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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)

AUDJPY - Growing SHORTS! Big Move Ahead!In one of our last AUDJPY analysis, we indicated that price looked foppish. Since then, we've had almost a 2000pip drop! That big drop can be marked as wave 1 in our new bearish impulsive trend. We are now in Wave 2, which is an ABC correction. We have completed Wave A (3 waves). We are now in Wave B (3 waves). We're currently in subwave b of wave B. Expecting subwave c to appear very soon. Trade Idea: - Watch for bearish price action on lower timeframe - You can use trendline break, fibs or BOS to find the reversal point - When entered, put stops above subwave B. - Target: 91 (750pips) 4Week Chart Goodluck and as always, trade safe! See our previous setups below:
by WicktatorFX
Pepe/UsdtOKX:PEPEUSDT 🚨 ** CRYPTOCAP:PEPE Price Update**: **0.000022901$** 📉 Will the price hold at this level? 🤔 ### **Current Scenario:** - **Price holding at 0.000022901$**: - **Bullish Scenario** 🚀: If the price **holds above 0.000022901$**, we could see the price move toward the **resistance level at 0.000028734$**. This would signal a potential **upward trend**. 📈 - **Bearish Scenario** 🐻: If the price **doesn’t hold**, we could see it drop to lower support levels, indicating a **possible downtrend**. ⬇️ --- ### **Key Levels to Watch:** 🔑 **Resistance** (Upside Targets): - **0.000028734$**: The first major resistance. If the price breaks above this, it could continue higher! 📊 📉 **Support** (Downside Risks): - **0.000022091$**: First support level if the price starts falling. ⚠️ - **0.000017534$**: A deeper support level to watch in case the price continues to drop. ⬇️ - **0.000012005$**: A critical low point for further downside risk. 🛑 --- ### **What You Should Watch For:** 1. **If the price holds at 0.000022901$**, watch for the **breakout** towards **0.000028734$** (resistance). 📈 2. **If the price breaks below 0.000022091$**, it might head toward the **next support levels** (0.000017534$ and 0.000012005$). ⚠️ --- ### **Strategy (Long):** If you're considering a **long position** (buying), you want the price to **hold above** 0.000022901$ and aim for **0.000028734$** (resistance). 📈 Keep an eye on support levels in case of any pullbacks. 🧐 ### **Important Reminder:** This is **not financial advice**! Always do your own research (DYOR) before making any decisions. ⚖️ --- Good luck with your trades! 💡🚀
by Wolftrader1337
Pepe/UsdtOKX:PEPEUSDT 🚨 ** CRYPTOCAP:PEPE - Neutral Zone Daily Update** ⏳ Is a **price explosion** 🚀 coming soon? Here's what you need to watch: 🔑 **Key Support**: - The important support level to watch is **0.0002280$**. If this holds, we could see bullish momentum starting up! 📈 ⚠️ **Caution with Fake Moves**: - There are **major resistances** ahead! Be careful of fake upward moves that might trap buyers. 🛑 - **Reduce your targets** for safety! ⚖️ --- 📉 **Main Resistances Above**: - **0.0002450$**: First resistance level ⬆️ - **0.0002510$**: Next resistance zone ⬆️ - **0.0002630$**: Strongest resistance level 🔥 --- **Important Tip**: - Keep an eye on the support at **0.0002280$**! If it holds, we could see a move upwards, but remember to be cautious around the resistance levels. 👀 ⚖️ **Be strategic and watch for confirmation!** 🧐 --- Disclaimer:It's not Financial Advice
Long
by Wolftrader1337
16/12/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $106,649.88 Last weeks low: $94,177.33 Midpoint: $100,413.61 A new ATH for BTC last week as we saw $106K for the first time, truly amazing price action since the Trump election win. NASDAQ:MSTR , IBIT and other massive institutions are continuing to buy with more companies having rumoured to add BTC to their balance sheet, demand is strong and does not seem to be going away as we go into the end of the quarter/year. This week we have many different data releases from the UK, US & ECB. Naturally volatility is expected around these events, it also makes traders a little tentative to enter into trades, I would say this is more accurate during bear markets/ choppy conditions. Right now we're in a strong Bullrun and therefor the momentum is less news data driven and more a race for institutional buying, It's a given at this point that we're in a period of rate cuts and so that is factored into price. Altcoins have seen a recent pullback despite BTC pushing higher, this is as a result of the BTC.D chart tanking when alts took the liquidity from BTC profits and so dominance did see a correction. This latest BTC move up while alts are down is just a continuation of BTC.D continuing its surge as it always does in the Bullrun before the true altseason where alts outpace BTC after a blow-off top. This week I'd like to see BTC come through data events unscathed with altcoins bouncing off the 4H 200EMAs and starting the next leg up going into year end.
by ProR35
Bitcoin Ascending Bullflag Breakout Target 140kI am still expecting significant resistance in the 120-130k range so to see this having a full target of 140k is pretty wild to me. Perhaps we have. Correction before reaching its full breakout target, or perhaps price sends a large wick above the resistance up there to hit this target before that resistance rejects price for a significant correction. Either way I do anticipate we rise to at least 120k on this next move up. *not financial advice*
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
2
Bitcoin - Medium Term Trading Idea w/ High Potential - 16 Dec 24After U.S. election price broke the high and reach in period less than 2 month high of $106'000. Many traders expecting new highs over 150'000 - 200'000 dollars per Bitcoin, but the reality for TradingTie team is bit different. Elliot waves are the best predictable tool in which phase of the trend we are. After breaking the range of 4-th wave - we are currently in fifth wave. 1. The price hit the upper trendline channel. 2. The price hit strong static resistance in range 104'000-106'000 3. On lower time frame 5 min the price made 5 downtrend impulsive waves. Our target is over $60'000 per bitcoin in March-May 2025.
KRAKEN:BTCUSDShort
by TradingTie
3
BITCOIN - Time to buy again!As you can see, the price is in an ascending triangle, which could lead to significant growth after the breakout. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CobraVanguard
4
Bitcoin hits a new ATH! Potential for a higher swingBTC/USDT has reached a new all-time high, breaking out of a trend continuation pattern commonly observed in this market. The long-tailed bar on the weekly timeframe indicates potential momentum toward the 115,000 level in the near future. Currently, the market has made an impulsive upward move and is now consolidating sideways. A pullback toward the support zone and upward trendline may precede further upward continuation if rejection candles form, signalling buying pressure. The target resistance zone for this movement is around 108,000
Long
by RTED_Investing
Currency Wars: Exploring BTC/Fiat Ripple Effects on Key Markets1. Introduction In today's interconnected financial markets, major fiat currencies like the Euro (6E) and Yen (6J) play a critical role in influencing USD-denominated assets. The relative strength between these currencies often reflects underlying economic trends and risk sentiment, which ripple across key markets like Treasuries (ZN), Gold (GC), and Equities (ES). However, Bitcoin (BTC), a non-traditional digital asset, introduces an interesting divergence. Unlike fiat currencies, BTC's behavior during periods of significant market stress may reveal a unique relationship to USD movements. This article explores: The relative strength between the Euro and Yen. Correlations between fiat currencies, BTC, and USD-denominated markets. Whether BTC reacts similarly or differently to traditional currencies during market volatility. By analyzing these dynamics, we aim to identify how shifts in currency strength influence assets like Treasuries while assessing BTC’s independence or alignment with fiat markets. 2. Relative Strength Between 6E and 6J To evaluate currency dynamics, we compute the relative strength of the Euro (6E) versus the Yen (6J) as a ratio. This ratio helps identify which currency is outperforming, providing insights into broader risk sentiment and market direction. Another way to think of this ratio would be to use the RY1! Ticker symbol which represents the Euro/Japanese Yen Futures contract. Correlation Heatmaps The correlation heatmaps below highlight relationships between: o Currencies: Euro (6E), Yen (6J), and Bitcoin (BTC). o USD-Denominated Markets: Treasuries (ZN), S&P 500 (ES), Crude Oil (CL), Gold (GC), and Corn (ZC). o Key Observations (Daily Timeframe): The 6J (Yen) shows a positive correlation with Treasuries (ZN), supporting its traditional role as a safe-haven currency. Bitcoin (BTC) demonstrates mixed relationships across assets, showing signs of divergence compared to fiat currencies during specific conditions. o Key Observations (Weekly and Monthly Timeframes): Over longer timeframes, correlations between 6E and markets like Gold (GC) strengthen, while the Yen's (6J) correlation with Treasuries becomes more pronounced. BTC correlations remain unstable, suggesting Bitcoin behaves differently than traditional fiat currencies, particularly in stress periods. 3. BTC Divergence: Behavior During Significant Moves To assess BTC's behavior during stress periods, we identify significant moves (beyond a predefined threshold) in the Euro (6E) and Yen (6J). Using scatter plots, we plot BTC returns against these currency moves: BTC vs 6E (Euro): BTC returns show occasional alignment with Euro movements but also exhibit non-linear patterns. For instance, during sharp Euro declines, BTC has at times remained resilient, highlighting its decoupling from fiat. BTC vs 6J (Yen): BTC's reaction to Yen strength/weakness appears more random, lacking a clear pattern. This further underscores BTC’s independence from traditional fiat dynamics, even as Yen strength typically aligns with safe-haven asset flows. The scatter plots reveal that while fiat currencies like the Euro and Yen maintain consistent relationships with USD-denominated markets, Bitcoin exhibits periods of divergence, particularly during extreme stress events. 4. Focus on Treasury Futures (ZN) Treasury Futures (ZN) are among the most responsive assets to currency shifts due to their role as a safe-haven instrument during economic uncertainty. Treasury prices often rise when risk aversion drives investors to seek safer assets, particularly when fiat currencies like the Yen (6J) strengthen. 6E/6J Influence on ZN From the correlation heatmaps: The Yen (6J) maintains a positive correlation with ZN prices, particularly during periods of market stress. The Euro (6E) exhibits a moderate correlation, with fluctuations largely dependent on economic events affecting Eurozone stability. When relative strength shifts in favor of the Yen (6J) over the Euro (6E), Treasury Futures often attract increased demand, reflecting investor flight-to-safety dynamics. Forward-Looking Trade Idea Given the above insights, here’s a hypothetical trade idea focusing on 10-Year Treasury Futures (ZN): Trade Direction: Long Treasury Futures to capitalize on potential safe-haven flows. Entry Price: 109’29 Target Price: 111’28 Stop Loss: 109’09 Potential for Reward: 126 ticks = $1,968.75 Potential for Risk: 40 ticks = $625 Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 3.15:1 Tick Value: 1/2 of 1/32 of one point (0.015625) = $15.625 Required margin: $2,000 per contract This trade setup anticipates ZN’s upward momentum if the Yen continues to outperform the Euro or if broader risk-off sentiment triggers demand for Treasuries. 5. Risk Management Importance Trading currency-driven assets like Treasury Futures or Bitcoin requires a disciplined approach to risk management due to their volatility and sensitivity to macroeconomic shifts. Key considerations include: a. Stop-Loss Orders: Always use stop-loss levels to limit downside exposure, especially when markets react sharply to currency moves or unexpected news. b. Position Sizing: Adjust position size to match market volatility. c. Monitor Relative Strength: Continuously track the 6E/6J ratio to identify shifts in currency strength that could signal changes in safe-haven flows or BTC behavior. d. Non-Correlated Strategies: Incorporate BTC into portfolios as a non-correlated asset, especially when fiat currencies exhibit linear correlations with traditional markets. By implementing proper risk management techniques, traders can navigate the ripple effects of currency moves on markets like Treasuries and Bitcoin. 6. Conclusion The relative strength between the Euro (6E) and Yen (6J) provides critical insights into the broader market environment, particularly during periods of stress. As shown: Treasury Futures (ZN): Highly sensitive to Yen strength due to its safe-haven role. Bitcoin (BTC): Demonstrates unique divergence from fiat currencies, reinforcing its role as a non-traditional asset during volatility. By analyzing correlations and BTC’s reaction to currency moves, traders can better anticipate opportunities in USD-denominated markets and identify divergence points that signal market shifts. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CBOT:ZN1!Education
by traddictiv
13
BTCUSD | Trade ideaBTCUSD is trading weak ahead of the US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data, having hit a low of $55,282 and currently hovering around $55,958. The number of large investors holding between 100 and 1,000 BTC has reached a one-month high of 16,120, indicating that whales are buying BTC at lower levels. BTC ETFs have experienced an outflow of $211 million, marking the seventh consecutive day of withdrawals. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September has dropped to 57% from 70% a week ago. US Markets: NASDAQ (negative correlation with BTC): Bearish but neutral for BTC, trading weak ahead of the NFP data. A close above 20,000 could push the index to 20,500. Technical Analysis: BTCUSD is trading below the short-term 34-EMA and 55-EMA, as well as the long-term 200-EMA on the 4-hour chart, indicating weakness. On the daily chart, BTC remains below both short- and long-term moving averages, confirming minor weakness. Support Levels: Minor support at $54,000. A break below could push BTC to $53,000/$50,000/$46,000. Bullish Scenario: Primary supply zone: $57,000. A break above this level could confirm intraday bullish momentum with potential targets of $60,000/$61,800/$63,000/$65,000/$67,000/$70,000. Secondary barrier: $70,000. A close above could target $75,000/$80,000.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DynamicCapital-FX
Bullish Patterns and Bitcoin: A Roadmap to $125KAs anticipated by many, following Trump’s election, Bitcoin experienced a significant surge. On November 14th, it encountered its first notable correction during this upward momentum. In early December, Bitcoin crossed the critical 100k milestone for the first time. However, this achievement was followed by a swift pullback. Since then, dips have consistently been met with strong buying activity, and as of now, the price has stabilized comfortably above this key psychological level. The price action since mid-November reveals the formation of an ascending channel, a technical pattern that historically suggests a 70% probability of continuation to the upside. A decisive breakout above 107k could confirm this bullish scenario, with a measured target for the next leg up around 125k if the pattern fulfills its statistical expectation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
2
BTCUSD Wyckoff Accumulation Phase completedLets assume that the strength in the US dollar wont last for too much longer, as Central Banks try and work out how many more trillions are needed in the system. The BTCUSD had been in a trading range for some time and this week we convincingly left it, with a big dose of Bullish price action. Will it last? IDK. I am long BTCUSD so I am fundamentally in the Bitcoin 🚀 camp so I am also talking up my own book. However, if we look to Wyckoff and transpose his teachings on the stages of the accumulation phase, we get quite a convincing outlook to the upside. It could all be down to the fact that we see what we want to see, or it could be a run on the banks to the crypto-sphere.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Macrobriefing
3
BTC dell 120.000$📊 BTCUSDT Analysis: Current Price: $102,859.06 Sell Zone: Near $120,000.00 (🟢 Major resistance) Support Zone: $77,777.00 (🛡️ Key level for potential rebound) 🚨 Signal: Bearish Scenario: If BTC reaches $120,000.00, it’s a sell opportunity 📉. Bullish Scenario: In a strong bull trend (📈), you can buy dips around $77,777.00 (🚀 support area). 💡 Strategy: Take profits near $120,000.00 🎯 if already holding BTC. Watch for entries at $77,777.00 🔍 if BTC retraces. 📈 Trend: Overall Bullish unless support at $93,175 or $77,777 breaks (🔻). 🔐 Risk Management: Stop-loss for buys: Below $73,316.18 (⚠️ Critical level). Let me know if you need further clarification or tailored strategies!
Long
by ehsancrypto72
Bitcoin: New Profit Objectives Greater Risk.Bitcoin is poised to push the 104K high after breaking the previous inside bar (buy signal). While this is exciting and a newsworthy event for the casual observer, it is important to recognize some potential turning points from here. While there is no precision to this, it does offer a way to measure profit objectives and compare them to the growing RISK. Once again I will emphasize that swing trades and day trades are the most effective way to contain the large magnitude of RISK that is often overlooked by many. The blue arrow on the chart points to the 104K all time high. The thing to avoid here is shorting it with the thinking that it will "double top" ect. At this time there are no signs of weakness. The outside bar that developed a week ago has been bought up, along with any minor pullback thereafter. With the trend structure clearly in place, shorts still pose a high risk, especially on swing trade time frames. There are situations where risk on both sides of the market can be high and these are usually good times to be small or be out. As far as profit objectives: measuring Wave 1 and projecting from the Wave 2 bottom, I see inflection points in the 105K and 113K areas (see horizontal lines). We can use these to anticipate selling activity and prepare to lock in profits, etc. Can price can further? ANYTHING is possible, but as I will ALWAYS say at highs, the probability is lower. The fact that we are in the vicinity of a Wave 5 of 5 of a broader 3 is what clues me into the limited potential. The initial retrace from the current high (see illustration) or these anticipated profit objectives will serve as a short term buying opportunity (swing trade). As of now, UNTIL the 90K support is broken, I would not be bearish. Look for supports to hold and confirmations to buy on smaller time frames. It is important to REALIZE that markets move in CYCLES. At some point this bullish cycle will complete and the next corrective cycle will begin. It may be hard to believe at the present time because news and general sentiment is continuously bullish. What will catch most people off guard is when the next cycle begins, it will seem like a normal pullback only this time will it not be followed by new highs. This is when the typical trader/investor gets married to the market because they refuse to adjust to the changing structure. And like over half of the marriages today, it will be costly. For me, the 90K break will confirm that the broader corrective cycle is in play. Thank toy for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
9