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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)

$ETH.D x $BTC.D CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D x CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ⏳ While #Ethereum dominance is at all-time lows in terms of momentum, it is also poised for a comeback in the Demand Zone #Bitcoin dominance is poised for a comeback in the Supply Zone region, even though it is at all-time highs in terms of momentum The current situation can be seen as an important indicator for #Altcoins, but the rise of bitcoin and the decline of bitcoin dominance will be a sign of the #Altseason we have been waiting for so far.
CRYPTOCAP:ETH.DLong
by EtherNasyonaL
BTC Long term analysisBitcoin Weekly Analysis: Ascending Channel in Play Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading within a well-defined ascending parallel channel on the weekly time frame, indicating a strong bullish trend. Here's the breakdown of the setup: 📈 Channel Boundaries: BTC price is respecting the channel's upper resistance and lower support (yellow lines). The midline (blue dashed line) acts as dynamic support/resistance, guiding the price action within the channel. 💡 Current Scenario: The price is trending toward the upper boundary, showing bullish momentum. A potential retracement back to the midline is expected after touching the resistance, as illustrated by the green path. 🚀 Bullish Case: A breakout above the upper boundary could signal accelerated bullish momentum. BTC might continue rallying beyond the channel if volume supports the breakout. ⚠️ Bearish Case: A breakdown below the lower boundary could signal a trend reversal, leading to bearish pressure. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: Upper Channel Resistance: Critical zone for a breakout. Midline Support: Retesting this level could offer a buy opportunity in case of a pullback. Lower Channel Support: Watch for potential trend invalidation below this level. 📊 Conclusion: The ascending channel suggests BTC remains in a strong uptrend on the weekly time frame. Staying within the channel keeps the bullish structure intact, offering opportunities for both breakout and retracement traders. Do you agree with this setup? Share your thoughts or ideas in the comments! 👍
by Cryptonic_Trading
Bitcoin can leave pennant and then rise to resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price entered to upward channel, where it soon reached the 94500 support level and then broke it. Next, the price made a retest and then tried to grow more, but later turned around and made a correction below a support level, after which in a short time, it backed up. Then BTC some time traded near the support level and later rose to the seller zone, where it at once turned around and rebounded down until to 90500 points. But soon, BTC backed up to the channel and then started to grow to a 103000 resistance level. When it reached this level, the price broke it and soon reached the resistance line of the channel, then it exited and rose to 108300 points, after which turned around and made a downward impulse inside the downward pennant. In this pattern, the price broke 103000 with 94500 levels and reached the support line of the pennant, which is located inside the buyer zone. Then price bounced up from this area and a not long time ago fell back and then rose to the resistance line of the pennant. Now, the price continues to trades near this line and I expect that the price can little decline below the resistance line. Then it started to grow to 103000 resistance level, thereby exiting from the pennant. For this case, I set my TP at this level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
Decoding the BTC-ES Correlation During FOMC Meetings1. Introduction The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings are pivotal events that significantly impact global financial markets. Traders across asset classes closely monitor these meetings for insights into the Federal Reserve’s stance on monetary policy, interest rates, and economic outlook. In this article, we delve into the correlation between Bitcoin futures (BTC) and E-mini S&P 500 futures (ES) during FOMC meetings. Focusing on the window from one day prior to one day after each meeting, our findings reveal that BTC and ES exhibit a positive correlation 63% of the time. This relationship offers valuable insights for traders navigating these volatile periods. 2. The Significance of Correlations in Market Analysis Correlation is a vital tool in market analysis, representing the relationship between two assets. A positive correlation indicates that two assets move in the same direction, while a negative correlation implies they move in opposite directions. BTC and ES are particularly intriguing to study due to their distinct market segments—cryptocurrency and traditional equities. Observing how these two assets interact during FOMC meetings provides a window into macroeconomic forces that affect both markets. The key finding: BTC and ES are positively correlated 63% of the time around FOMC meetings. This suggests that, despite their differences, both markets often react similarly to macroeconomic developments during these critical periods. 3. Methodology and Data Overview To analyze the BTC-ES correlation, we focused on a specific timeframe: one day before to one day after each FOMC meeting. Daily closing prices for both assets were used to calculate correlations, providing a clear view of their relationship during these events. The analysis includes data from multiple FOMC meetings spanning several years. The accompanying charts—such as the correlation heatmap, table of BTC-ES correlations, and line chart—help visualize these findings, highlighting the periods of positive and negative correlation. Contract Specifications: o E-mini S&P 500 Futures (ES): Contract Size: $50 x S&P 500 Index. Minimum Tick: 0.25 points, equivalent to $12.50. Initial Margin Requirement: Approximately $15,500 (subject to change). o Bitcoin Futures (BTC): Contract Size: 5 Bitcoin. Minimum Tick: $5 per Bitcoin, equivalent to $25 per tick. Initial Margin Requirement: Approximately $112,000 (subject to change). These specifications highlight the differences in notional value and margin requirements, underscoring the distinct characteristics of each contract. 4. Findings: BTC and ES Correlations During FOMC Meetings The analysis reveals several noteworthy trends: Positive Correlations (63% of the time): During these periods, BTC and ES tend to move in the same direction, reflecting shared sensitivity to macroeconomic themes such as interest rate adjustments or economic projections. Negative Correlations: These occur sporadically, suggesting that, in certain scenarios, BTC and ES respond differently to FOMC announcements. 5. Interpretation: Why Do BTC and ES Correlate? The observed correlation between Bitcoin futures (BTC) and E-mini S&P 500 futures (ES) around FOMC meetings can be attributed to several factors: Macro Sensitivity: Both BTC and ES are heavily influenced by macroeconomic variables such as interest rate decisions, inflation expectations, and liquidity changes. The FOMC meetings, being central to these narratives, often create synchronized market reactions. Institutional Adoption: The increasing participation of institutional investors in Bitcoin trading aligns its performance more closely with traditional risk assets like equities. This is evident during FOMC events, where institutional sentiment towards risk assets tends to align. Market Liquidity: FOMC meetings often drive liquidity shifts across asset classes. This can lead to aligned movement in BTC and ES as traders adjust their portfolios in response to policy announcements. This correlation provides traders with actionable insights into how these assets might react during future FOMC windows. 6. Forward-Looking Implications Understanding the historical correlation between BTC and ES during FOMC meetings offers a strategic edge for traders: Hedging Opportunities: Traders can use the BTC-ES relationship to construct hedging strategies, such as using one asset to offset potential adverse moves in the other. Volatility Exploitation: Positive correlation periods may signal opportunities for trend-following strategies, while negative correlation phases could favor pairs trading strategies. Risk-On/Risk-Off Cues: The alignment or divergence of BTC and ES can act as a barometer for market-wide sentiment, aiding decision-making in other correlated assets. Future FOMC events could present similar dynamics, and traders can leverage this data to refine their approach. 7. Risk Management Considerations While correlations provide valuable insights, they are not guaranteed to persist. Effective risk management is crucial, particularly during volatile periods like FOMC meetings: Stop-Loss Orders: Ensure every trade is equipped with a stop-loss to cap potential losses. Position Sizing: Adjust position sizes based on volatility and margin requirements for BTC and ES. Diversification: Avoid over-concentration in highly correlated assets to reduce portfolio risk. Monitoring Correlations: Regularly assess whether the BTC-ES correlation holds true during future events, as changing market conditions could alter these relationships. A disciplined approach to risk management enhances the probability of navigating FOMC volatility successfully. 8. Conclusion The correlation between Bitcoin futures (BTC) and E-mini S&P 500 futures (ES) around FOMC meetings highlights the interconnected nature of modern financial markets. With 63% of these events showing positive correlation, traders can glean actionable insights into how these assets react to macroeconomic shifts. While the relationship between BTC and ES may fluctuate, understanding its drivers and implications equips traders with tools to navigate market volatility effectively. By combining historical analysis with proactive risk management, traders can make informed decisions during future FOMC windows. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by traddictiv
Example of how to trade without chart analysis Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- Since the coin market can be traded 24 hours a day, 365 days a year, gaps do not occur as often as in the stock market. (However, gaps may occur frequently in exchanges with low trading volume.) In any case, I think that these movements provide considerable usefulness in conducting transactions. Sometimes I told you to buy when the price drops by -10% or more. Today, I will tell you why. -------------------------------------- In order to trade, you must have basic knowledge of charts. Otherwise, you are likely to conduct transactions incorrectly due to volatility. However, such cases are less common in the coin market than in the stock market. One of the reasons is that the current coins (tokens) are not being used for actual business purposes. So, I think there are quite a few issues that cause volatility other than charts like stocks. - If the price falls one day and falls by about -10% from the high before a new candle is created, I buy. The next day, if it falls by about -10% from the high again, I buy again. When it falls by about -10% like this, I continue to buy in installments. That's why I need to adjust my investment ratio. - If I buy like that, there will come a point where my price rises more than the average unit price. In that case, when I'm making a profit, I sell the amount corresponding to the purchase principal in installments and leave the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit. If you want cash profit, you can sell a certain portion in installments. Also, on the contrary, when it rises by about +10%, we proceed with a split sale. - As shown in the example chart, you can see that there are not many cases where it rises by -10% or +10%. However, since it occurs more often in the case of altcoins than in BTC or ETH, you should pay special attention to adjusting your investment ratio when trading altcoins. That is why you must check the price fluctuation range 1-3 hours before a new candle is created on the 1D chart. This method is a method that can be traded even if you lack knowledge about charts. If you let go of your greed a little and have the ability to split sell when you are making a profit, you will be able to meet the moment when a crisis becomes an opportunity. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
DAY 5 - Daily BTC Update Merry Christmas!Yesterday's Update 🎄 Merry Christmas, TradingView Fam! 🎄 The BTC bulls are delivering a gift this holiday season 🎁! After a strong bounce, Bitcoin is eyeing $100K today, setting the stage for a spectacular Christmas Day rally. Here’s the roadmap: 🎯 First Pivot: $100,800 🎯 Second Pivot: $105,720 Breaking through these levels will set BTC on Pathway 1, as outlined yesterday, and reinforce the bullish momentum. 🚀 (Although not breaking the first pivot could see Pathway 2) Santa seems to have packed his bag with a Bitcoin rocket this year! 🌕 Wishing you all a magical Christmas!💫 See you all tomorrow! <3
by LisaNEdwards
8
Timelapse of BTC's Daily ActionBTC Daily Action Levels Annotations Highlight major support and resistance levels in the timelapse. Annotate key pivot points where the price action reversed or consolidated. Mark critical breakout and breakdown levels with arrows or boxes to emphasize their impact. "Timelapse of BTC's Daily Action 🎥📈" Post: "Watch BTC's daily price action unfold in this timelapse! 🚀 📍 Key levels annotated to showcase their significance. 🔍 Did the market respect these levels, or did it break away? Share your thoughts below! #BTC #Crypto #Trading"
by peteramner
BTC/USD : Another Bullish Move Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we observe that after our previous analysis, the price surged to $108,400 before experiencing a sharp decline, correcting down to $92,000. Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $93,800. If the price manages to stabilize above the $90,600 to $92,300 range, we could anticipate further growth for this cryptocurrency. This analysis will be updated. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
28
Bitcoin Roadmap==>>Short-termBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving near the Support zone ($95,000-$90,870) and 50_SMA(Daily) , also Bitcoin managed to break the Descending Channel . Although the main Ascending Channel has been broken in the above time frame , I still expect the pullback to the main ascending channel to continue. Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing microwave Y of the main wave 4 . I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the 🎯Targets🎯 I have specified on the chart . ⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks below the Support zone($95,000-$93,500), there is a high probability that Bitcoin will go below $90,000.⚠️ 🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏 Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
47