Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
ETH - is the worst over ? Can we expect reversal ?As shown in the chart, ETH has reached the trendline support and is currently trading near a key support zone. This critical level will determine whether ETH initiates a reversal from its long-term downtrend that began last December.
I anticipate this support to hold, leading to a strong rebound in ETH's price. If the reversal occurs from this zone, ETH could reach its peak around Q4 2025.
Let’s see how it unfolds!
Cheers,
GreenCrypto
Bitcoin: Watching For Reversal 78K AREA.Bitcoin bear flag has become in play over the previous week as I anticipated in my previous week's analysis. While there is a potential minor support in the 81 to 80K area, the lower high established at 88K implies a lower low is likely to follow which can unfold this week. This scenario could see price retesting the 76K area low. There are a couple of potential opportunities that can present themselves in this situation.
The day trade long off the 81,500 area support (see thin rectangle and arrow). This would be appropriate for the smaller time frames like 30 min or lower. Waiting for price structure confirmations and looking for profit objectives that are proportionally within reason on your selected time frame (Trade Scanner Pro is ideal for this). Price may see smaller time frame reversal patterns between 81,500 and 80K numerous times. It is important to take proportional profits because there is NO guarantee the reversal will follow through especially in the face of a lower probability bounce (thanks to the lower high established at 88K).
The opportunity for larger time frames (like swing trades) is between 78 to 76K. This is the previous low and a broader double bottom formation can develop here. The confirmation patterns are the same as previously explained, except the profit objective can be much greater because of the magnitude of the levels in question. For example, if a long confirms at 78,500, risk would be like 2K points, profit objective would be 4K at minimum. Scaling out of a swing trade can also be considered here like selling half at 83.5K, another quarter at 84.5K and closing what is left at 85.5K. Scaling is a more advanced concept, if you find it confusing, just stick to a simple R:R of 2:1 or more all in all out in high potential situations.
While the broader trend in Bitcoin is still bullish, the short term structure is bearish until proven otherwise by price. Trying to piece together news, economic reports, etc., I find to be nothing but confusing and often counterintuitive to how the market actually reacts. This is why I rely ONLY on price structure and support/resistance levels. They are objective and help me align with the market intent (and why a lot of my anticipated scenarios happen to play out).
The fact that the short term structure is bearish implies support levels have a greater chance of breaking. This helps to shape my expectations, and also why it is so important to wait for confirmation. The reason I prefer longs over shorts in this situation is because I do not lose site of the BIG picture. The 76K to 73K area is VERY relevant location of a broader higher low. This is why you need to have a very deep understanding of the time frames you are using along with the potential and risks presented by reach one. The larger the time frame, the more weight it carries. The short term bearish trend is nothing more than a retrace of a broader BULLISH structure that has been in play since the 15K low a few years ago.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #48👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis, I will review the futures session triggers for the New York market.
⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, yesterday the price made a pullback and a correction, briefly moving above the SMA 25, but now it has dropped back below this level.
🔍 This correction has reinforced the 82,302 level as a stronger support, making a break below this area even more significant.
💫 If 82,302 breaks, I strongly recommend having a short position, as breaking this level could initiate the next bearish leg.
🔼 For a long position, our current trigger is 83,808, but this is a risky trigger, and I believe it's better to wait for the market to establish a new structure.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Now, let’s analyze Bitcoin dominance. The dominance remains bullish and is currently stabilizing above 62.30.
✔️ If this level holds, the next resistance will be 62.66, and dominance could initiate another bullish leg toward this zone.
🔽 For a bearish move, we need to wait for the ascending trendline to break and then confirm the downtrend with Dow Theory before considering short positions.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Moving on to Total2, yesterday the price closed below 1.01, and now it has pulled back to retest this level. It seems ready to initiate the next bearish leg.
📉 For a short position, breaking 0.984 remains the key trigger. If this level breaks, you can enter a position.
🔼 For a long position, we need to wait until the strong bearish momentum fades and buyers start entering the market.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now, let’s analyze USDT dominance. As you can see, dominance has completed a bullish leg, followed by a slight correction, and now it has regained bullish momentum and is moving upward again.
💥 For further upside, breaking 5.49 is the key trigger to enter a long position.
⚡️ For a bearish move, we need to wait for a new bearish structure to form before considering short positions.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin Breakout Confirmed, Aiming for $160K
Chart Analysis:
Bitcoin has just confirmed a major breakout above a key resistance zone, signaling a strong bullish continuation. Let’s dive into the details:
1.Ascending Triangle Breakout:
BTCUSD had been consolidating within an ascending triangle pattern since late 2024, with the upper resistance around $80,000 and a rising support trendline (highlighted in yellow).
The breakout above $80,000 on strong volume confirms the bullish pattern, which is typically a precursor to significant upward moves.
2. Accumulation Zone:
Before the breakout, Bitcoin spent several months in an accumulation zone between $53,837 and $80,000. This phase allowed buyers to build positions, setting the foundation for the current rally.
3.Price Targets:
The measured move of the ascending triangle (height of the pattern) projects a target around $160,000. The height of the triangle is approximately $26,163 (from the base at $53,837 to the resistance at $80,000). Adding this to the breakout point ($80,000 + $26,163) gives a target of ~$106,163. However, considering Bitcoin’s historical tendency to overshoot during bull runs and the psychological significance of $160,000 (as noted on the chart), this level seems like a realistic target.
4. Support Levels:
The previous resistance at $80,000 now acts as strong support. If BTC pulls back, this level should hold to maintain the bullish structure.
Additional support lies around $70,000, aligning with the lower boundary of the recent consolidation range.
5. Momentum Indicators:
While the chart doesn’t display specific indicators like RSI or MACD, the sharp upward move suggests strong momentum. Traders should monitor for overbought conditions on RSI (above 70) as BTC approaches higher levels, which could indicate a potential pullback.
Trade Idea:
Entry: Current price around $84,599.61 (post-breakout confirmation).
Stop Loss: Below $78,000 (to account for minor pullbacks while staying above the breakout zone).
Take Profit: $160,000 (primary target based on the pattern projection and psychological level).
Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:12, making this a high-probability setup.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $100,000 (psychological), $120,000, $160,000 (target).
Support: $80,000 (new support), $70,000 (secondary support).
Market Context:
Bitcoin’s breakout aligns with a broader crypto market uptrend, potentially fueled by positive fundamentals such as institutional adoption, favorable regulatory developments, or macroeconomic factors like inflation concerns driving demand for BTC as a store of value. Ethereum’s recent breakout (as seen in similar charts) also supports the bullish sentiment across the crypto market.
Conclusion:
BTCUSD has broken out of a multi-month consolidation pattern, confirming a bullish trend with a target of $160,000. The $80,000 level should now act as strong support, and any pullbacks to this zone could offer additional buying opportunities. Stay cautious of overbought conditions as BTC approaches higher resistance levels. Let’s see how far this rally can go!
Don’t Miss the Next Shiro Neko SurgeShiro Neko is setting up for another breakout.
Consider buying in the next few days — it may surpass its all-time high at any moment.
Remember: it hit a 1 Bi market cap in just one day.
Don’t underestimate it — 2 Bi within a week is on the table.
Stay sharp. 📈🐾
#ShiroNeko
Bitcoin can correct to support level and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at this chart, we can observe how the price began to decline around the mirror line and soon reached the 88500 resistance level. After that, BTC attempted to move upward but resumed its decline, eventually breaking below the 88500 level and falling toward the support area, which aligned with the buyer zone. Following this drop, Bitcoin bounced back into the buyer zone and even pushed slightly higher, beginning a steady rise within an ascending channel. Inside this channel, BTC reached the 82200 level and broke through it, made a minor correction, and then continued climbing to the upper boundary of the channel. The price then pulled back to the buyer zone, rebounded again, and returned to the channel’s resistance line before continuing its upward move. Eventually, BTC touched a key resistance level, hovered around it for a while, and then began to decline. Shortly after, the price broke out of the channel and dropped back to the support zone. However, more recently, it has started to rise again. In my view, BTC might first revisit the support area once more before continuing its upward movement. For this scenario, I’ve placed my first target near the resistance level at 87000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Chaos to Clarity: Mastering the Discipline Mindset5min read
Looking back on my journey as an investor, I can see how much my mindset shaped my path. When I first started, I was a mess—chasing every hot tip, jumping into trades without a plan, and letting my emotions call the shots. I’d feel a surge of excitement when price spiked, but the moment it dipped, I’d panic and sell, locking in losses. It was a chaotic rollercoaster, and I was losing more than I was gaining. I knew something had to change, but I wasn’t sure where to begin.
One day, I took a step back and really looked at myself. I realized the market wasn’t my biggest problem—I was. I was reacting to every little fluctuation, letting fear and greed drive my decisions. I started paying close attention to how I felt when I made trades. Was I anxious? Overconfident? I began noticing patterns. When I was stressed, I’d make impulsive moves that almost never worked out. But when I was calm and focused, my choices were better, and I’d often come out ahead. That was my first big revelation: my state of mind was the key to everything.
I decided to get serious about controlling my emotions. I started small, setting strict rules for myself. I’d only trade when I was in a good headspace—calm, clear, and ready to stick to my plan. If I felt off, I’d step away from the screen, no exceptions. It was tough at first. I’d catch myself itching to jump into a trade just because everyone else was talking about it. But I learned to pause, take a deep breath, and check in with myself. Over time, I got better at staying steady, even when the market was a whirlwind.
I also realized how much my beliefs were holding me back. I used to think I had to be in the market constantly to make money. If I wasn’t trading, I felt like I was missing out. But that mindset just led to burnout and bad calls. I started to change my thinking—I told myself it was okay to sit on the sidelines if the conditions weren’t right. I began to see that success wasn’t about being the busiest; it was about being the smartest. I focused on quality over quantity, and that shift made a huge difference. My wins started to outnumber my losses, and I felt more in control than I ever had.
One of the toughest lessons came when I stopped blaming external factors for my failures. If a trade went south, I’d point the finger at the market, the news, or even the system I was using. But deep down, I knew that wasn’t the whole truth. I had to take responsibility for my own actions. I started treating every loss as a chance to learn. What was I feeling when I made that trade? Was I following my rules, or did I let my emotions take over? By owning my mistakes, I began to grow. I became more disciplined, more aware of my own patterns, and better at sticking to what worked.
I’m not going to pretend I’m perfect now—I still make mistakes, plenty of them. At the beginning of this week, I came into trading loaded with personal problems from real life. I didn’t even pause to clear my head; I just dove straight into the charts and started opening long positions without much thought. By Friday, I realized what I’d done—I’d let my distracted, emotional state drive my decisions. So, I closed all my positions except one, cutting my losses quickly and stepping back to reassess. That’s what’s changed: I recognize those mistakes almost immediately now. I don’t hang on to them or let them spiral. I catch myself, fix the problem fast, and move on without beating myself up. That ability to pivot quickly has been a game-changer. I’m not stuck in the past anymore—I’m focused on getting better with every step.
Over time, I learned to tune out the noise and focus on what I could control. I stopped worrying about what other people were doing and started trusting my own process. I’d remind myself that investing isn’t just about the numbers—it’s about the person behind the trades. The more I worked on my mindset, the more consistent my results became. I learned to stay present, keep my emotions in check, and approach every decision with a clear head. That’s what turned me into the investor I am today—someone who’s not just chasing profits, but building a sustainable, successful approach to the markets, mistakes and all.
Bitcoin Short short ermThis is just a trade idea! And an idea is an idea and exists as an idea,as nobody can predict the markets. No body!
Some media say:Trump Pushes Advisers To Intensify Tariffs Ahead Of April 2.If it will be true ,
Then I prepare for this scenario(SEE THE CHART) above!.
Someoone commented below my last idea,he wants price action and I should draw lines and paint the charts for him . I wonder,that he doesent know that there is always price action! We just need to look at the charts. Above is also a chart. Lol.
But drawing lines, projection ghost lines is Not trading! It is drawing and painting.
Whatever: Fundamentals align with long term trend sentiment: Bearish. Sure surprises will always be present.Thats speculation! Therefor:Put always stops. And dont follow blindly any trade idea. Also my trade idea is just an idea. But you should take responssibility to take your own decision. Because you trade with your own money.
EMAS: 15 min. 200MA, 3min. 200MA
Stop above val of yesterday
Resisatnce:POC of yesterday red line. Breakthrough above the red line is bullish setup, and leading to val of yesterday
If rejected, falls back.If holds above the price will climb.I dont think that it happens, because the trend continutation pattern I use(There are billions of trend continuation patterns!!!!!!!! Also billions of ways to define a trend!!!!!)
is currently bearish!....
Ofcourse on any other TF you will have billions of reasons to do the opposite of trade idea,you you are welcomed.
Have a good trading day.
Bitcoin Dominance Keeps Climbing Despite Bearish Divergence📉 Bitcoin Dominance Keeps Climbing Despite Bearish Divergence
🚨 Since January 29, 2025, a massive bearish divergence on Bitcoin dominance ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) has been forming... yet it never materialized!
🔍 Even worse—this divergence keeps growing, meaning CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is overbought but still pushing higher, defying all technical indicators.
💡 The March 19, 2025 FOMC Pump:
Bitcoin jumped +6% from GETTEX:82K to $86K 📈
Altcoins barely moved—most stayed stable or had a minor push 📉
This was not an organic move—it was institutional & political manipulation
⚠️ The Consequences:
Altcoins are getting wrecked—again 😤
When Bitcoin corrects, altcoins will crash harder 🚨
Bitcoin maximalists (Saylor, politicians, whales) are pushing Bitcoin at the expense of the entire crypto industry
🎭 Reality Check:
Bitcoin maximalists don’t care about crypto—they care about their own bags 💰. Their goal? Kill altcoins & centralize wealth in Bitcoin.
⏳ Until the crypto industry wakes up to this war between Bitcoin maximalists & the rest of the market, nothing will change.
Another altseason cancelled, another liquidity funnel into Bitcoin to protect institutional & banking interests.
Hopefully this bearish divergeance will finally plays out and we will see this very welcome altseason. Until then, altcoins are struggling.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Altcoins #BTC #BearishDivergence #CryptoManipulation #AltseasonCancelled #BTCMaximalists #CryptoNews #Saylor #InstitutionalManipulation
BITCOIN - Long Trade Idea For A Zig-Zag...In corrective patterns, Wave 2 can sometimes include large expanded waves.
Here’s a simplified example of a potential Zig-Zag trade.
The critical support level is at the start of the move at $79,962, while key support lies at the 0.786 retracement level at $81,635 if we break above $84,630.
The target for Wave (C) is $90,547, aligning with the length of Wave (A).
BITCOIN - Key Levels To Watch If You Expect A Bounce...Due to the lack of sustained downward momentum overnight and the overall weak move, I have relabeled the decline from $88,839 as a sharp correction, potentially marking the end of Wave 2 in a Wave E corrective bounce.
Wave 1 appears to be a Type-2 Weak 5-Wave move that began at $79,962.
To confirm this bounce, we need a break above $84,630, with a protective stop set at the last low, currently $81,635, aligning with the 0.786 retracement level.
Bitcoin Part2: Bullish Trade longBad economy,global inflation,recessive U.S. economy,hypes,uncertainly, the white house policy.
All these facts matter:They put the markets under massive pressure
Where is the chance: To plan different scenarios and models that have benn working in such similar scenarios. 202 is a good example, as the markets suddenly experienced big pressure.
Last not least, the FED transistory inflation, that wasnt real inflation, now indeed is becoming a dangerouse reality: We will have higher inflation, and global risks increasing.This will impact global liquidity inflow into markets.
Additionally we are noticing an outflow of the US stock markest, and increasing inflow of capital in foreign countries stock markets.
This are not good news for Bitcoin nor for crypto at all.
The chane in my opinion is just to think reverse.like 2020
Sell when positive news from the Whitehouse andpositive tone from FED.
Buy when White house talking and announcing threadful tariffs and if FED talks negatively.
Why?Because we have indieed real thread of inflation, and FED is the more competent team, who really now does everything to tame the inflation.Therefor i beleive them more.
Also short term contarian trade is just planned for max 24-48 hours. not longer
As the volatility rises.
Helding positions for more periode of time means increasing the risk.Upwards and downwards.
Bitcoin Part1: bearish Trade Short termBitcoin Macro Index' bear signal puts $110K BTC price return in doubt
Fact is: Bitcoin and ether drop amid grim inflation outlook, tariff uncertainty midterm to long term, as long the white house continues its policy.And PRES: trump cannot prevent it.
A positive change of the white house policy, and improving its relationshipsto other nations,instead putting them with tariffs, will be a boosting positive cataylst also for crypto,specially Bitcoin. Bitcoin has lost in trust of new investors ,specially since 21st of January 2025.
Also participating of Pres. trump in crypto summits had no positive significant signals ,specilly not for Bitcoin.Instead Bitcoin lost now more than 34% since Nov. 2025.
Also many crypto fans are very disappointed about developement of their crypto performances.
Promise gave,Promise ,,NOT,,kept!
It wIll be a very volatile time ahead.
Therefor I prepare for both scenarios:Bullish/Bearish short term.
This is part 1:bEARISH STRATEGY:
Below 78k...bearish momentum will gain more on momentum.
Bitcoin - EMA Support Holding Strong!#BTC/USD #Analysis
Description
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BTC/USD – Weekly Chart Analysis
📉 Current Price: $82,239 (-4.47%)
📈 Key Moving Averages:
🔹 EMA 20: 88,143
🔹 EMA 40: 81,116
🔹 SMA 50: 76,230
EMA Support Holds Strong – The chart highlights multiple historical instances where BTC found support at the 20-40 EMA zone (orange circles). This pattern has played out consistently in past market cycles.
- Bullish Trend Continuation – Each time BTC has tested this EMA region on a pullback, it has led to strong recoveries and further bullish momentum.
- Current Market Structure – BTC is once again testing this key EMA support zone. A bounce from here could signal a continuation of the uptrend.
- Historical Patterns Repeat – The blue shaded region and Vector Algo's AI-optimized signals indicate that similar setups have resulted in upward moves.
✅ Bullish Scenario: If BTC holds above the EMA 40 ($81,000) and forms bullish confirmation candles, we could see a move toward previous highs ($96,000) and possibly $100,000+.
❌ Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below $81,000 could lead to further downside towards the 50 SMA ($76,000) and lower demand zones.
Bitcoin remains in a strong uptrend, and the current EMA support test is crucial for trend continuation. Keeping an eye on price action around this zone is key for potential long opportunities!
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
$BTC Death Cross Forming Inverse H & SAs expected, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is rolling over, hopefully to form that right shoulder for the inverse h & s patter to confirm the next leg up.
This dumped is fueled by the impending death cross, which historically marks big reversals, since the cross is already priced in.
Bitcoin Dominance Nearing Major Resistance – Big Move Incoming!Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) has been in a strong uptrend and is now approaching a key resistance zone between 65% - 75%. Historically, this level has acted as a major turning point, leading to significant shifts in market dynamics.
✅ BTC.D has broken above long-term trendline resistance.
✅ The 62%-65% zone is a strong supply area where dominance previously reversed.
✅ A fakeout above resistance could trigger a sharp rejection, leading to a decline in BTC dominance.
✅ The projected drop in BTC.D (expected in Q3 2025) aligns with potential altcoin strength, signaling an upcoming altseason.
🔸 BTC dominance could push toward 75% before a rejection.
🔸 This move could coincide with Bitcoin reaching $100K+ levels
🔸 If BTC.D gets rejected at resistance, a sharp drop toward 50% or lower could fuel a massive altcoin rally in Q3 2025.
🔸 This scenario aligns with past cycles, where BTC.D peaked before capital rotated into altcoins.
⚡️ BTC dominance is nearing a make-or-break level – a rejection could mark the start of altseason 2025, while a breakout could further strengthen BTC’s dominance.
💬 What do you think? Will BTC.D break higher, or is altseason around the corner? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
Cheers
GreenCrypto
ALT Market cap - Dip before 3TThe Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding BTC (CRYPTOCAP) is currently testing a critical support zone at the 21-month Simple Moving Average (SMA). Historically, this moving average has acted as a strong dynamic support, marking significant market reversals and uptrends.
✅ Price is bouncing off the 21 SMA, similar to previous bull market cycles.
✅ The recent correction appears to be a healthy retest of support rather than a trend reversal.
✅ The formation of higher lows suggests bullish momentum building up.
✅ If price holds above this level, we could see a strong rally in altcoins, pushing the total market cap higher.
A successful bounce from the 21 SMA could trigger a bullish continuation, leading to a market expansion toward 1.6T - 2.3T levels in the coming months.
🔸 A monthly close below the 21 SMA could invalidate this setup, leading to a deeper correction.
🔸 Key support zone to watch: $900B - $950B
🔸 Breakout confirmation: Monthly close above $1.1T
If history repeats, this could be the perfect accumulation zone before the next major altcoin season! Keep an eye on the monthly close and volume confirmation for the next big move.
Follow our TradingView account for more technical analysis updates. | Like, share, and comment your thoughts.
Cheers
GreenCrypto
The "Good" Crypto Narrative Is OverIt's been a while since I've done a bit of a deep-dive on this market and why I don't believe it'll sustain a significantly higher value in the future. I no longer have the stamina to write a long-winded post. It's exhausting at this point, and I don't need to reiterate it. Instead, I'll summarize recent developments and their impact on the crypto narrative.
1) The TOTAL crypto market cap currently rests below the all-time high from 2021. This is even including stablecoins. There is $144B worth of USDT currently in circulation. In 2021, that number was $80B. Meanwhile, stock indexes and several individual stocks are significantly up from their last peaks. From a "store of value" standpoint, this doesn't look great, particularly factoring in inflation. Adjusted for inflation, Bitcoin itself is sitting below its inflation-adjusted 2021 all-time high, which is around $84K.
2) Bitcoin active addresses are back to 2017 levels and BELOW the levels from even the previous bear market! This implies that "authentic" adoption has stagnated and begun a decline. studio.glassnode.com
3) In the eyes of a growing number of investors, Trump and Elon's crypto push has only solidified the crypto market as a joke and as a global symbol of greed and corruption.
4) Gold has far outpaced Bitcoin as a store of value during this recent period of turbulence, disproving Bitcoin as a possible safe haven. Here is the Bitcoin/Gold chart for reference:
5) Still, if cryptocurrencies completely ceased to exist, there would be no net-negative effect on the world. In fact, it may be a net-positive. Unless this suddenly changes, crypto does not have any real world value. You cannot say this about most MIL:1T + markets: If most major companies and resources ceased to exist, we'd see a very significant (mostly negative) impact on our daily lives, almost immediately.
In summary, I don't think people will be coming in droves to invest in this market. I think that ship has sailed. The opportunity for it to prove itself has waned, and it has been overtaken by largely bad actors. If anything, I think people are more likely to be forced to buy it than enter the market willingly.
From a technical standpoint, a breakdown from the big uptrend channel in the chart above would likely confirm that the top is in.
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Beware, a crypto narrative still exists, but it's only the one fed to us by those in power. It will be important not to fall for it. I worry that people will be forced to own cryptocurrencies, at the expense of their freedom. And even in a situation where crypto prices continue to increase, it is unlikely to be seen positively.
Once we graduate from these strange and confusing times, rife with dissociation, monopolies, grift, and power consolidation, it seems more likely that humanity will look at crypto as part of an uncomfortable past. If we never move on to more optimistic times, and things continue to become more dystopian, well, then that would be a time where crypto adopters can say, "hey, we were right!" But...at what cost?
Regardless, it will always be possible to profit from the volatility, hence my attempts at trading a little recently, with a focus on Litecoin. So, trading opportunities will present themselves, which will keep at least some people interested in this market. I think it is unlikely to be enough liquidity to sustain significant new all-time highs.
Here is my last big post, where I detailed more reasoning - this was prior to the Bitcoin ETF's:
And here is a recent post, where I describe how my own thoughts about the market evolved, from when I first entered in 2017 to the present:
As always, this represents only my opinion, and is meant for speculation and entertainment only, not as financial advice. There are many other opinions out there. It is your responsibility to develop critical thinking.
Thanks for reading as always!
-Victor Cobra
Bitcoin 1-Year Pattern- The art of trading lies in analyzing the past to anticipate the future.
On the yearly timeframe, BTC has consistently followed this cycle:
- 1 year of bearish decline.🟥.
- 1 year of consolidation and bottoming out.🟩.
- 1 year of steady growth.🟩.
- 1 year of explosive upward movement.🟩.
based simply on that :
- 2025 is poised to be a breakout year for BTC.
- 2026 should be the next bear market.
- Everything changes, nothing lasts forever, but as a trader, you must stay on course.
- Don't let market noise shake your confidence.
Happy Tr4Ding !
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #47👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis, I will review the futures session triggers for the New York market.
⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, yesterday the 83,808 trigger was activated, and the price moved down to the next support at 82,302.
⚡️ The 19.70 level in the RSI is a crucial area, as the price has reacted to this level in the last two bearish legs, leading to slight corrections.
✔️ Today, it might be a bit late to open new positions, as the price is slightly oversold, suggesting that the move has already extended sufficiently.
🔽 This situation means we should enter positions with lower risk today. The short trigger for today is 82,302, and if this level breaks, the price could decline even further.
📈 For a long position, we need to wait for confirmation of a trend reversal. First, the SMA 25 must reach the price, and then a Dow Theory confirmation should establish a new bullish trend.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Now, let’s analyze Bitcoin dominance. As you can see, this index increased yesterday as the market dropped. It briefly faked out above 62.14 before reversing downward again.
🎲 At the moment, 62.14 remains a key trigger for bullish dominance, while the main support level is 61.81.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Moving on to Total2, this index is in bad shape. It has broken its key support at 1.01 and is now moving toward 0.984.
💥 I can't provide any specific trigger for this chart today because it has dropped significantly without any corrections. For now, we need to wait for a new structure to form.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now, let’s look at USDT dominance. Yesterday, dominance finally stabilized above 5.34, which triggered a market drop.
🔍 Currently, USDT dominance has reached the next resistance at 5.48 and has shown a reaction to this level. To confirm further upside, we need a break above 5.48. If a correction starts and we see more red candles, the price could retrace back down to 5.34.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.