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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)

BTC ~ MACRO Bounce ZoneBTC has been holding the 80K zone well, but from the macro perspective the bearish cycle should be starting soon. This is due to simple logic (after such a dramatic ATH) as well as the Wyckoff Method. Unless we can reclaim 90K, it's likely that this will be the third touch on the parabolic curve - which is usually when the bearish cycle starts. Previously, BTC retraced and bounced one Fib higher than the price at the start of the bullish cycle. This puts us roughly at 28k, as well as at the neckline of the previous resistance zone before the new ATH: ______________ BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Short
by CryptoCheck-
1
A Litecoin Swing TradeMarkets have been understandably battered over the last weeks. Current conditions are why I've generally been cautious about trading, and not getting married to long positions. As I explained in my last Litecoin analysis, things are precarious. The good thing is, I got out of my trades with a little bit of profit and no losses. The bad thing is, entering long right now is a bit scary. We cannot predict economic conditions. Instead, we can use sentiment. Sentiment for altcoins is totally in the gutter right now. Based on this alone, a bounce makes sense. On the weekly chart, Litecoin is (so far) holding the 50 and 100 moving averages, while it broke below the 200. To look bullish on bigger timeframes, price needs to at least stabilize here and begin slowly moving up to allow the MA structure to bullishly support price (a weekly golden cross would be a start). This play is simple - buying at support here between $86-94 and selling at resistance, near $106-107 (conservatively). If price makes it back up there, I will observe conditions to determine whether an additional leg up seems likely. If price is rejected heavily up there, it could point to another leg down. I'm also watching whether Bitcoin can break back above its 50 and 100 day moving averages. Litecoin is unlikely to have any explosive ATH moves if Bitcoin cannot at least get back above $90K and stay there for a while, I think. On the downside, taking out the $80 level would set up price to fall back towards $50-66, and it may take a long while to recover. I may stop myself out if that happens and aim to rebuy near $66. Litecoin has experienced steady (though not explosive) growth. This seems somewhat attractive to me when it comes to crypto. While I wouldn't be surprised to see this entire market fade in the future and be forgotten as an investment, this one at least sees some steady user growth. This post is to show that even though I remain largely bearish on crypto, I am open to trading opportunities that present themselves, even if they are narrow in scope and focus on one cryptocurrency. This is not meant as financial advice, but for speculation and entertainment only! Thanks for reading :) -Victor Cobra
COINBASE:LTCUSDLong
by VictorCobra
1
$DOGE - Bear Trap BuyReposting my analysis from 3/8 as it was delisted b/c I referenced a non-TV external account. Also, a disclaimer since I've quickly discovered that people like to chirp and demean ideas on TV: This is an IDEA. I maintain bull and bear cases for every underlying I analyze. My opinion about an underlying can change exceedingly quickly based on price action and how price's evolution either confirms or violates TREND (I define trend scholastically, NOT inferentially). I also may have 1 directional opinion about a security's higher timeframe and an opposing directional stance about a lower TF. Markets are fractal. Any serious trader/analyst understands what I'm articulating. This business is NOT about predicting. It is about understanding participant psychology, order flow, statistical distribution, risk vs. reward, profit margin, and probabilities. With that said, here's my post from 3/8: This is a technical (supply/demand) setup and is not a fundamental endorsement for CRYPTOCAP:DOGE ownership. $DOGE/USD (and crypto more broadly) has declined markedly (~60%) from December '24 highs. Late last month, low-quality daily demand (0.2021-0.1853) produced a minor bounce. DOGE quickly found sellers in advance of the opposing 1D supply zone (0.2428-0.2615), though, and was rejected. DOGE/USD appears poised for further near-term downside, with the weekly RSI threatening the 40 level. If DOGE/USD presses lower and trades < 0.1813, the next pocket of daily demand = 0.1700-0.1419. More significantly, DOGE has a well-formed weekly buy zone @ 0.1513-0.1280. DOGE/USD's intermediate-term uptrend is controlled by 0.0805 (low of the corrective segment 3/25/24 - 8/5/24). Trend-continuation buying is valid within the bounds of the corrective segment, which DOGE traded into in early Feb. Buys are supported by 78.6% and 88.6% Fibonacci retracement levels and, to a lesser degree, Anchored VWAP + 1W Bollinger Band lower bound (not pictured). Given crypto's broader price action and bearish momentum, confirmation entries are recommended. Potential buyers, depending on risk tolerance, should reference intraday timeframes for trend reversal signals vs. "catching a falling knife". Should DOGE bottom, preliminary target (T1) would be in advance of weekly supply @ 0.2398-0.2874 (use LTFs to refine and ID smaller sell zones that could challenge a rally). Trading > 0.2874 sets the stage for higher prices, with T2 supply 0.3288-0.3648. If DOGE/crypto approach T2 prices with significant bullish momentum (reference RSI), we could see subsequent prints in excess of December's 0.4846 high. As always, feedback's welcome. Godspeed! JHart
BINANCE:DOGEUSDLong
by JHartCharts
Bitcoin ($BTC) - Hoping for a Short-Term RolloverBitcoin bounced from the daily demand (76874.75-74306.67) that was highlighted in my "Bitcoin Uptrend Continuation" post from 5 days ago (see related post below). However, the rubber will now meet the road as BITSTAMP:BTCUSD could break higher or continue lower from current price. The in-play 1D sell zone, which is admittedly doesn't have great structure, is 86267.86-92920.42. Ideally, short-term CRYPTOCAP:BTC momentum, per the RSI, would be weaker than it is, but momentum is still soft per the daily oscillator. I'm not looking to short BTC blindly, but rather am stalking it via LTFs and will execute a confirmation short if evidence of the near-term uptrend (established 3/10) violation/termination materializes. If the intermediate-term downtrend continues, T2 = sub-$70K. Anyway, just an idea. For those looking for longer-term buying opportunities, a near-term selloff should be viewed as a positive. Futures open in ~5 hours and can always be used to hedge longs if we get a breakdown. Thanks for reading. Thoughts/feedback appreciated! Jon @JHartCharts
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by JHartCharts
Bearer of Bad News - Short $XRPI originally posted this idea several days ago, but it was flagged b/c I linked one of my social media accounts. Apologies for any typos - the format of my post got jacked up after copying/pasting. Crypto's going to break one way or another from current levels. Bitcoin has a wide supply zone (not super strong) 86267.86-92920.42, so watch how it reacts... Strictly technical setup here. Near-term demand/buy zones were good for bounces across the crypto space. However, buying has been fairly tepid. Given the technical structure for many crypto underlyings, this is unsurprising (addressed in CRYPTOCAP:DOGE ( COINBASE:DOGEUSD ), CRYPTOCAP:BTC , CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL ideas). Barring a catalyst, it seems more likely that crypto (and risk assets generally) will trade lower before higher. Unfortunately for bulls, BITSTAMP:XRPUSD has levels of daily supply near current price. Per the 1D chart, sell zone = 2.3265-3.4106, 2.5032-2.6487. Additional sellers are likely lurking between 2.6487 and 3.0153, though LTFs need to be analyzed for identification. If the RSI is printing < 60/65 if/when price reaches the abovementioned ranges, CRYPTOCAP:XRP could roll over and commence another bearish impulse wave. Use micro-timeframes to watch for signs of uptrend violation/termination + to confirm any short entries/long exits. To bolster positional confidence, observe other cryptos, especially larger market caps. Correlative behavior can be a very helpful trading "odds enhancer". If other majors rally w/ significant volume/momentum, XRP will likely follow. Conversely, if BITSTAMP:BTCUSD , BITSTAMP:ETHUSD ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ), etc. fizzle out, expect XRP to do the same. If this idea materializes and shorts regain control, daily demand = 1.5414-1.2843, 1.1222-1.0033. Fib retracements reinforce the aforementioned buy zones. Because of the explosive nature of XRP's 2024 rally, the monthly/weekly charts have "tradeable voids" (expanded-range candlesticks). While traditional technicals tout large candles, they're a double-edged sword. Their elongated nature is often reflective of limited trading and gaps in order flow, which can have a vacuum-like effect if/when prices correct. It's great when you're on the right side of the trade creating the candles, but there's also not a lot of unfilled orders to stop price from moving rapidly in the opposite direction. So, if XRP sells off, don't be surprised if price moves quickly. I'm a fan of confirmation entries vs. "catching a falling knife". Referencing RSI momentum + using micro-TFs to ID trend reversal signals can help prospective buyers reduce risk (and/or increase position size). When volatility strikes, preservation is paramount. Thanks for reading! Feedback/engagement welcome. Jon
BINANCE:XRPUSDShort
by JHartCharts
20
Bitcoin can rebound from triangle pattern to 90K pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Not long ago, the price was trading within a range, where it quickly entered the seller zone and remained near this area for quite some time. BTC attempted to rise but failed, and after nearly reaching the upper boundary of the range, it dropped sharply. The price broke through the 94000 level, exiting the range as well, and then fell to the support level, which aligned with the buyer zone. Shortly after, the price made a strong upward impulse toward the resistance level before starting a decline within a downward triangle. Inside this pattern, BTC initially made a correction, climbed back to the resistance line of the triangle, and then resumed its decline. Eventually, the price dropped to the 78900 support level, where it touched the triangle’s support line and then began to rise. At the moment, BTC continues to climb near this level, and I expect it to rebound from the support line of the triangle and break above the resistance, signaling an exit from the pattern. If this happens, I anticipate further growth, so my target is set at 90000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
32
Bitcoin Rebounds with Dovish FOMC, Preparing to Test TrendlineBitcoin has broken out of the ascending triangle and is starting to regain some lost ground. While the medium-term trend remains downward, if BTC holds above the upper boundary of the triangle (around 85K), another leg higher with a potential target between 90K and 91K becomes more likely, depending on the pace of the move. Supporting the bullish case are factors such as the Ripple case drop, a slightly dovish FOMC, and rumors of new crypto-related actions from Trump. However, if Bitcoin falls back below the 85K level today, the next key support to watch is around 82,500. A move down to this level alone wouldn't completely negate the bullish outlookfor short term. But if Bitcoin also breaks below the lower boundary of the former triangle too, it would significantly increase bearish pressure.
Long
by ftdsystem
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #39👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let's delve into the Bitcoin and key crypto indexes analysis. As usual, I want to review the New York session futures triggers for you. ⏳ 1-hour timeframe As you can see in the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin broke the 84734 resistance yesterday and the price moved upwards. We had some triggers before breaking this area, which I hope you opened positions with and made some profits. ✅ Currently, the price has reached the 86876 area, got rejected, and has returned to 84734. Given the low volume of the red candles, we can consider this movement a correction and a ranging box might form between 84734 and 86876. ⚡️ For today, the best long trigger is breaking 86876, which the price has already hit once. If it can break this area in subsequent contacts, we can enter a position. 🔽 For short positions, the first trigger is the break of 84734, but it’s a risky trigger and I prefer to wait until the price makes a significant trend change before entering a position. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Moving on to the Bitcoin dominance analysis, yesterday, as Bitcoin's price increased, dominance broke through 61.49 and moved downward, which helped altcoins move higher. 💫 However, as dominance reached 61.08, the market momentum completely changed, and dominance returned above 61.49. Now, after the trend line break, with the break of 61.63, we can confirm a fake breakout. 🧩 For dominance to move downward, the break of 61.49 is still appropriate, and a break of this area can still confirm a downward trend in dominance. 📅 Total2 Analysis Moving on to the Total2 analysis, yesterday’s trigger at 1.04 was activated, and I moved this area to 1.05 today because the price reacted better to it. ⭐ If you had opened a position with the break of 1.04, you could have made a good profit as the price reached 1.07. 🔑 Currently, the price is ranging between 1.05 and 1.07, and you can open positions if any of these areas break. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Finally, looking at the Tether dominance, the chart is very similar to Total2 but in reverse. ✨ A break of 5.26 confirms an upward trend, and a break of 5.13 confirms a downward trend in dominance. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
by tradecitypro
2
BITCOIN The Ultimate Cycle Model calls for $160k!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is rebounding following yesterday's Fed Rate Decision. Technically the rebound has already started 10 days ago after the market nearly bottomed on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line). This is the strongest long-term Support level, as it is where BTC priced Lows and rebounded on August 05 2024 and September 11 2023, but it is not the only one. With the current 2023 - 2025 Bull Cycle pattern being a Channel Up, this is the absolute and ultimate model that has been guiding the price action and can help estimate any future moves. Given that, it's also the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level that supported both Lows (as well as the current one) on the 1W MA50 mentioned above. As a result, we are so far on a double Support cluster. The 1W RSI comes in as the 3rd Support, as it hit and is rebounding now on its 2-year Support level, where the bounces of September 07 2024 and September 11 2023 happened. It is also important to mention that the Channel Up can be divided into two phases, Phase 1 (green Channel Up), which traded within the 0.0 - 1.0 Fibonacci range and Phase 2 (blue Channel Up), which trades within the 0.5 - 1.5 Fibonacci range. The symmetry within those patterns are so high that the two Bullish Legs of Phase one have both rallied by +100.64%. If Phase 2 follows the same dynamic, and there is no reason to assume it won't as the Bearish Legs have been almost identical, we can assume that the Bullish Leg that has just started will rise by +121.48%, same as the previous one (Aug - Dec 2024). That gives us a Target estimate of $160000. So do you think that BTC has bottomed on this Triple Support Cluster and if so, can it reach $160k by the end of this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
2
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Bullish Breakout in Progress📈 Chart Pattern: Bitcoin has been trading inside a descending channel for several weeks. Recently, BTC has broken out of the channel’s upper boundary, indicating a potential shift in momentum. 🔹 Key Levels: Support: $80,043.75 (Critical stop-loss level) Resistance: $87,500 (Short-term) Target: $92,944.17 (Upside projection) 📊 Trading Plan: BTC might retest the breakout zone before continuing the upward move. A confirmed higher low formation could signal strong bullish momentum. If BTC remains above $85,500, further upside toward $92,944.17 is possible. ⚠️ Risk Management: If BTC drops below $80,043.75, the bullish setup could become invalid. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering long positions. 💡 Conclusion: This breakout could lead to a strong uptrend, but traders should watch for a successful retest before making a move. 🚀🔍
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by PIPsOptimizer
BTCUSD | Rising Wedge Breakdown – Bearish SetupChart Overview: This chart represents Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe and showcases a Rising Wedge pattern. The price action has reached a key resistance level, and a potential breakdown scenario is unfolding. 1️⃣ Pattern Identification: Rising Wedge Formation A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price moves within two converging upward-sloping trendlines. The narrowing price range indicates a weakening trend, and a breakdown usually leads to a significant price drop. Upper Trendline (Resistance): Marked in blue, this trendline connects the higher highs. Lower Trendline (Support): Also in blue, connecting the higher lows. Breakdown Confirmation: The price has already moved below the wedge support, confirming the bearish bias. 2️⃣ Key Price Levels & Zones 🔹 Resistance Zone (Blue Box) This strong resistance level has repeatedly rejected the price. The final rejection led to a breakout failure and potential trend reversal. 🔹 Support Zone (Blue Box) A strong demand zone, but a breakdown below it triggers a bearish trend. This level is now acting as potential resistance after the breakdown. 🔹 ATH (All-Time High) – $87,566 This marks the highest price level reached in the given timeframe. 3️⃣ Market Structure Breakdown 🔻 Bearish Momentum & Breakdown After touching the resistance, BTC failed to sustain upward movement. A breakout of the wedge's lower trendline confirms a trend reversal. Price action suggests a lower-high, lower-low structure, indicating a bearish market shift. 📉 Expected Price Movement (Wave Structure) The breakout retest could result in a small pullback to previous support (now resistance). After confirmation, price is likely to continue downward in a wave-like structure. Fibonacci levels or key support zones will act as profit-taking targets. 4️⃣ Trade Setup & Targets 🔻 Short Setup (Bearish Trade Idea) Entry: On a successful retest of the broken support zone. Stop-Loss (SL): Above the previous resistance zone for risk management. Take Profit (TP) Targets: TP 1: $81,638 TP 2: $77,897 Final Target: $74,990 5️⃣ Summary & Conclusion 📌 BTC/USD has broken out of a Rising Wedge pattern, confirming a bearish trend. 📌 A pullback and retest may occur before further downside continuation. 📌 The chart suggests a short opportunity, targeting lower support zones for potential profit-taking. 📌 Traders should manage risk with a well-placed stop-loss above key resistance. This setup aligns with technical analysis principles, confirming a high-probability short trade for BTC. 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
1
BITCOIN - Long Trade Idea - Possible Move Higher Incoming...This video follows up on the chart I posted last night, where I suggested that Bitcoin could break past its all-time highs and potentially double in value from its current levels. This analysis is based on the AriasWave methodology, which offers a clearer perspective compared to the often-confusing Elliott Wave approach. Check out the related idea below for the original chart, and in this video, I update that analysis with key levels to watch and potential risks to consider.
Long
by AriasWave
Volatility Period: Around March 22-25 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) I think it always falls less than expected and rises more than expected. Therefore, trades should always be done in split trades. This volatility period is expected to last from March 21st to 26th. Therefore, the key is whether it can break out of the downtrend channel and maintain the price after this volatility period. In order to do that, it is important to see if it can be supported near the Fibonacci ratio range of 2.618 (87814.27) ~ 1.618 (89050.0). If it breaks out of the downtrend channel and falls, if it does not fall below the downtrend line, it is expected to rise. In other words, we need to check if it is supported near the Fibonacci ratio point of 2.24 (83646.12). If not, if it falls, it is expected to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart. In other words, it is expected to touch near 73499.86. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. It is up to you how to view and respond to it. Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role. The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci. Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies. 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto
The Fed Cuts Balance Sheet Runoff by 80% - BULLISH!RISK-ON 🚨 I’m seeing so many people incorrectly analyzing the September 2019 emergency repo OMOs, which were short-term liquidity injections from the Fed, and then comparing it to the price of BTC going down, before QE officially started in March 2020 because of the pandemic. Here’s what really happened. September 15, 2019 was a tax deadline, pulling ~$100B out of markets as large corporations paid the IRS and funds flew into the TGA. Meanwhile, the Treasury issued new T-Bills to rebuild cash reserves following the post-debt ceiling resolution in August, draining another $50-100B as big banks and institutions absorbed the securities. During this time, the Fed continued reducing its balance sheet (QT) down to $3.76T, but the balance sheet did not leave enough slack for unexpected cash drains to the system, such as corporate taxes and Treasury issuance. Unfortunately, the Fed was flying blind and did not have a hard number estimate for “ample reserves” in the banking system. These reserves were largely hoarded by a few of the larger banking institutions due to Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) rules and a higher IOER at 2.1% vs the ON RRP rate of 1.7% - a 40 bp spread. This caused a liquidity crisis in the US repo market because bank reserves held at the Fed ($1.36T) were too low and repo lending dried up. Banks weren’t able to access each other’s reserves to fund daily operations. SOUND FAMILIAR !? The US just resolved its CR to avoid a government shutdown, and they will be refilling the TGA by issuing new T-Bills. The reverse repo facility is also nearly drained. Today, we heard the Fed will be reducing its securities runoff from $25B - SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B on April 1st, an 80% adjustment. One of the main drivers is they wanted to get ahead of another 2019-style repo crisis (although they won’t say this), rather than being reactive and having to perform emergency OMOs once again. Now to go back to my original point with people saying the Fed reducing its balance sheet runoff is a big nothingburger based on BTC price action in 2019. BTC dumped because of the repo crisis, NOT because markets needed QE. By early 2020, the liquidity crisis was resolved, and BTC pumped ~45% before the pandemic hit in March and nuked the chart. Proof is in the pudding - just look at the 2017 bull market. QT started in October 2017, and the market ripped until early 2018. The Fed reducing its balance sheet runoff by 80% is definitely a signal of risk-on for educated market participants, as it leaves more reserves in the financial system, which gives banks more liquidity to loan the market. i.e. M2 go up. But keep listening to your favorite large accounts who are all of a sudden macro gurus, what do I know 🤓
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by jonnieking
#BTC #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #LONG #Scalp #Scalping #Eddy#BTC #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #LONG #Scalp #Scalping #Eddy BTCUSDT.P Scalping Long Setup Important areas of the upper time frame for scalping are identified and named. This setup is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style. Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this scalping setup to enter the trade. Don't forget risk and capital management. The entry point, take profit point, and stop loss point are indicated on the chart along with their amounts. The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for not observing your risk and capital management. Be successful and profitable.
Long
by Eddy_Trade_