Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Is Bitcoin Topping Out? Critical Levels to WatchSince the low of $15,476 on November 21, 2022, Bitcoin has surged to an all-time high of $109,588 on January 20, 2025. That’s an incredible +608% increase over 791 days. We also hit the long-anticipated $100K mark. But for almost three months now, Bitcoin has been stuck in a range between $90K and the all-time high, showing some indecision in the market.
Looking Back: Market Structure & Trends
Bitcoin spent over 250 days consolidating between $50K and $70K before finally breaking out in November 2024, right around the U.S. election. That breakout triggered a massive rally, pushing Bitcoin to 100K in just one month. Since then, bulls and bears have been battling it out, trying to establish control over this crucial psychological level.
A look at the pitchfork tool shows that Bitcoin has been rejected at the 0.618, 0.666, and 0.786 levels multiple times while trying to push higher. Recently, we lost the median line of the pitchfork and dropped below 100K, suggesting bullish momentum is fading. The 233 SMA/EMA on the 4-hour TF as well as the 21 EMA/MA on the daily TF has also flipped into resistance, adding to the bearish pressure.
Is February Shaping Up to Be a Bearish Month?
If we compare the current cycle to the 2020 bull market, the price action looks similar, forming a top where Bitcoin struggles to break higher. February could bring a healthy correction before any new leg up.
Key Support Zones & Confluences
Here’s where we could see solid support:
Unfilled CME Gap at $77,930 – Historically, Bitcoin tends to fill these gaps over time
Pitchfork Lower Support Line (~$80K) – If Bitcoin drops, this level aligns with multiple confluences by late February or early March
Fib Speed Fan (0.618 from $50K to ATH) – Perfectly lines up with the pitchfork lower support around $80K
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension (1.618) – Another confluence at the $79K mark
Fib Retracement (0.5 from $50K to ATH) – Adds more support at $79.3K
Negative Fibonacci Retracement (-0.618) – Lands right at the open gap, reinforcing this zone
Daily 233 EMA/MA – Sitting at $81.3K and $76.4K, further supporting this region
Key Support Zone: $80K - $78K – With all these confluences, this is a strong area for a potential long setup
Additional Support Zone: FWB:88K - $86K – Another important region to watch for a bounce
Resistance Levels & Confluences
Psychological Resistance at 100K – A major battle zone between bulls and bears
Daily 21 EMA/MA (~$99.5K - 101K) – A key resistance level that could cap any upward movement
233 SMA/EMA on the 4H Timeframe – Now acting as resistance, adding pressure to the downside
Potential Trade Setups
Long Setup #1: A potential entry from FWB:88K - $86K
Long Setup #2: $80K - $78K support zone with confirmation could present a high-probability trade
Final Thoughts
Bitcoin is facing strong resistance at 100K, with multiple technical indicators suggesting a possible pullback. While the bigger trend remains bullish, February might bring a correction, providing great long opportunities around the FWB:88K - $86K and $80K - $78K region. Keep an eye on key support zones and look for confirmation signals before jumping into trades.
New Indicator Release
The 4H, Daily, and Weekly support zones seen on the charts are from my new indicator, which I released for free a few days ago. Feel free to check it out and incorporate it into your analysis.
Bitcoin on 2h chart Hello, dear friends! Welcome to my page🫶
Today, let's take a look at the Bitcoin chart on the 2-hour timeframe. There is a fascinating pattern emerging that I'd like to discuss. 🧐
I've drawn long-term support and resistance lines that have been forming since February and March of this year. Today, Bitcoin is attempting to break through a descending trendline. For many, this might seem like a bullish signal, but let's not jump to conclusions just yet. On the 2-hour chart, we can see that the price continues to form a rising wedge, which is typically considered a bearish signal, often resulting in a downward breakout.
At this moment, I see the possibility of the price rising into the blue zone, followed by a sharp decline. To provide a clearer picture, I'll also include a more long-term chart so you can better understand my analysis.
What are Your thoughts? How are You feeling about the market? Where do You think the price will go next? Share Your insights in the comments, I'm looking forward to hearing from You.
Thanks for Your attention💋
Always Yours, Kateryna💙💛
Bitcoin's Symmetrical Triangle Hi friends, whenever I have a moment of free time, I immediately come to share my thoughts on Bitcoin's price movement with You🩷
Since February 24th, Bitcoin has been forming a technical pattern known as a symmetrical triangle, often seen as a sign of market indecision. This pattern is characterized by the price oscillating between converging support and resistance lines, indicating a balance of buying and selling pressures.
Currently, Bitcoin's price is fluctuating within this triangle, gravitating towards the upper resistance line. As the apex of the triangle approaches, the market's uncertainty could culminate in a decisive move. Given the historical behavior of similar patterns, it is plausible that we may witness a sharp price decline soon, potentially reaching levels as low as $60,000 to $58,000.
This anticipated move aligns with the technical analysis principles, where symmetrical triangles often precede significant price breakouts or breakdowns. Traders should monitor these key support and resistance levels closely and consider the broader market context and potential external factors that could influence Bitcoin's price action.
What do You think? What can we expect after the formation of this triangle? It's certain that there will be a strong movement, but will it go up or down?
Thanks for Your attention 🫶
Truly Yours, Kateryna💋
BTC on 6h chart Hello, my dear friends!🫶 I’m so happy to see You here again! I’m especially grateful for Your feedback—some of You mentioned, that were waiting for me and missed me.🥲 Your words truly touched my heart—thank You so much!😊 I’m thrilled to be drawing charts for You once again; every post I share here holds a piece of my soul. Thanks for Your support—it means the world to me!💋
🔴 We’re currently sitting between a major resistance level (a trendline dating all the way back to 2017) and strong support at 72,000.🔴
The price is at a fascinating crossroads: if the 96–94–93 levels hold and the price consolidates there, we could see a climb toward the significant resistance zone (marked by the pink 🟣 dot) at 107–108k. From there, it’ll be crucial to watch closely—if the price breaks through those levels with ease, a rally could be in the cards.🚀
However, if the 96–94–93–92 levels fail to hold, we’re likely in for a deeper correction. In that case, we could see the price drop to the support zones at 86k, or possibly even lower, to 77k–73k.📉
Thank You for being part of this amazing community—it’s a privilege to share ideas and grow alongside You all. No matter what the charts look like, stay focused, stay patient, and keep believing in your abilities. Success belongs to those who persevere.
Always sincerely yours, Kateryna 💙💛
Bitcoin (BTC): Bloody Monday!On smaller timeframes, we can see the true meaning of "Bloody Monday."
Sellers started to sell aggressively, liquidating a lot of buyers who were FOMO-ing near top.
Now this might be just the beginning, as we are looking for the $91K zone to be reached, which will be the next zone where major moves will happen.
So far everything seems decent so let's wait now to see if the Monday candle will close!
Swallow Team
BTC. Beginning of a global downtrend or correction before ATH?If #Bitcoin down trend continues, there is chart area from which a Fibonacci price rebound is highly likely to occur. On the other hand, CRYPTOCAP:BTC price may not reach there, experiencing a sideways movement for some time. Beginning of a global downtrend or correction before ATH?
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis & Trading PlanBitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis & Trading Plan – February 28, 2025
Market Overview
The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) price is currently trading at $79,770, showing a -0.74% decline in the latest 4-hour candlestick. The chart illustrates a falling wedge trading pattern, which is considered a bullish reversal signal. The price is approaching the lower boundary of the wedge, signaling a potential breakout to the upside.
Technical Indicators & Key Observations
Falling Wedge Pattern:
The price has been making lower highs and lower lows within a falling wedge formation (red and green trendlines).
A breakout above the upper boundary of the wedge could trigger a strong bullish rally.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate support: $76,665
Major support: $67,679
Key resistance levels:
$88,671
$91,271
$95,497
$108,329 (Major long-term resistance)
Momentum Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): 22.26 (oversold), indicating potential upward momentum.
Stochastic Oscillator: 16.14, also in the oversold region, confirming a possible reversal.
Money Flow Index (MFI): Showing weak inflow, but a reversal at these levels could indicate increasing buying pressure.
Cipher_B Divergences: Potential bullish divergence forming, adding confluence to the breakout scenario.
Professional Trading Plan
Entry Strategy
Aggressive Entry: If Bitcoin closes a 4-hour candle above the wedge's upper trendline (~$80,500), an early entry can be considered.
Conservative Entry: Wait for confirmation above the $82,000 level with strong volume before entering a long position.
Profit Targets
First Target: $88,671 (previous local high)
Second Target: $91,271 (psychological level)
Third Target: $95,497 (strong resistance)
Ultimate Target: $108,329 (major long-term resistance)
Stop-Loss Strategy
For aggressive traders: Below $76,500 (recent low)
For conservative traders: Below $74,000 to reduce risk exposure
Risk Management
Risk-to-reward ratio: 1:3 or higher (entry should be calculated to maintain proper risk-reward)
Position Sizing: Allocate 2-5% of capital to this trade, considering volatility.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is currently trading at a critical support level within a falling wedge. The RSI, Stochastic, and MFI indicators suggest oversold conditions, indicating a potential bullish breakout. Traders should watch for a confirmed breakout above the wedge with strong volume before entering a position. Targets remain between $88,000 and $108,000, with well-defined stop-loss levels to minimize risk.
💡 Recommendation: Monitor price action closely, especially in the next few 4-hour candles. If BTC breaks above the wedge, prepare for a bullish move towards resistance levels.
Bitcon currently filling the CME futures gapWe knew it was likely this would happen at some point in the near future from when the gap was formed and it appears like now is the time. Price action needs to dip as low as $77,920to fill the gap entirely. History tells us the correction should be over with not long after the gap is filled. The only way this isn’t the case is if the top of the bull market was indeed already in, which is a very minute probability but not impossible. *not financial advice*
(BTC) bitcoin "its nothing"People are wasting their time with bugging out about the price of BTC losing. It's nothing. The price lost like -12%. If someone bought at the peak the price is down like -25%. Compared to all the super inconsistent tokens, memes, and thought bubbles of people creating small and micro cap strategies behind cryptocurrency others. Cryptocurrency has a problem with all the ideas following the movement and price of BTC. Either the people who invest in BTC are also heavily invested in alt coins, tokens and memes, or the real truth; there is no way large institutional banks are invested in most of the tokens. Tokens should not be so easily knocked down. How many years are we going to see the inconsistency of tokens and alt coins before the world of cryptocurrency investors remove the framework where people tend to believe BTC controls the prices and movements of all cryptocurrency. BTC lost a tiny amount compared to the larger losses continually accruing by miniscule cryptocurrency market caps.
Will the bitcoin bloodbath send prices below its 200-day SMA?Currently lower for a sixth day, bitcoin futures have just tested the 200-day average for the first time this year. This clearly marks a pivotal moment for bulls and bears over the near term, but we also have to factor in the higher timeframes.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Phemex Analysis #63: Riding the Storm of BTC’s DropThe crypto market never sleeps, and neither does Bitcoin’s legendary volatility. From euphoric rallies to gut-wrenching drops, Bitcoin continues to test the nerves of traders worldwide. Now, with BTC hovering in the low $80,000s, many are asking: Is this the beginning of a deeper correction, or the perfect setup for the next big opportunity?
Professional traders don’t just watch the market; they capitalize on it. While many fear a price drop, seasoned market participants know that volatility breeds opportunity. Whether Bitcoin tumbles further or stabilizes, there are multiple ways to navigate and profit from its price movements.
1. Short Selling – Profiting from the Fall
Bitcoin is experiencing high trading volume and a low RSI, signaling strong bearish momentum with no immediate signs of reversal. When the market trends downward, skilled traders can capitalize by strategically shorting BTC.
To execute this strategy, traders should initiate short positions to profit from BTC’s continued decline. Proper risk management is essential, with the $87,060 resistance level serving as a key point for setting a stop-loss to minimize potential losses.
For profit-taking, key support levels to watch include $75,000, where Bitcoin historically tends to bounce after a 25% drop, $66,814, a known demand zone where reactions from buyers are likely, and $58,917, a critical level that, if broken, could signal a more extended bear market.
Noted that this strategy is best suited for advanced traders who can time their entries effectively and manage risk appropriately.
2. Grid Trading – Automating Profits in Volatility
Even in a downtrend, Bitcoin rarely moves in a straight line. Price oscillations near major support levels create opportunities for frequent small profits, making it an ideal setup for grid trading bots. By deploying these bots, traders can automate buy and sell orders at predefined price intervals, systematically capturing gains from Bitcoin’s price swings.
The key to success in grid trading is identifying strong support levels where Bitcoin exhibits frequent bounces. Setting up a trading grid near critical levels like $75,000, $66,814, and $58,917 allows the bot to execute buy orders on dips and sell orders on small recoveries, profiting from volatility even during a broader downtrend.
While this strategy is effective in choppy markets, it requires careful adjustments. If Bitcoin breaks below support with high volume, traders must reevaluate grid placement or temporarily pause the strategy to avoid excessive losses.
3. Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) – Playing the Long Game
For long-term Bitcoin believers, every dip presents an opportunity. Instead of trying to time the exact bottom, DCA allows traders to accumulate BTC gradually at lower prices, reducing overall entry cost and minimizing exposure to short-term price swings.
Setting up recurring buy orders near or slightly below key support levels ensures steady accumulation. Allocating a fixed percentage of capital to these entries helps maintain discipline and prevents emotional trading.
Over time, as Bitcoin recovers, the lower cost basis translates to greater long-term gains. While this strategy requires patience, it remains one of the most effective ways to build a strong position in Bitcoin without being affected by daily price fluctuations.
Final Thoughts – Turning Fear Into Opportunity
Bitcoin’s latest dip isn’t just a test of nerves—it’s an opportunity for skilled traders to make strategic moves. Whether shorting the downtrend, trading the volatility with automation, or accumulating for the long haul, each strategy offers a unique way to profit from market conditions.
Short selling takes advantage of continued bearish momentum, grid trading systematically generates profits from price fluctuations, and dollar-cost averaging builds a solid long-term position.
By applying disciplined risk management and adapting to market conditions, traders can turn Bitcoin’s volatility into a profitable advantage rather than a source of uncertainty.
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Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
$BTC sideways for now, long-term uptrend intactI’m waiting for CRYPTOCAP:BTC to tap 102k again, or for the yearly open at 93k. Not much happening at the moment, but I see it moving higher.
Most likely, we’ll trade within January’s candle and form an inside bar. The inflection point will be at the extremes of that candle for short-term trades. If it decides to break January’s low, I’d see that as a potential re-entry point.
So, in short:
Continuation above 102k
First possible entry at the yearly open (I think many are watching that area)
Second entry at January’s low (optimal for me)
For now, it’s just consolidation.
Bitcoin: Wave 4 or Wave goodbye...to this variantIf you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Bitcoin Wave 4?: Key Levels & Critical Juncture
Bitcoin’s recent price action has put traders on edge, as we continue to push into the deeper reaches of the Wave 4 territory. The market rejected 99-100K, aligning with expectations, but it took a deeper path than my bullish outlook preferred. While I caught the correct direction, this move is now at a critical juncture where bulls need to step up—this is their last chance to hold this count as a probability and regain momentum, IMO.
Losing Ground on This Count
A clean break above 99K never materialized, reinforcing bearish sentiment and increasing the likelihood of further downside. The bulls have struggled to gain control, and without a strong push, this count risks full invalidation. At this stage, I remain cautious, knowing that sticking to weak counts is a losing game.
Key Levels to Watch
🔹 86.6K – Immediate obstacle for bulls to reclaim 📈
🔹 92K – The real test; a reclaim here would suggest bullish intent 🎯
🔹 75K – Next major support if bulls fail to hold structure ⚡
What Comes Next?
If this variant is going to stay on the probability list, it has to prove itself now. It was cautiously at the top of the list, but has broken the key levels and ideal price action I was looking for to keep it there.
Bitcoin is at a make-or-break moment—will it find strength, or are we heading for a deeper correction? Let me know your thoughts in the comments. 🚀
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
Cryptocurrency and Stocks will DecoupleI still remember the AI saying that NVDA was going to 320 "in the near future." This was back in June 2024. No matter when you asked the AI, its only prediction would be up, it couldn't make an analysis based on the data coming from the chart. The program wasn't very intelligent, that's what I concluded.
I disagreed. NVDA is going down and this is now fully confirmed.
We are seeing a very long distribution phase and the crash is now taking place.
Ok, but what about Bitcoin?
Bitcoin will decouple from traditional markets, just look at the news.
While Cryptocurrency is due a generational bullish wave, the stock market is due a generational retrace.
I honestly don't know how the stock market will perform but I can look at individual charts. NVDA is bearish and going down strong.
NVDA, TSLA, the SPX, the NDX and Crypto are not the same. These are two completely different monsters.
The SPX and NDX is landline.
Crypto is free wireless internet for all.
The SPX and the NDX is centralization and control.
Bitcoin is decentralization, innovation, technology and freedom.
Times change.
The stock market will recover and it is sure to continue growing long-term.
Will the establishment let it crash or will they jump in and pump it up?
I don't know. But NVDA is bearish and going down. What one does, the rest follows.
But, what about Bitcoin? Bitcoin is going up.
It is very simple. They will decouple, they will not move together anymore. Many, many Altcoins are trading at bottom prices, many stocks are trading high up.
The giant stocks will crash, while the Cryptocurrency market goes up. This is one more of the reasons why we are about to experience the biggest bull-market in the history of Crypto.
People are evolving, the world is changing. We are changing from centralized monopoly money, to a free decentralized technology that is available for all.
Money is not the paper, the shiny stone or the codes; money is what we decide to use for the purpose of exchanging value.
At one time, salt used to be money as well as cows. Sea shells, glass and cacao are also on the list. People used to use these things as money.
The argument that Bitcoin has no value is obviously flawed. If you want to buy a Bitcoin you have to pay a price, that's value, nothing more.
If we decide to use something as money, it becomes money.
Bitcoin is money for the new generation.
The old generation dies out and a new one takes its place.
Life will continue to evolve and money will do the same.
Now it is Bitcoin, later down the road it will be something else. But Bitcoin has value, it is really expensive and it will continue to grow.
After the crash, NVDA will recover for sure.
Namaste.
4 reasons that Gold may have peaked: Gold can thrive on uncertainty, and for the past three years, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has been a key driver. However, recent developments hopefully suggest a possible shift toward peace. While a complete resolution is uncertain, the beginning of peace talks, no matter how flawed they appear, could weaken gold’s safe-haven appeal.
Gold benefits from lower interest rates, as it competes with yield-bearing assets like bonds. Earlier in the year, markets expected the Federal Reserve to cut rates aggressively. However, recent economic data and Trump’s economic policies mean inflation could be a greater concern than initially thought. This has led to doubts about how quickly the Fed will ease policy. If rate cuts are delayed or scaled back, gold’s upside could be limited.
Gold and Bitcoin are seen as alternative stores of value. Bitcoin has recently fallen about 20% from its highs. This could suggest a broader shift in risk sentiment, potentially impacting gold if investors move back into the U.S. dollar or other assets.
Markets initially expected Trump to push aggressive tariffs, which would have fueled inflation and boosted gold. However, so far, his rhetoric has been more meandering than expected, with only a 10% tariff on Chinese imports. If markets believe that Trump’s trade policies will be less disruptive than previously thought, gold loses a key bullish narrative.
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BTC At Critical Support on 200DMA + RSI Way Oversold₿itcoin testing critical support on the 200DMA 🚨
Last time it closed under on July 4, 2024 it ranged for 101 days.
RSI hasn't been this oversold since August, 2023.
Last time BTC was at this RSI level and closed under the 200DMA it ranged for 60 days.
HOWEVER, the only time BTC has ever closed under the 200DMA on a Post-Halving year was in May 2021, where it then went on to rally to another new ATH.
I'm personally buying here 💯
Litecoin Could Triple Against Bitcoin (LTC/BTC)As much as crypto annoys me these days, I can't help but still pay attention to this wild market.
There are some red flags - a lot of uncertainty and major paradigm shifts apparently looming on the horizon. Bitcoin has really slowed down, when it comes to price increases and volatility. It's also now associated with political polarization, as it has been predictably co-opted by wealthy interests, aimed at centralizing financial control and surveillance. Nevertheless, cryptocurrencies chug along.
I'll admit, I've always liked Litecoin. Maybe it's because it was the first cryptocurrency I bought where I realized, hey, Bitcoin isn't the best at what it's supposed to do. It was a lot faster and cheaper, and remains a preferred medium of exchange for crypto transfers. This is evidenced by its growing number of active addresses, when compared with Bitcoin's stagnation.
bitinfocharts.com
bitinfocharts.com
Bitcoin's growth has stagnated, when it comes to its use as a transfer of value, whereas Litecoin continues to grow slowly. Litecoin's active addresses are also only about 50% less when compared with Bitcoin, making its "adoption" not all too far behind.
Of course, there are probably many flaws with Litecoin, as there are with cryptocurrencies as a payment method in general, but when you look at the current crypto market cap and how much Litecoin is actually used, it seems to be undervalued when compared to all the other fluff out there.
It just works. Its max supply is also only 4x that of Bitcoin. It's unlikely to ever achieve a market cap similar, but even if it it goes 4x from here in USD terms (taking it just above its past ATH), its market cap would be the same as Dogecoin, around $37B. That's honestly pretty funny to me.
The only thing I like about crypto is that it's marginally better than a lotto ticket. Maybe if things get even more dystopian, owning some crypto isn't a terrible idea. Things are absurd as it is. I don't like it, but that's how things have been going.
For some quick technicals. Litecoin is on its strongest tear against ETH since 2018:
Litecoin also broke down from a major uptrend against the USD a while ago, but if it gets back in (currently above $170ish), it could fuel a pretty explosive rally.
Based on the above LTC/BTC chart, there is room for a pretty large upside correction.
HOWEVER, it's important to keep in mind that markets are fragile overall right now. If Bitcoin makes a sizeable correction, back down to $70-80k or deeper, Litecoin may drop down to some lows not seen in some time. It's also important to remember that serious upside for Litecoin has previously occurred near market tops.
This is not meant as financial advice! This represents my opinion and feelings about the markets, which are always evolving.
-Victor Cobra