Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTC. Beginning of a global downtrend or correction before ATH?If #Bitcoin down trend continues, there is chart area from which a Fibonacci price rebound is highly likely to occur. On the other hand, CRYPTOCAP:BTC price may not reach there, experiencing a sideways movement for some time. Beginning of a global downtrend or correction before ATH?
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis & Trading PlanBitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis & Trading Plan – February 28, 2025
Market Overview
The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) price is currently trading at $79,770, showing a -0.74% decline in the latest 4-hour candlestick. The chart illustrates a falling wedge trading pattern, which is considered a bullish reversal signal. The price is approaching the lower boundary of the wedge, signaling a potential breakout to the upside.
Technical Indicators & Key Observations
Falling Wedge Pattern:
The price has been making lower highs and lower lows within a falling wedge formation (red and green trendlines).
A breakout above the upper boundary of the wedge could trigger a strong bullish rally.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate support: $76,665
Major support: $67,679
Key resistance levels:
$88,671
$91,271
$95,497
$108,329 (Major long-term resistance)
Momentum Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): 22.26 (oversold), indicating potential upward momentum.
Stochastic Oscillator: 16.14, also in the oversold region, confirming a possible reversal.
Money Flow Index (MFI): Showing weak inflow, but a reversal at these levels could indicate increasing buying pressure.
Cipher_B Divergences: Potential bullish divergence forming, adding confluence to the breakout scenario.
Professional Trading Plan
Entry Strategy
Aggressive Entry: If Bitcoin closes a 4-hour candle above the wedge's upper trendline (~$80,500), an early entry can be considered.
Conservative Entry: Wait for confirmation above the $82,000 level with strong volume before entering a long position.
Profit Targets
First Target: $88,671 (previous local high)
Second Target: $91,271 (psychological level)
Third Target: $95,497 (strong resistance)
Ultimate Target: $108,329 (major long-term resistance)
Stop-Loss Strategy
For aggressive traders: Below $76,500 (recent low)
For conservative traders: Below $74,000 to reduce risk exposure
Risk Management
Risk-to-reward ratio: 1:3 or higher (entry should be calculated to maintain proper risk-reward)
Position Sizing: Allocate 2-5% of capital to this trade, considering volatility.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is currently trading at a critical support level within a falling wedge. The RSI, Stochastic, and MFI indicators suggest oversold conditions, indicating a potential bullish breakout. Traders should watch for a confirmed breakout above the wedge with strong volume before entering a position. Targets remain between $88,000 and $108,000, with well-defined stop-loss levels to minimize risk.
💡 Recommendation: Monitor price action closely, especially in the next few 4-hour candles. If BTC breaks above the wedge, prepare for a bullish move towards resistance levels.
Bitcon currently filling the CME futures gapWe knew it was likely this would happen at some point in the near future from when the gap was formed and it appears like now is the time. Price action needs to dip as low as $77,920to fill the gap entirely. History tells us the correction should be over with not long after the gap is filled. The only way this isn’t the case is if the top of the bull market was indeed already in, which is a very minute probability but not impossible. *not financial advice*
(BTC) bitcoin "its nothing"People are wasting their time with bugging out about the price of BTC losing. It's nothing. The price lost like -12%. If someone bought at the peak the price is down like -25%. Compared to all the super inconsistent tokens, memes, and thought bubbles of people creating small and micro cap strategies behind cryptocurrency others. Cryptocurrency has a problem with all the ideas following the movement and price of BTC. Either the people who invest in BTC are also heavily invested in alt coins, tokens and memes, or the real truth; there is no way large institutional banks are invested in most of the tokens. Tokens should not be so easily knocked down. How many years are we going to see the inconsistency of tokens and alt coins before the world of cryptocurrency investors remove the framework where people tend to believe BTC controls the prices and movements of all cryptocurrency. BTC lost a tiny amount compared to the larger losses continually accruing by miniscule cryptocurrency market caps.
Will the bitcoin bloodbath send prices below its 200-day SMA?Currently lower for a sixth day, bitcoin futures have just tested the 200-day average for the first time this year. This clearly marks a pivotal moment for bulls and bears over the near term, but we also have to factor in the higher timeframes.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Phemex Analysis #63: Riding the Storm of BTC’s DropThe crypto market never sleeps, and neither does Bitcoin’s legendary volatility. From euphoric rallies to gut-wrenching drops, Bitcoin continues to test the nerves of traders worldwide. Now, with BTC hovering in the low $80,000s, many are asking: Is this the beginning of a deeper correction, or the perfect setup for the next big opportunity?
Professional traders don’t just watch the market; they capitalize on it. While many fear a price drop, seasoned market participants know that volatility breeds opportunity. Whether Bitcoin tumbles further or stabilizes, there are multiple ways to navigate and profit from its price movements.
1. Short Selling – Profiting from the Fall
Bitcoin is experiencing high trading volume and a low RSI, signaling strong bearish momentum with no immediate signs of reversal. When the market trends downward, skilled traders can capitalize by strategically shorting BTC.
To execute this strategy, traders should initiate short positions to profit from BTC’s continued decline. Proper risk management is essential, with the $87,060 resistance level serving as a key point for setting a stop-loss to minimize potential losses.
For profit-taking, key support levels to watch include $75,000, where Bitcoin historically tends to bounce after a 25% drop, $66,814, a known demand zone where reactions from buyers are likely, and $58,917, a critical level that, if broken, could signal a more extended bear market.
Noted that this strategy is best suited for advanced traders who can time their entries effectively and manage risk appropriately.
2. Grid Trading – Automating Profits in Volatility
Even in a downtrend, Bitcoin rarely moves in a straight line. Price oscillations near major support levels create opportunities for frequent small profits, making it an ideal setup for grid trading bots. By deploying these bots, traders can automate buy and sell orders at predefined price intervals, systematically capturing gains from Bitcoin’s price swings.
The key to success in grid trading is identifying strong support levels where Bitcoin exhibits frequent bounces. Setting up a trading grid near critical levels like $75,000, $66,814, and $58,917 allows the bot to execute buy orders on dips and sell orders on small recoveries, profiting from volatility even during a broader downtrend.
While this strategy is effective in choppy markets, it requires careful adjustments. If Bitcoin breaks below support with high volume, traders must reevaluate grid placement or temporarily pause the strategy to avoid excessive losses.
3. Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) – Playing the Long Game
For long-term Bitcoin believers, every dip presents an opportunity. Instead of trying to time the exact bottom, DCA allows traders to accumulate BTC gradually at lower prices, reducing overall entry cost and minimizing exposure to short-term price swings.
Setting up recurring buy orders near or slightly below key support levels ensures steady accumulation. Allocating a fixed percentage of capital to these entries helps maintain discipline and prevents emotional trading.
Over time, as Bitcoin recovers, the lower cost basis translates to greater long-term gains. While this strategy requires patience, it remains one of the most effective ways to build a strong position in Bitcoin without being affected by daily price fluctuations.
Final Thoughts – Turning Fear Into Opportunity
Bitcoin’s latest dip isn’t just a test of nerves—it’s an opportunity for skilled traders to make strategic moves. Whether shorting the downtrend, trading the volatility with automation, or accumulating for the long haul, each strategy offers a unique way to profit from market conditions.
Short selling takes advantage of continued bearish momentum, grid trading systematically generates profits from price fluctuations, and dollar-cost averaging builds a solid long-term position.
By applying disciplined risk management and adapting to market conditions, traders can turn Bitcoin’s volatility into a profitable advantage rather than a source of uncertainty.
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Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
$BTC sideways for now, long-term uptrend intactI’m waiting for CRYPTOCAP:BTC to tap 102k again, or for the yearly open at 93k. Not much happening at the moment, but I see it moving higher.
Most likely, we’ll trade within January’s candle and form an inside bar. The inflection point will be at the extremes of that candle for short-term trades. If it decides to break January’s low, I’d see that as a potential re-entry point.
So, in short:
Continuation above 102k
First possible entry at the yearly open (I think many are watching that area)
Second entry at January’s low (optimal for me)
For now, it’s just consolidation.
Bitcoin: Wave 4 or Wave goodbye...to this variantIf you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Bitcoin Wave 4?: Key Levels & Critical Juncture
Bitcoin’s recent price action has put traders on edge, as we continue to push into the deeper reaches of the Wave 4 territory. The market rejected 99-100K, aligning with expectations, but it took a deeper path than my bullish outlook preferred. While I caught the correct direction, this move is now at a critical juncture where bulls need to step up—this is their last chance to hold this count as a probability and regain momentum, IMO.
Losing Ground on This Count
A clean break above 99K never materialized, reinforcing bearish sentiment and increasing the likelihood of further downside. The bulls have struggled to gain control, and without a strong push, this count risks full invalidation. At this stage, I remain cautious, knowing that sticking to weak counts is a losing game.
Key Levels to Watch
🔹 86.6K – Immediate obstacle for bulls to reclaim 📈
🔹 92K – The real test; a reclaim here would suggest bullish intent 🎯
🔹 75K – Next major support if bulls fail to hold structure ⚡
What Comes Next?
If this variant is going to stay on the probability list, it has to prove itself now. It was cautiously at the top of the list, but has broken the key levels and ideal price action I was looking for to keep it there.
Bitcoin is at a make-or-break moment—will it find strength, or are we heading for a deeper correction? Let me know your thoughts in the comments. 🚀
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
Cryptocurrency and Stocks will DecoupleI still remember the AI saying that NVDA was going to 320 "in the near future." This was back in June 2024. No matter when you asked the AI, its only prediction would be up, it couldn't make an analysis based on the data coming from the chart. The program wasn't very intelligent, that's what I concluded.
I disagreed. NVDA is going down and this is now fully confirmed.
We are seeing a very long distribution phase and the crash is now taking place.
Ok, but what about Bitcoin?
Bitcoin will decouple from traditional markets, just look at the news.
While Cryptocurrency is due a generational bullish wave, the stock market is due a generational retrace.
I honestly don't know how the stock market will perform but I can look at individual charts. NVDA is bearish and going down strong.
NVDA, TSLA, the SPX, the NDX and Crypto are not the same. These are two completely different monsters.
The SPX and NDX is landline.
Crypto is free wireless internet for all.
The SPX and the NDX is centralization and control.
Bitcoin is decentralization, innovation, technology and freedom.
Times change.
The stock market will recover and it is sure to continue growing long-term.
Will the establishment let it crash or will they jump in and pump it up?
I don't know. But NVDA is bearish and going down. What one does, the rest follows.
But, what about Bitcoin? Bitcoin is going up.
It is very simple. They will decouple, they will not move together anymore. Many, many Altcoins are trading at bottom prices, many stocks are trading high up.
The giant stocks will crash, while the Cryptocurrency market goes up. This is one more of the reasons why we are about to experience the biggest bull-market in the history of Crypto.
People are evolving, the world is changing. We are changing from centralized monopoly money, to a free decentralized technology that is available for all.
Money is not the paper, the shiny stone or the codes; money is what we decide to use for the purpose of exchanging value.
At one time, salt used to be money as well as cows. Sea shells, glass and cacao are also on the list. People used to use these things as money.
The argument that Bitcoin has no value is obviously flawed. If you want to buy a Bitcoin you have to pay a price, that's value, nothing more.
If we decide to use something as money, it becomes money.
Bitcoin is money for the new generation.
The old generation dies out and a new one takes its place.
Life will continue to evolve and money will do the same.
Now it is Bitcoin, later down the road it will be something else. But Bitcoin has value, it is really expensive and it will continue to grow.
After the crash, NVDA will recover for sure.
Namaste.
4 reasons that Gold may have peaked: Gold can thrive on uncertainty, and for the past three years, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has been a key driver. However, recent developments hopefully suggest a possible shift toward peace. While a complete resolution is uncertain, the beginning of peace talks, no matter how flawed they appear, could weaken gold’s safe-haven appeal.
Gold benefits from lower interest rates, as it competes with yield-bearing assets like bonds. Earlier in the year, markets expected the Federal Reserve to cut rates aggressively. However, recent economic data and Trump’s economic policies mean inflation could be a greater concern than initially thought. This has led to doubts about how quickly the Fed will ease policy. If rate cuts are delayed or scaled back, gold’s upside could be limited.
Gold and Bitcoin are seen as alternative stores of value. Bitcoin has recently fallen about 20% from its highs. This could suggest a broader shift in risk sentiment, potentially impacting gold if investors move back into the U.S. dollar or other assets.
Markets initially expected Trump to push aggressive tariffs, which would have fueled inflation and boosted gold. However, so far, his rhetoric has been more meandering than expected, with only a 10% tariff on Chinese imports. If markets believe that Trump’s trade policies will be less disruptive than previously thought, gold loses a key bullish narrative.
Whole market drops but our strategy makes profitWhile the rest of the market drops our strategy delivers profitable day once again 👏
Buy Alerts were on NASDAQ:BCG NASDAQ:ESGL NASDAQ:MLGO
❌ No holding and hoping
✅ In and out at safest spots, exiting after pre-planned prices are reached 🎯
Nicely profitable day while NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:PLTR NASDAQ:META and even MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN end in deep red 🔻
BTC At Critical Support on 200DMA + RSI Way Oversold₿itcoin testing critical support on the 200DMA 🚨
Last time it closed under on July 4, 2024 it ranged for 101 days.
RSI hasn't been this oversold since August, 2023.
Last time BTC was at this RSI level and closed under the 200DMA it ranged for 60 days.
HOWEVER, the only time BTC has ever closed under the 200DMA on a Post-Halving year was in May 2021, where it then went on to rally to another new ATH.
I'm personally buying here 💯
Litecoin Could Triple Against Bitcoin (LTC/BTC)As much as crypto annoys me these days, I can't help but still pay attention to this wild market.
There are some red flags - a lot of uncertainty and major paradigm shifts apparently looming on the horizon. Bitcoin has really slowed down, when it comes to price increases and volatility. It's also now associated with political polarization, as it has been predictably co-opted by wealthy interests, aimed at centralizing financial control and surveillance. Nevertheless, cryptocurrencies chug along.
I'll admit, I've always liked Litecoin. Maybe it's because it was the first cryptocurrency I bought where I realized, hey, Bitcoin isn't the best at what it's supposed to do. It was a lot faster and cheaper, and remains a preferred medium of exchange for crypto transfers. This is evidenced by its growing number of active addresses, when compared with Bitcoin's stagnation.
bitinfocharts.com
bitinfocharts.com
Bitcoin's growth has stagnated, when it comes to its use as a transfer of value, whereas Litecoin continues to grow slowly. Litecoin's active addresses are also only about 50% less when compared with Bitcoin, making its "adoption" not all too far behind.
Of course, there are probably many flaws with Litecoin, as there are with cryptocurrencies as a payment method in general, but when you look at the current crypto market cap and how much Litecoin is actually used, it seems to be undervalued when compared to all the other fluff out there.
It just works. Its max supply is also only 4x that of Bitcoin. It's unlikely to ever achieve a market cap similar, but even if it it goes 4x from here in USD terms (taking it just above its past ATH), its market cap would be the same as Dogecoin, around $37B. That's honestly pretty funny to me.
The only thing I like about crypto is that it's marginally better than a lotto ticket. Maybe if things get even more dystopian, owning some crypto isn't a terrible idea. Things are absurd as it is. I don't like it, but that's how things have been going.
For some quick technicals. Litecoin is on its strongest tear against ETH since 2018:
Litecoin also broke down from a major uptrend against the USD a while ago, but if it gets back in (currently above $170ish), it could fuel a pretty explosive rally.
Based on the above LTC/BTC chart, there is room for a pretty large upside correction.
HOWEVER, it's important to keep in mind that markets are fragile overall right now. If Bitcoin makes a sizeable correction, back down to $70-80k or deeper, Litecoin may drop down to some lows not seen in some time. It's also important to remember that serious upside for Litecoin has previously occurred near market tops.
This is not meant as financial advice! This represents my opinion and feelings about the markets, which are always evolving.
-Victor Cobra
Bitcoin Update: Critical Support & Elliott Wave Levels To WatchBitcoin here is the thing...
1. For now drop is not impulsive, so can be correction
2. 4th wave pullbacks will ideally stabilize near 50/38.2%. Just testing the important zone 77k-85k
3. Old high and unfilled gap are crucial to cause a bounce, otherwise the major high is in
4. You don't want to see this fourth wave breaking the lowest base channel line, otherwise top is in.
5. Bullish resumption for wave 5 when/if 93700 overlaps
6. This market wont go up unless risk-on is back
GH
Bitcoin Finds Support, Relation 2 Altcoins Market & Bullish TalkBitcoin is trading right now between the 0.5 and 0.382 Fib. retracement levels relative to the last bullish wave. Let's dissect what this means.
The main levels are always 0.382 and 0.618 when it comes to Fibonacci retracements. The 0.5 level is also relevant and pairs tend to find support around this line.
Bitcoin broke the 0.382 Fib. level decisively but on very low volume.
Bitcoin failed to test 0.5 Fib. retracement level as support.
The fact that volume is low and 0.5 wasn't pierced works in favors of the bulls.
Notice that 0.618, the golden ratio, is not even in question. This is because the market is ultra-bullish. When the market is bullish, a reversal tends to happen at 0.382 or above 0.618. The fact that Bitcoin stopped its fall above this major support is good news for the bulls. This is good for those that are trading Bitcoin LONG. Just hold patiently because prices will recover and Bitcoin will grow. Not only grow but massive growth.
Signals continue to develop from the Altcoins market, today is not the same as yesterday, today we have a continuation on many, many big and small pairs.
At first, it would be doubtful to trust the signals that I am showing because the action was young in some cases, in other cases it was weak and small. But this isn't the case anymore.
Very big projects such as Aptos, Bitcoin Cash, Litecoin, Polkadot, Zcash and Maker are only a few of the many examples I've been showing you. This is enough to know, confirm and trust that the bottom is already in, the Altcoins market is going up. The only way the Altcoins can grow is if Bitcoin is also going to grow. The Altcoins never move up while Bitcoin is bearish. Seeing an Altcoin growing 100%+ in a single day means that the bears are weak while the bulls are strong. We are experiencing the final-final flush before a major, massive, incredibly, hyper, uber-rich Cryptocurrency market bull-run.
So support is good and support is really strong. The 0.5 Fib. retracement level sits at $79,000 but this level wasn't hit. Bitcoin bottomed before hitting $82,000 but some people are saying lower and this is where confusion comes.
I understand that we have many great traders and market analysts. TradingView is truly the best place in the world (Internet) for trading, learning, growing and sharing about financial markets and charts. But these same markets and charts can't lie. We can interpret some signals in a way that is detached from reality but the market is never wrong. Whatever is about to happen, it is clearly revealed when we look at the charts.
FIOUSDT is another pair that is breaking up just too strong after a higher low. The low being 3-February and the higher low a few days ago (25-Feb). This is just another confirmation that the correction is over; we (Bitcoin) are going up next.
It is great to be part of this market and this community.
It is such a blessing to have access this kind of knowledge and information. Because I can read this now I can rest easy and be calm. I know that regardless of what happens, Bitcoin is going up.
Bitcoin isn't going up in years to come, nor in the future far away. Bitcoin is set to grow, together with the Altcoins market, in a matter of days.
Are you ready for the 2025 bull-market?
Thank you.
Your continued support is appreciated.
We are winners and will continue to win regardless of what is takes.
We will pour our hearts, our sweat and our blood into what we do and trust. If today I make the right decision, tomorrow I am taking a big bag of money home.
The Cryptocurrency market is changing (saving) the world.
The money monopoly is over.
Money used to mean bondage, now, money is freedom.
Namaste.
GBPAUD - Catch This Massive 1600pip Swing Trade!GBPAUD is currently in a 335 ABC correction. We are in wave C now and expecting 5 waves.
For wave C, we've seen subwave 1 and currently in subwave 2. Expecting subwave 2 to complete soon. We'll be looking for a breakdown to confirm that subwave 3 has started.
We're expecting price to stay below invalidation so we'll be keeping our stops above that level for now and then moving it lower (above subwave 2) once subwave 3 has been confirmed.
Trade Idea
- Watch for completion of subwave 2
- Watch for lower timeframe trendline break, BOS etc, to confirm reversal
- once entered, keep stops above invalidation
- Targets: 1.92 (1000pips), 1.86 (1600pips)
As always, trade safe!
BTC Bitcoin Dont Panic Here This Is A Perfect Measured MoveI like the line chart because it filters out the noise and only shows the close prices. As you can see Bitcoin plays out these double top measured moves almost to the T perfectly. I can go back further but I dont need to its fairly similar.
Bitcoin will bounce around here for a bit and come dow to close the 5 day at the measured move around 82k then its back to the races. We're not going to crash, its just getting started. It may wick below 82 but on a closing basis on the 5 day, which has been very accurate in its history, 82k is where the measured move is. Dont fall for the bearish we're gonna crash stuff. Bitcoin has a long way to go before any top.
Not financial advice just my opinion.
BITCOIN 81600 target for wave 5 of C Down still needs a new lowThe chart of bitcoin I stated bitcoin bottom the other day in a 5 wave decline But looking deeper into the math and wave structure It still need to reach 81600/80900 zone to reach the Fib target and the relationship within the waves So move out and wait to But at 81200 in the middle of the math .BEST OF TRADES WAVETIMER
Bitcoin Rally in a few months...The price has been ranging for a few months and will last another few months.
It's time!!! The rally is coming soon, time to accumulate for investors and its time for teachers to grab the boat and ride.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Here's the reason why you need to enter now:
Accumulation phase: Bitcoin’s price and on-chain metrics, such as active addresses and long-term holder supply, support this phase.
Market Cap: Bitcoin’s market cap remains significantly below its ATH.
Historical Cycles: Bitcoin’s historical price patterns and market behavior often align with future rallies after accumulation.
Inflation Hedge: Bitcoin is widely considered a hedge against inflation and is gaining adoption globally.
&
Technological Growth: Developments like the Lightning Network and increased scalability are factual and ongoing.
Good luck!