BITCOIN BULLISH TO $116,000 (UPDATE)Bitcoin has come very close to our $116,000 target, peaking at $112,000 just $4,000 away from our TP.
I still believe BTC prices will push higher for sure. But my only concern right now is will BTC have a huge correction ( Minor Wave 4) before it moves back up again? If it does then I'll most likely cash out my buy positions soon for my Crypto Fund investors, as we've already made decent profits & it is not worth holding on too much longer & risking it.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Skeptic | Bitcoin Weekly Recap #15 Bull Run On? Altcoin Next?Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Bitcoin’s been throwing curveballs this past week—did it leave you spinning? 😵 Still unsure if the bull run’s officially on, or hunting for the perfect altcoin entry? Don’t worry, in this recap, I’m laying it all out with clear reasoning to give you a crystal-clear view of the market and help you ditch those FOMO-driven decisions. Here at Skeptic Lab , we analyze Markets with one motto: No FOMO. No hype. Just reason. We’re not like others who panic over dumps or hype every pump—we’ve got risk management , stop losses , and we stay glued to the market’s pulse. Let’s dive into the Bitcoin Weekly Recap and unpack it all! 📊
Monthly Timeframe: The Big Picture
Let’s zoom out to the last three months. The 74,000 to 82,000 range has been a rock-solid support zone for Bitcoin, with heavy shadows every time we touch it. Big shadows like that scream potential trend reversal, and right now, Bitcoin’s major trend is firmly uptrend. Until we see a clear signal for a trend change, all that noise about Bitcoin crashing to 50K or “the bull run’s over” is pure nonsense. If you hear anyone making those bold future price predictions, run the other way! Our job isn’t to predict the future—it’s to map out scenarios and have a plan when they play out. Comparing the 2022 bear market to now is flat-out silly. Why? Back then, we’d already seen massive gains, but now, we haven’t had significant growth yet—altcoins are quiet, and total market volume hasn’t spiked. The end of a trend isn’t when everyone’s scared of losses; it’s when everyone’s dreaming of becoming a millionaire and the news is pumping FOMO. 😄 So, ignore those baseless analyses and let’s get to the real stuff.
Weekly Timeframe: Momentum Check
On the weekly chart, we kicked off a solid uptrend momentum, even hitting a new all-time high. Bears tried to jump in and sell, but here’s the catch: the previous ceiling hasn’t been technically broken yet, so we haven’t gotten a clear buy signal. Why? Because support and resistance levels aren’t static—they shift over time. The longer time passes, the higher or lower these levels move, and they need updating. Right now, we got rejected after testing the ceiling because our true resistance is still intact. So, when do we get confirmation? Let’s drop to the Daily Timeframe for clarity.
Daily Timeframe: Spot Trigger
After breaking 112,000 , we’ll get the main confirmation that the last ceiling before the correction is broken, signaling the continuation of the major uptrend per Dow Theory. That’s our spot buy trigger—buy above 112,000 with a stop loss below 100,000 , giving you a 10% stop loss size. Please, manage your capital so that if you hit the stop loss, you lose no more than 3% of your total capital. Staying alive in financial markets hinges on risk management. Now, let’s hit the 4-Hour Timeframe for long and short triggers.
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
We had a solid upward trendline on the 4-hour chart, but it broke to the downside. When this happens, two scenarios are possible: either the uptrend’s slope has just softened with no trend change, or we’re entering a correction. My take? We’re likely heading for a time-based correction (think range-bound boxes). If we start ranging, don’t beat yourself up or pile into trades impulsively—win rates for most traders tank in range phases, and losing streaks pile up. For long positions, I suggest waiting for a break above 108,900 . That’s where we got a strong rejection and pullback last time, so we need solid confirmation to go long since bearish momentum is stronger in this phase. For shorts, 105,000 was a good level, but the next short trigger is a break below support at 101,577 . If we see a strong reaction at any level on this timeframe before that, you could short on a break there too. For breakout confirmation, indicators like SMA or RSI work, but volume is king. High volume on a break means it’s likely to continue; low volume screams fake breakout, so cut your risk there.
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D): Altcoin Timing
Let’s wrap up with a quick look at BTC.D to figure out if it’s time to jump into altcoins. BTC.D shows Bitcoin’s share of the total crypto market cap—the higher it is, the more liquidity flows into Bitcoin, often from altcoin sales. On the daily chart, we’re still above an upward trendline I mentioned in previous analyses, and altcoins haven’t made any real moves. When I say “moves,” I mean serious 100-500% or even 10,000% rallies , not just 10-20% pops. An altseason would be confirmed by a break of this trendline and a drop below support at 60.27. That’s when we’d expect massive altcoin gains, but it only works if Bitcoin’s already in a strong uptrend with solid market liquidity. Otherwise, don’t expect crazy altcoin pumps. The total market cap needs to be growing too for this to happen.
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this recap sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for joining me at Skeptic Lab—let’s grow together with No FOMO. No hype. Just reason. Keep trading smart! <3✌️
BITCOIN BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 104,686.94
Target Level: 111,091.02
Stop Loss: 100,407.14
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Be careful with BTC !!!Finally, the price broke the wedge, and the price experienced a significant drop. I think is the time for btc to rise again to 111k after more correction . STRONG SUPPORT 98k
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
AKT/USDT Analysis💥 CSEMA:AKT - Swing Long Plan After 30% Correction 💥
AKT faced heavy selling pressure around the weekly pivot at $2.0640 , leading to a significant correction of nearly **30%**. The big question now: **Is it time to open a swing long?**
Here’s my take👇
Although we’ve already seen a 30% drop, that doesn’t mean the downside is over . For a high-conviction swing long, patience is key. I’m watching **three key levels** to build a position safely — no FOMO here.
🔹 Long Area 1 : $1.1291 (25% allocation)
🔹 Long Area 2 : $0.9722 (35% allocation)
🔹 Long Area 3 : $0.8234 (40% allocation)
💡 This is my ultimate swing long setup . Scaling in at these levels provides a better risk-reward profile rather than chasing the bounce.
But what if price only taps **Long Area 1** and then reverses? That’s fine too. The priority is **capital preservation and strategic entries**, not catching every single move.
✅ Focus: Make more with less risk
❌ Avoid: Emotional entries and overexposure
📌 Not financial advice. Do your own research. Trade safe! 🧠💰
#AKT #SwingTrade #CryptoAnalysis #TradingStrategy #DYOR #Altcoins
Technical Analysis – KASPA/USDT (1D) + spot trade planTechnical Analysis – KASPA/USDT (1D)
Trend Structure & Price Action
KASPA experienced a strong bullish rally (highlighted in orange) starting in mid-April, followed by a descending channel (bullish flag) correction (highlighted in green).
Currently, the price is approaching major support zones, indicating a potential reversal opportunity.
Support & Buy Zones (Marked)
Buy Spot 1: ~$0.062–$0.067 → Key historical support, potential bottom range.
Buy Spot 2: ~$0.070–$0.075 → Moderate support, former resistance turned support.
Buy Spot 3: ~$0.078–$0.081 → Current local demand zone and trendline interaction.
These zones represent incremental buying opportunities during correction.
Indicator Analysis
Market Cipher / Divergence Indicators
Multiple bullish divergence signals are forming (green dots), suggesting buyer interest is growing.
Momentum is in deep negative territory and may be bottoming.
RSI (14)
RSI is at 32.95, which is approaching oversold territory (below 30), signaling a potential reversal.
Money Flow Index (MFI)
MFI is at 19, which is also considered oversold, showing capital is leaving but likely nearing exhaustion.
Stochastic RSI
Stochastic RSI is below 10 (6.22) and starting to cross, indicating a strong potential bullish reversal in the short term.
Trading Plan – KASPA/USDT (Spot Strategy)
Entry Strategy (DCA)
Buy Spot Entry Range Allocation Reason
Spot 1 $0.062 – $0.067 50% Major long-term support, deep oversold zone
Spot 2 $0.070 – $0.075 30% Mid-range support, confirmation zone
Spot 3 $0.078 – $0.081 20% Early entry for aggressive traders
Risk Management
Stop Loss (optional): Below $0.060 (break of long-term structure)
Average Entry (if all 3 zones are filled): ~$0.071 (estimated)
Capital Allocation: Use max 3–5% of total capital per setup for risk control.
Profit Targets
Target Level Price Rationale
TP1 $0.092 – $0.095 Top of descending channel
TP2 $0.105 Previous swing high (April peak)
TP3 $0.120 Breakout and continuation target
KASPA is currently in a healthy correction within a bullish continuation pattern (falling channel). The confluence of oversold indicators (RSI, MFI, Stoch RSI), support zones, and bullish divergence suggests a favorable buying opportunity for swing or position traders. If the price respects these zones, a bounce toward the prior high or breakout levels is likely.
Bitcoin's at ALL TIME HIGHS and I'm going ALL IN!!As Bitcoin surges to new all-time highs, I've made a pivotal decision: to stop saving in dollars and start holding Bitcoin.
Why Bitcoin? Self-Custody:
Owning Bitcoin means true ownership. With self-custody, I control my private keys, ensuring my wealth isn't subject to third-party risks like bank failures or government seizures.
Declining Dollar Value: The U.S. dollar continues to depreciate due to inflation and economic policies. Holding Bitcoin, a deflationary asset, offers a hedge against this erosion of purchasing power.
Global Accessibility: Bitcoin transcends borders, providing financial inclusion for anyone with internet access, especially in regions with unstable currencies.
Security and Privacy: With proper self-custody practices, my Bitcoin holdings are secure from hacks and offer enhanced privacy compared to traditional financial systems.
As I monitor the BTC/USD daily chart, the trend is clear: Bitcoin isn't just a speculative asset; it's a movement towards financial sovereignty.
Market3I haven’t been posting much lately simply because there’s nothing particularly interesting to say, the market has been a bit dull.
2025 should be a strong year for altcoins, as they’ve been consistently suppressed. With BTC dominance reaching 64%, which is quite significant, all attention remains on Bitcoin.
On this chart, you can see that $1.17 trillion acted as a rejection level for the crypto market (excluding BTC and ETH). Time will tell, but I anticipate a $4 trillion altcoin bull market before the end of 2025.
Remember, Fibonacci plays a crucial role in long-term market predictions.
Invest wisely and at the right time.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Altcoins The Moon AwaitsLike always, everything is clearly outlined on the charts :
- As a trader, it's crucial to follow logic and technical analysis. If you get caught up in the news and listen to everyone on Twitter, you won't last long.
- The first major altcoin rally was in 2018, pushing the market to $300 billion. This level later acted as a key support throughout the 2022–2023 bear market.
- The last all-time high for the crypto market (excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum) reached $1.15 trillion in 2021. ( blue doted vertical line )
- This all-time high was retested in December 2024, with this ATH acting as strong resistance. ( second blue doted vertical line )
- The next move could be a breakout above this resistance. According to Fibonacci projections, the altcoin market has the potential to reach $4 trillion.
While the spotlight remains on Bitcoin and ETFs, altcoins could catch up with a sudden and powerful surge, so make sure you’re not left behind.
Hodl!
Happy Tr4Ding !
$BTC.D Dominance forecast: update May 2025📉 BTC Dominance (%BTC.D) Update – At Resistance, Altseason in the Balance
Back on April 5th, I published a forecast highlighting the critical 65% resistance level on BTC Dominance. That analysis still holds: BTC.D reached 65% and got rejected, pulling back to 62% as of now.
⚔️ What’s Happening?
Bitcoin dominance is compressing, and we're approaching a make-or-break moment:
🔹 Resistance confirmed at 65%
🔹 We bounced down to 62% — not up
🔹 Market is hesitating, and the next move will shape the short-term direction for alts
🔍 The Bigger Picture
Bitcoin pumped hard recently, mostly due to:
MACD reversal on the weekly
Oversold conditions now turning bullish
Renewed institutional interest in risk-on assets
But let’s be clear:
🚫 We’re not in a full altseason yet.
What we’re seeing is cautious altcoin rotation, not a blow-off alt rally.
📊 Tech Indicators
MACD: Overheated
RSI: Still has room to move up
So technically, BTC.D could still break out above 65% — but it hasn’t yet.
⚠️ What to Watch:
If BTC.D breaks out above 65%, expect:
➡️ Altcoin bloodbath
➡️ BTC.D could head toward 70%, crushing the mini-altseason
But if BTC.D continues to drop from here?
➡️ Altseason starts to heat up
🔮 Outlook
A true altseason might not arrive until September/October. For now, the market is stuck in a range of uncertainty.
Keep your eyes on:
BTC.D reaction at 62%–65%
TradFi stress (bond markets, macro fears)
Bitcoin strength and ETH/BTC ratio
🧠 Take profits when you can. Protect your capital.
📌 Follow me for future updates—and don’t forget to DYOR.
📎 Original forecast:
Bitcoin Challenges Support —Never Ever Below $80,000 (80K)I updated this chart to show the full support range. This is Bitcoin's main support. Between $100,000 and $103,000. If this level breaks, prepare to see Bitcoin producing another week red then consolidation, on and on, before the next high.
If this support holds, then we can expect a soon and fast recovery.
The most likely scenario is that it will take around 2-3 weeks before the retrace-correction is over followed by new growth.
Remember, always a higher low. Just look back to August 2024. After the major low was in, there was indeed retraces and corrections as part of the bullish phase. It is the same.
Retraces and corrections are just an opportunity to buy-in, rebuy and reload.
If you missed below $80,000 in the last drop, you can get below $90,000 in this drop. But not much lower.
Bitcoin will never ever trade below 80K.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
BTC 3D – Key S/R Level in PlayBTC is currently trading below the black line, which marks the double top support/resistance level on the 3D chart.
Tonight’s 3D candle close will be important:
🔻 A close below could open the way for more downside.
🔼 A close above might invite continuation—but neither outcome is guaranteed.
🎯 The best approach? Stick to the system.
Place orders just below the last PSAR, stay disciplined, and avoid emotional decisions.
✅ Always take profits.
✅ Always manage risk.
These are the only two things we can truly control.
Thanks for reading—and if you found this helpful, feel free to react or leave a comment!
Golden Cross? No Thanks!! Here’s How to Get In Early.📉 “Golden Cross? No Thanks. Here’s How to Get In Early.”
By FXProfessor
Everyone’s hyped about the Golden Cross again...
📰 “Bullish Signal!”
📈 “50 SMA crossed the 200!”
🎉 “Party time!”
Let me stop you right there.
If you’re waiting for that cross to go long —
You’re not late.
You’re definitely late.
The Golden Cross is a lagging indication.
It’s the afterparty. The smart money already had the drinks and left.
🔍 Here's the deal:
✅ Golden Cross forms after the move
✅ Price is usually already up double digits
✅ Sometimes it triggers right before a top
✅ Even EMAs (which I prefer) are still confirmation tools
✅ The real edge? Structure. Trendlines. Pressure zones.
📊 What I use instead:
-Custom EMAs that react faster
-My signature parallelogram method for early pressure
-Focus on trendlines and structure
-Above all — logic, not hype
- Fundamentals first!
For example, while the Golden Cross just printed, I was already watching $74,394 and $79,000.
Why? Because pressure builds before indicators react.
That's where the best entries live.
So next time someone posts
“Golden Cross confirmed!” 😏 Just smile and remember:
By the time the cross lights up, I’m already halfway to the next target.
Use EMAs if you like. But structure comes first.
That’s where the party starts.
One Love,
The FXProfessor 🧠📈
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome people who care about the TRADER FIRST!
BTCUSD: Neutral on 1D means buy opportunity during rallies.Bitcoin has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.351, MACD = 2908.600, ADX = 27.535) which is far from alarming as during Bull Cycle rallies such pullbacks are buy opportunities. Especially now that the price is even supported by the 1D MA50, which having cross above the 1D MA200 last week, they formed a Golden Cross. The pattern is identical to the last 1D Golden Cross, steady rally phases supported by HL trendlines that rose by roughly the same percentage. Their 1D RSI sequences also display similar formations. For that reason, we remain bullish on Bitcoin despite the current correction, targeting short term 119,000.
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TradeCityPro | Comprehensive Bitcoin Analysis for 2025👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let's go for the most complete BINANCE:BTCUSDT Bitcoin analysis you can see. In this analysis, we are going to examine the data from monthly to weekly to daily time frames and more in the most complete way possible!
🌐 Monthly Timeframe
In the monthly timeframe, as you can see, Bitcoin is positioned between two curved trendlines and has reacted to these zones multiple times.
The last time the price hit the bottom of this channel, it recorded a low of 16,000, after which the crypto bull run began. The top of this channel also coincided with the 69,000 peak in the previous bull run, allowing us to identify the end of that bull run.
One key point about this channel is that the slope of its trendlines is decreasing, and overall, a weakening trend in Bitcoin is observed, which is logical. This is because every time Bitcoin has made an upward leg, a massive amount of capital has flowed into it, so it naturally moves less in the subsequent leg.
This point might seem negative to newer market participants, as Bitcoin’s bull runs used to happen faster in the past, and the price moved more significantly in percentage terms. For example, the 2017 bull run saw Bitcoin grow by nearly 7,000%, while in the 2019 bull run, it grew by about 1,500%.
However, within this seemingly negative point, there’s a positive aspect: this reduction in volatility indicates Bitcoin’s maturity and that of the broader crypto market. When an asset has a large amount of capital invested in it, its volatility naturally decreases, but this also reduces the risk of investing in that asset.
For instance, gold currently holds the top spot globally with a market cap of 21 trillion dollars, while Bitcoin’s market cap is around 2 trillion dollars. This gap makes Bitcoin appear as a better investment choice at first glance, as its lower market cap suggests greater growth potential.
On the other hand, the risk of investing in Bitcoin is higher because it has less capital invested in it, and large institutions like governments prefer to invest in gold, earning lower returns over time compared to Bitcoin. For these institutions, the most important factor is risk optimization, and gold has proven itself as the lowest-risk asset over centuries.
So, overall, we can conclude that the more capital flows into Bitcoin, the lower its volatility becomes. As volatility decreases, it becomes a safer asset for investment, attracting more interest from large institutions.
Additionally, we should consider that if Bitcoin isn’t destroyed or proven to be a scam, it could become a safe-haven asset like gold in the future. Its supply is well-optimized, and due to the halving mechanism, its issuance is tightly controlled, which gives it an inherently bullish nature like gold.
Note that when I say Bitcoin’s movements are slowing down and more capital inflow reduces its volatility, I don’t mean it will stop moving upward. Rather, it means its cycles will take longer, and its movements will be heavier. For example, gold, despite its high market cap, still moved upward last year.
Currently, Bitcoin has started a new upward leg after rising from the 16,000 zone. It first reached the previous high, then, after reacting to the 0.5 Fibonacci Extension level (which overlapped with the 71,000 zone), it pulled back to the 57,000 zone and has now moved to the 0.618 level near 101,000.
Based on the candles formed in the monthly timeframe, it seems the upward movement is ongoing. If the 0.618 level is broken, the price could see a few more bullish candles. The next Fibonacci level is 0.786, near 165,000, and if the price movement extends a bit longer, this level could also overlap with the top of the curved channel.
In my opinion, the maximum potential for Bitcoin in this bullish cycle is between 160,000 and 180,000. However, keep in mind that this is just my personal view, and I’m not making decisions based solely on this analysis or planning to sell if Bitcoin reaches this range. This is merely a mental target, and if I see Bitcoin reaching this range with strong bullish momentum, there’s a chance it could break through.
In that scenario, if Bitcoin reaches this range without any trend weakness and with high momentum, I’ll update the analysis for you and examine higher targets Bitcoin could reach.
On the other hand, if I see Bitcoin’s momentum weakening and showing trend deterioration before reaching the resistance zone, I’ll adjust my perspective. If the trend reversal triggers I’ll discuss later are activated, I’ll exit the market.
In the RSI oscillator, we have very important zones that can help us assess the trend’s health. A ceiling at 77.65 has formed, which, if reached by RSI, could indicate a momentum-based market top. However, if this level is broken, the bullish scenario I mentioned is highly likely to occur, and the price could move beyond our expected target.
On the other hand, there’s a support floor at 58.90, and I believe the confirmation of the end of Bitcoin’s bull run will come with a break of this level in RSI. If RSI consolidates below this zone, bullish momentum will weaken, and the price will gradually enter a corrective phase.
Regarding volume, I should note that the decreasing volume in this timeframe isn’t reliable data because Bitcoin’s volume is spread across various exchanges, and comparing volume at this scale isn’t accurate or useful.
I have nothing more to say about the monthly timeframe. Let’s move to lower timeframes.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
Let’s dive into the weekly timeframe, where we can observe price movements in greater detail.
As you can see, after being supported at the 16,000 zone, Bitcoin faced a significant resistance at 31,000. Breaking this level kicked off the bullish trend. In the first leg, the price moved from 16,000 to 31,000, and after breaking 31,000 in the second leg, the upward move continued to 72,000.
One of the main reasons for this bullish cycle was the U.S. interest rate. Simultaneously with the breakout of the 31,000 zone, the U.S. Federal Reserve changed its policies and began lowering interest rates. This triggered a massive capital inflow into Bitcoin, initiating its bullish move.
During the corrective phase, the price oscillated between the 72,000 and 55,000 zones for several months. After breaking the 72,000 ceiling, another bullish leg took the price to 105,000.
One of the reasons for this bullish move was Trump’s strong support for crypto during the U.S. election. He frequently mentioned Bitcoin positively in his speeches and considered it part of his policies.
However, after Trump was elected president, he didn’t fully deliver on his promises. The imposition of tariffs not only impacted Bitcoin but also significantly affected the U.S. dollar, major company stocks, and indices like the S&P. As a result, Bitcoin dropped back to near the 72,000 zone.
Additionally, for the past few months, the U.S. Federal Reserve has not changed interest rates due to these tariffs. In all its statements, it has indicated that it’s waiting for the tariffs to be finalized and is in no rush to make decisions regarding monetary policy. Thus, in recent months, the interest rate variable has been effectively neutral, with the most significant fundamental news being the U.S. tariffs against China and Europe.
After Bitcoin’s drop to near 72,000, news of a 90-day agreement between China and the U.S. emerged, stating that tariffs would be lifted for 90 days to allow negotiations. This news was enough to restart the bullish move for Bitcoin and stocks like the S&P. As you can see, Bitcoin has now surpassed the 105,000 ceiling and is currently deciding its next move above this zone.
Looking at RSI, there’s a key support level at 44.75, where every time the price has hit this level, a new bullish leg has started. This level accurately indicated the 55,000 and 72,000 bottoms and has been very reliable.
However, there’s a clear divergence in RSI between the 72,000 and 105,000 peaks. The current peak above 105,000 is higher, but RSI is still forming lower highs, which could strengthen the divergence.
Currently, RSI is near the overbought zone and appears to be rejecting from the 70 level. If RSI is rejected from this zone, the price might fake out the 105,000 breakout and drop below it. If this happens, it would signal a significant trend weakness, greatly increasing the likelihood of a trend reversal.
However, if RSI consolidates above the 70 level and the price makes another bullish leg, we’ll still have divergence, but the trend weakness will be much less severe than in the fake-out scenario. If the price makes another bullish leg, our targets based on Fibonacci are the 130,000 and 160,000 zones.
In any case, if RSI forms a lower high compared to its previous peak and the price enters a corrective phase, I believe the 44.75 level will break, activating the divergence. If this happens, we’ll get a momentum-based confirmation of the bull run’s end, and we’ll then need to wait for a price-based confirmation.
Currently, the price confirmation for a trend reversal would first be a fake-out of the 105,000 breakout, with the main trigger being a break of the 72,000 level. If the price forms a higher high, we’ll need to wait and identify the trend reversal trigger based on market structure and conditions.
Personally, I believe Bitcoin will have another bullish move to the 130,000 zone, and simultaneously, dominance will move upward again. After this move, as Bitcoin consolidates or corrects, dominance will drop, leading to an altcoin season for a few months. After Bitcoin’s consolidation and the end of the altcoin season, the market’s bearish phase will begin, which I’ll discuss further if it occurs.
If you’ve bought Bitcoin at lower levels and are holding, I think you can continue holding, as there’s a high chance of another bullish leg, and we don’t yet have any confirmation of a trend reversal. I suggest continuing to hold until we get a clear reversal signal.
For buying Bitcoin on the spot market in this timeframe, it’s not possible to provide a trigger right now, as we’re at the end of a bullish leg, and the upward trend from 16,000 has been very prolonged. I believe we’ll see at most one more bullish leg, so if you’re skilled at trading, I suggest using this capital to open positions in futures to maximize profits.
Be cautious—I’m saying this only if you have trading skills, not to blindly open positions with all your capital without a trigger. That would only lead to losses.
If you haven’t bought any Bitcoin in this bullish trend yet, you can wait for the potential altcoin season. I suggest starting now to identify good projects so that when Bitcoin dominance shows bearish confirmation, you can buy the altcoins you’ve researched and profit from that market phase.
📈 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, as you can see, Bitcoin underwent a corrective phase, dropping to the 76,000 zone. After forming a base at this level, a bullish leg to 106,000 was triggered at 87,700.
Currently, the price is above the 106,000 zone but hasn’t consolidated above it yet. The reason I say it hasn’t consolidated is that market volume is decreasing after the breakout. Additionally, when the price breaks through a supply zone like an all-time high, significant momentum is required, but that hasn’t happened, and the price is ranging above this zone without significant movement.
If Bitcoin consolidates above this zone, the bullish move could continue. The targets we can consider are the 116,000 and 130,000 zones.
The RSI oscillator has a critical support at 59.78, which is a very important momentum level. If this level is broken, this bullish leg could end, and the market might enter a corrective phase. Volume is also slightly decreasing and showing some divergence with the trend, which is another sign of trend weakness.
If the price consolidates below 106,000, we’ll get confirmation of a fake-out of this breakout, and the price could move downward again. The lower support zones are 102,600 and 92,300.
If the price forms a lower high and low below 106,000, we can confirm a trend reversal. Breaking the 76,000 level would be the main confirmation of a trend change.
💼 4-Hour Timeframe
In the 4-hour timeframe, Bitcoin entered a corrective phase after reaching the 111,700 zone and has formed a descending triangle between the 106,000–107,000 range and a downward trendline.
The 106,000–107,000 range is a very strong support zone, and the price has tested this level multiple times but keeps forming lower highs compared to 111,700, increasing the likelihood of breaking this support zone.
On RSI, there’s a support level at 35.94, which is a very strong momentum zone. Breaking this level could confirm the entry of bearish momentum, increasing the likelihood of breaking the support zone.
With a break of the support zone and the 35.94 level in RSI, we can enter a short position. If the price forms a lower high and low below this support zone, we can confirm a trend reversal. The next key support zones are 101,600 and 93,700.
For the bullish trend to continue, breaking the downward trendline would confirm an upward move. If the trendline is broken, the price could rise to 111,700. Breaking the 111,700 level would be the main confirmation of the bullish trend’s continuation, activating the trendline breakout as the primary trigger.
🔍 Binance Open Interest is Surging as BTC Regains Bullish Momentum
Tracking what’s happening in the derivatives market has become essential, given the current market structure.
Derivatives volumes are significantly higher than those on spot markets or ETFs, especially on Binance, which ranks just behind the Chicago Mercantile Exchange in terms of volume.
As a result, derivatives activity can have a major impact on Bitcoin’s price, making on-chain data related to derivatives extremely valuable to monitor.
This has clearly been the case since BTC resumed its bullish trend, reflected in the rising Open Interest on Binance. It jumped from $7.5B on April 8th to over $11.2B today. We can also note that the 30-day and 50-day SMAs have just crossed back above the 100-day average. Derivatives activity has clearly helped fuel the price move, even though many short positions were opened along the way.
Seeing Open Interest climb is generally a good sign, as it gives the market momentum and can lead to strong upward moves. However, this kind of push tends to be fragile.
At the moment, we haven’t yet returned to a new Open Interest ATH on Binance, which may suggest that we’re not in a full-blown euphoric phase on derivatives markets just yet.
📊 Minimal Sell Pressure Despite STH & LTH Deposits on Binance
Keeping an eye on STH (Short-Term Holders) and LTH (Long-Term Holders) behavior gives us valuable clues about market sentiment.
In this update, we’re focusing on Bitcoin inflows to Binance from both STHs and LTHs. These flows help us measure selling pressure and get a feel for how price action might unfold.
Let’s start with STHs the group that tends to react quickly and emotionally to market shifts.
🧠 We’ve seen their behavior play out clearly in the past:
During the August 2024 correction, they sent over 12,000 BTC to Binance.
Then again, around late February to early March, during the tariff news-driven panic that pushed BTC below $80K, they dumped over 14,000 BTC.
But here’s the good news: right now, STH inflows are still moderate only about 8,000 BTC has been sent to Binance so far, which is roughly in line with the last correction.
🔍 As for LTHs, the numbers are even calmer.
Currently, just 86 BTC has flowed in from long-term holders—far lower than the 254 BTC seen before the last major top and way below the 626 BTC peak back in 2024.
📊 Bottom line?
Whether we’re looking at STHs or LTHs, there’s no real sign of strong selling pressure at the moment. Still, it’s worth watching in the context of ongoing demand—which remains relatively healthy for now.
Coinbase Premium Signals Strong Institutional Demand
There’s no doubt institutions are stepping in and no, it’s not just because of ETFs.
💡 Why not ETFs?
Because spot Bitcoin ETFs aren’t exclusive to institutions. Retail investors can access them just as easily, and in terms of raw volume, ETFs still don’t come close to the spot or futures markets.
That said, the inflows are still impressive: the 30-day average daily inflow is now over $330 million, and that trend is holding strong.
🚀 The Real Signal? The Coinbase Premium Gap
This metric tracks the price difference between Coinbase Pro (favored by U.S. professional/institutional investors) and Binance. Right now, the 30-day moving average of the premium gap is 55 a clear sign of heightened U.S. investor activity, which strongly points to institutional participation.
💰 Futures Activity Surges as Spot Demand Fades on Binance
Futures volume on Binance has been rising, while spot volume has dropped significantly in recent days even as Bitcoin broke into price discovery. This shift in volume composition is worth watching closely, as it provides important clues about the market’s internal strength.
Volume isn’t just a number—it reflects the type of demand driving the market. When demand comes from spot markets, it often suggests long-term conviction. In contrast, demand driven by futures markets tends to reflect short-term speculation, which can introduce instability.
Since May 5, we’ve seen futures activity increase modestly, while spot volumes have clearly declined. This suggests that the current price action may be fueled more by leverage and short-term bets than by solid, long-term buying.
Without strong spot support, trends powered by derivatives are more fragile and prone to sharp reversals. This environment calls for increased caution, especially for those considering new entries or leveraged positions.
⚡️ BTC Gains Bullish Momentum as Binance Open Interest Rises
Tracking what’s happening in the derivatives market has become essential, given the current market structure.
Derivatives volumes are significantly higher than those on spot markets or ETFs, especially on Binance, which ranks just behind the Chicago Mercantile Exchange in terms of volume.
As a result, derivatives activity can have a major impact on Bitcoin’s price, making on-chain data related to derivatives extremely valuable to monitor.
This has clearly been the case since BTC resumed its bullish trend, reflected in the rising Open Interest on Binance. It jumped from $7.5B on April 8th to over $11.2B today. We can also note that the 30-day and 50-day SMAs have just crossed back above the 100-day average. Derivatives activity has clearly helped fuel the price move, even though many short positions were opened along the way.
Seeing Open Interest climb is generally a good sign, as it gives the market momentum and can lead to strong upward moves. However, this kind of push tends to be fragile.
At the moment, we haven’t yet returned to a new Open Interest ATH on Binance, which may suggest that we’re not in a full-blown euphoric phase on derivatives markets just yet.
🔄 Bitcoin Heatmap Analysis
Let’s move on to the Bitcoin heatmap analysis, which was missing from this analysis and completes the most comprehensive data for these days. I hope it’s useful for you.
In the 6-month timeframe, Bitcoin has had a good upward trend but experienced a rejection after hitting orders in the 110,000–113,000 range. It’s currently in the 104,000 zone, with the most important support zone at 92,000, which is likely to hold.
In the monthly timeframe, we’ve broken through the 106,000 zone, which was a strong support level based on orders, but there isn’t a strong support zone immediately below. The next support level is 100,000–102,000, which could be a solid level, while the 110,000–112,000 zone is currently the most valid resistance level for Bitcoin.
In the weekly timeframe, a similar event has occurred. We’ve been rejected from the significant 110,000 resistance zone and are heading for further downside, but at a slow pace. In this timeframe, no specific support orders have been registered yet, and it will take some time for traders to place their buy orders on exchanges. However, even if we bounce from this level, we shouldn’t underestimate the 110,000 resistance.
📝 Final Thoughts
This is the most comprehensive Bitcoin analysis for the community.
We’ve done our best to collect the data comprehensively in this post for your awareness and present it to you in this analysis, hoping it has been useful for you!
Our team has worked on this analysis for several days, so we’d be thrilled if you boost, comment, and share the analysis with your friends.
BTC/USDT Analysis – Local Downtrend
Hello everyone! This is the daily analysis from a trader-analyst at CryptoRobotics.
Yesterday, contrary to expectations and the overall bullish context, we broke the local low and entered a phase of a local downtrend, within a broader uptrend.
At the moment, despite buyer defense and weakening selling pressure, we should expect a test of the buyer zone below $104,200–$102,300 (slightly adjusted based on the daily timeframe), from which stronger buying is more likely to resume.
A local resistance area has also formed during the decline at $106,800–$107,600 (aggressive selling volumes).
Sell zone:
$106,800–$107,600 (aggressive selling volumes)
Buy zones:
$104,200–$102,300 (accumulated volume)
Around $100,000 (aggressive buying volumes)
$98,000–$97,200 (local support)
$93,000
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
This publication is not financial advice.
Bitcoin Short-Term, Aims Below $100,000 (Alert!)Good morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, overall, the market looks great.
The market looks great but never forget that nothing is set in stone, market conditions can always change.
Let's consider Bitcoin for once on the short-term timeframe.
The long-term timeframes are good to spot the bigger cycle; the smaller timeframes are good to know what will happen next.
— Bitcoin 4H TF (Short-term)
Bitcoin hit a new all-time high and was followed by a strong bearish volume session. The action went on to move below a strong resistance zone, the ath range.
Now Bitcoin is trading below "local resistance" and this opens up a bearish bias short-term. When it moves back above $110,000, we can say the bulls are back in. When it trades below $106,000, we can say bearish confirmed.
Here we can see Bitcoin bearish while aiming lower.
If it continues dropping, 100K won't be the end. Either it recovers now, or else we will see a test of the low 90Ks.
Leave a comment if you agree.
Follow if you disagree.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Bullish Altcoins: Bitcoin Dominance In Correction ModeHere BTC.D is still moving within a classic ABC correction. The peak happened 7-May. After 14-May there was a bounce but this bounce ended in a lower high. The correction is not over.
As this index moves lower, the Altcoins market will grow.
When Bitcoin turns sideways, retraces or consolidates, it is an opportunity for the smaller Altcoins to move forward. This is the scenario we are entering right now.
» Bitcoin sideways. Altcoins bullish. Long-term growth.
The 2025 bull market is only starting now. Prepare for growth until late 2025 or beyond (early 2026).
Namaste.
Bitcoin Strong-Bullish Above 102000, Remember The Bigger PictureWe've defined $102,000 as the strongest support level ever based on the long-term. This number was extracted using the 2021-2022 bear market. It is mapped which a red dotted line on the chart.
On this chart you can see how this level worked as resistance in December 2024 and January 2025, later to become the strongest support ever now, in May 2025. Bitcoin is 100% bullish as it trades above $102,000.
» I should say super-bullish, hyper-bullish, ultra-bullish, etc.
Right now Bitcoin is safe and sound when considering the bigger picture.
The Altcoins market is also safe and we can continue to accumulate; Buy and hold.
If you have any questions do not hesitate to leave a comment.
Please keep in mind that market conditions can always change. In a day without notice.
Thanks a lot for your continued support, it is truly appreciated.
Namaste.