why ELON MUSK keeps talking about a US bankruptcy…I think I’ve figured out why Musk keeps talking about a U.S. bankruptcy…
They have to pay—and pay a lot!
In 2025 alone, a staggering $7 trillion needs to be repaid! 7 TRILLION DOLLARS! (image on chart)
Right now, the U.S. is trying to pull in money from all over the world, which is probably the real reason behind the tariffs.
To avoid bankruptcy, they have a few options:
1. Print more money
2. Cut spending
3. Take on new debt at higher interest rates
4. Declare bankruptcy—admit they can’t pay their debts
That’s why Musk keeps mentioning point 4. That’s why spending cuts are happening so fast. That’s why tariffs are being imposed. That’s why Trump is pushing for lower interest rates. That’s why they launched the Green Card sale. They are trying to save the U.S. from bankruptcy—and the world from a financial crisis.
Obviously, they can’t just slash spending too much. In his interview with Joe Rogan, Musk said it’s not that simple because a lot of high-level corruption is hidden in the system. He even admitted, “I won’t talk about it—if I do, they’ll kill me. It’s too much, and people wouldn’t be able to handle the truth.”
The only real solution might be Bitcoin, which can create virtual money without printing physical dollars—a profitable paradox.
To activate a real bull run that will save high-risk assets like altcoins, the U.S. must start increasing global liquidity. This is the rule—and they will do it. Even rumors about the U.S. handing out money to taxpayers (some sources mention $5K per taxpayer) are aimed at increasing market liquidity.
The end of a bull run always coincides with the highest levels of global liquidity. Currently, many large funds are overleveraged and looking to take some profits to avoid problems. This is always the moment when “large capital” waits for global liquidity to peak before strategically cashing out of positions.
Even with ETFs on altcoins, large funds will gain significant profits through annual fees. They will list any shitcoin just to collect these fees from investors. Moreover, they will control liquidity through ETFs, just as they did with the stock markets. This is an indirect way of “driving the markets like a car.”
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTC Short to 62kDistribution Structure:
The chart shows a clear distribution pattern at the top (highlighted in gray), indicating a potential reversal zone. This structure suggests that buying pressure is weakening, and we may see a price pullback or correction.
BTC.D at Key Level: Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) is currently at a key level, and we are expecting a retracement here. The confluence between the distribution structure on BTCUSDT and the critical BTC dominance level enhances the likelihood of a short opportunity.
Price Action: After reaching the distribution zone, BTC has shown signs of slowing momentum, which further suggests that a pullback or continuation of a downtrend could occur.
Target Range:
The short position could be targeted toward the lower consolidation levels, with a focus on the $87,500 - $85,000 area. The lower end of the original consolidation zone provides strong support that could act as a potential reversal zone.
Risk Management:
Set stops just above the distribution structure to manage risk effectively. Keep the risk-to-reward ratio favorable for the expected move.
ETHUSDT (Ethereum) Using Elliott Waves: Back to 1K? Plotting waves on Ethereum: The current correction may be a larger degree wave (2) or a wave (4) consolidation. Taking either would depend on the analyst's bias.
In both the cases, what matters is spotting the corrective patterns and participating in the larger impulses.
The June'22 bottom is a relevant one as many coins bottomed out then. But have we made a long term bottom on ETH or not? This upmove on Ethereum does not seem impulsive in the eyes of EW. With the trendline broken and monthly RSI going for a reset, the alt season may not be here anytime soon.
If this move is supported, we can see a sharp decline in the coming months taking the price back to 1K (or slightly below). The political interference on crypto can keep giving random shakeouts so it is important to keep a firm view on either side. Until the price remains below 3K, I would like to keep my bearish view.
Trading is the realm of response
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
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Have a nice day today.
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It's been a while since I made an indicator and explained it, so I'd like to take the time to introduce and explain something I heard a long time ago.
(Original text)
I made purchases at m-signal 1W in yesterday's fall as I see it rose above ha-low and closed above m-signals. It looks like m-signals can't prevent traps. Now I'm losing money again. I think it's better to make purchases when RSI is below 30. I don't want to feed market makers, somehow it happens over and over.
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Looking at the above, it seems that the purchase (LONG) was made when the price rose above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W, 1D chart and then started to fall.
If we check this on the 30m chart, it is expected that the purchase (LONG) was made near the section indicated by the circle section.
I said that it would have been much better to buy (LONG) when RSI was below 30, but when RSI was below 30, it refers to the section from February 25 to March 1, so I think it's regret due to the loss.
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If you look at what I explained as an idea, I said that you need to get support in the section marked with a circle to continue the upward trend.
And, I said that support is important near the HA-Low indicator when it falls.
Therefore, if it falls in the section marked with a circle, you should enter a sell (SHORT) position.
However, if you do not see a downward trend, you should trade based on whether there is support in the HA-Low indicator.
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To check for support, you need to check the movement for at least 1-3 days.
Therefore, checking for support is a difficult and tedious task.
Since most futures transactions are made on time frame charts below the 1D chart, you cannot check for support for 1-3 days.
Therefore, you need to check the movement at the support and resistance points you want to trade and respond accordingly.
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The coin market is a market where trend trading is good.
Therefore, it is important to know what the current trend is.
It is better to think of the basic trend based on the trend of the 1D chart.
The current trend of the 1D chart is a downtrend.
Therefore, the SHORT position can be said to be the main position.
As mentioned earlier, in order to turn into an uptrend, support must be received within the range indicated by the circle.
If not, it is likely to continue the downtrend again.
Since the HA-Low indicator has been newly formed, the 89253.9 point is the point where a new trading strategy can be created.
If it is not supported by the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to lead to a stepwise downtrend, so you should also think about a countermeasure for this.
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What we want to know through chart analysis is the trading point, that is, the support and resistance points.
You should decide whether to start trading depending on whether there is support at the support and resistance points.
Even if you start trading properly at the support and resistance points you want, you must also think about how to respond to a loss cut.
If you cannot think of a response plan for a loss cut, it is better not to trade at all.
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Indicators are only reference materials for your decisions, not absolute.
- The M-Signal indicator on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts is an indicator for viewing trends,
- The HA-Low and HA-High indicators correspond to points for creating trading strategies.
The creation of the HA-Low indicator means that it has risen from the low range, and if it is supported by the HA-Low indicator, it is the time to buy.
If it does not, and it falls, there is a possibility of a stepwise decline, so you should think about a response plan for this.
The creation of the HA-High indicator means that it has fallen from the high range, and if it is supported by the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility of a full-scale upward trend.
If not, it may fall until it meets the HA-Low indicator, so you should think about a countermeasure for this.
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If the price is maintained near the StochRSI 50 indicator on the 1D chart, it is expected to lead to an increase to rise above the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart.
At this time, if it rises above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D and 1W charts, it is likely to lead to an attempt to rise near 94827.9.
If not, it is likely to end as a rebound.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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BITCOIN Technical analysis - This price action is familiar!See for yourself.
Since Apr 24 we had red UMVD and market went sideways. This is exactly what's happening right now. We have RED UMVD after a new high and now we just had first bounce from the bottom Green TrapZone. No Longs till we get fresh GREEN UMVD.
Small size plays only till, buy the bottom and sell the tops with this red UMVD.
Will post the hourly for close up next. Happy trading and stay safe, dear snowflakes!
BTC Short - Stretch to TP $77kWyckoff scenario planning for possible 2025 top formation.
- Possible Phase B Sign of Weakness incoming in the next few weeks.
Short at $100K with a tp target 1 at $86K. A stretch target 2 at $77K aligns with the bottom of the local channel and intersects with the 4-hour 200 MA.
Presents good Long entry to new ATH at $112k.
Best, Hard Forky
BITCOIN's PUMPs are Getting LARGER this Bull Market...However, it may take a bit longer to realize those expansionary moves.
If Bitcoin adheres to the established cycle pattern, we can anticipate a minimum surge of 103% that should carry us into the fourth quarter of this year.
Consolidation ----> Fake breakdown ----> then expansion.
Are you ready?
BITCOIN WILL BE AT 50-60K THIS YEARMake it simple, BTC need to relax a little this year before going much higher. If BTC goes around 100k would be nice to take profits and wait for new lows... USA stock market is having alot of volatility with Trump, I wouldn't be surprised if we see a -20% drawdown in S&P 500!!
BITCOIN Halving cycles and Pump %Monthly #Bitcoin chart with Halving dates
what is notable is how much the % increase in PA has been dropping each halving.
2012 Halving 10K% rise after
2016 Halving 3,5K% rise after
2020 Halving 700 % rise after
Projected PA below would also be 700%
BUT, Bitcoin is far more public now and the Halving Pumps will be talked about aLot. Could the Next halving actually be pumped a Lot earlier than previous dates
May well be a great idea to grab your NOW..because the price WILL go mental as the world sees the TradFi recession also.
2024 is going to be an interesting year to say the least
Bitcoin Loses Key Support – Is the Bull Trend in Trouble?Bitcoin has fallen sharply, breaking below the $91,000 support level, which previously acted as a major floor for the uptrend. The cryptocurrency is now testing the 200-EMA ($79,897) as it struggles to find buying interest.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
📉 Major Breakdown – The loss of $91,000 has turned sentiment bearish.
📉 200-EMA as Last Defense – Holding above $80,000 is critical to avoid deeper losses.
📉 RSI at 29.30 – Bitcoin is entering oversold territory, suggesting a potential relief bounce.
📉 MACD Bearish – The indicator remains deeply negative, confirming ongoing selling momentum.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 $80,000-$79,000 – Crucial support zone; a breakdown here could trigger further selling.
🔹 $91,000 – Now resistance; bulls must reclaim this level to restore confidence.
🔹 $100,000+ – Long-term bullish outlook remains intact above this mark.
💡 Trading Outlook:
🔻 Bearish Case: A sustained break below $80,000 could accelerate downside pressure, targeting $72,500 (61.8% Fib retracement).
🔺 Bullish Case: If Bitcoin holds above the 200-EMA, a relief bounce toward $91,000 is possible, but buyers need to reclaim it to shift momentum.
Bitcoin's long-term trend is still bullish, but the recent breakdown raises concerns about further downside risk. Can bulls defend $80,000, or is this the start of a deeper correction?
BITCOIN Can it really take 1 month to form a bottom??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) quickly invalidated the Crypto Reserve rally by Trump and finds itself again on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the 2nd time in 5 days and 3rd since October 14 2024. The key technically development that we should concentrate at is the failure to break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) during Sunday's rally, as it is the level the price was being rejected throughout the whole February.
Until BTC breaks and closes above the 1D MA50, we can't expect a justifiable recovery. We are also on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the August 05 2024 Low. The last time the price was trading on those parameters was in late August 2023. More specifically, yesterday's 1D MA50 rejection resembles the August 29 2023 one, which came after a vastly oversold 1D RSI on August 18 2023, similar to the oversold RSI of February 26 (last Wednesday).
During this price action, it took Bitcoin exactly 1 month from the RSI bottom to break again above its 1D MA50, starting a rally that initially broke marginally above the -0.5 Fibonacci extension before a new 1D MA50 pull-back.
As you can see, the similarities between the two main phases of since the 2022 bottom are striking. Both started on a Channel Down and after the first Higher Lows formation, formed the Channel Up that was confirmed upon a 1D Golden Cross. It has to be highlighted that the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) has been holding since March 14 2023, it even supported during the August 2023 bottom formation and provided a massive bounce on the August 05 2024 low. With the 1W MA50 currently at 75070 and rising, it is natural to assume that it is the ultimate Support level.
As a result and based on all the above conditions, it is possible to see Bitcoin consolidate sideways in an attempt to cement the bottom for the majority of March. A break above the 1D MA50 either then or earlier, would be a technical bullish break-out confirmation. The rally that will follow can technically reach $160000, which is just below the -0.5 Fibonacci extension.
So what do you think? Is Bitcoin currently forming its new long-term bottom and if yes, will it reach $160k after that? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin 10X Trade-Numbers (1,375% Potential)The low is in and this is the perfect timing for a long-term LONG on Bitcoin (BTCUSDT and other trading pairs).
This is for experienced traders and can end up producing huge profits, great growth, amazing results —great entry timing.
__
LONG BTCUSDT
Leverage: 10X
Entry levels:
1) $85,000
2) $83,000
3) $81,000
3) $78,000
Targets:
1) $94,810
2) $98,804
3) $101,058
4) $104,266
5) $108,353
6) $112,859
7) $115,648
8) $120,154
9) $132,643
10) $139,250
11) $158,347
12) $165,345
13) $189,212
14) $200,000
Stop-loss:
Close monthly below $78,000
Potential profits: 1375%
Capital allocation: 5%
____
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
BTC testing 200 DMA second time in less than a weekCOINBASE:BTCUSD is back to test the 200 day moving average for the second time in last few days. First time, we saw a good rejection from 200 DMA which was promising but now it's back where it started. If it closes below it this time, it'll signify further weakness and any chances of recovery in near term would diminish.
BTC New Update (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
As you can see in this analysis, the demand zone from the previous analysis was slightly hunted, but it is still valid and considered a demand zone.
We have reduced the timeframe slightly (4-hour).
Our expectation for price action is to see a slight bounce upward in this zone with some time consolidation.
After consuming the buy orders in this area and spending some time, Bitcoin may even move toward lower zones.
Let’s see what happens.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BITCOIN UPDATE TODAYHere's the latest update on Bitcoin:
Current Price
The current price of Bitcoin is around $83,780.61, with a daily high of $93,721.37 and a daily low of $82,464.84 .
Market Trends
Bitcoin's price surged 10% after President Trump's Crypto Strategic Reserve announcement, with some analysts predicting a potential breakout past $100,000 ². However, others warn that the rally may be temporary due to regulatory hurdles.
Key Levels
- Resistance: $90,000 - $100,000
- Support: $80,000 - $83,000
News
President Trump's executive order established a Crypto Strategic Reserve, which will initially include Bitcoin (BTC), Solana (SOL), Ripple (XRP), and Cardano (ADA) . This move is seen as a positive development for the cryptocurrency market.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) capped by resistance at 92,000The recent Bitcoin (BTC) price action suggests a bearish sentiment despite the broader long-term uptrend. The market reached an all-time high of $109,000 on January 20, 2025, before reversing, signalling potential downside risks.
Formation of a Double-Top Reversal Pattern
BTC has formed a double-top pattern, a classic bearish reversal setup.
The critical “neckline” support level at $91,900 was breached, confirming the trend reversal.
A corrective pullback from this level has intensified selling pressure, increasing the likelihood of further downside movement.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Resistance: $86,227
Major Resistance Levels:
$89,075
$91,900 (previous neckline, now acting as resistance)
Key Support Levels:
$77,900
$74,900
$72,750 (long-term support)
Bearish Scenario
If BTC fails to sustain a move above $86,227, the price could resume its decline.
A rejection at this level would reinforce downside pressure, targeting $77,900 initially, with extended losses toward $74,900 and $72,750 in a deeper correction.
Bullish Alternative: Breakout Confirmation
A daily close above $86,227 would invalidate the immediate bearish outlook.
A sustained breakout could lead to a rally toward $89,075, followed by a potential retest of the $91,900 neckline resistance.
A confirmed reclaim of $91,900 could shift momentum back to the bulls, opening the door for renewed upside.
Conclusion
BTC’s price action remains bearish in the short-to-medium term, with key resistance at $86,227 dictating the next move. A failure to break higher could reinforce the downtrend, while a confirmed breakout above resistance would shift sentiment bullish. Traders should closely watch these critical levels for confirmation of the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
ETHUSD (Ethereum)A follow up from this:
Looking at the upmove from the $880 bottom in June'22, it's tough to consider an impulsive count. Since ETH has lagged compared to Bitcoin, the so called Alt season may take much longer than expected. Bitcoin completing it's cycle doesn't necessarily mean the Alt season begins simultaneously.
It will be interesting to watch this in the next few months. If this turns out well, I would expect a very sharp fall in the coming weeks (a noticeable quality in Wave c). However, those levels would give amazing opportunities in Eth and the other few good Altcoins.