-10% daily swings not uncommon 🔍
• Regulation: Global crackdowns loom 📉
• Macro: Economic shifts could jolt crypto ❄️
High risk, high reward territory! 🕵️
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Dominance: 50%+ of crypto market 🥇
• Adoption: Nations, whales piling in 📊
• Scarcity: 19.83M of 21M coins mined 🔧
A heavyweight with staying power! 🔒
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: Wild price swings, regulatory haze 📉
• Opportunities: Institutional cash, global unrest boost 📈
Can it strike gold or stumble? 🤔
(8/9) – 📢 Bitcoin at $82,352.34—your bet? 🗳️
• Bullish: $100K+ by Q2, unstoppable 🐂
• Neutral: Sideways, risks weigh ⚖️
• Bearish: $70K crash, bubble bursts 🐻
Drop your vote below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
Bitcoin’s $82,352.34 marks a wild frontier 📈, with dominance shining through volatility 🌫️. Dips? That’s our DCA sweet spot 💰. Scoop low, ride high! Boom or bust?
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Powell’s Speech & Bitcoin’s Decline: Is More Downside Ahead? Today, Fed Chair Jerome Powell is set to speak, and traders should brace for potential market volatility! Given the recent economic data , his tone is likely to be balanced but leaning hawkish .
Why a More Hawkish Powell?
1- Strong Job Market :
Unemployment Rate : 4.1% (Still low)
Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) : 151K (Decent, but lower than before)
Average Hourly Earnings : 0.3% (Steady wage growth)
This suggests that the labor market remains resilient, which might discourage the Fed from cutting rates too soon.
2- Inflation Still a Concern :
Wage growth and inflationary pressures persist, which means Powell may emphasize keeping rates steady longer to combat inflation.
3- Markets Are Too Optimistic on Rate Cuts :
Investors are heavily betting on rate cuts in 2024, but Powell may push back against these expectations to prevent excessive risk-taking.
Powell will likely maintain a cautious yet hawkish stance to manage expectations. Big price swings are expected across forex, crypto, and commodities—so stay alert! (Of course, this is just a personal analysis).
In addition to Donald Trump , Signs Executive Order to Create Bitcoin Strategic Reserve
Of course, today, we didn't see any strange movement in Bitcoin, and probably, the proverb " buy the rumor, sell the news " was fulfilled.
----------------------------------------------------------
Now let's take a look at the Bitcoin chart on the 1-hour time frame and also take help from technical analysis tools .
Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is in a Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,250) and has started to decline from Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
From a Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin appears to move in a Symmetrical Triangle .
According to Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin has completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) , and we should wait for the next bearish wave .
I expect Bitcoin to attack 200_SMA(Daily) again after breaking the lower line of the Symmetrical Triangle .
Note: Bitcoin is likely to pump more if the symmetrical triangle's upper line breaks.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN Is this the last defense before the narrative changes?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) got yet again increasingly volatile during the weekend and is approaching the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). As mentioned on the title, this is "the last defense" for BTC as so far this price action hasn't diverged a bit from the Channel Up of the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle but a break and 1W candle close below it, would jeopardize that.
** The key 1W MA50 **
In fact the only times that Bitcoin closed below its 1W MA50 during a Bull Cycle and the Cycle continued was of course during the March 2020 COVID global market flash crash and November 18 2019. But the current Bull Cycle is nothing like in 2019 - 2021, it doesn't have the initial overextension of the Libra hype (May - June 2019) or Elon's early 2020 hype nor of course the pandemic shutdown. On the contrary it is incredibly similar with 2015 - 2017 with the only difference being that, thanks to the ETF launch in January 2024, the market marginally breached the previous All Time High (ATH) earlier.
** Symmetry playing out **
So back to the similarities between those two Cycles. The Cycle count indicates that we are at the end of the (blue) Bull Rectangle in March 2017 (847 days) when the price almost tested the 1W MA50 and then started the (green) Parabolic Phase to new ATHs (217 days). Even in terms of 1W RSI and MACD, the two fractals are similar, with the RSI being on its 2nd 'Buy the dip Volatility Phase' bottom and the MACD on its 2nd Bullish Cross.
** How high can it get? **
Now as to how high the new Cycle Top can be, can be anybody's guess, but if it repeats the less aggressive 2021 Top, it could be on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, i.e. around $170k, while if it repeats the (much more unrealistic for such short period of time in terms of market cap) 2017 Top, it could be on the 2.382 Fib ext, i.e. around $520k. The worst case scenario is to have Fib extension Tops on a decreasing rate, in which case the 1.5 - 1.382 levels are next, giving us a potential target range of 120k - 145k, which would be almost a Double Top similar to November 2021.
So what do you think? Will the 1W MA50 come to Bitcoin's rescue yet again or the narrative will change this time? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Bitcoin structure weakening#bitcoin price has closed above trend line (Nov 2024 - March 2025) and declined from the bearish zone with weekly candle closing.. This must be taken serious. They always have the opportunity to service news (!) and manipulate prices in short term (They may invalidate T.A. with just a bear trap pump, we don' t know) , but in mid term this weak structure must not be underestimated. Red boxes are the support zones for CRYPTOCAP:BTC to be watched. Not financial advice.
HelenP. I Bitcoin can small correct and then continue to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Looking at this chart, we can see that the price rebounded from the resistance zone and dropped to the support level, eventually reaching the trend line. After that, it reversed and started moving upward within a triangle pattern, where it soon broke through the 80400 support level before climbing to the resistance level. Shortly after, BTC broke this resistance as well and surged to 94700, before pulling back to the trend line, breaking through the 88500 level. However, the price then bounced off the trend line and quickly climbed back to the resistance line of the wedge, breaking the resistance once again. It traded near this level for some time before starting to decline, eventually dropping to the support level, breaking the resistance level, and exiting the triangle pattern. Recently, BTC has shown signs of recovery, and in my view, it may make a slight correction before continuing its upward movement toward the trend line. Based on this scenario, my goal is set at 86700, which aligns with this trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTC - Get Ready!🚨 CRYPTOCAP:BTC is dipping hard! 🚨
📉 Get ready for a massive entry at $72,000—here’s why:
It aligns with:
1️⃣ Lower bound of the blue wedge pattern
2️⃣ Previous resistance turned support
3️⃣ Key demand zone
4️⃣ -34% correction phase
📊 This level could be a game-changer! Are you buying?
Bitcoin - Bitcoin’s fate in Trump’s hands?!Bitcoin is trading below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. Bitcoin’s continued downward trend and its inclusion in the zone may buy it again for us.
A Bitcoin correction will also be offered to test the selling from the zone. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and one should have capital management in the cryptocurrency market, than we can ask for more. If the downward trend continues, I can buy now.
During Trump’s presidency, the United States is aiming to become the “global capital of cryptocurrencies.” A key component of this strategy is establishing a national digital asset reserve, where Bitcoin will play a central role as a “digital Fort Knox.” Currently, the U.S. holds approximately 200,000 Bitcoins, making it one of the largest Bitcoin holders globally. Other digital assets, apart from Bitcoin, will be stored separately.
In contrast, during Biden’s administration, a significant portion of government-held Bitcoin was sold, slowing the growth of the cryptocurrency sector and restricting banks from engaging in digital asset transactions. These policies resulted in a decline in crypto development within the U.S.
Now, the Trump administration is reviewing all digital assets under U.S. ownership and evaluating the possibility of acquiring more Bitcoin. Additionally, the administration aims to end “Operation Choke Point 2.0,” which had pushed banks away from crypto, and accelerate the passage of stablecoin legislation by the end of the August recess. Trump has also declared that the U.S. will never sell its Bitcoin holdings, keeping them as a long-term reserve asset.
Following Trump’s remarks about creating a national digital currency reserve, Bitcoin initially surged but later fell below its pre-announcement level. Currently, Bitcoin’s price has dropped below $83,000, with other major cryptocurrencies experiencing similar declines.
Last week, U.S. President Donald Trump announced via Twitter that his administration was establishing a strategic reserve of digital assets, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, Ripple, and Cardano. While this initially drove prices higher, it was later clarified that the plan only involved holding confiscated digital assets rather than making direct crypto purchases.
On Friday, Trump signed an executive order formalizing the initiative, but markets reacted negatively. Bitcoin fell by $3,000, reaching its lowest level in weeks. The order does leave open the possibility of government Bitcoin purchases in the future, though such a move would likely require congressional approval.
As a result, most cryptocurrencies that had gained value due to the announcement have since lost those gains. Assets such as Cardano, Solana, Ripple, and Ethereum have all returned to their pre-announcement price levels. This event once again underscored that governments often act more as liquidity exit points rather than driving new capital inflows into the market.
Meanwhile, Michael Saylor, founder of Strategy, has proposed that the U.S. government should acquire 25% of the total Bitcoin supply by 2035 to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve. His suggestion is for the government to systematically purchase between 5% and 25% of Bitcoin’s supply through daily acquisitions from 2025 to 2035, by which time 99% of all Bitcoin will have been mined.
Saylor presented this idea at the White House Crypto Summit, urging President Trump and top crypto leaders to adopt a “never sell your Bitcoin” policy. He predicts that such a reserve could be worth between $16 trillion and $81 trillion by 2045, potentially helping to reduce the national debt.
Bitcoin will make a Breakout Chart Analysis:
1. Timeframe and Price Context
Timeframe: 4-hour chart (each candlestick represents 4 hours of trading).
Price Levels:
The current price is $92,812.72, with a slight decrease of 0.23% as of the latest data point.
The price range on the chart spans from approximately $80,000 to $108,255 (the recent peak).
Trend Overview:
Late 2024: Bitcoin experienced a strong uptrend, peaking near $108,255.
Early 2025: The price has corrected downward, forming a descending triangle pattern, with the current level at $92,812.72.
2. Key Patterns and Annotations
Descending Triangle:
The chart features a descending triangle pattern, a common consolidation pattern that can signal either a continuation of a downtrend or a reversal.
Upper Resistance: A horizontal resistance line around $108,255 (the recent peak where the price failed to sustain higher levels).
Lower Support: A descending trendline (sloping downward) that the price has been testing, currently near $92,000-$93,000.
The price is nearing the apex of the triangle, suggesting an imminent breakout (upward or downward).
Accumulation Zone:
The chart labels an "Accumulation Zone" near the $80,000-$85,000 range, indicating a potential area where large players (e.g., whales) may have been buying during the correction.
The current price ($92,812.72) is above this zone, suggesting a bounce or stabilization after reaching this support.
Breakout Prediction:
An upward arrow with a Bitcoin symbol points toward $120,000 or higher, indicating a potential bullish breakout targeting a new all-time high.
3. Support and Resistance Levels
Support:
The $92,000-$93,000 level is acting as immediate support, aligning with the lower boundary of the descending triangle.
The $80,000-$85,000 accumulation zone is a stronger support level, likely a key area of buying interest during the correction.
If this support fails, the next level could be around $75,000 (a psychological and historical support).
Resistance:
The $108,255 level is a major resistance, marking the recent high.
The next significant resistance could be around $120,000 (as suggested by the arrow), a psychological level and a potential new all-time high.
4. Volume and Momentum (Not Visible but Inferred)
Volume bars are not clearly visible, but typical behavior suggests:
Volume likely peaked during the rally to $108,255 and decreased during the correction as selling pressure eased.
A breakout would require a volume spike to confirm, especially if the price breaks above the descending trendline (around $100,000-$105,000).
Momentum indicators (e.g., RSI or MACD) could indicate if Bitcoin is oversold or showing bullish divergence, supporting a reversal.
5. Potential Scenarios
Bullish Breakout:
If Bitcoin breaks above the descending trendline (around $100,000-$105,000) with strong volume, it could confirm the breakout.
The target of $120,000 (a ~29% move from $92,812.72) is plausible, especially if whale accumulation in the $80,000-$85,000 zone drives momentum.
This aligns with the upward arrow and suggests a resumption of the prior uptrend.
Bearish Breakdown:
If the price fails to hold the $92,000-$93,000 support and breaks below, it could signal a bearish continuation.
The next support at $80,000-$85,000 would be tested, potentially leading to further downside toward $75,000.
Consolidation:
If the price remains within the triangle (between $92,000 and the descending trendline), it might continue to consolidate until a catalyst (e.g., market news, volume surge) triggers a move.
6. Market Context
Whale Activity: The accumulation zone at $80,000-$85,000 supports your earlier narrative of whales accumulating during corrections to set up a breakout. This could indicate strategic buying by large players.
Market Sentiment: As the leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin’s price heavily influences altcoins like Ethereum and UNISWAP (from your previous charts). A bullish breakout in BTC could trigger similar moves in the broader market.
Timing: The chart’s position near the triangle’s apex suggests a breakout could occur within days to a week on a 4-hour timeframe, depending on market conditions.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Bearish Breakdown Potential – Key Support Leve:
🔍 Technical Analysis:
Resistance Zones (Purple Rectangles at the Top)
The price recently hit a resistance area around $92,000.
It also tested an ascending trendline (red line) and failed to break higher.
Support Zones (Purple Rectangles at the Bottom)
There are two significant support areas:
First zone around $87,500 - $88,000.
Second zone around $82,000 - $83,000.
Bearish Expectation (Black Arrow)
The price is projected to break down from the current level.
A potential lower high formation suggests further decline.
Target areas: $88,000 first, then possibly $82,000.
🔥 Conclusion
Bearish bias if the price fails to reclaim the resistance.
A breakdown below $88,000 could accelerate the drop.
Watch for rejection signals at resistance zones before confirming short trades.
Pullback to 85K for sellingMorning folks,
So, everything goes with the plan - nothing to change on major picture. We keep our bearish view on BTC and now consider 68-74K area as the next destination point. But this could take a few weeks.
In fact, previous 68K top also will be a big test. Downside break will open road to 52-55K. While if BTC will be able to stay in 70-80K range, it will keep long term bullish context. It should be interesting...
Meantime, BTC once again hits oversold areas as on weekly as on daily charts. As we promised - D. Trump verbal boost lasted just 2 days and was reversed down. We see some intention market manipulations from D. Trump administration but this is not the subject for this update.
In short-term - 2-3 days BTC needs to relief oversold pressure, so minor bounce is quite possible. For example, based on "222" pattern on 1H chart we could see attempt to bounce up from 79K and up to 84-85K area.
Those who wants to sell - that might be the chance.
For now I mark this update as bullish, because of suggested bounce. But our longer term view remains bearish still.
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis – Bearish Outlookhello guys.
Market Structure & Pattern
Bitcoin is forming a descending wedge, with lower highs indicating weakening bullish momentum.
The price is testing the ascending trendline support, which, if broken, could lead to further downside.
Anticipated Move
A short-term bounce may occur, but a rejection from resistance is expected.
BTC is likely to break below support, leading to a move toward the $80,000 - $81,000 demand zone.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: $89,200 – $90,000 (Potential rejection area)
Support: $85,000 (trendline), then $80,000 - $81,000 (target zone
)
Confirmation & Invalidations
A confirmed break below the trendline supports the bearish outlook.
Bullish invalidation: A strong breakout above $89,200 - $90,000 could shift momentum back to the upside.
---------------------------------
Conclusion
The current structure suggests a bearish breakdown, with a target of $80,000 - $81,000 unless resistance is broken. Monitoring price action at key levels is crucial for confirmation. 🚨
The bitcoin will continue decreaseOn the monthly chart it is visible that the turning figure was created. MACD shows divergence, other technical indicators it confirm. I expect decrease the price at least up to 0.5 according to Fibonacci - the purpose for me 62800.
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the market.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Weekly Chart Analysis - March 10, 2025.As mention in X post on Feb25, BTC chart turn into bearish and same price reflection we saw in chart.
〽️Bearish MACD cross over happen 4 weeks ago damage BTC price and we saw fall till $78256.
As BTC chart al ready give near 27% correction till last week we can see a slow momentum in chart for next 4-6 weeks.
⚠️Weekly RSI also testing Bull market support 44.50. We can expect a bounce from here but breakdown below this area will send BTC is long term bearish cycle.
⚓️Support: $77,000 , $73,000 and $69,000
💡Resistance: $95,000 and $110,000
🟢Bullish Note:💰💰💰
- Global M2 supply increasing
- we are in 2025
- BTC took 30% correction which part of bull market
- Gold Price Near ATH and BTC follow it
- Bitcoin is now part of US Reserve treasury
🔴Bearish Note:
- BTC weekly chart not give sign of recovery
- US Index drop 10% and still not sign of recovery
- Trump Tariffs create lot of uncertainty in market
- This trade war can be long and hurt global economy and market towards recession
⏰Events:
- US CPI : March 12
- FOMC : March 19
📃Conclusion & Possible Scenarios:
🟢Bullish Case: If BTC holds above $70,000-$75,000, it could consolidate and retest all-time highs near $110,000.
🔴Bearish Case: A breakdown below $70,000 could push BTC towards $50,000-$55,000, aligning with previous cycle corrections.
🟡Neutral: Consolidation between $70,000 - $90,000 before another breakout.
🚨FOLLOW FOR QUALITY CONTENT AND AVOID THE NOISE
#Bitcoin $BTC OutlookCRYPTO:BTCUSD is testing a 2 years old uptrend channel lower wedge extending since 2023 where #BTC price was ~$25k. The wedge is ranging between ~$80k : ~$70k.
Key levels:
~$79k: kind of imminent today.
~$73.5k: The first and the nearest core demand, smart money is concentrated at this level "A bounce is anticipated from here"
~$70k: Is the last bulls haven, breakingdown will unlock the ~$60k mark.
Check my previous BTC analysis, I've been calling for the ~$80k : ~$70k since ATHs.
#AhmedMesbah
Two key scenarios for BTC - Q2 mostly sideays/down!Two scenarios at this point:
We have a new range, but it could break quickly since there’s an active downtrend expiring on the 20th.
That means I can’t blindly bid into the low $80Ks like before—it’s getting trickier, and we’ll need to rely on proper triggers.
If it breaks down and continues lower, I’d like to see the GETTEX:59K -$62K zone get tested.
The **uptrend remains intact**, and I think we can all agree that **Bitcoin could be higher later this year**. I don’t see it going above **$200K**, but at the very least, I expect it to challenge its current **ATHs**.
For now, I’m just focusing on **key levels** and patiently waiting for **triggers—if any**.
There are plenty of ways to play this:
- Another **mid-level retest** and **reclaim** → I'll go **long**.
- If it **bounces**, I’ll look to **short** into the **low $90Ks**.
- If **nothing happens** and it starts **breaking down**, then **$75K** is a key zone, and **$71K** becomes pivotal for both **longs and shorts**.
Just **keep your levels clear** and **wait** until they are breached.
#202510 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Every bounce is sold. Target 75k remains but I hope for 70k. The big bear trend line is valid until broken, so bulls need to claim 94k again for higher prices. Not the white house summit nor the crypto reserve could break the bear trend line, why would it break now? People are running for the exits and are desperate for exit liquidity. Hence the explosion in "btfd posts”.
current market cycle: bear trend
key levels: 70k - 94k
bull case: Bulls need anything above 94k to break above the bear trend line. If they can claim it, no reason not to go for 100k again but for now that’s a pipe dream. This is going down and bulls would need to stop the daily big bear bars for more days to turn this neutral again.
Invalidation is below 70k.
bear case: Bears showing strength and are in full control. They want to retest the previous ath 73805 and the cluster of previous highs in that area. For now it’s tough to have a better looking structure than this ABC move. The weekly chart could be seen as W3 we are currently in but it’s ugly af. If bears are really strong, we go directly down to 70k and then we could very well test the bull trend line around 67k. There is no reason why it should break on the next touch but it would be amazing for the bears to get there because it would be a 40% crash in roughly 2 months. I am enjoying this down move a lot, given the attention these people get, that tell everyone they should sell their grandmother and a kidney to buy btc above 100k.
Invalidation is above 94k.
short term: Max bearish. Any pullback is a good short with a stop 97k.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-02-23: 75000 is still my biggest target for 2025. It’s happening. 70k/75k and then I expect a bigger bounce first. Then we will see if we can go lower or not. For now it’s very low probability that the big bull trend line from 2023-10 breaks anytime soon.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Removed 5-wave thesis for now.