Nvidia x BTC x crypto cyclesThe white chart represents BTCUSD/NVDA (Nvidia), while the colored one represents BTC chart.
Interestingly, the white chart exhibits an unusually systematic (!) structure. Keep in mind that Nvidia has been one of the biggest shadow beneficiaries of crypto—think back to the early days of active mining and how it was nearly impossible to buy a GPU due to overwhelming demand. I suspect that, even just through experiments, they mined astronomical reserves of tokens.
Every break of the downward trend led to an altcoin rally. Something unusual happened in 2019, but we can attribute it to COVID. Then came strict crypto regulations, bans in China, and so on—overall, not the best cycle.
In this cycle, however, we see an almost identical pattern to the 2017 cycle, when regulatory policies were significantly more lenient. Interestingly, in 2017, Trump was also president.
Back in 2017, the trend broke at the beginning of the year, and it took around 300 days to reach the bull market’s peak. If the same pattern plays out in this cycle, that would point to the end of this year.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Bitcoin Poised for Breakdown: Bearish Momentum Targets $81Khello guys!
Market Structure & Key Levels
The chart presents a 4-hour timeframe analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on Binance. The price action is contained within a large consolidation zone, with two distinct liquidity hunts labeled:
The first hunt at the lower boundary
The second hunt at the upper boundary
Currently, BTC is breaking down from the upper range, indicating a potential shift from consolidation to a bearish move.
Key Observations
Liquidity Hunts & Market Manipulation:
The price previously swept liquidity from both the upper and lower boundaries before retracing inside the consolidation zone.
This suggests a classic liquidity grab before a bigger directional move.
Potential Breakdown Structure:
The price has tested resistance near the upper boundary and has been sharply rejected.
The price has broken below the mid-range consolidation and is showing weakness.
The projected path suggests a breakdown towards $81,400 - $80,200.
Bearish Bias Confirmation:
The drawn forecast indicates a lower high formation, followed by a continuation to the downside.
If BTC loses support around $92,000 - $90,000, it could accelerate towards the $82,000 - $81,500 demand zone.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: $100,000 - $102,000 (previous consolidation resistance)
Support: $92,000 - $90,000 (key breakdown zone)
Bearish Target: $81,500 - $80,000
Conclusion
The analysis suggests a potential bearish breakout below the range. Traders should monitor break-and-retest confirmations at key support/resistance levels before making decisions. If BTC fails to reclaim the mid-range, a move towards $81,500 becomes highly probable.
Bitcoin can continue to fall in downward channel to 92K pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price declined from the support level a little below and then started to grow inside the upward pennant, where it at once broke the support level again and continued to move up. Later BTC reached a resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, and even rose, breaking this level to 108700 points and then turning around. Price fell below the resistance level, but soon backed up and some time traded between this level until it reached the resistance line of the pennant and then started to decline. In a short time, the price fell below the resistance level, breaking it, and soon exited from the pennant also, after which continued to move down inside the downward channel. In the channel BTC rebounded from the support line and rose to the seller zone, where it some time traded and then continued to decline, breaking the 104500 resistance level again. Bitcoin fell into the buyer zone, where it turned around and made a strong impulse up to the resistance line of the channel. And recently price bounced from this line and continued to move down. So, I think that Bitcoin can move up and then fall lower than the support level, breaking it. For this case, I set my TP at 92K points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FARTCOIN 4H After selling off heavily from the high FARTCOIN is starting look stronger at these areas.
Price has broken out of the diagonal downtrend resistance after sweeping the KEY S/R LEVEL demand zone. Now retesting the breakout for support, if it holds then a move towards the LOCAL HIGH BEARISH OB is the next aim for bulls.
After that a progressive HL & HH structure is needed to work up to the TP targets at significant levels later on.
Overall good R:R at this level from a chart TA perspective, my worry is that currently memecoins are out of favor because of the sell off so keeping an eye on sentiment would be important.
BITCOIN You can't get a more bullish symmetry than this.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) marginally breached its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) two days ago and immediately rebounded in a mirror price action like last year's bounce of January 23 2024. We analyzed this on our previous publication but what we bring you today is the amazing RSI based symmetry of the two fractals.
The dominant long-term pattern remains a Channel Up and this is what will most likely guide BTC to the finish line and the Top of this Cycle. This pattern displays two (blue) Accumulation Channels, which is the formation we're currently at.
In fact Bitcoin has most likely started the process of breaking above this Channel as the January 23 2024 1D MA100 bounce was the starting point of the Bullish Leg (green) that made a Higher High at the top of the long-term Channel Up.
As mentioned, what's incredibly interesting is the 1D RSI symmetry between the two Accumulation Channels. As you can see on the current Accumulation Channel, the time between the 2nd RSI Lower High (blue circle) and 3rd (yellow circle) was 25 days and between the 3rd and 4th (red circle) was 32 days. The respective ranges on the previous Accumulation Channel were 25 and 34 days, which showcase a striking degree of symmetry.
The Bullish Leg peaked on the 2.618 Fibonacci extension from the last High (red circle) and as a result, we can expect the new rally to follow an equally symmetric/ proportional rise and target the new 2.618 Fib at $145000.
Can this be the case by March/ April 2025 or is it to soon? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Gold’s Got Game!Gold’s Got Game: Why This Metal’s Making Fiat Look Like Monopoly Money 🤑
Introduction
Gold isn’t just shiny—it’s sassy. While fiat currencies are busy falling apart like a cheap IKEA table, gold’s over here flexing in style. The chart? Oh, it’s a thing of beauty—a perfectly behaved ascending channel, the kind that makes traders weak in the knees. But wait, there’s more! Let’s dig into why gold’s the MVP of this market. Spoiler: It doesn’t involve a billionaire tweeting 🚀.
Trendlines So Sexy, They Should Be Illegal
Look at that chart. Just LOOK at it. Perfect lines, clean swings, and a channel that’s so disciplined it could teach your trading account some manners. Gold’s not just going up—it’s strutting. This isn’t your everyday pump-and-dump nonsense; this is a long-term glow-up.
Gold’s Secret Sauce 🍯
Why is gold moonwalking its way to the top? Glad you asked:
Inflation’s Revenge 😡
Central banks printing money faster than you can say “quantitative easing”? Classic. Every dollar you hold is depreciating, but gold? It’s sipping tea, whispering, “Stay poor, fiat.”
Geopolitical Chaos 🎭
From trade wars to actual wars, the world’s on fire 🔥, and gold is the fireproof safe. Every time a headline screams “uncertainty,” gold gains another point.
Chart Patterns: Gold's Glow-Up Timeline 🌟
The Breakout Bounce (Feb–May): A breakout so clean it probably eats kale salads. Gold smashed through resistance and said, “Later, losers.”
The Mid-Year Flex (June–August): A pullback? Sure. But even then, it respected the channel like a disciplined trader.
The Current Power Move (Feb 2025): Now we’re seeing that next-level push, eyeing $2,900 like it’s a Black Friday sale.
And let’s not ignore the elephant in the room: that arrow aiming straight for the top. Whoever drew it, we get it. Moon or bust 🚀.
The Real Question: Are You Late to the Party? 🥳
Short answer: Nope. Long answer: If this channel holds (and it’s been rock-solid so far), gold’s got room to run. But don’t just take my word for it—check the fundamentals. Oh wait, they’re screaming “BUY” too. 😏
Gold isn’t just moving—it’s making a statement. In a world full of financial chaos, it’s the one asset that doesn’t flinch. While fiat currencies play hot potato, gold’s over here saying, “Come at me, bro.” So, are you going to keep watching from the sidelines, or are you ready to get in the game? Your move.
Gold’s making moves, and the chart isn’t lying. So, are you ready to listen—or are you still clinging to that “cash is king” nonsense? 🤔
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 05.02.2025Analysis of XAU/USD (Gold) Price Action
Market Overview
The Gold shows a bullish trend in gold prices with a recent upward move.
Key levels of interest have been marked for potential buy opportunities.
The price action suggests a retracement is expected before a continuation to the upside.
Key Levels
First Buy Zone: $2,843 - $2,845
A minor retracement into this zone could present a buying opportunity.
If price reacts strongly at this level, it could continue upward.
Second Buy Zone: $2,830 - $2,833
This is a deeper retracement zone, aligning with a strong support area.
If price fails to hold at the first buy zone, this becomes the next high-probability entry.
Resistance/Take Profit Targets:
First target near $2,859 - $2,865 (recent highs).
Trading Plan
Scenario 1: Buy from $2,843 - $2,845
Entry: $2,843 - $2,845
Stop Loss: Below $2,837
Take Profit: $2,859 - $2,865
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:2 or better
Scenario 2: Buy from $2,830 - $2,833
Entry: $2,830 - $2,833
Stop Loss: Below $2,822
Take Profit: $2,850 - $2,859
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3
Conclusion
The overall bias remains bullish, looking at Trumps press talk yesterday.
The strategy involves waiting for pullbacks to key demand zones before entering long positions.
Price action near these levels should be monitored for confirmation signals (e.g., bullish rejection candles).
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Bitcoin Update (4H)Since we placed the red arrow on the chart, Bitcoin's correction has begun.
It seems we are in a complex correction. For wave G, we may move toward the green zone and then bounce back upward from that area.
For now, this is our outlook on Bitcoin . let's see what happens.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC Moon Cycle chartI know I didn't post for a while, was busy with the TTR 2.0 build (its almost ready to launch) and my X updates
Here is the CRYPTOCAP:BTC Moon cycle chart.
Support is in mid 95k, then we should go up into the new moon or Feb 27-28th
Im very bullish into the new Moon cycle (after the full moon low) and I will be out from any longs by Mar 10th!!!
Mar 10-14th, mark it down, we are going down hard!!!
Im expecting a strong correction down to below 65k (my ideal target is 55 or 50k) by Apr-My low and a reversal back to new ATH my Sep 7th (all charts were posted on my X already)
BTC IS GOING TO 130K !!!
According to #BTC Elliott wave micro count, currently we are into 2nd wave which can end up to 96-92.5k region.
After that we may probably see impulse 3rd micro wave move up to 115K and final 5th micro of 3rd major impulse wave up to 130K.
Invalidation of micro count is below 91K !!!
Hold!Bulls! My fellow warriors of the market! I see fear in your eyes... I See hesitation... But I also see fire! The Bears think they own this battlefield! They think they can drive us back, force us to surrender, and take what is ours!
But I ask you - will you run? Will you let them push us down, and break our support and trample our dreams?!
HELL NO!
Then stand up! Hold the damn line! Push through that resistance! The Bears are clawing, but they are weak! You are stronger! Your are relentless!
You are BULLS!
So I ask you one last time - WHAT ARE YOU DOING LYING THERE?
GET UP!
PUSH FORWARD BREAK THEIR SPIRIT!
TAKE BACK THIS MARKET!
DO YOU WANT TO LIVE FOREVER!
MOST Bullish Crypto Now? MoneroThis may come as a surprise considering how little attention it is paid but according to my most time tested analytic; the Daily Ichimoku Cloud + Chikou Confirmation, KRAKEN:XMRUSD is showing more bullish than the top cryptocurrencies.
I have written for years about this study of when price versus the Ichimoku cloud is in line with Chikou (purple line, AKA Lagging Span) versus cloud. I will include a few links below to past Tradingview ideas.
Let's look at some of the major cryptocurrencies that most pay attention to for comparison:
INDEX:BTCUSD
Bitcoin is at a precarious place. The bull trend has weakened and moved through the Ichimoku cloud. Price has breached it to the downside but that does not make it bearish yet. The final step would be Chikou to cross. At this point downward movement and/or time passing will make this true and the trend will flip bearish. Bitcoin's Ichimoku Daily analysis is what I have written most about. If followed, I have demonstrated that applying this simple strategy out performs pure HODL by a factor of 7x.
KRAKEN:SOLUSD
Solana is to me the next most interesting cryptocurrency at present because its use case is the most prevalent: meme coins. Solana just does them better and most of the popular meme coins that end up on the news go through this chain. SOLUSD is sitting in purely neutral territory like Bitcoin.
CRYPTO:ETHUSD
Ethereum is in objectively the worst shape. It has already flipped confirmed bearish.
I think people sleep on Monero because it is not considered a "get rich quick" cryptocurrency. Unfortunately, the cryptocurrency market has devolved into a space for fraud and fast wealth. Monero, being privacy focused, is the leading cryptocurrency that actually facilitates the original use case of cryptocurrency which is... a currency. It has largely acted like a stablecoin the past 3 years while slowly appreciating. Don't ignore it... but also please don't pump it. I don't want the volatility.
Trade wisely.
$BTC - Value AreaThis bounce might just be shorts covering and/or hedges – a kind of mechanical reaction following a liquidation event.
If we are going to consolidate within the current value area (96.5k-104k), I wouldn't be surprised if we get an upthrust retesting 103.8k-104k range before rotating back to take out the swing low.
A potential level for shorting, but I'm only interested in shorting on signs of weakness or a strong rejection at that level.
Possible targets:
94k - 93.5k
90k- 88.5k
84k-80k
XAU/USD : First LONG,then SHORT! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 1-hour gold chart, we can see that gold has now reached the $2808 - $2818 supply zone and is currently trading around $2810.
Given the liquidity gap created by the price surge from $2772 to $2811, I expect a price correction soon, but likely after one more bullish wave. If gold stabilizes above $2808, it could push higher towards the next targets at $2812, $2817.2, and $2820.
This analysis will be updated soon!
Bearish scenario for BTCIn trading and crypto world you have to be open to all possibilities. As we are seeing significant drop among alts and market makers manipulation. Money is withdrawed from markets and price is failing.
BTC price action reminds me 2021 year when after ATH there was a 50% drop.
Lot of similarities there - completed 5 waves, bearish div on higher timeframes, greed above 70/75, bullish sentiment, news etc.
On the other hand, current drop already liquidated more than 2b usd in one day...
We need to watch it closely and do not overtrade or do stupid FOMO.
In these time lev trades are not recommended.
THIS IS NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE
MANAGE YOUR RISK AND ALWAYS USE STOPLOSS
BITCOIN It will grow soon...Buy at 97k and sell at 103k and 105k . This signal is only valid for 3 days.
Give me some energy !!
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
❗Disclaimer
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcoin Dominance: Elliott Wave and Harmonics Combo (Part 2)MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN Dominance ( #BTC.D / CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) indeed started the rise I predicted back in late '22. CRYPTOCAP:BTC rose to the limits, exceeding the 100K Mark.
In #ElliottWave, this is Cycle Wave C (turquoise).
Primary Wave ① (white) completed, with the Corrective Primary Wave ②now in play.
The Correction will pave the way for Alt Season to commence, so the focus will shift to Alt Coins.
#Harmonics are showing #Cypher Patterns, a combo actually, on different degrees.
Bitcoin Dominance ( BTC.D ) Technical Analysis:
* Elliott Wave Impulse: Cycle C (turquoise)
* Harmonic Patterns: Bullish Cyphers
* 88.6% Fibonacci Retracement
* Break-Out with Divergence
* Leading Diagonal in Primary Wave ① (white)
Conclusion:
After a last rise, expecting MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN to top-out and start a Larger Correction.
Alt Season to start and deliver, based on #BTC losing ground.
After this, CRYPTOCAP:BTC to continue ruling, as the one and only #Cryptocurrency.