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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)

BTC FEAR AND GREED INDEXAfter BTC corrects to the $86K level and the Timeline sentiment hit an all time low it got me thinking, is there any correlation between sentiment around pivotal price levels of the market? To find out I studied the "Fear and Greed Index", an indicator that uses a range of sources such as volatility, volume, sentiment, dominance and trends to give a score out of 100. 1 being peak fear and 100 being peak greed. The results were interesting, currently the FGI is 21/100 (extreme fear) and if you've spent much time on crypto twitter is does feel that way too. However, during this bull market there are two key price areas where BTC had the same score: Bear market bottom - When the bear market ended after a full year of brutal selling BTCs price was around $16K with the same FGI score as today with 21. This signaled the end to the selling and began the bull market we have now. Q2-23 '24 bottom - For me, the most relevant time to compare FGI with todays score is with the bottom of the bearish trend channel we suffered through in 2024. Although price did wick below this $53,923 level to hit GETTEX:49K , the daily didn't close below it and so the September 6th low is the trend channel bottom. FGI score of 22 provided the springboard for the next leg up. So with his information the real question is this: Are we still in a bull market? If the answer is yes, then history tells us once FGI reaches these levels the bottom is in and the next leg up is around the corner. If the answer is no then the printing of a new lower high after yesterdays lower low will be confirmation of bitcoin rolling over. I am not sure which is true but having a plan for both will be very important.
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by ProR35
4
BITCOIN Is the correction over??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) completed yesterday a -21.14% decline from its January All Time High (ATH). This move made new 3-month lows for the market and naturally accelerated the fears of a Cycle peak and the start of a new Bear Market. Zooming out to the larger time-frames however, we can see that the trend remains heavily bullish within this Bull Cycle's dominant pattern, the Channel Up since August 2021. In fact the current -21.14% pull-back is identical with the Minor Correction Phase (orange) the pattern had during July - September 2023. The similarities don't stop there. That Minor Correction bottomed a little before touching the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. The 0.382 Fib on the current Phase is at $81000, while the 1W MA50 is a little lower. The 1D RSI however has already breached the oversold barrier (<30.00) as on the August 14 2023 Low. That wasn't the only time the 1D RSI tested the oversold barrier. The last time it was on the week of July 01 2024, during another pull-back, this time the Major Correction Phase. That was considerably longer and stronger (-33.28%), which did hit the 1W MA50 in order to bottom, and as you can see it hasn't been the only major pull-back of the Channel Up. The other Major Correction Phase was at the start of the pattern (Aug - Nov 2022), which measured a -38.47% decline. As you see, there is a high degree of symmetry among Major and Minor Correction Phases, so there is a high probability that BTC has now bottomed on its new Minor Correction Phase. If not, a bottom level candidate will be waiting a little above $81k and the 0.382 Fib. The minimum rally following a correction bottom has been +95.95%, so if BTC repeats that from yesterday's Low, we are looking at a new Higher High exactly at the top of the Channel Up at $169000. So do you think we've see the bottom on this technical correction or we are due some more towards $81k before rebounding? And if so, are you expecting a final rally towards $169k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
9
3 week chart forecasted the drop. Now what for Bitcoin?As per analysis: Update on this chart that forecasted the drop. If you see my Binance BTC chart you will see both line up with each other's analysis yet they are 2 different types of TA and timeframes. Now the drop has happened the % we forecast of the minimum 25% is not hit yet. This chart shows in yellow the current amount of % in drop BTC has made so far. The orange is the minimum as per history. You will see on this chart there are now coloured circles around some candles. These are the times when Bitcoin was in a similar late period of a bull market and the RSI white line went under the yellow RSI line.(not the yellow trendline at 50.21 , the actual moving RSI yellow line). The price drops are shown for these inside the circles, except for covid crash (red circle). There are date ranges shown which are from the bottom of these price drops to the top of the bull run. I have put similar date ranges at current bottom and the larger of the 2 goes to mid November which would line up with a normal ending to bull run, making right now similar to the pink circled area. The red circle is the covid crash and if you look at RSI this is the only time in a bull run that the yellow moving RSI line is on a downward slope. Every other time it is sloping down, we are in a bear market. Now look at the current situation, it is a downward sloping line. This is a slight concern. Now we wait to see what unfolds on the lower timeframe analysis after this recent drop and check other indicators for a bear market confirmation. For now, we must assume we are still in a bull market, unless there are more signs of a bear market showing. If still in bull run then these prices are a gift on altcoins. The issue is whether BTC wants to close the gap at 77k area which could potentially trigger the bear market to follow, depending on how long it is down at that price. If this 3week RSI reclaims the yellow moving RSI line then we know the bull run will continue.
BNC:BLX
by Pro_Trader_HTBB
(BTC) bitcoin "head & shoulders, head & shoulders"BTC is not going to fall all the way down. The price is decreasing in price, yes.. Sentiment is not good right now from many points of view. There is more to come from BTC and there is always a strong urge to buy BTC by seekers who are only growing their wallet size holdings of BTC. 'What's in your wallet," the motto made famously by MasterCard, is befitting of BTC even if there are fewer people now that use BTC to make real transactions. The worst of cryptocurrency development over the last two years is in seeing almost no new companies offering a way to pay with BTC. Pay with BTC. Pay with Doge. Pay with XLM. Don't pay with credit cards that leak your identity and lose precious personal information in data breach hacks. The only way to reduce the dark market interests of criminals who sell hacked personal identity information is to use components of finance that resist hackers attempts to steal information from consumers. There is hardly anything that can be purchased using BTC, DOGE, XLM, et al. etc. in the real world.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by CryptocurrencyBlot
Bitcoin’s Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown – How Low Can It Go?Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) started to fall, as I expected in the previous post ; the question here is whether the fall continues or not . Today, I want to analyze Bitcoin for you in the 15-minute time frame . Bitcoin was able to break the Support zone($93,300-$90,500) and important Support line . Bitcoin also seems to have formed a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern and was able to break the lower line of the triangle. Educational Tip : The Symmetrical Triangle is a continuation pattern where the price consolidates into a narrowing range with lower highs and higher lows. It indicates indecision, with a breakout in either direction confirming the next trend. I expect Bitcoin to drop to the targets that I specified in my chart. Note: If Bitcoin goes above $95,850, we can expect more pumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
34
The descending channel on btc is wider than originally thought Now that we have had a bounce from yesterday’s big red candle I was able to find two new parallell trendlines that essentially widened the descending channel price has been consolidating in. We need price to get back above the red line soon however for that is a double top neckline, a double top with a full breakdown target of 70k, so we definitely wanna avoid triggering that breakdown by getting price action back above the red line ASAP. *not financial advice*
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
What's next for Bitcoin? Chop into end of March, then 165kI believe we are in the last leg of the cycle here. I expect another sideways chop to form a bull flag pattern into end of march, then a 3 wave move up to tap 164-165k before entering a 12month + bear market. Fear is at an all time high, alt coin traders are completely obliterated (I have been through it too, a lot of my previous attempts to call bottoms on some coins were invalidated due to a weaking broader market), however, I believe many alts now have put in bottoming structures such as POPCAT, FARTCOIN, MOG etc.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TheTraderAndy
btc finds 200 ema support, whats next?As I have been posting in these "Ideas" for the past few weeks about market direction and where the price for BTC will go. It now has come to pass where the 200 EMA has been tested and support has been found, It however has not generated any relief among buyer sentiment unable to push price above the previous days close leaving the digital asset to continue to bleed out and cause positions from all the 93k Bulls to liquidate. Its a shame people cannot make the connection that the only way price can go higher is to go lower in a market. That Is why I am going to warn people about where we may go , I believe the 200 EMA will be tested again and if support is broken it will send is into the low 70k area where there are open orders and It is possible this may happen. The Bull market support band is the 200EMA however there may be institutional money that may drive us down to cause massive liquidations and fear and panic among those holding bags while greed causes big players to push more into the fringe of where we can maintain a recovery. Watch for a retest of the 200EMA . which is a bit of a fuzzy zone , use the high and low to denote the area for support as well as keep an eye on the RSI and CCI , we are also watching on balance volume drop off which is not a great sign that there is market confidence however this will play out over the weekly and the weekly candle will start to materialize in the next few days.
by dasBoot
$104K and Counting: Can Bitcoin Sustain Its Momentum?COINBASE:BTCUSD - Daily Current Price: 97,520 Executive Summary: Is Bitcoin Set for a Correction After Hitting $104,000? Bitcoin has hit significant milestones, with two of our predicted targets—$90,000 and $100,000—successfully achieved, delivering a remarkable gain of 46.44% and 3,307,221 pips. After climbing to $104,000, Bitcoin entered extreme overbought territory across daily, weekly, and monthly charts, signaling exhaustion. With the formation of an ascending channel and overbought signals, a potential correction could be on the horizon. Here’s what to expect next. Analysis: In our earlier analysis, we predicted key price targets of $90K, $100K, and $110K. Bitcoin successfully hit $90K and $100K, eventually climbing to $104K—a remarkable gain of 46.44% and 3,307,221 pips. However, this rally propelled Bitcoin into extreme overbought territory across multiple timeframes, signaling a potential need for correction. On November 6, Bitcoin broke out of a falling wedge/handle pattern, driving the price to $104K. Since November 12, it has been ascending within a channel—a formation that often precedes a downward correction. Coupled with extreme overbought conditions on daily, weekly, and monthly charts, Bitcoin now shows clear signs of buyer exhaustion. Potential Correction Level: Fibonacci Retracement (50%): $85,327.80 Key Levels to Watch: • Extreme Overbought: $112,500 • Overbought Resistance: $106,250 • Ultimate Resistance: $100,000 • Major Support: $75,000 Thank you for taking the time to read this analysis. Wishing you great success in your trading journey! Always prioritise proper risk management to achieve sustainable growth in the markets. Good luck with your trades!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by SpicyPips
Bitcoin - The Uptrend Remains 100% Valid!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) can create a textbook break and retest: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Over the past couple of weeks we have only been seeing a consolidation on all cryptocurrencies, governed by the slow movement on Bitcoin. With today's drop Bitcoin is now approaching the previous all time highs, which are now acting as a major support, pushing price much higher. Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by basictradingtv
8
Bitcoin Q1 2025- Up for a Delayed Cycle?🚀 2025 kicks off with Bitcoin’s big picture in focus. This is Part 6 of our "Where Can Bitcoin Go?" series, where we explore long-term Bitcoin price dynamics and key levels to watch. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: 1️⃣ $94,629 – Current support within the 30-minute channel. 2️⃣ $102,150 & $111,192 – Resistance levels likely to be tested again soon. 3️⃣ $79,717 – The level Bitcoin hasn’t tested as support yet. A massive buy opportunity if it gets there! (...If!) 4️⃣ 160k to 192k – Yearly target for 2025, with a 30% chance of reaching higher toward $313,000. 🧐 Big Picture Analysis: The current bull market doesn’t feel like one, due to macroeconomic factors: inflation concerns, Fed rate policies, and a maturing crypto market. Will revert in detail in due time. This could mark the end of traditional Bitcoin cycles as we know them, with less seasonality and new norms emerging. Despite the noise, Bitcoin remains bullish long-term. 📈 What’s Next? Bitcoin has tested structural resistance twice. A third test is expected in February or March 2025. A breakout above $111,192 would signal a new all-time high. If Bitcoin drops to $79,717, prepare to go long like there’s no tomorrow! 💡 “Cycles are evolving as the market matures. More investors understand Bitcoin's seasonality, halving, and structure. This could be the most interesting and volatile year yet.” 🌟 Let’s stay patient, trade smart, and watch these levels closely. Step by step, we’ll navigate this exciting market together. Here’s to a beautiful year ahead! One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Video:
Long
by FX_Professor
9
Monero: What is the "Fair Value"?Crypto investors need to be aware of Monero and its historic performance tendencies especially on a day like today. It has become the only cryptocurrency in which I think has actual USEFUL value in terms of being used as an '"currency". KRAKEN:XMRUSD for the last several years has functioned much like a stablecoin albeit with a lot of volatility. It trades within a range but one that has been steadily increasing over time. The old range used to present a fair value of around 156 within the middle of the range. The new bottom of the range sits at 196. As this bear cycle continues I will look to these supports to hold $KRAKEN:XMRUSD. I do not promise that one should expect the 10x, 100x, etc. from investing in $KRAKEN:XMRUSD. That is not what the cryptocurrency is for. Its value is in its privacy by default. Those values are; resistance against surveillance, true sovereign money, and the actual ideals of being a tool for human freedom that began cryptocurrency over a decade ago. Monero today has actually replaced Bitcoin as the currency of choice on the Dark Web... that was what gave Bitcoin its value in the early days. Besides the afore mentioned fundamental value of Monero it is important to understand what recent price history has shown about Monero versus Bitcoin during the bull/bear price cycles: Cryptocurrency Cycles The relative performance of Monero to Bitcoin (which is, basically, the crypto market) at different points over the last few years can be charted using KRAKEN:XMRBTC Since November 16, 2024 XMRBTC has performed +64%. This has happened while the price of Bitcoin has mostly stagnated by Monero has steadily appreciated in value. The period prior was from April 2024 through September 2024, again when the price of Bitcoin stagnated by Monero held and increased in value. The most important period to study for now, when Bitcoin has likely entered its bearish cycle phase, is the period between December 2021 and January 2023; the last Bitcoin bear cycle. XMRBTC outperformed by about 150% as Bitcoin went down but Monero depreciated less. This period ended when the recent Bitcoin bull cycle began. Critics will rightly point out though that "Bitcoin over time has outperformed" and they would be correct, historically. Within this truth though crypto investors need to look for a correlation that works anywhere close to this; where when Bitcoin goes down that cryptocurrency consistently holds its value against Bitcoin. There is no other major cryptocurrency that behaves this way. Knowing the cycles can provide investors with a "safe haven" potentially. Trade wisely!
BITFINEX:XMRUSDLong
by norok
BITCOIN Step back and admire the big picture!Bitcoin / BTCUSD is having a 'bloodpath' week in the eyes of most but not to those that know when to zoom out and look at the bigger picture. And that's BTC being on a purely technical Bull Cycle correction. In fact the same Channel Down correction has been seen twice already this Cycle after at least a +105.70% rise. Both times it found support and bounced on the 1week MA50. Another month of consolidation is possible until contact (or close) is made but overall, the current levels are an excellent long term buy opportunity. Buy and target 175000 (+105.70%). Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TheCryptagon
Important Bitcoin levels. The game of expectations.Today, it is important for Bitcoin to close below 88,000. There is a high probability that today the price will drop to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, thereby partially closing the gap on the daily chart, and the RSI will consolidate below 30 even with a closing price below 88,000. All these factors combined will be sufficient to trigger strong accumulation with a breakdown of the structure, leading to a new all-time high within the next 2-3 weeks. However, the market doesn’t always play out perfectly. There remains a possibility of a prolonged scenario. In this case, from the current price block (88k - 86k), the price may form a local bounce with a full ABC cycle in the coming days and test the key resistance level (106,200). After that, the price will likely return to the 0.5 Fibonacci level and possibly retest this important level. A similar scenario occurred last year during a similar phase of prolonged correction, where the price eventually reached the 0.5 Fibonacci level, though not immediately.
Long
by GarateTradeCrypto
Bitcoin broke down- Is 75k next target?Over the past three weeks, Bitcoin has remained virtually unchanged, trading within a range of 95K–97K. However, yesterday, the price broke below this range, dropping to the 91K confluence support—a key level I’ve highlighted in previous analyses. After briefly spiking as low as 87K, BTC has rebounded to around 90K, but if we analyze the price action objectively, there are no clear bullish signals. From a technical perspective, the three-month trading range has broken to the downside, suggesting a continuation of the downward trend. I anticipate further losses for BTC, and a drop to 75K in the coming months wouldn’t be surprising. 📉
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
2
BTC/USDT Breakdown: Bearish Momentum Ahead?📉 Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 4H Chart Analysis 🔻 Trend Breakdown: BTC is in a descending triangle pattern, with lower highs forming resistance. The price has broken below the trendline, indicating bearish momentum. 📊 Key Levels: 📍 EMA 200 (Red Line): 100,411.25 USDT – Acts as major resistance. 📍 Current Price: 97,815.98 USDT – Trading below the 200 EMA, confirming bearish sentiment. 📍 Support Zone: 95,000 USDT – A retest could occur before further downside. 📍 Target: 89,351.53 USDT – The chart suggests a potential drop to this level. ⚠️ Bearish Signals: ✅ Price rejected from descending resistance. ✅ Below the 200 EMA – Bearish confirmation. ✅ Breakout from the structure, signaling further downside. 💡 Conclusion: If BTC stays below the resistance zone, expect further decline toward 89,350 USDT. If bulls regain control above 100,400 USDT, trend reversal could happen. 🚨 Trade Caution: Monitor volume and price action near the key support! 🧐
Short
by MrStellanSight