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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)

Bitcoin like a Diamond.The diamond pattern is a sophisticated chart formation found in financial markets, yet it remains relatively obscure among technical traders and investors. As a member of the classical chart pattern family, it stands apart from more commonly recognized formations like flags, pennants, head and shoulders, and rectangles. Due to its rarity, traders encounter fewer chances to engage with the diamond pattern compared to these other formations. However, it is important for technical traders to familiarize themselves with this pattern, as it can present valuable trading opportunities when identified in a timely manner. Often mistaken for the head and shoulders pattern, the diamond chart formation shares some similarities but also has key differences that set it apart. The Continuation Diamond pattern serves as a signal for continuation, suggesting that the current trend is likely to persist. Traders often use this pattern to validate an uptrend and to identify potential buying opportunities in the market. The bearish diamond formation emerges following a strong upward price movement. It consists of two support levels that limit earlier pullbacks and two resistance levels that have interrupted the upward trend. Commonly referred to as the diamond top pattern, this formation serves as a signal for market participants to consider selling. So Diamond patterns can indicate either a reversal or continuation in the market, suggesting a potential bullish or bearish breakout. It's essential for traders to look for confirmation through trading volume at the breakout point. To execute trades, one should sell when the price falls below the diamond's top formation and buy when it rises above the diamond's bottom formation. This approach allows traders to effectively take long or short positions based on diamond patterns.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by BallaJi
11
HelenP. I Bitcoin can bounce of resistance level and start fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. A while ago, the price began to decline within a downward channel, briefly rebounding from the resistance zone, which aligned with a key resistance level. BTC then moved up to the channel’s resistance line before dropping back into the resistance zone, where it traded for some time. Later, BTC broke through the 94,800 level and continued falling until it reached the channel’s support line, eventually breaking out of the channel. Shortly after, the price broke below the support level, which also coincided with a support zone, and dropped to the trend line. Following this move, BTC reversed direction and started to rise, eventually testing the support level once again and breaking through it. After that, the price made a retest of the support level, which aligned with the trend line, before making a strong upward impulse toward the 94800 resistance level. However, not long ago, BTC started declining again. Given the current structure, I anticipate that BTC/USDT will revisit the resistance level before reversing and heading down to 88K$, breaking through the trend line along the way. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Short
by FirstNameHelen
4
Bitcoin: A US Reserve CurrencyCME: Micro Bitcoin Futures ( CME:MBT1! ) On the morning of March 2nd, President Donald Trump posted a tweet to reinforce his commitment to a Crypto Strategic Reserve, including XRP, SOL and ADA. Cryptocurrency market took off immediately. Despite not being mentioned in the tweet, Bitcoin shot up from $78,400 to $83,900, and Ethereum from $2,090 to $2,240. Later in the afternoon, President Trump posted an update and clarified that BTC and ETH will be in the Reserve. “I also love Bitcoin and Ethereum!”, he tweeted. At the time of this writing, BTC is quoted $94,308, up 20.3% since the first tweet. ETH is trading at $2,520, up 20.6% within the day. We are in a new age of cryptocurrencies, where BTC, ETH, XRP, SOL and ADA just gained the official backing of the US Government. This day has been in the making for months. • On May 24, 2024, then presidential candidate Trump promised to launch a national crypto stockpile if he wins the election. Investors warmed to this idea and Bitcoin lifted 18% • On November 5, 2024, Trump won the US election. Market cheered for the most pro-crypto president and Bitcoin shot up 57% in a month • On January 23, 2025, President Trump signed the “Executive Order to establish United States leadership on digital financial technology.” Bitcoin went up 17% • Recent events have brought bitcoin down 28% since reaching its all-time-high of $109,241. In a matter of two tweets, the crypto market has completely turned around Bitcoin for the Long Haul A year ago, I published this market commentary, “A Bitcoin Bull Run?”, and laid out the key drivers for bitcoin’s long-term rise. Limited supply, increased demand and excessive liquidity helped bitcoin prices doubled in a year. In my opinion, these tailwinds remains intact for bitcoin in the coming months. On top of these, we now have the explicit endorsement from a sitting US president. Therefore, I stay bullish for holding bitcoin for the long haul. Trading with Micro Bitcoin Futures On “HODL with a Twist”, published on May 6, 2024, I explored using Futures Rollover strategy to invest in CME Micro Bitcoin Futures ( LSE:MBT ). This strategy worked nicely in the past, and I favor to continue deploying it. The paragraphs below provide a brief update with new contract months and new price data. Firstly, using futures over spot bitcoin provides these compelling advantages: • Capital efficiency in using margins. A trader could invest with as little as $2,075 to take on the full exposure of $9,431 (1/10th of a bitcoin) • Futures contracts come with build-in leverage. For MBT, it is approximately 4.5 times (= 9431/2075). If bitcoin moves 10% in your favor, you could gain 45% with futures • Price protection. MBT has a daily price limit (limit-up and limit-down) at 10%. In a volatile day with big moves, the Exchange will pause trading at the prescribed limits Secondly, futures contracts have a limited lifespan that will influence the outcome of your trades and exit strategy. Micro Bitcoin futures are traded actively in the nearby March and April contracts. Liquidity in the back-month contracts has yet to pick up. Rollover is when a trader moves his position from the front month contract to another contract further in the future, prior to the expiration of his existing holding. Below is an illustration on how to hold a long MBT position overtime: • In March, a trader buys (going long) April contract (MBTJ5) at $94,308 • In April, the trader enters an offsetting trade, going short on MBTJ5, to close his existing position. He would book a profit or loss, determined by the difference in selling price and purchasing price • Simultaneously, the trader would buy May MBT contract (MBTK5) and re-establish a long position in Bitcoin • In May, the trader will close out MBTK5 (going short) and buy June (MBTM5) • The trader would repeat the above steps, so far as he holds a bullish view Finally, Bitcoin prices are extremely volatile. Holding spot Bitcoin with no leverage could face potential drawdown of 70%-80%. With the leverage in futures, a sharp price move in the wrong direction could quickly deplete the available fund and trigger margin calls. Trader could set up a stop-loss in the buy order, limiting the maximum loss. Hypothetically, he could set the stop-loss at $85,000 when executing long futures at $94,308. If bitcoin moves sharply down, the maximum loss will be $931 (= (94308-85000)*0.1). His margin account will be decreased to $1,144 from $2,075. To learn more about all the Micro futures and options contracts traded on CME Group platform, you can check out the following site: www.cmegroup.com Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME:MBT1!Long
by JimHuangChicago
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #22👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let's dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. In this analysis, as usual on Mondays, I want to review Bitcoin in longer timeframes and explore potential scenarios for Bitcoin in the long term. 📅 Weekly Timeframe In the weekly timeframe, as you can see, the price has formed a very large candle with a big shadow, finally breaking out of the 90,000 to 104,000 range box, dipping below, and re-entering this box. 🔍 The reason for this Bitcoin fluctuation was initially the news of America's 25% tariffs, which caused all stocks and Bitcoin to drop. Even the Nasdaq saw a significant fall, but after Trump tweeted last night about planning to have a Crypto reserve at the US Treasury, 📰 This news caused the price to engulf all the previous downward movement, resulting in the candle you see, which has pulled back to the Fibonacci range between 0.382 and 0.5 and has also pulled back to the SMA 25. If you're looking to buy Bitcoin, you can place a stop buy above last week's candle to make your purchase in the spot market. 👀 However, be aware that Bitcoin is in a high price area, and make sure to manage your risk. If the 104,000 area is broken, higher targets will be accessible. If this happens, I will update the analysis and inform you of higher targets. 🔽 If the price drops, the Fibonacci areas are clearly defined, and the main support is at 72,000. I have nothing more to say about Bitcoin in this timeframe; let's move to the daily timeframe to see what triggers we can find there. 📅 Daily Timeframe In the daily timeframe, as you can see, we can observe the movement influenced by the news in more detail. As I mentioned in the analysis, with the break of the 92,433 area, we could have opened a short position for Bitcoin to make a deeper correction to the Fibonacci confluence area between 0.5 and 0.618. 🔑 As you can see, after several candles hit this range last night, with the news announced by Trump, the price returned above the 92,433 area, and it seems that a V pattern is forming on the chart, and the trigger for this V pattern is at 98,482. ✨ If the price can stabilize above this area, I personally expect it to move at least to the 106,243 area, which is the resistance at ATH. 💥 In the RSI, as you see, it is engaged with the 50 resistance. If the RSI goes above this area and can break it, we will have confirmed the bullish momentum. In this case, if the 98,482 area breaks, I personally will try to have a long position because it can continue and move towards a new ATH with the break of 106,282. 📉 But on the other hand, if all this upward movement that has occurred is a pullback, and the price starts to move downward again, I will definitely inform you in future analyses and announce appropriate short triggers. 💫 In the daily timeframe, the important corrective areas are the same range between 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci. If this area is lost, the main support will be 72,753. ⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe Let's go to the four-hour timeframe to slowly review the futures triggers and trades that we can open today and in the coming week. 🔄 As I told you yesterday, with the break of 87,070, we could have entered a long position, but I told you that since it is a holiday, I myself am not opening this position, and I also suggested that you not open this position, which is completely natural, and just because the price has gone up doesn't mean I should say you definitely had to open this position. 📚 We must not trade outside our strategy and always be within the framework of the strategy. In my strategy, on Saturdays and Sundays when the market is closed, I do not open positions for triggers that are not very important, and this trigger was also among those triggers, and I did not open a position. ✅ If you opened it, congratulations, and I hope you have profited and always be profitable. But today, our job is easier for opening long positions because the price has come up one leg, and bullish momentum has entered the market, even the RSI has entered Overbuy once and has reset now, so if the 95,108 area breaks, which I will tell you the exact number in the one-hour timeframe, we can enter a very good long position. 📈 In my opinion, this position will be very logical because, as I said, the price has come up a leg, and now after resting, it is ready to go up the next leg. 🔽 But on the other hand, we can consider all this movement a pullback and a Dead cat bounce. In this case, if the 92,226 area breaks, the price can drop again and move downward. It is better to go to the one-hour timeframe to talk more about this issue and today's positions there. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe In the one-hour timeframe, as you can see, yesterday the 87,070 trigger was activated, which I referred to in the four-hour timeframe, and told you that I personally did not open this position, and yesterday I did not open any specific position. 🧲 But today, as you can see, Bitcoin, after being rejected from the 94,355 area, has made a slight correction downward to the 91,422 area. This area overlapped with the SMA 25, and it seems that the price is being supported from this area and can move upward. 🔍 Keep in mind that if the SMA 25 cannot prepare the necessary and sufficient momentum for the next bullish leg, the price can wait until the SMA 99 reaches it. As we saw in the previous bearish leg, the SMA 25 reached the price several times and caused the bearish momentum to be maintained, but with the breaking of the SMA 25 and reaching the SMA 99, the price could not continue the bearish momentum and with the breaking of the SMA 99 and the cross of this SMA with the SMA 25, it caused the market trend to change, and with the news that came, we had an upward leg upwards. 🔼 So, if with a pullback the price to SMA 25 starts the next bullish leg, in case of breaking 94,355, I will open a long position, and if the SMA 25 cannot enter momentum into the market, with breaking 91,422, you can enter a short position. 🎲 I have nothing else to say about Bitcoin, let's move on to the analysis of dominances to see what the market conditions for altcoins will be like. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Let's move on to the analysis of Bitcoin dominance, as you can see in the one-hour timeframe, I've made the chart a bit clearer and marked a box between 60.40 and 61.48 for you, where the price yesterday, after the news came, first had a fake from below and performed a fake break in the area of 60.40, and after the effects of the news wore off, the dominance moved upwards again. 💧 Currently, dominance has reached the area of 60.48, and the scenario I mentioned a few days ago, i.e., re-testing the top of the main box, seems very likely, and with the stabilization of Bitcoin dominance above the area of 61.48, we can expect this dominance to move up to the area of 62.19 and even 62.66, which if this movement coincides with the breaking of Bitcoin resistance, opening a Bitcoin position will be very logical, and if the short trigger is always activated, altcoins can have a very sharp and severe drop. ⭐️ On the other hand, if dominance is rejected from this resistance of 61.48 or performs a fake break, dominance can move down again towards the area of 60.40, in which case we can also open long positions on altcoins and short positions on Bitcoin itself. 📅 Total2 Analysis Let's move on to the analysis of Total2, as you can see, after the area of 1.09 was broken yesterday, Total2 made a more upward move than Bitcoin and moved more upwards than Bitcoin and managed to move up to the area of 1.23, and the reason was that Bitcoin dominance was in an upward falling movement and caused more money to enter altcoins. ☘️ But as you can see, simultaneous with the rise of Bitcoin dominance and the correction of the altcoin market, altcoins made much more corrections than Bitcoin today and have fallen more than Bitcoin today and are supported at 1.14. 🎯 For long positions, you can enter with the break of 1.23, but if the price shows a reaction to the area of 1.18 again, you can enter a long position with the break of this area. I'm keeping this area today and want to see if the price will show a reaction to it in the future or not. If the price does not show a reaction to this area, I will remove it from the chart, and if I see that it shows a reaction and respects this area, I will keep it on the chart. 📉 For short positions, you can also look for altcoins that are on good support floors in case of breaking 1.14, and if Bitcoin dominance rises, and these altcoins can open a short position. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Let's move on to the analysis of Tether dominance, as you can see, yesterday the 5.08 trigger in dominance was activated, causing the dominance to fall and with the fall of dominance, the market moved upwards. ✅ Currently, dominance is on a very important support that I had previously specified for you, which is 4.60. This area was previously in the range of 4.62, and the price showed a slight reaction to this area, and I moved this area. ✨ In the pullback of Tether dominance, this pullback has hit the area of 4.82, which I had previously specified for you, and it currently seems ready to perform its next downward leg. ⚡️ As you can see, a V pattern had also formed in Tether dominance, which was activated with the break of 5.08, and the first downward leg was performed up to the area of 4.60. Currently, the trigger for confirming the downward dominance of Bitcoin is this area of 4.60, and if the dominance is stabilized below this area, we can confirm the downward dominance, but on the other hand, if the dominance is stabilized above the area of 4.82, we can expect an upward leg to be performed on dominance. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
4
GBPUSD FUNDAMENTALS AND TECHNICAL ANALYSISGBPUSD is currently trading at 1.265, showing strong bullish momentum as it finds solid support at this level. The gradual increase in trading volume indicates growing interest from buyers, suggesting that the pair is gaining strength for a potential move toward the 1.288 target. If this support level holds, we could see further bullish continuation in the coming sessions. From a technical perspective, GBPUSD is respecting key support, with increasing volume confirming buyer interest. A break above minor resistance levels could further accelerate the uptrend, providing a clear path toward 1.288. If price action remains above 1.260, it will reinforce the bullish outlook, while traders should watch for any pullbacks as potential buying opportunities. Fundamentally, GBPUSD's strength is influenced by a softer US dollar as expectations around the Federal Reserve’s rate policy shift. Any dovish signals from the Fed or weaker US economic data could push the dollar lower, giving GBP an advantage. Additionally, positive UK economic indicators or a hawkish stance from the Bank of England could further support the pair’s bullish momentum. In summary, GBPUSD is holding strong support with increasing volume, signaling potential upside toward 1.288. If this bullish momentum sustains, traders could capitalize on the breakout, with confirmation needed through technical signals and macroeconomic developments. Keep an eye on resistance levels and market sentiment for further validation.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1
03/03/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $96,500 Last weeks low: $78,297.13 Midpoint: $87,398.56 What a week! In my last weekly outlook I proposed the idea that BTC was coiling up for a big move, the question was "which direction will the move be?" Well we got our answer, after, multiple weeks hovering around the $96K level bitcoin sold off a massive 18% to a low of $78.2k. This sell-off broke the weekly support area of $91K after a full 3 months of holding. Now that we answered last weeks question I propose a new one, is $91K now a HTF resistance level? To answer that question a look at the weekly chart, despite such a severe sell-off this is not unusual in a bull market, 25-25% corrections happen multiple times during a large bullish trend. To add to that, the weekly close still managed to be above the $91K mini range floor, in essence a giant SFP on the weekly candle and therefore a continuation high would make sense from a TA point of view. For the bulls the worry would be the inevitable backfilling of the wick on the weekly, for me this comes into play if we have acceptance back below $91K, entirely possible. On Friday 7th March President Trump is holding a Cryptocurrency summit at the white house, this will include David Sacks (crypto & AI czar), Founders, CEOs and members of the digital assets group. This comes off the back of confirmation of the "Crypto Strategic Reserve" that will contain BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP & ADA and was announced yesterday. I do not believe in coincidences so the timing of this is very interesting to me, to announce this on a weekend with very thin orderbooks and low volume after such a big sell-off had to be done on purpose IMO. The timing would guarantee a swift rally, I also believe the sell-off could be related to this announcement too, if a market maker like the US government has the means to create a more optimal entry, they will do just that. I could see the market being very cautious up until Friday, the $91K is a key S/R level and will determine if bitcoin backfills the weekly wick or moves up to weekly high.
by ProR35
Bitcoin - Bitcoin, waiting for another decline?!Bitcoin is located between the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. Bitcoin's downward correction and its placement in the demand zone will provide us with the opportunity to buy it again. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range. Donald Trump has issued an executive order on digital assets, directing the Presidential Task Force to move toward establishing a strategic cryptocurrency reserve that will include XRP, SOL, and ADA. He emphasized, “I will ensure that the United States becomes the cryptocurrency capital of the world.” Trump further added, “We are making America great again!” He also highlighted Bitcoin and Ethereum as other valuable digital assets that will be central to this reserve, stating, “I love Bitcoin and Ethereum!” Following this announcement, Bitcoin responded positively to the news of the executive order. On February 28, BlackRock made headlines after Bitcoin (BTC) dropped below $80,000. Amid speculation, some claimed that the company had sold $500 million worth of Bitcoin, playing a significant role in the price decline. However, a closer analysis contradicts these claims. Data shows that BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) still holds 577,919 BTC. While this fund saw an outflow of 2,274 BTC on February 27 and a total of 10,595 BTC over the past week, this does not imply that BlackRock itself is selling Bitcoin. These ETF outflows result from investors selling shares of the fund. In such scenarios, the ETF is required to sell Bitcoin proportionally to meet liquidity demands. Therefore, these movements are not directly tied to BlackRock’s own decision to offload BTC but rather reflect investor behavior. Contrary to circulating rumors, BlackRock is not exiting Bitcoin; in fact, it has been increasing its exposure. Recent financial filings reveal that the company now holds a 5% stake in MicroStrategy (MSTR), up from 4.09% in September 2024. Additionally, it has been announced that BlackRock plans to integrate its Bitcoin ETF into the firm’s $150 billion portfolio. This move suggests that rather than pulling out of the market, BlackRock is strengthening its position in Bitcoin-related assets. Ultimately, this situation highlights how quickly rumors and speculation can spread during market downturns, but a detailed analysis of the data always provides a clearer picture of reality. Meanwhile, Ronaldinho, the former Brazilian football star, has announced plans to launch his own cryptocurrency. He also warned his fans to stay vigilant against fraudulent meme coins.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
Velas (VLX) Technical Analysis & Market Outlook – March 2025🚀 Velas (VLX) Technical Analysis & Market Outlook – March 2025 🚀 📊 Current Market Structure & Technical Indicators 🔹 Trend Overview: Velas has been in a prolonged descending trading channel, reaching its lowest price of 2025, making this a potential accumulation zone. 🔹 Key Support & Resistance Levels: Support: 🟠 $0.00399 (historical low) and $0.00526 (current price level). Resistance: 🔵 $0.00749 (major breakout target) and $0.00900 (mid-term bullish target). 🔹 Indicators Analysis: WMC Cipher B Divergences: Strong bullish divergence detected, suggesting upward momentum. RSI (14): Currently at 56.50, breaking above the neutral zone, indicating a reversal trend. Money Flow Index (MFI): Positive inflow, signaling increasing interest and potential accumulation. Stochastic (14,3,1): Overbought but still showing strength in the recovery phase. 📌 Conclusion: VLX has reached its lowest point and is forming a potential breakout from the descending channel. A break above $0.00749 will confirm a bullish trend. 🔥 Velas Ecosystem Updates & Growth Potential 🔥 💡 Major Developments in the Velas Ecosystem ✅ 1M VLX Tokens for Staking Rewards! Just last week, in collaboration with @AccumulatedFi, 1 million VLX tokens were allocated and distributed among $stVLX stakers, further boosting incentives for long-term holders. ✅ Subchains & Advanced Smart Contract Features Two weeks ago, Velas introduced a powerful devnet update, significantly improving scalability and efficiency: Hosting Subchains: New architecture supports subchains with an updated configuration (semi-compatible with geth init). Improved Subchain Management: More efficient program instructions, leading to faster and smoother blockchain operations. Mint/Burn Token Mechanism: Subchains now support a dynamic mint/burn token system, enabling more advanced DeFi applications and scalability solutions. ✅ New Devnet Release! 🚀 The Velas team isn't slowing down! They will release another devnet update, introducing: Internal Transaction Explorer: Users will be able to track internal blockchain transactions, enhancing transparency. Refined Documentation: Continuous improvements to the Velas Docs ensure seamless onboarding for developers. 🌟 The Road to Velas' Glory – ALEX ALEXANDROW & THE TEAM ARE DELIVERING! 🌟 The Velas team, led by Alex Alexandrow, is on a mission to bring Velas back to its well-deserved glory. With continuous groundbreaking updates, strategic partnerships, and enhanced scalability, Velas is proving itself as a top-tier blockchain project with unmatched potential. 🔥 With major innovations, growing adoption, and a rebounding market, Velas is positioned for a massive breakout! 🔥 #Velas #VLX #Crypto #Blockchain #DeFi #Web3 #Staking #Innovation #Trading #HODL 🚀
CRYPTO:VLXUSDLong
by elfabiiani
BTC dell 120.000$📊 BTCUSDT Analysis: Current Price: $102,859.06 Sell Zone: Near $120,000.00 (🟢 Major resistance) Support Zone: $77,777.00 (🛡️ Key level for potential rebound) 🚨 Signal: Bearish Scenario: If BTC reaches $120,000.00, it’s a sell opportunity 📉. Bullish Scenario: In a strong bull trend (📈), you can buy dips around $77,777.00 (🚀 support area). 💡 Strategy: Take profits near $120,000.00 🎯 if already holding BTC. Watch for entries at $77,777.00 🔍 if BTC retraces. 📈 Trend: Overall Bullish unless support at $93,175 or $77,777 breaks (🔻). 🔐 Risk Management: Stop-loss for buys: Below $73,316.18 (⚠️ Critical level). Let me know if you need further clarification or tailored strategies!
Long
by ehsancrypto72
CYCLE 4 | CME GAP: Bull Cycle Period First Major Pull Back?Quick post to address BTCs expected potential first major pull back into this bull run period... BULL MARKET PULL BACKS Historically, BTC during its bull market enjoys pull back which ranged from 15% to as much as 30%-40% in prior markets. This is essential for trader participants in the market to take profits, allow BTC to retest low levels and prove new heights are sustainable before ranging to new higher price levels. The first pull back historically for BTC post the start of the 'Bull Run' phase of BTCs 4 year cycle is traditionally the largest pull back opportunity and historically been the best short term buying opportunity in the Bull Run (NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE). We can expect a 30-40% correction for this pull back based on historic bull market period examples (Let me know in the comments below if you would like me to detail consistent price behaviour during BTC bull run periods in a future post). ARE WE AT THIS POINT NOW OF THE CYCLE? WHAT ARE THE INDICATORS SAYING? As highlighted by the RED arrow on the chart, a number of the indicators like to monitor on the weekly chat are suggesting bearish divergences and fading momentum exists with the current price action. This is calling for a cooling off period of the market. CME GAP Historically, BTC has had a tendency to want to 'close' open gap, created by weekend trading of BTC that does not align with equities that follow the traditional 'No Trading' over the weekend policy of Traditional Financial instruments. Hence crypto ETFs which align with these policies (such as the CME Futures chart as seen in this chart) can create 'GAP' between the open (Monday) and close (Friday) candles. To understand CME gaps, please take the time to review the details discussion in the earlier post. The orange BOX shows the below CME gap target that BTC price may range towards to close. NOTE: this box has been listed as Partially Closed as the open Monday candle of the gap did go below before rising during the weekly candle but did no dip past the close of the previous weekly candle. 21W EMA & 20W SMA Historically, a fully developed healthy bull market for BTC has required periodic retesting and holding of these moving averages. A close of the CME gap at this point of the market would also satisfy this historic trend for BTC. ORANGE TREND LINE Bears if eager to continue the 'close the CME gap' trend will need to convince the market by first exceeding the orange trend line. Currently this allows BTC to complete a 10 to 12% correction while also taking the price below the key psychological 100K price level, without phasing the bulls conviction to charger higher. * Holding the Orange Trend Line Scenario: we want to see price bounce and conviction from the bulls to push BTC to higher highs. The goal for Bears would be to achieve the measured move up to 180K. This would most potentially shorted the bull run (time prospective) and potentially cap our ATH for this cycle early; creating a distribution zone similar to the 2021 cycle top. * Breaking below the Orange Trend Line Scenario: If we break the Orange Trend Line then Bulls will concede ground to the MA levels (allowing the CME gap to also close). Bulls will write this off as a market reset and holding support at these levels will entice Traders to take positions needed to drive BTC up sustainably to the next higher level(s). Losing the MAs would ask serious questions to the intent of BULLs and the sustainability of the market moving forward this bull run.....
CME:BTC1!
by Brodie
Long Story short for BTCHistory hasn't failed yet, so the four-year cycle is still intact until it isn't. I have stretched this chart out for the next couple of years so that you can get a good idea of where the potential bottom will be during the next bear market. I plan to accumulate as much as possible the closer it gets to 66k. If we do reach a 150-250k top this cycle then I will expect a bear market bottom between 66-76k. Watch my levels and use them as a guideline. Historically Bitcoin has NEVER returned to the price its low during the US election week: 2012 Election Week Low - $10 2016 Election Week Low - $700 2020 Election Week Low - $13,200 2024 Election Week Low - $66,800 that brings us to now... if this doesn't indicate the current market sentiment then I don't know what will. There's a reason why many genius economists are speculating a 1 million dollar bitcoin in the next 8 years.
CAPITALCOM:BTCUSDLong
by RetiredNovice
Bitcoin Price Analysis / Cup and Handle BreakoutOn the weekly Bitcoin chart, we can see a cup and handle pattern, a classic bullish formation: Cup and Handle Formation: The price formed a rounded bottom (the cup) followed by a smaller consolidation dip (the handle). This pattern is a sign of long-term accumulation and typically signals a continuation of the uptrend after a breakout. Breakout: Bitcoin broke out of the handle’s resistance, confirming the bullish pattern. The breakout suggests strong buying pressure, pushing the price toward a new peak. Retest Zone: After the breakout, the price is testing the previous resistance (now support). A successful retest could confirm the breakout, setting the stage for another rally. Bitcoin Peak Target: The green arrow suggests a potential price peak if the retest holds and the trend continues upward. Peaks often align with historical halving cycles and market sentiment, so the upward channel could act as a guide for price discovery. Key Levels: Support: The lower yellow trendline. Resistance: The upper yellow trendline. A bounce from support would strengthen the bullish case, while a breakdown could signal a deeper correction.
Long
by Yassine_Houd
BTC, last Chance in this bull market?Hello everyone, the market was very challenging within the last weeks, because there had been many ways to count, which is the most difficult part of elliot wave analysis. The reason was, that the price was in a correction/ consolidation, which I assume has now finally ended. Trump accounced that they picket 5 coins for the strategic reserve: BTC ETH XRP SOL ADA This aligns very well to what people have waited for. If you believe in a finall bull run, these 5 could be part of your portfolio. I would also recommend to have a look at LINK and LTC, as they are performing quiet well.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Kyrean
Bitcoin's 2025 Price Action Mirrors 2017 - Is History Repeating?Bitcoin Halving & The Trump Factor: A Historical Parallel Bitcoin's price action in 2025 is eerily reminiscent of the post-halving rally of 2017. In both cases, BTC saw a prolonged accumulation phase before a massive markup period. What's even more intriguing is how macro-political events align: Trump was elected in November 2016 , just before BTC went parabolic in 2017, and once again, he's elected in November 2024 , right before Bitcoin enters its explosive post-halving markup phase. Could this be more than just coincidence? Accumulation Phase Ends – The Markup Begins From November 9, 2024 , to February 28, 2025 , Bitcoin was in a 107-day accumulation phase . This mirrors previous post-halving cycles, where BTC consolidates in the Green HPR band before entering the next stage. Now, it appears we are entering the Markup Phase, where I expect Bitcoin to rally towards $120K+ in the coming months. Applying the 2017 Cycle to 2025 The 2017 bull run followed a 59:156:360-day cycle (Accumulation → Markup → Distribution). Using the same ratio and expanding it for 2025, I’ve projected a 107:280:646-day cycle , where: ✅ 107 days Accumulation (Completed!) 📈 280 days Markup (Just Beginning!) 📉 646 days Distribution & Declining (Post-Top Phase) This fractal projection aligns well with historical price action, reinforcing the likelihood of Bitcoin repeating this structure. BitBo’s Rainbow Regression Chart Confirms the Setup Looking at BitBo’s Bitcoin Rainbow Halving Price Regression Chart , BTC briefly dipped into the blue band , just like in 2017’s first wave. However, in both cases, Bitcoin quickly recovered within days and launched into its Markup phase , which is exactly what we’re seeing now! 🔹 Key Takeaway: Bitcoin is following its historic halving cycle patterns, and if history continues to rhyme, the next 280 days could be a wild ride to six-figure BTC prices! 🚀 Don't forget, Patience is Paramount
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by PatienceIsParamount
UniversOfSignals | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #21Today, we're going to dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and the crucial crypto indices. I will review the significant futures triggers for today's New York session. The market conditions haven't changed much from yesterday and continue to range between 83,779 and 87,070. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, I've outlined the Fibonacci levels because it seems that the previous bearish leg has ended, and the market is ranging, preparing for either a trend reversal or the next bearish leg. 🔄 Yesterday, I mentioned that it appeared the price was pulling back to the SMA 99 and that if the trigger at 83,779 was breached, we could confirm a pullback to the SMA 99 from the market. As you see, this did not happen, and the trigger at 83,779 was not activated. 🔍 As observed, there is a cross between the SMA 99 and the SMA 25, which has led the market to start ranging. Currently, there's a very important PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) above the price, overlapping with the 0.5 Fibonacci zone and the resistance at 87,070. This makes it a critical area, and I suggest you stay behind the chart to see how the price reacts to this area. 🔽 If the price gets rejected from this area, we can take an early trigger for a short position, and if this area is breached, you can proceed to take a long position. However, be mindful that today is Sunday, and as you can see, the market volume has significantly decreased. This happens because the bearish leg has ended and the market is correcting, but also because it's Sunday and during weekends, market volume typically decreases. I recommend keeping an eye on risky positions such as the one at 87,070 during holidays or when the market volume is low. ⚡️ However, there are areas that are still good for opening positions even on holidays like Sunday when the market volume is low, such as the area at 83,779. In my opinion, this could cause the price to move towards its next bearish leg if this area is breached, so even if the market volume is low and it's a holiday, I think if this area is breached, significant selling volume will enter the market and for this reason, I try to keep a short position open if this area is broken. 💥 The RSI oscillator, as you see, has moved above the 50 area, and breaking this area could be a good momentum confirmation for opening a short position. If the RSI enters the oversell area, we can have momentum confirmation for the start of the next bearish leg. 👑 BTC.D Analysis As you can see, I had marked a trigger at 61.21 yesterday, which the price didn't manage to break convincingly, showing little respect for this area, so I have removed this line. Currently, it seems that Bitcoin dominance is ranging between 61.91 and 61.49, and I believe that sooner or later, the large box ranging from 60.48 to 62.19 will be broken. ✨ If this break is from above, Bitcoin dominance could even experience more bullish legs, increasing Bitcoin's dominance in the market. However, if dominance breaks from below and the market turns bullish, altcoins could perform very well. 🔼 The trigger for today's dominance is that if 60.91 is broken, we can confirm a bearish turn in dominance, and conversely, if 61.49 is broken, we can confirm a bullish turn. 📅 Total2 Analysis As you see, Total2 was supported from 1.01 and has moved upwards to 1.09, where it is currently being rejected. The SMA 99 in Total2 has also reached the price, and the price has reacted to it. 📉 We have a very risky trigger for a short position on Total2, which is the break of 1.06; this position is very risky and can be opened as a scalp in lower timeframes.The primary target I can consider for this position will be the area of 1.01. 📅 USDT.D Analysis As you observe, Tether's dominance was rejected from 5.21 and could not stabilize above this area, creating a very small ranging box between 5.08 and 5.21. Currently, it's near the area of 5.08, and if this area is broken, dominance could drop to 4.92. 🎲 This drop would likely boost the market upwards, and if this area is broken, depending on Bitcoin's dominance, you can decide to open positions on altcoins or Bitcoin. 💫 Conversely, if dominance is supported from this area and moves towards 5.22, and if this area is broken, you can open short positions on altcoins or Bitcoin. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
by UNIVERSOFSIGNALS
Is it still a bull market? Or are we already in a bear market?If it's still a bull market, what phase are we in? Of course, President Trump has complicated all this, as he is taking political and economic steps to stabilize the American economy. For example, the tariffs that he uses as a tool to achieve his goals faster. In other words, in trading terms, leverage. With those tariffs, he turned on the x100 lever and achieved in 2 days what could have taken several years to negotiate. And maybe another president wouldn't have succeeded at all. Of course, this has a negative impact on the market, as investors don't know what to expect from the market. That's why they are withdrawing their money from the market in general. The same applies to the stock market. Since America is the strongest economy in the world at the moment, this is also reflected in the world markets in general. Of course, crypto is taking the most of this, as it is a relatively young market and is still perceived as very risky. We are in a bull market phase, where we should be growing. But we are not growing because of such a strong fundamental. On the contrary, the market is bleeding. That's why everyone is arguing about whether we are still in a bull market. When I look at the Bitcoin chart, it seems to me that we are probably not in a bull market anymore.
by kryptometal_kryptosvet