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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)

Retracement will be deeper but what pattern will trigger it?Greetings everybody, So, our H&S behaves well by far, but now the degree of uncertainty is raising. As you could see on the chart downside action is slowing. What is it? Thin Xmas market or the bearish pressure is becoming weaker? Long-term charts - monthly, weekly show that deeper retracement has high chances to happen in nearest 1-2 months. The problem is, it is difficult to estimate what particular pattern will trigger it. If market will keep going lower - it could be our H&S. But what if we will get the different one instead? Something like this on daily: That's why, if you have shorts - you could keep it, just manage your stops. But for now we take the pause with the new shorts. We do not consider longs as well, because the major context is down. Hopefully after NY we will get more clarity on this subject.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sive-Morten
Are we going to fill or tap the closest gap for Bitcoin?At the current price point, Bitcoin shows signs of consolidation On the daily chart, price has tested the 50-day moving average multiple times, suggesting this level around $93,147 is a key support. However, the recent bounce from this support has been weaker, indicating potential further downside or consolidation. On the 6-hour timeframe, price is trading below both m_rvwap and w_rvwap. If we fail to reclaim or we get rejected at 96k, higher chance we retest 87.3k to sweep those local lows. We have FVGs or imbalances below. The question is, are we going to fill or tap the closest gap at 81.7k? The FVG is often seen as a price zone where the market has not fully absorbed all the information, leading to abrupt price changes. Given the current technical setup, there's a possibility that BTC might revisit or "fill" this gap, especially if the market continues to show bearish signals or if the current consolidation leads to a deeper correction. However, filling an FVG is not guaranteed and depends heavily on market dynamics at the time. The current analysis suggests a cautious short-term outlook with a potential for testing lower levels due to the observed bearish signals. The 81.7k level, could indeed act as a magnet for price action due to historical significance or technical confluence. However, whether BTC will "tap" this level depends on broader market sentiment, incoming news, and the reaction to key support level at 93.6k.
by Tealstreet
ATCryptoScan: BTCUSD into early 2025... how ah?Previously, called for a moderated 88K BTCUSD by the end pf 2024. Its two days away and currently about 93K. What I like about these recent downside targets is that they get close but not there nor exceeded. This tells me that there is underlying demand. However, as previously marked, it really appears that regardless of support currently, there should be a (brief) meeting of 75K around early Feb 2025. So... just marking out with a purple pencil the path BTCUSD should be taking somewhat. Targets are projected and technical indicators are not strong, so there is downside risk. MACD has broken below zerop line, and Rate of VolDiv is decelerating fast. I'd be waiting and ready... Have a Happy New Year!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Auguraltrader
Altseason is coming!!!hello guys! let's compare these two dominance indexes to forecast the alt season! Left Chart: Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) Trend Overview: BTC dominance is currently at 57.79%. A downward arrow indicates a potential drop to the 52% range, aligning with past support levels. Interpretation: A decrease in BTC dominance suggests that capital might flow out of Bitcoin into other cryptocurrencies (altcoins), typically signaling the onset of an altseason. ____________________________________ Right Chart: Ethereum Dominance (ETH.D) Trend Overview: ETH dominance is 12.64%, showing a bottoming formation within a long-term support zone. An upward arrow predicts a bounce back to higher levels around 14%-15%. Interpretation: An increase in ETH dominance often precedes or accompanies an altseason since Ethereum typically leads the altcoin market during these phases. ____________________________________ Conclusion: Combined Analysis: The expected drop in BTC dominance paired with a recovery in ETH dominance points towards a likely redistribution of market capital into altcoins. Timing: Such dominance shifts generally unfold over weeks, making it plausible for an altseason to occur in the near future, likely within the first quarter of 2025.
CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D
by melikatrader94
1
Sell BTC/USDT Bearish ChannelThe BTC/USDT pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to form of well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the top of channel. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 91151 2nd Support – 90107 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
2
Bitcoin at Critical Support: Will It Hold or Breakdown?We’re currently looking at Bitcoin on the weekly chart with 6 days remaining before this candle closes. It’s sitting at a key support level of $93,416.91, and Bitcoin needs to maintain this support for the bullish momentum to continue. If this critical support level breaks, we could see a bearish crossover, with the 9 EMA crossing below the 4 SMA. This could trigger a sharp decline and potentially lead to a panic sell. The next key support is at $87,328.39, which we’ll need to hold. We’ll revisit this analysis when the next move unfolds. If you found this helpful, please hit the like button.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
Bitcoin Roadmap=>Short-term!!!As I expected, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) once again attacked the 50_SMA(Daily) but failed to defeat it . Bitcoin is currently moving near Heavy Support zone($95,000-$90,870) , Support zone($96,620-$95,520) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to have succeeded in completing the main wave 4 . To confirm the end of the main wave 4 , we need to confirm the break of the 50_SMA(Daily) . It also seems that Bitcoin in microwaves should experience an upward movement in the coming hours. I expect Bitcoin to at least rise to the Targets I have specified in the chart. ⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes below the 50_SMA(Daily), we can expect a break of the Heavy Support zone($95,000-$90,870).⚠️ ⚠️Note: In general, the analysis is short-term, and holding a long position for targets above the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,130) is a little risky.⚠️ 🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏 Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
23
THETA - A Nice Pattern for a quick tradeBINANCE:THETAUSDT (1D CHART) Technical Analysis Update THETA is currently trading at $2.33 and showing overall bearish sentiment Price got rejected from the resistance within the channel and expected to crash further. There is a good short trade opportunity here. Entry level: $ 2.33 Stop Loss Level: $ 2.58 TakeProfit 1: $ 2.1 TakeProfit 2: $ 2.0 TakeProfit 3: $ 1.9 TakeProfit 4: $ 1.78 Max Leverage: 5x Position Size: 1% of capital Remember to set your stop loss. Follow our TradingView account for more technical analysis updates. | Like, share, and comment your thoughts. Cheers GreenCrypto
Short
by GreenCryptoTrades
1
Bitcoin: 90K Break Monthly Sell Signal.Bitcoin has rejected the 99,500K resistance area establishing a LOWER HIGH (see arrow). This is a BEARISH sign that increases the chances of a 90K support break. At the same time, price is back inside of a broader support zone (90 to 95K) which may see a brief reversal develop as well. In order to utilize this information which may appear to be conflicting, you must know what time frame you are looking to capitalize on. The key is to be able to adjust when the market confirms one way of the other. Forecasting absolute scenarios is ineffective. The 90K support area is a key level. A bullish reversal is likely to appear somewhere in this zone which may be good for a brief retest of the mid to higher 90Ks, but I would not expect much more than that. It maybe worth a swing trade (upon confirmation) for 1 or 2K points. If 90K breaks instead, then this scenario is NO longer in play. The rejection of the 99,500 resistance signifies weakness that should be NO SURPRISE since price is coming off of a broader Wave 5. This move also establishes a BEARISH pin bar on the monthly chart. A break below the low of this candle will also constitute a broader time frame sell signal. This event CAN be the beginning of the next corrective structure that can see price retest the mid 80Ks or even as low as the 70K area (pre election peak) over the next quarter. Hard to believe after all the Michael Saylor thumbnails on Youtube recently. Lesson: Don't buy highs, especially when every Youtube thumbnail has his face on it along with an outrageous price objective. I think the only people fooled by this nowadays are little kids. The Wave 5 that has completed establishes a larger Wave 3 (the bottom of which is 15K). This means the coming corrective cycle Can persist for the next two years and may be very similar to a recent yearly Wave 4 in Gold which took two years to break out of. Wave 4s are typically consolidations and can be very confusing especially when they test their lows. This will be very important for long term investors to to aware of since it there are likely to be opportune dollar cost average prices (just make sure you understand how to weight and avoid leverage). Being familiar with wave counts is very helpful when it comes to recognizing important turning points and what to generally expect in the near future. It serves as an effective context to consider when utilizing other more specific pattern oriented strategies. The market provides the evidence, and then we adjust to improve probabilities, every else is a function of the risk we choose to take. Have a safe and Happy New Year and thank you again for considering my analysis.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
19
BITCOIN (BTC) Setting Up for One Last Dip Before 200kCurrently, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is about to tag the equal lows at 92.1k, but I’m not betting that level will hold. I’m more focused on the opportunity if CRYPTOCAP:BTC drops into the low 80ks. It might be a bit ambitious, but I’ve been waiting since the tap at 107k. I expect this move to unfold before mid-January. By halfway through Q1, we could start to see some market strength, with a potential target of 198k for BTC. MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by ZelfTrade
1
BTC HEAD&SHOULDER Key Observations 1. Head and Shoulders Pattern: A clear head and shoulders formation is identified, with the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder well-defined. The neckline is slightly sloping and serves as a key support level. A breakdown below this line would confirm the bearish pattern. 2. Measured Move: The measured move is calculated by taking the distance between the head and the neckline and projecting it downward. This aligns with a major support zone below the neckline and suggests further downside if confirmed. 3. Indicators: RSI: Currently below the midline, indicating weakening bullish momentum and leaning bearish. OBV (On-Balance Volume): Trending downward, signaling reduced accumulation and fading buying pressure. Volume: No significant spikes near the neckline yet, meaning confirmation of a breakdown is still pending. 4. Fibonacci Levels: The retracement levels suggest key support zones below the measured move target. A deeper correction could align with these levels if momentum accelerates. Scenarios Bullish: A strong rebound from the neckline and a breakout above the nearest resistance level (right shoulder region) would invalidate the head and shoulders, paving the way for a continuation of the prior uptrend. Bearish: A confirmed breakdown below the neckline triggers the measured move, with price potentially heading toward the calculated target. A further breakdown beyond this level could align with deeper retracement zones. Recommendation Monitor the neckline closely for a breakout or breakdown. Look for volume confirmation to validate the move. Lack of volume could indicate a false breakout/breakdown. Use the measured move target for planning potential entries/exits and manage risk accordingly.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by vagada
#202452 - priceactiontds - year end special - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: I’d love to see bitcoin below 70000 in Q1 2025 and MicroStrategy file for bankruptcy in 2025. I think this would be fun. Yes. Market made almost 600% from the 2022-12 low and about 62% of it after Trump was elected again. The bull trend before that, was from 2020 to 2021 where btc made about 1700% - followed by a 77% drop. It’s therefore a reasonable target to assume that btc could half again. The tricky part is always the time frame. By now you should have picked up my bearish bias for 2025 and given the previous correlation to other markets, bitcoin won’t be the safe haven every other crypto bro on x is telling you it will be. 50% retracement would bring us to roughly 65000, which is close enough to many big magnets. Previous ath from 2021, big bull trend line, the breakout retest area and the monthly 20ema which we have not touched since 2023-10. My preferred target would be 32000 but that’s a bit much to ask for as of now. As long as market is holding above 90000, bulls are safe and in control of the market. Once we drop below, I highly doubt there will be many bulls willing to hold through a deep pullback down to 70000, which I expect the selling to accelerate greatly below 90000. What are the odds of another higher high above 108000? Not bad but I think if bulls would have been strong enough for it, they would have gotten it over the holidays. If they manage to retest 108k, my max target for this is roughly 110000. Anything above would surprise me. current market cycle: Bull trend from 2022 is still ongoing but I think we saw the last leg ending at 108367. Market can retest that high and maybe make a higher one but I think the upside potential is very limited. key levels for 2025: 60000 - 110000 bull case: I always try to give a balanced outlook but I don’t have anything for the bulls. 108k was so stretched and peak bubble behavior that it’s pure guesswork if this was the high or not. Technically the shown chart has two trend lines that could reach 115k and market can always overshoot on a spike. I just highly doubt it will happen but I have been wrong before about tops and I can be on this one as well. Invalidation is below 90000. I can not see bulls scaling into this because a pullback could easily test down to 75000 or lower. bear case: The pain trade is to the downside. There is no arguing about that fact. Only issue for bears is that bubbles can go on for longer than anyone’s account can handle. So selling right now with a stop 109k is reasonable but most bears want more confirmation. Below 90000 more bulls have to cover and this will accelerate down. My targets in order are the breakout retest around 75000 and if things get bad enough there, we go down to the 50% pullback and the bull trend line at 62500. There I expect the market to go sideways for more time and depending on how we get there, we can estimate new targets above or below. Invalidation is above 115000 short term: My bearish bias for 2025 is low probability until bears can close consecutive daily bars below 90000. Right now the market is in a trading range near the ath and bulls remain in control. I would not initiate shorts as of now and rather wait for confirmation or another lower high above 105k medium-long term: 75000 is my biggest target for now and until bears get there, any lower target is just unreasonable. My bias is bearish going into 2025 and I think the odds of a bigger leg down are good. current swing trade: None
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by priceactiontds
BTC Eyes New Highs: A Momentum Reversal Indicator PerspectiveAs we step into the final days of the year, all eyes are on the flagship cryptocurrency, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSD ). December has historically been a pivotal month for BTC, often setting the tone for the new year's crypto trends. Let’s explore if Bitcoin is primed for a bullish breakout, consolidation, or a reversal as we close out 2024! 🚀 Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSD ) is gearing up for another potential surge, with the TD Sequential indicator flashing bullish signals across multiple timeframes. This analysis dives deep into the monthly, weekly, and daily charts to pinpoint high-probability entry points and profit targets for swing traders. The Bullish Convergence When we examine the long-term picture, a compelling narrative unfolds. The monthly chart shows a clear transition from red (bearish) to green (bullish) setups, culminating in Green Setup 3 — developing an uptrend with room to run before exhaustion sets in. Zooming into the weekly timeframe, we see a recent Green Setup 3 followed by a brief pullback (Red Setup 1) and a renewed push higher (Green Setup 1). When the Green Setup 1 holds, it confirms the bullish bias and offers an early entry opportunity for swing traders. Finally, the daily chart reveals a decisive shift in momentum. A Red Setup 6, signaling potential downside exhaustion, has given way to a Green Setup 2, confirming the nascent uptrend. Pinpointing Entry and Targets With the bullish backdrop established, let's identify precise entry points and profit targets. Entry : Ideal entry points occur on price flips (e.g., Green 2 closing above Green 1) or breakouts above resistance levels, preferably with Green Setup 2 or 3 on the daily chart for confirmation. Stop-Loss : Place your stop-loss below the nearest support level. This could be the TI Setup Trend Support line on the monthly chart, the recent swing low on the weekly chart, or the Green Setup 1 low on the daily chart. Take-Profit : Aim for Fibonacci retracement levels and resistance lines. On the monthly chart, the target resistance is near Green 8 or Green 9. On the weekly chart, look for prices approaching swing highs or Fibonacci extensions (e.g., 161.8%). Utilize shorter-term resistance levels on the daily chart for partial profit booking. Confirmation is Key While the TD Sequential provides a robust framework, it's prudent to incorporate other indicators for confirmation. RSI : Ensure no overbought conditions exist on the higher timeframes. Bullish divergence on the lower timeframes strengthens the trade setup. Moving Averages : Crossovers like the Golden Cross (50-day MA crossing above the 200-day MA) support a bullish trend. Trendlines : Breakouts from consolidation patterns aligned with TD Sequential signals offer high-probability entry points. The Bold Prediction Bitcoin appears poised for a significant rally based on this confluence of factors. 3-Month Projection : BTC will likely approach or exceed the resistance level corresponding to a Green 8 or 9 on the monthly chart. 6-Month Projection : If the bullish momentum persists, expect substantial upside, with BTC breaking prior resistance levels and testing higher Fibonacci extensions. Potential gains of 15-25% from the current price could unfold. Disclaimer : This article is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Conduct your own research and manage your risk responsibly before making trading decisions.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by charts-tradingmri
BTC on high timeframe , wait for more information about price "Hello traders, Merry Christmas and Happy New Year! Let's talk about BTC in the high timeframe. As indicated on the chart, the $90k- GETTEX:92K range is a critical zone. To mitigate risk, it's advisable to wait for the price to reach this zone and observe its behavior for further signals. If the price sharply breaches and closes below this range on the high timeframe, the next potential price levels could be $75k-$80k. However, if the price merely dips below GETTEX:92K , forming a candle pattern like FVG on the 1-hour chart, it might present a good opportunity for a long position."
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by somayehbasiri
Bitcoin $BTCUSD Bear FlagBitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Bear Flag 📉 What is a Bear Flag? 📉 A bear flag is a technical pattern signaling a continuation of a downtrend. It starts with a steep price drop (the flagpole) followed by a brief consolidation in a parallel channel (the flag). If the price breaks below the flag's support, it often indicates further downside. ⚠️ 💡 Key Features: Flagpole: Sharp price drop. Flag: Sideways or upward consolidation. Breakdown: Signals bearish continuation. Traders watch this pattern to spot potential selling opportunities. 🚨 #CryptoEducation #BearFlag #Bitcoin #TradingTips #CryptoAnalysis
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by AlgoTradeAlert
With Major Liquidity Swept and RSI reset Bitcoin is now going UPIn the last few days, after achieving a new all-time high of $108,000, Bitcoin has experienced a massive dump, liquidating many retail traders using leverage. This market downturn was caused by several factors. First, Bitcoin was severely overbought and overdue for a correction. Second, Jerome Powell added to the market uncertainty by making strong anti-Bitcoin statements, dashing hopes of the U.S. adding BTC to its Federal Reserve reserves. As a result, the market saw a steep fall, with major altcoins such as SOL and DOGE dropping over 30%. The Main Question: What’s Next? Bitcoin is unlikely to go up from here in the immediate term. Instead, it may be better to position for a short targeting the $90-91K range. The market might remain bearish over the Christmas holidays, giving “holiday discount” vibes. It’s not a good idea to buy Bitcoin with leverage at this moment. Waiting until next Monday to reevaluate might be a safer option. Technical Analysis: As highlighted, Bitcoin has broken out of an ascending channel and dropped significantly. One of the key technical reasons for this is the overbought RSI. Major resistance is currently around $99.7K , while key support lies between $89.5K and $87.5K . A break below these levels could indicate a strong move in either direction. The most liquidity is around $92.2K , where Bitcoin is likely to gravitate before making an upward move. Additionally, RSI has hit a support level, which increases the possibility of a bounce from here. Outlook: After the holidays and once Bitcoin sweeps the lower liquidity levels, we could see an excellent buying opportunity . There is potential for BTC to reach $118K by the end of January . Moreover, Donald Trump’s inauguration could act as a catalyst to drive Bitcoin’s price higher once again.
Long
by LeoMessi_
1