US INAUGURATION & BTCAs the second Trump era begins, this is how Bitcoin looks:
- BTC new ATH in the run up to inauguration and highest ever weekly close. I believe this was in anticipation for Trumps acceptance speech to mention Bitcoin and or the strategic reserve. That did not happen and so we've seen a selloff wick down to Midpoint with price settling at 0.75 in the range.
Typically, wicks get filled and so I would like to see price steadily reach the midpoint and then begin to show some strength before looking to go LONG. That all changes if we see a crypto specific executive order signed in the coming hours/days we should then see a move back to the highs.
- 4H 200 EMA is always an important level for the Bullrun, the vast majority of altcoins are under the 4H 200 EMA thanks to liquidity being drawn out into BTC and Solana memecoin craze.
- Bitcoin is still leading the greater market but I do expect rotation into strong US based altcoins within the next few weeks going into the later part of Q1. Some key alts that fit that category are SOL, SUI, LINK, ONDO, XRP, ENS, and many more.
It's important to remember this is a marathon not a sprint and I fully expect progress to be made but it may not be linear, until we have broken out of the range in the chart and move into a clear trend environment BTC should be treated as such by trading instead of buying and holding.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BITCOIN: Just bounced on the former 4 year Resistance.Bitcoin is staging an incredible rebound on the nearly 4 year HH Resistance Zone, while being on a bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 61.575, MACD = 1366.600, ADX = 28.907) and a borderline overbought 1W, which really sets the tone for the rest of the bull market. This turns the former Resistance Zone into a Support, as this is the first test and bounce since it broke in November after the U.S. elections.
Symmetrically, the rally since August 5th 2024 looks like the rejection since November 8th 2021. Like the rejection reached the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, we expect the current bullish wave to do the same thing. A TP = 200,000 can be easily achieved under these conditions.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Rektember - Will this trigger the final dump?We are heading into September and overall markets do not look good. Will we enter the final leg down before some sideways action in 2023.
We cannot ignore the fact that the MtGox 137,000 BTC release and potensial sell the Ethereum merge news will continue to contribute to the market drawdown.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Key Technical UpdateCurrent Price Action:
Bitcoin is testing a critical breakout point from a rectangle continuation pattern. If the breakout occurs, the next target range is $115,000–$120,000.
The bullish trend remains intact, supported by the formation of a higher low on January 13, and the strong support zone between $90,000–$92,000.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support:
$90,000–$92,000: This support zone has proven crucial for maintaining bullish momentum. As long as Bitcoin stays above this level, the market remains bullish.
Resistance:
$115,000–$120,000: This is the immediate target range if the breakout from the rectangle pattern confirms. A successful move into this zone would signal continued bullish strength.
Market Implications:
A successful breakout would likely push Bitcoin toward new all-time highs, further confirming the strength of the bullish trend.
Support at $90,000–$92,000 needs to hold for continued upside. A drop below this zone would challenge the bullish structure and necessitate a reevaluation of the trend.
Outlook:
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above the upper boundary of the rectangle pattern would trigger a rally toward $115,000–$120,000, with new all-time highs likely.
Bearish Scenario: A failure to hold $90,000–$92,000 could lead to a deeper pullback, challenging key levels and potentially signaling a trend reversal.
Conclusion:
Bitcoin is at a critical point. A confirmed breakout from the rectangle continuation pattern would open the door to significant upside, with a potential move toward $115,000–$120,000. As long as $90,000–$92,000 holds as support, the bullish outlook remains strong.
20/01/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $106,467.97
Last weeks low: $89,292.15
Midpoint: $97,880.06
The Trump era begins...
January 20th 2025 is the date in which America sees its new Republican administration take office. An administration that has promised to embrace crypto instead of demonise it, one that wants the future of crypto to be built in the US, so far Trumps picks for SEC chairman and other important related roles have reflected that pro-crypto belief.
However, launching a $TRUMP memecoin and the subsequent $MELANIA memecoins just moments before inauguration in my opinion is a very bad start. Not only did the launch of TRUMP draw out liquidity from the altcoin market, it also damages the broader market just from an optics point of view. The general publics perception of crypto is it's full of scams, pump and dumps etc so to try and change the general publics mind the answer is to... Launch a memecoin...
Now I'm fully aware Donald Trump himself probably has very little to do with this, just like most celebrity memecoins but I just don't see how this is a positive start for the administration in proving their pro-crypto stance.
Bitcoin did have its highest weekly close of all time @ $106,500, which was $2000 higher than the previous ATH. +20% move from weekly low to high in anticipation for the potential Bitcoin strategic reserve announcement. Avoiding a SFP similar to that of week commencing January 6th will be a priority for BTC, we are in a rangebound environment so a SFP can have the potential to drop back down and undo a lot of the previous weeks progress. Until BTC breaks the rangebound environment and begins a trending move I will treat it as such.
For this week I'm keeping a close eye on the Liberty Financial portfolio (ETH,AAVE,LINK,ONDO,ENS) & US based majors (SOL,SUI,AVAX, ADA, STX,INJ) etc. The play is definitely coins that will be directly influenced by this new US administration, at least for now I cannot see any liquidity go towards any other coins for the time being.
ADAUSDT H4 :New RoadmapHi friends,
Technical chart for Cardano in 4 hours timeframe.
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰ 20/Jan/25
⛔️DYOR
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TRUMPUSDT : ROADMAP HI Friend,
You can check the chart . I try to show you some point in scalp.
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰ 20/Jan/25
⛔️DYOR
Always do your research.
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below and I will answer them.
And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comments.
Inauguration Day! Beware of cowboy swings. Trade responsibly Inauguration Day brings a mix of excitement and uncertainty to the markets, so if you're trading today, be extra cautious. Expect some wild price swings—those "cowboy swings"—as investors react to the political shifts and news. It's easy to get swept up in the action, but remember, it's always best to keep your cool.
While the day might bring opportunities, it also has its risks. Make sure you're staying level-headed, sticking to your strategy, and trading responsibly. And, as always, if things feel too chaotic, there's no shame in sitting this one out. Safe trading!
BITCOIN AT ATH IS SHOWING WHO IS THE KING OF THE JUNGLETechnical Analysis
Rising Wedge Pattern:
The chart displays a rising wedge pattern (bearish reversal structure). The price is likely at the breakdown point from the wedge.
Key support and resistance lines are marked, showing potential pullback zones.
Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Shows overbought conditions as it hovers near 70. A pullback or consolidation may occur to relieve overbought pressures.
Stochastic Oscillator: The oscillator is in the overbought zone, signaling a potential short-term reversal or cooling-off period.
Money Flow Index (MFI): Indicates significant inflows of capital, but nearing overbought conditions, suggesting caution.
Price Levels:
Key support zones: $95,697, $91,721, and $88,671 (blue horizontal lines).
Key resistance zones: Wedge top (~$108,000) and further price targets above $112,000 and $120,000.
Trend Analysis:
The overall trend appears bullish in the medium term. A short-term retracement (to test lower support levels) is anticipated before further continuation upward.
The breakout target from the rising wedge suggests a potential correction to the $95,000–$96,000 range, followed by an upward move.
Trading Plan
Entry Strategy
Scenario A: Retracement to Support Zones
If Bitcoin pulls back to $95,000–$96,000, consider opening a long position, as this level aligns with historical support and a confluence of demand zones.
Scenario B: Bullish Continuation
If Bitcoin breaks above $112,000 with strong volume, open a long position targeting $120,000 and higher.
Stop-Loss Placement:
Place a stop-loss just below $94,500 for long positions to minimize risk, as a breach below this level could signal further bearish movement.
Take-Profit Levels:
Primary Target: $112,000 (previous high).
Secondary Target: $120,000 (psychological level and technical extension).
Risk Management:
Limit risk to 1–2% of your trading capital per trade.
Avoid over-leveraging as the rising wedge breakdown could result in increased volatility.
Monitoring the Trade:
Keep an eye on macro indicators (e.g., interest rate announcements, broader market sentiment).
Watch for divergence in RSI or Stochastic Oscillator, which could indicate trend exhaustion.
Bitcoin is at a critical juncture. A short-term correction is likely to test support levels before resuming its bullish trend. The outlined trading plan provides strategies for both pullback and breakout scenarios, ensuring disciplined risk management.
Bitcoin setting up for strong upside in 2025 thanks to TrumpSince the target of Bitcoin hit at $100,000, we are seeing bullish signs for BTC.
First we have a strong W Formation form and break above the neckline.
Second, the moving averages are aligned nicely with gPrice>20 and 200
Trump presidency is bullish who is supporting crypto with the Trump coin taking off (with volatility though)
If Trump coin drops 50%, it will send crypto traders back to Bitcoin who'll see more stability with the coin.
First target in 2025 is $151,691
Bitcoin Bull Flag Signals Next Target Before the Next Big MoveBitcoin's 1-hour chart shows a clear bull flag pattern, signaling potential for further upward movement. The first significant run-up saw prices climb from $99,563.68 to $109,358.62, forming the flagpole. After this, Bitcoin entered a consolidation phase, creating a tight flag just below $109,358.62.
If the breakout above the flag's resistance is confirmed, the next target price is calculated to be $118,535.53. This target aligns with the typical bull flag projection, where the flagpole length is added to the breakout point. Further continuation could push prices beyond $120,000, depending on market momentum.
A breakout needs strong volume confirmation to validate the move. However, caution is always advised traders should keep an eye on key levels and manage their risk accordingly. Bitcoin’s bullish potential remains strong, and this setup could signal the next leg upward.
Bitcoin can enter to seller zone and then start to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Observing the chart, we can see how the price some time traded near the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and then rebounded up, after which it started to trades inside the pennant. In pennant, price at once rebounded from the resistance line and dropped to the support line, but soon BTC turned around and made impulse up. Price rose back, after which made a correction to the buyer zone and then continued to grow. Later, BTC reached the resistance line of the pennant, breaking it, exiting from the pennant pattern, and soon breaking the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone. Next, the price reached new ATH (108K) and then made impulse down inside the wedge, to support line, breaking the 96500 level. But soon, the price turned around and bounced up, so, after this BTC some time traded between support level until it later dropped to the support line of the wedge again and then started to grow. Bitcoin rose to the resistance line of the wedge, breaking the 96500 level, and then corrected the support line of the wedge, where it made a strong impulse up to the resistance level, thereby exiting from the wedge pattern. Now, I think that price can enter to seller zone and then start to decline. For this case, I set my TP at 101K points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin - Bitcoin, waiting for Trump's new policies!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 in the four-hour time frame and is trading in its ascending channel. Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk off sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline.
Bitcoin's downward correction and its placement in the demand zone will allow us to buy it. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important.
Bullish signs are abundant in the cryptocurrency market, as investors observe various factors that favor this sector beyond Bitcoin. While some analysts predict 2025 as the year of altcoins, JPMorgan argues that Bitcoin will remain an attractive option.
Market experts point to cyclical trends that could boost altcoins such as Solana and Ripple. These two tokens experienced significant growth following Donald Trump’s election victory, driven by expectations of greater support from the new administration. However, JPMorgan highlights four reasons why investors should approach the altcoin market cautiously.
First, future policies remain speculative, with uncertainty surrounding their timing and impact. Although reduced regulatory oversight may improve sentiment across the industry, there is no guarantee that interest in decentralized finance will grow substantially.
JPMorgan noted that it is still unclear whether these new regulations will allow the crypto ecosystem to integrate into traditional financial systems or if public blockchains like Ethereum will play a central role in the future.
Additionally, the bank stated that ambitious plans for crypto reserves in the United States and beyond are likely to focus solely on Bitcoin. Certain U.S. states have already proposed legislation to hold Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation, a policy Washington might adopt during Trump’s second term.
Second, Bitcoin continues to dominate the cryptocurrency fund space. JPMorgan predicts that retail and institutional investors will keep investing in Bitcoin spot ETFs, supported by Bitcoin’s appeal as digital gold. According to a Bernstein report, Bitcoin is expected to replace gold as the primary store of value in the global economy over the next decade.
Bitcoin accounted for 35% of the total $78 billion inflows into the crypto market in 2024, according to JPMorgan. By contrast, Ethereum spot ETFs, launched in July 2024, attracted only $2.4 billion. The bank also forecasts that future ETFs for altcoins like Solana may see limited capital inflows.
Third, the Bitcoin network is evolving to rival tokens with more specific use cases, such as Ethereum. Historically, Bitcoin was perceived as a buy-and-hold asset with limited functionality. However, developers have been expanding its capabilities, and new smart contract features will help it compete with rivals.
JPMorgan also stated that large institutions might overlook public blockchains like Ethereum in favor of private blockchains offering customized solutions for institutional investors.
Fourth, new altcoin projects require time to mature and prove their utility. The bank explained that decentralized initiatives often attract initial user attention but then face declining activity and token value. To achieve sustainability, these projects must demonstrate their long-term functional benefits.
JPMorgan cautioned investors against expecting a repeat of the 2021 crypto bull market. During that period, projects succeeded through token distribution, but the current industry is more focused on blockchain capability development.
The bank further noted that MicroStrategy is still halfway through its plan to invest $42 billion in Bitcoin. This software company has made a name for itself by accumulating vast Bitcoin reserves through equity and debt financing.
For the first time in history, over 20% of total spot trading volume is conducted on decentralized exchanges (DEXs).
Standard Chartered Bank warned that if the $90,000 support level breaks, Bitcoin could drop to around $80,000. The bank highlighted that Bitcoin ETF purchases have stabilized since the U.S. presidential election, and Jerome Powell’s policy shifts at the Federal Reserve on December 18 have increased selling pressure on digital assets.
The bank cautioned that widespread panic could amplify these sell-offs, potentially affecting other cryptocurrencies.Nevertheless, such a price drop could present a long-term accumulation opportunity.
BTC's Situation: What Shall we Expect !!!As I mentioned, the price increased and broke the wedge, but now we are at a very important point that could determine the future of crypto. Tomorrow and the day after, during President Trump's inauguration ceremony, the price might go up a bit more due to excitement. However, we need to pay attention to President Trump's executive orders in the early days of his presidency, as this could have the greatest impact on crypto. So be careful. Hoping for the best.
From a technical perspective, the price may undergo a slight correction and drop to the 0.618 line before rising to $109k dollars.
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Bitcoin- Genuine up break?Since reaching its recent all-time high in mid-December, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has been trading within a 20% range, with strong support established around the 90K zone.
In mid-January, the price briefly dipped below this critical support level, but the move was quickly reversed, and BTC/USD stabilized around the 100K mark.
The "Trump coin mania," which began two days ago, has had little to no impact on Bitcoin traders. Despite the hype, there were no sell-offs here, and the market remained steady. Even though there was a minor dip to 100K yesterday, it was promptly reversed, allowing Bitcoin to reach a new, albeit marginal, all-time high.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin remains range-bound and is currently trading near the upper boundary of this range. If a genuine breakout occurs, the measured target for the next move could be in the 128-130K region.
For the bulls, there’s little reason to worry as long as Bitcoin stays above the crucial 90K support level.
Hi chances on reversalMorning folks,
So, by introducing $Trump Token, old Donny has put the start of global US Dollar devaluation. And Melania probably will add today...
All our short-term targets are done - weekly grabbers and H&S failure has worked fine, BTC has challenged the top of 108K. We consider this action as hype and emotional. Mostly due euphoria around D. Trump inauguration.
Due to oversold on Monthly and Daily time frames, chances on reversal are significant. So we intend to watch for DRPO "Sell" pattern on weekly chart.
Still, Donny could tell us a lot today, and madness could continue a little bit. We do not exclude that BTC could try to reach nearest upside extension around 113.5K before reversal starts.
We do not call right now for taking short positions, let's see what will be on Thu, prefer to wait for patterns and signs for reversal first. But we call to consider long positions close or, at least tight stops around them.
Take care.
BTC UPDATENow the BTCUSDT price has gone in bearish CHoCH in H1 and H4 timeframe..
so i will be looking for shorts as seen in the chart as 1 and 2 scenarios..
but what if it just is a liquidity sweep for the next move.
then I will wait for the double ChoCH to happen and will look to go long from the last supply level as seen from scenario 3.
BTCUSD | Testing Major Resistance Zone – Will Sellers Take ContrCOINBASE:BTCUSD is approaching a significant resistance zone. This zone has consistently acted as a key area of interest where sellers regained control, resulting in prior reversals. If the price confirms a rejection through bearish price action, such as wicks signaling rejection or bearish engulfing candles, I anticipate a move downward toward the $101,793 level.
However, if the price successfully breaks and holds above the zone, this would invalidate the bearish outlook and could open the door for further upside. Traders should monitor price action closely at this critical resistance area.
BTC at major Resistance Zone? Will it drop to 102,100 $?COINBASE:BTCUSD is trading in a robust resistance zone that aligns with prior price rejections and key supply levels. This area has in the past attracted strong selling interest, making it a critical point to watch.
If bearish confirmation appears, such as strong upper wicks or bearish candlestick patterns, I anticipate a move toward 102,100. Conversely, a break above this level could signal further upside and invalidate the bearish setup.
Traders should carefully evaluate price action at this zone before entering positions. Do you see this playing out similarly?
Let’s discuss in the comments below!