Bitcoin is Ready to fill CME Gap!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT )is approaching the Resistance zone($105,560-$104,940) , Downtrend line , and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($105,654-$104,709) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing wave 4 . Probably wave 4 will end in the Resistance zone($105,560-$104,940) .
I expect Bitcoin to go towards filling the CME Gap($103,325-$101,840) AFTER breaking the Support line .
⚠️Note: US indices (Federal Funds Rate, FOMC Economic Projections, FOMC Statement) can affect the trend of Bitcoin; the possibility that the market will get excited when the indices are announced is very high.⚠️
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance zone($105,560-$104,940), we can expect Bitcoin to rise further, especially if Bitcoin touches $106,200.⚠️
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Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTC Dominance Chart - BITCOIN DOMINANCEBTC Dominance is the most important chart to follow to understand whether the crypto market is in an altcoin or Bitcoin season.
"We had a great projection regarding the Bitcoin Dominance bearish shift around the 60% level, and it played out perfectly. I’ve linked that projection to this post for reference.
Currently, Bitcoin Dominance is testing the weekly supply zone as a bearish retest. This aligns with the premium side of the Fibonacci, adding to my conviction that we’re likely to see a bearish reversal from here, forming a lower high. This lower high could potentially trigger another leg down in dominance, setting the stage for a strong altcoin season.
I expect this shift to happen very soon.
105K for possible short entryMorning folks,
So, BTC just perfectly completed our setup for this week, turning down precisely around 107.80K, where as butterfly as H&S pattern targets were completed and falling down to predefined 98-98.5K area... Now what?
Daily trend has turned bearish, so, nominally we have no reasons for longs at least on daily chart. And should wait for the bounce to resistance levels. Now 105K seems potentially interesting for short entry, if BTC will hold bearish trend.
On intraday chart current 98-98.5 Lows in fact is a last hope for the bulls. This is K-support area, trend line support. SO tactical bounce should happen here, and it is already underway.
Thus, for intraday traders, this level might be interesting for scalp long position.
Those who would like to sell should wait for the same upside bounce. And, some resistance area, say 105K. If BTC will keep going higher, then forget about shorts for some time.
So, daily traders should wait...
BITCOIN Will the Channel Up hold or has the Fed condemned it?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is having an impressive sustainable price action within the Channel Up pattern since November 12, which despite yesterday's Fed fueled pull-back, is still holding. If it holds, it may follow the same pattern that it did exactly 1 year ago.
As you see, it was again in November 2023 that it traded within a Channel Up, which was supported by the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) since October 11. After it broke out, the price reached the 7.0 Fibonacci extension level from the October low, before correcting again.
The situation is very similar today, the 4H MA200 is also holding since Oct 11, the price also formed a 4H Golden Cross on Sep 18, while both fractals started their impressive rallies around the same date (Sep 06 2023 and Sep 11 2024 respectively).
As a result, if the 4H MA200 holds, we can expect BTC to target the 7.0 Fib ext next at $135000.
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BTC - Let's Do It Again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders, this is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 As per my last BTC analysis (attached to the chart), BTC rejected the blue circle zone and made a new ATH.
If you missed it, we might have another opportunity to catch it again.
The new blue circle marks the intersection of a key structure, the lower blue trendline, and the $100,000 round number.
📚 According to my trading style:
As #BTC approaches the new blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (such as a double bottom pattern, trendline break, and so on).
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~ Rich
KASPA - Poised for an Upward Trajectory (TA+TRADE PLAN)Technical Analysis of KASPA (KAS/USDT)
Falling Wedge Pattern:
The chart indicates a classic falling wedge pattern, a bullish reversal formation. The price is approaching the breakout point where resistance has converged with support, as marked on the chart.
The breakout above the resistance line suggests a potential upward trend.
Volume Analysis:
A spike in trading volume near the breakout area confirms increased interest and possible momentum shift.
Momentum Indicators:
VWMCipher B Divergences: Displays bullish divergence, supporting a potential price increase.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): At ~27, indicating oversold conditions. This signals a potential upward price movement as the asset appears undervalued.
Arty Money Flow Index (MFI): At ~24, indicating an oversold condition with possible accumulation.
Stochastic Oscillator: Oversold levels at 32.5, crossing upwards, indicating a buy signal.
Potential Targets:
Short-Term Target: $0.14 (breakout confirmation).
Mid-Term Target: $0.18 (previous resistance level).
Long-Term Target: $0.22–$0.24 (major resistance zone from earlier trends).
Risk Level:
Support at ~$0.12. A breakdown below this level invalidates the bullish thesis, making this a critical stop-loss level.
Trading Plan
Entry Points:
Initial Buy Zone: Enter near the breakout point (~$0.128-$0.132) to capitalize on bullish momentum.
Confirmation Entry: Add to the position once price closes above $0.14 with strong volume.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop-loss slightly below $0.12 (e.g., $0.118) to limit downside risk if the breakout fails.
Profit-Taking Strategy:
First Take-Profit (TP1): At $0.14 (~10% gain) to secure initial profits.
Second Take-Profit (TP2): At $0.18 (approximately 40% gain from entry).
Final Target (TP3): $0.22-$0.24 for long-term holders seeking maximum gains.
Position Sizing:
Allocate 2–5% of your portfolio, depending on your risk tolerance. Keep capital reserved for potential averaging down if needed.
Trailing Stop:
Implement a trailing stop once the price exceeds $0.18 to lock in profits while allowing room for further upward movement.
Risk Management:
Maintain a Risk-Reward Ratio of at least 1:3. Adjust trade size to manage risk effectively.
Monitoring:
Regularly check volume trends, RSI levels, and significant market news affecting KASPA.
Be cautious of overall cryptocurrency market sentiment, as broader trends often impact altcoins.
This falling wedge setup, combined with oversold indicators and volume confirmation, suggests KASPA is primed for a bullish breakout. Stick to the trading plan and employ disciplined risk management to maximize returns while minimizing potential losses.
Bitcoin Likely to See Slow and Choppy Price ActionBitcoin has re-entered the range zone between $99,108 and $103,033, suggesting that we may experience slow and choppy price action in the coming days.
1. For now, Bitcoin has established support at $99,108, which could lead to increased bullish momentum toward the upper boundary of the range at $103,033. This move could occur from the current price level or after a dip back to $99,108 (dashed green projection).
2. A strong breakout above $103,033 with sustained momentum would turn Bitcoin bullish on the 4-hour chart and could set the stage for a rally toward $107,658, the next significant resistance zone (solid green projection).
3. If Bitcoin fails to hold support at $99,108 and breaks below this level, the chart would turn bearish (dashed red projection). The bulls’ last line of defense is at $97,000. A breach below this level could lead to intensified bearish pressure, driving the price toward the $94,500 support zone (solid red projection).
Consolidation within the $99,108 to $103,033 range, with Bitcoin maintaining a moderately bullish bias, could create favorable conditions for Altcoins to perform well.
DXY Weekly - Dollar IndexSimple Trading - Wyckoff Event
If the event has started then the dollar index will have one heck of a year coming into Q1 and Q2.
Watch for volume change on the intraday day time frame and expect the trend to continue bullish.
Long story short the DXY is growing strong with the rise of BTC and Donald Trump being elected President.
Targets:
109.40 - previous support
111.50 - .616 Fibb level
113.80 - .50 Fibb level
A rising Wedge Formation In the 4H - Short for Short Period.So even though Bitcoin is in the middle of a huge upward move markets always gave us the opportunity to make money in the middle of every strong trending moves. For now we got a rising wedge formation with a heavy pull back based on the news from the FED and the zone which is acting as a magnet support level got more confluence points including the strong demand zone, the horizontal support line of the 2 formed triangles and the 1.27 extension fib level on the higher timeframe. All this points and some other additional insights are included in this short video and enjoy watching it. Please do consider to do your own research before making any type of investments in any type of markets and I urge you to notice that this is not a financial advice at all rather a personal view point.
Nathnael B.
Bitcoin 30% correction Warning Extreme Greed 🔸Hello traders, today let's review 8hour price chart for BTCUSD and potential reversal zones. This market is maxed out already / overheated. I'm expecting a 30% correction into end of January 2025 🆘.
🔸All the positive mid-term catalysts are already priced in the current market price, there are no further catalysts until DJT Inaguration. Therefore, expecting 30% correction based on extreme greed conditions.
🔸Recommended strategy for position traders: Short sell at market, SL
at recent high, TP1 80 000 USD TP2 75 000 USD. swing trade setup so
naturally takes more time to complete. Bulls should exit the market and wait for a better entry price later in January 2025.
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ETH-USD | 1 HOUR-TIMEFRAME | CRYPTO Hello guys, I made BINANCE:ETHUSD analysis for you. For this kind of analysis, please value my analysis with your likes Thank you very much to everyone who supports me by liking
SIGNAL ALERT
SELL ETHUSD 3,960.30 - 3,962.40
🟢TP1: 3,855.90
🟢TP2: 3,750.90
🟢TP3: 3,588.69
🔴SL: 4,232,67
Stay with love guys.
BITCOIN - Potential Correction AheadBitcoin has been on Bull run for past few weeks and has tapped the ATH level. In order for the move to continue, it requires correction and as far as the above resistance holds, we should see a correction that can go as deep as 70k mark. Therefore please be mindful of potential drop.
For entries, please wait for at least two candle reversals at the specified level and apply appropriate risk management.
If you found this analysis helpful, please consider boosting and following for more updates.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Possible short-term BTCUSD HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN formed.Please see attached chart. BTCUSD 1-4hr timeframe.
There could well be a possible H & S pattern that takes us from the neckline of around $104k down to the $99-101k buy-in zone.
This area also aligns with the 50% fib, charted from the recent swing low of $94,300 to swing ATH of $108,360
Max volume profile area also aligns at $101,000.
Longs opened at $103-104k, with further entry long limits set at 99-101k, expecting 107-108k retest for subsequent take profit. Will let anything that breaks 108k run beyond with stops adjusted as necessary.
Thanks.
BTC $95,105 is as low as it gets!BTC Analysis (3D) 12/18/2024
It's likely one of these two scenarios for BTC plays out.
Depending on the FOMC it could get invalidated but this is what I'm seeing on the charts at the moment.
• Slow grind to 120-130k
or
• Retrace slightly to about 95K where we almost certainly will get SOME bounce, as that is where the preliminary fib line lies on the DFR as well as an anchored VWAP and it matches with the anchored Volume Profile (Im positive one of the MAs is also in this range).
If this level holds, we will most likely create a new ATH at $120,000+
Thoughts?
Satoshi- Over time, everything diminishes, including opportunities.
- You won't achieve the same percentage gains as those who joined in 2011.
- However, when you calculate and compare these numbers with inflation, you'll find yourself consistently on the winning side.
- One day, people won’t measure value in BTC anymore. They’ll measure it in Satoshis.
- It's still early, secure your financial freedom.
Happy Tr4Ding !
BITCOIN SELL TO $86,000!BITCOIN SELL TO $86,000!
Looking to short BTC as price action on smaller TF is offering a shift in market structure.
⭕️Wave 3-5 Impulse Move Complete (Major Wave 3).
⭕️Waiting On 3 Sub-Waves (A,B,C) Correction (Major Wave 4).
⭕️Choppy Price Action From Buyers.
⭕️Multiple Wick Rejections Within 1 Range.
TP1: $97,250.
TP2: $86,000.
TESLA tags my Target 2 price objectiveTracking Tesla is an exhilarating experience, thanks to its significant price fluctuations, the attention it garners, and the charismatic presence of Elon Musk. The momentum of this electric vehicle powerhouse seems unstoppable.
This year has truly been a wild ride for Tesla! It started with a dramatic 30% drop in stock value during the first quarter, fueled by worries about falling revenues and challenges with vehicle profit margins. This was Tesla's toughest quarter since late 2022. However, as we look at the current situation, the company's financial and operational performance is on the upswing. The enthusiasm and optimism surrounding this stock are off the charts.
Fortunately, we successfully capitalized on the two major movements from the peak of the previous cycle in 2021, leading us to the current extraordinary surge (or perhaps more fittingly, a "Marsshot!") that both the stock and Elon are experiencing.
BITCOIN NEARING 108,100 Hit Only ONE LAST GASP left The chart of bitcoin posted based on all fib relationships within the advance from 15890 is ending a clear and rather clean 5 wave s up To end the Bull market of the last 2 years Timing of golden ratio and spirals called for the last week but there are 3 i.t. spiral due 12/18 to the 21 this is the last of the good news I have taken a long PUTS position in BITI at 60.8 Best of trades WAVETIMER
ETHBTC Is Sitting At Strong Monthly SupportETHBTC cross pair has been trading bearish for the last two years or so due to Bitcoin dominance, but now that Bitcoin dominance is slowing down and ALTcoin dominance kicking in, seems like we are in the ALTseason and ETHBTC pair may see a recovery soon.
ETHBTC chart can be actually still trading in a correction within uptrend. It’s right now sitting at interesting and strong support area when looking at the monthly chart. We have strong monthly trendline and impulsive five waves up, followed by a three-wave A-B-C correction into an important 67,8% Fibo retracement, which is a bullish pattern from technical and Elliott wave perspective. We are actually already in the ALTseason and if ETHBTC pair is really about to bounce and starts recovering soon, then ALTseason may resume and Ethereum can be one of the strongest.
3 Scenarios for BitcoinWhen a trend of the peaks that Bitcoin has made since 2016 is taken, we see that after each peak that uses this trend as resistance, Bitcoin enters a correction process up to the HP filter.
Bitcoin, which has done this 3 times in history, is doing it right now. In addition, when I apply a Fibonacci analysis to each correction, I clearly see that Bitcoin is currently in the Fibonacci target area of the last bear season.
There are 3 options for Bitcoin right now. Either it will break this trend for the first time and run without any corrections until at least $120k, or it will be rejected from the trend and pull back to $90k, which the HP filter will reach, and then try the trend once more. On the contrary, the worst case scenario is that it will close below the HP filter for the week and fall to $60k, which means bear season.
Even if the bear season comes, I will switch to the buying side since I think Bitcoin will eventually reach $1m. Therefore, it does not matter how many dollars it is for me.