BITCOIN Is Going Up! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 100,153.20.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 102,181.06 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Future Outlook with StochRSI and OBV
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I used TradingView's index chart to see the overall flow of BTC.
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(BTCUSD 1M chart)
OBV is showing an upward breakout of the High Line.
Accordingly, we should look at how the High Line is expressed when the candle of the next month is created.
The StochRSI indicator has risen above 50 points, and has changed to a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
Accordingly, we should look at whether it will maintain the current state and show an upward trend.
Looking at the movement of the indicators on the 1M chart, I think it is highly likely that the uptrend will continue.
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(1W chart)
There is some ambiguity in analyzing BTC due to the movement of the 1W chart.
The StochRSI indicator is maintained at the 100 point, and the StochRSI EMA indicator is approaching the 100 point.
As of now, the StochRSI EMA has never touched the 100 point.
Accordingly, I think the pressure for a decline is increasing as time goes by.
The OBV indicator has risen above the high line.
Accordingly, if a high line is created next week, we should see if it enters the high line.
If so, BTC is expected to show a downward trend.
However, the StochRSI and OBV indicators cannot tell the extent of the decline.
Therefore, if the decline begins, there is a possibility that the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1W chart) indicator will be touched.
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(1D chart)
BW(100) indicator is created at 101197.25.
Accordingly, in order to continue the uptrend, the price must rise above 101197.25 to maintain it.
The OBV indicator is near the high line.
Accordingly, when it rises above 101197.25, we need to see if the OBV indicator breaks through the high line upward.
The StochRSI indicator is below 50, and StochRSI < StochRSI EMA.
Accordingly, we need to see if it rises above 50 points and switches to a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA and is maintained.
If not, and BTC falls below 95961.82, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
At this time, if the HA-Low indicator or BW(0) indicator is generated, then the important issue is whether there is support near that indicator.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
After the volatility period around December 3, it is important to see whether the price can be maintained near the important support and resistance area of 95904.28-98892.0 until the next volatility period.
Therefore, the point to watch is whether it can reset the StochRSI indicator on the 1W chart while moving sideways unless it falls below 95904.28.
The key point is what I said on the BTCUSDT 1D chart.
If it rises above the BW(100) indicator point of 101109.59 and maintains the price, and if the StochRSI indicator rises above the 50 point and changes to the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, there is a possibility that it will rise further.
However, as I mentioned earlier on the 1W chart, the StochRSI EMA indicator on the 1W chart is approaching the 100 point, so it will eventually show a downward trend.
As explained in the big picture below, the coin market is expected to maintain an upward trend until the end of 2025.
Therefore, I think that even if there is a short-term decline or a downward trend this time, it will eventually rise above the current price.
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Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been in an upward trend since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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BITCOIN BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
BITCOIN is trending down which is evident from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a beautiful trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 89,901.
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Bitcoin Price/Time map updateWelcome back traders!
Here we have a map of the price pace of Bitcoin that have shown a very strong bull cycle so far.
Ideally, the last all time high of this cycle should be reached around June/September 2025 when the price will be between 120K and 150K.
See you in the next crypto catch up.
Math
BTC Cycle Idea: Peak to Peak 2018-2021 OverlayAnother Path to a 2025 Q4 Cycle Peak for BTC.
Overall market sentiment unanimously agrees that we're going higher next year. The question is how high and for how long? What happens after?
IMO its impossible to predict so instead, let's account for the most likely scenarios and react quickly as they develop.
CYCLE 4 | LOG Trend Lines Chart - For Fun!Quick post looking at how BTC has historically respected 'log trend lines and how they may affect BTC future price action.
Will be fun to see how this model holds up over cycle 4 and future BTC cycles (view on a computer and use the future price action tools to see what happened past todays post date).
Total market cap follows 2016-2017 parabolic run!The market, which led parabolic waves despite being rejected in 2016-2017, is based on stronger foundations with the increase in corporate interest in 2020-2024 and the state-based adoption process that started in 2020.
We will witness the highest levels in history!
BITCOIN Keep it simple. It won't top anytime soon.This is indeed a 'keep it simple' analysis consisting of 4 charts, each displaying a Bitcoin Cycle since 2012.
There is no need to overcomplicate things, the charts are pretty much self explanatory.
According to all 3 prior Cycles, BTC is on a rally supported by the 1week MA50, that is just over halfway completed.
It will not peak anytime soon and may very well be above $200k, even as high as $300k if the extremely optimistic scenario prevails.
Previous chart:
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Need to check support near the new high point
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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It seems that funds have flowed into the coin market through USDT and USDC.
(BTC.D 1D chart)
The point to watch is whether it can meet resistance near the MS-Signal indicator and fall below 55.01.
If BTC dominance rises, it means that funds are concentrated on BTC, so altcoins are likely to show a downward trend.
However, you cannot predict the rise and fall of BTC prices based on the rise or fall of BTC dominance.
(USDT.D 1D chart)
The movement of USDT dominance can be used to roughly estimate the overall trend of the coin market.
Therefore, if USDT dominance falls, the coin market is likely to show an upward trend, and if it rises, it is likely to show a downward trend.
Therefore, the movement of prices can be identified by the movement of USDT dominance.
Therefore, you can roughly estimate the movement of funds with BTC dominance and the trend with USDT dominance.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
Although the StochRSI indicator has fallen below 50, the price of BTC is actually showing an upward trend.
Accordingly, it is necessary to check whether the StochRSI indicator turns upward again and whether it turns into a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
It is currently showing an upward trend near 101109.59, which is the BW(100) indicator point.
Accordingly, whether there is support near 101109.59 is the key.
If the StochRSI indicator fails to turn into a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA and shows a downward trend, it is expected to fall again to the 95904.28-98892.0 range.
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Therefore, what we should consider important in the current movement is whether we can reset the StochRSI indicator on the 1W chart while maintaining the price around the newly formed high point range of 97821.58-101109.58 until around December 27th.
Based on the high point range of 97821.58-101109.58, this means that 101109.58 or higher is the high point.
Therefore, it is better to interpret the high point range as a high point boundary range.
Therefore, if it rises above the high point range and then falls below the high point range, it is highly likely that it will lead to an additional decline, and we should consider countermeasures for this.
When the decline begins, the downtrend will stop as it finally creates a low point range (low point boundary range).
That is, when it meets the HA-Low indicator and BW(0) indicator, it will create a low point section.
If it creates a low point section and then creates a bottom section, an upward trend will begin.
If we organize this movement,
1. It rises in the section composed of the HA-Low, BW(0) indicator and most of the movement appears within the section composed of the HA-High, BW(100) indicator.
That is, the HA-Low, BW(0) section ~ HA-High, BW(100) section forms a sideways, box section.
2. If it falls in the section composed of the HA-Low, BW(0) indicator, it is highly likely to create a downward wave and show a stepwise downward trend.
However, since this step-down trend will eventually play a role in creating a bottom section, if the HA-Low, BW(0) indicators show a rise higher than the previous HA-Low, BW(0) indicators, it can be interpreted that there is a high possibility that a bottom section will be formed at that time.
3. If it rises in the section composed of the HA-High, BW(100) indicators, it is highly likely that it will create an upward wave and show a step-up trend.
Therefore, it is recommended to set a stop loss point when trading because there is a high possibility that it will turn into a downtrend when it falls above the section composed of the HA-High, BW(100) indicators.
However, it is necessary to check the correlation with the M-Signal indicator on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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Bitcoin currently in an ascending bull flagI made a rough estimate of where the flag make breakout for where I placed the dotted measured move breakout target line. There’s a chance it could not hit the entire flag tRGET and instead only reach the breakout target of just the channel portion of the flag itself which would be a much lower target. Also always a possibility arising channel breaks to the downside though at the beginning of a parabolic phase during a bull market they usually break upwards. We will see what happens soon enough *not financial advice*
BTC Breaks $101,000: BlackRock Advocates 2% Portfolio AllocationBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ), the world’s leading cryptocurrency, has reclaimed the $101,000 mark, riding a wave of institutional endorsements and bullish technical indicators. A groundbreaking paper from BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, has highlighted Bitcoin’s potential role in diversified portfolios, suggesting a 1% to 2% allocation as a “reasonable range.” This development comes as Bitcoin surges amid macroeconomic and political tailwinds.
BlackRock’s Strategic Endorsement
BlackRock’s latest report emphasizes Bitcoin’s place in multi-asset portfolios, comparing its risk profile to the "Magnificent Seven" technology stocks in a 60/40 stocks-and-bonds portfolio. While cautioning against exceeding a 2% allocation due to increased portfolio risk, BlackRock’s endorsement underscores the asset’s growing legitimacy.
According to Samara Cohen, BlackRock’s CIO of ETF and Index Investments, “A Bitcoin allocation would provide a diverse source of risk, while overweighting tech stocks amplifies portfolio concentration.” The paper also notes Bitcoin’s low correlation with traditional assets, albeit with significant volatility.
Factors Driving Bitcoin’s Rally
Bitcoin’s recent surge is bolstered by multiple factors:
- Political Support: President-elect Donald Trump’s pro-crypto stance and his appointments of blockchain-friendly officials have revitalized market confidence.
- ETF Adoption: The January 2024 launch of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs has been a game-changer. These funds have amassed over $113 billion in assets, with $10 billion inflows recorded since Trump’s victory in November.
- Institutional Interest: With BlackRock’s IBIT leading the pack, institutional adoption is seen as a harbinger of reduced volatility and enhanced legitimacy.
However, BlackRock’s report tempers optimism by pointing out Bitcoin’s historically sharp drawdowns, ranging from 70% to 80%. While wider adoption could stabilize prices, it may also curtail the dramatic gains that attract speculative investors.
Technical Analysis: A Bullish Trajectory?
Bitcoin’s technical indicators signal potential bullish momentum as it consolidates above $100,000. Here’s a closer look:
- Current Price Movement: Bitcoin is up 0.41% at the time of writing, showing resilience after a dip to $96,000 during a selling spree.
- Key Resistance Levels: A breakout above the $115,000 pivot could ignite a bullish rally, potentially driving prices to $150,000 by Christmas.
- Support Zones: Should consolidation persist, support lies at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, coinciding with $95,000.
- Market Sentiment: Bitcoin’s year-to-date growth of 140% underscores robust investor confidence, despite its inherent volatility.
Balancing Risk and Reward
The BlackRock report advises adopting a “risk budgeting” approach to Bitcoin investments, particularly given its outsized impact on total portfolio risk. While Bitcoin’s low correlation to traditional assets adds diversification, its volatility demands cautious sizing.
For investors eyeing Bitcoin’s potential to reach $150,000, the strategy should account for key risk factors, including possible retracements and the evolving regulatory landscape. As institutional adoption grows, Bitcoin could mature into a less volatile but equally vital component of diversified portfolios.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s ascent past $101,000, coupled with BlackRock’s ringing endorsement, marks a pivotal moment for the cryptocurrency market. As 2024 draws to a close, Bitcoin remains a high-reward, high-risk asset poised to redefine portfolio strategies. With technical and fundamental indicators aligning, investors are watching closely—whether for the next breakout or the next buying opportunity at key support levels.
Will Bitcoin’s rally extend to new heights, or will its infamous volatility temper the excitement? Only time will tell, but the stage is undoubtedly set for an electrifying finish to the year.
BTC - The Bulls Are Still Strong!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈BTC has been bullish, trading within the rising channel in blue.
Currently, BTC is in a correction phase approaching the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, the blue zone is a strong structure and support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower trendline acting as non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #BTC approaches the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Nobody appreciates it !!!As I mentioned in my previous analysis, Bitcoin managed to break through the triangle pattern and experienced significant growth. Now, the price is forming a bullish pennant pattern, which could lead to further growth after the pennant breaks.
Previous Analysis
Give me some energy !!
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Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
107K is next upside target, looking at 98-98.5K for entryMorning folks,
So, BTC stands in upside channel, and we have no big patterns by far. Meantime, on 4H chart as potential ones, we could suggest the butterfly, right?
While on 1H chart we have DRPO "Sell" (in red circle) and a kind of H&S shape. It is just a shape, but who said that market can't keep it harmony?
Thus, 98-98.5 seems interesting level, if you would like to go long. For short position we see nothing interesting on higher time frames, thus, only DRPO "Sell" here and with minimal target around 98.5K
SOLANA GOING OVER $300 VERY SOON Want to keep this short because I am working a lot of different coins right now. Also, the work is on the chart. I've marked the relevant price levels for resistance and support and included a fib analysis for a price target.
Try and get in on a red candle on a little draw back so you don't experience death by stop hunt.
Good luck Lads.
Coin Daily Chart $COIN Bull Flag🚩 **Coinbase ( NASDAQ:COIN ) Daily Chart – Bull Flag Formation!** 🚩
Coinbase is printing a classic bull flag on the daily chart, hinting at potential continuation to the upside. Traders are watching for a breakout above the flag's resistance to confirm the move. Momentum could accelerate quickly! 📈
#SPX500 AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ #BITCOIN #CRYPTO
Bitcoin Cash About to Pull a Bitcoin?If BCH can break the diagonal and hold above it here, it will likely also break 1442, which would confirm a double bottom targeting 24.3k as its target for a single measured move, and could go a lot higher.
Alternatively, if it fails to get above the diagonal, it may test 85 dollars yet again.
The BHC / BTC pairing also looks like it has bottomed or is in the process of bottoming, which could lend fuel to the positive move if this is the case:
BITCOIN 120K end of yearBitcoin is currently progressing through minuette wave 3, with the remaining wave 5 subwaves expected to complete soon. The projected target is $120k, aligning closely with the anticipated 25bps rate cut from the upcoming FOMC meeting.
If realized, this could fuel a strong bullish momentum, potentially driving Bitcoin higher through the holiday season and into Christmas!