BTC - 15m Scalp OpportunityCOINBASE:BTCUSD is consolidating within a narrow range, and a breakout could trigger a strong move. Given the sharp drop yesterday, this ascending channel may act as a bearish flag, signaling a potential continuation of the downtrend.
If BTC loses support, expect another significant fall. Watching for a breakdown confirmation!
📉 Stay alert for price action signals!
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BITCOIN Rebounded on a Double Support. Will it continue higher?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) experienced a sharp sell-off yesterday following the DeepSeek news but managed to recover more than 50% of the losses as it rebounded on the Double Support level.
The obvious level that catches your eye is the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) which was tested for the first time in 12 days. The second is the Pivot trend-line, which was formerly a Lower Highs trend-line initiating from the December 17 2024 All Time High (ATH).
At the same time, it almost touched the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of January's Channel Up. Technically that is similar with December's Channel Up, which also had a Pivot trend-line test that delivered a rebound and a Higher High to the December 17 ATH.
As a result, if the price breaks above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), we expect a Higher High (new ATH), on a minimum 112000 estimate. If the price gets rejected on the 4H MA50 however, we expect a Double Bottom test of the 98000 level (or slightly below), similar to those of December 23 and January 13.
The reason that both scenarios are plausible is the fact that they both got their 4H RSI oversold (<30.00) and then rebounded.
The above show that even in the event of a 96000 Low, BTC is a buy even on the current levels, as once again we are closer to the technical bottom than the Cycle's Top. The technical upside remains enormous in 2025.
So which scenario do you think will prevail? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin (BTC): Bitcoin Recovering The FVGs!!Bitcoin made a quick liquidity grab thanks to the news surrounding the deepseek.
The move we had was aggressive, which led the price to the local support zone where buyers showed dominance and now we are reclaiming a few gaps on the upper zones.
Straigh to the point, we want to see more blood on the markets; we do not think this was. Yes, we had a good liquidation move, but for a healthy bull run that we are looking for, we need a further drop to take out more liquidity from markets. $91K would be a decent zone for this!
Swallow Team
Bitcoin's Bullish Breakout: Targeting $126,500!
Introduction: Bitcoin (BTC) has recently experienced a significant price surge, reaching new heights. For those new to cryptocurrency trading, understanding this movement is crucial. In this post, we'll break down the current BTC price action and discuss potential trading strategies.
Current BTC Price: As of now, Bitcoin is trading at $101,254.00 USD.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Level: $94,500 USD
Resistance Level: $105,000 USD
Market Sentiment: The market is currently bullish, with increased trading volume and positive news surrounding Bitcoin's adoption.
Potential Price Target: Based on the "Cup and Handle" pattern, a technical analysis chart pattern, the projected price target for Bitcoin is $126,500 USD.
Trading Strategy for Beginners:
1. Entry Point: Consider entering a long position if the price retraces to the $94,500 support level.
2. Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss just below the $92,000 level to manage risk.
3. Take-Profit: Aim for a take-profit at the $126,500 target.
Important Note: Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. It's essential to conduct thorough research and only invest funds you can afford to lose.
Conclusion: Bitcoin's recent price action presents potential trading opportunities. By understanding key levels and technical indicators, beginners can navigate the market more effectively. Always remember to trade responsibly and stay informed.
Let's Discuss! What are your thoughts on Bitcoin's current price action? Do you agree with the projected target of $126,500? Share your insights and let's engage in a constructive discussion!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
By inviting readers to share their thoughts and engage in a discussion, you can foster a more interactive environment and encourage traders to participate in the comments section.
BTC/USD Local work. Clamping 2.37%/18 days. Stop-Loss zonesLogarithm. Time frame 1 day. Local trend.
Clamping the price in a narrow range of 2.37% for 18 days. Stop-Loss zones (market fuel), due to which the impulse will occur, was shown on the chart. Previously showed more than once such trading situations and their solutions, the sense of such manipulation in such zones. I will not repeat it.
In your work to observe the risk management, it is advisable not to work with large leverage because there can be significant volatility in both directions. Instead of a logical profit in the trend, you will get a loss on the spot.
237/18
A line chart to understand the trend direction of this zone.
The previous idea of a secondary trend of two months ago, which shows this zone 1618 0
BTC/USD Secondary trend. Double bottom zone.
The main bitcoin trend (almost all of it). The time frame is 1 month.
BTC/USD Main trend. Cycles. Halving BTC. Surrender zones.
This idea of a long-term trend shows capitulation zones in secondary trends and the percentage of price decrease from the highs. Bitcoin's halving. Cyclicality. Note that unlike past cycles, the price has been under the uptrend line zone for a very long time.
TRUMP | Donald Trump signs RADICAL Crypto Executive OrderPOTUS Donald Trump has issued an executive order aimed at creating a streamlined regulatory framework for digital assets, with a focus on cryptocurrencies.
One of the key elements of the order is the creation of a National Digital Asset Stockpile. This initiative is intended to establish a strategic reserve of digital assets to enhance economic security and encourage innovation in the sector. Additionally, the order calls for the formation of a specialized working group to develop a federal regulatory framework for digital assets, including stablecoins. This group will be led by David Sacks, the White House's AI and Crypto Czar, and will include senior officials from the Treasury, the U.S. SEC, and other key agencies.
Notably, the executive order explicitly bans federal agencies from initiating or supporting the development of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), maintaining a focus on decentralized cryptocurrencies. The creation of the Presidential Working Group on Digital Assets is expected to significantly influence the future of cryptocurrencies, NFTs, stablecoins, and other blockchain technologies.
The order also reverses previous directives from the prior administration that hindered innovation in digital assets. These outdated frameworks had prompted many U.S.-based crypto companies to relocate to more favorable jurisdictions, such as the UAE or Singapore.
President Trump's recent executive order is likely to have significant effects on both Bitcoin and Trumpcoin.
Bitcoin:
This pro-crypto stance including the establishment of a National Digital Asset Stockpile and the creation of a federal regulatory framework, could encourage investor confidence in Bitcoin. This supportive regulatory environment may lead to increased institutional adoption and public trust, potentially driving Bitcoin's price higher. However, the market's reaction has been mixed and we're not seeing an immediate result reflecting in the price just yet.
Trumpcoin:
Trumpcoin could experience heightened interest due to the executive order. The administration's favorable view on digital assets might attract investors to Trumpcoin, anticipating that it will benefit from increased visibility and potential use cases.
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BINANCE:TRUMPUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Gold XAUUSD | SELL After Elliot's 5-WaveWave Analysis:
Wave 1 (Initial Upswing):
Price moved from 2661 to 2723, marking the start of the bullish trend.
This wave is typically smaller as the market begins to establish direction.
Wave 2 (Correction):
A corrective pullback, retracing part of Wave 1.
Price moved down but respected the Fibonacci retracement zone (likely between 50% and 61.8%).
Wave 3 (Strong Upswing):
The strongest and most extended wave, moving from 2695 to 2759.
This wave aligns with higher momentum, reflecting a surge in bullish sentiment.
Wave 4 (Consolidation):
A sideways or shallow pullback, correcting Wave 3.
This wave is less aggressive than Wave 2, often reflecting profit-taking and market indecision.
Wave 5 (Final Push):
The last leg of the upward impulse, with prices rising from 2743 to 2786.
Momentum begins to weaken, and divergences on indicators like RSI or MACD might appear, suggesting exhaustion of the trend.
Current Market Outlook:
Trend Exhaustion:
The completion of Wave 5 at 2786 suggests that the bullish trend is nearing its end. The possibility of a trend reversal or a corrective move downward is high.
Potential Correction:
After the completion of the impulsive wave, an A-B-C corrective structure is likely to unfold.
Wave A could lead to an initial sell-off.
Wave B might be a temporary rebound or retracement.
Wave C would finalize the correction, potentially testing the 2661 level (Wave 1 origin).
Key Support Levels:
2743 (Wave 5 origin): The first major support.
2695 (Wave 3 origin): The second support level to watch for.
2661: A full retracement target if the correction deepens.
Resistance:
2786 (Wave 5 high) remains the key resistance level. A break above this might indicate an extension of the bullish trend.
Trading Signal:
Sell Entry: Upon confirmation of a break below 2743.
Targets:
First Target: 2710 (Wave 4 area).
Second Target: 2695 (Wave 3 origin).
Third Target: 2661 (Wave 1 origin).
Stop-Loss: Above 2786 to avoid risk from a potential upward extension.
Alternate Scenario:
If prices break and sustain above 2786, it could indicate the continuation of the bullish trend. Look for further upside toward 2800–2820.
Conclusion:
Gold appears to have completed its five-wave impulsive structure. The next likely scenario is a corrective A-B-C wave formation or a trend reversal. Monitor key levels and confirmation signals before executing trades.
Bitcoin - 4H let's understand the where we are!Following the USA election, the crypto market experienced a significant rally, seemingly pricing in expectations around the Inauguration of Donald Trump. As the market has likely anticipated much of the impact from potential upcoming policies, we could see oscillations between sharp rises and falls in the coming days. A downward correction appears more probable as the immediate effects seem baked into current prices.
Technical Analysis: BINANCE:BTCUSDT broke out of a trading range, achieving its target with a ~9% rise, equivalent to the range's height.
The price hunted liquidity above the previous highs, which reinforces the possibility of a fall.
A decline from the current zone is likely, with key support zones highlighted on the chart.
📈 Watch for reaction near $102,600 and $100,100 zones.
💬 Like, follow, and comment for more timely market insights! 🚀
BTC - 1H Buy OpportunityBINANCE:BTCUSDT has been consolidating in a trading range for the past two days. As seen on the heat map, the price hunted liquidity below the range, making a strong case for a reversal. Now, BTC could target the liquidity above the trading range, which is spread across two key zones.
This setup indicates a bullish opportunity as the market moves toward these liquidity areas. Watch for price action confirmation and manage risk carefully when taking long positions.
Stay tuned for updates and trade wisely! 🚀
BTC: broadening wedge or channel retest? Bullish or bearish?There are three possible patterns in formation right now, two of the which would be bullish and one bearish. I'm not 100% on which one I'd pick so I'll present here the three cases.
right-angled broadening wedge (the bullish case):
- check the following links www.forex-central.net and www.centralcharts.com
In this case we should expect a dump to the 86K levels and then a bounce back to breakout and push price to 125K:
right-angled broadening wedge (the bearish case): see the previous links for the examples. In this case the wedge support wouldn't hold breaking down and bringing price to the 75K area. Notice that the upper resistance of the wedge shows alsoa double top which is a very bearish pattern:
descending channel retest: for this case I've used the coinbase's chart, it's just because the chart is less messy. As you can see the break out happened already days ago and this could be the retest of the previous R. This is a bullish case that would make price bounce to 109K
At the moment I don't know where to lean because my gut says market are overreacting to this AI fuss so I stay open to any possibility and I'm not doing any margin trade, just buying what I think has potential.
Good luck
Bitcoin TA Alert: Perfect $97K Long Setup Incoming?Bitcoin remains range-bound between $107K and $100K as we approach the weekend. Let’s break down the current key levels and trade setups based on the data available.
Support and Long Setup
The GETTEX:97K level emerges as a strong support zone for a long trade setup:
0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low to high aligns perfectly at GETTEX:97K
The POC (Point of Control) from the 70-day trading range also sits at this level, adding confluence
If the price reaches GETTEX:97K by Sunday or Monday, the trendline support will further strengthen this zone
A laddered long position can be placed around GETTEX:97K , with:
Stop-loss: Below $93K
Take Profit: around $113K
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 4:1 - an attractive trade setup
Resistance and Short Setup
For the short trade setup, the current price around $106K offers an opportunity:
Enter a short trade targeting the GETTEX:97K level
Stop-loss: Above the all-time high (ATH) at $107K
Take Profit (TP): GETTEX:97K
R:R: 2:1 - reasonable given the tight risk management
27/01/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $109,555.48
Last weeks low: $99,643.66
Midpoint: $104,599.57
A new Bitcoin ATH as President Trumps second term officially begins! Just shy of $110K with a much tighter range of $10k from range low to high leaves Bitcoin in a very interesting place going into what has been called the first "pro-crypto" administration.
Now the weekly close is an interesting one as there is a clear sell-off that has continued at time of writing bringing the price down below the weekly low. This has been a common theme in recent weeks as either a bearish SFP of the weekly high early in the week resulting in a sell-off for the remaining days. Or the opposite were a sweep of the weekly low early on results in a recover rally for the rest of the week. As of right now the later is in play but what is causing this sell-off this time?
The AI issue:
The recent headlines have been that the US wants to win the AI war and be the dominant force in what is possibly the most important product of the future. OpenAI, Grok, Meta etc all have AI products and services and the US government hope that by backing these companies the US can be the victors of this race. However, the game has changed with the release of "DeepSeek R1" a chinese AI competitor with some remarkable attributes that has the US stock market very worried as reflected in the pre-market.
DeepSeek R1 was reportedly built for $6m, now this is a Chinese company and therefor any numbers should be taken with a pinch of salt but OpenAI has raised $17.9B for ChatGPT and many now see DeepSeek as a superior product in many ways:
- Less GPU intensive due to a more efficient and streamlined model, this is mainly why NVIDIA pre-market is down 11% at time of writing, investors are seeing that perhaps US companies have overblown the demand for GPU's as the product they are making is not optimised in comparison.
- Considerably cheaper due to this streamlined approach, personally this is a symptom of how America has been operating as a nation since the pandemic, a severe lack of efficiency made up for by throwing insane amounts of capital at the problem with no thought as to where the money comes from (printed via QE & tax payer funding). DeepSeek just proved why Trumps planned approach of getting value for money and increasing efficiency is a winning formula, anything else is unsustainable.
- Open source code, we would expect the company called OpenAI that was founded on the basis of transparency and the mission to do good as a non-profit would be the product that has publicly available code, but no that would be DeepSeek... This further compounds just how out of touch the US based AI companies have got, the quest for revenue has taken over as the mission goal, which in the case of AI is very dangerous.
To conclude the AI problem, the Chinese AI product is cheaper, more efficient and more transparent that current US based products and that is why indirectly BTC took a tumble.
On the data news this week FOMC is on Wednesday, the forecast is for interest rates to remain unchanged however the volatility of FOMC often leads to interesting price action, this could be another reason for the sell-off as de-risking takes place.
For this week I am looking at using the chaos to find goo d long entries, I still think that Feb-March looks good until I have reason to think otherwise. Weekly low is a key S/R level that will determine by bias in the short term until then.
TL;DR
- DeepSeek R1 worrying investors of US AI companies as the Chinese AI product is far cheaper, more efficient and more transparent. US stocks down on pre-market.
- FOMC midweek, first of Trump admin, volatility expected.
- Weekly low key S/R level for BTC
BTCUSDT H8 :NEW Update RoadmapIf we look at it purely from a technical perspective, the only support that this entire structure holds is the flag limit which is located between 89000-91000
The worst possible scenario is to see a fake out to 115000-113000 and from there to 75000
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰ 27/Jan/25
⛔️DYOR
Always do your research.
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below and I will answer them.
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BTCUSDT H8 : New RoadmapHi Friends,
Following the previous analysis of Bitcoin and the rejection above the ATH , I expect such a movement from the chart. And once again, liquidity can be collected above the historical ceiling.
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰ 21/Jan/25
⛔️DYOR
Always do your research.
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below and I will answer them.
And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comments.
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Important Supports to Watch
As Bitcoin is under a strong bearish pressure today,
here are significant daily structures for you to watch.
Support 1: 97300 - 100000 area
Support 2: 94600 - 95900 area
Support 3: 88700 - 92000 area
Support 4: 85000 - 87400 area
Resistance 1: 106000 - 109400 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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