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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)

Velas (VLX) Technical Analysis & Market Outlook – March 2025🚀 Velas (VLX) Technical Analysis & Market Outlook – March 2025 🚀 📊 Current Market Structure & Technical Indicators 🔹 Trend Overview: Velas has been in a prolonged descending trading channel, reaching its lowest price of 2025, making this a potential accumulation zone. 🔹 Key Support & Resistance Levels: Support: 🟠 $0.00399 (historical low) and $0.00526 (current price level). Resistance: 🔵 $0.00749 (major breakout target) and $0.00900 (mid-term bullish target). 🔹 Indicators Analysis: WMC Cipher B Divergences: Strong bullish divergence detected, suggesting upward momentum. RSI (14): Currently at 56.50, breaking above the neutral zone, indicating a reversal trend. Money Flow Index (MFI): Positive inflow, signaling increasing interest and potential accumulation. Stochastic (14,3,1): Overbought but still showing strength in the recovery phase. 📌 Conclusion: VLX has reached its lowest point and is forming a potential breakout from the descending channel. A break above $0.00749 will confirm a bullish trend. 🔥 Velas Ecosystem Updates & Growth Potential 🔥 💡 Major Developments in the Velas Ecosystem ✅ 1M VLX Tokens for Staking Rewards! Just last week, in collaboration with @AccumulatedFi, 1 million VLX tokens were allocated and distributed among $stVLX stakers, further boosting incentives for long-term holders. ✅ Subchains & Advanced Smart Contract Features Two weeks ago, Velas introduced a powerful devnet update, significantly improving scalability and efficiency: Hosting Subchains: New architecture supports subchains with an updated configuration (semi-compatible with geth init). Improved Subchain Management: More efficient program instructions, leading to faster and smoother blockchain operations. Mint/Burn Token Mechanism: Subchains now support a dynamic mint/burn token system, enabling more advanced DeFi applications and scalability solutions. ✅ New Devnet Release! 🚀 The Velas team isn't slowing down! They will release another devnet update, introducing: Internal Transaction Explorer: Users will be able to track internal blockchain transactions, enhancing transparency. Refined Documentation: Continuous improvements to the Velas Docs ensure seamless onboarding for developers. 🌟 The Road to Velas' Glory – ALEX ALEXANDROW & THE TEAM ARE DELIVERING! 🌟 The Velas team, led by Alex Alexandrow, is on a mission to bring Velas back to its well-deserved glory. With continuous groundbreaking updates, strategic partnerships, and enhanced scalability, Velas is proving itself as a top-tier blockchain project with unmatched potential. 🔥 With major innovations, growing adoption, and a rebounding market, Velas is positioned for a massive breakout! 🔥 #Velas #VLX #Crypto #Blockchain #DeFi #Web3 #Staking #Innovation #Trading #HODL 🚀
CRYPTO:VLXUSDLong
by elfabiiani
BTC dell 120.000$📊 BTCUSDT Analysis: Current Price: $102,859.06 Sell Zone: Near $120,000.00 (🟢 Major resistance) Support Zone: $77,777.00 (🛡️ Key level for potential rebound) 🚨 Signal: Bearish Scenario: If BTC reaches $120,000.00, it’s a sell opportunity 📉. Bullish Scenario: In a strong bull trend (📈), you can buy dips around $77,777.00 (🚀 support area). 💡 Strategy: Take profits near $120,000.00 🎯 if already holding BTC. Watch for entries at $77,777.00 🔍 if BTC retraces. 📈 Trend: Overall Bullish unless support at $93,175 or $77,777 breaks (🔻). 🔐 Risk Management: Stop-loss for buys: Below $73,316.18 (⚠️ Critical level). Let me know if you need further clarification or tailored strategies!
Long
by EhsanZeydabadi
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Technical Analysis – Possible Move📉 Recent Price Action: Bitcoin has been in a downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. However, a downtrend trendline has been broken, signaling a potential reversal or at least a relief rally. 📌 Key Observations: Fibonacci Levels: The price recently bounced from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (~$81,051), a strong support zone. Support Zone (~$82,325 - $83,700): Price is currently testing a previous resistance-turned-support level. Liquidity Grab & Rebound: If BTC holds above $83,700, we could see a bullish push. 🚀 Potential Bullish Scenario: If Bitcoin maintains support above $83,700, it could retest $86,500 - $89,500, aligning with key Fibonacci extension levels. A strong break above $89,500 could push BTC toward the $91,000 - $92,500 supply zone (marked in blue). ⚠️ Bearish Risk: Losing the $82,325 support could lead to another retest of the $79,000 level. A rejection at $86,500 - $89,500 could bring consolidation before a clearer trend emerges.
Long
by melikatrader94
22
CYCLE 4 | CME GAP: Bull Cycle Period First Major Pull Back?Quick post to address BTCs expected potential first major pull back into this bull run period... BULL MARKET PULL BACKS Historically, BTC during its bull market enjoys pull back which ranged from 15% to as much as 30%-40% in prior markets. This is essential for trader participants in the market to take profits, allow BTC to retest low levels and prove new heights are sustainable before ranging to new higher price levels. The first pull back historically for BTC post the start of the 'Bull Run' phase of BTCs 4 year cycle is traditionally the largest pull back opportunity and historically been the best short term buying opportunity in the Bull Run (NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE). We can expect a 30-40% correction for this pull back based on historic bull market period examples (Let me know in the comments below if you would like me to detail consistent price behaviour during BTC bull run periods in a future post). ARE WE AT THIS POINT NOW OF THE CYCLE? WHAT ARE THE INDICATORS SAYING? As highlighted by the RED arrow on the chart, a number of the indicators like to monitor on the weekly chat are suggesting bearish divergences and fading momentum exists with the current price action. This is calling for a cooling off period of the market. CME GAP Historically, BTC has had a tendency to want to 'close' open gap, created by weekend trading of BTC that does not align with equities that follow the traditional 'No Trading' over the weekend policy of Traditional Financial instruments. Hence crypto ETFs which align with these policies (such as the CME Futures chart as seen in this chart) can create 'GAP' between the open (Monday) and close (Friday) candles. To understand CME gaps, please take the time to review the details discussion in the earlier post. The orange BOX shows the below CME gap target that BTC price may range towards to close. NOTE: this box has been listed as Partially Closed as the open Monday candle of the gap did go below before rising during the weekly candle but did no dip past the close of the previous weekly candle. 21W EMA & 20W SMA Historically, a fully developed healthy bull market for BTC has required periodic retesting and holding of these moving averages. A close of the CME gap at this point of the market would also satisfy this historic trend for BTC. ORANGE TREND LINE Bears if eager to continue the 'close the CME gap' trend will need to convince the market by first exceeding the orange trend line. Currently this allows BTC to complete a 10 to 12% correction while also taking the price below the key psychological 100K price level, without phasing the bulls conviction to charger higher. * Holding the Orange Trend Line Scenario: we want to see price bounce and conviction from the bulls to push BTC to higher highs. The goal for Bears would be to achieve the measured move up to 180K. This would most potentially shorted the bull run (time prospective) and potentially cap our ATH for this cycle early; creating a distribution zone similar to the 2021 cycle top. * Breaking below the Orange Trend Line Scenario: If we break the Orange Trend Line then Bulls will concede ground to the MA levels (allowing the CME gap to also close). Bulls will write this off as a market reset and holding support at these levels will entice Traders to take positions needed to drive BTC up sustainably to the next higher level(s). Losing the MAs would ask serious questions to the intent of BULLs and the sustainability of the market moving forward this bull run.....
CME:BTC1!
by Brodie
1
Long Story short for BTCHistory hasn't failed yet, so the four-year cycle is still intact until it isn't. I have stretched this chart out for the next couple of years so that you can get a good idea of where the potential bottom will be during the next bear market. I plan to accumulate as much as possible the closer it gets to 66k. If we do reach a 150-250k top this cycle then I will expect a bear market bottom between 66-76k. Watch my levels and use them as a guideline. Historically Bitcoin has NEVER returned to the price its low during the US election week: 2012 Election Week Low - $10 2016 Election Week Low - $700 2020 Election Week Low - $13,200 2024 Election Week Low - $66,800 that brings us to now... if this doesn't indicate the current market sentiment then I don't know what will. There's a reason why many genius economists are speculating a 1 million dollar bitcoin in the next 8 years.
CAPITALCOM:BTCUSDLong
by RetiredNovice
Insane Growth Is Just Beginning For Bitcoin BTCHello, Skyrexians! Recently we made two analysis on BINANCE:BTCUSDT . In the first one we pointed out that $80k is going to be the reversal point, in the second that bullish reversal bar has been confirmed at $85k. Now we are seeing how it is playing out. This is just the beginning of a pump. Here is why. On the daily time frame we can see the green dot on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator which has appeared when price bounced form. 0.5 Fibonacci. For us this is the clear sign that wave 2 has been finished and now Bitcoin is printing wave 3. This wave has the most realistic target next to $180k at 1.61 Fibonacci extension, but the strong resistance can be met at $140k. Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Long
by Skyrexio
1
Bitcoin Price Analysis / Cup and Handle BreakoutOn the weekly Bitcoin chart, we can see a cup and handle pattern, a classic bullish formation: Cup and Handle Formation: The price formed a rounded bottom (the cup) followed by a smaller consolidation dip (the handle). This pattern is a sign of long-term accumulation and typically signals a continuation of the uptrend after a breakout. Breakout: Bitcoin broke out of the handle’s resistance, confirming the bullish pattern. The breakout suggests strong buying pressure, pushing the price toward a new peak. Retest Zone: After the breakout, the price is testing the previous resistance (now support). A successful retest could confirm the breakout, setting the stage for another rally. Bitcoin Peak Target: The green arrow suggests a potential price peak if the retest holds and the trend continues upward. Peaks often align with historical halving cycles and market sentiment, so the upward channel could act as a guide for price discovery. Key Levels: Support: The lower yellow trendline. Resistance: The upper yellow trendline. A bounce from support would strengthen the bullish case, while a breakdown could signal a deeper correction.
Long
by Yassine_Houd
BTC, last Chance in this bull market?Hello everyone, the market was very challenging within the last weeks, because there had been many ways to count, which is the most difficult part of elliot wave analysis. The reason was, that the price was in a correction/ consolidation, which I assume has now finally ended. Trump accounced that they picket 5 coins for the strategic reserve: BTC ETH XRP SOL ADA This aligns very well to what people have waited for. If you believe in a finall bull run, these 5 could be part of your portfolio. I would also recommend to have a look at LINK and LTC, as they are performing quiet well.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Kyrean
Bitcoin Breakdown: Bearish Retest or Further Crash to $60K?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis 🧐📉 Key Observations: Major Breakdown Below Support 🚨 BTC has broken below a key support zone around $85,000 (which also aligns with the 200 EMA at $85,602). This signals further downside potential if price fails to reclaim this level. Bearish Retest Expected 🔄 The price may attempt to retest the broken support (~$85,000–$90,000) before continuing downward. If rejected, BTC could drop to lower demand zones. Next Major Support: $70,000 & $60,000 Zones 📉 The chart suggests a downside move toward $70,000, with a final target around $59,932. These levels have historical significance as support zones. RSI Shows Oversold Conditions 📊 The RSI is at 24.86, which is deep into oversold territory. This could mean a temporary relief bounce, but overall momentum remains bearish. Possible Scenario 📍 If BTC fails to reclaim $85,000, expect a move down to $70,000–$60,000. A reclaim of $90,000+ would invalidate the bearish structure, leading to another attempt at $100,000+. Conclusion: Bears in Control! 🐻⚠️ The trend remains bearish unless BTC reclaims key resistance zones. Short-term bounce possible, but lower targets remain valid unless $85,000–$90,000 is reclaimed. 🔥 Trade Smart! Use Risk Management! 🔥 Let me know if you need specific trade setups! 🚀
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by MrStellanSight
Major Levels & Breakout Zones!🚀 Bitcoin's Q1 2025 Cycle is Here – Major Levels & Breakout Zones! 💎🔥 The delayed cycle I spoke about in early February is now kicking in hard, and Bitcoin is on the move! 📊 The market followed the chart before the news—a perfect example of why we trade based on technical setups first! 📉 Key Support Levels ✔ Checked support: $79,717 – Held strong, confirming the bounce. ✔ Short-term support: $91,000 - $91,353 ✔ Potential retracement level: $91,206 🚀 Where to Next? 💡 Major Resistance & S/R Cluster: $111,000 - $113,000 📍 If we clear this zone, Bitcoin could head toward $120,000+ in a strong breakout! 📍 Expect consolidation or rejection at this level before further price expansion. 🔥 News Driving the Market JUST IN: $330 Billion was added to the crypto market in the last 4 hours! 📈 💥 Trump’s Crypto Strategic Reserve Announcement is fueling the bullish momentum, reinforcing Bitcoin's long-term narrative! This setup is textbook delayed cycle price action, playing out exactly as expected. Keep an eye on these levels and trade smart! One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Long
by FX_Professor
2
Bitcoin's 2025 Price Action Mirrors 2017 - Is History Repeating?Bitcoin Halving & The Trump Factor: A Historical Parallel Bitcoin's price action in 2025 is eerily reminiscent of the post-halving rally of 2017. In both cases, BTC saw a prolonged accumulation phase before a massive markup period. What's even more intriguing is how macro-political events align: Trump was elected in November 2016 , just before BTC went parabolic in 2017, and once again, he's elected in November 2024 , right before Bitcoin enters its explosive post-halving markup phase. Could this be more than just coincidence? Accumulation Phase Ends – The Markup Begins From November 9, 2024 , to February 28, 2025 , Bitcoin was in a 107-day accumulation phase . This mirrors previous post-halving cycles, where BTC consolidates in the Green HPR band before entering the next stage. Now, it appears we are entering the Markup Phase, where I expect Bitcoin to rally towards $120K+ in the coming months. Applying the 2017 Cycle to 2025 The 2017 bull run followed a 59:156:360-day cycle (Accumulation → Markup → Distribution). Using the same ratio and expanding it for 2025, I’ve projected a 107:280:646-day cycle , where: ✅ 107 days Accumulation (Completed!) 📈 280 days Markup (Just Beginning!) 📉 646 days Distribution & Declining (Post-Top Phase) This fractal projection aligns well with historical price action, reinforcing the likelihood of Bitcoin repeating this structure. BitBo’s Rainbow Regression Chart Confirms the Setup Looking at BitBo’s Bitcoin Rainbow Halving Price Regression Chart , BTC briefly dipped into the blue band , just like in 2017’s first wave. However, in both cases, Bitcoin quickly recovered within days and launched into its Markup phase , which is exactly what we’re seeing now! 🔹 Key Takeaway: Bitcoin is following its historic halving cycle patterns, and if history continues to rhyme, the next 280 days could be a wild ride to six-figure BTC prices! 🚀 Don't forget, Patience is Paramount
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by PatienceIsParamount
We had told you, 'March gonna be BIG'Crypto Market Update – March Momentum in Full Swing! 🚀🔥 Alright, traders, March is here, and the market is pumping! No surprises here—I mentioned back in early February that I expected a strong March due to the delayed cycle effect, and here we are. The news followed the charts, not the other way around, which is why we stay ahead of the game! 📊🔍 Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 📍 Support levels: $91,000 $91,206 (key short-term level) $91,353 (minor support) 📍 Breakout zone: Above $96,000, price is totally free to explore higher levels. Watch out for resistance clusters on the way up. Ethereum (ETH/USD) 💎 Major resistance: $2,627 - $2,634 📍 Breakout target: Over $2,634, we should see a run toward $4,000. 🚀 Ethereum remains extra bullish—momentum is strong! Solana (SOL/USD) 📈 Key levels: Support: $166.72 Resistance: $215 - $223 Solana has broken back into its channel, showing strong momentum. A better entry is now possible, given solid support at $166.72. Cardano (ADA/USD) 🔥 Trade of the week! Major support: $1.00, $0.98 Target: $1.19, with bullish continuation potential If we lose the $0.98 support, then it's time to consider shorting. Otherwise, the momentum is strongly bullish. XRP (Not my top pick, but here’s the setup) 📍 Support: $2.48, with additional support around $2.66 📍 Resistance: $3.11 - $3.30 Wouldn't be my preferred trade right now, but price action will tell us more. 🚨 Breaking News: Market Liquidity Surge! Over $330 billion added to the crypto market in just 4 hours! 💰🔥 Trump announces a Crypto Strategic Reserve 💎🇺🇸, consisting of Bitcoin and other top cryptocurrencies, aligning with Executive Order 14178. The market is picking up steam, and levels are holding strong. Keep your eyes on these key support/resistance zones, set alerts, and trade smart. Exciting times ahead! 🚀💡 One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 🔗 Stay updated on my TradingView!
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
11
#202509 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: The bear breakout finally happened. First time I wrote about 75k was when we broke above 100k 3 months ago. This bear trend is now confirmed and the only question for me is do we get 1 or 2 legs more. For now my main target remains 75000 and everything below is a bonus. The 50% retracement for the whole bull market since 2022-11 is at 62k, but I highly doubt we can get there in the medium term. The big bull trend line and monthly 20ema is now my lowest medium target - around 68/70k. We have not touched the monthly 20ema since 2023-10. current market cycle: bear trend key levels: 70k - 95k bull case: Bulls stopped the fall above the breakout price around 74k and they want to keep some of the bull gap open to keep the hopes of a continuation up alive. On the weekly and monthly chart it is still a bull trend until we break below the trend line currently at 65k. Bulls main objective is now to print higher lows and bounce to at least the daily ema around 92k. Trends can only be very strong, if pull-backs are shallow and many traders trapped in losing positions, so they have to cover once it’s clear that we will get nowhere near their entry price. If bulls can bounce this above 90k or even 94k, all bulls who previously bought the lows and bought them now as well, will be able to make money. Invalidation is below 70k. bear case: Bears showed strength by finally closing consecutive days below 90k and even dropped below 80k. Now they need to break below the breakout price at 74k and close the gap to the previous ath. Once they have accomplished that, this bull trend is much less strong and they can try to test down to the bull trend line around 68k, depending on when we get there. Last weeks selling is likely the W1 of a intermediate bear trend inside the bigger bull trend. Could it be the start of a bigger bear trend where we test down to the 50% retracement of the multi-year bull trend around 62k? Possible but irrelevant for now. Bears have to take it level by level. I have drawn two potential ways forward for this wave-series. Much less bearish would be a bigger two-legged move where the pull-back would reach up to 94k and the second leg down could stay above 75k, if it would even get there. Much more bearish alternative would be a measured move down to almost exactly the named 50% retracement at 62k. We could get there in a 5-wave series, which is also drawn on the chart. As always, price is likely much more probable than timing on the chart. Invalidation is above 95k. short term: Max bearish. Any pullback is a good short with a stop 97k. medium-long term - Update from 2025-02-23: 75000 is still my biggest target for 2025. Right now nothing is moving, so my targets are useless for any trade. Here is my year end special outlook from 2024-12-29 bear case: The pain trade is to the downside. There is no arguing about that fact. Only issue for bears is that bubbles can go on for longer than anyone’s account can handle. So selling right now with a stop 109k is reasonable but most bears want more confirmation. Below 90000 more bulls have to cover and this will accelerate down. My targets in order are the breakout retest around 75000 and if things get bad enough there, we go down to the 50% pullback and the bull trend line at 62500. There I expect the market to go sideways for more time and depending on how we get there, we can estimate new targets above or below. current swing trade: Looking to scale into shorts around 90k with stop 97k. chart update: Added potential bear channel and two wave-series.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by priceactiontds
xrpusd H4 Best Level to BUY/HOLD +40% gains🔸Hello guys, today let's review 4hour price chart for XRP. Outlook remains bullish currently pullback in progress, however buying low still is a perfect trade setup with low risk. 🔸XRP is currently in pullback/correction mode after the re-test of ATH. limited upside at current market price 2.50 usd, pullback not complete. 🔸Recommended strategy bulls: BUY/HOLD 2.00 usd, TP 2.80 USD. 40% unleveraged gains. swing trade setup, patience required. good luck. 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
31
BTC Scaling Strategy: Trade Like a Pro with Precision EntriesIf you’re new to trading, this guide will walk you through a scaling in and out strategy. We’ll cover: Risk management – protecting your capital. Entry points – how to build your position gradually. Exit points – how to lock in profits while leaving room for further gains. Maximising profit – using a small runner to capture additional upside. By the end, you'll understand: ✅ How to enter trades at optimal levels ✅ How to take profits gradually ✅ How to manage risk so you don’t blow your account BTC Market Analysis Bitcoin has been trading in a tight range for over 100 days near the 100K mark. For 22 consecutive days, bulls have tried to break above 100K, but as the price nears this level, bears consistently rejected the move. Currently, BTC broke below our critical support level at 90K confirming a breakdown in market structure. Adding fuel to the bearish fire, Bitcoin has slipped below the weekly 21 EMA (89,503) and SMA (90,437). With the bears now in control, the critical question emerges: Where will Bitcoin find its next foothold? Let’s map the high-probability support zones and strategic entry points for the next potential long opportunity. Using Fibonacci analysis: Fib Speed Fan: With a low of 49K and an ATH of 109,588 (from March), the 0.618 trend line projects support between about 78K and 82K. Anchored VWAP: When anchored from 49K, the VWAP support is around 81.7K. Negative Fibonacci Retracement: From the ATH down to the current low at 91,231, the –0.618 level is at about 79,886. Fib Extension & Retracement: Additional levels lie around 79,466 (1.618 extension) and 79,230 (0.5 retracement). Moving Averages: The 233 EMA/SMA currently ranges between roughly 83K and 78.5K. These indicators converge to form a robust support zone between approximately 83K and 78K. For a more detailed breakdown, please check my previous Bitcoin analysis, where I conducted a deeper examination. Step 1: Understanding Risk Management (The Golden Rule) Before placing a trade, you must decide: 📌 How much you’re willing to lose (risk per trade) 📌 Where you’ll enter and exit (never place a trade without a plan) How Much Should You Risk? Always risk no more than 1–2% of your total account on a single trade. Example (for a $100K Account): 1% Risk = $1,000 max loss 2% Risk = $2,000 max loss For this trade, we plan to risk about $1,366, which is approximately 1.37% of a $100K account. This disciplined approach protects your capital over the long run. Step 2: Where Do We Enter the Trade? (Scaling In) Instead of going all-in at one price, we break our $30,000 investment into 10 smaller entries and exits. This method reduces risk and often achieves a better average entry price. 💡 Why? Because no one can time the exact bottom! Spreading entries reduces risk and gets a better average entry price. www.tradingview.com BTC Buy (Entry) Levels We will buy BTC as it falls from $83,050 down to $78,050 using the following allocation percentages: Entry # Price (BTC) % of Position Amount Invested ($) BTC Acquired 1 83,050 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 83,050 = 0.018072 2 82,550 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 82,550 = 0.018181 3 82,050 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 82,050 = 0.018278 4 81,550 8% $2,400 2,400 ÷ 81,550 = 0.029430 5 81,050 8% $2,400 2,400 ÷ 81,050 = 0.029606 6 80,550 10% $3,000 3,000 ÷ 80,550 = 0.037234 7 80,050 12% $3,600 3,600 ÷ 80,050 = 0.044974 8 79,550 12% $3,600 3,600 ÷ 79,550 = 0.045275 9 79,050 15% $4,500 4,500 ÷ 79,050 = 0.056956 10 78,050 20% $6,000 6,000 ÷ 78,050 = 0.076352 Total Investment: $30,000 Total BTC Acquired: 0.018072 + 0.018181 + 0.018278 + 0.029430 + 0.029606 + 0.037234 + 0.044974 + 0.045275 + 0.056956 + 0.076352 ≈ 0.37436 BTC Average Entry Price: $80,150 Stop Loss: Set at $76,500 Risk per BTC: $80,150 – $76,500 = $3,650 Total Risk: 0.37436 BTC × $3,650 ≈ $1,366 (~1.37% of $100K) Step 3: Where Do We Exit the Trade? (Scaling Out) We exit gradually as BTC rises between $86,950 and $91,450. The exit percentages are as follows: Exit # Price (BTC) % of Position BTC Sold Proceeds ($) 1 86,950 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 86,950 = $1,628.10 2 87,450 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 87,450 = $1,637.03 3 87,950 8% 0.029949 0.029949 × 87,950 = $2,638.15 4 88,450 12% 0.044924 0.044924 × 88,450 = $3,976.39 5 88,950 14% 0.052420 0.052420 × 88,950 = $4,664.19 6 89,450 14% 0.052420 0.052420 × 89,450 = $4,691.19 7 89,950 12% 0.044924 0.044924 × 89,950 = $4,047.12 8 90,450 10% 0.037436 0.037436 × 90,450 = $3,388.20 9 90,950 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 90,950 = $1,705.71 10 91,450 15% 0.056154 0.056154 × 91,450 = $5,137.68 Total BTC Sold: 0.018718×3 + 0.029949 + 0.044924×2 + 0.052420×2 + 0.037436 + 0.056154 = 0.374381 BTC (matches our total acquired ~0.37436 BTC)≈ $33,488.26 Profit on the Trade: Total Proceeds – Total Investment = $33,488.26 – $30,000 = +$3,488.26 Return on the Trade: $3,488.26/$30,000×100≈11.63% On Overall Account: For a $100K account, $3,488 represents a gain of about 3.49% if fully realised on this trade. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Risk = $1,366; Reward = $3,488; Ratio ≈ $3,488 / $1,366 ≈ 2.55:1 Step 4: Profit & Risk Summary Metric – Per Trade - Based on $100K Account Total Investment - $30,000 - $30,000 (30%) Risk (Stop Loss) - $1,366 (4.6%) - $1,366(1.37%) Profit (Closed) - $3,488 (11.63%) - $3,488 (3.49%) Profit + Runner - $4,311.18 (14.37%) - $4,311.18 (4.31%) Risk-to-Reward Ratio Calculation: If Stop Loss Hits ($76,500): Average Entry Price: $80,150 Loss per BTC: $80,150 – $76,500 = $3,650 Total Risk: 0.37436 BTC × $3,650 ≈ $1,366 (1.37% of a $100K account) If BTC Reaches Our Exit Targets: Total Proceeds: ≈ $33,488 Profit: $33,488 – $30,000 = $3,488 Profit Percentage on Trade: ~11.63% Overall Account Impact: ~3.49% gain on a $100K account Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~2.55:1 Step 5: The Power of Scaling In & Out Capital Protection: You risk only about $1,366 (1.37% of a $100K account), protecting your capital even during a series of losses. Optimised Entry: Scaling in from $83,050 to $78,050 yields an average entry of about $80,150—significantly lower than the top price. Profit Locking: Scaling out from $86,950 to $91,450 allows you to lock in profits at multiple levels, ensuring you capture gains along the way. Healthy R:R: With a risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 2.55:1, your potential reward significantly outweighs your risk. Discipline & Consistency: This structured approach minimises emotional trading and helps you stick to your plan. Optional Note: While this guide fully closes the trade, leaving a small portion (15%) open (runner) is an option if BTC continues to rally. Step 6: Final Pre-Trade Checklist 🔹 Support & Resistance: Is BTC trading near a strong support zone? 🔹 Technical Indicators: Is BTC holding above key moving averages (e.g., 21 EMA/SMA)? 🔹 Risk Management: Are you only risking 1–2% of your total account? 🔹 Trade Plan: Are you scaling in and out instead of going all-in? Are your entry levels and exit levels clearly defined? 🔹 Market Confirmation: Do volume, candlestick patterns, and order flow support your trade setup? Conclusion ✅ We protect our money by limiting risk ✅ We enter trades gradually (scaling in) ✅ We take profits at multiple levels (scaling out) ✅ We fully close the trade or leave some BTC open to ride the trend higher Final Tips: Common Mistakes to Avoid 👉 Overleveraging – 10x leverage + 2% risk = 20% account risk! 👉 Ignoring Volatility – Tight stops on Bitcoin often trigger early exits. 👉 Never trade based on emotions. Stick to your plan, adhere strictly to your risk management rules, and let your disciplined strategy work in your favour.
Long
by SiDec
1
UniversOfSignals | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #21Today, we're going to dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and the crucial crypto indices. I will review the significant futures triggers for today's New York session. The market conditions haven't changed much from yesterday and continue to range between 83,779 and 87,070. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, I've outlined the Fibonacci levels because it seems that the previous bearish leg has ended, and the market is ranging, preparing for either a trend reversal or the next bearish leg. 🔄 Yesterday, I mentioned that it appeared the price was pulling back to the SMA 99 and that if the trigger at 83,779 was breached, we could confirm a pullback to the SMA 99 from the market. As you see, this did not happen, and the trigger at 83,779 was not activated. 🔍 As observed, there is a cross between the SMA 99 and the SMA 25, which has led the market to start ranging. Currently, there's a very important PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) above the price, overlapping with the 0.5 Fibonacci zone and the resistance at 87,070. This makes it a critical area, and I suggest you stay behind the chart to see how the price reacts to this area. 🔽 If the price gets rejected from this area, we can take an early trigger for a short position, and if this area is breached, you can proceed to take a long position. However, be mindful that today is Sunday, and as you can see, the market volume has significantly decreased. This happens because the bearish leg has ended and the market is correcting, but also because it's Sunday and during weekends, market volume typically decreases. I recommend keeping an eye on risky positions such as the one at 87,070 during holidays or when the market volume is low. ⚡️ However, there are areas that are still good for opening positions even on holidays like Sunday when the market volume is low, such as the area at 83,779. In my opinion, this could cause the price to move towards its next bearish leg if this area is breached, so even if the market volume is low and it's a holiday, I think if this area is breached, significant selling volume will enter the market and for this reason, I try to keep a short position open if this area is broken. 💥 The RSI oscillator, as you see, has moved above the 50 area, and breaking this area could be a good momentum confirmation for opening a short position. If the RSI enters the oversell area, we can have momentum confirmation for the start of the next bearish leg. 👑 BTC.D Analysis As you can see, I had marked a trigger at 61.21 yesterday, which the price didn't manage to break convincingly, showing little respect for this area, so I have removed this line. Currently, it seems that Bitcoin dominance is ranging between 61.91 and 61.49, and I believe that sooner or later, the large box ranging from 60.48 to 62.19 will be broken. ✨ If this break is from above, Bitcoin dominance could even experience more bullish legs, increasing Bitcoin's dominance in the market. However, if dominance breaks from below and the market turns bullish, altcoins could perform very well. 🔼 The trigger for today's dominance is that if 60.91 is broken, we can confirm a bearish turn in dominance, and conversely, if 61.49 is broken, we can confirm a bullish turn. 📅 Total2 Analysis As you see, Total2 was supported from 1.01 and has moved upwards to 1.09, where it is currently being rejected. The SMA 99 in Total2 has also reached the price, and the price has reacted to it. 📉 We have a very risky trigger for a short position on Total2, which is the break of 1.06; this position is very risky and can be opened as a scalp in lower timeframes.The primary target I can consider for this position will be the area of 1.01. 📅 USDT.D Analysis As you observe, Tether's dominance was rejected from 5.21 and could not stabilize above this area, creating a very small ranging box between 5.08 and 5.21. Currently, it's near the area of 5.08, and if this area is broken, dominance could drop to 4.92. 🎲 This drop would likely boost the market upwards, and if this area is broken, depending on Bitcoin's dominance, you can decide to open positions on altcoins or Bitcoin. 💫 Conversely, if dominance is supported from this area and moves towards 5.22, and if this area is broken, you can open short positions on altcoins or Bitcoin. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
by UNIVERSOFSIGNALS