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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)

Bullish tendency is broken 101-102K for sellingMorning folks, So, BTC was not able to stay above predefined support area and drop right back to the daily 92-95K level. It means that existing bullish context on daily chart is done. In general, this is reasonable - we're going to the Xmas Holidays and inauguration. There are a lot of uncertainty with coming D. Trump policy. Especially when JPowell said that the Fed doesn't intend to own any BTC... so inner conflict is ready. So, retracement might be deeper in nearest month. Since BTC is overextended down a bit, the first thing we expect upside technical bounce, somewhere to 101-102K area. Then, if we're correct in our analysis, downside reversal should happen with potential H&S pattern.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Sive-Morten
Bitcoin - Bitcoin went below $100,000!Bitcoin is below the EMA50 and EMA200 in the four-hour time frame and is trading in its ascending channel. Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk OFF sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. Bitcoin sell positions can be looked for in supply zones. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. Following hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, Bitcoin (BTC) plummeted from its peak of $108,135 on December 17 to below $95,000. Powell’s comments, which signaled the Fed’s ongoing battle against inflation, triggered a sharp selloff in the cryptocurrency market. He indicated that only two interest rate cuts might occur in 2025, as opposed to the four cuts previously anticipated. Additionally, the Federal Reserve revised its 2025 inflation forecast from 2.1% to 2.5%. Even the 2026 forecast stands at 2.1%, exceeding the central bank’s 2% target. This suggests that inflation could persist for another two years, compelling the Fed to keep interest rates elevated for longer than initially projected. Bitcoin ETFs, after experiencing 15 consecutive days of capital inflows, saw an unprecedented $680 million outflow on Thursday. This trend continued into Friday, with an additional $270 million withdrawn. Cryptocurrency investors, reacting to the Fed’s decision to slow monetary easing next year, moved substantial capital out of the market. In the United States, Bitcoin ETFs have surpassed gold ETFs in assets under management (AUM). Despite gold ETFs’ 20-year history, Bitcoin ETFs now manage $129.3 billion, compared to $128.9 billion for gold ETFs. MicroStrategy, a company renowned for its massive Bitcoin holdings, successfully entered the Nasdaq index. With 439,000 Bitcoins valued at $42.64 billion, the company controls approximately 2% of the total Bitcoin supply. This milestone highlights MicroStrategy’s strong position in the Bitcoin market and has boosted its stock price (MSTR) to $364.20. The company’s innovative strategy of leveraging Bitcoin as a growth asset showcases a unique approach in the financial world. Bitcoin’s volatility has steadily decreased in recent years. By October 2024, its monthly volatility had dropped to 11%, lower than that of high-profile tech stocks like Tesla (24%), AMD (16%), and Nvidia (12%). Arthur Hayes, the former CEO of BitMEX, recently shared his outlook on the cryptocurrency market. He predicted a “horrific collapse” around the inauguration of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump on January 20, 2025. Hayes wrote, “The market believes Trump and his team can deliver immediate economic and political miracles,” but pointed to a gap between investor expectations and the “absence of quick, viable policy solutions.” Hayes forecasted that implementing changes to cryptocurrency policies would likely take far longer than the market anticipates. He added, “The market will soon realize that Trump, at best, has only a year to execute any policy changes in or around January 20. This realization will trigger a massive selloff in cryptocurrencies and other Trump-related trades.” He also predicted that a “steep decline” would occur around Trump’s inauguration day, followed by a “crack-up boom phase” in late 2025. This phase, typically seen after financial crises, is characterized by rapid price increases, high inflation, and financial instability.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
DAY 3 - Daily BTC UpdateBitcoin must hold the key support level of $92,300 to maintain its bullish outlook and validate the Dragonfly Doji pattern on the daily timeframe. There is conflicting data, with momentum indicating increasing selling pressure, reflected in the formation of lower highs on the daily chart, but the STOCH RSI has bottomed. Bitcoin’s hash rate—the computational power used to mine and process transactions—has risen by 5.48% to 830.78 EH/s, showcasing stronger network security and processing power. Despite this, mining difficulty remains unchanged at 108.52 T, suggesting that while miners are contributing more power, the effort required to mine a block has not yet been adjusted. The Crypto Greed and Fear Index currently stands at 70, indicating market greed. While this sentiment suggests confidence, it could also signal caution as investors may pull back from further price increases after the recent decline. The total cryptocurrency market cap has dropped by approximately 2.9%, with Bitcoin dominance slightly decreasing to 55.1%, reflecting minor shifts in market dynamics. In trading, long liquidations have surged, with over $38 million in Bitcoin long positions liquidated within four hours. This sharp move signals a potential bearish turn, driven by traders taking profits or reacting to external pressures. Despite this, declining trading volume suggests fewer sellers in the market, which could hint at stabilisation or a potential reversal. On-chain data provides a more optimistic perspective. Whale accumulation has increased, and exchange liquidity inventory ratios have declined, signalling that large holders are likely accumulating Bitcoin for longer-term gains or anticipating a price recovery. Moreover, exchange reserves are decreasing, reducing the immediate supply of Bitcoin available for sale. This dynamic supports a potential price rebound if current trends persist. The past 24 hours have been volatile, with Bitcoin leaning bearish in the short term. However, the underlying on-chain metrics—such as whale activity and reduced exchange reserves—suggest that bullish investors still have hope. A buy-the-dip opportunity may arise if Bitcoin forms a higher low in the coming sessions, potentially paving the way for a recovery. I am still Buying the Dips :) PS there were a few more images on the in group update - but not allowed under Trading View Rules - Sorry :(
by LisaNEdwards
Bitcoin Mid TermFirst Impression: The BTC/USD pair appears to have dropped below the $95,000 level and is under selling pressure. Strong support levels are evident in lower regions. The price is retracing toward levels that previously acted as support during bullish moves. Volume Analysis: No notable increase in volume is observed on the chart. This could indicate that the current downward move is a low-volume correction or that the market is indecisive. However, if volume increases, the likelihood of the downtrend continuing may rise. Price Action: The price is trading around $94,000, showing downward movement. Below, key support levels are visible near $90,700, $88,000, and $85,000. These levels have historically been areas where strong buyers stepped in, making them potential zones for price reactions. Positive Scenario: If the price holds at $94,000 and starts a recovery move, it could climb back above $95,000. In this case, $97,500 would be the first target. Sustained movement above this level could push the price back toward the psychological resistance at $100,000. Negative Scenario: If the price drops below $94,000, a decline toward $90,700 becomes more likely. A break below this support level could lead to further declines to $88,000 and then $85,000. This scenario would indicate continued selling pressure. High Probability: Given current market conditions, it is highly probable that the price consolidates between $90,700 and $94,000 for some time. The balance of buyers and sellers in this zone will determine the direction of the next trend. Overall: The BTC/USD pair is trading near a critical support zone. The $94,000 level should be closely monitored; a drop below this level could drive the price toward lower supports. For upward recoveries, $95,000 and $97,500 are the first resistance levels to watch. Strategies should be adjusted based on volume and price action.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by CryptoSignalAPP
Whether it can be supported and rise around 92K-93.5K is the key Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1W chart) What we need to look at is whether it can touch the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1W chart) indicator and rise. When a new candle is created, it is expected to pass around 83.6K. Accordingly, the point of interest is whether it will meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart around 87.8K-89K. The reason is that the StochRSI indicator is showing a downward trend from the 100 point, and if a new candle is created, it is expected to change to a state where StochRSI < StochRSI EMA. Since the StochRSI indicator is still in the overbought zone, it is likely to rise after receiving support around 92K-93.5K. - (1D chart) The next volatility period is around December 17 (December 16-18). Therefore, the key is how it will look after this volatility period. It is currently showing a short-term downtrend, but looking at the overall picture, it is ambiguous to say that it has yet to break out of the sideways zone, so the key is whether it falls below 90586.92. - Therefore, we need to check whether it can rise above 95904.28. If not, it is expected to touch around 92K-93.5K. In order to turn into a short-term uptrend, it needs to rise above 97821.5-98892.0 to be supported. Since the Momentum indicator is showing a low, it may lead to an additional decline. You can see that the Body color of the candle changed to red from the December 20 candle. This is because the OBV fell below the midpoint. Therefore, if the Body color of the candle changes back to Green, it can be seen as a buying period. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. It is up to you how to view and respond to it. Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role. The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci. Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies. 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto
Bitcoin: Time To Remove The Party Hats?Bitcoin may be on the verge of compromising the 90K support which I will interpret as a sign that the next broader corrective cycle MAY be beginning (Wave (IV)). IF this is the case, you can remove your Bitcoin 200K party hats for at least a YEAR or two. Gold had a similar outcome a few years back and persisted in a consolidation for two years before it broke out. A corrective cycle does NOT mean Bitcoin is going back to 50K (anything is possible though). It just means a prolonged consolidation may be on the horizon which will provide swing trade and investment opportunities for those who know what to WAIT for. The arrow on the chart points to the 92K support that is in play at the moment. At as long as 90K is not broken, I anticipate at least one more attempt to test the high. This short term up leg is likely to test the 100K area. IF the higher high (break of 108) does not culminate from the next price advance, then it would be wise to reduce risk, lock in profits and LOWER expectations until bullish short term price structure can rebuild itself. IF 90K is broken, the next inflection point on this time frame is the 86K area. Great profit objective for those bold enough to short this thing. If 86K is cleared, then its the low 80K area. Again this is one scenario of countless, the key is confirming the price action that supports this possibility, NOT to expect it. This is NOT a forecasting game, it is a interpreting and adjusting game. With the major holiday week on the horizon, it would be best NOT to expect a LOT of action. Volume typically declines, and movements become very muted or you can get slow grinds that just stubbornly persist to some key level. Either way, it is usually best to avoid such markets, ESPECIALLY if you look at smaller time frames. As far the the highs at 108K, anyone that bought anywhere above 100K is NOW at the mercy of the market. This is why I always warn my followers about buying into highs. Chances are you won't take your profits when the peak unfolds because you won't know its the peak until WAY after the fact. When I hear about people who have NO idea what Bitcoin is, now interested in "investing" in it, that screams THE PARTY IS OVER, for now. The best times to get in are usually when no one is paying attention, and for Bitcoin and the alt coins, that seems to take about a year or two from the peak. If you can't take the heat, don't play with fire (or Bitcoin). Thank for you considering y analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
18
Ethereum to 10KMy estimate is that Ethereum will drop more in the short term along with the altcoin market as a whole, towards some form of a liquidity sweep of the lows (yellow, because it is the next support area) before reclaiming the macro range eq (green). If this happens, I'd expect a consolidation near the range highs (Red), otherwise if it becomes an expedited recovery then we straight push all time high (very possible). This is ESPECIALLY expedited if we recover the EQ faster than this chart suggests. This is not a chart to display my time-prediction, but rather the structure of price I would predict on a macro scale which could easily be translated into a weekly timeframe. Question is, how low can we get involved for? I think we are short on time for that, as this prediction would give us traders more time than likely warranted. Remembering, we could be due for weeks of consolidation, therefore I personally DCA every chance I get; dollar cost average. If you compare this chart to, say, Bitcoin in 2016, the similarities are surreal. This is a macro (long time frame) consolidation before a major, major , expansion, in my opinion. Trade safely, trade wisely. Vatsik
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by cryptovatsik
BTC correcting, This isn't a crash smmfhCrash talk🫠 Talk of manipulation and fake outs should have been anticipated weeks ago. Markets refusing to react appropriately after consecutive weeks of high cpi readings and then a super hawkish Jerome Powell speech was crazy work. Bitcoin is still in bull territory for this consolidation range. 🫠 Many are calling crash already, lol. A 20% correction would be at 86k which is where the bottom of the consolidation is at on daily timeframe. That wouldn't even be considered a crash as 20% is normal for btc in bull environments. Areas of interets: Bullish mitigation block (the gray rectangle). Vwap: (green)Anchored below the Nov. 5th trump pump candle which is being tested 50 ema: (dark blue ema) being tested for first time on daily time frame 💡I also anchored a volume profile at the Nov. 5th trump pump and value area low also coincidences with the areas of interest. 💡Daily stochastic is oversold riding the floor and the daily rsi is below 50 with chance of making bullish divergences with prior lows
Long
by CryptoFuze
2
Bitcoin Analysis: December 23, 2024 - Consolidation or Rebound?Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis for today. Weekly Chart Analysis Looking at the Bitcoin weekly chart, we can identify two main yellow box zones that represent Bitcoin’s historical trading frames. Currently, in the blue box zone, Bitcoin has moved into a new frame. Examining the weekly candles, we see that the current red candle is engulfing the previous week’s green candle. As the weekly close approaches in just a few hours, it is highly likely that this bearish engulfing candle signals a consolidation phase within the frame. If we look at the green box, a similar scenario occurred in the past: after a new high was reached within the previous frame, a bearish candle emerged, followed by approximately 9 months of sideways movement. While it is unclear how long the current frame will last, the appearance of this week's red candle is not a particularly optimistic signal for future bullish momentum. The red box, which has provided support since November 2024, becomes critical. A breakdown below this zone could signify a breach of approximately five weeks of sustained support, increasing the likelihood of retesting the weekly 20-MA or even breaking below it. However, since the red box zone has not yet been decisively breached, it is still possible for Bitcoin to move sideways within the current frame. For those holding long positions, there is no immediate cause for alarm unless the price breaks below 89,400 or fails to hold the support of the weekly 20-MA. If either of these scenarios occurs, it may signal a trend reversal. Keep this in mind as you approach your trades. Daily Chart Analysis The key level to watch on the daily chart is 89,400, which coincides with the entry zone for the Ichimoku Cloud. Since November, Bitcoin has not encountered significant resistance around the daily 20-MA. However, the recent resistance at this level suggests a weakening of bullish momentum. At this point, it’s crucial to determine whether Bitcoin will: Receive support and rebound above the key levels, or Retrace further to 73,800, which was the previous frame’s entry level, and test the short-term ascending trendline. 4-Hour Chart Analysis To confirm a rebound, Bitcoin must first establish a solid foothold above the 4-hour 20-MA. Although there was a brief attempt to break above the 20-MA on December 20, 2024, Bitcoin failed to sustain its position, leading to further corrections. This indicates that surpassing the 20-MA remains a priority before addressing resistance levels. The second critical level to monitor is 99,485, which currently serves as a resistance zone. A breakout above this level would indicate diminishing selling pressure. This would also confirm the current frame's significance as Bitcoin potentially targets the next key resistance near 109,000. Conclusion Is the market overheating, or is a rebound on the horizon? Despite years of observing charts, the emergence of new wealth in this market suggests we are experiencing unique dynamics. Opportunities always arise during cycles, but entering the market during periods of rapid growth often results in losses rather than gains. Sometimes, waiting can be the best strategy. I’ll continue to provide analyses to help guide your trading decisions. Please follow me for more insights!
by Greedy_allday
BTC/USDT: Breaking Free from a Descending Broadening WedgePattern Breakdown: Descending Broadening Wedge: Characterized by lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), this pattern reflects increasing volatility and a potential exhaustion of selling pressure. Historically, these patterns often resolve to the upside as buyers reclaim control. -------------------------------------- Current Structure: BTC has bounced from the lower boundary of the wedge, showing signs of a bullish reversal. The price action aligns well with the theoretical breakout strategy depicted in the diagram, highlighting a high-probability long setup. -------------------------------------- Key Levels to Watch: Immediate Resistance: The upper boundary of the wedge around $98,000 serves as the first hurdle. Breakout Target: A successful breakout above $98,000 could push BTC toward the highlighted supply zone at $101,200-$102,000. Support Levels: Critical support rests near $93,500, where bulls need to maintain control to preserve the bullish outlook. -------------------------------------- Momentum Indicators: Volume: A noticeable decline during the wedge's formation suggests consolidation, often preceding a strong breakout. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is turning upward from oversold levels, signaling increasing buying pressure. -------------------------------------- Trade Setup: Entry: Watch for a confirmed breakout above $98,000. Targets: The first target lies at $101,200, with the potential for further upside toward $105,000 if momentum sustains. Stop Loss: A break below $93,500 invalidates the bullish scenario.
Long
by melikatrader94
15
Bitcoin BEARISH 4 Hour Chart - Trend Line Support BrokeBitcoin has broke down through an important trend line support level on the 4 hour chart. It is currently in the process of re-testing the line before a continuation down again. It's possible that Bitcoin may gain short-term up to around $100000 before the re-testing is complete. Or it may just start falling like a rock before then. The trend line was tested multiple times and is a reliable signal of what is to come. This also agrees with my analysis on the weekly chart too. Both charts indicate a potential drop for Bitcoin to around $75000. Please note: this is a crazy world and anything could happen, but this is my analysis based solely on the chart. I would say the same if it were corn, copper, or whatever else. Be cautious buying Bitcoin anytime soon based solely on hype! As I said above, it could gain short term to re-test the line which is now resistance, but it will probably be short-lived.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by EACoders
1
TRX Perfect Bat Harmonic, Complex Correction, Double BottomTRX has created several simultaneous buy signals here. First we have the perfect bat harmonic, then we have wisemen on multiple timeframes, in a grey zone on the 4hr, perfect double bottom breaking all lows expect the final low, short-term momentum divergences, and a solid diametric count with at least 5 of 7 waves being time similar. All of these signs are pointing to a bottom forming right now, meaning the lows should not be violated and TRX will go to all time highs from here. If we do make new lows it is probably a good idea to stop and reverse, and look for a new potential bottom. For now, all signs are pointing up, especially the longer-term count which has us beginning a supercycle this quarter.
CRYPTO:TRXUSDLong
by Intuit
2
BTC - This Christmas is NOT different!Hello TradingView Family, this is Richard, and I want to wish you all a Merry Christmas. I hope you enjoy this Christmas-themed idea.🎄 💡Can you spot a pattern here? As shown in my last two Christmas posts (attached to the chart), BTC broke out of consolidation and surged by around 70%.📈 I believe this Christmas will be no different. For the next bullish wave to begin, a break above the orange zone is needed, which aligns perfectly with the $100,000 round number. What do you think? Will this Christmas follow the structure of the past two years, or will it be different and lead to a deeper correction⁉️ 📚Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. And Remember: All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! Merry Christmas Everyone 🎄 ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
49
Bitcoin Breakdown, Pi Cycle Top Projections, and USDT.D UpdateIn this video I break down what I'm seeing with Bitcoin and the possibility for an even deeper correction into the Green Buy-Block zones. I also revsit my Fibonacci projections for this cycle, with initial targets of up to $150k and ulitmately a $200k high target based on the 3.618 Fib retracement projection. There's confluence with these targets using the measured moves from the recent Bull Flag breakout as well. The BIG question is, where do we go from here? Here we check out the Pi Cycle Top indicator, and I make some potential projections... And propose the idea of a dual-cycle top, like we saw in 2013. It makes sense, that we see a Jan / February pump to new highs, followed by a recessionary bust in Q2 (March) into the summer and potentially into Q3. But then rally strongly up from there in Q4 as Oct, November and December are typically very bullish in a 4 year cycle. Either way, I think $200k is the cycle top, if we can get there. The USDT.D study has also been updated, to show 'sticky' support here on the lower trendline, allowing BTC to push higher again above $100k and even rally higher per above. But then we'll likely see a reversion to the mean, with the USDT.D and Total Market Cap / Bitcoin prices. Check out the video, and share some love with a Like, Comment, and Share. Best to luck to everyone! - Brett
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by BrettFogle
3
$BTC - Crucial Level We got a nice absorption into 92k, price rebounded with bullish flows in equities this brought back the passive buyer behind price. So far, we're holding 96k during the weekend, however, weekly close will be a tell-tell as we need to get above m_rvwap We're now rejecting at 98.5k and if we can't get above our m_rvwap , higher chance we'll slow bleed until 88k to 86k. 98.5k is a crucial level to reclaim in the short term, else, will consider this as bearish retest.
by Tealstreet
Has BITCOIN reached its maximum and is a bear market coming?To make a prediction about Bitcoin’s next rally based on historical patterns, we should first examine the overall trends and how these increases and decreases have evolved in percentage terms. Data observations: 337,000% increase -> 93% decrease Massive increase, followed by a steep correction. 61,000% increase -> 86% decrease Significant increase, but smaller than the first, and the decline was still close in percentage terms. 11,000% increase -> 84% decrease Smaller increase, the decline remains large, but slightly milder. 2,000% increase -> 77% decrease Significantly smaller increase compared to previous cycles, and the decline continued to moderate. Observing a descending pattern: The increases seem to be getting smaller and smaller with each cycle, and the decreases also tend to be less severe. This shows diminishing returns on increases and a reduction in market volatility. Estimate for the next increase: Given this pattern, the next percentage increase could be significantly smaller than the last one (2,000%). If we apply a progressive reduction coefficient, as was the case in previous cycles, the increase could be around: ~300%-500%. This would mean a maximum increase of 5x from the low of the last cycle, and currently we have an increase of over 600%, that is, 6x. Is this ATH in this bull market? To estimate the duration of the next Bitcoin uptrend, we can analyze how the duration of these uptrend cycles has evolved over time: Historical data: 240 days 730 days 850 days 1050 days Notes: The increase in duration between cycles is not uniform, but follows a general trend of extending duration. The duration increase intervals were: From 240 -> 730: +490 days From 730 -> 850: +120 days From 850 -> 1050: +200 days Analysis: The duration extension appears to be accelerating moderately, with an irregular but generally increasing trend. If this pattern continues, the next cycle could add between 200 and 300 days to the previous duration (1050 days). Estimate: The duration of the next cycle could be: ~1250-1350 days. This estimate corresponds to a natural extension of Bitcoin cycles, reflecting wider adoption and lower volatility as the market becomes more mature.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Smaryo3001
4