BTCUSD H4 Outlook If this current H4 candle closes below my poi which is 97552.82 I'll be looking to sell Bitcoin down to the indicated liquidity zone 92743.63
If price close above it. I'll wait for the next three H4 candles to know if I'd still be willing to see Bitcoin fall to 92743.63.
What's your outlook on BTC. Drop your comments I'll be glad to read your point of view.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTCUSD: Williams bounce points to $119k next.Bitcoin is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.385, MACD = -483.200, ADX = 34.048) and just today it hit its 1D MA50, which is the first sign of restoring the bullish trend. The strongest bullish indicator is the Williams%R, which has rebounded rapidly since turning oversold at -93.00. Every time it hit that level and rebounded since July 2024, it rallied by +30%. Consequently, we aim for just under that level (TP = 115,000).
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BTC Breakouts Galore: Could 100K Be on the Horizon?Bitcoin has been experiencing one breakout after another, appearing almost unstoppable. If BTC manages to push through the next resistance level, I see a real chance it could reach $100K—and potentially climb even higher once it breaks that critical barrier.
What do you think?
Stay tuned, and I’ll catch you in the next one — peace!
Bitcoin - It Will Reach $100.000!Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) will break out soon:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Everything, and I literally mean everything, is bullish on Bitcoin. The previous cycles, timeframes, market structure and price action are all pointing towards the continuation of the bull run which started in 2023. And a breakout above the all time high, is the next trigger.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $100.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BITCOIN Dominance drop is about to trigger a massive Altseason!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) closed December on a marginally bearish 1M candle and is expected to start the 3rd year (2025) of the current Bull Cycle on strong bullish pressure.
As you can see on this chart, BTC Dominance (blue trend-line) has started to decline already since October 2024. That is when Bitcoin completed 36 months (1096 days) from the previous Cycle top (green candle).
This is a highly cyclical pattern as BTC Dominance during previous Cycles dropped every time Bitcoin completed 36 months from the previous All Time High (ATH). That was when the Altseason started, which is the most aggressive part of the Altcoin market.
Based on this chart we are about to see an accelerated drop on Bitcoin's dominance, with earnings and added capital being transferred to Altcoins, causing a new Altseason.
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Crypto & IWM Leading the way higher!At the beginning of the month, I anticipated a necessary pullback due to the red barrier on the Wr%. While I accurately predicted the pullback, I underestimated its severity and was slightly off on the timeline. As a swing/long-term trader, I'll accept minor discrepancies in the degree of severity and timing.
In a previous video and subsequent write-ups, I emphasized that Crypto CRYPTOCAP:BTC , CRYPTOCAP:ETH , and AMEX:IWM , CAPITALCOM:RTY would lead us out of the DIP. This week, we are witnessing exactly that! Crypto and the Russell 2000 are bouncing back stronger than NASDAQ:QQQ and $SPY.
In my 2025 preview, I discussed how AMEX:IWM has lagged behind since its peak in 2021. Before this bull market truly ends, we need a catch-up rally where the Russell launches itself at the SP500. I believe we will witness this in 2025, culminating in a blow-off top similar to 2021, followed by a significant correction crash.
Not financial advice.
BTC/USD Short: FibCloud Rejection and 200MA TargetOn the 8-hour BTC/USD timeframe, I have executed a short position following a clear rejection from the FibCloud, signaling strong resistance at this level. The price action showcases a classic flip of old support into new resistance, further solidifying bearish momentum.
My target for this trade is the $90,000 price zone, aligning with the 200MA on the 8-hour chart. Additionally, order flow data confirms significant sell-side activity, with large orders clustered between the $90,000 and $89,000 levels, providing further confluence for this setup.
The trade is structured to capitalize on the retracement move, with the potential for price consolidation or reversal upon hitting the $90K psychological and technical support zone.
Technicals:
• Entry Trigger: Rejection from FibCloud and resistance flip.
• Target: $90,000 (aligned with the 200MA and key order flow levels).
• Stop Loss: Positioned above the FibCloud to mitigate risk.
• Order Flow Insight: Large sell orders between $90,000–$89,000 add weight to the bearish scenario.
This setup emphasizes a disciplined approach to risk management, leveraging technical and order flow alignment for optimal execution. Stay sharp, and remember to pay yourself!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
First Bitcoin Super Cycle closingWe might be nearing the end of the first Bitcoin Super Cycle. There will be lots of volatility and fear among the retails. But on-chain observation shows that big players are storing coins on unprecedented levels.
What the next Super Cycle will be, can't tell. More data is needed in its beginning.
But financial institutions needs a more predictable, more controllable and most of all fixed cap assets. I am not talking about Bitcoin only, but in general about crypto currencies. There are interesting PoW projects that resembles Bitcoin, but has added extras like privacy and smart contracts.
But when time comes, crypto prices will skyrocket and there will be no corrections and no bear markets until the transitional period ends. Most retails will sell cheap and re-enter with more than 90% loss in coins.
It is NOT a financial advice.
BTCUSDT LongBased on the previous analysis, we anticipated that the price might be bearish based on the retracement it made on the 50% mark.
Well, it retraced but did not manage to go through the Order Block at 92150, which might be a signature that the price might be drawn to the DOL at 100,000
Entry at 95600, tp 1 at 97570 and Tp 2 at 100,700 and SL 93750.
Crypto Market to Hit $5 Trillion in 2025?The crypto market added an astonishing $1.58 trillion in 2024, and projections for 2025 are even more bullish, with a potential market cap of $5 trillion. While most altcoins are still down over 50%, the next altcoin rally could be the catalyst for explosive growth. Institutional investors are also predicting Bitcoin to hit $150K, further fueling market optimism.
The combination of increasing adoption, institutional interest, and potential altcoin recovery makes this goal achievable. Prepare for the next big wave by identifying undervalued projects and managing your risk effectively. 2025 could be the year of exponential growth—stay ahead of the curve!
Short term Bitcoin warning: multiple bearish signalsShort term #bitcoin CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD warning:
- price is retesting the 50-day moving average, which is now resistance since we broke it to the downside
- price is bumping into the average volume levels of this top
- there is no volume behind this push (there is a price/volume divergence)
- we formed a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern
- we didnt liquidate enough leveraged LONGs
Bitcoin cán ignore all this and just PUMP through but just keep it in mind. Happy trading! 🥸
$BTC Macro ChartThis is my BTC idea for the long term as I did my chart based on the chart and the historical data as well.
As you can see in the picture attached to the chart, second time in the cycle when #BTC NUPL goes green (blue arrow) it indicates the start of the Bull Run (Parabolic Phase) 🐂 🚀
shout out to @CryptoBullet
Doubts are confirmed. Watching for 100.5KMorning folks,
Last time we decided to take a pause, because too weak performance on supposedly bearish market has confused us. Now our doubts are confirmed, indeed the action that we see now is not typical and natural for bearish market. It is too wobble and slow. This is not the way how bearish market normally moves.
It doesn't mean that potentially bearish scenario and deeper retracement are cancelled totally. It means that they could start with different patterns. Thus, on daily we're watching for something like this, although do not exclude that it might be Double Top later as well:
Since the shoulder stands around ~100.5K, we do not consider any shorts until it will be reached. 1H chart shows upside AB-CD with the same extension target. We consider no longs.
DXY at 108.4: The Dollar’s Midlife Crisis—Breakout or Breakdown?Alright, traders, let’s not sugarcoat it. What you’re looking at here isn’t just another chart—it’s the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) standing at the gates of destiny. 💥
🔥 The Setup:
Testing the almighty 108.4 resistance. Will it smash through like a battering ram or faceplant into oblivion? 🤔
Riding the top of the Bollinger Bands like it’s a rollercoaster at peak speed. Overbought much? 🎢
RSI? She’s chilling at 59 —neither here nor there but whispering “don’t count me out just yet.” 🧘♂️
🚀 The Bullish Dream: Break 108.4, and this thing’s flying to the moon (or at least 112). Bulls will party like it’s 1985. 🐂💃
💀 The Bearish Nightmare: Rejected here? Say hello to a pullback at 104, and if things really hit the fan, we’re looking at 100.6. Bears will sip their coffee smugly. 🐻☕
But here’s the kicker: DXY isn’t just a chart—it’s the puppet master pulling the strings of everything from Bitcoin to gold to your morning cup of coffee. ☕ (Yes, inflation is still a thing.)
⚡ Final Word: Whether it breaks or bends, this is the make-or-break moment for the dollar. Get ready for fireworks. 🎇
George out. ✌️ #DXY #DollarIndex #Forex
Pnut/UsdtBINANCE:PNUTUSDT
"$Pnut is currently priced at 0.7032, but the resistance levels are pretty close—around 0.7545, 0.8433, and 0.9345. 🚧 What that means is that the price is likely to face some strong pushback when it tries to go higher, so don’t expect a massive surge in the short term. ⚠️
If you’re holding $Pnut right now, I’d be careful. 💭 I wouldn't recommend holding it at these levels for too long because it could potentially retrace. Instead, you might want to keep an eye on the support levels, which are at 0.600 and 0.0600. 🛑 If the price drops towards those areas, it could be a good spot to watch for a possible bounce or buy opportunity. 📊
Just a reminder—this isn't financial advice, just sharing my observations. 💡"
Bitcoin SellThis coin has been bearish for the past few days, before retracting 50% of the current range.
Currently, it is on the 50% mark, filled the IFVG before strongly rejecting it and acted as a bearish order block.
I do anticipate that the price might be drawn to the sell side liquidity at 91000.
Entry at 95500, Sl at 96700 and target at 91000
Next Volatility Period: Around January 10
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Have a nice day today.
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(USDT 1D chart)
USDT is maintaining a gap downtrend.
The gap downtrend is a sign that funds have flowed out of the coin market.
(USDC 1D chart)
I think that the price defense is being done in the short term because USDC is maintaining a gap uptrend.
If USDT continues to maintain a gap downtrend and USDC moves sideways or gaps down, the coin market may fall significantly, so be careful when trading.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
USDT is showing an upward trend while maintaining a gap downtrend.
It is likely that this is the last upward movement before the downtrend, so you should think about how to respond to the downtrend.
In order to turn into a short-term uptrend over time, it needs to be supported in the 95863.11-97461.86 range or higher.
If not, it will eventually fall.
-
USDT is one of the important stablecoins that support the coin market.
Since USDT is a stablecoin used worldwide, it is a fund that has a big impact on the coin market.
-
93576.0, 94742.35 are important support and resistance points.
Therefore, if the price can be maintained around 93576.0-94742.35, the coin market is expected to show a large increase when USDT shows a gap increase.
If it falls below the 92792.05 point and shows resistance,
1st: 87.8K ~ 89K
2nd: M-Signal on the 1W chart
You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd above.
-
Even if it rises above the 93576.0-94742.35 section and shows support, it must rise above the 101947.24-106133.74 section, which is the high point boundary section, to continue the upward trend.
If not, it will fall again, and at this time, the 93576.0-94742.35 section will play an important role as support and resistance.
-
As I mentioned earlier, the key is whether it can develop into a movement to form a bottom section.
To do that, it needs to meet the HA-Low indicator.
Since the next volatility period is expected to be around January 10 (January 9-11), we need to see if the HA-Low indicator is generated after the volatility period.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
How to view and respond to this is up to you.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
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Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
ON THE EDGE - HAEDS OR TAILS? Happy New Year to all of you! :)
As illustrated, we can see BTC hanging on the edge of a cliff.
Apparently , Black Rock and other financial institutions involved are manipulating price; however, that's only rumors until a major media source proves otherwise.
Technically speaking , the key support area is the $90,000 - $91,000 price range where we've seen BTC bounce strongly to the upside once testing it.
Don't be surprised if there's a strong selling inducement ( what retails call "fake breakout" ), where these bigger institutions bid the market just bellow $90,000 trapping sellers and shaking off buy-holders, and then buy back all of the liquidity at a discount price (potentially around $85,000 - $80,000).
However, the sell-inducement maneuver could cause a panic sell-off, taking price lower toward its previous maximum highs of $73,000 ; being such price range a major potential buying area for a long term HODL toward what could be a short-term target of $115,500 - $118,000 price range.
Patience is key since we are starting the year, and price "should" create the low of the year (somewhere), so it's natural and not strange for there to actually be a drop which, as a matter of fact, is fair and actually good so that everyone can get their hands on some BTC at a better price.
--
GOOD LUCK!
And I wish you all a year full of abundance and prosperity.
The quickening of #BTC RSI & price extremes!I don't make the rules.
:)
We are just surfing the waves of emotions,
of the crowds.
Here we have Monthly line chart with the RSI
It clearly shows a quickening of the trend and how the 4 year cycle is likely to fail this time around.
It is too well know as a theory and will be front ran.
(in my opinion)
We should get a RSI peak at this rate, around May (could be June ofc)
and second lower peak around November (or DEC )
As always good luck in your speculations
#Crypto's are highly speculative instruments as we all know
During these tops you will be told many stories
you must have the wherewith-all to ignore the noise.
#Ethereum $ETHUSD One year analysis.CRYPTO:ETHUSD Key Levels:
1. 4500 = Nearest major supply & 12 month target.
2. 4105 = Last year's high.
3. 2700 = Closest majot demand.
Analysis:
CRYPTO:ETHUSD is currently trading slightly below the 2024 high of approximately $4105. This level has broken above March's high around $4090, therefore it is no longer valid and must be cleared for ETH to reach a new all time high above the upper channel wedge.
The current uptrend appears to be losing momentum. For a resumption of the bullish trend, a period of price consolidation near the lower wedge of the current channel, around the $2700 demand zone, may be required to gather momentum.
Conclusion, A retest of the $2700 level may provide a very favorable buying opportunity.
#AhmedMesbah #Ethereum #ETH #ETHUSD #ETHANALYSIS #CRYPTO #CRYPTOCURRENCY #ETHCOIN #SUPPLYANDDEMAND