Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Weekly Chart Analysis - March 10, 2025.As mention in X post on Feb25, BTC chart turn into bearish and same price reflection we saw in chart.
〽️Bearish MACD cross over happen 4 weeks ago damage BTC price and we saw fall till $78256.
As BTC chart al ready give near 27% correction till last week we can see a slow momentum in chart for next 4-6 weeks.
⚠️Weekly RSI also testing Bull market support 44.50. We can expect a bounce from here but breakdown below this area will send BTC is long term bearish cycle.
⚓️Support: $77,000 , $73,000 and $69,000
💡Resistance: $95,000 and $110,000
🟢Bullish Note:💰💰💰
- Global M2 supply increasing
- we are in 2025
- BTC took 30% correction which part of bull market
- Gold Price Near ATH and BTC follow it
- Bitcoin is now part of US Reserve treasury
🔴Bearish Note:
- BTC weekly chart not give sign of recovery
- US Index drop 10% and still not sign of recovery
- Trump Tariffs create lot of uncertainty in market
- This trade war can be long and hurt global economy and market towards recession
⏰Events:
- US CPI : March 12
- FOMC : March 19
📃Conclusion & Possible Scenarios:
🟢Bullish Case: If BTC holds above $70,000-$75,000, it could consolidate and retest all-time highs near $110,000.
🔴Bearish Case: A breakdown below $70,000 could push BTC towards $50,000-$55,000, aligning with previous cycle corrections.
🟡Neutral: Consolidation between $70,000 - $90,000 before another breakout.
🚨FOLLOW FOR QUALITY CONTENT AND AVOID THE NOISE
#Bitcoin $BTC OutlookCRYPTO:BTCUSD is testing a 2 years old uptrend channel lower wedge extending since 2023 where #BTC price was ~$25k. The wedge is ranging between ~$80k : ~$70k.
Key levels:
~$79k: kind of imminent today.
~$73.5k: The first and the nearest core demand, smart money is concentrated at this level "A bounce is anticipated from here"
~$70k: Is the last bulls haven, breakingdown will unlock the ~$60k mark.
Check my previous BTC analysis, I've been calling for the ~$80k : ~$70k since ATHs.
#AhmedMesbah
Two key scenarios for BTC - Q2 mostly sideays/down!Two scenarios at this point:
We have a new range, but it could break quickly since there’s an active downtrend expiring on the 20th.
That means I can’t blindly bid into the low $80Ks like before—it’s getting trickier, and we’ll need to rely on proper triggers.
If it breaks down and continues lower, I’d like to see the GETTEX:59K -$62K zone get tested.
The **uptrend remains intact**, and I think we can all agree that **Bitcoin could be higher later this year**. I don’t see it going above **$200K**, but at the very least, I expect it to challenge its current **ATHs**.
For now, I’m just focusing on **key levels** and patiently waiting for **triggers—if any**.
There are plenty of ways to play this:
- Another **mid-level retest** and **reclaim** → I'll go **long**.
- If it **bounces**, I’ll look to **short** into the **low $90Ks**.
- If **nothing happens** and it starts **breaking down**, then **$75K** is a key zone, and **$71K** becomes pivotal for both **longs and shorts**.
Just **keep your levels clear** and **wait** until they are breached.
#202510 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Every bounce is sold. Target 75k remains but I hope for 70k. The big bear trend line is valid until broken, so bulls need to claim 94k again for higher prices. Not the white house summit nor the crypto reserve could break the bear trend line, why would it break now? People are running for the exits and are desperate for exit liquidity. Hence the explosion in "btfd posts”.
current market cycle: bear trend
key levels: 70k - 94k
bull case: Bulls need anything above 94k to break above the bear trend line. If they can claim it, no reason not to go for 100k again but for now that’s a pipe dream. This is going down and bulls would need to stop the daily big bear bars for more days to turn this neutral again.
Invalidation is below 70k.
bear case: Bears showing strength and are in full control. They want to retest the previous ath 73805 and the cluster of previous highs in that area. For now it’s tough to have a better looking structure than this ABC move. The weekly chart could be seen as W3 we are currently in but it’s ugly af. If bears are really strong, we go directly down to 70k and then we could very well test the bull trend line around 67k. There is no reason why it should break on the next touch but it would be amazing for the bears to get there because it would be a 40% crash in roughly 2 months. I am enjoying this down move a lot, given the attention these people get, that tell everyone they should sell their grandmother and a kidney to buy btc above 100k.
Invalidation is above 94k.
short term: Max bearish. Any pullback is a good short with a stop 97k.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-02-23: 75000 is still my biggest target for 2025. It’s happening. 70k/75k and then I expect a bigger bounce first. Then we will see if we can go lower or not. For now it’s very low probability that the big bull trend line from 2023-10 breaks anytime soon.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Removed 5-wave thesis for now.
Crypto summit disappoints, Bitcoin teeters on support Bitcoin surged on March 3 after Donald Trump announced a strategic crypto reserve, only to erase gains following erratic tariff announcements the following days.
Friday’s White House crypto summit, expected to be a turning point, fell flat. Trump met with top crypto executives, promising to ease Biden-era regulations, but offered only vague commitments. Instead of rallying, the market has declined further.
A silver lining for Bitcoin came with Friday’s weak jobs report, increasing the likelihood of Federal Reserve intervention. Historically, Bitcoin benefits when interest rates fall. Although this is yet to be reflected in the price.
Technically, BTC/USD is testing the first support on the pitchfork indicator, with the money flow index suggesting no buying pressure at the moment. A drop below Monday’s low of $81,620 could invalidate any bullish outlook.
march rally coming for bitcoin BTCUSD BTC!Bitcoin's price action is also influenced by broader financial cycles and patterns that are more subtle.
Here's a look at those:
General Financial Cycles:
Market Sentiment Cycles:
Like all financial markets, Bitcoin experiences cycles of fear and greed. These psychological waves drive price fluctuations, with periods of euphoria leading to overbought conditions and subsequent corrections.
These cycles are often amplified in the cryptocurrency market due to its 24/7 nature and the prevalence of social media.
Economic Cycles:
Bitcoin's performance can be influenced by macroeconomic trends, such as inflation, interest rates, and global economic growth.
In times of economic uncertainty, some investors may turn to Bitcoin as a hedge against traditional assets. Conversely, during periods of strong economic growth, capital may flow into more traditional investments.
Adoption Cycles:
Bitcoin's adoption by individuals and institutions follows a pattern of gradual growth, punctuated by periods of rapid acceleration.
As adoption increases, liquidity improves, and the market becomes more mature, which can influence price volatility and long-term trends.
"Secret" or Less Obvious Bitcoin Cycles:
On-Chain Data Cycles:
Analysis of Bitcoin's blockchain data reveals patterns in investor behavior, such as accumulation and distribution phases.
Metrics like:
Hodl waves: which track the age of bitcoin held in wallets.
Entity adjusted dormancy: which shows when older coins are being moved.
These can give indications of underlying cycle activity.
Liquidity Cycles:
The flow of liquidity into and out of the Bitcoin market can create its own cycles.
Periods of high liquidity can fuel price increases, while periods of low liquidity can exacerbate price declines.
The availability of stablecoins, and the actions of large market makers, effect these cycles.
Technological Adoption Cycles:
The development and adoption of layer 2 solutions, and other technological improvements to the bitcoin network, can create their own cyclical impacts on the bitcoin price.
These cycles are less predictable, but can have profound long term effects.
It's important to understand that these cycles are interconnected and can overlap, making it challenging to isolate their individual effects. Additionally, the cryptocurrency market is still relatively young, and its cycles may evolve over time.
Will $78.5K hold or spark a liquidation storm?Bitcoin is facing intense selling pressure within the critical $78,500 – $82,000 zone on the 4-hour timeframe. A large liquidation cluster in this range (over $800 million in leveraged longs) raises the risk of a sharp drop toward $77,800, a key institutional support level. However, oversold RSI (32) and slowing bearish momentum on the MACD suggest potential exhaustion in sellers, increasing the likelihood of a rebound if the zone holds. A decisive breakdown below $78,500 could accelerate corrective moves toward short-term lows.
A sustained hold above $78,500 followed by a breakout above $82,000 would open a bullish reversal scenario, targeting $86,000 (Fibonacci extension level) and $89,000. Such a move would likely trigger a short squeeze, fueled by liquidations of leveraged shorts and rising buy-side volume.
NZDJPY - 2025 Plan. Make It Your Best Year Yet!Here we have the 2 Day chart for NZDJPY.
We've seen a massive impulse mid 2024. We are now in an ABC correction.
We are currently in wave B of the correction, subwave B. Expecting subwave C to complete wave B.
We're looking for a rejection of the fib zone and a drop of over 700pips.
Trade idea:
- Watch for rejection of fib zone
- Once rejection appears, enter with stops above the highs
- Targets: 86 (350pips), 83 (700pips)
Once we've completed this move down, we'll be looking for longs. We'll update this setup if there's enough engagement.
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
AUDJPY - Growing SHORTS! Big Move Ahead!In one of our last AUDJPY analysis, we indicated that price looked foppish. Since then, we've had almost a 2000pip drop!
That big drop can be marked as wave 1 in our new bearish impulsive trend.
We are now in Wave 2, which is an ABC correction. We have completed Wave A (3 waves). We are now in Wave B (3 waves). We're currently in subwave b of wave B. Expecting subwave c to appear very soon.
Trade Idea:
- Watch for bearish price action on lower timeframe
- You can use trendline break, fibs or BOS to find the reversal point
- When entered, put stops above subwave B.
- Target: 91 (750pips)
4Week Chart
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
See our previous setups below:
BTCUSDT BEARISH PENNANT IN 1-H ATHello Guys Here Is Chart Of BTCUSDT in 1-H AT
Resistance: The upper trendline of the triangle around 86800 - 87200
Target Will Be : 84100
Support: The lower trendline of the triangle around 83800
This setup indicates potential Bearish momentum , If the price stays above support, it may go up again. If it breaks below, it could fall to the target.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #28👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
Let's dive into Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indices. As usual, I’ll review the futures session triggers for New York.
✨ Market conditions haven’t changed at all compared to yesterday, and Bitcoin has a ranging box that might break today.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see, in the 1-hour timeframe, after breaking the trendline, the 85552 trigger is crucial. If this level is broken, it confirms the trendline break, which means the price could move toward lower support levels.
✅ Currently, the price has broken this area, and the RSI trigger has also been activated. If you opened a position with this break, I recommend waiting to see from which area the price gets rejected.
🔽 For a short position today, there isn’t really any specific trigger, so if you don’t have a position, you should observe for now. However, if the 85552 break turns out to be fake, bullish momentum could enter the market. In that case, you can enter a position with a break of 86949.
⚡️ I don’t have any other moves for Bitcoin because the short trigger is already activated, and today is Sunday, so there’s no need to focus too much on altcoins. Let’s move on to dominance analysis to assess altcoins' conditions.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Looking at Bitcoin dominance, you can see that it is still ranging and hasn’t started any particular trend yet.
🧲 If 61.61 breaks, it confirms bullish dominance, while a break of 61.08 would confirm bearish dominance. The main range is between 60.40 and 62.19.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Checking Total2, just like Bitcoin, this index has also activated its entry trigger and is moving downward.
🎲 Currently, after breaking the 1.07 area, the next support level is at 1.01, and the probability of reaching this level is high. If this downward move turns out to be fake, the 1.09 trigger would be suitable for a long position.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Looking at Tether dominance, you can see that after yesterday’s pullback to 5.08, the 5.14 trigger has been activated, and dominance is moving upward.
💫 The issue I mentioned yesterday was that there was no momentum, but now bullish momentum is visible. The target it can move towards is the 5.30 area.
📊 If the 5.14 break turns out to be fake, the 5.08 trigger would be suitable for confirming the fake break.
🧩 Overall, there aren’t any significant triggers in the charts today. If you didn’t open a position during the London session and want to have one, you should look for altcoins that haven’t activated their triggers yet.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
And Then One Time Bitcoin Went From $30k To $30 MillionNever say never! I know it sounds crazy but what if this whole bitcoin move that we saw from inception to today was one giant cycle? What if this is the bottom of a larger cycle and we are about to see numbers that no one could ever even imagine are possible? What if everyone who is predicting Bitcoins's next move is near sighted and need to zoom out allloot further and see the larger cycle? What if Im crazy? Its all possible, and that would put Bitcoin's market cap at $600 TRILLION. Not impossible in my opinion. This is just my opinion and a wild one at that so dont take this as any sort of financial advice, Im just having fun here. Good luck out there.
BITCOIN - Price can continue to grow inside rising channelHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago, price entered a falling channel, where it reached resistance line and then continued to fall.
In a short time, price declined to $98000 level, after which rose a little and then dropped to support line of channel.
After this, price rose to resistance area and soon broke $98000 level and continued to decline next.
BTC fell to $83600 level and even lower, thereby exiting from falling channel and started to grow in another channel.
In rising channel, Bitcoin grew a little and then corrected, after which it continued to move up.
So, I expect that Bitcoin can correct a little and then rise to $98000 resistance level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
BTC ANALYSIS🔮 #BTC Analysis
💲💲 #BTC is trading in a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern. If the price of #BTC breaks and sustain the higher price then will see a pump. Also there is an instant strong support zone. We may see a retest towards the support zone first and then a reversal📈
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀
#BTC #Cryptocurrency #Support #Resistance #DYOR
BITCOIN $BTCUSD | BTC BEARISH TREND & STRATEGIC BITCOIN RESERVEBITCOIN BITSTAMP:BTCUSD | BTC BEARISH TREND & STRATEGIC BITCOIN RESERVE Mar09'25
Sparros Exchange Trend Table:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Weekly: Bullish
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Daily: Bearish
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 4H: Bearish
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 1H: Bearish
Bitcoin Zones:
Bitcoin BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $90,500 - $106,000
Bitcoin DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $84,000 - $90,500
Bitcoin SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $69,000 - $84,000
Bitcoin is currently trading at $86,000, reflecting a bearish trend after reaching its all-time high nearly two months ago. The cryptocurrency has experienced substantial volatility, with the price having previously consolidated in higher ranges.
As of recent developments, the U.S. government has announced a "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve," indicating the government’s growing commitment to digital assets. This move is seen as part of a broader strategy to strengthen the U.S.'s position as a leader in the global digital currency space, though no specific amount of Bitcoin has been disclosed for this reserve.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
trendanalysis, trendtrading, priceaction, priceactiontrading, technical indicators, support and resistance, bitcoin, bitcoin price, bitcoin halving, btcusd, btc,
BTC, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD , bitcointrades, bitcoinlong, btcusdlong, bitcoinshort, btcusdshort, bitcoinanalysis, bitcointrend, bitcoinrange, bitcointriangle, triangle, ascendingtriangle, chartpatterns, trianglechart, ascendingtrianglebreakout, chartpatternbitcoin, bitcointriangle, bitcoinhalvingschedule, bitcoinbreakout, bitcoinrange, bitcoinrangebreakout, triangularpattern, flag, bitcoinpatterns, bitcoinchartpatterns, btcpatterns, btctriangletrade, btctrianble, btctrend, btctrades, btclong, btcshort, btcrange, btcbreakout, btcbreakdown, bitcoinover100000, bitcoin100, bitcoinover100, onehundredthousand, bitcoinascendingtrianglepattern, bitcoinpullbacks, bitcoindrop, bitcoinpricerally
Bitcoin: 120 In April, 140-150 In MayIt is time to connect. It is time to participate, to be around and to be in the market. The time to be out is already gone, this was between December - February. Now it is wise to be in and participating, in order to have an early start.
It is truly a life changing opportunity, being present and participating in the Cryptocurrency space. We are approaching to the best ever, the biggest event this market has to be offer, it is wise to be first.
Good afternoon my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a wonderful day.
Bitcoin closed last week at $94,000. The week prior, $96,000. This week, what will it be?
Last week Bitcoin opened at $96,000 but crashed toward $78K. It then recovered and closed at 94. The bearish action was nothing more than short-term noise. Similar things can happen this week. Bitcoin is ultra-bullish when it trades monthly above $80,000. Please keep this in mind. We are in the buy-zone.
Bitcoin is great now and soon it will be going up.
Based on very rough estimations, we are going to be seeing Bitcoin trading around $120,000 in April 2025. That's my prediction if the action develops as I've been saying lately. If Bitcoin closes this week at 85,000, 88,000 or 92,000 makes no difference at all. What matters and what is really important is long-term growth.
What difference would it make if the week closes at 87,000 but next week Bitcoin trades at 98k? What difference would it make? None. We are going up so it is better to focus on the long-term.
By the month of May, mid/late, we can have Bitcoin trading at $140,000 or $150,000, this would be pretty good. Any retrace or correction will be fast or slow, we are set to experience long-term growth.
The final target for the cycle top is likely to happen late this year, we will adapt if market conditions change. The bull-market can become an "extended bull-market," let's hope this is the case.
The Altcoins will blow up. Major projects such as Ethereum, Cardano, XRP and Solana will reach numbers not possible to predict with a chart. This is all great.
Trading volume is very low this week and last week as the market turns red. When the market is green, volume goes up. This reveals a bullish bias. Bullish means growth.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
You are appreciated. :)
Namaste.
$BTC Bearish Divergence on the Weekly !? NO!!!Someone on Twitter sent me a chart showing Bearish Divergence on the Weekly for BTC and asked me to analyze it.
(hopefully this link shows the chart)
pbs.twimg.com
My response is below.
---
This is a really good question!
Caught me off guard for a second and I had to really analyze it.
That chart assumes we’re at the end of the cycle, so its showing bearish divergence prematurely in Mar ’25.
But the fractal it’s being compared to shows divergence with the peak in Nov ’21.
Here’s the correct way to draw the trends.
If you draw from the bear market low to current date, you see we are just getting warmed up.
This cycle is mimicking 2017 as I’ve mentioned a lot over the past year.
I marked where we are so you can see the Feb - Mar ’21 dip in RSI.
Imagine tapping out right before the moonshot!
It’s easy to get caught off guard with that chart, as the fractals from ’21 and ’25 on the RSI do look strikingly familiar, but notice how the right shoulder on the RSI falls in Nov 21’ , but the right shoulder on the RSI in Dec ’24 is going higher, pointing to the RSI following the ’17 uptrend.
I wonder if the person who made that chart actually thought that was the correct way to analyze the chart, or if that’s just a troll bear-posting.
I could see someone like CredibleCrypto or an XRP-maxi posting that.